in sediments from coastal areas of the northwestern Baltic Proper in sediments from coastal areas of the northwestern Tracing environmental change and human impact as recorded

Te eutrophication of the Baltic Sea due to increased anthropogenic nutrient loads during the is well documented and studied. However, in the Baltic Sea drainage area, humans have afected the environment longer than the environmental monitoring can provide data for. Sediment records from lakes and seas can provide fundamental data on the environmental conditions before ecosystems were impacted by humans and give the range of natural variation.

Tis thesis presents and geochemistry stratigraphies from fve sediment records along the southeast coast of Sweden, northwestern Baltic Proper. Tese records cover time periods of 500 years to more than 2000 years. Te diatom stratigraphies and geochemical proxies allow for reconstruction of environmental histories at these sites. Te outcomes of this thesis highlight the importance of a longer time perspective than the environmental monitoring can provide.

Lena Norbäck Ivarsson carries out research within the feld of environmental science with a focus on understanding past and present ecosystem responses to environmental changes. She holds a M.Sc. in biology from Stockholm University and this is her PhD thesis. LENA NORBÄCK IVARSSONLENA NORBÄCK

Environmental Science, Environmental Studies, School of Natural Sciences, Technology and Environmental Studies & the Baltic and East European Graduate School, Sdertrn University. Tracing environmental change and human impact ISBN 978-91-89109-29-2 (print) / 978-91-89109-30-8 (digital) | Sdertrn University | [email protected] as recorded in sediments from coastal areas of the northwestern Baltic Proper Lena Norbäck Ivarsson

SDD SÖDERTÖRN DOCTORAL DISSERTATIONS 178

Tracing environmental change and human impact as recorded in sediments from coastal areas of the northwestern Baltic Proper Lena Norbäck Ivarsson

Sdertrns hgskola Subject: Environmental Science Research Area: Environmental Studies School of Natural Sciences, Technology and Environmental Studies & the Baltic and East European Graduate School

Sdertrns hgskola (Sdertrn University) The Library SE-141 89 Huddinge

www.sh.se/publications

© Lena Norbäck Ivarsson

Cover image: Lena Norbäck Ivarsson, Epiphytic growing on Cladophora sp. Cover layout: Jonathan Robson Graphic form: Per Lindblom & Jonathan Robson

Printed by Elanders, Stockholm 2020

Sdertrn Doctoral Dissertations 178 ISSN 1652–7399 ISBN 978-91-89109-29-2 (print) ISBN 978-91-89109-30-8 (digital) Till Berta, Aina och Birgitta

Abstract The eutrophication of the Baltic Sea due to increased anthropogenic nutrient loads during the 20th century is well documented and studied. However, in the Baltic Sea drainage area, humans have affected the environment longer than the environmental monitoring can provide data for. Sediment records from lakes and seas can provide fundamental data on the environmental conditions before ecosystems were impacted by humans and give the range of natural variation. This thesis presents diatom and geochemistry stratigraphies from five sediment records along the southeast coast of Sweden, northwestern Baltic Proper. These records cover time periods of 500 years to more than 2,000 years. The diatom strati- graphies and geochemical proxies allow for reconstruction of environmental histories at these sites. Overall, the results show that the environmental changes that have occurred in the coastal zone in recent centuries are unprecedented over the last two millennia. The records from the coastal zone show only minor variations in the diatom stratigraphies and nitrogen stable isotope signals through history until recent centuries. The results show no evidence of increased runoff of nutrients from land during medieval times. Temperature anomalies since 500 CE have had little or no significant effect on the diatom assemblages from the coastal sites, while increased nutrient input from land has had a significant effect. Anthropogenic nutrient runoff has affected the diatom assemblages most markedly during the 20th century. The results show a time lag of the onset of eutrophication of approximately 100 years between the coast and open Baltic Sea, highlighting how the coastal zone acts as a buffer for the open Baltic Sea. The timing for the onset of eutrophication in these coastal areas is site-specific. For several sites, reference conditions prevailed more than 200 years ago. Water trans- parency at this time allowed for extensive distribution of benthic diatom habitats, such as macrophytes. The years of maximum nutrient load to the Baltic Sea during the 1970s–1980s is recorded in the diatom stratigraphies, especially with regard to the concentration of diatom valves in the sediments. There has been a recovery in diatom absolute abundance since maximum pollution years. However, there is no indication of a recovery in diatom species composition in the investigated coastal sites, and these sites are thus far from reaching a “good environmental status” according to the EU Water Framework Directive. The outcomes of this thesis highlight the importance of a longer time perspective than the environmental monitoring can provide.

Keywords: Baltic Sea, paleoecology, diatom stratigraphy, stable nitrogen isotopes, hy- poxia, nutrient discharge, eutrophication, Medieval Climate Anomaly, Little Ice Age

Svensk sammanfattning Övergdningen av Östersjn under 1900-talet är väldokumenterad och har bland annat resulterat i sämre siktdjup, att cyanobakterieblomningar har blivit mer omfat- tande och vanligare, utbredd syrebrist i bottenvatten, och en frändrad artsamman- sättning av många organismgrupper. Systematiskt provtagna mätdata från milj- vervakningen finns bara tillgänglig från 1960–70-talet och därmed vet vi väldigt lite om Östersjns ekosystem fre människans storskaliga påverkan. Sedimentkärnor från sjar och hav fungerar som ett historiskt arkiv som under årtusenden lagrat informa- tion om dåtidens ekosystem. I denna avhandling används bevarade subfossila kiselalger och geokemi fr att spåra miljfrändringar längs svenska sydostkusten de senaste tvåtusen åren. Resultat presenteras från fem sedimentkärnor från Östersjkusten, från Stockholms skärgård i norr till Gåsfjärden i sder, längs en sträcka på ca 250 km. Alla stratigrafier tyder på stabila frhållanden i dessa kustområden under yngre järnålder (500 fre vår tideräkning – 1050 efter vår tideräkning (evt)) och medeltid (1050–1500 evt), fram till 1700-talet. Varken frändringar i klimat eller markanvänd- ning har påverkat dessa kustområden i någon strre utsträckning tills fr några hundra år sedan. Det finns inga tecken på effekter av mänsklig aktivitet som exempelvis jordbruk fram till mer nutida frändringar. Alla underskningsplatser har påverkats av vergdning under de senaste århundradena. Den exakta starten fr kad närings- tillfrsel skiljer sig något mellan platserna. De frsta tecknen på vergdning är från slutet av 1700-talet, och i brjan av 1800-talet är artsammansättningen av kiselalger redan frändrad. Storskaliga frändringar i markanvändning skedde under 1800- talet och fortsatte in på 1900-talet. Våtmarker och sjar dikades ut, jordbruk med ängar och traditionell träda av jordbruksmark fasades ut till frmån fr vallodling, till det kom konstgdsel i slutet av 1800-talet. Växande städer, industrier och reningsverk är punktkällor som i varierande grad har påverkat dessa kustområden. De frsta teck- nen på vergdning syns ca 100 år tidigare vid kusten än i ppna Östersjn, vilket belyser kustzonens roll som näringsfilter. I ppna Östersjn har både klimatet och näringstillfrsel från land påverkat artsammansättningen av kiselalger de senaste 2 000 åren. I kustområdet däremot har de direkta effekterna av klimatet spelat en mindre roll, och artsammansättningen av kiselalger har främst varit påverkad av näringstillfrsel från land. Övergdningen har resulterat i kad pelagisk primärproduktion och därmed lägre siktdjup, vilket har begränsat utbredningen av bottenlevande arter. I Östersjn finns inga opåverkade områden kvar, och därmed inga referensområ- den fr att definiera referensvärden enligt EUs vattendirektiv. Resultaten som pre- senteras i denna avhandling visar att i flera av de underskta kustområdena rådde ett miljtillstånd opåverkat av mänsklig aktivitet fr mer än 200 år sedan. Maximal tillfrsel av näring till Östersjn skedde under 1960–70-talet, vilket avspeglar sig i koncentrationen av kiselalger i sedimenten, något som kan användas som en proxy fr primärproduktion. Lägre koncentrationer av kiselalger i sedimenten de senaste årtiondena indikerar en bättre vattenkvalité. Däremot syns ännu ingen frbättring i artsammansättning av kisel-

alger som indikerar en tillbakagång till referensvärden. Inte heller syns tecken på någon frbättring vad gäller siktdjup i underskningsområdena.

Contents

List of papers...... 13 Abbreviations and definitions ...... 15 Introduction...... 17 Thesis objectives ...... 21 Background ...... 23 Holocene history of the Baltic Sea ...... 23 The present Baltic Sea ...... 24 Effects of climate on the Baltic Sea ecosystem ...... 25 Climate during the Holocene ...... 26 Records of early human impact in lakes ...... 27 Agrarian history in southern Sweden during the last millennium ...... 28 Description of study sites ...... 31 Kanholmsfjärden...... 32 Ådfjärden ...... 32 Himmerfjärden...... 33 Bråviken...... 33 Gåsfjärden ...... 34 The western Gotland Basin ...... 35 Material and Methods ...... 37 Field work...... 37 Chronologies...... 39 Radiocarbon dating ...... 39 Lead dating ...... 40 Markers: cesium and mercury ...... 40 Correlation of cores and age-depth modeling ...... 41 Diatoms as a proxy for environmental change ...... 41 Lab procedure – diatom analysis ...... 42 Geochemical proxies ...... 43 Lab procedure – geochemical analyses ...... 44 Data processing and statistical analyses ...... 44 Results – summary of papers ...... 47 Interpretation and Discussion ...... 51 Signs of eutrophication in the coastal zone during the last centuries ...... 51 Diatom life-form ...... 55 Diatom species composition...... 55 Diatom species richness ...... 57

Diatom absolute abundance ...... 57 Stable isotope δ15N...... 57 Causes for eutrophication in the coastal zone ...... 58 Tracing human impact and climate change during medieval times ...... 61 Climate or nutrients as drivers of paleoecological trends in the Baltic Sea since 500 CE ...... 62 Implications for the environment ...... 65

Conclusions...... 67 References...... 69 Tack...... 81

Paper I ...... 95 Paper II ...... 113 Paper III...... 137 Paper IV ...... 153

List of papers

This thesis is based on the following papers referred to in the text by the Roman numerals (I-IV):

Paper I: Norbäck Ivarsson, L., Andrén, T., Moros, M., Andersen, T. J., Lnn, M., and Andrén, E. (2019). Baltic Sea Coastal Eutrophication in a Thousand Year Perspective. Frontiers in Environmental Science 7. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2019.00088. Paper II: Norbäck Ivarsson, L., Andrén, T., Moros, M., J. Andersen, T. and Andrén, E. Signs of early eutrophication in the Stockholm outer archipelago as evident in a 500-year-long sediment record. (Manuscript) Paper III: Ning, W., Nielsen, A. B., Norbäck Ivarsson, L., Jilbert, T., Åkesson, C. M., Slomp, C. P., Andrén, E., Brostrm, A. and Filipsson, H. L. (2018). Anthropogenic and climatic impacts on a coastal environment in the Baltic Sea over the last 1000 years. Anthropocene 21, 66–79. doi:10.1016/j.ancene.2018.02.003. Paper IV: Norbäck Ivarsson, L., Lnn, M., Andrén, T. and Andrén, E. Exploring paleoecological trends since 500 CE; a comparison between coastal and open Baltic Proper. (Manuscript)

Contributions of the author to the different manuscripts Paper I: Study design, performed field work and lab work (subsampling, prepared samples for dating, geochemical analyses and diatom analysis, performed the diatom analysis), interpreted the results, wrote the manuscript. Paper II: Study design, performed field work and lab work (subsampling, prepared samples for dating, geochemical analyses and diatom analysis, performed the diatom analysis), interpreted the results, wrote the manuscript. Paper III: Contributed with the diatom analysis and the interpretations of these results. I wrote the parts on this in the methods, results and discussion. I also contributed to the overall interpretations of results and writing of the manuscript. Paper IV: Study design, performed field work and lab work for the coastal sites. I am involved in computing the statistical analyses and interpreting the results, and I wrote the manuscript.

