U.S. Department of Education NCES 2007-064 This page intentionally left blank. The Condition of Education 2007 U.S. Department of Education NCES 2007-064
June 2007
Michael Planty Stephen Provasnik William Hussar Thomas Snyder National Center for Education Statistics
Grace Kena Gillian Hampden-Thompson Rachel Dinkes Education Statistics Services Institute– American Institutes for Research
Susan Choy MPR Associates, Inc.
Production: Barbara Kridl Managing Editor Andrea Livingston Senior Editor MPR Associates, Inc. U.S. Department of Education Margaret Spellings Secretary Institute of Education Sciences Grover J. Whitehurst Director National Center for Education Statistics Mark Schneider Commissioner The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) is the primary federal entity for collecting, analyzing, and reporting data related to education in the United States and other nations. It fulfi lls a congressional mandate to collect, collate, analyze, and report full and complete statistics on the condition of education in the United States; conduct and publish reports and specialized analyses of the meaning and signifi cance of such statistics; assist state and local education agencies in improving their statistical systems; and review and report on education activities in foreign countries. NCES activities are designed to address high-priority education data needs; provide consistent, reliable, complete, and accurate indicators of education status and trends; and report timely, useful, and high- quality data to the U.S. Department of Education, the Congress, the states, other education policymakers, practitioners, data users, and the general public. Unless specifi cally noted all information contained herein is in the public domain. We strive to make our products available in a variety of formats and in language that is appropriate to a variety of audiences. You, as our customer, are the best judge of our success in communicating information effectively. If you have any comments or suggestions about this or any other NCES product or report, we would like to hear from you. Please direct your comments to: National Center for Education Statistics Institute of Education Sciences U.S. Department of Education 1990 K Street NW Washington, DC 20006-5651 June 2007 The NCES World Wide Web Home Page address is http://nces.ed.gov. The NCES World Wide Web Electronic Catalog is http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch. Suggested Citation U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. (2007). The Condition of Education 2007 (NCES 2007-064). Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Offi ce. For ordering information on this report, write to U.S. Department of Education ED Pubs P.O. Box 1398 Jessup, MD 20794-1398 or call toll free 1-877-4ED-PUBS or order online at http://www.edpubs.org. Content Contact Michael Planty (202) 502-7312 [email protected] Commissioner’s Statement
Commissioner’s Statement
INTRODUCTION Most states have enacted minimum requirements for graduation focusing Reliable, accurate, and timely data are neces- on the numbers and types of courses sary to monitor the progress of U.S. education that students take in high school, and respond to its opportunities and challenges. such as the New Basics coursetaking To ensure such data are available, Congress recommendations. A growing number of has mandated that the National Center for states also require the passing of “exit Education Statistics (NCES) produce an an- exams” that test profi ciency or competency nual report, The Condition of Education. This in specifi c subjects. year’s report presents indicators of important developments and trends in U.S. education. Between 1982 and 2004, the average These indicators focus on participation and number of course credits accrued by high persistence in education, student performance school graduates increased 19 percent, and other measures of achievement, the envi- from 21.7 to 25.8 credits. Graduates ronment for learning, and resources for educa- in 2004, compared with those in 1982, tion. In addition, this year’s volume contains a earned an average of 4.3 versus 4.0 special analysis that examines changes in stu- credits in English, 3.6 versus 2.7 credits dent coursetaking in high school using national in mathematics, and 3.2 versus 2.2 credits transcript data from 1982 to 2005. While the in science. analysis focuses on the credit accrual of high school graduates, it also takes a special look at In 2004, more high school graduates the coursework of high school dropouts and had completed advanced courses in courses taken for college credit. mathematics and science than in 1982— in particular, in calculus, chemistry I, and This statement summarizes the main fi ndings physics I. For example, the average number of the special analysis and the 48 indicators of credits that graduates earned in algebra that appear in the fi ve following sections. Each and more advanced mathematics courses indicator discussed is referenced by its number increased from 1.9 to 3.1; in chemistry, (e.g., indicator 10) in the volume. from 0.4 to 0.7; and in physics, from 0.2 to 0.4. Graduates also earned more SPECIAL ANALYSIS ON HIGH SCHOOL COURSE- credits in English and foreign languages TAKING during this period.
