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20 Existing Conditions Harrisburg TransportationCenter

Population Trends

Key

T T T T national average of 29 percent. jected growth (1990 to 2025) is modest: 20 percent versus the (see table 4). Compared to most states’, Pennsylvania’s pro- that by 2025, the population will have increased to 14.3 million million people. The U.S. Department of Commerce has projected Pennsylvania ranks fifth in population, with an estimated 12.1 T to serve Pennsylvania. us create and sustain the type of transportation system needed tion, age, income, employment and other demographics can help are now, and portant to understand who we are, where have been, To create a vision of Pennsylvania’s transportation future, it is im- WHERE ARE WE NOW? Existing

rends in Population rends in Population rends in Population rends in Population rends in Population Table 4 where we are going. Determining trends in popula- Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department Commerce, 1995 1 C 6 T A 8 o 5 g a - t e t Y a 6 e e l 4 1 g a P 8 o Y r o s e a r p y a n a u r n d l s a d B K t ( O i 0 e o E Conditions l 0 l n o d 0 Y w e ( s 0 r ) ( P 0 ( 0 0 0 E 0 0 s 0 0 N ) s s ) N ) S 1 1 1 7 2 Y , 1 9 , , 8 2 7 L , 9 3 8 6 9 V 0 0 9 8 8 A 6 N 1 1 7 2 2 I A , 2 , 0 , 9 4 9 , 0 9 4 7 4 P 0 2 1 4 7 O 3 P 1 7 2 2 2 U 3 , 0 , , 9 1 8 L , 1 0 3 9 8 A 0 1 5 3 2 T 0 average of 21 percent. 18 and younger will grow by 8 percent, far less than the national provide for their mobility. By contrast, the number of residents reaching demands on the transportation system as it attempts to The staggering increase in the number of elderly will place far- account for 23 percent of Pennsylvania’s population in 2025. cent increase in the number of residents 65 and older, who will Probably the most profound projection in table 4 is 80 per- I O 1 8 3 3 2 N 4 , , , 0 0 2 0 , 2 3 0 9 2 T 5 1 7 0 2 R 9 E N 1 1 8 8 % 2 0 9 0 . 0 D 0 . 9 . . C 0 0 % 0 S 0 % h % % - 2 a 0 n 2 g 5 e

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22 Existing Conditions

Regional Population T Regional Population T Regional Population T Regional Population T provide alternatives to the automobile. must relieve congestion, encourage economic development and Knowing where is critical to determining the places in which we areas, the population will grow or age faster than in other areas. shown in figures 4, 5, and 6 on this the next page. In some Projected population growth is not uniform across the state, as Regional Population T

PROJECTED PERCENT POPULATION CHANGE FROM 1990 TO 2020

rends rends rends rends rends Source: U.S. Census Bureau 090 Population (%) Change 175 to 200 150 to 175 125 to 150 100 to 125 75 to 100 50 to 75 25 to 50 0 to 25 -25 to 0 060 30

Miles

from1990 to 2020 Projected Percent Population Change Figure 4

Percent Change in the 65-85 Age Group from Percent

Percent Change in the 85+ Age Group

from 1990 to 1996

1990 to 1996

Figure 6 Figure 5 PERCENT CHANGE IN THE 65-85 AGE GROUP FROM 1990 TO 1996 PERCENT CHANGE IN THE 85+ AGE GROUP FROM 1990 TO 1996 Source: U.S. Census Bureau and Penn State Center Source: U.S. Census Bureau and Penn State Data Center Change in the 65-85 Age Group in the 65-85 Age Change (%) Change in the 85+ Age Group in the 85+ Age Change (%) 090 0 20 to 30 10 to 20 0 to 10 -10 to 0 -20 to -10 060 30 60 to 70 50 to 60 40 to 50 30 to 40 20 to 30 10 to 20 0 to 10 -10 to 0 060 30 Miles Miles 90