Related paper not included in this thesis Andrén, E., van Wirdum, F., Norbäck Ivarsson, L., Lnn, M., Moros, M., Andrén, T., 2020. Medieval versus recent environmental conditions in the Baltic Proper, what was different a thousand years ago? Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 555, 109878. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2020.109878

13

Abbreviations and definitions

BCE Before Common Era CCA Constrained Correspondence Analysis CE Common Era DCA Detrended Correspondence Analysis LIA Little Ice Age (1400–1700 CE, Mann et al. 2009) MCA Medieval Climate Anomaly (950–1250 CE, Mann et al. 2009) MoWP Modern Warm Period (from 1850 CE, Harland et al. 2013) MSFD Marine Strategy Framework Directive RDA Redundancy Analysis WFD Water Framework Directive Cal. yr BP Calendar years Before Present (present defined as 1950 CE)

Anoxia ≤0 ml/l O2, H2S present

Hypoxia ≤2 ml/l O2

15

Introduction

The eutrophication of the Baltic Sea due to increased anthropogenic nutrient loads during the 20th century is well documented and studied (HELCOM, 2009). Con- sequences of this nutrient enrichment and increased production of organic material include decreased water transparency, more intense cyanobacterial blooms, wide- spread sea bottom hypoxia and altered species composition for several organism groups (Elmgren, 2001). Since the 1950s, hypoxia has also increased in the Baltic Sea coastal zones (Conley et al., 2011; Persson and Jonsson, 2000). Some of the recorded changes resulting from present eutrophication are not new phenomena for the Baltic Sea. Pigment analyses in sediments have shown cyano- bacteria blooms to be natural reoccurring features of the open Baltic Sea, since marine water started to enter the Baltic Sea Proper some 8000 years ago (Bianchi et al., 2000; Funkey et al., 2014). Since no major fauna can live in a hypoxic environment, the sediments are not bioturbated, and thus sediments deposited during oxygen dep- letion may exhibit laminae (Jonsson et al., 1990; Persson and Jonsson, 2000; Zillén et al., 2008). A compilation of laminated sediment sequences used as proxy for hypoxia show evidence of three time periods with extensive areal distribution of hypoxia in the open Baltic Sea; 8000–4000 cal. yr BP, 2000–800 cal. yr BP and from 1800 CE to present (Zillén et al., 2008). The European Union Water Framework Directive (WFD) was adopted in 2000 CE and concerns groundwater and surface waters, including transitional and coastal waters. The main objective of the WFD is for all waters in the EU to reach good or high ecological status. A key concept for determining ecological status under the WFD is reference conditions. Reference conditions are defined in the WFD as: “… a description of the biological quality elements that exist, or would exist, at high status, that is, with no, or very minor disturbance from human activities” (Anonymous, 2000). In the case of the Baltic Sea, there are no existing undisturbed sites (reference sites) to use (Andersen et al., 2011), and thus historical data, models and expert judgement are used to determine reference conditions (European Commission, 2003). Systematic environmental monitoring of the Baltic Sea in Sweden started in some sites in the 1960s, and has been continuously developed and expanded (SMHI, 2019). Yet humans have affected the environment in the Baltic Sea longer than this (Gustafsson et al., 2012). In addition, instrumental records of climate variables, such as temperature, only span the last few centuries. This is not enough of a time span to capture the natural variability in the environment. Sediment records from lakes and seas can provide fundamental data on the environmental conditions before eco- systems were impacted by humans and on the range of natural variation. Further, significant information about the speed and direction of ecosystem changes is gained

17 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT if a historical point of view is considered (Saunders and Taffs, 2009; Willis and Birks, 2006). There is a need to improve our understanding of the natural variability of the Baltic Sea and its response to climate, as well as human-induced, forcing. A long-term perspective concerning how environmental changes affect the marine system will provide us with a deeper knowledge of possible future scenarios, highly important for the management of the Baltic Sea (Kotilainen et al., 2014). The hypoxic event that occurred 2000–800 cal. yr BP coincides with a climatic warm event named the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), as well as with the Roman Warm Period, and has been suggested to have been caused by an increase in human population and large-scale changes in land use in the drainage area at this time (Zillén and Conley, 2010). Around the turn of the last millennium, a series of technological innovations, including the iron plow, promoted an expansion of agricultural land (Myrdal, 1999). The favorable climate conditions during the MCA, with temperatures similar to those of today, also enabled a demographic expansion (Ljungqvist et al., 2012; Myrdal and Morell, 2011). It has additionally been suggested (Kabel et al., 2012) that the warmer climate during this time caused intensified cyanobacterial blooms (cyanobacteria are favored by warm and calm waters), resulting in hypoxia. The following oxygenation of the bottom waters in the open Baltic Sea has been explained by the onset of the Little Ice Age (LIA), and the colder sea surface temperatures during this time that would suppress cyanobacteria blooms (Kabel et al., 2012). However, it has also been suggested that this oxygenation event was due to an infectious disease, the so-called Black Death, that decreased the population by half around 1350–1450 CE (Zillén and Conley, 2010). Sediment cores from the open Baltic Sea have been studied on several occasions with the aim of tracing environmental history (e.g. Andrén et al. 2000a; b; Bianchi et al. 2000). Studies from the coastal zone of the Baltic Proper include two studies from the Archipelago Sea that show an onset of eutrophication in the early (Jokinen et al., 2018; Tuovinen et al., 2010). In the Gulf of Finland, Weckstrm (2006) reports the onset of eutrophication at around 1900 CE in two urban sites, and later (1940s– 1980s) in more rural sites. Andrén (1999) reports the onset of eutrophication at circa 1900 CE in the Oder estuary, at the Polish/German border. Except for Jokinen et al. (2018), these studies only cover a time frame of the last century/centuries. Studies of long-term trends in the coastal zone are lacking. If we want to understand human impact on the Baltic Sea through history, more focus should be placed on studying the long-term perspective in coastal sites. It is reasonable to assume that a land-based human activity will affect the coastal areas first, before the effects are recorded in the sediments from the open Baltic Sea. In this thesis, sediment records from five coastal sites in the northwestern Baltic Proper are presented. These sediment cores have recorded environmental changes during the last millennia, and they have been analyzed with respect to paleoecology (diatom relative and absolute abundance), and geochemical parameters. The records from the coastal zone are further compared to a record from the open Baltic Proper

18 INTRODUCTION

(Andrén et al., 2020). In order to accurately assess ecosystem responses of the Baltic Sea in a future climate scenario, it is of high importance to increase our under- standing of ecosystem responses in history. Paleoecology has the potential to fill this gap in knowledge (Andersen et al., 2004).

19

Thesis objectives

The overall objectives of this PhD thesis are 1) to put the present severe environ- mental situation in the Baltic Sea, in terms of excess nutrient loads and climate change, in a thousand-year perspective, and 2) to contribute to an improved under- standing of the natural variability at coastal sites along the southeastern coast of Sweden. The specific objectives of this PhD thesis are to:

• investigate and date long-term environmental changes in the coastal areas of northwestern Baltic Proper. • identify the onset of anthropogenic environmental change, and how this is registered in sediment records from these coastal sites. • produce a scientific base for inferring reference conditions at these sites. • compare sediment records from the open Baltic Sea and the coastal zone, to explore if there is a synchronicity in interpreted environmental changes between these areas. • assess the relative importance of human activities versus climate variability in causing environmental change in coastal ecosystems of the Baltic Sea over the last millennia.

21

Background

Holocene history of the Baltic Sea The Baltic Sea has a short but very dynamic history driven by glacio-isostatic land uplift and eustatic sea level changes. The last deglaciation of the Baltic basin started roughly 20,000 cal. yr BP resulting in an ice lake forming in front of the melting ice sheet around 16,000 cal. yr BP, the Baltic Ice Lake (Andrén et al., 2011). This lake was initially dammed 10 meters above sea level and was drained two times when the melting ice sheet retreated from the northern tip of mount Billingen, situated between Lake Vänern and Lake Vättern (Bjrck, 2008; Andrén et al., 2011). The first time was during the end of Allerd, roughly 13,000 cal. yr BP (Muschitiello et al., 2015). This event was followed by the colder Younger Dryas when the ice sheet re-advanced and the lake was again dammed. The final drainage of the Baltic Ice Lake took place about 11,700 cal. yr BP. This was a dramatic event, with drainage occurring over the course of 1-2 years and resulting in the lake being lowered 25 meters down to the level of the world oceans (Jakobsson et al., 2007). The next phase is called the Yoldia Sea. The melting of the ice sheet provided a constant feed of freshwater to the basin and it was only during a short cooling of the climate that marine water could enter from the North Sea (lasting max. 350 years) (Andrén et al., 2007). The Yoldia Sea lasted only about 1000 years and ended when its inlet through middle Sweden was closed due to the isostatic rebound, around 10,700 cal. yr BP. A freshwater lake was formed, the Ancylus Lake. This lake had an early outlet westward through middle Sweden, but the isostatic rebound came to close this outlet and the lake level started to rise. Eventually the lake found a new outlet in the southern Baltic basin through a complex river system through Denmark with river channels, levées, and lakes (Bennike et al., 2004; Bjrck et al., 2008; Andrén et al., 2011). The ongoing melting of both the Scandinavian and the Laurentian ice sheets caused a sea-level rise of the world oceans and when this sea-level rise caught up with the isostatic land uplift in the south of Scandinavia marine water could enter through the Danish sounds, approximately 9800 cal. yr BP (Andrén et al., 2000b; Andrén et al., 2011; Berglund et al., 2005). The following brackish phase, Littorina Sea, shows a peak in salinity around 6000–5000 cal. yr BP, coinciding with the Holocene Thermal Maximum (Gustafsson and Westman, 2002; Seppä et al., 2009; Willumsen et al., 2013). Because of the isostatic land uplift in the area and a simultaneous lowering of the global sea level, the Danish sounds became gradually shallower. The inflow of marine water decreased, eventually leading to a Baltic Sea with conditions more like today (Andrén et al., 2000a, 2011; Berglund et al., 2005).

23 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

The present Baltic Sea The Baltic Sea is a semi-enclosed brackish water basin, the second largest in the world after the Black Sea (Leppäranta and Myrberg, 2009). This inland sea has a constant inflow of freshwater from rivers. Intrusions of salt water from the North Sea occur irregularly through the Danish Straits and Öresund and feed the Baltic Sea with saline water. Due to this, there is a salinity gradient in the Baltic Sea, ranging from 0-4 in the northern parts, to about 15 in the Belt Sea (Leppäranta and Myrberg, 2009). There is also a vertical salinity gradient with a permanent halocline forming at around 40- 80 meters depth in the Baltic Proper. The halocline prevents mixing between the upper, more fresh water, and the lower, more saline water. The average depth of the Baltic Sea is about 54 meters with a maximum depth of 459 meters in the Landsort Deep (Leppäranta and Myrberg, 2009). Since the Baltic Sea is a geologically young sea, there are only a few macro- organisms truly adapted to the brackish water conditions. Instead, most organisms are either marine or limnic, living on the edge of what they can tolerate in terms of salinity. Because of this, the Baltic Sea is characterized by poor macro-species richness and biodiversity and the ecosystem is therefore sensitive to changes in the environment (Elmgren and Hill, 1997). The primary production is dominated by diatoms and dinoflagellates in the spring and cyanobacteria blooms during warm summer months (Klais et al., 2011). The spring bloom in the Baltic Proper is nitrogen limited, while the summer blooms of cyanobacteria are limited by the availability of phosphorous (Granéli et al., 1990). Following the decay of the cyanobacteria blooms, diatoms and dinoflagellates dominate during the autumn (Andersson et al., 2017). During recent decades, the growing season of phytoplankton has been extended with more than 100 days in the southwestern Baltic Sea. Further, the biomass produced during autumn months has increased significantly (Wasmund et al. 2019). The Baltic Sea has a large catchment area, with about 85 million inhabitants in 14 countries. There is severe pressure on this ecosystem due to human activities. Increased anthropogenic nutrient loads from e.g. sewage treatment plants, industries, and diffuse sources such as agriculture and burning of fossil fuels during the twentieth century, have led to a number of problems (Elmgren, 2001; Gustafsson et al., 2012). For example, increased primary production leads to more decomposition and consumption of oxygen. The oxygen depletion has severe effects on marine ecosys- tems, for example by killing benthic fauna and altering biogeochemical cycles (Diaz and Rosenberg, 2008). Approximately 18% of the deep water in the Baltic Proper, including the Gulf of Finland and the Gulf of Riga, is today hypoxic (≤2 ml/l O2) and approx. 8% is anoxic (≤0 ml/l O2) with H2S present (Hansson and Andersson, 2014). The Baltic Sea has shown a rapid increase of hypoxic sediments since the 1940s and the hypoxic area now covers about 80,000 km2, corresponding to about two times the size of Denmark (Carstensen et al., 2014a; Hansson and Andersson, 2014; Jonsson et al., 1990). Hypoxia is a globally increasing problem, not only in Europe but also, for

24 BACKGROUND example, along the east coast of North America, but the Baltic Sea constitutes one of the largest so-called dead zones in the world (Diaz and Rosenberg, 2008). In an anoxic sediment, phosphorous cannot be retained and buried together with iron but is instead released back to the water masses. Increased phosphorous levels stimulate the growth of nitrogen-fixating cyanobacteria during the warm summer months. The cyanobacteria supply the sea with nitrogen (Karlson et al., 2015) and when they decompose, oxygen is consumed and phosphorous is released from the sediment (Carstensen et al., 2014b). A feedback loop is thus created, which sustains the eutrophic and hypoxic states of the Baltic Sea (Conley et al., 2002, 2009; Kemp et al., 2005). Since no organisms except for bacteria and archaea can live in an anoxic environment with H2S present, the sediment is not being bioturbated. Laminated sediments can therefore be used as a proxy for anoxic conditions (Jonsson et al., 1990). Although human impact has caused eutrophication of the Baltic Sea, both hypoxia and cyanobacteria blooms are natural features of the Baltic Sea and have been present periodically during the last 8000 years (Bianchi et al., 2000).

