NEWMARKET & RED LODGE ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILE 2020 This Division comprises parts of Exning, Newmarket North, Newmarket East, & Moulton, Iceni and & Chevington wards

www.suffolkobservatory.info 2 © Crown copyright and database rights 2020 Ordnance Survey 100023395

CONTENTS

▪ Demographic Profile: Age & Ethnicity ▪ Economy and Labour Market ▪ Schools & NEET ▪ Index of Multiple Deprivation ▪ Health ▪ Crime & Community Safety ▪ Additional Information ▪ Data Sources

3 ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILES: AN INTRODUCTION

These profiles have been produced to support elected members, constituents and other interested parties in understanding the demographic, economic, social and educational profile of their neighbourhoods. We have used the latest data available at the time of publication.

Much more data is available from national and local sources than is captured here, but it is hoped that the profile will be a useful starting point for discussion, where local knowledge and experience can be used to flesh out and illuminate the information presented here.

The profile can be used to help look at some fundamental questions e.g. ▪ Does the age profile of the population match or differ from the national profile? ▪ Is there evidence of the ageing profile of the county in all the wards in the Division or just some? ▪ How diverse is the community in terms of ethnicity? ▪ What is the impact of deprivation on families and residents? ▪ Does there seem to be a link between deprivation and school performance? ▪ What is the breakdown of employment sectors in the area? ▪ Is it a relatively healthy area compared to the rest of the district or county? ▪ What sort of crimes are prevalent in the community?

A vast amount of additional data is available on the Observatory

www.suffolkobservatory.info

The Suffolk Observatory is a free online resource that contains all Suffolk’s vital statistics; it is the one-stop-shop for information and intelligence about Suffolk. Through data, reports and profiles, the Suffolk Observatory provides a comprehensive picture of the County. It is a great source for useful facts and figures that can be used for writing reports and presentations, informing strategic and business planning, preparing funding applications or supporting academic research. Data is presented around the key themes of education and skills, economy and employment, health and care, population, deprivation, housing, environment, transport and travel and crime. All areas of the county are covered, right down to district, ward and parish level, with information easily accessible in a variety of formats. You can also build your own reports by different themes and topics.

Technical Notes: 1. Where Electoral Divisions do not exactly match ward boundaries, we have adopted a “best fit” approach to produce a dataset. 2. District, county and national level data is provided where possible to provide a context for comparisons.

4 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE - AGE In mid-2018, the population of Newmarket and Red Lodge stood at 14,990, an increase of 16.9% since the 2011 Census. The age structure of the component wards and the division as a whole is set out below.

Newmarket & Red Chedburgh & Kentford & Newmarket Newmarket Iceni Lodge Division Chevington Moulton East North All ages 14,990 205 6,000 1,780 1,485 5,520 0-4 1,345 15 745 120 110 350 5-9 1,105 10 540 85 125 340 10-14 820 10 345 105 90 275 15-19 655 15 225 80 110 225 20-24 885 5 425 55 85 315 25-29 1,355 0 695 85 110 465 30-34 1,550 5 785 75 135 550 35-39 1,135 10 445 100 105 475 40-44 785 5 315 70 70 325 45-49 815 5 285 105 80 340 50-54 990 25 310 150 100 410 55-59 810 30 245 120 90 330 60-64 675 10 205 115 75 265 65-69 605 15 135 120 70 265 70-74 565 20 135 140 35 235 75-79 300 10 40 70 30 150 80-84 280 10 70 60 25 115 85-89 170 5 45 60 15 40 90+ 145 5 20 65 20 40 Note: figures may not sum due to rounding

85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4

-12.0% -8.0% -4.0% 0.0% 4.0% 8.0% 12.0%

Great Britain - females Great Britain - males Newmarket & Red Lodge - females Newmarket & Red Lodge - males

5 ▪ The age pyramid for Newmarket and Red Lodge shows a far higher than average proportion of people between the ages of 25 and 34, and under 10 ▪ The most common age group in Newmarket and Red Lodge is 30-34 year olds, closely followed by 25-29 year olds. The number of young children requiring school places looks set to increase in the coming years ▪ There is a much lower than average number of people of retirement age

ETHNICITY 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

Newmarket & Red Lodge Suffolk

▪ According to the latest data (2011 Census), 92.6% of the population of Newmarket and Red Lodge are white ▪ 7.4% of the population in this Division are of other ethnic backgrounds, nearly one and a half times the proportion at the time of the 2001 Census ▪ Newmarket and Red Lodge has a similar diversity profile to generally, and generally higher proportions of other ethnic groups than Suffolk as a whole

