A Glossary of Securities and Financial Terms
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Machine Learning Based Intraday Calibration of End of Day Implied Volatility Surfaces
DEGREE PROJECT IN MATHEMATICS, SECOND CYCLE, 30 CREDITS STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN 2020 Machine Learning Based Intraday Calibration of End of Day Implied Volatility Surfaces CHRISTOPHER HERRON ANDRÉ ZACHRISSON KTH ROYAL INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING SCIENCES Machine Learning Based Intraday Calibration of End of Day Implied Volatility Surfaces CHRISTOPHER HERRON ANDRÉ ZACHRISSON Degree Projects in Mathematical Statistics (30 ECTS credits) Master's Programme in Applied and Computational Mathematics (120 credits) KTH Royal Institute of Technology year 2020 Supervisor at Nasdaq Technology AB: Sebastian Lindberg Supervisor at KTH: Fredrik Viklund Examiner at KTH: Fredrik Viklund TRITA-SCI-GRU 2020:081 MAT-E 2020:044 Royal Institute of Technology School of Engineering Sciences KTH SCI SE-100 44 Stockholm, Sweden URL: www.kth.se/sci Abstract The implied volatility surface plays an important role for Front office and Risk Manage- ment functions at Nasdaq and other financial institutions which require mark-to-market of derivative books intraday in order to properly value their instruments and measure risk in trading activities. Based on the aforementioned business needs, being able to calibrate an end of day implied volatility surface based on new market information is a sought after trait. In this thesis a statistical learning approach is used to calibrate the implied volatility surface intraday. This is done by using OMXS30-2019 implied volatil- ity surface data in combination with market information from close to at the money options and feeding it into 3 Machine Learning models. The models, including Feed For- ward Neural Network, Recurrent Neural Network and Gaussian Process, were compared based on optimal input and data preprocessing steps. -
A Guide for Investors
A GUIDE FOR INVESTORS CONTENTS INTRODUCTION 5 MAIN RISKS 7 Business risk or intrinsic risk 7 Economic risk 7 1 Inflation risk 7 Country risk 7 Currency risk 7 Liquidity risk 7 Psychological risk 7 Credit risk 7 Counterparty risk 8 Additional risks associated with emerging markets 8 Other main risks 8 BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF CERTAIN TYPES OF INVESTMENT AND SPECIFIC ASSOCIATED RISKS 9 Time deposits 9 2 Bonds 9 A. Characteristics of classic bonds 9 B. Convertible bonds 9 C. CoCo type bonds 9 D. Risks 9 Equities 10 A. Characteristics 10 B. Risks 10 Derivatives 10 A. Options 11 B. Warrants 11 C. Futures 11 D. Risks 11 Structured products 11 A. Characteristics 11 B. Risks 11 C. Reverse convertibles 11 Investment funds 12 A. General risks 12 B. Categories 12 1. Money market funds 12 2. Bond funds 12 3. Equity funds 12 4. Diversified/profiled funds 12 5. Special types of funds 12 A. Sector funds 12 B. Trackers 12 C. Absolute return funds 13 Page 3 of 21 CONTENTS D. Alternative funds 13 1. Hedge funds 13 2. Alternative funds of funds 13 E. Offshore funds 13 F. Venture capital or private equity funds 14 Private Equity 14 A. Caracteristics 14 B. Risks 14 1. Risk of capital loss 14 2. Liquidity risk 14 3. Risk related to the valuation of securities 14 4. Risk related to investments in unlisted companies 14 5. Credit risk 14 6. Risk related to “mezzanine” financing instruments 14 7. Interest rate and currency risks 14 8. Risk related to investment by commitment 15 3 GLOSSARY 16 Any investment involves the taking of risk. -
Futures and Options Workbook
EEXAMININGXAMINING FUTURES AND OPTIONS TABLE OF 130 Grain Exchange Building 400 South 4th Street Minneapolis, MN 55415 www.mgex.com [email protected] 800.827.4746 612.321.7101 Fax: 612.339.1155 Acknowledgements We express our appreciation to those who generously gave their time and effort in reviewing this publication. MGEX members and member firm personnel DePaul University Professor Jin Choi Southern Illinois University Associate Professor Dwight R. Sanders National Futures Association (Glossary of Terms) INTRODUCTION: THE POWER OF CHOICE 2 SECTION I: HISTORY History of MGEX 3 SECTION II: THE FUTURES MARKET Futures Contracts 4 The Participants 4 Exchange Services 5 TEST Sections I & II 6 Answers Sections I & II 7 SECTION III: HEDGING AND THE BASIS The Basis 8 Short Hedge Example 9 Long Hedge Example 9 TEST Section III 10 Answers Section III 12 SECTION IV: THE POWER OF OPTIONS Definitions 13 Options and Futures Comparison Diagram 14 Option Prices 15 Intrinsic Value 15 Time Value 15 Time Value Cap Diagram 15 Options Classifications 16 Options Exercise 16 F CONTENTS Deltas 16 Examples 16 TEST Section IV 18 Answers Section IV 20 SECTION V: OPTIONS STRATEGIES Option Use and Price 21 Hedging with Options 22 TEST Section V 23 Answers Section V 24 CONCLUSION 25 GLOSSARY 26 THE POWER OF CHOICE How do commercial buyers and sellers of volatile commodities protect themselves from the ever-changing and unpredictable nature of today’s business climate? They use a practice called hedging. This time-tested practice has become a stan- dard in many industries. Hedging can be defined as taking offsetting positions in related markets. -
Tracking and Trading Volatility 155
