Julián Castro

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Julián Castro DATA FOR PROGRESS JULIÁN CASTRO OVERVIEW Former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julián Castro’s campaign has centered on immigration and racial justice. In keeping with that theme he has taken some strong progressive positions on foreign policy when it comes to re- thinking the US relationship to Latin America and deconstructing anti- Muslim and anti-immigrant policies crafted in the name of a misguided view of national security. 1 at physical, social, and economic threats holistically, The United and put people over power and profits. We want to see a recognition that many security challenges lack States’s Role in military solutions, and an acknowledgement that there are limits to US power. the World Where Castro stands: When asked directly about What we’re looking for: A progressive foreign the top challenges to US security, Castro named policy rejects Trump-esque “America First” posturing China and climate change.3 He’s also pointed to in which alliances are annoyances, international inequality, mass migration, cybersecurity and the rise institutions are burdens, and foreign policy is of authoritarianism.4 He’s offered solutions involving inherently zero-sum, oppositional, and transactional. diplomacy and development on these subjects. He’s A progressive foreign policy also avoids “American also decried US entanglements in wars.5 exceptionalism” framing, which fails to recognize the harm that some of the United States’s policies Bottom line: Castro hasn’t made a foreign policy have done in the world (including policies instituted speech or issued a written plan on the matter, so it’s before Trump), and it does not view either the difficult to piece together his vision on US engagement US’s permanent, global military hegemony as a in the world. But when directly asked, he hasn’t prerequisite for a peaceful world, or the rise of other echoed fear-based threat inflation on the campaign countries as an inherent threat. trail, and that’s great to see. Where Castro stands: When asked directly about his foreign policy priorities, Castro offered a defense of the post-WWII international order, and pledged Investing to strengthen international partnerships and institutions.1 He also said he wants to see the US in Military taking a leadership role on human rights, and warned against entanglements like the Iraq War.2 Dominance Bottom line: Despite having few detailed foreign versus Other policy proposals, Castro puts forward a vision of global engagement and cooperation, with US leadership Tools focused on diplomacy and development, though he What we’re looking for: The challenges facing primarily identifies Trump-era policies as the problem the United States often lack military solutions, and with achieving that vision. prioritizing global military dominance at any cost is both harmful and unsustainable. A progressive budget would instead prioritize increasing the number of expert diplomats, expanding development Threat programs that prevent conflict and reduce poverty, Assessments and fortifying peacebuilding institutions, rather than further inflating the already bloated Pentagon budget. What we’re looking for: We want to see candidates take stock of and prioritize the security challenges Where Castro stands (and bottom line): Castro facing the United States through a realistic lens that has talked about the need to invest in peacebuilding avoids fearmongering and/or inflating the level of institutions, such as the State Department and USAID, actual threat. Candidates should prioritize by looking in order to prevent conflicts before they occur,6 but JULIÁN CASTRO 2 he has also echoed rhetoric about a “readiness crisis” Saudi behaviors, and called for an end to US military at the Pentagon,7 which ignores its already bloated support.9 budget. He hasn’t put forward a plan to realign US Bottom line: Castro is one of the only candidates not investments. to put forward a clear plan to end US complicity in Saudi war crimes. The Crisis in Yemen, and US Ending Endless Military Support Wars What we’re looking for: The post-9/11 wars and to the Gulf States global military operations have proven ineffective What we’re looking for: A progressive consensus at reducing terrorism. They also seem to be endless, has emerged in favor of ending US military support consuming trillions of dollars and tens of thousands for a bombing campaign as part of Yemen’s civil war. of lives. A progressive candidate should explictly During the Obama administration, the US began to recognize that there is no military solution to actively assist a coalition led by Saudi Arabia and transnational groups that perpetuate terrorism, and the United Arab Emirates, supplying them with should reflect the overwhelming consensus among the intelligence, targeting assistance, refueling aircraft, US public that these wars were a mistake. and weapons sales. Candidates should articulate clear, thoughtful plans All parties to this conflict, including the Saudi- for bringing the “Forever War” to an end. These led coalition as well as their enemies the Houthis, plans should encompass not only ending US military have committed war crimes against the civilian interventions in places like Afghanistan and Syria population. But US military support for the Saudis but also halting the routine use of targeted strikes makes the United States directly complicit in their through drones and raids, and arming and training actions targeting civilians and blockading key ports, of proxy forces. Their plans should drastically limit resulting in a mass famine, a spiraling civilian the widespread covert operations of US special forces, body count, a cholera outbreak, and currently the and not simply replace active military operations with world’s worst humanitarian crisis. Congress has less-transparent covert operations or with private- voted on a bipartisan