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Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Solar Forcings
1 Responses of the hydrological cycle to solar forcings Jane Smyth Advised by Dr. Trude Storelvmo Second Reader Dr. William Boos May 6, 2016 A Senior Thesis presented to the faculty of the Department of Geology and Geophysics, Yale University, in partial fulfillment of the Bachelor’s Degree. In presenting this thesis in partial fulfillment of the Bachelor’s Degree from the Department of Geology and Geophysics, Yale University, I agree that the department may make copies or post it on the departmental website so that others may better understand the undergraduate research of the de- partment. I further agree that extensive copying of this thesis is allowable only for scholarly purposes. It is understood, however, that any copying or publication of this thesis for commercial purposes or financial gain is not allowed without my written consent. Jane Elizabeth Smyth, 6 May, 2016 RESPONSESOFTHE HYDROLOGICALCYCLETOjane smyth SOLARFORCINGS Senior Thesis advised by dr. trude storelvmo 1 Chapter I: Solar Geoengineering 4 contents1.1 Abstract . 4 1.2 Introduction . 5 1.2.1 Solar Geoengineering . 5 1.2.2 The Hydrological Cycle . 5 1.3 Models & Methods . 7 1.4 Results and Discussion . 9 1.4.1 Thermodynamic Scaling of Net Precipitation . 9 1.4.2 Dynamically Driven Precipitation . 12 1.4.3 Relative Humidity . 12 1.5 Conclusions . 14 1.6 Appendix . 16 2 Chapter II: Orbital Precession 22 2.1 Abstract . 22 2.2 Introduction . 23 2.3 Experimental Design & Methods . 24 2.3.1 Atmospheric Heat Transport . 25 2.3.2 Hadley Circulation . 25 2.3.3 Gross Moist Stability . -
Hadley Cell and the Trade Winds of Hawai'i: Nā Makani
November 19, 2012 Hadley Cell and the Trade Winds of Hawai'i Hadley Cell and the Trade Winds of Hawai‘i: Nā Makani Mau Steven Businger & Sara da Silva [email protected], [email protected] Iasona Ellinwood, [email protected] Pauline W. U. Chinn, [email protected] University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa Figure 1. Schematic of global circulation Grades: 6-8, modifiable for 9-12 Time: 2 - 10 hours Nā Honua Mauli Ola, Guidelines for Educators, No Nā Kumu: Educators are able to sustain respect for the integrity of one’s own cultural knowledge and provide meaningful opportunities to make new connections among other knowledge systems (p. 37). Standard: Earth and Space Science 2.D ESS2D: Weather and Climate Weather varies day to day and seasonally; it is the condition of the atmosphere at a given place and time. Climate is the range of a region’s weather over one to many years. Both are shaped by complex interactions involving sunlight, ocean, atmosphere, latitude, altitude, ice, living things, and geography that can drive changes over multiple time scales—days, weeks, and months for weather to years, decades, centuries, and beyond for climate. The ocean absorbs and stores large amounts of energy from the sun and releases it slowly, moderating and stabilizing global climates. Sunlight heats the land more rapidly. Heat energy is redistributed through ocean currents and atmospheric circulation, winds. Greenhouse gases absorb and retain the energy radiated from land and ocean surfaces, regulating temperatures and keep Earth habitable. (A Framework for K-12 Science Education, NRC, 2012) Hawai‘i Content and Performance Standards (HCPS) III http://standardstoolkit.k12.hi.us/index.html 1 November 19, 2012 Hadley Cell and the Trade Winds of Hawai'i STRAND THE SCIENTIFIC PROCESS Standard 1: The Scientific Process: SCIENTIFIC INVESTIGATION: Discover, invent, and investigate using the skills necessary to engage in the scientific process Benchmarks: SC.8.1.1 Determine the link(s) between evidence and the Topic: Scientific Inquiry conclusion(s) of an investigation. -
Ocean Currents and the Pacific Garbage Patch
ocean currents and the Pacific Garbage Patch photo: Scripps Institution of Oceanography The image above shows a net tow sample from the Pacific Garbage Patch. The sample contains small fish and many small pieces of plastic. The Garbage Patch is primarily composed of this small plastic “confetti” suspended throughout the surface water of the North Pacific Gyre, and is not a island of trash as suggested by some media outlets. The region where the trash converges in the center of the North Pacific Gyre, in a region where surface currents are weak and convergent, thus concentrating large amounts of trash in an area estimated to be close to the size of Texas. With this slide I often show a video clip about the Garbage Patch. Although the links may change, here is one from ABC that I’ve used several times: www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFMW8srq0Qk this video is a bit over the top but it gets the point across. There is additional information from Scripps Institution of Oceanography SEAPLEX experiment: http://sio.ucsd.edu/Expeditions/Seaplex/ and