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A Bayesian Approach to In-Game Win Probability in Soccer
A Bayesian Approach to In-Game Win Probability in Soccer Pieter Robberechts Jan Van Haaren Jesse Davis [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] KU Leuven, Dept. of Computer KU Leuven, Dept. of Computer KU Leuven, Dept. of Computer Science; Leuven.AI Science; Leuven.AI Science; Leuven.AI B-3000 Leuven, Belgium B-3000 Leuven, Belgium B-3000 Leuven, Belgium Premier League - 2011/12 3 : 2 1:0 1:1 QPR 1:2 2:2 3:2 100% City wins 80% 60% Draw 40% 20% QPR wins 15 30 HT 60 75 90 min Figure 1: In-game win probabilities for the game between Manchester City and Queens Park Rangers (QPR) on the final day of the 2011/12 Premier League season. ABSTRACT demonstrates that our framework provides well-calibrated proba- In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team’s bilities. Furthermore, two use cases show its ability to enhance fan likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical experience and to evaluate performance in crucial game situations. observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, bas- ketball and American football, they have become important tools CCS CONCEPTS to enhance fan experience, to evaluate in-game decision-making, • Mathematics of computing ! Probabilistic inference prob- and to inform coaching decisions. While equally relevant in soccer, lems; Variational methods; • Computing methodologies ! Ma- the adoption of these models is held back by technical challenges chine learning; • Information systems ! Data mining. arising from the low-scoring nature of the sport. In this paper, we introduce an in-game win probability model for KEYWORDS soccer that addresses the shortcomings of existing models. -
TDD 2715 Woodward Avenue
RETAIL | 2715 WOODWARD AVENUE Retail 2715 WOODWARD AVENUE This new $70-million development includes an all-new, five-story, 127,000-square-foot building. The Detroit Medical Center (DMC) announced in June they will occupy approximately 50,000 square feet with a state-of-the-art sports medicine facility. In October, the award-winning law firm Warner Norcross + Judd, LLP announced they would occupy 30,000 square feet on the third floor. The Woodward fronting retail contains approximately 14,086 square feet. 14,086 SQ. FT. OF RETAIL #DistrictDetroit | DistrictDetroit.com Retail 2715 WOODWARD AVENUE #DistrictDetroit | DistrictDetroit.com The EXPERIENCE The District Detroit is a dynamic urban destination in the heart of Detroit. One that includes something for everyone — a dense neighborhood experience with a variety of developments alongside Detroit’s premiere sports and entertainment venues. Connecting downtown Detroit to growing nearby neighborhoods such as Midtown, Corktown and Brush Park, The District Detroit is having a dramatic economic impact on Detroit and is a driving catalyst of the city’s remarkable resurgence. The District Detroit is delivering $1.4 billion+ in new investment in Detroit including the new Little Caesars Arena, the Mike Ilitch School of Business at Wayne State University and Little Caesars world headquarters campus expansion. Additionally, new office, residential and retail spaces will continue to add momentum to Detroit’s amazing comeback for years to come. $1.4 BILLION+ IN NEW INVESTMENT A FIRST OF ITS KIND #DistrictDetroit -
Chicago White Sox James Pokrywczynski Marquette University, [email protected]