Asian and Black and Other Black or All White White British Mixed Asian Black Ethnic Minority people British British Group Ethnic Total

Count Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Newmarket and 12,823 11,869 92.6 10,211 79.6 350 2.7 276 2.2 229 1.8 99 0.8 954 7.4 Red Lodge West Suffolk 170,756 161,522 94.6 147,381 86.3 3,148 1.8 3,087 1.8 2,198 1.3 801 0.5 9,234 5.4 Suffolk 728,163 693,195 95.2 661,458 90.8 12,472 1.7 13,131 1.8 6,854 0.9 2,511 0.3 34,968 4.8 England 86.0 80.5 2.2 6.7 2.8 0.4 12.1 & Wales

6 ECONOMY

There are 9,000 people employed in Newmarket and Red Lodge.

Other services

Health

Education

Public administration & defence

Business administration & support services

Professional, scientific & technical

Finance & insurance, property

Information & communication

Accommodation & food services

Transport & storage

Wholesale, retail & motor trades

Construction

Manufacturing

Primary industries, utilities

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Great Britain Suffolk West Suffolk Newmarket & Red Lodge

▪ There is a good mix of employment in Newmarket and Red Lodge. ▪ The key employment sectors in the division are wholesale, retail & motor trades, other services, construction, professional, scientific and technical activities and manufacturing. ▪ These five sectors account for nearly two thirds of jobs in the division.

7 LABOUR MARKET

BENEFIT CLAIMANTS

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0% Universal Credit Attendance Disability living Employment support Pension credit allowance allowance allowance

Newmarket & Red Lodge West Suffolk Suffolk Great Britain

▪ Newmarket and Red Lodge has lower proportions of benefit claimants than the district, county and Great Britain averages ▪ 3.4% of the 18+ population of Newmarket and Red Lodge were claiming Universal Credit according to provisional December 2019 figures, compared to 5.4% of people across Great Britain as a whole ▪ The phased shift to Universal Credit has resulted in no appropriate time series data being available for these indicators.

8 SCHOOLS

SCHOOL INFORMATION

Schools in the Division Pupils at Latest Name Phase the end of Latest Ofsted Ofsted KS2 Date Laureate Good (short inspection, first Community Primary 40 14/03/2019 since Academy Conversion) Academy Moulton CEVCP Primary 19 Good 06/12/2019 School St Christopher's Primary 25 Requires improvement 17/09/2019 CEVCP School St Louis Catholic Primary 44 Good 07/11/2019 Academy

School Catchment overlaps with the Division Latest Name Phase Latest Ofsted Date Ofsted All Saints Church of England Primary Not yet inspected as an Primary School Academy Houldsworth Valley Primary Academy Primary Good 28/11/2019 Newmarket Academy Upper Good 07/07/2017 Mildenhall College Academy Upper Good 10/03/2015

9 SCHOOL ATTAINMENT

Key Stage 2 (Age 11) 2019

▪ The latest Key Stage 2 attainment results show that pupils at Moulton CEVCP School performed above the national average across all attainment and progress measures ▪ Performance was mixed at Laureate Community Academy and St Louis Catholic Academy, although progress in writing and the average score in reading and maths was well above the England average at both schools ▪ The percentage of pupils meeting the expected Key Stage 2 standard was above the England average at Laureate Community Academy, Moulton CEVCP School and St Louis Catholic Academy. ▪ Overall progress at St Christopher’s CEVCP School was average in reading and writing and below average in maths

Key Stage 4 (Age 16) & Key Stage 5 (Age 18) There are no Upper schools within the Division

10 NEET % (NOT IN EDUCATION, EMPLOYMENT OR TRAINING)

8%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%

Newmarket & Red Lodge West Suffolk Suffolk

▪ In December 2019, 3.4% of 16-18-year-olds were classified as NEET in Newmarket and Red Lodge (where current activity is known) ▪ NEET levels in Newmarket and Red Lodge fluctuate considerably. According to the latest data the proportion of 16-18-year-olds classified as NEET is slightly higher than the district and country average ▪ There have been periods of time over the past five years when the NEET rate has been below the district and county average

11 INDEX OF MULTIPLE DEPRIVATION (IMD) 2019 (SEE MAP OVERLEAF)

The IMD combines a number of indicators, chosen to cover a range of economic, social and housing issues, into a single deprivation score for each small area in England. This allows each area to be ranked relative to one another according to their level of deprivation. Small areas (Lower Super Output Areas, average population 1,700) are most usually described as being in 1 of 5 quintile bands. The bottom quintile represents the 20% of areas that are the most deprived in the country; these are shaded red on the map. The top quintile represents the least deprived areas in the country, and is shaded green. The Index is widely used to analyse patterns of deprivation, identify areas that would benefit from special initiatives or programmes and as a tool to determine eligibility for specific funding streams.