several videos on youtube.com by searching the phrase “SEAPLEX” Pacific garbage patch tiny plastic bits • the worlds largest dump? • filled with tiny plastic “confetti” large plastic debris from the garbage patch photo: Scripps Institution of Oceanography little jellyfish photo: Scripps Institution of Oceanography These are some of the things you find in the Garbage Patch. The large pieces of plastic, such as bottles, breakdown into tiny particles. Sometimes animals get caught in large pieces of floating trash: photo: NOAA photo: NOAA photo: Scripps Institution of Oceanography How do plants and animals interact with small small pieces of plastic? fish larvae growing on plastic Trash in the ocean can cause various problems for the organisms that live there. -
Winds in the Lower Cloud Level on the Nightside of Venus from VIRTIS-M (Venus Express) 1.74 Μm Images
atmosphere Article Winds in the Lower Cloud Level on the Nightside of Venus from VIRTIS-M (Venus Express) 1.74 µm Images Dmitry A. Gorinov * , Ludmila V. Zasova, Igor V. Khatuntsev, Marina V. Patsaeva and Alexander V. Turin Space Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, 117997 Moscow, Russia; [email protected] (L.V.Z.); [email protected] (I.V.K.); [email protected] (M.V.P.); [email protected] (A.V.T.) * Correspondence: [email protected] Abstract: The horizontal wind velocity vectors at the lower cloud layer were retrieved by tracking the displacement of cloud features using the 1.74 µm images of the full Visible and InfraRed Thermal Imaging Spectrometer (VIRTIS-M) dataset. This layer was found to be in a superrotation mode with a westward mean speed of 60–63 m s−1 in the latitude range of 0–60◦ S, with a 1–5 m s−1 westward deceleration across the nightside. Meridional motion is significantly weaker, at 0–2 m s−1; it is equatorward at latitudes higher than 20◦ S, and changes its direction to poleward in the equatorial region with a simultaneous increase of wind speed. It was assumed that higher levels of the atmosphere are traced in the equatorial region and a fragment of the poleward branch of the direct lower cloud Hadley cell is observed. The fragment of the equatorward branch reveals itself in the middle latitudes. A diurnal variation of the meridional wind speed was found, as east of 21 h local time, the direction changes from equatorward to poleward in latitudes lower than 20◦ S. -
NWS Unified Surface Analysis Manual
Unified Surface Analysis Manual Weather Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center National Hurricane Center Honolulu Forecast Office November 21, 2013 Table of Contents Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers…………….3 Chapter 2: Datasets available for creation of the Unified Analysis………...…..5 Chapter 3: The Unified Surface Analysis and related features.……….……….19 Chapter 4: Creation/Merging of the Unified Surface Analysis………….……..24 Chapter 5: Bibliography………………………………………………….…….30 Appendix A: Unified Graphics Legend showing Ocean Center symbols.….…33 2 Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers 1. INTRODUCTION Since 1942, surface analyses produced by several different offices within the U.S. Weather Bureau (USWB) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Weather Service (NWS) were generally based on the Norwegian Cyclone Model (Bjerknes 1919) over land, and in recent decades, the Shapiro-Keyser Model over the mid-latitudes of the ocean. The graphic below shows a typical evolution according to both models of cyclone development. Conceptual models of cyclone evolution showing lower-tropospheric (e.g., 850-hPa) geopotential height and fronts (top), and lower-tropospheric potential temperature (bottom). (a) Norwegian cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) and (III) narrowing warm sector, (IV) occlusion; (b) Shapiro–Keyser cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) frontal fracture, (III) frontal T-bone and bent-back front, (IV) frontal T-bone and warm seclusion. Panel (b) is adapted from Shapiro and Keyser (1990) , their FIG. 10.27 ) to enhance the zonal elongation of the cyclone and fronts and to reflect the continued existence of the frontal T-bone in stage IV. -
Global Climate Influencer – Arctic Oscillation
ARCTIC OSCILLATION GLOBAL CLIMATE INFLUENCER by James Rohman | February 2014 Figure 1. A satellite image of the jet stream. Figure 2. How the jet stream/Arctic Oscillation might affect weather distribution in the Northern Hemisphere. Arctic Oscillation Introduction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
Globe Lesson 10 - Latitude Zones - Grade 6+ Geographers Divide the Earth Into Latitude Zones