Effects of climate on the Baltic Sea ecosystem Climate in the Baltic Sea region is to a large extent controlled by atmospheric con- ditions and is thus affected by both the global climate as well as regional circulation patterns. The weather conditions in the Baltic Sea region are highly variable due to its location in the extra-tropics of the northern hemisphere. In general, westerly winds predominate in this region. The large-scale circulation patterns in the Baltic Sea are influenced by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). During a positive phase of NAO, the westerly airflow is strengthened, which brings warm wet winters to northern Europe, while during a negative NAO, westerly airflows are weaker, and this brings colder and drier winters to northern Europe (Hurrell et al., 2003). The NAO shows seasonal and interannual variability, and pro- longed periods of negative or positive phases are recorded. Wind conditions in the Baltic Sea region shows some connection to the NAO, with more calmer periods during negative NAO phases and more storminess during positive phases of NAO. Precipitation in the Baltic Sea region varies greatly between regions and seasons, and no clear trend has been observed during the last century. A clear increasing trend in air temperature has been observed in the Baltic Sea region since 1871 CE. In the area investigated in this thesis, this increasing trend is of a magnitude of 0.08 ˚C per decade, which is greater than the average global increase of 0.06 ˚C between 1861– 2005 CE (The BACC II Author Team, 2015; IPCC 2007). The trends are positive for all seasons, and the temperature increase has also increased the duration of the growing season (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). The climate warming in recent centuries has led to changes in the catchment and in the Baltic Sea itself. No clear trend in the overall river runoff to the Baltic Sea has been detected. However, a decreasing trend has been observed for the southern catch-

25 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT ments and rivers over the last century. A reduction of ice cover and earlier ice breakup has been recorded for rivers in the drainage area. In addition, the duration of annual snow cover has become significantly shorter in western Scandinavia over the last century (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). When it comes to climate effects on the Baltic Sea itself, water temperature and sea ice respond quickly to higher air temperatures. There is a clear warming trend in sea surface temperature over the last century, with the greatest increase observed in summer months (Gustafsson et al., 2012; Mackenzie and Schiedek, 2007). The extent and duration of sea ice is associated with NAO, with more ice during negative ice phases, and less ice during positive phases (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). Salinity in the Baltic Sea is mainly governed by two factors: net precipitation and river discharge, and water exchange with the North Sea. The so-called major Baltic inflows of marine water through the Danish straits occur sporadically, usually during the winter and spring months and thus bring saline, but also cold and oxygen-rich water into the Baltic Sea (Mohrholz et al., 2015). However, in recent decades, several inflows have occurred during the summer, which brings water that is saline, but warm and low in oxygen content. No trend has been detected during the last century of salinity measurements (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). However, a reconstruction of annual mean salinities since 1500 CE indicates that the salinity has slowly increased by 0.5 salinity units since 1500 CE, peaking in the mid-eighteenth century (Hansson and Gustafsson, 2011). When it comes to wave activity and storm surges, no sig- nificant change has been recorded in the last century. The change in mean sea level in the Baltic Sea results from the combined effects of post-glacial isostatic rebound of the continental crust, global sea level rise and thermal expansion of water. It is not clear how climate change during the last century has affected the sea level in the Baltic Sea, but the rise is probably in pace with the global sea level rise, approx. 1.5 mm per year (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). Results from models predicting a 2-4˚C warming by 2100 CE indicate that ecosystem changes in the Baltic Proper will include e.g. increased primary production, larger cyanobacteria blooms and lower oxygen concentrations in bottom waters (Andersson et al., 2015).

Climate during the Holocene Historical changes in climate are reconstructed using proxies from ice cores as well as lake and ocean sediments (e.g. oxygen isotopes, pollen and insects), tree ring widths and densities and, during the historical time frame, written records on e.g. weather extremes. Climate oscillations during the Holocene are driven by astro- nomical conditions, solar activity, volcanic eruptions, concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, changes in albedo of the sea and changes in the vegetation on land (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). Summer solar insolation peaked approx. 7000–6000 years ago, and during the Holocene Thermal Maximum (approx. 8000– 4000 cal. yr BP), the temperature in the Baltic Sea region was approximately 1-3.5 °C

26 BACKGROUND warmer than today. As already mentioned, this was a time period with higher salinity in the Baltic Sea (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). Due to a decreasing trend in summer solar insolation, the climate has become more unstable and a general cooling trend is recorded the last approx. 4000–5000 years (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). The climate during the last 2,000 years has fluctuated a lot, with general warmer temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere approx. 0-300 CE (the Roman Warm Period), and colder temperatures approx. 300- 800 CE (the Dark Age Cold Period) (Ljungqvist, 2010). The climate during the last millennium has been roughly divided into three periods: Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), Little Ice Age (LIA) and Modern Warm Period (MoWP). There are regional differences in the intensity and exact timing of these climatic periods (Ljungqvist et al., 2012). Throughout this thesis, the definitions in Mann et al. (2009) are used, which means MCA=950-1250 CE, and LIA=1400-1700 CE. MoWP is defined as after 1850 CE (Harland et al., 2013). Proxy data show evidence for higher sea surface temperature and more intense cyanobacterial blooms during MCA (Funkey et al., 2014; Kabel et al., 2012). This could conceivably be explained by warm and dry conditions (Luoto and Nevalainen, 2018). Changes in the input of freshwater has shown to be an important factor in governing salinity changes over the last 8500 years (Gustafsson and Westman, 2002). However, reconstructing precipitation is not as straightforward as temperature re- constructions (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). In a modeling study by Schimanke et al. (2012), fresher conditions during MCA due to wetter conditions were recon- structed. Uncertainties in reconstructing past environmental conditions and eco- system responses in the Baltic Sea are tightly coupled with uncertainties in future climate scenarios. Understanding the past is key to understanding the present, and essential to being able to predict the future.

Records of early human impact in lakes Humans have affected landscapes substantially on local scales for millennia, mostly by disturbing vegetation cover by deforestation (Roberts et al., 2018). The earliest signs of landscape disturbance (in pollen records from lakes) are recorded approx. 9000-6000 years before common era (BCE) in America, Oceanica, Asia, Africa and Europe (Dubois et al., 2018). The very first signs of eutrophication of lakes are recor- ded approx. 6000–3000 years BCE in Europe and America (Dubois et al., 2018). In the drainage area for the Baltic Sea, the first signs of landscape disturbance are re- corded approx. 5000 years BCE in Finland, approx. 3800 years BCE in Estonia, approx. 2500 years BCE in Latvia, approx. 1000 years BCE in Poland and as early as approx. 6000 years BCE in northern Germany (Dubois et al., 2018). While the very first signs of eutrophication of lakes do sometimes occur simultaneously with vege- tation disturbance (for example in Germany and Estonia), they are often recorded much later. The first signs of eutrophication in lakes are recorded in Finland approx.

27 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

2500 years BCE, in Latvia during the 13th century CE, and in Poland circa 1000 CE (Dubois et al., 2018). In a study from Denmark, early landscape disturbance was re- corded as early as approx. 4000 BCE, but the lake remained undisturbed until the major deforestation occurred from approx. 500 BCE. Eutrophication of this lake was further intensified during medieval times, about 1050–1500 CE (Bradshaw et al., 2005). In Sweden, signs of human activities have been registered in pollen records from approx. 3600 BCE in the southernmost part of Sweden, with signs of agriculture from approx. 2600 BCE (Åkesson et al., 2015). Closer to the area of interest in this thesis, land use changes have been interpreted from pollen stratigraphies circa 800 CE, with a simultaneous response in the diatom assemblages of these lakes (Risberg et al., 1994; Karlsson and Risberg 2006). In southwestern Sweden, the first signs of landscape disturbance are recorded approx. 300 BCE, simultaneous with an increased pH of the lake, attributed to these changes in land use (Renberg et al., 1990). In northern Sweden, continuous agriculture is recorded from the 13th century and the lake res- ponse is simultaneous with dramatic changes in the diatom assemblages (Anderson et al., 1995). Lake Mälaren has been culturally eutrophicated since the isolation of the lake circa 1200 CE, as inferred from a diatom-based Total Phosphorous reconstruc- tion (Renberg et al., 2001). This makes it impossible to define reference conditions according to the WFD. This is also highlighted in Willén, (2001), where it is suggested to instead define an acceptable deviation from an assumed pristine state.

Agrarian history in southern Sweden during the last millennium Around a thousand years ago, a series of technological innovations, including the iron plow, promoted an expansion of agricultural land (Myrdal, 1999). The favorable climate conditions during the MCA, with temperatures similar to today, also enabled a demographic expansion (Ljungqvist et al., 2012; Myrdal and Morell, 2011). It is difficult to estimate changes in population this far back in time, but between 1000 and 1300 CE the numbers of households in Mälardalen, an area around Lake Mälaren, at least doubled (Myrdal, 1999). In 1350 CE, Sweden was hit by the plague. Several more outbreaks took place during the following century, decimating the population in Sweden by half (Myrdal and Morell, 2011). This strongly altered the land use, especially in more remote areas, where peripheral farms were abandoned in favor of more fertile lands. These changes in demography are recorded in pollen diagrams from the highlands of Småland, a wooded area in the south of Sweden (Lagerås, 2016). However, the more fertile plains were not usually abandoned, at least not for long. They were instead taken over by people migrating in search of land for agriculture (Myrdal and Morell, 2011). Following the medieval agrarian crisis, there was an increase in the population and by circa 1600 CE it had reached the same level as before the plague (Myrdal and Morell, 2011). During this time when both the population and the standard of living increased, the climate became colder (Schimanke et al., 2012). This might seem

28 BACKGROUND contradictory, but except for the northernmost parts of Scandinavia, it was not the temperature, but the amount of precipitation that was of greatest importance for the size of the harvest (Charpentier Ljungqvist, 2015). Unfortunately, our knowledge of the changes in precipitation is not as extensive as that of changes in temperature. Model simulations show wetter conditions (compared to the mean annual preci- pitation from 800 to 1900 CE) during the MCA, and more dry conditions during the 14th and 15th centuries, i.e. at the beginning of LIA (Ljungqvist et al., 2016). However, other studies have reconstructed dry conditions during MCA (Helama et al., 2009; Luoto and Nevalainen, 2018). Early landscape disturbances and changes in agricultural practices have had an effect locally in lakes (Dubois et al., 2018). However, the question remains as to whether coastal seas have also been affected for such a long time. It has been suggested that major changes in the open Baltic Sea ecosystem during medieval times were caused by human activities on land (Åkesson et al., 2015; Schimanke et al., 2012; Zillén and Conley, 2010). In this thesis, the long-term effect on coastal areas of the Baltic Sea is traced using diatom stratigraphy and geochemical proxies.

29

Description of study sites

The study area for this thesis is the northwestern part of the Baltic Proper, which means the Western Gotland Sea and southeastern coast of Sweden (Figure 1, Table 1). The coast of southeastern Sweden consists mostly of rocky archipelago coastline. This area is still influenced by the last glaciation and the isostatic rebound of the area is approx. 2-4 mm/year (Harff and Meyer, 2011). The coastal sites in this study are located along a 250-km stretch of the southeast coast of Sweden (Figure 1). In most winters, all coastal sites in this study have about 90-150 days with sea ice. During summer months, all sites experience stratification due to the development of a thermocline. All sites are considered sheltered according to the classification system of wave exposure in the WFD (VISS, 2019).

Figure 1. Map showing the Baltic Sea and its drainage area (shaded in grey), and the study area with the five sampling sites along the Swedish coast, and the sampling site in the western Gotland Basin. Number 1 is Lake Mälaren, number 2 is Stockholm, number 3 is Sdertälje and number 4 is Norrkping.

31 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

Kanholmsfjärden Kanholmsfjärden is a large and deep basin located in the outer parts of the Stockholm archipelago, with a surface area of approx. 35 km2 and mean and maximum water depths of 52 and 104 m, respectively (SMHI, 2019). The basin is separated from the open Baltic Proper by a rosary of islands. Salinity in surface waters is 4.3-5.5, while the deep-water salinity is 6.5-6.7 (SMHI, 2019). The stratification of the water masses prevents mixing of bottom and surface waters and the deep waters are more or less permanently hypoxic (SMHI, 2019). The islands surrounding Kanholmsfjärden to the north, east and south are very sparsely populated. The larger islands to the west are peri-urban and connected to the mainland by roads. A small sewage treatment plant is located in the southwestern part of Kanholmsfjärden, which is dimensioned for approx. 6000 people (Värmd kommun, 2019). Kanholmsfjärden is located in the outer part of the Stockholm archipelago, and the drainage area of the basin itself is restricted to surrounding islands. However, this site is influenced by the outward-flowing freshwater from Lake Mälaren passing through Stockholm. This drainage area is large, approx. 20,140 km2, and consists of 21% agricultural land and 65% wooded areas (SMHI, 2020). Further, treated sewage water from approx. 1.5 million people has its outlet in Stockholm. Environmental monitoring has been performed through recipient controls along the main fairway to Stockholm, passing through Kanholmsfjärden, in the Stockholm archipelago since 1968 CE. This was later extended to many other sites in the Stockholm archipelago. This has resulted in a relatively long time series of monitoring data being available for Kanholmsfjärden. However, since 2015, Kanholmsfjärden has no longer been a part of the recipient controls. Kanholmsfjärden is today, due to its low biovolume of phytoplankton, classified as having a moderate ecological status while the chemical status is classified as bad (VISS, 2019).