To explore the coursetaking patterns and trends The percentage of students who took of high school students, the special analysis uses Advanced Placement (AP) examinations national data from two surveys sponsored by increased between 1997 and 2005, with NCES: the high school longitudinal transcript the total number of students taking these studies, which provide information on high examinations doubling. Although the school graduates in 1982, 1992, and 2004, average scores in AP examinations have and the National Assessment of Educational remained relatively stable, there has been Progress (NAEP) High School Transcript Stud- a decrease (from 65 to 59 percent) in the ies, which cover the experiences of high school percentage of examinations resulting in a graduates in selected years from 1987 to 2005. qualifying score of 3.0 or more. Drawing from these sources and others, the analysis reveals that: Differences in advanced coursetaking by sex and race/ethnicity are evident
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Commissioner’s Statement Continued
in mathematics, science, English, and care and education programs—including foreign language study. Since 1998, day care centers, Head Start programs, female graduates have been more likely preschool, nursery school, prekinder- than male graduates to complete some garten, and other early childhood advanced science coursework, though programs—increased from 53 percent no measurable differences by sex were in 1991 to 60 percent in 1999 and then detected in the proportions of graduates decreased to 57 percent in 2005. A greater who took the highest levels of science or percentage of nonpoor children ages 3–5 mathematics coursework. In addition, participated in center-based programs Asian graduates were more likely than than poor children (indicator 2). graduates from other racial/ethnic groups to complete advanced courses In 2007, public school enrollment in the in mathematics, science, English, and United States is expected to approach foreign language study in 2004. about 50 million students: 34.6 million in prekindergarten through 8th grade and 15.0 million in grades 9 through PARTICIPATION IN EDUCATION 12. Total public school enrollment is As the U.S. population increases in size, so does projected to set new records each year its enrollment at all levels of public and private from 2007 through 2016, at which time education. At the elementary and secondary it is expected to reach 53.3 million. The levels, growth is due largely to the increase in South is projected to experience the largest the size of the school-age population. At the increase in enrollments of all regions in postsecondary level, both population growth the country (indicator 3). and increasing enrollment rates help account for rising enrollments in undergraduate, graduate, The percentage of all children enrolled in and fi rst-professional programs. The cohorts of private schools in kindergarten through learners have become more diverse, with stu- grade 12 remained near 10 percent dents who are members of racial/ethnic minori- between 1989–90 and 2003–04. Roman ties or who speak a language other than English Catholic schools continued to have the at home making up an increasing proportion of largest percentage of total private school the school-age population over time. enrollment during this period, but there was a shift in the distribution of students Between 1970 and 2005, enrollment from Roman Catholic to other religious rates increased for children ages 5–6, and nonsectarian private schools at both who are typically in kindergarten or 1st the elementary and secondary levels grade, and for adults ages 18–34, who (indicator 4). are typically in postsecondary education. Youth ages 18–19 experienced the largest Between 1972 and 2005, the percentage overall increase in enrollment during this of racial/ethnic minority students enrolled period, from 48 to 68 percent. The overall in the nation’s public schools increased enrollment rate for 2005 was up from 61 from 22 to 42 percent, primarily due percent of students in this age group in to growth in Hispanic enrollments. In 2000 (indicator 1). 2005, Hispanic students represented 20 percent of public school enrollment, up The percentage of child ren ages 3–5 who from 6 percent in 1972. The distribution attended center-based early childhood of minority students in public schools
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Commissioner’s Statement Continued
differed across regions of the country, growing faster than men’s, and women with minority public school enrollment are projected to make up 60 percent of (54 percent) in 2005 exceeding White enrollment in 2016. In addition, full-time enrollment (46 percent) in the West undergraduate enrollment is expected (indicator 5). to increase more rapidly than part-time enrollment, and enrollment at 4-year The number of children ages 5–17 who institutions is expected to grow faster spoke a language other than English at than at 2-year institutions (indicator 8). home more than doubled between 1979 and 2005. Among school-age children Graduate and fi rst-professional enrollments who spoke a non-English language at in degree-granting institutions increased home, the total number who spoke between 1976 and 2005, with female English with diffi culty increased from enrollment increasing by a larger 