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24 Existing Conditions

T T T T the next 45 years, see figure 8 on page. For a look at projected jobs growth by sector in Pennsylvania for dential growth in the and rural areas. work. This is clearly evident in the rapid commercial and resi- Shifts in the economy lead to shifts where people live and 1995 per capita incomes for Pennsylvania’s counties in figure 7. show a steady increase in line with the nation’s growth. See the Projected trends in per capita income for the Commonwealth are in the highest 100 counties nation per capita income. of the 67 counties, Bucks, Chester, and Montgomery, Data Center) is close to the national average. In pure ranking, 4 Pennsylvania’s 1996 per capita income of $24,803 (Penn State T

rends in Income and Employment rends in Income and Employment rends in Income and Employment rends in Income and Employment rends in Income and Employment PER CAPITA INCOME DISTRIBUTION FOR 1995

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

What Does All This Mean for the Future? Business and Economic T What Does All This Mean for the Future? Business and Economic T Business and Economic T What Does All This Mean for the Future? What Does All This Mean for the Future? Business and Economic T What Does All This Mean for the Future? portation system. vehicles, congestion and demands on Pennsylvania’s trans- and in the delivery of goods services has meant more amount of travel. Travel to work, shops, recreation to transportation? They all translate into patterns of travel and How are population, income, employment and business relevant connects it to the rest of world. system will continue to be the tie that binds economy and and manufacturing will be the top activities. The transportation with a bright future (see figure 9 on page 26). Services, finance As the new century begins, Pennsylvania is an economic power Business and Economic T Per Capita Income (1995) 090 35,000 to 40,000 30,000 to 35,000 25,000 to 30,000 20,000 to 25,000 15,000 to 20,000 10,000 to 15,000 060 30

Miles

rends rends rends rends rends

Per Capita Income Distribution for 1995 Figure 7 areas,

Projected Employment Tr Projected

ends for Pennsylvania Figure 8 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Regional Projection for 2045, July 1995

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Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Regional Projection for 2045, July 1995

Projected Industrial Trends for Pennsylvania Projected Figure 9

Freight Railroads A Freight Railroads A Freight Railroads A Freight Railroads A Freight Railroads A current transportation system. trian facilities. The following is an inventory of Pennsylvania’s freight transportation, and has many miles of bicycle pedes- The state has a large system of intercity bus, passenger rail and phia and respectively. have the world’s largest freshwater and inland ports, at Philadel- ports and fourth in total miles of rails converted to . We owned highway network. We are fourth in the number of air- We have the nation’s fifth largest transportation-department- nation and the world. Pennsylvania is a transportation leader. tion network that connects us with one another, the rest of Pennsylvania has an extensive ground, air and water transporta- WHAT DO WE NOW HAVE?

viation viation viation viation viation 190 million tons of freight moved annually. • 5,600 miles of railroads statewide, over half which are • 70 railroads, most of any state. • Over 23 million scheduled flights annually. • One state owned airport (Grand Canyon, Tioga County). • 148 public use airports, 344 private 304 •

Class I (owned by a major carrier). private use heliports. Horseshoe Curve—Blair County

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Bicycle/Pedestrian Bicycle/Pedestrian Bicycle/Pedestrian Bicycle/Pedestrian include: state access for bicyclists. The six routes, shown in figure 10, bine on-road sections with off-road paths, will provide safe, cross- BicyclePA’s proposed long-distance touring routes, which com- Bicycle/Pedestrian Pennsylvania’s rails-to-trails program is a model for the country: • 1 -to- 1 route through Erie County. • 3 north-south, border-to-border routes totaling more than • 2 east-west, border-to-border routes totaling more than • Planned trails totaling more than 1,000 miles will be • 867 miles of trails, 4th-highest total in the nation. • 99 open trails, the most in nation. •

700 miles. 700 miles. completed by December 31, 2000.