Ådfjärden Ådfjärden is located in the southern part of the Stockholm archipelago, approx. 30 km south of Stockholm, and approx. 60 km southwest of Kanholmsfjärden. This water basin has an area of approx. 5 km2, a maximum water depth of 30 m, and thresholds in the north and south are 12 m and 19 m, respectively. About 10 km of archipelago separates this site from the open Baltic Sea. Salinity in the larger area of Horsfjärden, of which Ådfjärden is a part, is 5.1-5.7 in surface waters and 5.6-5.9 in bottom waters (SMHI, 2019). Ådfjärden is not an administrative area in the environ- mental monitoring and therefore the information about this water basin is sparse. The drainage area for Ådfjärden is the smallest of all sites in this study, 158 km2, of which 72% is wooded areas and 14% agricultural land (SMHI, 2020). There are no large urban areas within the drainage area nor in the fairway through Ådfjärden, which means it is relatively unaffected by boat traffic. Ådfjärden is today classified as

32 DESCRIPTION OF STUDY SITES having a moderate ecological status and is thus affected by eutrophication (VISS, 2019).

Himmerfjärden Himmerfjärden is an estuary with a surface area of approx. 31 km2, located on the other side from Ådfärden of the peninsula Sdertrn, approx. 40 km south of Stockholm. The bathymetry of Himmerfjärden is steep since the estuary is the result of a tectonically induced fault in the bedrock. Threshold depth at the inlet is approx. 15 m, and the mean and maximum water depths are 15 and 45 m, respectively. Salinity in Himmerfjärden is 5.2-5.9 in surface waters and 5.6-6.2 in bottom waters (SMHI, 2019). The drainage area of Himmerfjärden is 432 km2, and consists of 62% wooded area and 20% agricultural land (SMHI, 2020). The city of Sdertälje, with around 100,000 residents, is located upstream from Himmerfjärden. Several indus- tries were established in Sdertälje in the , and these expanded and be- came more numerous in the early 20th century. This enabled population growth in Sdertälje and surrounding areas, especially during the 1940s (Nordstrm, 1968). Lake Mälaren has its main outlet in Stockholm, but when the water level is exceptionally high, it is also drained through a lock in Sdertälje, into the Himmer- fjärden estuary (Elmgren and Larsson, 1997). The lock opened in 1819, and was re- built in 1924 (Nordstrm, 1968). Prior to the opening of the lock, Lake Mälaren had been isolated from the Baltic Sea since around 1200 CE (Price et al., 2018). According to the Swedish Maritime Administration, 2700 commercial ships and 9000 leisure boats pass through Himmerfjärden, in and out of Lake Mälaren, every year. In 1974, a sewage treatment plant opened with around 90,000 people connected, using the Himmerfjärden estuary as recipient. Since its opening, there have been several full-scale experiments with nutrient discharge in the bay, and the water quality in Himmerfjärden has been closely studied by recipient control environmental monitoring, with respect to e.g. nutrient levels, redox conditions of bottom waters and phytoplankton biomass (Elmgren and Larsson, 1997; Savage et al., 2002). Today the sewage treatment plant serves around 314,000 people and most of the wastewater from the southern suburbs of Stockholm ends up here (Winnfors, 2019). Himmer- fjärden is at present affected by eutrophication and is classified as having a moderate ecological status (VISS, 2019).

Bråviken Bråviken is a long, approx. 50 km, and narrow bay with a surface area of 130 km2. This bay is large but is divided into smaller administrative areas. The sampling site is located in the inner part of Bråviken, where the mean and maximum depths are 9 and 39 m, respectively. The bay is separated from the open Baltic Sea by thresholds of approx. 16 m. Salinity in surface waters fluctuates a lot with seasons, from 1.1 to 5.6, while the salinity of bottom waters is more stable at 6.2-6.9 (SMHI, 2019). The Motala

33 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

Strm river drains into Bråviken through Norrkping. The drainage area for inner Bråviken is large, approx. 12,724 km2, with 22% agricultural land and 67% wooded areas (SMHI, 2020). The southern part of Bråviken is flat and very shallow (<5m), with extensive distribution of green algae and seaweeds. The northern shore of Bråviken consists of a fault, which also constitutes the rim of the drainage area. The shoreline on this side is steep and the terrestrial vegetation is dominated by coni- ferous forest. The city of Norrkping (approx. 140,000 residents), for which Bråviken is reci- pient, is located in the inner, southern part of Bråviken. Norrkping has a long history of industries, starting with iron and weapon manufacturing in the 17th century. The metal industry declined during the 18th century due to widespread peace in the region, while the textile and paper industries were on the rise (Gejvall-Seger, 1978). These two industries dominated the area during the 19th century, with several paper mills located in Norrkping and surrounding areas (Sjunnesson and Wahlberg, 2003). Norrkping has continued to be an important industrial city during the 20th century. According to the Swedish Maritime Administration, 2800 commercial ships pass through Bråviken, to the harbor in Norrkping, every year. Today, the ecological status of the outer part of Bråviken is moderate, while the inner parts are considered to have a poor ecological status (VISS, 2019), and hence are heavily affected by eutrophication.

Gåsfjärden Gåsfjärden (surface area 21 km2) is the southernmost site included in this thesis, located some 130 km south of Bråviken. The drainage area (1404 km2) is dominated by 84% wooded areas, and only 10% of the land is used for agriculture (SMHI, 2020). Mean and maximum water depths are 10 and 51 m, respectively. This basin is connected to the open sea through a narrow (<500 m) and shallow (approx. 7 m) sill, and there is an archipelago between this site and the open sea. Salinity in surface waters is 4-6.5, and in bottom waters 6.9-7.1 (SMHI, 2019). Hypoxic bottom waters typically occur from August to October. Two rivers, Marstrmmen and Botorpsstrmmen, drain into Gåsfjärden. A closed mine, Solstad Gruva, is located in the inner part of Gåsfjärden. This copper mine was active from 1630 CE until it closed in 1920 CE (Hermansson, 1966; Sderhielm and Sundblad, 1996). However, there are indications of even earlier copper mining (Hermansson, 1966). Also in the inner parts of Gåsfjärden, in the village Blankaholm, a saw mill opened in 1886 CE. It expanded in the early 1900s and was in its time the largest saw mill in southern Sweden. This industry closed in 1979 CE. The ecological status of Gåsfjärden is today classified as poor (VISS, 2019).

34 DESCRIPTION OF STUDY SITES

The western Gotland Basin The western Gotland Basin is delimited by the Gotska Sand Sill at 100 m water depth in the northeast and the Hoburg-Midsj Banks at 40 m depth in the south (Leppäranta and Myrberg, 2009). It has a mean depth of 71 m but also contains the deepest location in the entire Baltic Sea, the 459-meter Landsort Deep. The surface water salinity ranges between 6.3 and 7.7 and below the permanent halocline situated at 60-80 m, the salinity is 8.7-10.3 (Leppäranta and Myrberg, 2009). A thermocline develops in the summer, creating a warmer 10-20 m surface layer. The water renewal time for the Gotland Basin is 28-34 years and in the bottom waters of the western Gotland Basin, over 36 years (Meier, 2007).

35 Table 1. Characterization of the water bodies in this thesis

Max Mean Surface Volume Threshold Surface Deep Wave Exchange Days Stratification depth depth area (km2) (km3) depths (m) salinity water exposure of water with ice (m) (m) salinity

Kanholmsfjärden 1041 521 351 1.81 N/A 4.3-5.51 6.5-6.71 Sheltered2 >40 days2 90-1502 Thermocline during summer2

Horsfjärden (larger 511, 303 N/A 621 0.871 N/A 5.1-5.71 5.6-5.91 Sheltered2 >40 days2 90-1502 Thermocline administrative area during summer2 including Ådfjärden)

Ådfjärden 303 N/A ~5 N/A 12 & 193 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Himmerfjärden 451 151 311 0.451 153 5.2-5.91 5.6-6.21 Sheltered2 >40 days2 90-1502 Thermocline during summer2

Inner Bråviken 391 91 571 0.511 163 1.1-5.91 6.2-6.91 Sheltered2 >10-39 90-1502 Thermocline (including days2 during summer2 Pampusfjärden)

Bråviken (entire) 491 N/A ~1203 ~1.151 163 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Gåsfjärden 511 101 21.21 0.221 73 4-6.51 6.9-7.11 Sheltered2 >40 days2 90-1502 Thermocline during summer2

w. Gotland Basin 4594 714 342324 24184 100 NE, 40 6.3-7.74 8.7-10.34 N/A N/A N/A Permanently S4 stratified

References: 1) SMHI “Vattenwebben” (salinity sampled every month during the years 2004–2018), and SMHI “Tabell ver havsområden” 2) VISS, 2019 3) Information from nautical charts 4) Leppäranta and Myrberg, 2009.

32 Material and Methods

Field work Sediment coring was conducted in 2011 from R/V Ocean Surveyor, in 2012 from R/V Skagerak, in 2014 from M/S Fyrbyggaren and in 2017 from R/V Maria S. Merian (Table 2). Slightly different equipment and techniques were used during the different cruises. However, the main methodology was to sample one long sediment core from each site and one complementary short core, to also retrieve the topmost soft and unconsolidated sediments. The following describes sediment coring during the 2012 and 2014 cruises: The long cores from each site were retrieved by a 3- or 5-meter-long piston corer (PC) using 20 to 30 kg of lead weights and a freefall of 0.5 meters. PVC liners with an inner diameter 4.6 cm were used. After retrieval, the cores were cut into sections 1 m (respective 1.25 m) long, sealed with end caps, marked and stored cold for later analyses in the laboratory. To recover the topmost sediments, a short, 1 m long, gravity corer (GC) with an inner diameter of 8 cm was used. The GCs were sliced onboard into 1 cm slices, marked and stored in plastic Ziploc bags. During the 2014 cruise, a second short core was collected and pushed out on deck, where it was documented by photography. All sediment core sections were stored in the cold room before opening. In the laboratory, the piston core liner sections were opened by cut- ting them lengthwise. One half of the core was placed into a core tray for visual in- spection and documentation, both through a written core description and by photo- graphy. The other half of each core section was used for sub-sampling for radiocarbon dating, diatom stratigraphy and geochemistry. In Gåsfjärden, the complementary short core was sampled with a Gemini corer. The long core was opened and documented on board. Otherwise the methods were the same as those described above. For the western Gotland Basin, different gravity core devices were used to retrieve a continuous sediment record. A short multicorer was used to ensure sampling of the uppermost soft sediments. The sediment cores were kept in a cold room and trans- ported to a lab in The Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research in Warnemnde, Germany for opening and sub-sampling. The cores were opened lengthwise, scanned in a multi-sensor core logger and subsampled for radiocarbon, chemical and paleoeco- logical analyses.

37 Table 2. Sediment cores used in this PhD thesis.

Site Core label Date Ship Equipment Water Core Lat Long Results presented depth (m) length (m) in Kanholmsfjärden UPP5B June 2014 M/S Fyrbyggaren Piston corer 101 ~3 N59˚20.414' E18˚47.138' Papers II and IV Kanholmsfjärden UPP5C June 2014 M/S Fyrbyggaren Gravity corer 101 0.68 N59˚20.414' E18˚47.138' Papers II and IV Ådfjärden UPP6A June 2014 M/S Fyrbyggaren Piston corer 28 ~3 N59˚00.573' E18˚02.282' Papers I and IV Ådfjärden UPP6D June 2014 M/S Fyrbyggaren Gravity corer 28 0.72 N59˚00.570' E18˚02.289' Papers I and IV Himmerfjärden PC1208 June 2012 R/V Skagerak Piston corer 44.1 5 N58˚59.616' E17˚43.295' Papers I and IV Himmerfjärden GC1219 June 2012 R/V Skagerak Gravity corer 45 0.77 N58˚59.629' E17˚43.291' Papers I and IV Bråviken PC1205 June 2012 R/V Skagerak Piston corer 24 4.5 N58˚38.832' E16˚23.664' Papers I and IV Bråviken GC1212 June 2012 R/V Skagerak Gravity corer 23.9 0.70 N58˚38.834' E16˚23.636' Papers I and IV Gåsfjärden VG31L August 2011 R/V Ocean Piston corer 31 5.78 56˚34'23''N 16˚31'26''E Papers III and IV Surveyor Gåsfjärden VG31D August 2011 R/V Ocean Gemini corer 31 0.52 56˚34'23''N 16˚31'26''E Papers III and IV Surveyor w. Gotland Basin MSM62-1-60- March 2017 R/V Maria S. Gravity corer 218 7.94 N57˚58.64' E17˚57.37' Paper IV SL Merian w. Gotland Basin MSM62-1-60-2- March 2017 R/V Maria S. Gravity corer 203 0.42 N57˚58.74' E17˚57.56' Paper IV MUC Merian

35 MATERIAL AND METHODS

Chronologies In order to correctly interpret results from sediment archives, and to be able to compare results to other published records and timings of climatic or historical events, it is highly important to establish reliable chronologies. Age models have been constructed using a combination of different radiometric methods. The youngest sediments, <100 years, are dated by lead-210 (210Pb) and the older by radiocarbon (14C). In addition, cesium-137 (137Cs), and mercury (Hg) have been used as markers. Finding suitable coring sites in the dynamic coastal zone of the Baltic Sea is a chal- lenge and having an interest in the long-term perspective adds to these challenges. Several requirements must be met for a sediment core to function as an archive for environmental history. The first preconditions are of course that the cored site has experienced a continuous accumulation during the timespan of interest. Secondly, the two cores, taken with two different types of coring equipment, must be correlated into one splice sequence. Due to difficulties associated with dating the bulk sediment, it is also necessary to find material (macrofossils) for radiocarbon dating. The results from the different dating techniques are then used in the construction of an age-depth model, which must give reasonable accumulation rates. At the start of this project, five additional coastal sites were cored but it was not possible to construct reliable age-depth models for these. Further, the initial idea was to use laminated sequences as a proxy for hypoxic bottom waters, something that had proven to be quite straightforward in the open Baltic Sea (e.g. Zillén et al., 2008). Laminated sequences were in most cores present only in the topmost part, but further down, reflecting medieval times, the presence of diffusely laminated sediments and sulfide banding made the interpretations uncertain.