3 to 6 percent of all 5- to 17-year-olds percentage than male enrollment for both between 1979 and 2000 and did not types of programs. During this period, measurably change after that. In 2005, minority enrollment increased 269 percent the majority of school-age children who in graduate programs, and 331 percent in spoke a language other than English at fi rst-professional programs. According to home spoke Spanish. Higher percentages projections, women exceeded 50 percent of poor and near-poor children spoke of total fi rst-professional enrollment for a non-English language at home than the fi rst time in 2006. Among minorities, nonpoor children (indicator 6). Hispanic and Asian/Pacifi c Islander enrollments have experienced the greatest Since the inception of the Individuals growth (indicator 9). with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) in the mid-1970s, youth ages 3–21 The percentage of the population receiving special education services have age 16 or older participating in adult increased nearly every year. In 1976–77, education—including basic skills training, some 3.7 million youth were served apprenticeships, work-related courses, under IDEA (8 percent of total public personal interest courses, English as school enrollment), and by 2005–06, a Second Language (ESL) classes, and some 6.7 million youth received these part-time college or university degree services (14 percent of total public school programs—increased between 1995 and enrollment). Specifi c learning disabilities 2001 and then declined in 2005. The were the most prevalent of all disabilities most popular forms of adult education among youth ages 3–21 and experienced in 2005 were work-related courses and the largest increase in the percentage of personal interest courses (indicator 10). the population served (indicator 7). LEARNER OUTCOMES Over the past three and a half decades, total undergraduate enrollment in degree- How well does the American educational granting postsecondary institutions has system—and its students—perform? Data generally increased and is projected to from national and international assessments continue to do so through 2016. From of students’ academic achievement can help 2006 to 2016, women’s undergraduate address this question, as can data on adults’ enrollment is expected to continue educational and work experiences, literacy
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levels, and earnings. In some areas, such as was lower at grade 12 than in 1996. The mathematics and science, the performance of percentages of 4th- and 8th-graders who elementary and secondary students has shown performed at or above Profi cient (29 some improvement over the past decade, but percent in 2005) were not measurably not in all grades assessed and not equally for different from the percentages who did so all groups of students. The association between from 1996 to 2005, while the percentage education and the earnings and employment of 12th-graders performing at this of adults helps underscore the importance of achievement level was lower in 2005 than education for individuals and society and the in 1996 (indicator 13). outcomes of different levels of educational attainment. Results from NAEP indicate that the differences between White and Black National reading scores of 4th- and and Hispanic scores in reading and 8th-graders assessed by the National mathematics fl uctuated at the 4th and Assessment of Educational Progress 8th grades between 1990 and 2005. (NAEP) have varied little over time, Recently, between 2003 and 2005, these though both were higher in 2005 than gaps narrowed for most groups. Looking in 1992. The reading scores of 12th- at the reading performance of 4th-graders graders, however, decreased 6 points in 2005, Blacks scored, on average, 29 during this period. The percentage of 4th- points lower than Whites (on a 0–500 graders performing at or above Profi cient scale), and Hispanics scored 26 points (indicating solid academic achievement) lower than Whites. Similar patterns were increased between 1992 and 2005 (from seen in the mathematics performance of 29 to 31 percent) and has remained 8th-graders (indicator 14). steady since then. The percentage of 8th- graders performing at or above Profi cient NAEP long-term trend results indicate that did not change measurably during the 10- the reading and mathematics achievement year period, but the percentage of 12th- of 9- and 13-year-olds improved between graders performing at this level decreased the early 1970s and 2004. In reading, 9- from 40 to 35 percent (indicator 11). year-olds scored higher in 2004 than in previous assessments, with an increase The average mathematics score of 12th- of 7 points between 1999 and 2004. In graders on the 2005 NAEP mathematics mathematics, the achievement of 9- and assessment was set at 150 (on a scale 13-year-olds in 2004 was the highest of 0–300). Some 23 percent of 12th- of any assessment year. Though the graders performed at or above Profi cient performance of 17-year-olds on both (indicating solid academic performance), NAEP assessments was not measurably whereas 39 percent performed below different from that in prior years, scores Basic (indicating performance below for Black and Hispanic students have partial mastery of fundamental skills) improved since the early 1970s (indicator (indicator 12). 15).