Experience and Challenges in Collecting Mobile Broadband Statistics in Japan ______
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INTERNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATION UNION TELECOMMUNICATION Document 010-E DEVELOPMENT BUREAU 26 February 2009 Original: English 7TH WORLD TELECOMMUNICATION/ICT INDICATORS MEETING, CAIRO, EGYPT, 3-5 MARCH 2009 SOURCE: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Japan TITLE: Experience and Challenges in Collecting Mobile Broadband Statistics in Japan __________ ExperienceExperience andand ChallengesChallenges inin CollectingCollecting MobileMobile BroadbandBroadband StatisticsStatistics inin JapanJapan Atsushi Umino (海野 敦史) Institute for Information and Communications Policy Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of Japan 0 Progress in Broadband (Telecommunications) Services in Japan Changes in Broadband Contracts (As of Aug. 2008、Million) Fiber-Optic(FTTH) 1,600 Fiber-Optic(FTTH) ○○SubscribersSubscribers ::13,756,48913,756,489 ○Operators : 171 1,400 ○Operators : 171 1,200 DSLDSL 1,000 ○○SubscribersSubscribers ::11,966,83811,966,838 ○○OperatorsOperators ::4747 800 600 CATVCATV InternetInternet ○○SubscribersSubscribers ::4,019,7884,019,788 400 ○○OperatorsOperators ::381381 200 WirelessWireless(FWA)(FWA) 0 ○○SubscribersSubscribers :12,838:12,838 ○○OperatorsOperators :: 2929 Changes in Telecommunications Service Contracts(As of Aug. 2008、10 thousand) Mobile Phones (including PHS) Fixed Phones(including BroadbandISDN) (DSL+CATV+FTTH+Wireless) IP Telephone 1 Broadband Service in Global Comparison Change in DSL Price DSL Price Price fell by 7,800 almost 70%. JPY 2,400 JPY (The lowest DSL Price per month) Sources: Respective company web sites Source: ITU Internet Reports 2006 ”digital.life” (Dec. 2006) 2 Broadband Service Area Coverage Rate of Households in Japan (Estimate) FY2010 March, 2006 March, 2007 March, 2008 Targets 93・9% 95・2% 98・3% Eliminate Broadband all zero- (47・33M households) (48・63M households) (50・83M households) broadband areas -New IT Reform Strategy (IT Strategic Headquarter, 2006.) - Strategy on bridging the Digital Divide (MIC, 2008) Ultra high- 79・7% 83・5% 86・5% 90% speed (40・15M households) (42・68M households) (44・71M households) - Strategy on bridging the Digital Divide (MIC, 2008) 3 Japan’s National ICT Strategies e-Japan New IT Reform e-Japan Strategy Strategy II Strategy Infrastructure Valuing IT Development Applications Ubiquitous Network Society Realization of a Self‐sustaining ICT Society Priority Policy Network Program ‐ 2007 Ubiquitous (July 2007) Realizing Priority Policy Program ‐ 2006 Society e‐Japan Priority Policy ( ) July 2006 e‐Japan Priority Policy a Program ‐ 2004 Program ‐ 2002 (June 2004) (June 2002) e‐Japan Priority e‐Japan Priority Policy uu-Japan-Japan PromotionPromotion ProgramProgram 20062006 (September 2006) Policy Program Program ‐ 2003 (September 2006) (March 2001) (August 2003) e‐Japan Strategy u‐Japan Policy of MIC 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2010 4 Transition in Competition Policy in the Broadband Market in Japan technology Emergence of Transition to Full Age of Telephony Internet IP-based networks policy “ex-ante” regulation Monopoly Promotion of fair competition to “ex-post” to competition regulation 1985- 1997- 2001- 2004 - 1990- Deregulation of NTT’s 1990- IntroductionIntroduction ofof ReorganizationReorganization ofof Deregulation of NTT’s AbolitionAbolition ofof businessbusiness regional businesses LiberalizationLiberalization independentindependent NTTNTT regional businesses categoriescategories ofof telecomtelecom divisionsdivisions withinwithin RelaxingRelaxing entryentry && DrasticDrastic deregulationderegulation ofof marketsmarkets NTTNTT priceprice regulationsregulations priceprice andand tarifftariff regulations PrivatizationPrivatization ofof SeparationSeparation ofof AbolitionAbolition ofof foreignforeign regulations investment regulation NTTNTT datadata && mobilemobile investment regulation Realizing a (except(except forfor NTT)NTT) NewNew entriesentries businessbusiness fromfrom open/speedy/flexible NTTNTT policy-making (transparency)(transparency) IntroductionIntroduction ofof Deregulation & competitioncompetition reviewreview new competition rules (market(market analysis)analysis) DisclosureDisclosure ofof marketmarket (competition rules) Building (competition rules) informationinformation Strengthening of competitive market Strengthening of (safety(safety andand security)security) asymmetric (asymmetric(asymmetric asymmetric ExpansionExpansion ofof useruser regulations regulation)regulation) regulations protectionprotection rulesrules Building a RequiringRequiring unbundlingunbundling Building a MeasuresMeasures toto enforceenforce mechanismmechanism forfor Traditional public-utility type regulation type Traditional public-utility