Radiocarbon dating 14C has a half-life of about 5700 years and is used to date organic material approx. 40,000 years old (Libby et al., 1949). Since the 14C/12C ratio in the atmosphere has varied through history, the 14C ages provided by the dating laboratory need to be calibrated to calendar years BP. This calibration is based on information from e.g. tree rings, laminated sediments and ice cores, which have recorded the atmospheric composition of the 14C/12C ratio through time (Reimer et al., 2013). Since we have all this information, calibrating a terrestrial macrofossil is fairly easy, and this is the preferred material to date with radiocarbon. However, in an aquatic system this is not always possible, and therefore aquatic material, e.g. algae remnants or clams have also been dated. Due to the slow circulation of the world oceans, the marine carbon has an apparent older age, the so-called reservoir age. The reservoir age of the world oceans is termed R. In the brackish system of the Baltic Sea it gets even more complicated. In this system, there is a deviation from the global R, a ΔR. The question of how large the ΔR is in the Baltic Sea has been addressed on several occasions (e.g.

39 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

Andrén et al., 2000a; 2000b; Hedenstrm and Possnert, 2001; Lougheed et al., 2013; 2012). The chronology for Gåsfjärden is based only on terrestrial macrofossils. However, for the other coastal sites, the chronologies are based on a combination of terrestrial and aquatic macrofossils. A sieve with a 250 μm mesh size was used and the sediment was sieved in 1 cm intervals. The macrofossils found were examined in a stereo microscope when needed and they were determined as accurately as possible. Some of them could be deter- mined to species or genus level (for example, seeds of Betula sp. or shell of Macoma baltica), while others could be assigned to be either terrestrial or aquatic. Some plant remnants could not be specified to be either terrestrial or aquatic. The macrofossils were dried in an oven at 40° C before sending them off for dating by radiocarbon accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) at the Radiocarbon Dating Laboratory, Lund University, Sweden and at Beta Analytical, USA. In the core from western Gotland Basin, no macrofossils were found, and instead sediment bulk samples, sent to Poznań Radiocarbon Laboratory, Poland, were used for radiocarbon dating.

Lead dating 210Pb has a half-life of 22 years and can be used to date sediments approx. 100 years back (Appleby, 2008). Gamma Dating Center, Institute of Geography, University of Copenhagen analyzed the short gravity cores from Kanholmsfjärden, Ådfjärden, Himmerfjärden and Bråviken for the activity of 210Pb using a Canberra ultralow- background Ge-well-detector. For the Gåsfjärden core, 210Pb dating was performed at the Department of Geology, Lund University. The method of 210Pb dating was not applied to the core from western Gotland Basin.

Markers: cesium and mercury The cesium isotope 137Cs is a marker for the radioactive fallout from the nuclear accident of Chernobyl in 1986, and an earlier increase can be used as a marker for the nuclear weapons testing dated to circa 1960 CE. All six sediment records included in this thesis have been analyzed with respect to 137Cs. For Kanholmsfjärden, Ådfjärden, Himmerfjärden, Bråviken and western Gotland Basin, the measurements were car- ried out at the Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemnde (IOW) and Gamma Dating Center, Institute of Geography, University of Copenhagen using Canberra detectors. For Gåsfjärden, these measurements were carried out at the Department of Geology, Lund University. Elemental mercury, Hg can be used as a marker for human impact (Leipe et al., 2013). Mercury measurements were performed on the sediment cores from Kan- holmsfjärden, Ådfjärden, Himmerfjärden and Bråviken at the Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research (IOW). A DMA-80 analyzer from MLS Company was used and the results were calibrated against CRM (BCR) 142R certified reference material and SRM 2709 soil standard using five concentration steps covering a range from 5 to 500 ng Hg.

40 MATERIAL AND METHODS

Correlation of cores and age-depth modeling For each site, one long and one short core have been correlated and a splice sediment sequence constructed. For Kanholmsfjärden, Ådfjärden, Himmerfjärden and Brå- viken, correlations of long and short cores are based on the matching of the mercury and the 137Cs profiles (Moros et al., 2017). For the Gåsfjärden record, correlation of the long and short cores is based on Corg concentrations. Terrestrial macrofossil samples have been calibrated using the IntCal13 cali- bration dataset. Aquatic macrofossils have been calibrated using a custom-built calibration curve with a ΔR of -135 ± 40 to compensate for the regional offset from the Marine13 calibration dataset (Reimer et al., 2013). The chosen ΔR is a mean based on the values for ΔR for clams, both suspension and deposit feeders, from three sites relatively close to the study sites as reported in the Marine Reservoir Correction Database (http://calib.org/marine/), Map Numbers 1710, 1717 and 1718 (Lougheed et al., 2013). The bulk sediment samples from western Gotland Basin have been calibrated using a mixed calibration curve consisting of 30% IntCal 13 and 70% Marine13, i.e. assuming that 30% of the carbon is of terrestrial origin and 70% of marine origin. Further discussion on reasoning behind the use of this mixing ratio can be found in Andrén et al. (2020). The other age-depth modeling parameters remained the same as for the coastal sites. For Kanholmsfjärden, Ådfjärden, Him- merfjärden, Bråviken and the western Gotland Basin, the age-depth models have been obtained using the software CLAM version 2.2 (Blaauw, 2010). For Gåsfjärden, the age-depth model was obtained using the software OxCal v4.1.7 (Ramsey, 2008). All ages in the following refer to calibrated ages in years CE. Following the publication of Paper I, the stratigraphies were analyzed in higher resolution with respect to diatoms. For the Ådfjärden record, it became obvious that the correlation of long-short core was less convincing. In Paper I, we estimated that 34 cm was lost in the top of the long core. This has been changed to 53 cm based on the diatom stratigraphy and a new age-depth model was produced. This has changed the interpretation of this stratigraphy with respect to the onset of eutrophication (>100 years earlier in Paper IV than in Paper I). Considering the uncertainties of various aspects in dating and age-depth modeling, it is a strength of this study that it includes results from several records.

Diatoms as a proxy for environmental change Diatoms are single-celled algae that can be found in almost every aquatic habitat. The diatom cell wall is impregnated with silica (SiO2) and these walls are called frustules. Frustules are made up of two halves, valves, which fit together, resembling the structure of a petri dish with lid (Round et al., 1990). There are a number of reasons to work with diatoms. They are found in virtually all aquatic environments and often at high abundances and species diversity. The species composition of diatoms is very sensitive to changes in the environment, for example pH in lakes, salinity, tempe-

41 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT rature (as ice algae or sensitive to changed stratification), water depth and nutrient availability. Because of the silica walls of the diatom cells, they are preserved in accumulated sediments. All these factors combined are what make the diatoms excellent paleoenvironmental indicators (Smol and Stoermer, 2010). Diatoms can live either as plankton or attached to a substrate. How the life-form of diatoms can be used as a proxy for water quality is further elaborated in the Interpretation and Discussion section. Diatom species composition is presented as relative abundances in the diatom diagrams. Vegetative cells of Skeletonema and Chaetoceros spp. were counted when possible but left out from the base sum of diatom relative abundance because of mass blooms in some levels and possible fluctuating preservation due to their very thin frustules. Due to difficulties with species delimitations and possible hybridization, Diatoma spp. were merged. For the time frame covered by this thesis, diatom preservation was not a limiting factor. Based on visual inspection of diatom frustules during analysis, the preservation of diatom valves was considered sufficient in all analyzed samples. However, in some cases a poorer preservation with substantial dissolution of valves was noticed downcore. This would have been a problem in several sites if the focus would have been on a longer time perspective than 2000 years. Even though dissolution was not a problem, broken valves has been a challenge. The counting of diatom valves was consequently carried out according to the method described by Schrader and Gersonde (1978), so the results should not be affected by the number of broken valves. However, in some samples it was difficult to assign specimen to species level, and they are therefore merged into genus and presented as e.g. Epithemia and Mastogloia spp. All identified diatom species are listed in Supplementary table 1. Chaetoceros spp. is one of the most abundant and diverse marine planktonic diatom genera in the world oceans (Malviya et al., 2016). The lightly silicified frus- tules of the vegetative cells are rarely preserved in sediments, but their heavily silicified resting spores can be found. They form under unfavorable conditions; nitrogen deficiency after a bloom event in particular has been reported to be a crucial factor in forming resting spores for some Chaetoceros species (Oku and Kamatani, 1997). All Chaetoceros spp. resting spores were counted but left out from the base sum of diatom counts. The concentration (absolute abundance presented as number of valves per gram dry sediment) of Chaetoceros spp. resting spores is presented in each diatom relative abundance diagram.

Lab procedure – diatom analysis

To clean the diatom valves and make permanent slides a quantity of approx. 0.1 g freeze-dried sediment was weighed and left overnight in 30% H2O2 and a couple of drops of 10% HCl to remove carbonates. The next day, the samples were put on a hotplate to oxidize organic matter until reaction had occurred and the samples had

42 MATERIAL AND METHODS calmed down. The beakers were filled with de-ionized water. They were left overnight and were then rinsed several times over the following days using decantation (settling time 1 cm/hour) to get rid of clay particles. Diluted ammonium (0.5 ml of 25% NH3 per l water) was added to dissolve aggregates of particles and to keep the clay in suspension. After the last rinse, 1 ml of a microsphere stock solution with a con- centration of 5.5603 x 106 microspheres/ml was added (Battarbee, 1986). The samples were then pipetted onto coverslips (#1 thickness) and left overnight to settle and dry. The following day, permanent slides were prepared using Naphrax™ as mounting media. Diatoms were analyzed under a light microscope using differential inter- ference contrast and magnification x1000 with oil immersion. A minimum of 300 diatom valves were counted at each level. Floras used for identification include Cleve- Euler (1955, 1953a, 1953b, 1952, 1951), Krammer and Lange-Bertalot (1991a, 1991b, 1988, 1986), Snoeijs (1993), Snoeijs and Balashova (1998), Snoeijs and Kasperovičienė (1996), Snoeijs and Potapova (1995), Snoeijs and Vilbaste (1994) and Witkowski et al. (2000). Absolute abundance (concentration) of diatom valves was calculated as:

𝑚𝑖𝑐𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑝ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑒𝑑 × 𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑚𝑠 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑚𝑖𝑐𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑝ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑑

For the samples from Gåsfjärden, absolute abundance was not measured.

Geochemical proxies

Geochemical proxies in this thesis include total organic carbon content (Corg), total nitrogen content (TN), and stable isotopes of nitrogen (δ15N) and carbon (δ13C). In the Baltic Sea, stable nitrogen isotope (δ15N) values at the sediment surface are generally higher in coastal areas (5-13‰) than in the open Baltic Sea (3-5%) (Voss et al., 2005; 2000). The cause for the elevated values in coastal areas is suggested to be anthropogenic nitrogen delivered by rivers and diffuse runoff (Voss et al., 2005). An increased δ15N signal has been interpreted as a result of eutrophication in different areas of the Baltic Sea (Ellegaard et al., 2006; Jokinen et al., 2018; Savage et al., 2010; Struck et al., 2000). Due to the differences in carbon sources for phytoplankton and land plants, they produce organic matter with different stable carbon isotope (δ13C) values. Marine phytoplankton produce organic matter with δ13C values of -18‰ to -22‰, while land plants show values of -25‰ to -28‰ (Kandasamy and Nagender Nath, 2016). However, in a coastal and brackish system where the primary producers are a mixture of marine and freshwater algae, the interpretation of δ13C becomes more complicated. According to Lamb et al. (2006), δ13C values of land plants and freshwater algae overlap, with land plants displaying values of -21‰ to -32‰, and freshwater algae - 26‰ to -30‰. The C/N ratio can then aid in interpreting the sources of organic matter. Since terrestrial plants consist to a high degree of nitrogen-poor cellulose and

43 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT lignin, the C/N ratios are usually >12. In algae, the C/N ratios are <10. However, Lamb et al. (2006) also point out that even with the help of C/N ratio, it can be difficult to distinguish the sources of organic material in coastal areas with high algal production.

Lab procedure – geochemical analyses 13 For the analyses of organic carbon (Corg), nitrogen (N) and stable isotopes δ C and δ15N, all samples were run twice to detect carbonates in the sediment. However, no carbonates were detected in any of the samples. A quantity of 7-8 mg of freeze-dried, grinded and homogenized sediment was put in tin and silver capsules. The tin capsules were immediately sealed. In the silver capsules, approx. 100 μl of 2M HCl was added to remove carbonates, and the samples were dried overnight at 60° C. The silver capsules were then sealed the next day. The samples were analyzed in a Finnigan DeltaV advantage mass spectrometer connected to a CarloErba NC2500 elemental analyzer through a ConfloIV open split interface. The carbon and nitrogen isotope measurements were normalized to the Vienna PeeDee Belemnite and atmospheric N according to (‰) = [(Rsample - Rstandard) / Rstandard] x 1000. Accuracy of the Corg and N measurements was 0.01%, and the precision was +-0.09% and +-0.02% for Corg and N, respectively. Precision in measurements of the stable isotopes δ13C and δ15N was +-0.15‰, and the accuracy was 0.04‰ and 0.05‰ for δ13C and δ15N, respectively. The δ13C values were corrected for the depletion in atmospheric δ13C since 1840 CE due to fossil-fuel burning, the so-called “Suess effect” (Keeling, 1979). The 13 equation from Verburg (2007) was used to calculate the modeled δ Catm for a given 13 year, which was then subtracted from the modeled δ Catm for the year 1840 CE. This 13 13 time-dependent depletion of δ Catm was then added to the measured δ Corg of the samples. The geochemical analyses were carried out at the Stable Isotope Lab, Department of Geological Sciences at Stockholm University and at the Department of Biology, Lund University.

