COVID-19 Lockdown Allows Researchers to Quantify the Effects Of
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The Effectiveness of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions In
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.06.20054197; this version posted April 10, 2020. The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license . The effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions in containing epidemics: a rapid review of the literature and quantitative assessment CHEATLEY Jane1, VUIK Sabine1, DEVAUX Marion1, SCARPETTA Stefano1, PEARSON Mark1, COLOMBO Francesca1, CECCHINI Michele1 1. Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, France Corresponding author: CECCHINI Michele: [email protected] Abstract The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases has rapidly increased since discovery of the disease in December 2019. In the absence of medical countermeasures to stop the spread of the disease (i.e. vaccines), countries have responded by implementing a suite of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to contain and mitigate COVID-19. Individual NPIs range in intensity (e.g. from lockdown to public health campaigns on personal hygiene), as does their impact on reducing disease transmission. This study uses a rapid review approach and investigates evidence from previous epidemic outbreaks to provide a quantitative assessment of the effectiveness of key NPIs used by countries to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. Results from the study are designed to help countries enhance their policy response as well as inform transition strategies by identifying which policies should be relaxed and which should not. Introduction In December 2019, Wuhan, located in the Hubei province of China, experienced an outbreak of pneumonia from a novel virus – severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) (Chen et al., 2020[1]). -
COVID-19 Pandemic and Agroecosystem Resilience: Early Insights for Building Better Futures
sustainability Article COVID-19 Pandemic and Agroecosystem Resilience: Early Insights for Building Better Futures Lalisa A. Duguma 1,* , Meine van Noordwijk 1,2 , Peter A. Minang 1 and Kennedy Muthee 1 1 World Agroforestry (ICRAF), UN Avenue, Gigiri, P.O. Box 30677, Nairobi 00100, Kenya; [email protected] (M.v.N.); [email protected] (P.A.M.); [email protected] (K.M.) 2 Plant Production Systems, Wageningen University, 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands * Correspondence: [email protected] Abstract: The way the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted human lives and livelihoods constituted a stress test for agroecosystems in developing countries, as part of rural–urban systems and the global economy. We applied two conceptual schemes to dissect the evidence in peer-reviewed literature so far, as a basis for better understanding and enabling ‘building back better’. Reported positive impacts of the lockdown ‘anthropause’ on environmental conditions were likely only short-term, while progress towards sustainable development goals was more consistently set back especially for social aspects such as livelihood, employment, and income. The loss of interconnectedness, driving loss of assets, followed a ‘collapse’ cascade that included urban-to-rural migration due to loss of urban jobs, and illegal exploitation of forests and wildlife. Agricultural activities geared to international trade were generally disrupted, while more local markets flourished. Improved understanding of these pathways is needed for synergy between the emerging adaptive, mitigative, transformative, and reimaginative responses. Dominant efficiency-seeking strategies that increase fragility will have to be re-evaluated to be better prepared for further pandemics, that current Human–Nature interactions Citation: Duguma, L.A.; are likely to trigger. -
COVID-19 Vaccination Programme: Information for Healthcare Practitioners
COVID-19 vaccination programme Information for healthcare practitioners Republished 6 August 2021 Version 3.10 1 COVID-19 vaccination programme: Information for healthcare practitioners Document information This document was originally published provisionally, ahead of authorisation of any COVID-19 vaccine in the UK, to provide information to those involved in the COVID-19 national vaccination programme before it began in December 2020. Following authorisation for temporary supply by the UK Department of Health and Social Care and the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency being given to the COVID-19 Vaccine Pfizer BioNTech on 2 December 2020, the COVID-19 Vaccine AstraZeneca on 30 December 2020 and the COVID-19 Vaccine Moderna on 8 January 2021, this document has been updated to provide specific information about the storage and preparation of these vaccines. Information about any other COVID-19 vaccines which are given regulatory approval will be added when this occurs. The information in this document was correct at time of publication. As COVID-19 is an evolving disease, much is still being learned about both the disease and the vaccines which have been developed to prevent it. For this reason, some information may change. Updates will be made to this document as new information becomes available. Please use the online version to ensure you are accessing the latest version. 2 COVID-19 vaccination programme: Information for healthcare practitioners Document revision information Version Details Date number 1.0 Document created 27 November 2020 2.0 Vaccine specific information about the COVID-19 mRNA 4 Vaccine BNT162b2 (Pfizer BioNTech) added December 2020 2.1 1. -