Globe Lesson 10 - Latitude Zones - Grade 6+ Geographers divide the Earth into latitude zones. There are three latitude zones: - Low latitude zones - Middle latitude zones - High latitude zones There are 90 degrees of latitude. Each zone of latitude is 30 degrees wide. The Equator is 0 degrees. 0 to 30 are low numbers, 30-60 are middle numbers, and 60 to 90 are high numbers. This chart shows the arrangement of the zones in the Northern Hemisphere. Write in high, middle, and low latitude zones in the proper order in the Southern Hemisphere. Remember that the Equator is latitude 0 and the South Pole is latitude 90. Find the 180th meridian on your globe. On this line you will find the numbers of the printed parallels. Find 30 and 60 degrees north latitude. Draw a line of dashes around your globe on these lines. Find 30 and 60 degrees south latitude. Draw a line of dashes on these lines. These parallels divide the latitude zones. Label the zones Low, Middle and High in both the Northern and Southern Hemisphere on your globe. Finding Latitude Zones 4. In the following exercise identify the latitude with the proper latitude zone. "L" stands for low latitudes. "M" stands for middle latitudes. "H" stands for high latitudes. ______ 35°N ______ 23°N ______ 86°N ______ 15°N ______ 5°N ______ 66°N ______ 45°N ______ 28°N 5. In the following exercise, identify each city with the latitude zone where you find it. "L" stands for low latitudes. "M" stands for middle latitudes. -
Monthly Weather Review June1960
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE WEATHER BUREAU FREDERICK H. MUELLER, Secretary F. W.REICHELDERFER, Chief MONTHLYWEATHER REVIEW JAMESE. CASKEY, JR., Editor Volume 88 JUNE 1960 Closed August 15, 1960 Number 6 Issued September 15, 1960 THE SEASONAL VARIATION OF THE STRENGTH OF THE SOUTHERN CIRCUMPOLAR VORTEX W. SCHWERDTFEGER Department of Meteorology, Naval Hydrographic Service, Argentina [Manuscript received May 24, 1960; revised June 20, 19601 ABSTRACT The annual marchof the strengthof the southerncircumpolar. vortexis shown to be composed of a simple annual variation(with the maximumoccurring in late winter)which dominates in thestratosphere, and a semiannual variation with the maximum at the equinoxes, which is the dominating part in the troposphere. This behavior of the circumpolarvortex is considered to be the consequence of the seasonal variation of radiation conditions and of the different efficiency of meridional turbulent exchange in the troposphere and stratosphere. It is suggested that the semiannual variation of the tropospheric vortex is an essential feature of a planetary circulation. The annual march of pressure with opposite phase values at polar and middle latitudes, can be understood as a consequence of the formation and decay of the great circumpolar vortex. 1. INTRODUCTION part of the period which can now be considered. The Some aerological data of the Southern Hemisphere and South Pole station has been taken as representative of the particularly those from the South Pole (Amundsen-Scott inner part of the SCPV, in spiteof the fact that inseveral Station) obtained during theIGY and its extension through months the center of the vortex cannot be found exactly 1959, make it possible for the first time to arrive at an es- over the Pole. -
Surface Circulation2016
OCN 201 Surface Circulation Excess heat in equatorial regions requires redistribution toward the poles 1 In the Northern hemisphere, Coriolis force deflects movement to the right In the Southern hemisphere, Coriolis force deflects movement to the left Combination of atmospheric cells and Coriolis force yield the wind belts Wind belts drive ocean circulation 2 Surface circulation is one of the main transporters of “excess” heat from the tropics to northern latitudes Gulf Stream http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NewImages/Images/gulf_stream_modis_lrg.gif 3 How fast ( in miles per hour) do you think western boundary currents like the Gulf Stream are? A 1 B 2 C 4 D 8 E More! 4 mph = C Path of ocean currents affects agriculture and habitability of regions ~62 ˚N Mean Jan Faeroe temp 40 ˚F Islands ~61˚N Mean Jan Anchorage temp 13˚F Alaska 4 Average surface water temperature (N hemisphere winter) Surface currents are driven by winds, not thermohaline processes 5 Surface currents are shallow, in the upper few hundred metres of the ocean Clockwise gyres in North Atlantic and North Pacific Anti-clockwise gyres in South Atlantic and South Pacific How long do you think it takes for a trip around the North Pacific gyre? A 6 months B 1 year C 10 years D 20 years E 50 years D= ~ 20 years 6 Maximum in surface water salinity shows the gyres excess evaporation over precipitation results in higher surface water salinity Gyres are underneath, and driven by, the bands of Trade Winds and Westerlies 7 Which wind belt is Hawaii in? A Westerlies B Trade -
Waves in the Westerlies
