By Sam Pilling

16 July 2021 Cymru/Welsh elections 2021

Summary 1 Introduction 2 Parties 3 Candidates 4 Results 5 Turnout 6 Appendix

commonslibrary.parliament.uk Number CBP 9282 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Contributing Authors Roderick McInnes; Carl Baker

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2 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Contents

1 Introduction 7

The 7 The political context 7 2021 election results 7 Composition of the Senedd 9

2 Parties 11

2.2 Conservative 14 2.3 16 2.4 Liberal Democrats 18 2.5 UK Independence Party 20 2.6 Other parties 21

3 Candidates 22

4 Results 23

4.1 Welsh Parliament elections summary, 2021 23 4.2 Welsh Parliament elections summary, 2016 24 4.3 Percentage share of the vote, by party, 2016 and 2021 25

5 Turnout 26

6 Appendix 28

6.1 Constituency results 29 6.2 Regional results 38 6.3 Members of the Senedd 45

3 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Summary

In the elections to Senedd Cymru / the Welsh Parliament in May 2021 the Labour Party won half the seats (30 out of 60) with 38.0% of the vote (up from 33.1% in 2016). 1 Labour gained one more (MS) than in 2016.

The Conservatives gained the second largest share of the vote (25.6%) winning 16 seats, five more than in 2016. They took second place in terms of vote share and seats from Plaid Cymru, whose vote share fell slightly to 20.5% (from 20.7% in 2016) but who still gained one seat compared with 2016 (up from 12 to 13). The Liberal Democrats’ vote share fell to 4.6% from 7.1% in 2016. They won one seat – the same as in 2016. The seat gains for Labour, the Conservatives and Plaid Cymru were all at the expense of UKIP, who won seven seats in the 2016 election but none in 2021.

The turnout was 46.5% in both the constituency and regional list ballots, slightly higher than in 2016 (when the average turnout was 45.4%). The highest constituency turnout was in Cardiff North, where 58.1% of the electorate cast valid ballots. The lowest was in and Rhymney (34.8%).

Following the election, the composition of the Senedd was 35 men and 25 women, the same as in 2016.

There are currently three known minority ethnic Assembly members.

1 In this briefing, , the , and the are referred to as Labour, Conservatives and Liberal Democrats respectively.

4 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Senedd Cymru / Welsh Parliament Election 2021: Results in brief

combined constituency and regional results

Votes 2016 2021

Labour 673,061 33.1% 844,817 38.0% Conservative 406,443 20.0% 568,362 25.6% Plaid Cymru 420,922 20.7% 455,537 20.5% Liberal Democrat 143,669 7.1% 102,419 4.6% Green 55,413 2.7% 66,531 3.0% Abolish the Welsh Assembly 44,286 2.2% 59,548 2.7% UKIP 259,176 12.7% 25,927 1.2% Others 31,153 1.5% 99,484 4.5%

Total 2,034,123 100% 2,222,625 100%

Seats 2011 2016 2021 Change

Labour 30 29 30 +1 Conservative 14 11 16 +5 Plaid Cymru 11 12 13 +1 Liberal Democrat 5 1 1 0 UKIP 0 7 0 -7

Turnout 41.4% 45.4% 46.5% +1.1%

Members of the Senedd Women 24 25 25 0 Men 36 35 35 0

5 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Senedd seats and votes by party, 1999 to 2021

1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021

Labour 50% Labour Seats 28 30 26 30 29 30 40% Constituency 27 30 24 28 27 27 30% Regional 1 0 2 2 2 3 20%

Share 36.5% 38.3% 30.9% 39.6% 33.1% 38.0% 10% Constituency 37.6% 40.0% 32.2% 42.3% 34.7% 39.9% 0% Regional 35.4% 36.6% 29.6% 36.9% 31.5% 36.2% 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021

Conservative 50% Conservative Seats 9 11 12 14 11 16 40% Constituency 1 1 5 6 6 8 30% Regional 8 10 7 8 5 8 20% Share 16.2% 19.6% 21.9% 23.8% 20.0% 25.6% 10% Constituency 15.8% 19.9% 22.4% 25.0% 21.1% 26.1% 0% Regional 16.5% 19.2% 21.5% 22.5% 18.8% 25.1% 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021

Plaid Cymru 50% Plaid Cymru Seats 17 12 15 11 12 13 40% Constituency 9 5 7 5 6 5 30% Regional 8 7 8 6 6 8 20% 10% Share 29.5% 20.5% 21.7% 18.6% 20.7% 20.5% 0% Constituency 28.4% 21.2% 22.4% 19.3% 20.5% 20.3%

Regional 30.5% 19.7% 21.0% 17.9% 20.8% 20.7% 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021

Liberal Democrat 50% Lib Dem Seats 6 6 6 5 1 1 40% Constituency 3 3 3 1 1 0 30% Regional 3 3 3 4 0 1 20% 10% Share 13.0% 13.4% 13.3% 9.3% 7.1% 4.6% 0% Constituency 13.5% 14.1% 14.8% 10.6% 7.7% 4.9% Regional 12.5% 12.7% 11.7% 8.0% 6.5% 4.3% 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021

Green 30% Green Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 20% 10% Share 0.1% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.0% 0% Constituency 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 2.5% 1.6%

Regional 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.0% 4.4% 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021

Abolish the Welsh Assembly 30% Abolish Seats - - - - 0 0 20% 10% Share - - - - 2.2% 2.7% 0% Constituency - - - - 0.0% 1.6%

Regional - - - - 4.4% 3.7% 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021

UK Independence Party 30% UKIP Seats - 0 0 0 7 0 20% Regional - 0 0 0 7 0 10% 0% Share - 2.9% 2.9% 2.3% 12.7% 1.2%

Constituency - 2.3% 1.8% 0.0% 12.5% 0.8% 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 Regional - 3.5% 3.9% 4.6% 13.0% 1.6%

6 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

1 Introduction

The sixth set of elections to the Senedd Cymru / Welsh Parliament (the Senedd) took place on Thursday, 6 May 2021, on the same day as elections to the , elections for many English local authorities-metro mayors and the Greater Authority and Mayor, and Police and Crime Commissioner elections in and .

The electoral system Regional seats are assigned as follows: The system for electing members to the Senedd is known as the . Voters are The votes for each party given two ballots. The first is used to elect each of 40 are summed and then constituency Members of the Senedd (MSs) under the divided by the number of traditional first-past-the-post system. seats the party has already gained in the The second ballot paper is used to elect four MSs from constituencies plus one. each of five electoral regions. These 20 additional The first seat is then members are elected so that the total representation awarded to the party with from each geographical area, including those the most votes. The members elected under first-past-the-post, process is repeated, corresponds more closely to the share of the votes taking the newly assigned cast for each political party in the region. seat into account until all regional seats are filled. The political context The sixth Senedd elections were the first to take place since the UK left the . The previous election was in May 2016, just before the June 2016 referendum on EU membership. Consequently, the UK left the EU between the two elections with Wales overall having voted to leave.

The 2021 elections were held against a backdrop of ongoing efforts to deal with the COVID-19 pandemic. The devolved governments in Wales, , and Northern each implemented their own set of nation-specific policy responses to the crisis in line with their devolved responsibilities for health, public services and other matters.

2021 election results Labour gained the highest share of the vote with 38.0% of the total vote: 39.9% of the constituency vote and 36.2% of the regional vote. Labour also won the highest number of seats (30), one more than in 2016. This is exactly half of the 60 Senedd seats.

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Labour’s share of the vote increased by 5.2 percentage points in the constituency ballot and similarly by 4.7 percentage points in the regional ballot.

The difference between Labour’s share of the vote in the constituency and regional ballots in the 2021 Welsh Parliament election increased to 3.7 percentage points, higher than any since 1999, except 5.4 percentage points in 2011.

Labour’s three regional seats was its highest ever, while the number of constituency seats remained the same as in 2016 (27).

Labour’s highest share of the total vote in any region was in West, where they took 42.9% of votes cast. Labour’s highest share of the vote in the constituency vote was in South Wales Central and South Wales West where they won 47.8% of the constituency ballot in both regions.

The Conservatives won 16 seats, which was five more than in 2016 (11). Their share of the overall vote increased by 5.6 percentage points, which was due to both an increase in their share of the regional and the constituency ballot.

The Conservatives are now the second largest party, replacing Plaid Cymru who held the position following the 2016 election.

The Conservatives’ highest share of the total vote was in , where they won 24.1% of the vote. Three formerly UKIP Regional Assembly seats (North Wales, South Wales East, and South Wales West) were won by the Conservatives, joining the two seats in South Wales Central and the one seat in North Wales held onto from 2016.

Plaid Cymru won 13 seats and 20.5% of the vote. This vote share was 0.2 percentage points lower than 2016 and 1.9 percentage points lower than 2011. However, the number of seats won in 2021 was overall one more than in 2016. Plaid Cymru gained two regional seats, each seat in South Wales Central and South Wales East, but lost a constituency seat in to Labour.

The Liberal Democrats won one seat, repeating their 2016 result. They lost a constituency seat ( and Radnorshire) and gained a regional seat in . The Liberal Democrats won 4.6% of the total vote, which was 2.5 percentage points less than in 2016.