The Effect of Lockdown Policies on International Trade Evidence from Kenya
The effect of lockdown policies on international trade Evidence from Kenya Addisu A. Lashitew Majune K. Socrates GLOBAL WORKING PAPER #148 DECEMBER 2020 The Effect of Lockdown Policies on International Trade: Evidence from Kenya Majune K. Socrates∗ Addisu A. Lashitew†‡ January 20, 2021 Abstract This study analyzes how Kenya’s import and export trade was affected by lockdown policies during the COVID-19 outbreak. Analysis is conducted using a weekly series of product-by-country data for the one-year period from July 1, 2019 to June 30, 2020. Analysis using an event study design shows that the introduction of lockdown measures by trading partners led to a modest increase of exports and a comparatively larger decline of imports. The decline in imports was caused by disruption of sea cargo trade with countries that introduced lockdown measures, which more than compensated for a significant rise in air cargo imports. Difference-in-differences results within the event study framework reveal that food exports and imports increased, while the effect of the lockdown on medical goods was less clear-cut. Overall, we find that the strength of lockdown policies had an asymmetric effect between import and export trade. Keywords: COVID-19; Lockdown; Social Distancing; Imports; Exports; Kenya JEL Codes: F10, F14, L10 ∗School of Economics, University of Nairobi, Kenya. Email: [email protected] †Brookings Institution, 1775 Mass Av., Washington DC, 20036, USA. Email: [email protected] ‡The authors would like to thank Matthew Collin of Brookings Institution for his valuable comments and suggestions on an earlier version of the manuscript. 1 Introduction The COVID-19 pandemic has spawned an unprecedented level of social and economic crisis worldwide. -
The Ecological Consequences of a Pandemic
Pathogen biology The ecological consequences of a royalsocietypublishing.org/journal/rsbl pandemic Julia C. Buck1 and Sara B. Weinstein2 1Department of Biology and Marine Biology, University of North Carolina Wilmington, 601 S. College Road, Opinion piece Wilmington, NC 28409, USA 2School of Biological Sciences, University of Utah, 257 South 1400 East, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA Cite this article: Buck JC, Weinstein SB. 2020 JCB, 0000-0003-3202-7665; SBW, 0000-0002-8363-1777 The ecological consequences of a pandemic. Biol. Lett. 16: 20200641. The COVID-19 pandemic has altered human behaviour in profound ways, http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2020.0641 prompting some to question whether the associated economic and social impacts might outweigh disease impacts. This fits into a burgeoning ecologi- cal paradigm suggesting that for both predator–prey and parasite–host interactions, non-consumptive effects (avoidance) can be orders of magni- Received: 2 September 2020 tude stronger than consumptive effects (sickness and death). Just as Accepted: 28 October 2020 avoidance of predators and parasites imposes substantial costs on prey and hosts, altered behaviour to reduce the transmission of COVID-19 has impacted human fitness and wellbeing. But the effects of infectious disease avoidance do not stop there; non-consumptive effects of predators and parasites often trigger cascading indirect effects in natural systems. Similarly, Subject Areas: shifts in human behaviour due to COVID-19 have triggered myriad indirect behaviour, ecology, environmental science, effects on species and the environment, which can be positive, negative or health and disease and epidemiology neutral. We urge researchers to recognize that the environmental impacts associated with lockdowns are indirect effects of the virus. -
Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Mortality in U.S. Cities During the Great Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919*
Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Mortality in U.S. Cities during the Great Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919* Robert J. Barro Harvard University August 2020 Abstract A key issue for the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is whether non-pharmaceutical public-health interventions (NPIs) retard death rates. Good information about these effects comes from flu- related excess deaths in large U.S. cities during the second wave of the Great Influenza Pandemic, September 1918-February 1919. NPIs, as measured by an extension of Markel, et al. (2007), are in three categories: school closings, prohibitions on public gatherings, and quarantine/isolation. Although an increase in NPIs flattened the curve in the sense of reducing the ratio of peak to average death rates, the estimated effect on overall deaths is small and statistically insignificant. One possibility is that the NPIs were not more successful in curtailing overall mortality because the average duration of each type of NPI was only around one month. Another possibility is that NPIs mainly delay deaths rather than eliminating them. *I have benefited from comments by Martin Cetron, Sergio Correia, Ed Glaeser, Claudia Goldin, Chris Meissner, and Jim Stock, and from research assistance by Emily Malpass. 1 The mortality experienced during the Great Influenza Pandemic of 1918-1920 likely provides the best historical information on the plausible upper found for outcomes under the ongoing coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Barro, Ursúa, and Weng (2020) compiled and discussed the cross-country data on flu-related deaths during the Great Influenza Pandemic. Based on information for 48 countries, that study found that the Pandemic killed around 40 million people, 2.1 percent of the world’s population. -