basis to end US participation sector mercenaries. in Saudi Arabia’s war in Yemen, and to halt arms Their plans should invest heavily in ensuring a stable sales to the Gulf states carrying out the atrocities. and peaceful transition as those operations wind President Trump, however, has vetoed these efforts. down, placing impacted civilian populations as a top At minimum, a progressive candidate would commit priority through inclusive diplomatic negotiations and to end US complicity in this tragedy and similar aid programs. atrocities in the future. Candidates should also focus on fortifying the Where Castro stands: Castro has pledged to end constitutionally mandated separation of war US participation in the Saudi-led war in Yemen, powers between the Executive Branch and Congress. saying that the US “must continue to assess our Candidates should also work to increase transparency relationship with Saudi Arabia given [Khashoggi’s and democratic accountability over the future use of murder], including US support for the Saudi war in the US military. Yemen.”8 He has noted the lack of accountability for JULIÁN CASTRO 3 Where Castro stands: Castro has said that he’s “not transnational partnership in order to jointly address a big fan” of recent American military commitments, existential, shared global challenges (climate change, including in Iraq and Syria,10 and he has signed nuclear weapons). veterans group Common Defense’s plan to end forever Progressive candidates should also recognize that wa r. 11 He has both said that there wouldn’t be combat the challenges that Russia and China pose are troops in Afghanistan at the end of his first term,12 unique and context specific. In the case of Russia, and also that he would conduct a withdrawal in a the primary security challenge to the US consists of “responsible” way that ensures a stable transition disinformation and election interference, like what by means of inclusive negotiations that include took place in 2016, as well as the country’s willingness the Afghan government and women.13 He’s also to wage asymmetric warfare, such as in Crimea. In the condemned Congress’ abdication of its warmaking case of China, the primary security challenge is the responsibilities and the wide-ranging global war increasingly totalitarian nature of the regime and its authorization.14 willingness to weaponize technology and economic However, Castro hasn’t indicated whether the US resources to the detriment of human rights and should continue targeted strikes or leave residual human dignity, both inside and beyond its borders. forces in Afghanistan or the Middle East. Neither has Where Castro stands: Castro identified China as he indicated the extent to which he supports repeal of a top threat,15 but he appears not to have explicitly current authorities and restoring warmaking powers indicated support for a military buildup in response. to Congress. He’s talked about strengthening alliances and Bottom line: Castro’s commitment to wind down investing in international economic development in current wars is welcome, though we’d like to see a order to compete globally.16 more fleshed-out plan to end the endless wars, and to Castro has also indicated support for increased prevent further expansion of presidential war powers. military engagement to confront Russian aggression.17 Bottom line: There is little to draw from in piecing together Castro’s approach on Russia and China, but Russia and China there are concerning, hawkish elements in his rhetoric. What we’re looking for: Progressive candidates should reject the framing that the rise of Russia and China requires a response akin to a new Cold War, a ramped-up “great-power competition” for Venezuela unquestioned global military dominance at any What we’re looking for: Mindful both of the crisis cost, or a zero-sum diplomatic approach hostile to unfolding in Venezuela as well as the ugly history targeted cooperation with either state. Human rights of US interventions in Latin America, progressives abuses and other violations of international norms are looking to presidential candidates to first do no should not be ignored, but we’d like to see candidates harm.
Recommended publications
  • The Economist/Yougov Poll
    The Economist/YouGov Poll Sample 1500 US Adult citizens Conducted August 3 - 6, 2019 Margin of Error ±2.6% 1. Would you say things in this country today are... Generally headed in the right direction . 35% Off on the wrong track . 54% Notsure ................................................................................10% 2. Have you heard mostly positive or mostly negative news stories about the economy, or have you not heard much news at all about the economy? Mostly positive . .32% Equally positive and negative . 33% Mostly negative . .18% Not heard much news about the economy at all . 16% 3. How serious a problem is unemployment in the U.S.? Very serious . 16% Somewhat serious . 33% A minor problem . 30% Not a problem . 14% Notsure .................................................................................8% 4. How serious a problem is unemployment in your LOCAL community? Very serious . 14% Somewhat serious . 26% A minor problem . 28% Not a problem . 20% Notsure ................................................................................11% 5. For you personally, which of the following do you consider the best measure of how the national economy is doing? The stock market index . 8% The unemployment rate and job reports . .28% The prices of goods and services you buy . 32% Your personal finances . .16% continued on the next page . 1 The Economist/YouGov Poll continued from previous page Don’t know . 16% 6. What is the current unemployment rate in the U.S.? Please tell us the percentage of adults who want to work that are currently unemployed and looking for a job. If you don’t know, please make your best guess. Less than 5% . .40% Between 5% and 6% . 14% Between 6% and 7% .