Measured by number of seats gained, it was the most successful election for the Conservatives and the worst for UKIP which stood for a considerably reduced number of seats compared to the 2016 election. The Conservatives increased their seats by 5, whilst UKIP lost the 7 first won in 2016.

8 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Composition of the Senedd

Gender Assembly members by gender, 1999-2021 Following the election, measured by seats, the Women Men Assembly comprises 35 men 1999 and 25 women of a total of 2003 60. 45% of MSs are women. 2007 This remains the same ratio 2011 as in 2016 which, compared 2016 to 2011, saw an increase in 2021 the number of women by one. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60

The proportion of women has been less than 50% except between 2003 when there was parity between men and women.

In 2021,16 women represent constituency seats and 9 women hold regional seats; men hold 24 constituency seats and 11 regional seats.

Ethnicity Following the May , there were three Members from an ethnic minority background:

Altaf Hussain was re-elected for the Conservative Party, taking the regional seat in South Wales West. Mr Hussain was also previously a Member of the for Wales between May 2015 and April 2016.

Natasha Asghar was elected for the Conservative Party, becoming the first minority ethnic woman to be elected to the Senedd. Ms Asghar takes the regional seat in South Wales East. Her late father previously held the position.

Vaughan Gething was re-elected for the Labour Party, taking the constituency seat of Cardiff South and . Mr Gething has held this position since the 2011 election.

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10 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

2 Parties

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2.1 Labour Labour

Votes and seats summary: 2021 and changes since 2016 Labour gained one seat overall, bringing their Seats won Share of the vote Change total to 30, just one Region Const. Reg. Total Const. Reg. Total pp +/- short of a majority. Labour gained a North Wales 4 1 5 35.0% 32.3% 33.7% +3.3 constituency seat in Mid and West Wales 1 2 3 24.8% 25.9% 25.4% +6.8 Rhondda and lost a South Wales West 7 0 7 47.8% 42.9% 45.3% +2.9 constituency seat in Vale South Wales Central 8 0 8 47.8% 40.1% 44.0% +6.7 of , keeping their South Wales East 7 0 7 45.5% 41.4% 43.4% +4.4 net result the same. Total 27 3 30 39.9% 36.2% 38.0% +4.9 Labour's share of the total vote increased by 4.9 percentage points. Labour election trends: 1999 to 2021

Change in share of the vote between 2016 and 2021 by region Seats won Share of vote Constituency ballot Regional ballot 40 50%

North Wales 30 40%

Mid and West Wales 30% 20 South Wales West 20% South Wales Central 10 10% South Wales East 0 0% All Wales 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Highest votes and biggest changes

Largest vote share in constituency seats Highest number of votes in regional vote 1 Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney 61.5% 1 Vale of 15,150 2 East 60.1% 2 Cardiff South and Penarth 15,036 3 55.7% 3 Cardiff North 14,875 4 Rhondda 54.7% 4 Cardiff West 13,421 5 Ogmore 52.5% 5 13,401

Biggest upward change in constituency seats (pp) Biggest upward change in regional vote (pp) 1 157.0 1 Montgomeryshire 107.0 2 Brecon & Radnorshire 84.2 2 67.6 3 Ceredigion 75.9 3 Preseli 59.2 4 Clwyd West 55.4 4 57.4 5 Cardiff West 55.2 5 Rhondda 56.7

Biggest downward change in constituency seats (pp) Smallest upward change in regional vote (pp) 1 Dwyfor Meirionnydd -45.6 1 Ogmore 0.0 2 Arfon -24.9 2 Newport West 4.1 3 Aberconwy -1.1 3 Aberavon 5.5 4 -0.9 4 Arfon 8.8 5 Aberavon -0.7 5 Islwyn 9.2

Note: Change is in the total share of the vote, compared to 2016. pp = percentage points.

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13 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

2.2 Conservative Conservative

Votes and seats summary: 2021 and changes since 2016 The Conservatives gained five seats overall, Seats won Share of the vote Change bringing their total to 16 Region Const. Reg. Total Const. Reg. Total pp +/- seats. The Conservatives gained two constituency North Wales 3 2 5 31.8% 29.9% 30.9% +9.0 seats in Vale of Clwyd Mid and West Wales 4 0 4 29.4% 26.8% 28.1% +4.0 and Brecon and South Wales West 0 2 2 21.0% 20.9% 21.0% +1.8 Radnorshire and gained South Wales Central 0 2 2 21.8% 22.1% 22.0% +4.1 3 regional seats. The South Wales East 1 2 3 25.7% 25.2% 25.5% +9.6 Conservatives share of Total 8 8 16 25.9% 25.0% 25.6% +5.6 the total vote increased by 5.6 percentage points. Conversative election trends: 1999 to 2021

Change in share of the vote between 2016 and 2021 by Share of vote 50% Constituency ballot Regional ballot 40 35 North Wales 40% 30 Mid and West Wales 25 30%

South Wales West 20 20% 15 South Wales Central 10 10% South Wales East 5 0 0% All Wales 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 1999 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Highest votes and biggest changes

Largest vote share in constituency seats Highest number of votes in regional vote 1 Montgomeryshire 48.1% 1 15,232 2 42.7% 2 Monmouth 13,643 3 Aberconwy 41.7% 3 Cardiff North 11,774 4 Clwyd West 41.7% 4 Brecon and Radnorshire 11,572 5 Vale of Clwyd 41.4% 5 10,631

Biggest upward change in constituency seats (pp) Biggest upward change in regional vote (pp) 1 Montgomeryshire 16.1 1 Rhondda 254 2 Brecon & Radnorshire 14.3 2 Cynon Valley 162 3 Newport East 12.6 3 Islwyn 161 4 Rhondda 12.2 4 Blaenau 151 5 Vale of Clwyd 12.2 5 Aberavon 142

Smallest upward change in constituency seats (pp) Smallest upward change in regional vote (pp) 1 Swansea East 4.6 1 Cardiff North 7.4 2 Swansea West 3.4 2 Gower 14.1 3 Dwyfor Meirionnydd 1.9 3 Monmouth 17.6 4 Arfon 1.4 4 Clwyd West 22.0 5 Cardiff South & Pernarth 1.4 5 Vale of Glamorgan 23.5

Note: Change is in the total share of the vote, compared to 2016. pp = percentage points.

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15 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

2.3 Plaid Cymru Plaid Cymru

Votes and seats summary: 2021 and changes since 2016 Plaid Cymru gained one seat overall, bringing Seats won Share of the vote Change their total to 13. Plaid Region Const. Reg. Total Const. Reg. Total pp +/- Cymru lost a constituency seat in North Wales 2 1 3 25.3% 23.9% 24.6% +0.7 Rhondda reducing their Mid and West Wales 3 1 4 29.9% 27.5% 28.7% +2.1 constituency total to 5. South Wales West 0 2 2 16.5% 18.5% 17.5% +1.3 Plaid Cymru gained 2 South Wales Central 0 2 2 15.1% 18.2% 16.7% -3.0 regional seats, taking South Wales East 0 2 2 13.5% 14.7% 14.1% -1.7 their regional total to 8. Total 5 8 13 20.3% 20.7% 20.5% -0.2 Overall Plaid Cymru saw a 0.2 percentage point drop in overall vote Plaid Cymru election trends: 1999 to 2021 share.

Change in share of the vote Share of vote between 2016 and 2021 by region 40 50% Constituency ballot Regional ballot 35

North Wales 30 40% 25 Mid and West Wales 30% 20 South Wales West 15 20% South Wales Central 10 10% South Wales East 5 0 0% All Wales 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Highest votes and biggest changes

Largest vote share in constituency seats Highest number of votes in regional vote 1 Arfon 63.3% 1 Brecon and Radnorshire 6,723 2 Ynys Mon 55.9% 2 Cardiff Central 4,522 3 Ceredigion 55.1% 3 Montgomeryshire 3,398 4 Dwyfor Meirionnydd 48.2% 4 Ceredigion 2,650 5 East & Dinefwr 45.9% 5 Cardiff North 2,070

Biggest upward change in constituency seats (pp) Biggest upward change in regional vote (pp) 1 Ceredigion 17.9 1 79.8 2 Arfon 12.9 2 Cardiff Central 63.7 3 Ynys Mon 12.0 3 Newport West 61.7 4 Wrexham 8.2 4 Montgomeryshire 44.0 5 Montgomershire 5.8 5 Cardiff South & Penarth 32.8

Biggest downward change in constituency seats (pp) Biggest downward change in regional vote (pp) 1 Cynon Valley -4.6 1 -5.8 2 Vale of Glamorgan -4.7 2 Cynon Valley -14.5 3 -14.3 3 Cardiff West -19.3 4 Cardiff West -14.5 4 Blaenau Gwent -42.7 5 Rhondda -16.8 5 Rhondda -42.8

Note: Change is in the total share of the vote, compared to 2016. pp = percentage points.