Marquette University e-Publications@Marquette College of Communication Faculty Research and Communication, College of Publications 1-1-2011 Chicago White Sox James Pokrywczynski Marquette University, [email protected] Published version. "Chicago White Sox," in Encyclopedia of Sports Management and Marketing. Eds. Linda E. Swayne and Mark Dodds. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications, 2011: 213-214. Publisher Link. © 2011 Sage Publications. Used with permission. Chicago White Sox 213 Chicago White Sox The Chicago White Sox professional baseball fran- chise has constantly battled for respect and attention since arriving in Chicago in 1901. Some of the lack of respect has been self-inflicted, coming from stunts such as uniforms with short pants, or a disco record demolition promotion that resulted in a forfeiture of a ballgame, one of the few in baseball history. The other source of disrespect comes from being in the same market with the Chicago Cubs, which has devel- oped an elite and special image in the minds of many despite having the longest championship drought in professional sports history. The past 20 years have featured an uptick in the franchise’s reputation, with the opening of a new ballpark (called U.S. Cellular Field since 2003) that seats 40,000 plus, and a World Series championship in 2005. The franchise began in 1901 when Charles Comiskey moved his team, the St. Paul Saints, to Chicago to compete in a larger market. Comiskey soon built a ballpark on the south side of town, named it after himself, and won two champion- ships, the last under his ownership in 1917. -
Page 1.411.Indd
BOSTON RED SOX (4-6) at NEW YORK YANKEES (5-5) Friday, April 11, 2014 • 7:05 p.m. ET • Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY LHP Jon Lester (0-2, 2.51 ERA) vs. LHP CC Sabathia (1-1, 7.50) Game #11 • Road Game #5 • TV: NESN/MLBN • Radio: WEEI 93.7 FM, WCEC 1490 AM (Spanish) STATE OF THE SOX: The Red Sox fell to the Yankees 4-1 SOX AND YANKS: Tonight marks the 2nd of 19 regular last night in the 1st game of a 4-game series in the Bronx... season games between the Sox and Yankees in 2014...They REGULAR SEASON BREAKDOWN The Sox have now dropped 3 of 4 series openers in 2014. will next meet for a 3-game set in Boston from 4/22-24. Overall ............................................. 4-6 AL East Standing ..................5th, 1.0 GB At 4-6, Boston is 2 wins off the pace of the 2013 team, With a 13-6 record against New York in 2013, the At Home ........................................... 2-4 which started 6-4...The Sox also dropped at least 6 of Sox became the 1st team to win 13 or more games On Road ........................................... 2-2 their first 10 games in each of the 4 seasons preceding against the Yankees in a single season since the 1976 In day games .................................... 1-3 2013, starting 4-6 in 2012, 2-8 in 2011, 4-6 in 2010, Orioles (13-5)...The Red Sox hadn’t won as many In night games ................................. 3-3 and 4-6 in 2009. -
Pryor Reaches Milestone As Royals Roll from Page Sixteen One More Goal Before the End of by Kevin Dermody Regulation
THE AQUINAS THURSDAY, APRIL 29, 2010 SPORTS 15 “LAX” Continued Pryor reaches milestone as Royals roll FroM paGE siXTEEN one more goal before the end of BY KEVIN DERMODY regulation. Staff Writer Junior attacker Sean Coleman scored one goal, freshman attack- Caroline Pryor, a junior attack- er Taylor Nelson scored two goals er for the women’s lacrosse team, and junior midfielder Sean Milde reached an offensive milestone by contributed two more for the Roy- breaking the 100-point mark for als. her career in the Royals’18-7 victo- Sophomore Mike Rufo and ju- ry over visiting Moravian College. nior Keenan Dowd each added a Pryor scored four goals in the goal and an assist, while sopho- game. Now, she has 81 goals and more Daniel Slade gave the Royals 20 assists in her career, good two goals and one assist. enough for 13 all-time scorer on Senior midfielder Doug Homan the Scranton scoring list. and freshman attacker Oliver Nu- Pryor is only four goals shy of gent both contributed two assists moving into the top 10 in Scran- in the victory. ton scoring history and has three Scranton’s 16-3 victory moved remaining regular season games the Royals to 2-3 in the Landmark in which to accomplish the feat. Conference and 5-8 on the sea- Also, she has another year on the son. team to try to become the all time The Royals carried the momen- leading scorer for the program. tum from the Moravian game and The team then took on Drew scored 18 goals against Penn State- University, losing the contest by a Abington. -