IntroductionIntroduction ofof informationinformation securitysecurity New toward network industries regulation universal service interconnectioninterconnection rulesrules universal service EnhancementEnhancement ofof fund fund privacyprivacy protectionprotection 5 Comprehensive Broadband Policies in Japan Transition to IP Networks (Mainly Broadband Networks) - Full Transition from PSTN to IP based networks (-> “Everything over IP” ) - Emergence of a variety of new business models (-> review of vertically integrated business models) - Transition to IP based networks means that the rationale for the concept of “distance” has become obsolete. Direction of Implementing Policies - Promotion of information & communication network usage as a base for support of the socio-economic system. - Acceleration of effective interaction between communication networks and content/applications. (“Creation of Virtuous Cycle Related to Development of Markets”). - Development of a competitive environment which allows for a rapid, smooth response to rapidly changing market situations. Development of Broadband Policies Balanced Improvement of Promotion of Innovation of International development environment protecting users new industries contribution of infrastructure promoting -Promotion of Asia -Eliminating the competition -Prevention of spam - -Establishment of a Protecting private Broadband Program Broadband-Zero legal System capable -Fair Competition (personal) Information of overseeing the -Contribution to Areas by FY2010 -Predictability of -Prevention of distribution convergence of Activities in Competition Rules illegal/harmful information telecom & broadcasting international -Protection against -R&D organizations New Competition viruses -Promotion of Strategy on bridging (ITU,OECD,APEC) Promotion -Protection from cyber Standardization the DigitalDivide -Promotion of attacks -Promotion of content Program 2010 bilateral/multilateral (June 2008) markets (September 2006*) policy consultations *revised in October 2007 “Realization of u-Japan in FY2010 (World's fastest IT revolution) 6 “Mobile Broadband Statistics” in Japan Mobile Phones Number of subscribers: 106,094,200 (Jan. 2009) IMT-2000 Number of subscribers: 96,878,100 (Jan. 2009) Internet via Mobile Phones Number of users: 72,870,000 (2007) Wireless LANs Number of subscriptions: 6,723,000 (Dec. 2007) Number of base stations: 22,414 (Sep. 2007) WiMAX * Commercial service launched in Feb. 2009 XGP (Next Generation PHS) * Commercial service to be launched in Apr. 2009 * Total Population in Japan is estimated 127,663 thousand persons as of September 2008. 7 Mobile System Evolution Roadmap in Japan Cellular 3.5G 3.9G 3G HSDPA 2G W-CDMA LTE、UMB EV-DO CDMA-2000 4G (IMT-Advanced) ~kbps ~384kbps ~14Mbps 100Mbps Mobile 100Mbps Nomadic 1Gbps Voice Internet High data rate, various services… ≒Mobile × FTTH Wireless Access Wireless MAN WiMAX, XGP, etc Wide Area (about 20Mbps) Mobility Wireless LAN High Speed Ultra-high- 11Mbps 54Mbps 100Mbps 1Gbps speed W-LAN 2000 2010 8 Changes in the Number of Mobile Phone Subscribers in Japan ~TCA investigation~ (million) JanJan 20092009 NumberNumber ofof subscriberssubscribers -Mobile-Mobile phones:phones: Approx.Approx. 106,094,200106,094,200 unitsunits 100 -IMT-2000:-IMT-2000: Approx.Approx. 96,878,10096,878,100 unitsunits 91.3% 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 IMT-2000 20 10 Number of mobile phone subscribers 20012001 0 StartStart ofof IMT-2000IMT-2000 serviceservice 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (FY) 2009.1 9 Internet Users and Penetration Rate for Population in Japan 10,000 users % 8,754 8,811 9,000 8,529 80 Number of users 7,730 7,948 8,000 70 Penetration rate 6,942 7,000 69.0 66.8 68.5 60 62.3 6,000 5,593 60.6 54.5 50 5,000 4,708 40 4,000 44.0 37.1 30 3,000 2,706 2,000 1,694 20 1,155 21.4 1,000 13.4 10 9.2 0 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (end of the year) 10 Mobile Internet (Terminals using Internet) in Japan (End of 2007) Only PC 14.7 million【16.7%】 Users of PC 78.1 million 【88.7%】 PC and Mobile Phones etc. 【68.0%】 Users of Mobile 59.9 million 0.5 million Phones etc. 【0.6%】 72.9 million【82.7%】 3.0 million 【3.4%】 Users of Game Machines and TV 3.6 million【4.1%】 Only Mobile Phones etc. Only Game Machines 9.9 million 【11.3%】 and TV 0.06 million 0 million【0.0%】 【0.1%】 * “Mobile Phones etc.” include PHS (Personal Handyphone System) and PDA (Personal Digital Assistance). 11 Changes in the Number of Wireless LAN Subscriptions in Japan 800 (10 thousand) 700 672.3 650.5 636.4 609.9 590.0 600 570.4 550.2 527.1 500 400 300 200 100 0 Mar. 06 Jun. 06 Sep. 06 Dec. 06 Mar. 07 Jun. 07 Sep. 07 Dec. 07 12 Mobile Internet Users by Ages in Japan (%) 90 82.9 82.4 77.3 79.8 77.3 78.3 80 69.2 70 63.8 55.4 57.7 60 50.1 50 45.8 37.2 40 27.4 30 24.3 25.3 17.3 20 13.9 15.5 7.6 10 2.1 3.4 0 Entire Ages 6-12 Ages 13-19 Ages