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17 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

2.4 Liberal Democrats Liberal Democrats

Votes and seats summary: 2021 and changes since 2016 The Liberal Democrats kept their total of 1 seat Seats won Share of the vote Change from 2016. The Liberal Region Const. Reg. Total Const. Reg. Total pp +/- Democrats lost their sole constituency seat in North Wales 0 0 0 8.8% 6.7% 7.8% -6.0 Brecon and Radnorshire Mid and West Wales 0 1 1 3.5% 3.2% 3.4% -1.2 and gained a regional South Wales West 0 0 0 4.5% 4.6% 4.6% -2.3 seat in Mid and West South Wales Central 0 0 0 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 0.0 Wales. Liberal South Wales East 0 0 0 3.4% 3.3% 3.4% -2.3 Democrats saw a 2.5 Total 0 1 1 4.9% 4.3% 4.6% -2.5 percentage point drop in overall vote share, with the largest drop occuring Liberal Democrat election trends: 1999 to 2021 in NW.

Change in share of the vote Share of vote between 2016 and 2021 by region 40 50% Constituency ballot Regional ballot 35 North Wales 30 40% 25 Mid and West Wales 30% 20 South Wales West 15 20% South Wales Central 10 10% South Wales East 5 0 0% All Wales 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1

Highest votes and biggest changes

Largest vote share in constituency seats Highest number of votes in regional vote 1 Brecon & Radnorshire 27.8% 1 Brecon and Radnorshire 6,723 2 Cardiff Central 19.1% 2 Cardiff Central 4,522 3 Montgomeryshire 16.8% 3 Montgomeryshire 3,398 4 Ceredigion 10.5% 4 Ceredigion 2,650 5 Newport East 6.8% 5 Cardiff North 2,070

Biggest upward change in constituency seats (pp) Biggest upward change in regional vote (pp) 1 Alyn and Deeside 2.8 1 Llanelli 110.0 2 2.1 2 Alyn and Deeside 82.1 Carmarthen West and South 3 1.0 3 Blaenau Gwent 27.7 Pembrookshire 4 Llanelli 1.0 4 22.4 5 Newport East 0.9 5 Torfaen 16.6

Biggest downward change in constituency seats (pp) Biggest downward change in regional vote (pp) 1 Ceredigion -9.9 1 Clwyd South -0.64 2 Cardiff Central -9.1 2 Swansea East -0.61 3 Swansea East -6.0 3 Wrexham -0.55 4 Clwyd South -5.9 4 Ceredigion -0.55 5 Wrexham -5.2 5 -0.49

Note: Change is in the total share of the vote, compared to 2016. pp = percentage points.

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19 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

2.5 UK Independence Party

UK Independence Party

Votes and seats summary: 2021 and changes since 2016 UKIP lost all 7 of the seats they had first won Seats won Share of the vote Change in 2016. UKIP achieved a Region Const. Reg. Total Const. Reg. Total pp +/- 1.2% share of the total vote, 11.5 percentage North Wales 2 0 -2 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% -10.1 points less than their Mid and West Wales 1 0 -1 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% -10.2 previous highest record South Wales West 1 0 -1 0.2% 1.2% 0.7% -9.4 in 2016. UKIP's highest South Wales Central 1 0 -1 1.0% 1.9% 1.5% -7.5 vote share was at the South Wales East 2 0 -2 0.5% 1.5% 1.0% -12.8 regional level, primarily Total 7 0 -7 0.8% 1.6% 1.2% -11.5 South Wales Central.

UKIP election trends: 1999 to 2021

Change in share of the vote Seats won between 2016 and 2021 by region 14.0% Constituency ballot Regional ballot 12.0% 30% North Wales 10.0%

Mid and West Wales 8.0% 20% South Wales West 6.0%

4.0% South Wales Central 10% 2.0% South Wales East 0% 0.0% All Wales 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 1999 2003 2007 2011 2016 2021 -20 -15 -10 -5 0

Highest votes and biggest changes

Largest vote share in constituency seats Highest number of votes in regional vote 1 Tofaen 3.7% 1 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokes 678 2 Alyn & Deeside 3.5% 2 Torfaen 645 3 Delyn 3.3% 3 Islwyn 621 Carmarthen West & 4 3.1% 4 Alyn and Deeside 615 Pembrokeshire South 5 Swansea East 2.6% 5 Vale of Glamorgan 562

Biggest downward change in constituency seats (pp) Biggest downward change in regional vote (pp) 1 Caerphilly -20.5 1 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney -7.3 2 Islwyn -18.9 2 Caerphilly -7.2 3 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney -18.6 3 Islwyn -6.1 4 Newport East -18.1 4 Ynys Môn -5.5 5 Torfaen -17.3 5 Newport East -5.4

Note: Change is in the total share of the vote, compared to 2016. pp = percentage points.

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2.6 Other parties

Total share of the vote Others (including UKIP, Green, Abolish the Welsh Assembly)

Constituency Regional Total Change from 2016 Mid and West Wales 7.0% 13.0% 10.0% -9.2% North Wales 4.4% 10.8% 7.6% -9.4% South Wales Central 10.8% 15.0% 12.9% -3.9% South Wales East 11.7% 15.4% 13.5% -1.2%

South Wales West 11.3% 14.4% 12.9% -6.8%

Total 11.3% -7.8%

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3 Candidates

There were 308 constituency candidates and 326 regional list candidates at the 2021 Senedd elections. 159 people stood as both constituency and regional candidates, meaning that of a total of 475 unique candidates, 33.5% stood in both lists.

The gender of nominated candidates is not officially recorded, but some data was gathered by Democracy Club. The table below shows a breakdown of constituency and regional candidates by party and region, along with an estimate of the percentage that were women. Data was not available on the gender all candidates so in some cases gender has been inferred from a candidate’s first name.

Of the 475 unique candidates 155 (33%) were women and 320 (67%) were men.

Constituency and regional candidates by party and region

Constituency ballot Regional ballot Number of Number of candidates % women candidates % women

Parties Labour 40 48% 20 55% Conversative 40 25% 39 41% Plaid Cymru 40 35% 46 35% Liberal Democrat 40 30% 24 33% Green 13 46% 20 45% Abolish the Welsh Assembly 23 13% 30 13% UKIP 14 21% 21 19% Others 98 25% 126 33% Total 308 30% 326 33%

Regions Mid and West Wales 55 29% 66 39% North Wales 60 33% 66 32% South Wales Central 76 24% 71 31% South Wales East 61 26% 60 27% South Wales West 56 38% 63 38%

Total 308 30% 326 33%

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4 Results

4.1 Welsh Parliament elections summary, 2021 The table below summarises the 2021 regional and constituency results.

Welsh Parliament elections, 6 May 2021

Constituency ballot Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Change

Labour 40 443,047 39.9% 27 - Conservative 40 289,802 26.1% 8 +2 Plaid Cymru 40 225,376 20.3% 5 -1 Liberal Democrat 40 54,202 4.9% 0 -1 Green 13 17,817 1.6% 0 - Abolish the Welsh Assembly 23 18,149 1.6% 0 - UKIP 14 8,586 0.8% 0 - Others 98 54,751 4.9% 0 - Total 308 1,111,730 40

Regional ballot Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Change

Labour 20 401,770 36.2% 3 +1 Conservative 39 278,560 25.1% 8 +3 Plaid Cymru 46 230,161 20.7% 8 +2 Liberal Democrat 24 48,217 4.3% 1 +1 Green 20 48,714 4.4% 0 - Abolish the Welsh Assembly 30 41,399 3.7% 0 - UKIP 21 17,341 1.6% 0 -7 Others 126 44,635 4.0% 0 - Total 326 1,110,797 20

Total Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Change

Labour 60 844,817 38.0% 30 +1 Conservative 79 568,362 25.6% 16 +5 Plaid Cymru 86 455,537 20.5% 13 +1 Liberal Democrat 64 102,419 4.6% 1 - Green 33 66,531 3.0% - - Abolish the Welsh Assembly 53 59,548 2.7% - 0 UKIP 35 25,927 1.2% - -7 Others 224 99,386 4.5% - - Total 634 2,222,527 60

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4.2 Welsh Parliament elections summary, 2016

The table below summarises the 5 May 2016 regional and constituency results. It shows the number of candidates by party and the seat distribution.

Welsh Parliament elections, 6 May 2016

Constituency ballot Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Change

Labour 40 353,865 34.7% 27 -1 Conservative 40 215,597 21.1% 6 0 Plaid Cymru 40 209,374 20.5% 6 +1 Liberal Democrat 40 78,165 7.7% 1 0 Green 36 25,202 2.5% 0 0 Abolish the Welsh Assembly 0 0 0.0% 0 0 UKIP 38 127,038 12.5% 0 0 Others 14 10,139 1.0% 0 0 Total 248 1,019,380 100.0% 40

Regional ballot Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Change

Labour 20 319,196 31.5% 2 0 Conservative 35 190,846 18.8% 5 -3 Plaid Cymru 59 211,548 20.8% 6 0 Liberal Democrat 33 65,504 6.5% 1 -4 Green 24 30,211 3.0% 0 0 Abolish the Welsh Assembly 20 44,286 4.4% 0 0 UKIP 20 132,138 13.0% 7 7 Others 94 65,300 2.0% 0 0 Total 305 1,014,743 100.0% 20

Total Candidates Votes % of total Seats won Change

Labour 60 673,061 33.2% 29 -1 Conservative 75 406,443 20.0% 11 -3 Plaid Cymru 99 420,922 20.7% 12 +1 Liberal Democrat 73 143,669 7.1% 1 - 4 Green 60 55,413 2.7% - - Abolish the Welsh Assembly 0 44,286 2.2% - 0 UKIP 58 259,176 12.8% 7 7 Others 108 75,439 1.7% - 0 Total 553 2,034,123 100% 60