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

% % of by LSOAs quintile 20%

10%

0% Most deprived Next most Mid 20% Next least Least deprived 20% deprived 20% deprived 20% 20%

Newmarket & Red Lodge West Suffolk Suffolk England

▪ The IMD 2019 shows that relative deprivation levels are below average Newmarket and Red Lodge division. ▪ Of the eight Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOA) comprising the division, five are ranked in the second least deprived 20% of LSOAs in the country, two are in the mid quintile and one is in the next most deprived quintile.

12 13 HEALTH

The local data used here is based on relatively small numbers. The confidence limits provide an indication of the reliability of the data. The 95% confidence intervals utilised on the chart provide a range within which there is 95% chance of the true result lying.

LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 Newmarket & Red West Suffolk Suffolk England Lodge

Life expectancy at birth for males, 2013-2017 Life expectancy at birth for females, 2013-2017

▪ Estimates for life expectancy in Newmarket and Red Lodge are slightly below the district, county and England average for males and slightly above average for females

DEATHS, UNDER 75 YEARS, STANDARDISED MORTALITY RATIO 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Deaths from all causes Deaths from all cancer Deaths from circulatory Deaths from coronary disease heart disease

Newmarket & Red Lodge West Suffolk Suffolk England

▪ The estimated early death rate for all causes in Newmarket and Red Lodge is marginally below that for the UK whilst being in line with district and county levels ▪ The standardised mortality ratio data shown here means that for every 100 early deaths from all causes across the UK as a whole, there are an estimated 90.4 comparable deaths in Newmarket and Red Lodge ▪ The estimated rate of deaths due to coronary heart disease in Newmarket and Red Lodge is higher than West Suffolk and Suffolk county averages ▪ The confidence intervals around these data at the local level are significant

14 CRIME & COMMUNITY SAFETY

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0 Newmarket & Red Lodge West Suffolk Suffolk England

Burglary Criminal damage and arson Drugs Public order Shoplifting Other theft Vehicle crime Violence and sexual offences Other

▪ Newmarket and Red Lodge has a higher rate of crime than the district and county average according to 2018-19 data ▪ There are just over 70 crimes recorded in the division for every 1,000 residents, compared to 66 in West Suffolk and 65 in Suffolk as a whole ▪ The crime profile in Newmarket and Red Lodge is similar to the district and county profiles ▪ “Violence and sexual offences” are the most common type of criminal activity recorded in the division, with more than 30 incidents per 1,000 residents

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

Parishes in Division Kentford Moulton Newmarket Red Lodge

15 DATA SOURCES

Category Indicator Source ONS 2018 mid-year Quinary population table 2018 population estimates Demographic ONS 2018 mid-year Profile Population pyramid 2018 population estimates

Ethnicity 2011 ONS 2011 Census ONS Business Register and Economy Employment by broad industrial sector 2018 Employment Survey via NOMIS Universal Credit (December 2019, provisional data), Attendance Allowance Labour (May 2019), Disability Living Allowance (May DWP Stat Xplore market 2019), Employment Support Allowance (May 2019) and Pension Credit (May 2019) School information and attainment 2019 DfE Education % 16-18 year olds NEET (Not in Employment, Suffolk County Council via Education or Training) 2015-2019 the Suffolk Observatory Department for Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation 2019 Communities and Local Government Health Life expectancy at birth 2013-2017 Public Health England Standardised mortality ratio for deaths from all causes, cancer, circulatory disease and coronary heart disease, aged under 75 Health 2013-2017. The standardised mortality ratio is Public Health England the ratio of observed deaths in the study group to expected deaths in the general population. Recorded crime rate per 1,000 resident Community Data.police.uk via the population December 2018 to November Safety Suffolk Observatory 2019

For more data and information about Newmarket and Red Lodge Electoral Division, see the Suffolk Observatory www.suffolkobservatory.info

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