    [Show full text]
  • North Carolina Statewide Poll: More Oppose Impeachment Than Favor It, but State Remains Toss- up for 2020 Election
    North Carolina Statewide Poll: More Oppose Impeachment Than Favor It, But State Remains Toss- Up for 2020 Election. Biden Still Leads Among Dems Peter L. Francia and Jonathan S. Morris ___________ Key Findings • 50% of registered voters in North Carolina oppose the impeachment and removal of President Trump from office compared to 44% who favor it. o More than 80% of self-identified Democrats favor impeachment compared to 9% of Republicans and 36% of independents and unaffiliated registered voters. • However, only 44% of registered voters in North Carolina think that President Trump should be re-elected compared to 51% who think it is time for someone else to be president. • North Carolina is near evenly split on President Trump’s job performance, with 45% who approve and 47% who disapprove. • Among Democrats, former Vice President Joe Biden leads at 29%, ahead of Bernie Sanders (19%), Elizabeth Warren (17%), Andrew Yang (9%), Kamala Harris (8%), Pete Buttigieg (4%), Beto O’Rourke (4%), Amy Klobuchar (3%), Cory Booker (1%), and Julian Castro (1%). • In head-to-head matchups against some of the top Democratic contenders, Trump currently sits in a virtual tie in North Carolina, roughly 13 months from Election Day. o Trump vs. Biden: Trump 46.4%, Biden 49.7% (Biden +3.3) o Trump vs. Sanders: Trump 47.7%, Sanders 48.5% (Sanders +0.8) o Trump vs. Warren: Trump 48.5%, Warren 47.6% (Trump +0.9) o Trump vs. Harris: Trump 49.3%, Harris 46.9% (Trump +2.4) o Trump vs. Buttigieg: Trump 49.4%, Buttigieg 46.8% (Trump +2.6) As House Democrats in the U.S.
    [Show full text]
  • BIDEN HOLDS COMMANDING LEAD in ILLINOIS on EVE of SECOND DEBATE Biden Leads Nearest Competitor Sanders by More Than 2-1 Margin in Illinois
    BIDEN HOLDS COMMANDING LEAD IN ILLINOIS ON EVE OF SECOND DEBATE Biden Leads Nearest Competitor Sanders By More Than 2-1 Margin in Illinois July 30, 2019 For more information For immediate release Contact 312-388-1782 Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a commanding lead in Illinois heading into the second presidential debate, according to a new poll. Biden has 36.1% of the vote, with Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders in second place with 15.2%. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is in third place with 12.8%, while South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (9.3%), and California Senator Kamala Harris (8.6%) round out the top tier of candidates. The poll, conducted between July 26th-29th, of 1200 Democratic primary voters across Illinois, is part of The Illinois Poll, a semi monthly survey by Victory Research, an independent polling company based in Chicago. The poll has a margin of error of 2.83% and was conducted by live callers. Respondents answered on land lines (502) and cell phones (698). Victory Research has no client in the Presidential campaign. Victory Research was the most accurate Illinois polling company for the 2018 gubernatorial election. The final Illinois poll of the 2018 Illinois Governor election published the day before the election showed Governor Prizker’s lead over former Governor Rauner at 16%. The actual margin of victory was 15.7%. Biden’s lead is built on a very strong showing among African-American voters. More than half of African- American voters (54.2%) choose President Obama’s running mate as their first choice for President, according to the poll.