PennDOT Driver and V PennDOT Driver and V PennDOT Driver and V PennDOT Driver and V PennDOT Driver and V development. stantially complete. The other four are in various stages of Two of these touring routes, Route Z and G, are sub- A state-of-the-art, contracted, customer Call Center, • 72 Driver License Centers, processing 1.4 million • 18,000 licensed safety inspection stations; 80,000 certified • More than 30 million customer transactions per year; 8.3 •

handling 2.7 million calls per year. cessing 50,000 transactions per year. 1 million transactions per year; 200 on-line dealers, pro- transactions per year; 100 on-line messengers, processing mechanics. inspection stations; 14,300 certified emission safety inspection mechanics; 2,800 licensed emission 8,000 new and used car dealers. million licensed drivers; 9.7 registered vehicles;

ehicle Services ehicle Services ehicle Services ehicle Services ehicle Services

Corridors BicyclePAProposed Bicycle T Figure 10 ouring

Intercity Passenger Rail Intercity Passenger Rail Intercity Passenger Rail Intercity Passenger Rail Intercity Passenger Rail • 4.2 million passengers annually. • 100 trains daily in Pennsylvania. 5 services along 4 lines (see figure 11 on page 30): •

.—service between and 5. /—service from 4. Northeast Corridor—service from Washington, D.C., 3. Lakeshore Limited—service from to , 2. —service from Pittsburgh to Washing- 1.

“W “W sidings eliminated.” sidings eliminated.” from taking their rail siding out of place. This has been a hurt to small businesses have so many from taking their rail siding out of place. This has been a hurt to small businesses have so many “W from taking their rail siding out of place. This has been a hurt to small businesses have so many sidings eliminated.” “W “W sidings eliminated.” sidings eliminated.” from taking their rail siding out of place. This has been a hurt to small businesses have so many from taking their rail siding out of place. This has been a hurt to small businesses have so many

Harrisburg. Ardmore. Elizabethtown, Lancaster, Downingtown, Paoli, and Altoona, Tyrone, Huntingdon, Lewistown, additional stops at Greensburg, Latrobe, Johnstown, to Pittsburgh, Harrisburg, and Philadelphia, with Philadelphia suburbs and Atlantic ). stop in Philadelphia (and connecting rail service to the and to and Boston, with a with a stop in Erie. ton, D.C., with a stop in Connellsville (Fayette County).

e need a better rail system. W e need a better rail system. W e need a better rail system. W e need a better rail system. W e need a better rail system. W

e used to use rail here a lot, but we didn’ e used to use rail here a lot, but we didn’ e used to use rail here a lot, but we didn’ e used to use rail here a lot, but we didn’ e used to use rail here a lot, but we didn’

Intercity Bus Intercity Bus Intercity Bus Intercity Bus Intercity Bus 345,000 passengers annually. • 2,340 route miles statewide. • 1 national and 4 regional carriers operating 18 intercity bus •

routes. —Pennsylvania businessperson —Pennsylvania businessperson —Pennsylvania businessperson —Pennsylvania businessperson —Pennsylvania businessperson

t use it enough to keep them t use it enough to keep them t use it enough to keep them t use it enough to keep them t use it enough to keep them

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30 Existing Conditions

Amtrak Stations in Pennsylvania Figure 11

Norman W

Sachs Mill Covered —Adams County

ood Bridge—Lancaster and York Counties

Highways and Highways and Bridges Highways and Bridges Highways and Bridges Highways and Bridges 6,800 locally owned bridges. • 25,000 PennDOT-owned bridges. • 100.4 billion vehicle miles traveled annually. • 119,000 miles of interstate (see figure 12 on page 32), • 40,500 miles of PennDOT-owned highways. • state, and local roads.

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PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATE AND U.S. ROUTES

Pennsylvania Interstate and U.S. Routes Figure 12

Major Intermodal Facilities in Pennsylvania

Paratransit Intermodal Facilities Paratransit Intermodal Facilities Paratransit Intermodal Facilities Paratransit Intermodal Facilities Paratransit Intermodal Facilities 8.9 million trips annually. • 61 systems statewide. • 32 major intermodal facilities statewide (see •

figure 13).