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4.3 Percentage share of the vote, by party, 2016 and 2021 The table below compares the shares of the vote won by each party at the 2021 and 2016 Senedd elections. Percentage share of the vote, by party

2021 Senedd election Constituency Region All votes

Labour 39.9% 36.2% 38.0% Conservative 26.1% 25.1% 25.6% Plaid Cymru 20.3% 20.7% 20.5% Liberal Democrat 4.9% 4.3% 4.6% Green 1.6% 4.4% 3.0% Abolish the Welsh Assembly 1.6% 3.7% 2.7% UKIP 0.8% 1.6% 1.2% Others 4.9% 4.0% 4.5%

2016 Senedd election Constituency Region All votes

Labour 34.7% 31.5% 33.1% Conservative 21.1% 18.8% 20.0% Plaid Cymru 20.5% 20.8% 20.7% Liberal Democrat 7.7% 6.5% 7.1% Green 2.5% 3.0% 2.7% Abolish the Welsh Assembly 0.0% 4.4% 2.2% UKIP 12.5% 13.0% 12.7% Others 1.0% 2.0% 1.5%

Change 2021-2016 (%pt) Constituency Region All votes

Labour 5.1% 4.7% 4.9% Conservative 4.9% 6.3% 5.6% Plaid Cymru -0.3% -0.1% -0.2% Liberal Democrat -2.8% -2.1% -2.5% Green -0.9% 1.4% 0.3% Abolish the Welsh Assembly 1.6% -0.5% 0.5% UKIP -11.7% -11.5% -11.6% Others 3.9% 1.8% 3.0%

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5 Turnout

Average turnout across all constituencies and regions increased by 1 percentage point, from 45.5% in 2016 to 46.5% in 2021. The region with the largest increase in turnout was North Wales (2.9 percentage points), while the region with the smallest increase in turnout was South Wales East (-1.0 percentage points).

Change in constituency turnout by region (percentage points) 2016 to 2021 Welsh Parliament election

-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

Mid and West Wales North Wales South Wales Central South Wales East South Wales West All regions

The highest constituency turnout was Brecon & Radnorshire in the Mid and West Wales region, where 57.5% of the electorate case valid ballots. The lowest constituency turnout was Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney in the South Wales East region, where 34.8% of voters participated.

Constituencies with highest and lowest turnout in each region

Region Constituency Turnout

Highest turnout in region Mid and West Wales Brecon & Radnorshire 57.5% North Wales Aberconwy 51.8% South Wales Central Cardiff North 58.1% South Wales East Monmouth 52.6% South Wales West Gower 52.4%

Lowest Turnout in region Mid and West Wales Llanelli 47.7% North Wales Wrexham 42.5% South Wales Central Cynon Valley 39.1% South Wales East Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney 34.8% South Wales West Swansea East 35.4%

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27 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

6 Appendix

This appendix sets out the full results of the 2021 Senedd elections for both constituency and regional ballots. It also includes a complete list of MSs elected.

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6.1 Constituency results

Table 1: Constituency results - votes and turnout by constituency

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total Electorate Turnout Majority

Mid and West Wales

Brecon and Radnorshire 4,980 12,741 2,075 8,921 1,556 0 1,842 32,115 55,857 57.5% 3,820 Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr 8,448 7,751 15,261 975 0 0 818 33,253 59,248 56.1% 6,813 Carmarthen West and South 10,304 11,240 6,615 1,224 0 982 1,290 31,655 61,068 51.8% 936 Pembrokeshire Ceredigion 3,345 4,801 16,946 3,227 1,356 0 1,080 30,755 55,171 55.7% 12,145 Dwyfor Meirionnydd 3,702 4,394 11,490 916 0 0 3,312 23,814 45,447 52.4% 7,096 Llanelli 13,930 4,947 8,255 606 0 722 1,758 30,218 63,287 47.7% 5,675 Montgomeryshire 3,576 12,013 4,485 4,207 0 0 706 24,987 50,263 49.7% 7,528 Preseli Pembrokeshire 10,895 12,295 6,135 952 0 0 1,239 31,516 61,293 51.4% 1,400

North Wales Aberconwy 5,971 9,815 6,479 735 0 0 543 23,543 45,436 51.8% 3,336 Alyn and Deeside 12,622 8,244 1,886 1,584 0 898 609 25,843 65,884 39.2% 4,378 Arfon 5,108 1,806 13,760 642 0 0 432 21,748 42,710 50.9% 8,652 Clwyd South 10,448 7,535 4,094 730 0 522 876 24,205 55,216 43.8% 2,913 Clwyd West 8,154 11,839 5,609 1,158 0 520 1,083 28,363 58,671 48.3% 3,685 Delyn 12,846 9,135 2,097 1,094 0 862 409 26,443 56,489 46.8% 3,711 Vale of Clwyd 10,426 10,792 2,972 782 0 0 1,081 26,053 56,622 46.0% 366 Wrexham 8,452 7,102 4,832 755 0 378 1,087 22,606 53,172 42.5% 1,350 Ynys Mon 5,300 5,689 15,506 547 0 0 692 27,734 53,554 51.8% 9,817

South Wales Central Cardiff Central 13,100 3,788 3,470 5,460 1,552 0 1,162 28,532 64,122 44.5% 7,640 Cardiff North 19,348 12,755 3,278 1,641 1,957 0 1,676 40,655 69,993 58.1% 6,593 Cardiff South and Penarth 18,153 7,547 4,957 1,402 1,643 576 2,108 36,386 82,246 44.2% 10,606 Cardiff West 17,665 6,454 5,897 803 1,287 0 4,425 36,531 70,904 51.5% 11,211 Cynon Valley 11,427 2,795 3,959 335 0 0 1,995 20,511 52,521 39.1% 7,468 11,511 5,658 6,183 628 655 0 2,921 27,556 62,377 44.2% 5,328 Rhondda 12,832 1,490 7,335 200 0 0 1,601 23,458 51,423 45.6% 5,497 Vale of Glamorgan 18,667 15,397 3,699 994 1,262 0 2,873 42,892 79,629 53.9% 3,270

29 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total Electorate Turnout Majority

South Wales East Blaenau Gwent 10,226 2,611 3,588 333 0 0 4,059 20,817 51,640 40.3% 6,167 Caerphilly 13,289 5,013 8,211 787 0 0 1,614 28,914 65,958 43.8% 5,078 Islwyn 9,962 3,894 3,930 476 0 507 5,712 24,481 57,978 42.2% 4,250 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 13,009 2,665 3,698 420 0 382 980 21,154 60,787 34.8% 9,311 Monmouth 11,487 15,332 2,085 1,892 2,000 0 3,087 35,883 68,230 52.6% 3,845 Newport East 10,899 7,315 1,844 1,574 0 368 1,149 23,149 60,929 38.0% 3,584 Newport West 14,259 10,353 2,076 882 1,314 0 714 29,598 68,853 43.0% 3,906 Torfaen 11,572 6,251 2,564 1,180 0 895 1,491 23,953 64,270 37.3% 5,321

South Wales West Aberavon 10,505 2,947 4,760 953 0 407 2,597 22169 52428 42.3% 5,745 12,388 8,324 3,091 782 0 0 4,876 29,461 65,858 44.7% 4,064 Gower 15,631 10,836 3,946 869 1,088 0 794 33,164 63,297 52.4% 4,795 Neath 11,666 4,107 6,445 395 1,038 0 3,927 27,578 58,122 47.4% 5,221 Ogmore 12868 4579 4703 441 0 0 1903 24,494 58,858 41.6% 8,165 Swansea East 12950 2947 3250 1055 0 567 779 21,548 60,859 35.4% 9,700 Swansea West 11126 4605 3910 1645 1109 0 1600 23,995 58,587 41.0% 6,521

Total 443,047 289,802 225,376 54,202 17,817 8,586 72,900 1,111,730 2,389,257 46.5%

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Table 2: Constituency results - seats by majority (from highest to lowest percentage majority)

