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The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune Insider's Poll for the Week of November 29

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The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune Insider's Poll for the Week of November 29 The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider's poll for the week of November 29. Complete verbatim answers to a prompt on who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2012 and who will win that race: • "Perry" mate no matter who takes the nomination." • "Newt" • "Sarah Palin" • "Pence" • "Mitch Daniel Mitch Daniel" • "I think Mitt Romney will utlimately be the nominee for the party but to win • "It is way too early to have a clue. 2 in the general the running mate must be years ago at this time we were all strategic. Perhaps a Haley Barbour or ushering in the Age of Aquarius as John Thune." Obama was being carried to the thrown. It is a different world now and will be in • "John Thune will win Republican 2 more years." nomination and White House." • "Impossible to know, no frontrunner, • "Midwestern governor" race will pit one "Tea Party" backed candidate against one "establishment" • "Frontrunners are Palin, Romney, backed candidate for the nomination in Huckabee and Gingrich. Of those, my a long, drawn out race" choice would be Romney." • "Mitt Romney" • "Question wording not so good here. Winner, however, will likely be Barack • "Romney" Obama, if that is what you're asking." • "a. Mitt Romney b. Obama" • "If sanity reins in the land, probably Romney, if insanity reins, Palin. Mitch • "Best shot - Mitch Daniels Likely Daniels is also worth watching." Primary winner - Mike Huckabee" • "Today, Romney. Tomorrow, who • "Romney and he will lose to Obama" knows. 2012 could be to R's what 2008 was to D's with an unknown breaking • "A sane one" out of the pack." • "PALIN. The perfect blend of • "Far too early to tell who has the outsiderism, kneejerk conservatism, "best" shot, but Rick Perry, John Kasich, pop culture icon and salt of the earth and Chris Christie have good shots ignorance." should they take the plunge. Dr. Condi Rice is an interesting choice for running • "My father was--probably still is in some sense--a life-long Republican INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider's poll for November 15 voter. The party left him behind in the • "Best Republican--Jeb Bush Winner-- late '80's. Since then, I've had difficulty Barrack Obama" understanding national Republican primary voters. At least in that respect, • "Romney will be the nominee. Think I think I'm not too different from most President Obama still has a chance, if American voters so my money is on economy comes roaring back." Obama winning a second term." • "Obama" • "Mitt Romney" • "Rick Perry" • "A non-tea party, traditional conservative Republican has the best • "??? Who knows?" shot at winning. I'm not sure that if person can make it out of the • "Perry." Republican primaries." • "Sarah Palin will have the best shot, • "Sarah Palin" but I do not think she will defeat Barack Obama." • "Rick Perry" • "Romney or Huckabee. Obama will • "Mitt Romney" win." • "Mitt Romney has the best chance to • "Mitch Daniels" win. Huckabee is the likely nominee. Obama will win re-election." • "Re question 2: Who cares whether or not we think Gov. Perry "should" run • "Gov Perry; Sen. Thune; Gov. for president? He's been in politics Pawlenty; Gov. Barbour all have good most of his life. Why should he not test shot. Thune or Perry wins presidential the waters if the opportunity presents nomination." itself? The better questions would have been: Do you think Rick Perry should be • "Huckabee on both counts" president? - or - Do you think he has a chance of becoming president?" • "Jeb Bush" • "Mitt Romney would have the best • "Given the election 3 weeks ago, Palin shot IMO. Much depends upon how the has the best shot if the Tea Party R's behave over the next 18 months or movement maintains its strength. so. Perry's opening could likely come Obama will win a 2nd term." through a "draft" at the Convention? Not sure "the moderate middle" is • "Mitt Romney/He will win" ready for another Pres from Texas?" • "Romney has the best shot, but Obama • "No idea on first issue your guess is as wins." good as mine as to will get nomination but I like Palin" INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider's poll for November 15 • "Romney, Daniels, Thune, Obama" • "Chris Christie Winner Barack Obama: A personally liked president who has • "Assuming the Tea Party is still alive proven he will say anything necessary and kicking, there is no one better to suceed, ie; you can keep your current positioned to be the R's candidate than doctor and your cast of health care will Rick Perry. The mid-term will force not increase, in fact it will go down." Obama to get his groove back and he should win re-election." • "I think Mitch Daniel would be the stronger candidate against President • "I believe the pundits that Gov. Chris Obama; however, I believe Sarah Palin