Data processing and statistical analyses The diatom results were assembled and cluster analyses were performed using CONISS in the software Tilia 2.1.1 (Grimm, 1987). To detect trends and com- positional changes in the diatom dataset over time, Detrended Correspondence Analyses (DCA) have been performed using the rioja and vegan packages in R (Jug- gins, 2017; Oksanen et al., 2019). Species richness has been calculated using rare- faction analysis in the vegan package (Birks and Line, 1992). In Paper III, we assessed which effect different forcing factors may have had on the biogeochemistry and diatom composition in Gåsfjärden. For this purpose, Redundancy Analyses, also a constrained ordination method, were performed using CANOCO (ter Braak and Šmilauer, 2002). As potential forcing factors, three

44 MATERIAL AND METHODS explanatory variables were selected: 1. Percentage land cover from the REVEALS reconstruction (Sugita, 2007) from Lake Storsjn, 2. A sea surface temperature si- mulation for the Baltic Sea region (Schimanke et al., 2012), and 3. A sea surface temperature reconstruction for the North Atlantic (Sejrup et al., 2010). In Paper IV, the following statistical methods were applied: Detrended Corres- pondence Analysis (DCA) and Constrained Correspondence Analysis (CCA) were performed using the software R version 3.6.1, and the packages rioja and vegan (Juggins, 2017; Oksanen et al., 2019). DCA does not allow significance testing so to test if the total diatom assemblage changed over time, between sites, and if the change over time was different between sites, a CCA was constructed with both site and time and the interaction between site and time as constrains. Significance tests were conducted with the permutation-based ANOVA included in package vegan using the “by terms” setting, which means that the terms were tested in order and the effect of the ones tested were removed when testing the next term. When comparing DCAs from different assemblages, the position (negative or positive) of samples cannot be directly compared between analyses. The interesting information is the amount of change in position, so in the figure, DCA scores from some analyses are sign-reversed to make results more easy to compare. The levels of δ15N measurements were dated to different years in each core and, to be able to use them in comparisons between cores, they were smoothed in GAM models (library mgcv, Wood, 2017) and the predicted values for the years needed were extracted. Pearson’s product-moment correlations between the δ15N data from Bråviken, Ådfjärden, Himmerfjärden and Kanholmsfjärden and modelled total nitrogen (TN) from Gustafsson et al. (2012) were calculated. The results supported the idea that δ15N can be used as a proxy for altered nutrient input. We therefore proceeded with CCA’s for each site using δ15N and the temperature anomaly from Moberg et al. (2005) as constraining variables. This dataset is a reconstruction of temperature anomalies from the Northern Hemisphere annual mean temperature 1961-90 average based on a combination of low-resolution proxies (lake and ocean sediments) and tree-ring data, which is a high-resolution proxy. The reconstruction covers a timespan of almost 2000 years and the dataset consists of yearly temperature anomalies from year 1 to 1979 CE.

45

Results – summary of papers

The results of this thesis are presented as a summary of the four included papers:

Paper I: Baltic Sea Coastal Eutrophication in a Thousand Year Perspective In this paper, we present records from three sites along the Swedish eastern coast: Bråviken, Himmerfjärden and Ådfjärden. These have been studied with respect to lithologies, geochemistry, and diatom assemblages to trace and date early human impact with an emphasis on nutrient discharge from land. In Bråviken, the first signs of eutrophication are recorded circa 1800 CE. This is reflected in the increase in δ15N and in changes in the diatom species composition. In Himmerfjärden, the earliest sign of eutrophication is the increase in δ15N, starting circa 1800 CE. The eutro- phication signals in Himmerfjärden get more pronounced from circa 1900 CE, with a decrease in diatom species richness, and from circa 1950 CE, an increase in pelagic- to-benthic (P/B) ratio is recorded. In Ådfjärden, the eutrophication signals are recorded from circa 1900 CE. The increasing trend in the P/B ratios starts around 1900 CE in Bråviken and Ådfjärden, and around 1950 CE in Himmerfjärden. Although their detailed history differs, the results show similar general patterns for all three sites. We concluded that the recorded environmental changes during the last centuries are unique in a thousand-year perspective.

Paper II: Signs of early eutrophication in the Stockholm outer archipelago as evident in a 500-year-long sediment record In this study, we present a sediment record from Kanholmsfjärden in the Stockholm outer archipelago covering the last 500 years. The pelagic-to-benthic ratio of diatom taxa and species richness captures the major reduction in water transparency that occurred around 1910 CE. However, the DCA axis 1 reflects the compositional changes of the entire diatom assemblage and when looking at this, earlier changes from as early as circa 1835 CE are evident. This is illustrated by a slight decrease in many benthic and epiphytic taxa, as well as changes in the relative abundance of some pelagic taxa, for example the relative abundance of Pauliella taeniata, Cyclotella choctawhatcheeana and Diatoma spp. complex increases and Thalassiosira baltica decreases. The stable nitrogen isotope δ15N shows an increasing trend from circa 1880 CE. Altogether, the proxies used in this study point to major deterioration in the water quality of Kanholmsfjärden from circa 1910 CE, and earlier indications of eutrophication from around the 1830s, suggesting that reference conditions occurred almost 200 years ago.

47 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

Paper III: Anthropogenic and climatic impacts on a coastal environment in the Baltic Sea over the last 1000 years This multiproxy study uses sedimentary records covering the last 1000 years obtained from one coastal site (Gåsfjärden) as well as a pollen record from nearby Lake Storsjn. We investigated the links between a pollen-based land cover reconstruction from Lake Storsjn and paleoenvironmental variables from Gåsfjärden itself, including diatom assemblages, organic carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) contents, stable isotopes of C and N, and biogenic silica contents. The Lake Storsjn record shows that regional land use was characterized by small-scale agricultural activity between 900 and 1400 CE, which slightly intensified between 1400 and 1800 CE. Substantial expansion of cropland was observed between 1800 and 1950 CE, before afforestation between 1950 and 2010 CE. From the Gåsfjärden record, prior to 1800 CE, relatively minor changes in the diatom and geochemical proxies were found. Increased P/B ratios after circa 1900 CE indicate a decreased water transparency, and Cyclotella choctawhatcheeana and Thalassiosira levanderi have increased since the 1940s. The onset of cultural eutrophication in Gåsfjärden can be traced to the 1800s and intensified land use is identified as the main driver. Anthropogenic activities in the 20th century have caused unprecedented ecosystem changes in the coastal inlet, as reflected in the diatom composition and geochemical proxies.

Paper IV: Exploring paleoecological trends since 500 CE: a comparison between coastal and open Baltic Proper This paper is a synthesis of the results from all coastal sites, which we further compare to a record from the western Gotland Basin (Andrén et al., 2020). Using ordination techniques, we explore patterns in diatom species composition and temporal changes in the stratigraphies. The results show that the diatom species composition of western Gotland Basin is different from the coastal sites, and it is becoming even more different with time. The species compositions of the coastal sites are changing with time in a different direction than western Gotland Basin. Of the coastal sites, Kan- holmsfjärden, Ådfjärden and Himmerfjärden have similar diatom species composition. Bråviken and Gåsfjärden differ, both from each other and from the other coastal sites. This suggests a heterogeneity along the Swedish southeast coast, showing that site- specific conditions (i.e. geographical preconditions such as salinity, bathymetry and availability of substrates, land use in the drainage area and closeness to a point source, e.g. sewage treatment plant) are important for the diatom species composition. We record no or very minor changes during medieval times in the coastal diatom stratigraphies. Consequently, we conclude that registered changes in the open Baltic Sea (as recorded in, for example, the lithology, carbon content and diatom species composition and absolute abundance) are attributed to climatic events and to a lesser extent to changes in land use. In the coastal records, we register early changes in the diatom assemblages suggesting changes in the environment in the 1800s (1700s in Ådfjärden). This is later followed in the first half of the 20th century by a sharp decline

48 RESULTS – SUMMARY OF PAPERS in benthic taxa suggesting a decrease in macrophytes and habitat loss for benthic diatoms, which we interpret as a decrease in water transparency and a dramatic deter- ioration in water quality due to eutrophication. In the record from western Gotland Basin, major compositional changes in the diatom stratigraphy are recorded from circa 1940. A time lag of recorded changes of approx. 100 years due to eutrophication from the coast to the open Baltic Sea is evident.

49

Interpretation and Discussion

The diatom stratigraphies and geochemical proxies used in this thesis allow us to trace environmental changes in coastal areas along the southeast coast of Sweden. Four of these records provide a long-term perspective, from before year 0 CE in Åd- fjärden, circa 350 CE in Himmerfjärden, circa 500 CE in Bråviken and circa 900 CE in Gåsfjärden. The stratigraphy from Kanholmsfjärden provides a detailed record of how the Stockholm outer archipelago has been impacted by changes in land use and population density since the 16th century. The diatom and geochemical stratigraphies suggest very stable conditions in these sites until recent centuries. There are no indications that climate has had a major effect on these coastal ecosystems during MCA and LIA, and this has led me to the conclusion that the recorded changes during recent centuries can be attributed to eutrophication.

Signs of eutrophication in the coastal zone during the last centuries The results from sediment records in five coastal sites included in this thesis display five parameters attributed to eutrophication. Two of these are based on the relative abundance of diatom taxa (diatom life-form and diatom species composition). The third parameter is diatom species richness, estimated using rarefaction analysis. The absolute abundance of diatoms in the sediment is the fourth parameter based on the diatom data. The fifth parameter, independent of the diatom data, is the signal of stable nitrogen isotope δ15N in the sediment. These five parameters are plotted by site in Figures 2-6 (for Gåsfjärden, only diatom life-form, species composition and species richness are shown in Figure 6).

51 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

Figure 2. Kanholmsfjärden summary figure showing: The first axis of a detrended correspondence analysis (DCA axis 1), which summarizes compositional changes in the diatom assemblage. % benthic taxa: a decrease in the relative abundance is interpreted as a deterioration of water quality. Diatom concentration (number of valves per gram dry weight sediment): elevated values in diatom concentration in the sediment are recorded as a response to elevated nutrient levels in the water. Assessed species richness: a decreased species richness is a common response to eutrophication. Stable nitrogen isotope, δ15N: an increased δ15N signal is interpreted as a signal of more anthro- pogenic nitrogen runoff from land. Dashed lines indicate the onset and aggravation of anthro- pogenic eutrophication.

52 INTERPRETATION AND DISCUSSION

Figure 3. Ådfjärden summary figure. For details, see legend to Figure 2.

Figure 4. Himmerfjärden summary figure. For details, see legend to Figure 2.

53 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

Figure 5. Bråviken summary figure. For details, see legend to Figure 2.

Figure 6. Gåsfjärden summary figure showing DCA axis 1, % benthic taxa and species richness. For details, see legend to Figure 2.

54 INTERPRETATION AND DISCUSSION

Diatom life-form Benthic taxa live associated with or attached to different substrates, e.g. macroalgae, rocks, sediment or sand grains. A decreased water transparency, caused for example by increased pelagic production due to eutrophication, will impair the availability of suitable habitats for benthic diatoms in two ways. First, there is a direct effect of de- creased light availability since (most) diatoms are dependent on enough light to maintain photosynthesis. Secondly, there is an indirect effect since reduced light availability will negatively affect the distribution of macroalgae, which are the sub- strate epiphytes grow on. Decreased water transparency leads to a decreased distri- bution of macroalgae and seaweeds (Kautsky et al., 1986). All coastal diatom assemb- lages in this study record a decrease in benthic taxa during the last centuries, with varying exact timing. The earliest changes in life-form are registered in Ådfjärden and Himmerfjärden in the 18th century (Figure 3 and 4). A second decrease in percentages of benthic taxa is registered in Ådfjärden from circa 1900 CE. In Himmerfjärden, a more pronounced decrease in benthic taxa is registered from circa 1950, and again when the sewage treatment plant opened in the 1970s. In Kanholmsfjärden and Bråviken, a sharp decrease in the relative abundance of benthic taxa is recorded circa 1900 CE (Figure 2 and 5). A decrease in benthic taxa is also registered in Gåsfjärden in the first half of the 20th century, albeit at a lower magnitude (Figure 6). The shift in diatom life-form is interpreted as a response to reduction in water transparency and a dramatic deterioration in the water quality during this time. Similar patterns with decreases in benthic and epiphytic taxa in relation to eutro- phication have been seen in several diatom records from coastal areas of the Baltic Sea, e.g. in the Oder estuary in the southern Baltic Proper (Andrén, 1999), the Gulf of Finland (Weckstrm, 2006), the Swedish coast in the Bothnian Sea (Andrén et al., 2016), and on the Danish coasts of Kattegat (Clarke et al., 2006; Ellegaard et al., 2006).