ffirs.qxd 9/12/06 2:37 PM Page i The Index Trading Course Workbook www.rasabourse.com ffirs.qxd 9/12/06 2:37 PM Page ii Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publishing company in the United States. With offices in North America, Europe, Aus- tralia, and Asia, Wiley is globally committed to developing and marketing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ professional and personal knowledge and understanding. The Wiley Trading series features books by traders who have survived the market’s ever changing temperament and have prospered—some by reinventing systems, others by getting back to basics. Whether a novice trader, professional, or somewhere in-between, these books will provide the advice and strategies needed to prosper today and well into the future. For a list of available titles, visit our web site at www.WileyFinance.com. www.rasabourse.com ffirs.qxd 9/12/06 2:37 PM Page iii The Index Trading Course Workbook Step-by-Step Exercises and Tests to Help You Master The Index Trading Course GEORGE A. FONTANILLS TOM GENTILE John Wiley & Sons, Inc. www.rasabourse.com ffirs.qxd 9/12/06 2:37 PM Page iv Copyright © 2006 by George A. Fontanills, Tom Gentile, and Richard Cawood. All rights reserved. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 646-8600, or on the web at www.copyright.com. -
3. VALUATION of BONDS and STOCK Investors Corporation
3. VALUATION OF BONDS AND STOCK Objectives: After reading this chapter, you should be able to: 1. Understand the role of stocks and bonds in the financial markets. 2. Calculate value of a bond and a share of stock using proper formulas. 3.1 Acquisition of Capital Corporations, big and small, need capital to do their business. The investors provide the capital to a corporation. A company may need a new factory to manufacture its products, or an airline a few more planes to expand into new territory. The firm acquires the money needed to build the factory or to buy the new planes from investors. The investors, of course, want a return on their investment. Therefore, we may visualize the relationship between the corporation and the investors as follows: Capital Investors Corporation Return on investment Fig. 3.1: The relationship between the investors and a corporation. Capital comes in two forms: debt capital and equity capital. To raise debt capital the companies sell bonds to the public, and to raise equity capital the corporation sells the stock of the company. Both stock and bonds are financial instruments and they have a certain intrinsic value. Instead of selling directly to the public, a corporation usually sells its stock and bonds through an intermediary. An investment bank acts as an agent between the corporation and the public. Also known as underwriters, they raise the capital for a firm and charge a fee for their services. The underwriters may sell $100 million worth of bonds to the public, but deliver only $95 million to the issuing corporation. -
Summary Prospectus
Summary Prospectus KFA Dynamic Fixed Income ETF Principal Listing Exchange for the Fund: NYSE Arca, Inc. Ticker Symbol: KDFI August 1, 2021 Before you invest, you may want to review the Fund’s Prospectus, which contains more information about the Fund and its risks. You can find the Fund’s Prospectus, Statement of Additional Information, recent reports to shareholders, and other information about the Fund online at www.kfafunds.com. You can also get this information at no cost by calling 1-855-857-2638, by sending an e-mail request to [email protected] or by asking any financial intermediary that offers shares of the Fund. The Fund’s Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information, each dated August 1, 2021, as each may be amended or supplemented from time to time, and recent reports to shareholders, are incorporated by reference into this Summary Prospectus and may be obtained, free of charge, at the website, phone number or email address noted above. As permitted by regulations adopted by the Securities and Exchange Commission, paper copies of the Funds’ shareholder reports will no longer be sent by mail, unless you specifically request paper copies of the reports from the Funds (if you hold your Fund shares directly with the Funds) or from your financial intermediary, such as a broker-dealer or bank (if you hold your Fund shares through a financial intermediary). Instead, the reports will be made available on a website, and you will be notified by mail each time a report is posted and provided with a website link to access the report. -
Evaluating the Performance of the WTI
An Evaluation of the Performance of Oil Price Benchmarks During the Financial Crisis Craig Pirrong Professor of Finance Energy Markets Director, Global Energy Management Institute Bauer College of Business University of Houston I. IntroDuction The events of late‐summer, 2008 through the spring of 2009 have attracted considerable attention to the performance of oil price benchmarks, most notably the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s West Texas Intermediate crude oil contract (“WTI” or “CL” hereafter) and ICE Futures’ Brent crude oil contract (“Brent futures” or “CB” hereafter). In particular, the behavior of spreads between the prices of futures contracts of different maturities, and between futures prices and cash prices during the period following the Lehman Brothers collapse has sparked allegations that futures prices have become disconnected from the underlying cash market fundamentals. The WTI contract has been the subject of particular criticisms alleging the unrepresentativeness