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The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune Insider Poll for the Week of July 15

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The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune Insider Poll for the Week of July 15 The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for the week of July 15 INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 15 July 2013 INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 15 July 2013 INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 15 July 2013 Do you think Rick Perry will run for president in 2016? • "Of course. It allows him to be in good advice on what that plan should front of a camera, he can stay in the be and pays attention to all of its finest hotels, and someone else pays elements, including becoming more all the bills. But don't expect him to conversant with some national and start construction on a 'Crawford-like' foreign policy issues, he could put western white house at Paint Creek. himself in a credible position to throw He'll be staying in the New his hat back in the ring." Hampshire mansion on the Carney- Toomey Island!" • "Yes. But will fail and drop out early." • "His degree from Texas A@M in the end will help him distinguish mature • "He believes he has a message from thought from manure thought. If he God which needs to me delivered. can convince Anita that being a And he just may." regional El Jefe has its pleasures then life won't be bad at the end of the • "Does Perry wear pointy boots?" public trail." • "Perry's retirement from the • "Earrings on a pig, but still, pigs is Governor's office will greatly reduce pigs, to borrow from one of my his public profile and ability to raise ancestors, John Nance Garner, all the money. His dismal showing in 2012 preparation and expertise that might leaves him starting a race for the be made available to him in terms of nomination nearly at zero." foreign and military policy, to mention only a couple of blind sides, • "Mrs. Perry is looking for a new you can explain it to him but you can't address" understand it for him" • "Depends on whether he decides he • "He is doomed to failure. The public has the fire in the belly to run, and it has decided he's not very bright, and depends on whether he has the there are plenty of bright candidates blessings of his family to see it available." through. Presidential campaigns are grueling experiences that expose • "Americans want a conservative candidates and their families to choice." intense scrutiny." • "What else is he going to do?" • "There is no reason for him not to run." • "Yes, he can't help himself." • "Ego demands it." • "Smirking all the way!" • "There are two avenues he can take: • "Perry is very disciplined at 1) Run for President; or 2) Be the head executing campaign plans. IF he gets of an organization that needs someone INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 15 July 2013 with 'Perry Skills' to lead them in • "His appeal runs thin north of the troubled times such as the NRA. I still Red River, but those who talk to him believe those advising him want are south of it." another shot at President. They now know the landscape and where the • "As if Lorne Michaels needs this, but land mines are buried." why not!" • "It depends. If he gets strong • "Why not?" national financial support, yes he will run. If he does not, he will politely • "Why not? If he can raise the bow out." money." • "Yes, and make Texas look stupid • "He's a great fundraiser.... perhaps again." head of the NRC? He'll do something high profile at a national level. He's • "I think he burned his hand on the not done yet." stove and won't be touching it again. He'll pull a Palin and bask in the glow • "He'll show leg, but I doubt of the celebrity spotlight...and then anyone's going to want yesterday's take a pass." reject." • "He'll start making money and not • "Too early" want to risk it. He will be a voice in the election, but not a candidate." • "No Doubt." • "Does the Pope wear a funny hat?" • "Of course he will.... he thinks...'if GWB did it, I can too!'" • "To quote someone else's bumper sticker ... Why the hell not?" Do you think he can win the presidential nomination in 2016? • "Nope. Good looks and Texas job • "I think America has had enough of creation record will get you a seat Texans in the White House." with Mike Christie in the back of the bus." • "Dead man walking. 'He's dead, but he won't lay down.'" • "Pigs is pigs" • "I don't know if anyone not named • "No, but he'll raise his media profile Rick Perry thinks he can win." and maybe land a Fox news slot, or infowars." • "The economy is a winning issue." • "He will again be the laughingstock • "I suppose he can. The real question of the republican field!!" is 'will he'?" • "No, he can't help himself." INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 15 July 2013 • "Can he win? Yes. Should he win? • "A lot can happen between now and No way in hell, but the American then and who knows what the major people love the chance to give issues will be in 2016, but if the someone a second chance. If he economy continues to sputter along, ACTUALLY STUDIES this time, he place a side bet on him--he seems to has a shot." have impeccable timing." • "Too many gaffes last time, and that • "When you stumble as badly as he won't change this time." did in 2012, you don't get a second shot at the title." • "The bigger question might be whether any Republican that wins the • "Maybe - depends on the final two nomination has a chance to win the years of the current Administration." presidency. For Perry to win the nomination he would have to re- • "Yes, I think he can if he runs a frame himself as a leader rather than disciplined campaign that also allows try to overcome the perception that he voters to get to know him, and not just is not a good debater or that he is not through the eyes of the media." knowledgeable about all the relevant facts. This could happen. We don't • "There are too many other need the smartest man in the world as candidates with actual competence." president, or the best debater. We need a leader, a person who will • "It is too soon to determine that. inspire public service and surround Until we know what happens in the himself with smart people in their 2014 elections, we will not know how respective areas of expertise. We need the primary field is going to shake out someone who is well grounded with a -- and we must know that, at a core set of principles that he or she minimum, before we can assess uses to make difficult decisions. No Perry's chances. What the Democrats one ever accused Ronald Reagan of do will also matter. If they nominate being the smartest man in the room." Hillary, as we assume, R's will need to look at the best candidate to beat her." • "He will need to run a flawless campaign. He will be a better • "Oops" candidate, but the field will be immensely tougher. Iowa or bust. • "Can? Anything is possible. At this Probably has to win Iowa and SC to time, it's way to early to tell but he can be viable -- a very tough road." make a compelling case for himself. As many jobs created nationally as all • "No. That's funny!" other states combined? If I were living in a struggling state, that message • "The national media will Dan would resonate." Quayle him. They brought up his debate memory lapse when reporting • "His conservative family values and his announcement that he would not job creation record play well, but not seek re-election." sure if the nation has fully recovered from its hangover from the last presidential run." INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 15 July 2013 • "His last run was rushed. I think if • "Perry's been a good Governor for he can rehabilitate his image (big if?) Texas, and is clearly up to that job, but then he has a good shot." he just doesn't have the upstairs room for the Presidency." • "Can he? Yes. Will he? Not sure yet." • "His first run left a bad taste in the • "No because 1) his job poaching tour mouth of republicans. Is he going to is poisoning giant pools of voters he be ready for prime time this time? Are would need in the primary 2) you the voters looking for a new face or a only get one chance to make a first recycled candidate? Too many impression 3) oops, I forget." questions for Perry here." • "Not a snowball's chance." • "America needs a strong conservative leader after 8 years of big • "Nope. He is tilting at windmills. government growth and spending." But as long as he can do it with other people's money, why not?" • "The rehab tour is too long" • "He won't even come in first in the • "There is going to be a very crowded state of Texas! Be lucky to get a field filled with very interesting folks. secretary position if the next president John Thune, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush. A happens to be Republican (maybe 2012 candidate retread just won't Commerce, Education or the uh).” spark much interest." • "Absolutely not." Do you think Greg Abbott will face a serious challenge in the governor’s race in 2014? • "Davis" separate and apart from Abbott and the crazies." • "I like Tom Pauken but he has no money and practically no audience.
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