Los Veteranos Quieren Brindar La Última a Ilitch
110 DETROIT TIGERS (AL CENTRAL) (AL CENTRAL) DETROIT TIGERS 111 MLB MLB SU GRAN ESTRELLA LOS PRONÓSTICOS DEL SANEDRÍN DE @MLB_AS DETROIT MIGUEL CABRERA No sé si alguna vez valorare- mos en su justa medida el in- GAME DIVISIÓN CAMPEONATO PLAYOFFS menso privilegio que hemos DE DE MUNDIALES DE CARD tenido al disfrutar de Miguel Cabrera, opinión que seguro AMPEÓN SERIES SERIES WILD FUERA C SERIES que no comparten los pitchers TIGERS FERNANDO DÍAZ X X X X X X rivales. Tras un glorioso 2016, ‘Miggy’ apuesta por seguir con PEPE RODRÍGUEZ X X X X X X su extraordinaria carrera. LEÓN FELIPE GIRÓN X X X X X X LOS VETERANOS QUIEREN DANI GARCÍA X X X X X X CARLOS SAIZ X X X X X X CARLOS COELLO X X X X X X EDUARDO DE PAZ X X X X X X BRINDAR LA ÚLTIMA A ILITCH ANGEL LLUIS CARRILLO X X X X X X PEPE LATORRE X X X X X X En Detroit hay CARLOS PARRA X X X X X X una sensación LAS TRES CLAVES DEL EQUIPO s este un año muy especial de temporada Es por eso que tiene mucho de Epara la franquicia de los Ti- nostálgica y poético lo que han pretendido ha- El impacto que supongan los bates de Cabrera y gers, y no por lo que suceda, o vaya taciturna, que cer los Detroit Tigers en este 2017, Víctor Martínez. No hace falta ser un especialis- a suceder, en el diamante. Se trata que no es otra cosa que dar una úl- 1 ta en Física Cuántica para saber que el ataque del fallecimiento de Mike Ilitch. -
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DETROIT TIGERS’ 4 GREATEST HITTERS Table of CONTENTS Contents Warm-Up, with a Side of Dedications ....................................................... 1 The Ty Cobb Birthplace Pilgrimage ......................................................... 9 1 Out of the Blocks—Into the Bleachers .............................................. 19 2 Quadruple Crown—Four’s Company, Five’s a Multitude ..................... 29 [Gates] Brown vs. Hot Dog .......................................................................................... 30 Prince Fielder Fields Macho Nacho ............................................................................. 30 Dangerfield Dangers .................................................................................................... 31 #1 Latino Hitters, Bar None ........................................................................................ 32 3 Hitting Prof Ted Williams, and the MACHO-METER ......................... 39 The MACHO-METER ..................................................................... 40 4 Miguel Cabrera, Knothole Kids, and the World’s Prettiest Girls ........... 47 Ty Cobb and the Presidential Passing Lane ................................................................. 49 The First Hammerin’ Hank—The Bronx’s Hank Greenberg ..................................... 50 Baseball and Heightism ............................................................................................... 53 One Amazing Baseball Record That Will Never Be Broken ...................................... -
BSITH Los Angeles Angels Offical Rules.Docx