Operational Weather Analysis … www.wxonline.info Chapter 9 Waves in the Westerlies Operational meteorologists track middle latitude disturbances in the middle to upper troposphere as part of their analysis of the atmosphere. This chapter describes these waves and highlights the importance of these waves to day-to-day weather changes at the Earth’s surface. The Westerlies Atmospheric flow above the Earth’s surface in the middle latitudes is primarily westerly. That is, the winds have a prevailing westerly component with numerous north and south meanders that impose wave-like undulations upon the basic west- to-east flow. This flow extends from the subtropical high pressure belt poleward to around 65 degrees latitude. A glance at any upper level chart from 700 mb upward to 200 mb shows that the westerlies dominate in the middle and upper troposphere. The term westerlies will refer to this layer unless otherwise specified. Upper Level Charts The westerlies are easily identified on charts of constant pressure in the middle to upper troposphere. That is, charts are prepared from upper level data at specified pressure levels (called standard levels). Traditionally, lines are drawn on these charts to represent the height of the pressure surface above mean sea level, temperature, and, on some charts, wind speed. With modern computer workstations, any observed or derived parameter may be drawn on an upper level chart. Standard levels include charts for 925, 850, 700, 500, 300, 250, 200, 150 and 100 mb. For our discussion of the westerlies, only levels from 700 mb upward to 200 mb will be considered. -
Change of the Tropical Hadley Cell Since 1950
Change of the Tropical Hadley Cell Since 1950 Xiao-Wei Quan, Henry F. Diaz, and Martin P. Hoerling NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostic Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA last revision: March 24, 2004 Abstract The change in the tropical Hadley cell since 1950 is examined within the context of the long-term warming in the global surface temperatures. The study involves analyses of observations, including various metrics of Hadley cell, and ensemble 50-year simulations by an atmospheric general circulation model forced with the observed evolution of global sea surface temperature since 1950. Consistent evidence is found for an intensification of the Northern Hemisphere winter Hadley cell since 1950. This is shown to be an atmospheric response to the observed tropical ocean warming trend, together with an intensification in El Niño’s interannual fluctuations including larger amplitude and increased frequency after 1976. The intensification of the winter Hadley cell is shown to be associated with an intensified hydrological cycle consisting of increased equatorial oceanic rainfall, and a general drying of tropical/subtropical landmasses. This Hadley cell change is consistent with previously documented dynamic changes in the extratropics, including a strengthening of westerly atmospheric flow and an intensification of midlatitude cyclones. 1. Introduction The tropical Hadley cell, by definition, is the zonal mean meridional mass circulation in the atmosphere bounded roughly by 30ºS and 30ºN. It is characterized by equatorward mass transport by the prevailing trade wind flow in the lower troposphere, and poleward mass transport in the upper troposphere. This lateral mass circulation links the mean ascending motion in the equatorial zone with subsidence in the subtropics, and represents a major part of the large-scale meridional overturning between tropics and subtropics. -
ESSENTIALS of METEOROLOGY (7Th Ed.) GLOSSARY
ESSENTIALS OF METEOROLOGY (7th ed.) GLOSSARY Chapter 1 Aerosols Tiny suspended solid particles (dust, smoke, etc.) or liquid droplets that enter the atmosphere from either natural or human (anthropogenic) sources, such as the burning of fossil fuels. Sulfur-containing fossil fuels, such as coal, produce sulfate aerosols. Air density The ratio of the mass of a substance to the volume occupied by it. Air density is usually expressed as g/cm3 or kg/m3. Also See Density. Air pressure The pressure exerted by the mass of air above a given point, usually expressed in millibars (mb), inches of (atmospheric mercury (Hg) or in hectopascals (hPa). pressure) Atmosphere The envelope of gases that surround a planet and are held to it by the planet's gravitational attraction. The earth's atmosphere is mainly nitrogen and oxygen. Carbon dioxide (CO2) A colorless, odorless gas whose concentration is about 0.039 percent (390 ppm) in a volume of air near sea level. It is a selective absorber of infrared radiation and, consequently, it is important in the earth's atmospheric greenhouse effect. Solid CO2 is called dry ice. Climate The accumulation of daily and seasonal weather events over a long period of time. Front The transition zone between two distinct air masses. Hurricane A tropical cyclone having winds in excess of 64 knots (74 mi/hr). Ionosphere An electrified region of the upper atmosphere where fairly large concentrations of ions and free electrons exist. Lapse rate The rate at which an atmospheric variable (usually temperature) decreases with height. (See Environmental lapse rate.) Mesosphere The atmospheric layer between the stratosphere and the thermosphere.