of the Midcontinent market as a global price benchmark. I have analyzed extensive data from the crude oil cash and futures markets to evaluate the performance of the WTI and Brent futures contracts during the LH2008‐FH2009 period. Although the analysis focuses on this period, it relies on data extending back to 1990 in order to put the performance in historical context. I have also incorporated some data on physical crude market fundamentals, most 1 notably stocks, as these are essential in providing an evaluation of contract performance and the relation between pricing and fundamentals. My conclusions are as follows: 1. The October, 2008‐March 2009 period was one of historically unprecedented volatility. By a variety of measures, volatility in this period was extremely high, even compared to the months surrounding the First Gulf War, previously the highest volatility period in the modern oil trading era. -
Sales Representatives Manual 2020
Sales Representatives Manual Volume 4 2020 Volume 4 Table of Contents Chapter 1 Overview of Derivatives Transactions ………… 1 Chapter 2 Products of Derivatives Transactions ……………99 Derivatives Transactions and Chapter 3 Articles of Association and ……………… 165 Various Rules of the Association Exercise (Class-1 Examination) ……………………………………… 173 Chapter 1 Overview of Derivatives Transactions Introduction ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 3 Section 1. Fundamentals of Derivatives Transactions ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 10 1.1 What Are Derivatives Transactions? ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 10 Section 2. Futures Transactions ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 10 2.1 What Are Futures Transactions? ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 10 2.2 Futures Price Formation ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 14 2.3 How to Use Futures Transactions ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 17 Section 3. Forward Transactions ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 24 3.1 What Are Forward Transactions? ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 24 Section 4. Option Transactions ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 25 4.1 What Are Options Transactions? ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 25 4.2 Options’ Price Formation ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 32 4.3 Characteristics of Options Premiums ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 36 4.4 Sensitivity of Premiums to the Respective Factors ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 38 4.5 How to Use Options ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 46 4.6 Option Pricing Theory ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 57 Section 5. Swap Transactions ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 63 5.1 What Are Swap Transactions? ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 63 Section 6. Risks in Derivatives Transactions ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 72 Conclusion ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ 82 Introduction Introduction 1. History of Derivatives Transactions Chapter 1 The term “derivatives” is used for financial instruments that “derive” from financial assets, meaning those that have securities such as shares or bonds as their underlying assets or financial transactions that use a reference indicator such as interest rates or exchange rates. Today the term “derivative” is used widely throughout society and not just on the financial markets. Although there has been criticism that they amplify financial risks and have a harmful impact on the Chapter 2 economy, derivatives are an indispensable requirement in supporting finance in the present age, and have become accepted as the leading edge of financial innovation. -
Users/Robertjfrey/Documents/Work
AMS 511.01 - Foundations Class 11A Robert J. Frey Research Professor Stony Brook University, Applied Mathematics and Statistics [email protected] http://www.ams.sunysb.edu/~frey/ In this lecture we will cover the pricing and use of derivative securities, covering Chapters 10 and 12 in Luenberger’s text. April, 2007 1. The Binomial Option Pricing Model 1.1 – General Single Step Solution The geometric binomial model has many advantages. First, over a reasonable number of steps it represents a surprisingly realistic model of price dynamics. Second, the state price equations at each step can be expressed in a form indpendent of S(t) and those equations are simple enough to solve in closed form. 1+r D-1 u 1 1 + r D 1 + r D y y ÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅ = u fl u = 1+r D u-1 u 1+r-u 1 u 1 u yd yd ÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅ1+r D ÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÅ1 uêÅÅÅÅ-ÅÅÅÅu ÅÅ H L H ê L i y As we will see shortlyH weL Hwill solveL the general problemj by solving a zsequence of single step problems on the lattice. That K O K O K O K O j H L H ê L z sequence solutions can be efficientlyê computed because wej only have to zsolve for the state prices once. k { 1.2 – Valuing an Option with One Period to Expiration Let the current value of a stock be S(t) = 105 and let there be a call option with unknown price C(t) on the stock with a strike price of 100 that expires the next three month period. -
The Promise and Peril of Real Options