Best Seats in the House at Angel Stadium Sweepstakes The following terms, conditions and rules ("Official Rules") explain and govern the "Best Seats in the House at Angel Stadium Sweepstakes" ("Sweepstakes") as presented and sponsored by Jerome’s Furniture Warehouse, 16960 Mesamint St., CA 92127 (“Jerome’s” or “Contest Administrator”), with permission from Angels Baseball LP (“ABLP”) regarding Prizes being offered. NO PURCHASE OF ANY KIND IS NECESSARY TO ENTER OR WIN THIS SWEEPSTAKES. A PURCHASE WILL NOT IMPROVE YOUR CHANCE OF WINNING. VOID WHERE PROHIBITED OR RESTRICTED BY LAW. SWEEPSTAKES PERIOD: The Sweepstakes begins on March 23, 2021, and ends on September 2, 2021 (“Sweepstakes Period”). The Sweepstakes Period will consist of (12) “Entry Periods" as set forth in the chart below: Entry Period Home Game Start Date End Date Designated Drawing Date Date (on or about) 1 4/1/2021 3/23/2021 3/25/2021 3/26/2021 1 4/2/2021 3/23/2021 3/25/2021 3/26/2021 1 4/3/2021 3/23/2021 3/25/2021 3/26/2021 1 4/4/2021 3/23/2021 3/25/2021 3/26/2021 1 4/5/2021 3/23/2021 3/25/2021 3/26/2021 1 4/6/2021 3/23/2021 3/25/2021 3/26/2021 2 4/16/2021 3/26/2021 4/1/2021 4/2/2021 2 4/17/2021 3/26/2021 4/1/2021 4/2/2021 2 4/18/2021 3/26/2021 4/1/2021 4/2/2021 2 4/19/2021 3/26/2021 4/1/2021 4/2/2021 2 4/20/2021 3/26/2021 4/1/2021 4/2/2021 2 4/21/2021 3/26/2021 4/1/2021 4/2/2021 3 5/3/2021 4/2/2021 4/18/2021 4/19/2021 3 5/4/2021 4/2/2021 4/18/2021 4/19/2021 3 5/5/2021 4/2/2021 4/18/2021 4/19/2021 3 5/6/2021 4/2/2021 4/18/2021 4/19/2021 3 5/7/2021 4/2/2021 4/18/2021 4/19/2021 -
2021 Topps Tier One Checklist .Xls
AUTOGRAPH TIER ONE AUTOGRAPHS T1A-ABE Adrian Beltre Texas Rangers® T1A-BH Bryce Harper Philadelphia Phillies® T1A-CJ Chipper Jones Atlanta Braves™ T1A-CY Christian Yelich Milwaukee Brewers™ T1A-DJ Derek Jeter New York Yankees® T1A-DS Darryl Strawberry New York Mets® T1A-EJ Eloy Jimenez Chicago White Sox® T1A-EM Edgar Martinez Seattle Mariners™ T1A-FTA Frank Thomas Chicago White Sox® T1A-GM Greg Maddux Chicago Cubs® T1A-I Ichiro Seattle Mariners™ T1A-IR Ivan Rodriguez Florida Marlins™ T1A-JB Johnny Bench Cincinnati Reds® T1A-JMA J.D. Martinez Boston Red Sox® T1A-JS Juan Soto Washington Nationals® T1A-LW Larry Walker Colorado Rockies™ T1A-MC Miguel Cabrera Detroit Tigers® T1A-MR Mariano Rivera New York Yankees® T1A-MS Mike Schmidt Philadelphia Phillies® T1A-MT Mike Trout Angels® T1A-PG Paul Goldschmidt St. Louis Cardinals® T1A-PMO Paul Molitor Minnesota Twins® T1A-RJ Randy Johnson Arizona Diamondbacks® T1A-RJA Reggie Jackson Oakland Athletics™ T1A-SB Shane Bieber Cleveland Indians® T1A-TG Tom Glavine Atlanta Braves™ T1A-WC Will Clark San Francisco Giants® BREAK OUT AUTOGRAPHS BOA-AB Alec Bohm Philadelphia Phillies® Rookie BOA-ABO Alec Bohm Philadelphia Phillies® Rookie BOA-AG Andres Gimenez New York Mets® Rookie BOA-AGI Andres Gimenez New York Mets® Rookie BOA-AK Alex Kirilloff Minnesota Twins® Rookie BOA-AKI Alex Kirilloff Minnesota Twins® Rookie BOA-AN Austin Nola San Diego Padres™ BOA-ANO Austin Nola San Diego Padres™ BOA-AT Anderson Tejeda Texas Rangers® Rookie BOA-ATE Anderson Tejeda Texas Rangers® Rookie BOA-AV Alex Verdugo Boston -
Alex Gallardo Irene Carlson Gallery of Photography Eyes on the Ball April 11 Through May 20, 2011
Alex Gallardo Irene Carlson Gallery of Photography Eyes on the Ball April 11 through May 20, 2011 An exhibition of photographs Miller Hall, University of La Verne Photographer’s Statement My start in photojournalism began with a slide show program during a beginning photo class at the University of La Verne. It was presented by a well-known photojournalist at the The Sun in San Bernardino, Tom Kasser. His work opened my eyes. Once I had seen what he could do with a camera, it brought me to see, and not just look, at the world around me. Kasser gave me a goal to strive for, to work at The Sun as a staff photographer. Through my undergraduate career I learned the mechanics of the craft. As a lifetime baseball player I already had the competitive gene so I redirected my passion for athletics toward photography. I took a detour in my quest to be a photojournalist after graduating from ULV. A huge mistake cost me thirteen months of my professional life, and almost the use of my legs. I drove a dump truck backwards over a cliff, spent three months in a hospital and at home in a body cast recuperating from injuries. I spent another nine months in physical therapy learning to walk. Doctors told me that I might not regain the use of my legs or walk without assistance for least five years, if ever. Luckily, I had a great physical therapist. We worked hard every day and prayed to regain the use of my legs. Once I began to walk doctors cleared me to continue as a photographer and stay away from driving trucks. -