Majority 1st 2nd Votes Rank % Rank Elected MP

Ceredigion PC CON 12,145 1 39.5% 4 Cardiff West LAB CON 11,211 2 30.7% 9 Cardiff South and Penarth LAB CON 10,606 3 29.1% 12 Ynys Mon PC CON 9,817 4 35.4% 6 Swansea East LAB PC 9,700 5 45.0% 1 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney LAB PC 9,311 6 44.0% 2 Arfon Sian Gwenllian PC LAB 8,652 7 39.8% 3 Ogmore Huw Irranca-Davies LAB PC 8,165 8 33.3% 7 Cardiff Central LAB LD 7,640 9 26.8% 14 Montgomeryshire CON PC 7,528 10 30.1% 10 Cynon Valley LAB PC 7,468 11 36.4% 5 Dwyfor Meirionnydd PC CON 7,096 12 29.8% 11 Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr PC LAB 6,813 13 20.5% 19 Blaenau Gwent LAB PC 6,638 14 31.9% 8 Cardiff North LAB CON 6,593 15 16.2% 25 Swansea West LAB CON 6,521 16 27.2% 13 Islwyn LAB PC 6,032 17 24.6% 16 Aberavon LAB PC 5,745 18 25.9% 15 Llanelli LAB PC 5,675 19 18.8% 22 Rhondda Elizabeth Buffy Willi LAB PC 5,497 20 23.4% 17 Pontypridd LAB PC 5,328 21 19.3% 20 Torfaen LAB CON 5,321 22 22.2% 18 Neath LAB PC 5,221 23 18.9% 21 Caerphilly LAB PC 5,078 24 17.6% 23 Gower Rebecca Evans LAB CON 4,795 25 14.5% 27 Alyn and Deeside Jack Sargeant LAB CON 4,378 26 16.9% 24 Bridgend Sarah Murphy LAB CON 4,064 27 13.8% 30 Newport West LAB CON 3,906 28 13.2% 31 Monmouth Peter Fox CON LAB 3,845 29 10.7% 35 Brecon and Radnorshire James Evans CON LD 3,820 30 11.9% 34 Delyn LAB CON 3,711 31 14.0% 29 Clwyd West CON LAB 3,685 32 13.0% 32 Newport East John Griffiths LAB CON 3,584 33 15.5% 26 Aberconwy Janet Finch-Saunder CON PC 3,336 34 14.2% 28 Vale of Glamorgan LAB CON 3,270 35 7.6% 36 Clwyd South LAB CON 2,913 36 12.0% 33 Preseli Pembrokeshire Paul Windsor Davie CON LAB 1,400 37 4.4% 38 Wrexham LAB CON 1,350 38 6.0% 37

Carmarthen West and CON LAB 936 39 3.0% 39 Vale of Clwyd Gareth Davies CON LAB 366 40 1.4% 40

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Table 3: Constituency results - party share of vote by constituency, and majority

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total Majority

Mid and West Wales Brecon and Radnorshire 15.5% 39.7% 6.5% 27.8% 4.8% 0.0% 5.7% 100.0% 11.9% Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr 25.4% 23.3% 45.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 100.0% 20.5%

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire 32.6% 35.5% 3.9% 0.0% 3.1% 4.1% 100.0% 3.0% 20.9% Ceredigion 10.9% 15.6% 55.1% 10.5% 4.4% 0.0% 3.5% 100.0% 39.5% Dwyfor Meirionnydd 15.5% 18.5% 48.2% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 13.9% 100.0% 29.8% Llanelli 46.1% 16.4% 27.3% 2.0% 0.0% 2.4% 5.8% 100.0% 18.8% Montgomeryshire 14.3% 48.1% 17.9% 16.8% 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 100.0% 30.1% Preseli Pembrokeshire 34.6% 39.0% 19.5% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 100.0% 4.4%

North Wales Aberconwy 25.4% 41.7% 27.5% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 100.0% 14.2% Alyn and Deeside 48.8% 31.9% 7.3% 6.1% 0.0% 3.5% 2.4% 100.0% 16.9% Arfon 23.5% 8.3% 63.3% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 100.0% 39.8% Clwyd South 43.2% 31.1% 16.9% 3.0% 0.0% 2.2% 3.6% 100.0% 12.0% Clwyd West 28.7% 41.7% 19.8% 4.1% 0.0% 1.8% 3.8% 100.0% 13.0% Delyn 48.6% 34.5% 7.9% 4.1% 0.0% 3.3% 1.5% 100.0% 14.0% Vale of Clwyd 40.0% 41.4% 11.4% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 100.0% 1.4% Wrexham 37.4% 31.4% 21.4% 3.3% 0.0% 1.7% 4.8% 100.0% 6.0% Ynys Mon 19.1% 20.5% 55.9% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 100.0% 35.4%

South Wales Central Cardiff Central 45.9% 13.3% 12.2% 19.1% 5.4% 0.0% 4.1% 100.0% 26.8% Cardiff North 47.6% 31.4% 8.1% 4.0% 4.8% 0.0% 4.1% 100.0% 16.2% Cardiff South and Penarth 49.9% 20.7% 13.6% 3.9% 4.5% 1.6% 5.8% 100.0% 29.1% Cardiff West 48.4% 17.7% 16.1% 2.2% 3.5% 0.0% 12.1% 100.0% 30.7% Cynon Valley 55.7% 13.6% 19.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 100.0% 36.4% Pontypridd 41.8% 20.5% 22.4% 2.3% 2.4% 0.0% 10.6% 100.0% 19.3% Rhondda 54.7% 6.4% 31.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 100.0% 23.4% Vale of Glamorgan 43.5% 35.9% 8.6% 2.3% 2.9% 0.0% 6.7% 100.0% 7.6%

South Wales East Blaenau Gwent 49.1% 12.5% 17.2% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 19.5% 100.0% 29.6% Caerphilly 46.0% 17.3% 28.4% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 100.0% 17.6% Islwyn 40.7% 15.9% 16.1% 1.9% 0.0% 2.1% 23.3% 100.0% 17.4% Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 61.5% 12.6% 17.5% 2.0% 0.0% 1.8% 4.6% 100.0% 44.0% Monmouth 32.0% 42.7% 5.8% 5.3% 5.6% 0.0% 8.6% 100.0% 10.7% Newport East 47.1% 31.6% 8.0% 6.8% 0.0% 1.6% 5.0% 100.0% 15.5% Newport West 48.2% 35.0% 7.0% 3.0% 4.4% 0.0% 2.4% 100.0% 13.2% Torfaen 48.3% 26.1% 10.7% 4.9% 0.0% 3.7% 6.2% 100.0% 22.2%

South Wales West Aberavon 47.4% 13.3% 21.5% 4.3% 0.0% 1.8% 11.7% 100.0% 25.9% Bridgend 42.0% 28.3% 10.5% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.6% 100.0% 13.8% Gower 47.1% 32.7% 11.9% 2.6% 3.3% 0.0% 2.4% 100.0% 14.5% Neath 42.3% 14.9% 23.4% 1.4% 3.8% 0.0% 14.2% 100.0% 18.9% Ogmore 52.5% 18.7% 19.2% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 100.0% 33.3% Swansea East 60.1% 13.7% 15.1% 4.9% 0.0% 2.6% 3.6% 100.0% 45.0% Swansea West 46.4% 19.2% 16.3% 6.9% 4.6% 0.0% 6.7% 100.0% 27.2%

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Table 4: Constituency results - change in share of the vote and turnout by constituency

Turnout Change in share of vote 2016-2021 2021 2016 Change LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH

Mid and West Wales Brecon and Radnorshire 57.5% 56.5% 1.0 0.7 14.3 -0.8 -2.4 1.0 -8.8 -4.0 Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr 56.1% 53.7% 2.4 5.4 8.9 2.7 -0.2 -2.7 -11.4 -2.7 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire 51.8% 51.4% 0.4 8.4 7.0 -0.1 1.0 -3.0 -9.9 -3.5 Ceredigion 55.7% 56.1% -0.4 0.7 5.7 17.9 -9.9 -1.8 -10.3 -2.3 Dwyfor Meirionnydd 52.4% 46.8% 5.6 1.8 1.9 3.8 0.2 -3.8 -11.4 7.6 Llanelli 47.7% 47.1% 0.6 8.7 8.3 -3.5 0.9 -1.9 -11.8 -0.8 Montgomeryshire 49.7% 48.5% 1.2 5.4 16.1 5.8 -3.4 -5.1 -11.6 -7.2 Preseli Pembrokeshire 51.4% 50.3% 1.1 10.9 7.9 2.5 -1.1 -4.3 -12.1 -3.8

North Wales Aberconwy 51.8% 49.0% 2.8 2.9 15.4 0.4 -0.7 -2.5 -10.6 -4.8 Alyn and Deeside 39.2% 34.6% 4.6 10.1 9.8 -1.9 2.8 -2.1 -12.6 -6.2 Arfon 50.9% 50.9% 0.0 -0.7 1.4 13.0 0.0 -3.5 -6.9 -3.3 Clwyd South 43.8% 40.9% 2.9 11.9 10.9 -1.7 -5.9 -2.4 -10.5 -2.3 Clwyd West 48.3% 45.5% 2.8 8.8 9.5 -3.4 0.4 -2.2 -10.5 -2.6 Delyn 46.8% 43.3% 3.5 14.0 11.2 -3.6 -1.9 -1.8 -11.4 -6.5 Vale of Clwyd 46.0% 42.9% 3.1 6.8 12.2 -1.7 0.7 -1.7 -12.5 -3.8 Wrexham 42.5% 39.5% 3.0 4.8 8.0 8.2 -5.2 -3.0 -10.4 -2.5 Ynys Mon 51.8% 50.0% 1.8 0.7 6.8 11.9 -0.3 -2.3 -13.7 -3.2

South Wales Central Cardiff Central 44.5% 45.6% -1.1 12.8 3.1 1.3 -9.1 -0.5 -5.9 -1.8 Cardiff North 58.1% 56.8% 1.3 13.4 2.0 -4.6 -0.9 1.7 -8.6 -3.1 Cardiff South and Penarth 44.2% 39.8% 4.5 12.6 1.8 -1.3 -0.8 -0.4 -10.6 -1.4 Cardiff West 51.5% 48.4% 3.1 18.4 1.3 -14.5 -1.6 -0.8 -8.5 5.7 Cynon Valley 39.1% 38.2% 0.8 12.6 7.2 -4.6 -0.4 -2.2 -16.2 3.6 Pontypridd 44.2% 43.5% 0.7 6.4 6.8 0.3 -3.0 -0.2 -13.6 3.3 Rhondda 45.6% 47.2% -1.6 22.4 3.9 -16.8 -0.3 -1.5 -10.1 2.4 Vale of Glamorgan 53.9% 53.1% 0.8 13.4 3.1 -4.7 -0.5 0.4 -10.5 -1.2

