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Allied Social Science Associations Program Allied Social Science Associations Program Philadelphia, PA January 3–5, 2014 Contract negotiations, management and meeting arrangements for ASSA meetings are conducted by the American Economic Association. Participants should be aware that the media has open access to all sessions and events at the meetings. i ASSA2014.indb 1 11/15/13 12:29 PM Thanks to the 2014 American Economic Association Program Committee Members William Nordhaus, Chair Joseph Altonji Alan Auerbach Abhijit Banerjee Nick Bloom Raquel Fernandez Amy Finkelstein Matthew Gentzkow Gita Gopinath Pete Klenow Jonathan Levin Ellen McGrattan Marc Melitz Paul Milgrom Monika Piazzesi Matthew Shapiro Catherine Wolfram Michael Woodford Cover Art—“Philadelphia in Early Fall” by Kevin Cahill. Kevin is a research economist with the Sloan Center on Aging and Work at Boston College and a managing editor at ECONorthwest in Boise, ID. Kevin invites you to visit his personal website at www.kcahillstudios.com. ii ASSA2014.indb 2 11/15/13 12:29 PM Contents General Information............................... iv ASSA Hotels ................................... viii Listing of Advertisers and Exhibitors ............... xxiii ASSA Executive Officers..........................xxv Summary of Sessions by Organization ............. xxviii Daily Program of Events ............................1 Program of Sessions Thursday, January 2 .........................29 Friday, January 3 ...........................30 Saturday, January 4 ........................136 Sunday, January 5 .........................254 Subject Area Index...............................331 Index of Participants . 334 iii ASSA2014.indb 3 11/15/13 12:29 PM General Information PROGRAM SCHEDULES A listing of sessions where papers will be presented and another covering activities such as business meetings and receptions are provided in this program. Admittance is limited to those wearing badges. Each listing is arranged chronologically by date and time of the activity; the hotel and room location for each session and function are indicated CONVENTION FACILITIES Twenty-four hotels are being used for housing. Sessions and other convention functions are in the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center. A map of Philadelphia indicating the locations of the hotels, an alphabetical listing of function rooms within the hotels, and hotel floor plans are in the next section of this book. Registration and Exhibits are located in the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, the Headquarters hotel. Co-Headquarters is the Loews Philadelphia. The Job Placement Service, Interview Tables, and many sessions are located in the Pennsylvania Convention Center. Details follow. The $35 per night premium for the headquarters hotel is rebated to ASSA to help cover the cost of the meetings. REGISTRATION Everyone must register including speakers, discussants, and administrators who will be occupying an ASSA hotel room at the convention rate. Identification badges are required for admission to all sessions and activities. On-site and Pre-registrants may pick up their registration packets at the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Franklin Hall, Level 4. On-site registration fee is $120. Full time student registration fee is $50. Pre-registration and On-site registration booths are open as follows: Thursday, January 2 2:00 pm to 9:00 pm* Friday, January 3 7:45 am to 5:00 pm* Saturday, January 4 8:00 am to 5:00 pm* Sunday, January 5 8:00 am to 1:00 pm Registration Desk, Level 5 ( ) *On-site registration line closes fifteen minutes prior to closing each day. SPOUSES There is no spouse program. Spouses wishing to attend any of the meetings may register for $50. If your spouse needs an affiliation on his/her badge, he/she must register separately and pay the full fee. PROFESSIONAL PLACEMENT SERVICE Interview tables are located in the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Ballroom AB, above Level 2 meeting rooms. Hours are four full days, from 8:00 am to 5:00 pm. Everyone admitted to the interviewing tables (including interviewers) must register. iv ASSA2014.indb 4 11/15/13 12:29 PM There is no on-site placement registration nor will there be an on-site message exchange center. All correspondence should take place using e-mail, including interview scheduling, prior to your arrival in Philadelphia. However, on-site contact can be conducted by using the ASSA on-line hotel directory available at www.vanderbilt.edu/AEA and click on Annual Meeting or you may download the mobile app. You may also check with the Disclosure Code Booth at the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Franklin Hall, or Pennsylvania Convention Center, Ballroom AB Foyer. ASSA does not provide computers on-site. The Professional Placement Service is conducted and sponsored free of charge through the efforts of the Illinois Department of Employment Security and AEA. EXHIBITS Exhibits are