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Home , Alcee Hastings, Ander Crenshaw, Audrey Gibson, Connie Mack IV, Corrine Brown, Dan Gelber

September 1, 2004

Building the 2005-2006 Legislature Primary Yields Two More Elected State House Members

Two more seats in the 2005-2006 Florida House of Representatives were elected yesterday, one each going to the Republican and Democratic candidates. The Primary Election brings the total number of House seats now elected to 53. There will be 36 contested House races going into November House Composition to Date Incoming Speaker of the House A political party must occupy 61 seats in the Allan Bense (R-Panama City) added one Florida House to hold a majority. more seat in his quest for a super-majority yesterday with the election of Trudi Williams Elected Democrats: 18 (R-Fort Myers). Williams won the seat Elected Republicans: 35 comfortably with nearly a 10-point spread Total Elected: 53 of 120 over former House member Ralph Livingston Political Analysis of the House in a race that became nasty in the final days A simple analysis of the remaining races of campaigning. indicates the following minimal outcome. The House Democratic Minority returned Republicans will again control the House. incumbent Mary Brandenburg (D-West Palm Democrats: 31 Beach) to their ranks of 18 now elected. At Republicans: 53 this point in the election cycle, 53 of the 120 Uncalled: 36 House seats have been elected. 120

1 Copyright © 2004 by Carlton Fields. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of the copyright owner. CARLTON FIELDS CAPITOL REPORT SEPTEMBER 1, 2004

Elected Representatives Ralph Arza (R) District 102 Ray Sansom (R) District 4 Yolly Roberson (D) District 104 Allan Bense (R) District 6 Ken Gottlieb (D) District 105 Will Kendrick (D) District 10 Dan Gelber (D) District 106 (R) District 12 Gus Barreiro (R) District 107 (R) District 13 Phillip Brutus (D) District 108 Terry Fields (D) District 14 Rene Garcia (R) District 110 (D) District 15 (R) District 112 Mark Mahon (R) District 16 Marcelo Llorente (R) District 116 Stan Jordan (R) District 17 Julio Robaina (R) District 117 Dick Kravitz (R) District 19 Edward Bullard (D) District 118 Joe Pickens (R) District 21

Larry Cretul (R) District 22

Dennis Baxley (R) District 24 Ralph Poppell (R) District 29 Incumbent Senator Bullard Defeats (R) District 33 Saunders in Difficult South Florida Race David Simmons (R) District 37 The big news on the Senate side was the (R) District 40 defeat of former legislator Ron Saunders (D- (R) District 48 Key West) by incumbent Senator Larcenia Kim Berfield (R) District 50 Bullard (R-Miami). Many pundits had Charlie Justice (D) District 53 expected Saunders to overtake Bullard in his Everett Rice (R) District 54 second attempt to become a State Senator. Frank Peterman (D) District 55 Bullard now faces Republican candidate Joe Arthenia Joyner (D) District 59 Delaney in November. Ken Littlefield (R) District 61 Senate Composition to Date (R) District 63 The Republicans are two seats away from John Stargel (R) District 64 retaining their majority (21) in the Florida Ron Reagan (R) District 67 Senate at this time. Bruce Kyle (R) District 73 Elected Democrats: 10 Jeff Kottkamp (R) District 74 Elected Republicans: 19 Trudi Williams (R) District 75 Total Elected: 29 of 40 Dudley Goodlette (R) District 76 Richard Machek (D) District 78 Political Analysis of the Senate Frank Attkisson (R) District 79 Carlton Fields has conducted a simple Stan Mayfield (R) District 80 analysis of the remaining Senate races, and Joe Negron (R) District 82 predicts the following minimal outcome after Mary Brandenburg (D) District 89 November in terms of Senate composition. Irving Slosberg (D) District 90 Democrats: 13 Ellyn Bogdanoff (R) District 91 Republicans: 26 Jack Seiler (D) District 92 Uncalled: 1 Ron Greenstein (D) District 95 40 (D) District 99 Tim Ryan (D) District 100 It appears the Republicans will have the 24 Mike Davis (R) District 101 seats necessary to have a 3/5 majority in

2 Copyright © 2004 by Carlton Fields. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of the copyright owner. CARLTON FIELDS CAPITOL REPORT SEPTEMBER 1, 2004 the Senate, and could possibly gain a 2/3 Congressional Primaries Recap super-majority by having 27 seats. A super US Senate majority effectively controls the debate in a , Democratic Nominee legislative chamber. Mel Martinez, Republican Nominee

Elected Senators (in 2004)* US House of Representatives Tony Hill (D) District 1 Dist 3: (D), now faces Evelyn Lynn (R) District 7 Write-in candidate. Dan Webster (R) District 9 Dist 4: (R), now faces Dennis Jones (R) District 13 Write-in candidate (R) District 20 Dist 5: Mike Bennett (R) District 21 Robert Whittel (D), now faces incumbent Ginny Brown-Waite Mandy Dawson (D) District 29 (R). Steve Geller (D) District 31 (D) District 33 Dist 9: Mike Bilirakis (R), now faces (D) District 35 Write-in candidate. Burt Saunders (R) District 37 Dist 12: Bob Hagenmaier (D), now faces incumbent Adam Putman (R). * With the exception of two special elections, only odd numbered Senate seats Dist 12: (R) now faces are up for election in 2004. challenger Bob Hagenmaier (D). Dist 13: Jan Schneider (D) now faces incumbent Katherin Harris (R). Dist 14: IV, now faces Robert Neeld (D). Dist 18: Sam Sheldonnow (D) faces incumbent Ileana Ross-Lehtinen (R). Dist 23: (D) now elected.

Carlton Fields Government Affairs Services Our Government Consulting Team members Contact Us: are completely versed in Florida’s political Gov. Bob Martinez: 813.229.4261 campaigns and candidates and can provide Rheb Harbison: 850.513.3615, counsel regarding the best use of political Michael Olenick: 850.513.3607 contributions.

3 Copyright © 2004 by Carlton Fields. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of the copyright owner.