    [Show full text]
  • Suffolk University/Boston Globe
    SUPRC/Boston Globe August 2019 FINAL NH DEM PRIMARY AUGUST Region: (N=500) n % West/North ------------------------------------------------------- 131 26.20 Central ------------------------------------------------------------ 127 25.40 Hillsborough ------------------------------------------------------ 137 27.40 Rockingham ------------------------------------------------------ 105 21.00 INTRO SECTION> Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk (SUFF-ick) University and I would like to get your opinions on some questions about the upcoming Democratic Primary in New Hampshire. Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some brief questions? (quota) A. Are you a resident of New Hampshire? (N=500) n % Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 500 100.00 1. Gender (N=500) n % Male ---------------------------------------------------------------- 224 44.80 Female ------------------------------------------------------------ 276 55.20 2. Thinking about the Democratic Primary for President coming up in six months, how likely are you to vote in the Democratic Primary – would you say you are very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely to vote in the Democratic Primary? (N=500) n % Very likely--------------------------------------------------------- 448 89.60 Somewhat likely -------------------------------------------------- 52 10.40 3. Are you currently enrolled as a Democrat, Republican, or Undeclared/Independent? (N=500) n % Democrat ---------------------------------------------------------
    [Show full text]
  • Indivisible Debate Watch Guide Winning with Our Values We Can Win in 2020
    INDIVISIBLE DEBATE WATCH GUIDE WINNING WITH OUR VALUES WE CAN WIN IN 2020 Before we dive into the details of the crowded 2020 field, and what issues we think are most important to keep in mind as we evaluate that field, we wanted to be explicit: we can win in 2020. The 2016 election cycle was difficult and damaging in many ways, but one of the most lasting challenges is that it left so many of us scared. In 2018, we elected the most diverse Congress in our country’s history, made up of members who’ve sponsored bills like the Green New Deal and the sweeping democracy reforms in HR 1. But, as we look ahead to 2020, so many of us are still hung up on “electability.” Too often, we’re being guided by our fears, not our hopes, about the future of our country. As we head into 2020, we have a historically strong and diverse Democratic field. We have candidates who are unafraid to take bold positions on unrigging our democracy, creating a people-first immigration policy, and leaning into ambitious plans to address climate change. And we have candidates from a wide range of backgrounds: current US Senators, mayors of large and small cities, and two former members of the Obama administration. For the first time in our country’s history, we have a field that includes Latino, Black, white and AAPI candidates; gay and straight candidates; and working class candidates who are rejecting corporate PAC money. We know the stakes are high. But we think concerns about “electability” are a self-fulfilling prophecy.
    [Show full text]
  • Saint Anselm College Survey Center April 2019 Poll Announced/Potential Democratic Presidential Candidate Name Recognition and Ballot Test Results
    SAINT ANSELM COLLEGE SURVEY CENTER APRIL 2019 POLL ANNOUNCED/POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE NAME RECOGNITION AND BALLOT TEST RESULTS These results are from the Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll based on interviews with 698 randomly- selected registered voters in the state of New Hampshire. Interviews were conducted by landline and cellular phone between April 3 rd and April 8 th , 2019. The overall survey has a margin of sampling error of 3.7% with a confidence interval of 95%; the margin of sampling error for questions specific to the 1 st and 2 nd Congressional Districts is 5.3% and 5.1% respectively; the margin of sampling error for questions specific to the Democratic and Republican Presidential Primaries are 5.4% and 6.0% respectively. Data are weighted based on a voter demographic model derived from historical voting patterns, but are not weighted by party registration or party identification. 326 respondents that indicated their intention to vote in the Democratic Presidential Primary were asked for their impression of 14 announced and potential candidates for the Democratic nomination for President. The names were presented in random order. Respondents were then asked to select a candidate for whom they would vote. “Now I’m now going to read a list of people that have announced that they are running for the Democratic Presidential nomination, or have indicated that they are strongly considering it. After each name, I would like you to tell me if you have a favorable impression, unfavorable impression, or no opinion of that person. If you have never heard of them, please let me know.” “If the presidential primary election were held today, which candidate would you vote for?” New Hampshire Institute of Politics Executive Director Neil Levesque summarized the results, saying, “Joe Biden continues to show strength in New Hampshire, as 23% of Democratic Primary voters surveyed indicated that if the NH Primary were held today, they would vote for Biden, followed by 16% for Bernie Sanders, 11% for Pete Buttigieg and 9% for Elizabeth Warren.