Diatom species composition To summarize major compositional changes in the diatom assemblages, the first axis of a DCA is plotted in Figures 2-6 (for detailed diatom diagrams, see Paper I (Figures 5-7), Paper II (Figure 5) and III (Figure 4)). To a large extent, the DCA curves reflect the changes in life-form discussed above. However, there are some exceptions: The record from Kanholmsfjärden shows pronounced eutrophication since circa 1900 CE, as illustrated by the decline in benthic taxa. However, the diatom assemb- lage reveals even earlier signs of environmental change from around the 1830s. This is recorded as changes in the relative abundance of some pelagic taxa, for example the relative abundance of Pauliella taeniata, Cyclotella choctawhatcheeana and Diatoma spp. complex increases and Thalassiosira baltica decreases. Bråviken shows a similar trend as that of Kanholmsfjärden, with a decline in benthic taxa from around 1900 CE. Also in this site, the DCA axis 1 curve captures earlier changes in the first half of the 1800s. This is mostly caused by changes in the pelagic taxa, namely an increase in

55 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

Diatoma spp. and a simultaneous decrease in Aulacoseira spp. In the Gåsfjärden record, the first axis of the DCA captures early changes in the diatom assemblage around the mid-1800s, when e.g. Cyclotella choctawhatcheeana and Thalassiosira baltica increase. These changes in diatom species composition are a response to changes in the environments, and in the above described cases, these are interpreted as early signs of increased nutrient availability in these coastal sites. Interpreting the ecology of taxa has not always been straightforward. For example, Pauliella taeniata is a species occurring with high relative abundances in all coastal records except for Gåsfjärden. This is a pennate diatom that lives in and on sea ice and constitutes a substantial part of the spring bloom in the Baltic Sea, especially in years with a long-lasting sea ice cover (Hajdu et al., 1997). Even so, the lowest relative abundances of this species were found to coincide with the coldest period of LIA in several of the sites. In the Gulf of Finland, this species was found to be more abundant with lower levels of nitrogen, and was even suggested to be a potential indicator of water quality (Weckstrm and Juggins, 2006). However, in this study the sites with lower nitrogen levels were also deeper. Mller‐Haeckel (1985) studied the phyto- plankton composition over the course of a year in the Bothnian Bay, and concludes that P. taeniata is adapted to cold waters but also to the low light availability under the sea ice (together with e.g. Melosira arctica, Thalassiosira baltica and Fragilariopsis cylindrus). Water transparency has dramatically decreased due to eutrophication in the Baltic Sea at least during the last century (Fleming-Lehtinen and Laamanen, 2012; Sandén and Håkansson, 1996), but this trend probably started even earlier, as indicated by the decrease in benthic taxa from the early 1800s presented in this thesis. The competitive advantage of P. taeniata to low light availability could conceivably explain the low relative abundances during LIA and the somewhat surprising increase towards present day, considering modern warming. In a review paper, Rhland et al. (2015) summarize how climate change has affected diatom assemblages in lakes in arctic and temperate regions. Changes in thermal stratification and vertical mixing due to warming often lead to a decrease in heavy and fast-sinking Aulacoseira spp. and an increase in relative abundance of small, fast-growing and planktonic cyclotelloid taxa. Rhland et al. (2015) suggest that small cyclotelloid taxa are insensitive to changes in nitrogen availability and that recent changes in many lakes with a shift to a more cyclotelloid-dominated diatom flora are related to climate warming. These results are not translatable to a brackish, heavily polluted system like the Baltic Sea where, for example, Cyclotella spp. respond to eutrophication (e.g. Andrén et al., 1999; Tuovinen et al., 2010; Weckstrm and Juggins, 2006; Papers I, II and III in this thesis). In arctic lakes or in other regions with a minimum of other anthropogenic influences, it is straightforward to track responses to climate warming (Rhland et al., 2015). In a complex system like the Baltic Sea with high human impact and multiple stressors, it is more difficult to determine which changes in the ecosystems are attributed to which external factor.

56 INTERPRETATION AND DISCUSSION

Diatom species richness Diatom species richness has been assessed using rarefaction analysis to account for differences in number of valves counted in each sample. A decrease in species rich- ness has previously been identified as a response to eutrophication (Andrén et al., 2016; Weckstrm, 2006). This is closely linked to the changes in diatom life-form and the loss in benthic habitats (Weckstrm et al., 2007). The records from Bråviken, Himmerfjärden, Ådfjärden, Kanholmsfjärden and Gåsfjärden all show a similar trend with a decrease in species richness, often simultaneously with the shift in diatom life- form. This occurs circa 1900 in Kanholmsfjärden, Ådfjärden and Gåsfjärden, and circa 1950 in Bråviken. In Himmerfjärden, a first decrease in species richness is registered already at the end of the 18th century, and a second decrease circa 1950 CE (Figures 2-6).

Diatom absolute abundance The concentration of diatom valves in the sediment is dependent on several different factors, including the numbers of diatoms produced in the water body, the efficiency with which diatoms are transported to the sediment, the extent to which diatoms are dissolved either in the water column or in the sediment, and the rate of sediment accumulation. Interpreting diatom concentration is therefore not straightforward (Battarbee et al., 2001). However, considering these difficulties, high concentrations of diatoms in the sediment can be interpreted as high (diatom) primary productivity periods (Snoeijs and Weckstrm, 2010). The trend in absolute abundance of diatoms is most clear in Kanholmsfjärden and Himmerfjärden (Figure 2 and 4). The Him- merfjärden record shows higher concentrations of diatoms after 1950 CE, and the opening of the sewage water treatment plant in the 1970s is evident. In Kanholms- fjärden, a slight increase is recorded from circa 1840, and the maximum values are recorded during the 1960s–1980s. In Ådfjärden, an increasing trend in the concen- tration of diatoms is recorded as early as in the 18th century, with the maximum values recorded in the 1940s–1970s (Figure 3). In Bråviken, the concentration of diatom values fluctuates a lot, but generally higher values are recorded after circa 1800 CE (Figure 5). There are no indications in the data that the explanations for these trends would be changes in accumulation rates or dissolution, and these events are therefore interpreted as high diatom productivity periods. This interpretation is further suppor- ted by the fact that the maximum values in many cases coincide with the maximum discharges of nutrients to the Baltic Sea at this time (Gustafsson et al., 2012).

Stable isotope δ15N Elevated values of stable isotope δ15N in coastal sediments seem to be closely related to the degree of impact from agriculture or point sources such as industries or sewage treatment plants, and an increased δ15N signal has been interpreted as a result of eutrophication in different areas of the Baltic Sea (Ellegaard et al., 2006; Jokinen et

57 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT al., 2018; Savage et al., 2010; Struck et al., 2000). Stable isotope δ15N has been measured in all coastal sites (Figures 2-5 and Figure 5 in Paper III). All sites show stable values until an increasing trend starts. In Kanholmsfjärden, increased values are recorded from circa 1900 CE. At this site, δ15N was only measured until circa 1980 CE, and later changes in the isotope signal are therefore not captured. In Ådfjärden and Himmerfjärden, the start of the increasing trend is recorded as early as in the 18th century. In Himmerfjärden, the increasing trend becomes more pronounced around 1800 CE. A first increase in this signal is also recorded in Bråviken around 1800 CE, a signal that gets more pronounced from circa 1850 CE. If we look at the absolute values, Himmerfjärden and Bråviken show an increase towards values more than 6‰, while in the Ådfjärden and Kanholmsfjärden records, values never exceed 5‰ and 4‰, respectively. In Gåsfjärden, an increasing trend is recorded since circa 1800 and reaches values of approx. 4‰ (see Figure 5 in Paper III). According to the δ15N signal, Kanholmsfjärden, Ådfjärden and Gåsfjärden are to a lesser degree than Him- merfjärden and Bråviken impacted by anthropogenic nitrogen. This makes sense since both Himmerfjärden and Bråviken have been, and still are, affected by point sources as a sewage treatment plant and industries (as well as by the relative short distance between the city of Norrkping and the sampling site in Bråviken). The five parameters described above are all interpreted as responses to elevated levels of nutrients reaching the coastal zone. Changes in these coastal ecosystems did not occur exactly at the same time and are not always registered in a specific order. The results highlight the strength of the multiproxy approach.

Causes for eutrophication in the coastal zone Since the end of the 18th century, several major changes in land use and agricultural practices have occurred in Europe. There are two parts of this so-called “agrarian revolution,” and they occurred simultaneously in some places and were separated by hundreds of years in others (Emanuelsson, 2009). The first part of the agrarian revolution reached southern Sweden circa 1820, when farms started to reorganize, and the old fallow system was abandoned. The reliance in traditional meadows and pastures was reduced and instead a cropping system was introduced involving root vegetables and seeded grassland. This development of agricultural practices was also closely coupled with technological improvements, e.g. the seed drill (Emanuelsson, 2009). The second part of the agrarian revolution was the introduction of artificial fertilizers. The use of artificial fertilizers was quite widespread by 1900 in Sweden, although in small quantities. More extensive use and truly widespread use of artificial fertilizers started after World War II (Emanuelsson, 2009; SCB 1995). Lakes in fertile plains were before the 19th century considered an asset, as they were important for the harvest of Equisetum and Carex spp. (used as winter fodder for animals), and they contributed with fish and bird eggs during springtime (Emanuels- son, 2009). From the early 1800s, there was a fast-growing population in Sweden, and

58 INTERPRETATION AND DISCUSSION this led to a demand to expand the areas of arable lands. This search for arable land prompted an increased interest in draining wetlands and lakes. In Sweden, large-scale draining started in the first decades of the 19th century and was most intense in southern Sweden in the (SMHI, 1995). Lakes and wetlands have several important functions in the landscape, besides being the habitat for many animals and plants. They have an equalizing, or smoothing effect on the water flow in an area; when a lake is drained, water flow downstream will be faster and more intense than before the draining. Draining also leads to increased erosion, which leads to increased supply of nutrients to downstream waters. Further, wetlands serve as a filter as nitrogen is caught in the peat and through denitrification converted to nitrogen gas. Both nitrogen and phosphorous are further taken up by vegetation and therefore also “caught” in the wetlands. Consequently, draining of lakes and wetlands leads to increased leakage of nutrients, especially nitrogen, to downstream waters (SMHI, 1995). These changes in agricultural practices and land use are to a large extent con- nected, e.g. large areas of peatland were drained and plowed around 1900 in northern Europe. This land was very poor in phosphorous and potassium, and artificial fer- tilizers were necessary to be able to use this land for agriculture (Emanuelsson, 2009). In addition, the 1800s were also the start of a rapid increase in production forest in the investigated drainage areas. Forestry accounted for roughly 50% of the draining projects in Sweden during the 20th century (Naturvårdsverket, 2020). To summarize, the area of arable lands, seeded grasslands and production forest have shown a rapid increase since 1800 CE. This at the expense of wetlands, natural forest, meadows and pastures (Emanuelsson, 2009). As described, these large-scale changes were tightly coupled and to a large extent occurred simultaneously. The fast- growing population in Sweden since 1800 also resulted in larger cities, more industries, untreated sewage and later sewage treatment plants, etc. Adding to this is also the atmospheric deposition of especially nitrogen, which has substantially increased during the 20th century due to fossil-fuel burning (nitrogen dioxide) and agriculture (ammonia) (Gustafsson et al., 2012) The point sources have to various degrees affected the investigated sites, while the atmospheric deposition has most likely affected the sites at a similar magnitude. We can only speculate as to which of these variables have been most important in setting preconditions in our studied coastal sites. It has been estimated that the draining of lakes and wetlands is a factor of the same importance as input of fertilizers in affecting the net losses of nitrogen to the surrounding seas from arable land (Hoffmann et al., 2000). In the drainage area for Bråviken and Kanholmsfjärden, about 200 and 140 lakes, respectively, were modified (SMHI, 1995). In Mälardalen, the larger drainage area for Lake Mälaren and the Stockholm archipelago, only one-tenth of the original area of wetlands is still present today (Naturvårdsverket, 2020). The retention of nutrients in the landscape was severely altered by this large-scale perturbation of the landscape and it is likely that this had a major effect on the amount of nutrients that reached the investigated sites. However, the changes in the ecosystem and deterioration of the water quality

59 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT that has occurred in the sites is most likely a consequence of the combined effect of all these alterations in the drainage areas. The truly widespread use of industrial fertilizers occurred after World War II and this is also when the development and expansion of sewage water treatment plants started (SCB, 1995; Lcke, 2019). This has affected the investigated sites and the years of maximum loads to the Baltic Sea can be seen in the diatom stratigraphies, especially with regard to the concentration of diatom valves in the sediments (Figures 2-5). However, the major deterioration of water quality had already occurred and the most pronounced changes in the diatom assemblages occurred as early as in the 18th century in Ådfjärden and Himmerfjärden, and around 1900 CE in Kanholmsfjärden, Bråviken and Gåsfjärden. These changes in diatom life-form are interpreted as an ecological tipping point in these ecosystems. A recovery in diatom absolute abundan- ce has been recorded since the maximum pollution years in the 1970s–1980s. How- ever, there is no indication of a recovery in diatom species composition in the investigated coastal sites. Even though it is not visible in the data from the coastal sites, it is possible that the warmer climate is aggravating the eutrophication and preventing a recovery to reference conditions (The BACC II Author Team, 2015). In the open Baltic Sea, signs of eutrophication, as manifested in, for example, a changed diatom species composition, enhanced cyanobacteria blooms, expanding areas of hypoxic bottom waters and an increased accumulation of TOC in the sedi- ments, have been recorded since the mid-20th century (Andrén et al., 2000a; Carsten- sen et al., 2014a; Funkey et al., 2014). This suggests a time lag of the onset of eutro- phication of about 100 years between the coast and open Baltic Sea. The Baltic Sea coastal zone is an efficient filter. It has been estimated to remove 16% of the nitrogen and 53% of the phosphorous inputs from land (Asmala et al., 2017). Further, archi- pelagos seem to be especially efficient as nutrient filters, and oxygen status is an important precondition for this (Carstensen et al., 2020; Edman et al., 2018). The results from this thesis support the effectiveness of the coastal filter and highlight how the coastal zone acts as a buffer for the open Baltic Sea.