33 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Turnout Change in share of vote 2016-2021 2021 2016 Change LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH South Wales East Blaenau Gwent 40.3% 42.1% -1.8 10.3 7.1 -14.3 0.1 -1.6 -15.8 14.2 Caerphilly 43.8% 43.4% 0.4 11.2 7.3 2.5 0.8 -2.4 -20.5 1.1 Islwyn 42.2% 41.0% 1.3 -3.8 7.6 -0.7 -0.3 -2.0 -18.9 18.1 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 34.8% 45.7% -10.9 14.8 6.1 1.1 -1.4 -2.0 -18.6 0.0 Monmouth 52.6% 48.9% 3.7 6.4 5.5 -2.7 -0.7 1.7 -11.8 1.5 Newport East 38.0% 37.1% 0.9 6.5 12.6 0.3 0.9 -2.2 -18.1 0.0 Newport West 43.0% 44.6% -1.7 6.7 8.9 1.0 -0.6 1.6 -14.8 -2.8 Torfaen 37.3% 38.1% -0.9 8.2 11.0 -1.9 2.1 -2.3 -17.3 0.3

South Wales West Aberavon 42.3% 42.5% -0.2 1.5 7.1 0.1 -1.1 -1.8 -12.7 6.8 Bridgend 44.7% 44.6% 0.1 5.8 5.7 -2.1 -3.0 -2.7 -14.2 10.5 Gower 52.4% 49.8% 2.6 13.0 5.4 -1.5 -3.1 0.6 -10.4 -4.1 Neath 47.4% 45.8% 1.6 4.5 6.7 -3.2 -2.7 1.1 -15.1 8.7 Ogmore 41.6% 42.7% -1.1 4.6 8.4 1.6 -1.8 -2.0 -13.9 3.1 Swansea East 35.4% 35.7% -0.3 17.7 4.6 0.2 -6.0 -2.3 -13.1 -1.0 Swansea West 41.0% 40.7% 0.3 11.0 3.4 1.4 -4.1 0.4 -12.9 0.7

Shaded in grey denotes no candidate stood.

34 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Table 5: Constituency votes and shares by region and party

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total Electorate Turnout

Mid and West Wales 59,180 70,182 71,262 21,028 2,912 1,704 12,045 238,313 451,634 53% North Wales 79,327 71,957 57,235 8,027 - 3,180 6,812 226,538 487,754 46% South Wales Central 122,703 55,884 38,778 11,463 8,356 576 18,761 256,521 533,215 48% South Wales East 94,703 53,434 27,996 7,544 3,314 2,152 18,806 207,949 498,645 42% South Wales West 87,134 38,345 30,105 6,140 3,235 974 16,476 182,409 418,009 44% All regions 443,047 289,802 225,376 54,202 17,817 8,586 72,900 1,111,730 2,389,257 47%

Mid and West Wales 25% 29% 30% 9% 1% 1% 5% 100% North Wales 35% 32% 25% 4% 0% 1% 3% 100% South Wales Central 48% 22% 15% 4% 3% 0% 7% 100% South Wales East 46% 26% 13% 4% 2% 1% 9% 100% South Wales West 48% 21% 17% 3% 2% 1% 9% 100% All regions 40% 26% 20% 5% 2% 1% 7% 100%

35 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Table 6: Constituency results - change in share of the vote by region (percentage points)

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total

Mid and West Wales 7.2 6.3 3.0 -7.8 -1.9 -10.1 3.2 0.0% North Wales 2.5 5.7 0.8 -1.0 -1.5 -9.3 2.9 0.0% South Wales Central 7.1 1.6 -3.5 -2.9 0.5 -9.6 6.8 0.0% South Wales East 5.7 7.1 -2.8 0.1 -0.8 -17.0 7.8 0.0% South Wales West 2.4 4.2 1.4 -1.6 -0.7 -13.4 7.8 0.0% All regions 5.1 4.9 -0.3 -2.8 -0.9 -11.7 5.6 0.0%

Table 7: Largest and smallest constituency majorities by party

Absolute Constituency majority

Largest Labour Cardiff West 11,211 Conservative Montgomeryshire 7,528 Plaid Cymru Ceredigion 12,145

Smallest Labour Wrexham 1,350 Conservative Vale of Clwyd 366 Plaid Cymru Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr 6,813

Percentage Constituency majority Largest Labour Swansea East 45.0% Conservative Montgomeryshire 30.1% Plaid Cymru Arfon 39.8%

Smallest Labour Wrexham 6.0% Conservative Vale of Clwyd 1.4% Plaid Cymru Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr 20.5%

36 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Table 8: Highest and lowest shares of the constituency vote by party

Highest Lowest

LAB Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 61.5% Dwyfor Meirionnydd 15.5% Swansea East 60.1% Brecon and Radnorshire 15.5% Cynon Valley 55.7% Montgomeryshire 14.3% Rhondda 54.7% Ceredigion 10.9%

CON Montgomeryshire 48.1% Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 12.6% Monmouth 42.7% Blaenau Gwent 12.5% Clwyd West 41.7% Arfon 8.3% Aberconwy 41.7% Rhondda 6.4%

PC Arfon 63.3% Alyn and Deeside 7.3% Ynys Mon 55.9% Newport West 7.0% Ceredigion 55.1% Brecon and Radnorshire 6.5% Dwyfor Meirionnydd 48.2% Monmouth 5.8%

LD Brecon and Radnorshire 27.8% Cynon Valley 1.6% Cardiff Central 19.1% Blaenau Gwent 1.6% Montgomeryshire 16.8% Neath 1.4% Ceredigion 10.5% Rhondda 0.9%

GRN Monmouth 5.6% Ogmore 5.6% Cardiff Central 5.4% Cynon Valley 5.4%

UKIP Torfaen 3.7%

Alyn and Deeside 3.5% Delyn 3.3% Carmarthen West and South 3.1% Pembrokeshire

Green and UKIP did not have candidates in every constituency, only the top shares shown

37 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

6.2 Regional results Table 9: Regional results - votes and turnout by constituency

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total Electorate Turnout Majority

Mid and West Wales Brecon and Radnorshire 6,217 11,572 2,754 6,723 1,807 389 2,533 31,995 55,857 57.3% 4,849 Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr 8,531 7,125 13,403 722 1,320 508 1,854 33,463 59,248 56.5% 4,872

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire 10,190 10,463 6,362 726 1,245 678 1,869 31,533 61,068 51.6% 273

Ceredigion 4,888 5,137 14,021 2,650 1,795 390 1,847 30,728 55,171 55.1% 8,884 Dwyfor Meirionnydd 4,344 4,433 10,965 575 993 247 2,171 23,728 45,447 52.2% 6,532 Llanelli 12,837 5,122 8,149 624 901 529 2,191 30,353 63,287 48.0% 4,688 Montgomeryshire 4,305 9,344 4,112 3,398 1,155 456 2,094 24,864 50,263 49.5% 5,039 Preseli Pembrokeshire 10,421 10,631 5,684 763 1,329 534 2,122 31,484 61,293 51.4% 210

North Wales Aberconwy 6,446 7,925 5,932 680 744 287 1,433 23,447 45,436 51.6% 1,479 Alyn and Deeside 10,658 8,259 2,247 1,309 766 615 1,993 25,847 65,884 39.2% 2,399 Arfon 5,254 1,925 11,955 448 865 270 1,022 21,739 42,710 50.9% 6,701 Clwyd South 8,753 7,472 4,533 715 730 387 1,557 24,147 55,216 43.7% 1,281 Clwyd West 7,813 10,278 6,129 1,027 870 420 1,754 28,291 58,671 48.2% 2,465 Delyn 10,423 8,640 3,052 1,105 724 548 1,842 26,334 56,489 46.6% 1,783 Vale of Clwyd 9,777 9,747 3,417 620 608 325 1,547 26,041 56,622 46.0% 30 Wrexham 7,450 7,099 4,793 778 545 350 1,549 22,564 53,172 42.4% 351 Ynys Mon 6,546 6,199 11,892 478 734 371 1,569 27,789 53,554 51.9% 5,346

South Wales Central Cardiff Central 11,272 4,047 4,633 4,522 2,258 200 1,576 28,508 64,122 44.5% 6,639 Cardiff North 14,875 11,774 5,711 2,070 3,023 409 2,624 40,486 69,993 57.8% 3,101 Cardiff South and Penarth 15,036 7,938 5,983 1,555 2,480 514 2,739 36,245 82,246 44.1% 7,098 Cardiff West 13,421 6,553 7,858 1,155 2,479 354 4,488 36,308 70,904 51.2% 5,563 Cynon Valley 10,279 3,220 3,935 324 625 352 1,766 20,501 52,521 39.0% 6,344 Pontypridd 10,629 5,800 6,572 793 1,102 393 2,314 27,603 62,377 44.3% 4,057 Rhondda 11,949 2,058 6,495 206 575 343 1,762 23,388 51,423 45.5% 5,454 Vale of Glamorgan 15,150 15,232 5,291 1,196 1,936 562 3,431 42,798 79,629 53.7% 82