Figure 13

Public T Public T Public T Public T Public T 740 fixed-guideway miles. • 470 transit-related bridges. • 5,115 transit vehicles. • Nation’s 5 • 300 million transit trips annually. • 42 transit systems statewide (see figure 14, page 35, which •

largest in Pittsburgh. shows headquarters, but not all systems).

ransit ransit ransit ransit ransit th largest transit system in Philadelphia and 14 th

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Ports Ports Ports Ports connect Pennsylvania to the rest of country and world. Together with their links to rail and highway systems, the ports as engines for commerce and development throughout the state. Pennsylvania benefits greatly from its three ports, which serve Ports • The Port of Philadelphia, which functions as a partnership • The , the nation’s largest , The Port of Erie provides access to the markets •

serve the port, which also has a growing cruise business. lines. Three rail carriers and approximately 125 truck lines hubs for goods being shipped via the state’s freight rail breakbulk cargo. Many of its terminals serve as intermodal tainer and bulk traffic business to accompany its in world’s largest freshwater ports. It has a growing con- of public and private shipping operations, is one the Nuevo Leon that should extend trade with . into a “sister port” agreement with the Mexican state of reaches markets in 24 states. Pittsburgh recently entered includes the Ohio, Missouri, and Mississippi Rivers links Pennsylvania to the 9,000-mile waterway system that locomotives and heat transformers. commodities, and it serves as point of origin for Erie’s is an active transfer point for bulk shipments of many extends to the Atlantic via Saint Lawrence Seaway. It other Great Lakes states and , its reach

Port of Philadelphia Port of Erie Transit Properties 090 060 30 6 34 Miles

4 and Transit Assistance 9 2 8 1 Sources: National Transportation Atlas Database (NTAD), 7 5 11 10 1997: BTS, U.S. DOT; PennDOT Card Report

TRANSIT PROPERTIES AND TRANSIT ASSISTANCE Figure 14 3 12 13 17 Transit Assistance ($ Thousands) 16 14 15 18 1997-98 1996-97 1995-96 10,000 20,000 5,000 33 25 19 27 32 24 20 26 30 for PAT and SEPTA Transit Assistance ($ Thousands) 22 28 31 23 21 29 1997-98 1996-97 1995-96 35 1,000,000 250,000 500,000 Transit (County and System) Properties 2. CRAWFORD (CATA) 7. BUTLER (BUTLER) 15. CENTRE (CATA) 4. MERCER (SHARON) 16. CLEARFIELD (DuFAST) 22. BERKS (BARTA) 12. INDIANA (ICTA) 23. LEHIGH (LANTA) 24. LEBANON (COLT) 19.(YCTA) YORK 13. CAMBRIA (CCTA) 21. MONTGOMERY (POTTSTOWN) 20. LANCASTER (RRTA) 35. PHILADELPHIA (SEPTA) 34. ALLEGHENY (PAT) 33. LYCOMING (WILLIAMSPORT CITY) 32. BRADFORD (EMTA) 31. LACKAWANNA (COLTS) 30. LUZERNE (LCTA + HAZLETON) 29. MONROE (MCTA) 28. CARBON (CARBON) 27. NORTHUMBERLAND (MOUNT CARMEL) 26. SCHUYLKILL (SCHUYLKILL) 8. BEAVER (BCTA) 11. ARMSTRONG (MidCTA) 9. WASHINGTON (MMVTA + WASHINGTON CITY) 6. LAWRENCE (NEW CASTLE) 14. BLAIR (AMTRAN) 3. WARREN(TAWC) 18. FRANKLIN (CTA) 17. ELK (ATA) 10.(WCTA) WESTMORELAND 25. DAUPHIN (CAT) 5.(VENANGO) VENANGO 1. ERIE (EMTA)

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