Insta Current Affairs
INSTA CURRENT AFFAIRS JUNE 2020 WWW.INSIGHTSONINDIA.COM WWW.INSIGHTSACTIVELEARN.COM www.insightsonindia.com 1 InsightsIAS Table of Contents GENERAL STUDIES – 1 ........................................................................................................................... 9 Topics: Indian culture will cover the salient aspects of Art Forms, Literature and Architecture from ancient to modern times. ................................................................................................................................................................................ 9 Raja Parba festival of Odisha ....................................................................................................................................... 9 Talamaddale ................................................................................................................................................................. 9 Keeladi excavations .................................................................................................................................................... 10 Who was Chaolung Sukapha? .................................................................................................................................... 10 Topics: Modern Indian history from about the middle of the eighteenth century until the present- significant events, personalities, issues. ....................................................................................................................................................... -
The Anthropause the Anthropause Tea Party Tea Party
THE ANTHROPAUSE The Anthropause Tea Party TEA PARTY Roger L. White, M.D. Roger L. White, M.D. © 2020 Roger L. White, M.D.. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted by any means without the written permission of the author. AuthorHouse™ 1663 Liberty Drive Bloomington, IN 47403 www.authorhouse.com Phone: 1 (833) 262-8899 Because of the dynamic nature of the Internet, any web addresses or links contained in this book may have changed since publication and may no longer be valid. The views expressed in this work are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher, and the publisher hereby disclaims any responsibility for them. This book is printed on acid-free paper. ISBN: 978-1-6655-0433-1 (sc) ISBN: 978-1-6655-0432-4 (e) Print information available on the last page. Published by AuthorHouse 10/15/2020 This story is for my grandson, Rohan. Like most children, the COVID-19 pandemic limited his access to traditional teaching. But learning never needs to stop. It has no artificial boundaries. Big Rat, the main character in this story, is a curious teacher. His insights about the pandemic give a viewpoint that can be both comforting and inspirational for children during anxious times. Big Rat gives hope for the future with many timeless messages. This is a fictional child’s book based on real animals. It takes place in Hawaii in 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic. The protagonist is a character called Big Rat. -
Covid-19Lockdowns
Security Nexus Perspectives INCREMENTAL COMMUNITY-BASED EXIT STRATEGIES FOR INITIATING AND REMOVING COVID-19 LOCKDOWNS By Benjamin Ryan1, Damon Coppola2 and Deon Canyon3 * Many nations across the Asia-Pacific have implemented guidelines for social distancing and introduced lockdowns to control COVID-19. However, now many leaders face the question of how they will be able to relieve their communities of the protective constraints in place. Who decides when safe is ‘safe enough’, or what level of residual risk is acceptable? Getting this wrong is something no leader can afford. By applying a community-based incremental approach to the easing of lockdowns, tailored to demographic and social stratifications of risk, much of the guesswork can be eliminated. Social restrictions implemented during epidemics must strike a balance between cost and benefit. While disaster management is a discipline marked by uncertainty, and practitioners always anticipate data gaps and imperfect information, the COVID-19 pandemic has many unique planning challenges that affect decision makers’ confidence. Leaders find themselves faced with a double-edged sword wherein acting with too much force or speed may trigger undue financial hardship while waiting for better data risks hidden spread of disease and the potential failure of healthcare systems. Just weeks into the crisis now, government control efforts have already transformed life in profound ways. The costs are quickly adding up to trillions of dollars. Saving lives and protecting the public health system from excess stress has been the primary objective of every state and local government as they grapple with how to manage this crisis. Where they have diverged has been in determining the point at which collateral costs are deemed too excessive. -