Christie will be the nominee for the will win the Republican primary Republicans and I believe he wins the because she is the godmother of the Tea Whitehouse in 2012." Party and more conservative voters (activists) participate in primaries. • "Mike Huckabee. Winner - Obama" Accordingly, I believe Sarah Palin will win the Republican nomination for • "Chris Christy" President and will be defeated by President Obama. Just like the 2010 • "Someone not now heavily on the election cycle was similar to 1994 I radar. We have had a generational shift believe the 2012 election cycle will be and the time for the Bob Doles and John similar to the 1996 election cycle where McCains is over. Someone like John the Republicans nominated Senator Thune might have a shot. The one who Bob Dole who was defeated by wins will be the anti-Obama. A woman President Clinton." could have an advantage but not Palin, she is too polarizing." • "Newt Gingrich or Sarah Palin. The Republican." • "None--the tide will turn after Congress takes virtually no action and • "Haley Barbour" the economy rebounds, and President Obama will win re-election." • "Right now Rick Perry probably has the best shot at winning, but I imagine • "Mike Huckabee; I think Omama will he will be usurped by any number of win against Huckabee or other household Republican names when the governor or former governor" primary is closer and the Tea Partyers have run out of fire to breathe." • "Daniels/Who will win? If you mean the R primary, ?." • "Romney would probably have the best shot, though I doubt he can get the • "Gov Perry is absolutley not running nomination. If Palin runs (which I for President. He'll be too busy running doubt) I think she would get the for VP. The Republican nominee will be nomination. Otherwise, maybe the consensus candidate between Bush Huckabee." R's and Tea Partiers; or a mixed ticket of these interests: Palin-Pawlenty; • "Mitt Romney....Mitt Romney" Pawlenty-Perry; Romney-Paul etc." INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider's poll for November 15 • "Mitt Romney, but despite the current • "Romney. Romney. (because mood Obama will win an easy re- Republicans always nominate the "next election." in line" (Nixon, Reagan, Bush, Dole, Bush, McCain)" • "I think Perry is positioning himself more as a running mate than a • "Mitt Romney" presidential candidate. I still believe the GOP candidate is off the radar or barely • "Someone who hasn't surfaced--not on it now." the usual (Fox News) faces; Other Governors, maybe a US Senator from • "I think the best shot for the South or theusual self funders" Republicans is someone bland and boring like Pawlenty who can say the • "A late bloomer." right things and look like a plausible alternative to Obama. They, of course, • "For the 2012 presidential election, won't do that. They will nominate Mike Huckabee or Mitt Romney will end someone so polarizing, like Palin or up as the nominee for the GOP Perry, that the middle will come back to Presidential ticket. One of these men Obama, who will also move to the will challenge President Obama in 2012 middle for the next two years. I think for President. The 2012 presidential the Democrats can take comfort in the winner will be determined by two fact that the Republicans will bail them factors: the recovery of the economy out in 2012; they won't be able to help and how the new congress governors. If themselves by nominating someone like the new congress, with a GOP majority Pawlenty." in the house, does not govern and instead plays partisan politics President • "Pawlenty or Daniels, but neither is Obama will win a second term for likely to get the nomination; Obama will President of the United States. If be the ultimate victor, assuming the however the newly elected congress recent upward economic trends hold. finds solutions to the economy and Perry should run simply because passes an immigration bill that is fair politics is about seizing opportunities, and just, the GOP candidate will win the and this is the best opportunity for him. bid for president in 2012." He can become the "electable" version of Palin." • "Haley Barbour" • "Although he has not been mentioned, • "Yet to be determined rising star I believe John Cornyn is in a good (Christie, Rubio). Good chance Rs (ABP- position to make a run for the White Anyone but Palin) will win since Obama House and would have a great chance at and Ds have cast die on additional taxes winning." and fees and Rs are already planning for 2012." • "Any Republican (or Democrat for that matter) will be better than Obama! • "Jeb Bush probably has the best shot if Obama's class warfare is no way to run he can overcome the Bush dynasty this Country." INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider's poll for November 15 effect--he is probably the only one that nomination and win is Daniels from can beat Obama." Indiana.....Obama will be re-elected unless the economy stalls again" • "Romney, same" • "Best Shot: John Thune Likely • "Romney" Nominee: Mitt Romney" • "Thune and Thune" • "NONE.
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