1 The Promise and Peril of Real Options Aswath Damodaran Stern School of Business 44 West Fourth Street New York, NY 10012 [email protected] 2 Abstract In recent years, practitioners and academics have made the argument that traditional discounted cash flow models do a poor job of capturing the value of the options embedded in many corporate actions. They have noted that these options need to be not only considered explicitly and valued, but also that the value of these options can be substantial. In fact, many investments and acquisitions that would not be justifiable otherwise will be value enhancing, if the options embedded in them are considered. In this paper, we examine the merits of this argument. While it is certainly true that there are options embedded in many actions, we consider the conditions that have to be met for these options to have value. We also develop a series of applied examples, where we attempt to value these options and consider the effect on investment, financing and valuation decisions. 3 In finance, the discounted cash flow model operates as the basic framework for most analysis. In investment analysis, for instance, the conventional view is that the net present value of a project is the measure of the value that it will add to the firm taking it. Thus, investing in a positive (negative) net present value project will increase (decrease) value. In capital structure decisions, a financing mix that minimizes the cost of capital, without impairing operating cash flows, increases firm value and is therefore viewed as the optimal mix. -
Show Me the Money: Option Moneyness Concentration and Future Stock Returns Kelley Bergsma Assistant Professor of Finance Ohio Un
Show Me the Money: Option Moneyness Concentration and Future Stock Returns Kelley Bergsma Assistant Professor of Finance Ohio University Vivien Csapi Assistant Professor of Finance University of Pecs Dean Diavatopoulos* Assistant Professor of Finance Seattle University Andy Fodor Professor of Finance Ohio University Keywords: option moneyness, implied volatility, open interest, stock returns JEL Classifications: G11, G12, G13 *Communications Author Address: Albers School of Business and Economics Department of Finance 901 12th Avenue Seattle, WA 98122 Phone: 206-265-1929 Email: [email protected] Show Me the Money: Option Moneyness Concentration and Future Stock Returns Abstract Informed traders often use options that are not in-the-money because these options offer higher potential gains for a smaller upfront cost. Since leverage is monotonically related to option moneyness (K/S), it follows that a higher concentration of trading in options of certain moneyness levels indicates more informed trading. Using a measure of stock-level dollar volume weighted average moneyness (AveMoney), we find that stock returns increase with AveMoney, suggesting more trading activity in options with higher leverage is a signal for future stock returns. The economic impact of AveMoney is strongest among stocks with high implied volatility, which reflects greater investor uncertainty and thus higher potential rewards for informed option traders. AveMoney also has greater predictive power as open interest increases. Our results hold at the portfolio level as well as cross-sectionally after controlling for liquidity and risk. When AveMoney is calculated with calls, a portfolio long high AveMoney stocks and short low AveMoney stocks yields a Fama-French five-factor alpha of 12% per year for all stocks and 33% per year using stocks with high implied volatility. -
OPTIONS on MONEY MARKET FUTURES Anatoli Kuprianov
Page 218 The information in this chapter was last updated in 1993. Since the money market evolves very rapidly, recent developments may have superseded some of the content of this chapter. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Richmond, Virginia 1998 Chapter 15 OPTIONS ON MONEY MARKET FUTURES Anatoli Kuprianov INTRODUCTION Options are contracts that give their buyers the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a specified item at a set price within some predetermined time period. Options on futures contracts, known as futures options, are standardized option contracts traded on futures exchanges. Although an active over-the-counter market in stock options has existed in the United States for almost a century, the advent of exchange-traded options is a more recent development. Standardized options began trading on organized exchanges in 1973, when the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) was organized. The American and Philadelphia Stock Exchanges soon followed suit by listing stock options in 1975, followed one year later by the Pacific Stock Exchange. Today a wide variety of options trade on virtually all major stock and futures exchanges, including stock options, foreign currency options, and futures options. Options on three different short-term interest rate futures are traded actively at present. The International Monetary Market (IMM) division of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) began listing options on three-month Eurodollar time deposit futures in March of 1985, and on 13-week Treasury bill futures a year later. Trading in options on IMM One-Month LIBOR futures began in 1991. The London International Financial Futures Exchange also lists options on its Eurodollar futures contract, but the IMM contract is the more actively traded of the two by a substantial margin.