38 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total Electorate Turnout Majority

South Wales East Blaenau Gwent 9,983 2,905 3,849 419 653 480 2,434 20,723 51,640 40.1% 6,134 Caerphilly 11,230 5,172 8,277 644 1,074 505 2,102 29,004 65,958 44.0% 2,953 Islwyn 10,845 4,837 4,072 572 917 621 2,553 24,417 57,978 42.1% 6,008 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 11,181 2,879 3,787 426 580 444 1,821 21,118 60,787 34.7% 7,394 Monmouth 10,562 13,643 3,003 2,043 2,938 549 2,958 35,696 68,230 52.3% 3,081 Newport East 9,687 7,071 2,042 1,257 1,059 441 1,673 23,230 60,929 38.1% 2,616 Newport West 11,965 9,732 2,699 919 1,763 416 2,134 29,628 68,853 43.0% 2,233 Torfaen 10,535 6,084 2,801 765 966 645 2,305 24,101 64,270 37.5% 4,451

South Wales West Aberavon 10,081 3,141 4,987 670 659 395 2,280 22,213 52428 42.4% 5,094 Bridgend 11,439 8,712 4,006 792 1,119 381 3,058 29,507 65,858 44.8% 2,727 Gower 13,401 9,380 5,079 950 1,501 412 2,456 33,179 63,297 52.4% 4,021 Neath 11,221 4,486 7,265 528 1,098 466 2,479 27,543 58,122 47.4% 3,956 Ogmore 11172 4385 4928 526 771 335 2415 24,532 58,858 41.7% 6,244 Swansea East 10999 3591 3406 877 670 457 1714 21,714 60,859 35.7% 7,408 Swansea West 10005 4549 4082 1667 1337 363 2005 24,008 58,587 41.0% 5,456

Total 401,770 278,560 230,161 48,217 48,714 17,341 86,034 1,110,797 2,389,257 46.5%

39 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Table 10: Regional results - party share of vote by constituency

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total

Mid and West Wales Brecon and Radnorshire 19.4% 36.2% 8.6% 21.0% 5.6% 1.2% 7.9% 100% Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr 25.5% 21.3% 40.1% 2.2% 3.9% 1.5% 5.5% 100% Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire 32.3% 33.2% 20.2% 2.3% 3.9% 2.2% 5.9% 100% Ceredigion 15.9% 16.7% 45.6% 8.6% 5.8% 1.3% 6.0% 100% Dwyfor Meirionnydd 18.3% 18.7% 46.2% 2.4% 4.2% 1.0% 9.1% 100% Llanelli 42.3% 16.9% 26.8% 2.1% 3.0% 1.7% 7.2% 100% Montgomeryshire 17.3% 37.6% 16.5% 13.7% 4.6% 1.8% 8.4% 100% Preseli Pembrokeshire 33.1% 33.8% 18.1% 2.4% 4.2% 1.7% 6.7% 100%

North Wales Aberconwy 27.5% 33.8% 25.3% 2.9% 3.2% 1.2% 6.1% 100% Alyn and Deeside 41.2% 32.0% 8.7% 5.1% 3.0% 2.4% 7.7% 100% Arfon 24.2% 8.9% 55.0% 2.1% 4.0% 1.2% 4.7% 100% Clwyd South 36.2% 30.9% 18.8% 3.0% 3.0% 1.6% 6.4% 100% Clwyd West 27.6% 36.3% 21.7% 3.6% 3.1% 1.5% 6.2% 100% Delyn 39.6% 32.8% 11.6% 4.2% 2.7% 2.1% 7.0% 100% Vale of Clwyd 37.5% 37.4% 13.1% 2.4% 2.3% 1.2% 5.9% 100% Wrexham 33.0% 31.5% 21.2% 3.4% 2.4% 1.6% 6.9% 100% Ynys Mon 23.6% 22.3% 42.8% 1.7% 2.6% 1.3% 5.6% 100%

South Wales Central Cardiff Central 39.5% 14.2% 16.3% 15.9% 7.9% 0.7% 5.5% 100% Cardiff North 36.7% 29.1% 14.1% 5.1% 7.5% 1.0% 6.5% 100% Cardiff South and Penarth 41.5% 21.9% 16.5% 4.3% 6.8% 1.4% 7.6% 100% Cardiff West 37.0% 18.0% 21.6% 3.2% 6.8% 1.0% 12.4% 100% Cynon Valley 50.1% 15.7% 19.2% 1.6% 3.0% 1.7% 8.6% 100% Pontypridd 38.5% 21.0% 23.8% 2.9% 4.0% 1.4% 8.4% 100% Rhondda 51.1% 8.8% 27.8% 0.9% 2.5% 1.5% 7.5% 100% Vale of Glamorgan 35.4% 35.6% 12.4% 2.8% 4.5% 1.3% 8.0% 100%

South Wales East Blaenau Gwent 48.2% 14.0% 18.6% 2.0% 3.2% 2.3% 11.7% 100% Caerphilly 38.7% 17.8% 28.5% 2.2% 3.7% 1.7% 7.2% 100% Islwyn 44.4% 19.8% 16.7% 2.3% 3.8% 2.5% 10.5% 100% Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 52.9% 13.6% 17.9% 2.0% 2.7% 2.1% 8.6% 100% Monmouth 29.6% 38.2% 8.4% 5.7% 8.2% 1.5% 8.3% 100% Newport East 41.7% 30.4% 8.8% 5.4% 4.6% 1.9% 7.2% 100% Newport West 40.4% 32.8% 9.1% 3.1% 6.0% 1.4% 7.2% 100% Torfaen 43.7% 25.2% 11.6% 3.2% 4.0% 2.7% 9.6% 100%

South Wales West Aberavon 45.4% 14.1% 22.5% 3.0% 3.0% 1.8% 10.3% 100% Bridgend 38.8% 29.5% 13.6% 2.7% 3.8% 1.3% 10.4% 100% Gower 40.4% 28.3% 15.3% 2.9% 4.5% 1.2% 7.4% 100% Neath 40.7% 16.3% 26.4% 1.9% 4.0% 1.7% 9.0% 100% Ogmore 45.5% 17.9% 20.1% 2.1% 3.1% 1.4% 9.8% 100% Swansea East 50.7% 16.5% 15.7% 4.0% 3.1% 2.1% 7.9% 100% Swansea West 41.7% 18.9% 17.0% 6.9% 5.6% 1.5% 8.4% 100%

40 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Table 11: Regional results - change in share of the vote and turnout by constituency

Turnout Change in share of vote 2016-2021 2021 2016 Change LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH

Mid and West Wales Brecon and Radnorshire 57.3% 55.8% 1.5 4.6 10.8 1.3 -9.2 1.8 -7.6 -1.8 Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr 56.5% 53.5% 2.9 5.5 6.8 -3.2 -0.9 1.3 -9.9 0.4 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire 51.6% 49.5% 2.1 8.2 4.7 -0.8 -0.6 1.0 -10.8 -1.6 Ceredigion 55.1% 54.7% 0.4 5.8 6.9 8.4 -11.8 -0.4 -9.1 0.2 Dwyfor Meirionnydd 52.2% 46.5% 5.7 4.6 2.1 1.7 -1.2 0.3 -10.4 2.8 Llanelli 48.0% 47.1% 0.9 4.9 8.8 -4.0 1.0 1.1 -12.5 0.6 Montgomeryshire 49.5% 48.1% 1.4 8.4 5.6 4.3 -6.6 -0.4 -9.8 -1.6 Preseli Pembrokeshire 51.4% 49.0% 2.4 9.4 2.6 1.0 -1.7 -0.1 -10.4 -1.0

North Wales Aberconwy 51.6% 49.1% 2.5 5.0 7.5 -1.9 -0.9 0.7 -9.4 -1.0 Alyn and Deeside 39.2% 34.7% 4.6 2.5 9.9 -0.5 1.8 0.9 -13.7 -0.8 Arfon 50.9% 50.8% 0.1 0.0 2.0 4.7 -0.9 0.4 -5.7 -0.6 Clwyd South 43.7% 40.8% 2.9 5.0 10.7 0.2 -6.0 0.7 -11.1 0.5 Clwyd West 48.2% 45.4% 2.9 7.7 4.1 -1.5 -0.1 0.9 -10.9 -0.2 Delyn 46.6% 43.3% 3.3 5.0 9.5 0.0 -1.8 0.9 -12.6 -1.1 Vale of Clwyd 46.0% 42.7% 3.3 4.3 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 -11.2 -2.0 Wrexham 42.4% 39.4% 3.1 0.4 8.1 8.1 -5.1 -0.5 -10.6 -0.4 Ynys Mon 51.9% 49.7% 2.2 5.2 8.6 -1.2 -0.6 0.3 -12.3 0.0