Ten Considerations for Conservation Policy Makers for the Post-COVID-19 Transition
Ten considerations for conservation policy makers for the post-COVID-19 transition Perspective Article S.J. Cooke1,2,*, P. Soroye3, J.L. Brooks1, J. Clarke1, A.L. Jeanson1, A. Berberi1, M.L. Piczak1, C.H. Reid1, J. E. Desforges1, J.D. Guay1, A.K. Drake1, A.M. Jardine4, J.P. Ethier3, H.E. Keefe3, A.M. Medd1 , B.P.M. Edwards1, C. Reeve1, A. Perkovic1, A. Frempong-Manso1, L. LaRochelle1, S. Patterson1, M. Roach-Krajewski3, A. Howarth1, B. Bard3, E.J. Harmsen1, J. Robichaud1, S. Serré1, C.J. Bihun1, R.T. Buxton1,2, V.M. Nguyen1,2, L.C. Woodall5,6, W.J. Sutherland7, and J.R. Bennett1,2 1 Department of Biology and Institute of Environmental and Interdisciplinary Science, Carleton University, 1125 Colonel By Dr., Ottawa, ON, K1S 5B6, Canada 2Canadian Centre for Evidence-Based Conservation, Carleton University, 1125 Colonel By Dr., Ottawa, ON, K1S 5B6, Canada 3 Department of Biology, University of Ottawa, 75 Laurier Ave. E, Ottawa, ON, K1N 6N5, Canada 4 Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, Carleton University, 1125 Colonel By Dr., Ottawa, ON, K1S 5B6, Canada 5 Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Mansfield Road, Oxford, OX1 2JD, UK 6 Nekton, Begbroke Science Park, Oxford, OX1 2JD, UK 7 Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK *Author for Correspondence: [email protected] Declaration of Interest Statement: The authors declare no conflict of interest. Acknowledgements: Funding was provided by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Carleton University, and the Ottawa-Carleton Institute of Biology. 1 Abstract Public health and safety concerns around the SARS-CoV-2 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic have greatly changed human behaviour. -
“This Food Is So Helpful. It's Good and I
COVID-19 TH GT BOSTON FOOD BN Feeding Eastern Massachusetts Visit GBFB.org for the most up-to-date response and to learn how you can help our most vulnerable neighbors. Winter 2021 Your Gift Lifts Seniors “This food is so helpful. It’s good and I can save some money.” - Dinora, resident of the Julia Martin House in Boston Inside Harvest: • Your Generosity Feeds Those In Need • Helping Seniors Thanks To You • Youth Movement for Hunger Relief • Our Driver Shares His Love for GBFB • Providing Family Meals • A Quick Click ‘N Cook® Recipe for Winter • A Fresh Start: Spring for Meals Catherine's Message Dear Friends, Your Generosity Feeds Those in Need Many families and individuals found themselves struggling to have enough to eat for the first time in their lives this past year because of the pandemic. For those who can’t always afford enough food, the nutritious protein, produce and dairy items—the items they need most—are usually too expensive to buy in the grocery store. That’s why GBFB is committed to distributing high-quality, nutritious food—helping the people we serve stay healthy. You can help us by supporting our Spring for Meals campaign this March. Visit our website to learn more about our Spring for Meals campaign and how you can help us Prior to the pandemic, thousands of seniors were already receiving free, pre-bagged grocery items through our Brown Bag programs, like at this provide fresh fruits and vegetables to our facility in Brockton pictured above. This spring, we saw a 67 percent neighbors in need. -
Health Effects of Lockdown, Quarantine, and Social Distancing
100% Confidential | Independent from Employer or Health Plan | No Cost to Eligible Employees ConsumerMedical is your Medical Ally for confidential, one-on-one support and expert guidance on any health concern you or your family may face. Health Effects of Lockdown, Quarantine, and Social Distancing In the U.S., different states and localities have issued “lockdown” or “stay at home” orders to help control the spread of COVID-19. People who have COVID-19, have been exposed, or may have been exposed have additional guidelines for quarantine and isolation. The stress of a pandemic and social distancing can impact both physical and mental health. Here are some ways you can protect your health. Home Office Ergonomics and Sitting The number of people working from home has increased substantially during the COVID-19 pandemic. Whether you’re working from a desk or couch, these ergonomic tips can help reduce your risk of strain and help keep you focused: • Keep your work area well lit • Use a seat with good lumbar support • Sit at a height where your feet can rest comfortably on the floor or footrest • Keep your laptop screen or monitor at about eye level Even with perfect posture, sitting for long periods of time can increase health risks, including back and shoulder pain, obesity, and other chronic conditions. Be sure to move throughout the day – stand up, stretch, and take walks. Weight Gain You may have heard of the “COVID 15” – referring to weight people have gained during the pandemic. Early studies support the idea that lockdown and quarantine can lead to weight gain, especially among children and people who were already obese.