2020 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition .Xls
SERIES 1 1 Mike Trout Angels® 2 Gerrit Cole Houston Astros® 3 Nicky Lopez Kansas City Royals® 4 Robinson Cano New York Mets® 5 JaCoby Jones Detroit Tigers® 6 Juan Soto Washington Nationals® 7 Aaron Judge New York Yankees® 8 Jonathan Villar Baltimore Orioles® 9 Trent Grisham San Diego Padres™ Rookie 10 Austin Meadows Tampa Bay Rays™ 11 Anthony Rendon Washington Nationals® 12 Sam Hilliard Colorado Rockies™ Rookie 13 Miles Mikolas St. Louis Cardinals® 14 Anthony Rendon Angels® 15 San Diego Padres™ 16 Gleyber Torres New York Yankees® 17 Franmil Reyes Cleveland Indians® 18 Minnesota Twins® 19 Angels® Angels® 20 Aristides Aquino Cincinnati Reds® Rookie 21 Shane Greene Atlanta Braves™ 22 Emilio Pagan Tampa Bay Rays™ 23 Christin Stewart Detroit Tigers® 24 Kenley Jansen Los Angeles Dodgers® 25 Kirby Yates San Diego Padres™ 26 Kyle Hendricks Chicago Cubs® 27 Milwaukee Brewers™ Milwaukee Brewers™ 28 Tim Anderson Chicago White Sox® 29 Starlin Castro Washington Nationals® 30 Josh VanMeter Cincinnati Reds® 31 American League™ 32 Brandon Woodruff Milwaukee Brewers™ 33 Houston Astros® Houston Astros® 34 Ian Kinsler San Diego Padres™ 35 Adalberto Mondesi Kansas City Royals® 36 Sean Doolittle Washington Nationals® 37 Albert Almora Chicago Cubs® 38 Austin Nola Seattle Mariners™ Rookie 39 Tyler O'neill St. Louis Cardinals® 40 Bobby Bradley Cleveland Indians® Rookie 41 Brian Anderson Miami Marlins® 42 Lewis Brinson Miami Marlins® 43 Leury Garcia Chicago White Sox® 44 Tommy Edman St. Louis Cardinals® 45 Mitch Haniger Seattle Mariners™ 46 Gary Sanchez New York Yankees® 47 Dansby Swanson Atlanta Braves™ 48 Jeff McNeil New York Mets® 49 Eloy Jimenez Chicago White Sox® Rookie 50 Cody Bellinger Los Angeles Dodgers® 51 Anthony Rizzo Chicago Cubs® 52 Yasmani Grandal Chicago White Sox® 53 Pete Alonso New York Mets® 54 Hunter Dozier Kansas City Royals® 55 Jose Martinez St. -
November 16, 2012
November 16, 2012 Page 1 of 38 Clips (November 16, 2012) November 16, 2012 Page 2 of 38 Today’s Clips Contents From the Los Angeles Times (Page 3) Mike Trout robbed? No, Miguel Cabrera deserved MVP award From the Orange County Register (Page 4) AL MVP award is one thing Trout can't quite catch How the Angels may have saved a lot of money today From ESPN.com (Page 7) Cabrera wins on narrative, not numbers Miguel Cabrera named AL MVP From Angels.com (Page 10) Trout finishes second in AL MVP tally Hunter deal right move for Tigers ... and Angels Salmon: Maturation key to Trout's future success From Fox Sports West (Page 17) AL MVP debate got unnecessarily rude From SportsIllustrated.com (Page 19) Cabrera wins AL MVP but debate rages on -- and that's good Cabrera's win over Trout for AL MVP proves team results matter From Yahoo Sports (Page 25) Culture war over Miguel Cabrera's MVP award win over Mike Trout showed beauty of baseball From USA Today (Page 27) Triple Crown winner Cabrera edges Trout for AL MVP Trout deserved better in MVP voting From the Vineland Daily Journal (Page 31) Trout learning to deal with new-found stardom Trout takes 2nd in MVP race From the Wall Street Journal (Page 35) Does the RBI Mean Anything? From the Boston Globe (Page 36) The Holy War of the BBWAA November 16, 2012 Page 3 of 38 FROM THE LOS ANGELES TIMES Mike Trout robbed? No, Miguel Cabrera deserved MVP award By Houston Mitchell 9:14 AM PST, November 16, 2012 Many Angels fans are up in arms today over the fact that Detroit's Miguel Cabrera won the AL MVP award over Angels center fielder Mike Trout, who finished a distant second.