South Wales Central Cardiff Central 44.5% 45.4% -1.0 6.5 4.0 5.4 -12.4 2.0 -5.2 -0.3 Cardiff North 57.8% 56.6% 1.2 2.6 -0.3 1.5 0.2 4.4 -7.6 -0.7 Cardiff South and Penarth 44.1% 39.7% 4.3 4.2 2.9 1.6 -0.3 1.9 -10.7 0.4 Cardiff West 51.2% 48.1% 3.1 7.0 1.7 -9.0 -0.7 2.5 -7.5 6.0 Cynon Valley 39.0% 38.2% 0.8 7.0 9.3 -4.7 -0.4 0.8 -14.5 2.5 Pontypridd 44.3% 43.5% 0.8 3.1 7.2 1.7 -2.4 1.4 -12.1 1.1 Rhondda 45.5% 47.4% -1.9 18.8 6.3 -20.3 -0.3 1.0 -8.6 3.1 Vale of Glamorgan 53.7% 52.9% 0.9 5.3 2.8 -0.9 0.0 1.9 -9.1 0.1

41 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Turnout Change in share of vote 2016-2021 2021 2016 Change LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH

South Wales East Blaenau Gwent 40.1% 42.1% -2.0 9.4 8.6 -13.0 0.5 1.5 -13.5 6.5 Caerphilly 44.0% 43.4% 0.6 4.0 7.8 2.7 0.3 1.3 -18.7 2.7 Islwyn 42.1% 41.0% 1.1 -0.1 11.5 -0.1 0.1 1.7 -18.4 5.2 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney 34.7% 45.8% -11.0 6.2 7.2 1.5 -1.3 0.8 -18.3 3.9 Monmouth 52.3% 48.6% 3.7 4.0 1.0 -0.1 -0.3 4.4 -10.2 1.2 Newport East 38.1% 37.1% 1.0 1.1 11.5 1.1 -0.5 2.4 -17.8 2.2 Newport West 43.0% 44.5% -1.5 -1.1 6.7 3.1 -0.5 3.1 -13.4 2.0 Torfaen 37.5% 38.3% -0.8 3.6 10.1 -1.0 0.3 1.7 -18.3 3.7

South Wales West Aberavon 42.4% 42.5% -0.1 -0.5 7.9 1.1 -2.4 1.2 -12.7 5.4 Bridgend 44.8% 44.5% 0.3 2.5 7.0 1.0 -3.0 1.1 -12.9 4.3 Gower 52.4% 49.8% 2.6 6.2 1.0 1.9 -2.9 1.9 -9.1 0.9 Neath 47.4% 45.7% 1.7 2.9 8.1 -0.2 -2.2 1.3 -13.4 3.5 Ogmore 41.7% 42.6% -1.0 -2.4 7.5 2.5 -1.5 1.2 -12.6 5.2 Swansea East 35.7% 35.7% 0.0 8.2 7.5 0.8 -6.9 0.8 -13.6 3.3 Swansea West 41.0% 40.6% 0.3 6.3 3.1 2.1 -4.0 1.4 -11.3 2.4

42 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Table 12: Regional results - votes and turnout by party and region

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total Electorate Turnout

Mid and West Wales 61733 63827 65450 16181 10545 3731 16681 238,148 451,634 52.7% North Wales 73120 67544 53950 7160 6586 3573 14266 226,199 487,754 46.4% South Wales Central 102611 56622 46478 11821 14478 3127 20700 255,837 533,215 48.0% South Wales East 85988 52323 30530 7045 9950 4101 17980 207,917 498,645 41.7% South Wales West 78318 38244 33753 6010 7155 2809 16407 182,696 418,009 43.7% All regions 401770 278560 230161 48217 48714 17341 86034 1,110,797 2,389,257 46.5%

43 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Table 13: Share of the regional vote by region and party

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH Total

Mid and West Wales 25.9% 26.8% 27.5% 6.8% 4.4% 1.6% 7.0% 100% North Wales 32.3% 29.9% 23.9% 3.2% 2.9% 1.6% 6.3% 100% South Wales Central 40.1% 22.1% 18.2% 4.6% 5.7% 1.2% 8.1% 100% South Wales East 41.4% 25.2% 14.7% 3.4% 4.8% 2.0% 8.6% 100% South Wales West 42.9% 20.9% 18.5% 3.3% 3.9% 1.5% 9.0% 100% All regions 36.2% 25.1% 20.7% 4.3% 4.4% 1.6% 7.8% 100%

Table 14: Change in share of the regional vote by region

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH

Mid and West Wales 6.5% 6.2% 1.2% -4.1% 0.6% -10.0% -0.3% North Wales 4.2% 7.6% 0.5% -1.4% 0.6% -10.9% -0.6% South Wales Central 6.2% 3.9% -2.8% -1.8% 2.2% -9.1% 1.4% South Wales East 3.0% 8.0% -0.6% -0.1% 2.3% -15.8% 3.2% South Wales West 3.3% 5.9% 1.3% -3.2% 1.3% -12.1% 3.4% All regions 4.7% 6.3% -0.1% -2.1% 1.4% -11.5% 2.0%

Table 15: Difference in turnout and share of the vote between constituency and regional ballots by region

LAB CON PC LD GRN UKIP OTH

Mid and West Wales -1.1% 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% -3.2% -0.9% -2.0% North Wales 2.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4% -2.9% -0.2% -3.3% South Wales Central 7.7% -0.3% -3.1% -0.2% -2.4% -1.0% -0.8% South Wales East 4.2% 0.5% -1.2% 0.2% -3.2% -0.9% 0.4% South Wales West 4.9% 0.1% -2.0% 0.1% -2.1% -1.0% 0.1% All regions 3.7% 1.0% -0.4% 0.5% -2.8% -0.8% -2.9%

44 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

6.3 Members of the Senedd Table 16: Senedd Members elected, May 2021

Constituency Elected Member Party

Mid and West Wales Brecon and Radnorshire James Evans CON Carmarthenshire East and Dinefwr * Adam Price PC Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Samuel Kurtz CON Ceredigion * Elin Jones PC Dwyfor Meirionnydd Mabon ap Gwynfor PC Llanelli * Lee Waters LAB Montgomeryshire * Russell George CON Preseli Pembrokeshire * CON

North Wales Aberconwy * Janet Finch-Saunders CON Alyn and Deeside * Jack Sargeant LAB Arfon * Siân Gwenllian PC Clwyd South * Ken Skates LAB Clwyd West * Darren Millar CON Delyn * Hannah Blythyn LAB Vale of Clwyd Gareth Lloyd Davies CON Wrexham * Lesley Griffiths LAB Ynys Mon * Rhun ap Iorwerth PC

South Wales Central Cardiff Central * Jenny Rathbone LAB Cardiff North * Julie Morgan LAB Cardiff South and Penarth * Vaughan Gething LAB Cardiff West * Mark Drakeford LAB Cynon Valley * Vikki Howells LAB Pontypridd * Mick Antoniw LAB Rhondda Buffy Williams LAB Vale of Glamorgan * Jane Hutt LAB

45 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Constituency Elected Member Party

South Wales East Blaenau Gwent * Alun Davies LAB Caerphilly * Hefin Wyn David LAB Islwyn * Rhianon Passmore LAB Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney * Dawn Bowden LAB Monmouth Peter Fox CON Newport East * John Griffiths LAB Newport West * Jayne Bryant LAB Torfaen * Lynne Neagle LAB

South Wales West Aberavon * David Rees LAB Bridgend Sarah Murphy LAB Gower * Rebecca Evans LAB Neath * Jeremy Miles LAB Ogmore * Huw Irranca-Davies LAB Swansea East * Mike Hedges LAB Swansea West * Julie James LAB

46 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Region Elected Member Party

Mid and West Wales PC Mid and West Wales LD Mid and West Wales * Eluned Morgan LAB Mid and West Wales * LAB

North Wales * PC North Wales * Mark Isherwood CON North Wales CON North Wales LAB

South Wales Central MS PC South Wales Central * Andrew RT Davies MS CON South Wales Central MS PC South Wales Central MS CON

South Wales East CON South Wales East * PC South Wales East * CON South Wales East PC

South Wales West Luke Fletcher PC South Wales West Tom Giffard CON South Wales West Altaf Hussain CON South Wales West PC * Senedd Member immediately prior to 2021 election. Of the 60 AMs elected 40 had been members

47 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021 Senedd Cymru/Welsh Parliament elections 2021

Table 17: Senedd Members elected by seat type, party and region

Mid & West North South Wales South Wales South Wales Wales Wales Central East West Total

Constituency seats Labour 1 4 8 7 7 27 Conservative 4 3 0 0 1 8 Plaid Cymru 3 2 0 0 0 5 Liberal Democrat 0 0 0 0 0 0 Green 0 0 0 0 0 0 UKIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 All parties 8 9 8 7 8 40

Regional seats Labour 2 1 0 0 0 3 Conservative 0 2 3 2 2 9 Plaid Cymru 1 1 1 2 2 7 Liberal Democrat 1 0 0 0 0 1 Green 0 0 0 0 0 0 UKIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 All parties 4 4 4 4 4 20

All seats Labour 3 5 8 7 7 30 Conservative 4 5 3 2 3 17 Plaid Cymru 4 3 1 2 2 12 Liberal Democrat 1 0 0 0 0 1 Green 0 0 0 0 0 0 UKIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 All parties 12 13 12 11 12 60

48 Commons Library Research Briefing, 16 July 2021

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