    [Show full text]
  • University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll – Topline Results Nov
    University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll – Topline Results Nov. 12, 2019 October/November 2019 poll of Iowa respondents Sample: 1288 registered voters in Iowa, margin of error +/-2.8%. 538 possible Democratic caucus goers, margin of error 4.3%; 465 likely Democratic caucus goers, margin of error 4.6%. About: The Hawkeye Poll was fielded October 28 to November 10, 2019. The poll was conducted by the Hawkeye Poll Cooperative, comprised of University of Iowa faculty, graduate students, and undergraduate students in the political science and sociology departments. The poll is a teaching, research, and service project, which uses the facilities of the Iowa Social Science Research Center directed by Frederick J. Boehmke, professor of political science and faculty advisor for the poll. The Department of Political Science, the College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, and the University of Iowa Public Policy Center fund the poll. Media Contacts: Frederick Boehmke, Hawkeye Poll, 319-335-2342 (office), 716-866-9277 (cell), frederick- [email protected] Jielu Yao, Hawkeye Poll, 319-335-3381 (office), [email protected]. Respondent Identification: A random sample of registered voters was acquired with 40% household landline numbers and 60% mobile phone numbers. Sample included 50% registered Democrats, 25% registered Republicans, and 25% registered with No Party, drawn equally from each of Iowa’s four Congressional districts. All respondents who stated they were over age 18 and willing to participate in the survey were included. Weighting: Reported results are weighted by age, sex, education, party registration, and congressional district. Likely caucus attendees: Caucus-goers are self-identified. Participants were asked how likely they were to caucus, and for which party.
    [Show full text]
  • Notice to Candidates * Incumbent March 3, 2020, Presidential Primary Election Page 1 President Don Blankenship American Independent
    TO ALL CANDIDATES FOR THE OFFICE HEREINAFTER INDICATED Below is the name, contact information, and political party of each person who will appear on the March 3, 2020, Presidential Primary Election ballot. A Certified List of Candidates will be available on December 26, 2019. ALEX PADILLA December 20, 2019 SECRETARY OF STATE CANDIDATES FOR MARCH 3, 2020, PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY ELECTION President Max Abramson Libertarian 14 Charles Henry Way Seabrook, NH 03874 Robert Ardini Republican 150 50th Ave Apt 520 Long Island City, NY 11101 Ken Armstrong Libertarian 3972 Edgewater Vermilion, OH 44089 Dan Behrman Libertarian 1930 Village Center Cir #3-4636 Las Vegas, NV 89134 Michael Bennet Democratic 2830 E 7th Ave Pkwy Denver, CO 80206 Joseph R. Biden Democratic 1209 Barley Mill Rd Wilmington, DE 19807 Notice to Candidates * Incumbent March 3, 2020, Presidential Primary Election Page 1 President Don Blankenship American Independent 18 Crystal Acres Matewan, WV 25678 Michael R. Bloomberg Democratic 17 E 79th St New York, NY 10021 Cory Booker Democratic 19 Longworth St Newark, NJ 07102 Mosie Boyd Democratic 2008 S T St Fort Smith, AR 72901 Pete Buttigieg Democratic PO Box 1226 South Bend, IN 46624 Julián Castro Democratic PO Box 501 San Antonio, TX 78292 Phil Collins American Independent 1500 S Ardmore #507 Villa Park, IL 60181 Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente American Independent 5440 Morehouse Dr Ste 4000 San Diego, CA 92121 5440 Morehouse Dr Ste 4000 Republican San Diego, CA 92121 Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente III Democratic 17292 Camino de Montecillo Rancho Santa Fe, CA 92067 John K. Delaney Democratic 8921 Durham Dr Potomac, MD 20854 Keenan Wallace Dunham Libertarian 142 Westhaven Dr #9D Myrtle Beach, SC 29579 Notice to Candidates * Incumbent March 3, 2020, Presidential Primary Election Page 2 President Michael A.
    [Show full text]
  • CNN/SSRS Poll -- December 04, 2019 to December 08, 2019 - Texas TABLE 007 Question P9 P9
    1 Braxton Way Suite 125 Glen Mills, PA 19342 484-840-4300 www.ssrs.com OVERVIEW The study was conducted for CNN via telephone by SSRS, an independent research company. Interviews were conducted from December 4, 2019 to December 8, 2019 among a sample of 1,205 respondents who live in Texas. The landline total respondents were 421 and there were 784 cell phone respondents. The margin of sampling error for total respondents is +/-3.4 at the 95% confidence level. The design effect is 1.46. For results among the 327 respondents who are likely to vote in the Democratic primary the margin of sampling error is +/-6.6 and for results among the 537 respondents who are likely to vote in the Republican primary it is +/-5.0. More information about SSRS can be obtained by visiting www.ssrs.com. Question text noted in parentheses was rotated or randomized. Values less than 0.5 percent are indicated by an asterisk (*). NOTE ABOUT CROSSTABS Interviews were conducted among a representative sample of the adult population, age 18 or older, of Texas. Members of demographic groups not shown in the published crosstabs are represented in the results for each question in the poll. Crosstabs on the pages that follow only include results for subgroups with a minimum n=125 unweighted cases. Results for subgroups with fewer than n=125 unweighted cases are not displayed and instead are denoted with "SN" because samples of that size carry larger margins of sampling error and can be too small to be projectable with confidence to their true values in the population.