located in Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Franklin Hall, Level 4. The Exhibit area may be visited during the following hours: Friday, January 3 9:00 am to 6:00 pm Saturday, January 4 9:00 am to 5:00 pm Sunday, January 5 9:00 am to 1:00 pm MESSAGE AND INFORMATION CENTER The Message and Information Center is located in the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Franklin Hall Foyer, Level 4, and is open during the following hours: Thursday, January 2 2:00 pm to 9:00 pm Friday, January 3 8:00 am to 5:00 pm Saturday, January 4 8:00 am to 5:00 pm Sunday, January 5 8:00 am to 2:00 pm Messages may be transmitted in person or by telephone during these hours. The number to call is 215-409-4751. FEE AND INVITATION EVENTS The “Daily Program of Events” section of this program lists fee and invitation events, membership meetings, and other social functions in chronological order. Events for which a fee is charged or which may be attended by invitation only are noted. Tickets were sold to the following open events: AEA AFA Joint Luncheon Friday, January 3, 12:30 pm / Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Grand Ballroom G & H ASE Presidential Breakfast Saturday, January 4, 7:45 am Loews Philadelphia, Howe AEA Luncheon Honoring Saturday, January 4, 12:30 pm the 2012 Nobel Laureates Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Grand Ballroom G & H AREUEA Presidential Saturday, January 4, 12:30 pm Luncheon Loews Philadelphia, Regency Ballroom B Tickets to each of these events were ordered on the pre-registration form. Tickets may be available at the door if an event is not sold out. v ASSA2014.indb 5 11/15/13 12:29 PM CONVENTION STAFF HEADQUARTERS Headquarters for the ASSA Convention is located in the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Registration Desk II, Level 5. The hours of operation are: Thursday, January 2 2:00 pm to 5:00 pm Friday, January 3 8:00 am to 5:00 pm Saturday, January 4 8:00 am to 5:00 pm Sunday, January 5 8:00 am to 1:00 pm Headquarters staff should be alerted to any problems associated with the operation of the convention. Special notices concerning the program and room changes will be posted there. To reach Convention Headquarters by phone call 215-409-4750. An Information Desk is located in the Loews Philadelphia, Second Floor, Commonwealth Hall Foyer and in the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Level 2, near Grand Hall. The information tables are open Friday and Saturday from 7:30 am until 3:30 pm and on Sunday from 7:30 am until 1:00 pm. PRESS Press Registration is located at Registration Desk II, Level 5, Philadelphia Marriott Downtown. Meeting Room 308 is available each day from 7:00 am to 4:00 pm to use for interviewing. Press must schedule an appointment to use Meeting Room 308 at Registration Desk II. Press Registration is open during the following hours: Thursday, January 2 2:00 pm to 5:00 pm Friday, January 3 7:30 am to 5:00 pm Saturday, January 4 7:30 am to 5:00 pm Sunday, January 5 7:30 am to 12:00 noon BUSINESS CENTERS Pennsylvania Convention Ctr. 200 Level - M–F 8 am–5 pm & weekends during show hours Btw Halls B&C Complimentary Wifi on all concourses Philadelphia Marriott (HQ) Lobby Level M–F 7 am–11 pm, Sat 9 am–9 pm & Sun 9 am–11:59 pm DoubleTree by Hilton Third Floor 24 hours Embassy Suites Second Floor 24 hours Hotel Monaco Second Floor 24 hours Hotel Palomar Second Floor 24 hours Le Meridien Fifth Floor 24 hours Omni at Independence Park Sales Office M–F 9 am–5 pm Residence Inn Lower Level 24 hours Ritz-Carlton Second Floor 24 hours All other hotels in the room block are located on the Lobby Level and are 24 hours. Above hours are subject to change. vi ASSA2014.indb 6 11/15/13 12:29 PM DISCLOSURE CODES The Disclosure Code Information Booths are located in the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Level 4, Franklin Hall and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, above Level 2 meeting rooms, Ballroom AB Foyer. You must know the disclosure code to obtain the room/suite number. Those were distributed by Employers. You may also check on the AEA website at www.vanderbilt.edu/AEA and click on Annual Meeting, Disclosure Code Information. SHUTTLE ASSA will run a shuttle from the Sheraton Society Hill, Hyatt Regency at Penn’s Landing, Hotel Monaco and Omni Hotel at Independence Park to the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown/Pennsylvania Convention Center, morning and evenings only. All other hotels are within a 4-15 minute walk. ASSA will run a continuous shuttle between the Pennsylvania Convention Center/Philadelphia Marriott Downtown, Westin, Hotel Palomar, Sofitel, Embassy Suites, Four Seasons Hotel, and Sheraton Downtown and then back to facilitate job candidate movement. LOST & FOUND Lost and found can be reached through the hotel operator in each hotel. If you lose an item while in the Philadelphia Marriott Downtown also check at the Registration Desk located on Level 5.
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