    [Show full text]
  • Cardinals Win Game
    In-depth football coverage, pages 12-13 VOL. 110, NO. 2 August 2009 L GOS www.uiw.edu/logos Cardinals win game By Annette Marroquin LOGOS STAFF WRITER More than 6,000 people in and outside Benson Stadium watched the University of the Incarnate Word win its first-ever football game Saturday, Aug. 29, beating Monterrey Tech 42-39. While the Cardinals battled on the field, the cheerleaders, dance team and UIW’s new band did their best to keep the fans pumped up. The overflow of people was astonishing and unexpected. The stands were crowded with people and more stood along the outside fence looking in. The announcer had to ask people to move out of the aisles because of safety regulations. “Who knew there was going to be this much people here,” senior Raul Benavides said. KYLE COPLEY/LOGOS STAFF BURGUNDI BERNAL/LOGOS STAFF A swarm of defenders from the home team stop a Monterrey Tech University runner in his tracks at Benson Stadium. Health Services plans flu shots, expands clinic operating hours Health Services will of- Marveen Mahon, whose ticing safe habits related fer the “seasonal influenza office is on the ground to hygiene and exposure,” vaccine” later this month floor of the Agnese-Sosa according to a news re- and is on the list to get vac- Garage behind the Nurs- lease. cine for Novel H1N1 Flu – ing Building. “The most important formerly called “swine flu” Anticipating the pos- things you can do to pre- – when it becomes avail- sibility of an outbreak of vent the spread of infec- able, the director said.
    [Show full text]
  • Monmouth University Poll IOWA: HEALTH CARE, ENVIRONMENT TOP DEM ISSUES
    Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Released: Contact: Thursday, April 11, 2019 PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769 (cell); 732-263-5858 (office) [email protected] Follow on Twitter: @PollsterPatrick IOWA: HEALTH CARE, ENVIRONMENT TOP DEM ISSUES Biden leads pack; beating Trump a priority for caucusgoers West Long Branch, NJ – Democratic voters in the Hawkeye State like Joe Biden – a lot. The former vice president leads the pack and holds the best favorability rating in a field of two dozen presidential contenders, according to the first Monmouth University Poll of Iowa Democratic voters in the 2020 cycle. Other candidates also have strong favorability ratios that could help them crack the top tier once they become better known to caucusgoers. Health care and environmental concerns are the top issues for Iowa Democrats in deciding who to support for their party’s presidential nomination, but beating President Donald Trump is also a very important consideration. In a field of 24 announced and potential candidates, Biden holds the lead with 27% support among Democratic voters who are likely to attend the Iowa caucuses in February. He is followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (16%), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (9%), Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (7%), California Sen. Kamala Harris (7%), former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (6%), Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (4%), New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker (3%), and former cabinet secretary Julián Castro (2%). Former Maryland Rep. John Delaney, New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan, California Rep.
    [Show full text]
  • Suffolk University
    SUPRC Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus-Goers IOWA OCTOBER Region: (N=500) n % Central/Polk ------------------------------------------------------ 121 24.20 Northeast --------------------------------------------------------- 144 28.80 Southeast --------------------------------------------------------- 134 26.80 Southwest ---------------------------------------------------------- 42 8.40 Northwest ----------------------------------------------------------- 59 11.80 *********************************************************************************************************************************** INTRO SECTION> Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk (SUFF-ick) University and I would like to get your opinions on some questions about the upcoming Democratic caucuses in Iowa. Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some brief questions? (quota) A. Are you a resident of Iowa? {IF YES, PROCEED. IF NO/ UNDECIDED, TERMINATE} (N=500) n % Yes ----------------------------------------------------------------- 500 100.00 1. Gender (N=500) n % Male ---------------------------------------------------------------- 215 43.00 Female ------------------------------------------------------------ 285 57.00 2. Thinking about the Democratic Caucus for President coming up in less than four months, how likely are you to attend the Democratic caucus in your area – are you very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely to attend the 2020 Democratic Caucus for President? (N=500) n % Very likely---------------------------------------------------------
    [Show full text]