60 INTERPRETATION AND DISCUSSION

Tracing human impact and climate change during medieval times In the open Baltic Sea, clear changes in primary productivity and oxygen status of bottom waters are recorded during medieval times. There is evidence of widespread distribution of hypoxia in the open parts of the Baltic Proper around 0–1250 CE (Funkey et al., 2014; Zillén et al., 2008), a period that includes the MCA. Further, the hypoxic sediment intervals coincide with increases in cyanobacteria pigments and enhanced accumulation of organic carbon in the sediment, suggesting large cyano- bacteria blooms and an increased primary production during this time (Andrén et al., 2000a; Bianchi et al., 2000; Funkey et al., 2014). The similarities between MCA and how present-day changes are registered in open Baltic Sea sediments have led to a debate concerning the causes of the wide- spread hypoxia during medieval times (Åkesson et al., 2015; Carstensen et al., 2014b; Kotilainen et al., 2014; Schimanke et al., 2012). The warmer climate triggering intense cyanobacteria blooms has been suggested to be the main driver for the development of bottom water hypoxia in the open Baltic Sea during MCA (Kabel et al., 2012). Early human impact with increased amounts of nutrients derived from land has also been suggested to be the cause (Zillén and Conley, 2010). This is supported by the modeling study by (Schimanke et al., 2012), who were not able to reproduce hypoxia in the open Baltic proper during MCA when nutrients remained at pristine levels. A recent study of a sediment core from the western Gotland Basin suggests higher salinity (at least 8-10, compared to the 6.3-7.7 today in this basin), stronger thermal stratification and high diatom primary production to be contributing factors for the development of hypoxia during MCA (Andrén et al., 2020). This interpretation is further supported by the results from the CCA in Paper IV, which show that temperature had a significant effect on the diatom assemblage during MCA (see Figure 4 in Paper IV). During MCA, there was an expansion in population and new agricultural tech- niques and tools were taken into use, e.g. the iron plow. It has been estimated that the population surrounding the Baltic Sea increased from around 4.6 to 9 million people (Zillén and Conley, 2010). This promoted an expansion of agricultural land. We register no or minor effects of this increased land use in the sediment records from the coastal zone and nothing indicating increased nutrient input from land during these times. Wetlands probably served as an effective filter for nutrients before reaching the sea. Benthic diatoms taxa constitute a large share in the records from the coastal zone, indicating good light conditions for benthic habitats. There are no in- dications of a higher diatom primary production at this time, nor of hypoxia in bottom waters as interpreted from the lithologies. Between the years 1350–1450 CE, about half of the population in Sweden died due to the plague. Agricultural lands in remote areas were abandoned. In lowlands, more fertile lands were never abandoned for long, but were taken over by others (Lagerås,

61 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

2016). Following the medieval agrarian crisis, there was an increase in the population and by circa 1600 CE, it had reached the same level as before the plague (Myrdal and Morell, 2011). All coastal sites except for Gåsfjärden display maximum values of benthic taxa in the 17th century, during the coldest period of the LIA. These are fluctuations on a very small scale but could possibly be explained by wetter conditions during LIA (Luoto and Nevalainen, 2018). This would lead to an increased wetland cover in the landscape (as also indicated by the land-cover reconstruction in Paper III). More and larger wetlands would likely enhance the filtering capacity in the landscape and hence lead to less primary production in the coastal areas and a slightly increased water transparency. As mentioned in the background, little is known about precipitation during MCA and LIA and this interpretation remains therefore speculative. The results from the coastal areas presented in this thesis indicate very stable conditions until the onset of man-made eutrophication during recent centuries. There is nothing in these records that would indicate an increased amount of nutrients reaching the coast of the Baltic Sea during medieval times. Rather, the results support the hypothesis that the widespread hypoxia in the open Baltic Sea during MCA was caused by the warmer climate influencing thermal stratification, primary production of cyanobacteria and diatoms, as well as higher salinity and a stronger halocline. The results in this thesis are also in line with a multiproxy study from the Archipelago Sea, in which they do not find evidence for substantial anthropogenic impact during MCA (Jokinen et al., 2018). Further, the results in this thesis suggest that climate affected the ecosystem to a lesser degree in Baltic Sea coastal areas than in the open Baltic Sea during medieval times.

Climate or nutrients as drivers of paleoecological trends in the Baltic Sea since 500 CE Paper III includes a pollen-based land cover reconstruction from the nearby lake Storsjn. This dataset was used together with a temperature simulation for the Baltic Sea (Schimanke et al., 2012) and a sea surface temperature reconstruction for the North Atlantic (Sejrup et al., 2010) in a redundancy analysis to assess the effect climate and land-use change have had on the diatom assemblages and geochemical proxies since circa 1000 CE. The results show that the minor changes in the diatom assemblage from circa 1000 to circa 1750 CE are most strongly associated with the increase in grassland and decline in deciduous woodland but are also affected by variations in wetland cover and by climate variability. The expansion and following decline in grassland, the marked decrease in wetland, and the increased temperature are the major explanatory factors for the variation in diatom assemblage from 1800 CE until today. In Paper IV, we attempted to disentangle the effect of climate and nutrient loading on the diatom assemblages. In doing so, we have run constrained correspondence

62 INTERPRETATION AND DISCUSSION analyses with two constraining factors: the temperature anomaly data from Moberg et al. (2005), and the δ15N data from each sediment record. The first choice would have been to use pollen stratigraphies and land use reconstructions as proxies for changed land use (as in Paper III), but there were no published pollen records with high enough resolution and/or reliable chronologies in the area and time interval we were interested in. We therefore used the measured δ15N from each sediment record as a proxy for altered nutrient input. The analyses were further limited by the temperature dataset that ends at 1979, and we therefore cannot draw any conclusions about effects of climate warming during recent decades. The results show that temperature anomalies since 500 CE have had no significant effect on the diatom assemblages from the coastal sites. In all coastal sites, increased nutrient input from land has had a significant effect. In the western Gotland Basin, both temperature anomalies and anthropogenic nutrient input have had a significant effect on the diatom assemblage since circa 800 CE. A recent climate modelling study concludes that the present widespread hypoxia in the open Baltic Sea would not have developed during the last 150 years if nutrients had remained at pristine levels (Meier et al., 2019). The results suggest that climate has had a significant effect on the diatom species composition in the western Gotland Basin. However, temperature anomalies seem to have influenced the diatom assemblage in the western Gotland Basin mostly during medieval times, around 1000–1100 CE. In all records, anthropogenic nutrient runoff has affected the diatom assemblages most markedly during the 20th century. None of the eutrophication signals that are recorded during the last centuries are seen during medieval times in the coast (Figures 2-6). Only very minor changes in diatom assemblages and geochemistry are registered before the 18th century, likely related to changes in climate. To summarize, the changes in population, land use and agricultural practices during medieval times had no or very little effect on the coastal ecosystems studied in this thesis (Figure 7). The results indicate very stable conditions at these sites until the start of man-made eutrophication. There is nothing indicating that the widespread hypoxia during MCA in the open parts of the Baltic Sea was caused by an increased input of nutrients from land.

63 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

64 INTERPRETATION AND DISCUSSION

Figure 7. Conceptual figure of land use and climate forcing, and the ecological responses in the coastal area and the open Baltic Sea during three time-slices of the last millennia (MCA, LIA and recent centuries). Panel A consists of land and coast. Data of land-use changes is from published sources (e.g. Myrdal, 1999; Zillén and Conley, 2010; Myrdal and Morell, 2011; Lagerås, 2016), while the interpretation of ecological conditions in the coastal zone is based on the diatom and geochemical data presented in this thesis. Panel B shows climate forcing and this is based on published climate reconstructions (e.g. Moberg et al., 2005; Helama et al., 2009; Mann et al., 2009; Ljungqvist, 2010; Luoto and Nevalainen, 2018). Panel C shows ecological conditions in the open Baltic Sea, as interpreted from published sources (e.g. Zillén et al., 2008; Kabel et al., 2012; Funkey et al., 2014; Wasmund et al., 2019), as well as the diatom data from western Gotland Basin included in Paper IV and presented fully in Andrén et al. (2020). SST= Sea Surface Temperature. *= maximum relative abundances of benthic taxa are recorded during the coldest period of LIA.

Implications for the environment The results in this thesis do not allow for quantification of reference conditions according to the EU WFD. However, it is possible to discuss this in a more qualitative way. The results suggest a very early onset of eutrophication in the coastal zone of the Baltic Sea, compared to data presented by e.g. Bonsdorff et al. (1997); Cederwall and Elmgren (1990); Conley et al. (2011); and Persson and Jonsson (2000). The exact timing for the onset of eutrophication in these coastal areas is site-specific. For several sites, reference conditions prevailed more than 200 years ago. Water transparency at this time allowed for extensive distribution of benthic habitats for diatoms, such as macrophytes. Species composition of diatoms was not altered, as we interpret from the long-term records in this study. When the results in this thesis are compared to similar studies conducted in coastal areas, it becomes clear that the timing of the onset of coastal eutrophication in the Baltic Sea is site-dependent. In the Gulf of Finland, Weckstrm (2006) has analyzed two cores from urban sites and three cores from more rural areas. Increases in small planktonic taxa start in the lowermost part of the two cores taken at urban sites, corresponding to circa 1800 CE. The three cores taken at rural sites show these signals to start in the 1940s, 1970s and in the 1980s. At a coastal bay in the Archi- pelago Sea, changes in the diatom assemblage, with increases in small pelagic taxa, are recorded from the first half of the 19th century (Tuovinen et al., 2010). From the coast of Estonia, signs of eutrophication are recorded from the mid-19th century (Andrén et al., 2007). Further, Andrén et al. (2016) report changes in the diatom com- position that indicate eutrophication from circa 1920 CE in a coastal bay of the Bothnian Bay, approx. 300 km north from the study sites in this thesis. From the Oder estuary, southern Baltic Proper, an onset of eutrophication is recorded at circa 1900 CE (Andrén, 1999). It should be mentioned, however, that these studies are con- ducted on sediment cores dating back only 100–200 years, and thus earlier changes are not recorded. In a study from the Archipelago Sea, Jokinen et al. (2018) provide a 1500-year record of environmental history of this site, and they report an onset of eutrophication around 1900 CE. Looking outside the Baltic Sea, Cooper and Brush (1993) report changes in diatom species composition as a result of European settle-

65 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT ments as early as around 1760 CE in Chesapeake Bay, USA. In general, ecological degradation in marine systems is recorded earlier in Europe and North America (~1800s) as compared with Asia (post-1900), explained by earlier industrialization in European and North American countries (Yasuhara et al., 2012). However, it should be noted that these types of studies are lacking, or at least are very scarce, from several parts of the world (e.g. Africa, Central and South America, and Southeast and West Asia), and a global comparison is therefore impossible to do. The results from this thesis suggests a delay of more than 100 years in the response in the open Baltic Proper to increased nutrient inputs from land. These results highlight how the coastal zone acts as a buffer zone for the open Baltic Sea. Further, archipelagos seem to be especially efficient as nutrient filters, and maintaining a high oxygen status is important for binding phosphorous (Carstensen et al., 2020; Edman et al., 2018). A correct and efficient management of the coastal zone is of course important for reaching good environmental status in the coastal zone itself, but this will also have effects on the situation in the open Baltic Sea. In addition to the fact that the coastal zone is functioning as a nutrient filter for the open Baltic Sea, there is a filtering capacity in the landscape, before nutrients reach the coast. This filtering capacity is mainly connected to lakes and wetlands (Hoffmann et al., 2000). The results in this thesis suggest that the large-scale draining of lakes and wetlands affected the coastal ecosystems in a very negative way. Before lakes and wetlands were drained, there was a double filter (wetland filter and coastal filter) before nutrients could reach the open Baltic Sea. Management and restoration of wetlands is most likely an important precondition for reaching the goal of “the Baltic Sea unaffected by eutrophication,” as formulated in the Baltic Sea Action Plan (HELCOM, 2007). A recovery in diatom absolute abundance has been recorded since the maximum pollution years in the 1970s–1980s. This agrees with measurements of chemical para- meters and phytoplankton that are carried out in the environmental monitoring (Lcke, 2019). Recovery from hypoxia has also been reported from the inner parts of the Stockholm archipelago since the 1990s (Karlsson et al., 2010). However, in the data presented in this thesis, there is no indication of a recovery in diatom species composition in the investigated coastal sites, and these sites are thus far from reaching a “good environmental status.” The environmental monitoring of the Baltic Sea started (at best) in the 1960s. There- fore, pristine nutrient conditions, i.e. before human impact, are not known. Since the EU Water Framework Directive, Marine Strategy Framework Directive, and the Baltic Sea Action Plan take into consideration the interaction between human activities on land and their response in the water, it is crucial to deepen our understanding of this. The outcomes of this thesis highlight the importance of a longer time perspective than the environ- mental monitoring can provide. Additional methods are needed in order to determine reference conditions and the results from this thesis have shown the great potential of sediment cores, as natural archives, to fill the current knowledge gaps.

66 Conclusions

The overall objectives of this PhD thesis were to 1) put the present severe environ- mental situation in the Baltic Sea, in terms of excess nutrient loads and climate change, in a thousand-year perspective, and 2) contribute to an improved under- standing of the natural variability at coastal sites along the southeastern coast of Sweden. Environmental changes have been traced using diatom analysis and geo- chemistry proxies in five sediment records from the southeast coast of Sweden, northwestern Baltic Proper. These records cover time periods of 500 years to more than 2000 years and allow for reconstruction of environmental histories at these sites. The main findings are as follows:

• Long-term environmental change in the coastal zone of southeastern Sweden has successfully been traced using diatom stratigraphies and geo- chemical proxies. • The records from the coastal zone show no or only minor variations in diatom and geochemical stratigraphies through history until recent centuries. The results show no evidence for increased runoff of nutrients from land during medieval times. • Temperature anomalies since 500 CE have had little or no significant effect on the diatom assemblages from the coastal sites. In all coastal sites, increased nutrient input from land has had a significant effect. • In all records, anthropogenic nutrient runoff has affected the diatom assemblages most markedly during the 20th century. • Timing for the onset of eutrophication in these coastal areas is site-specific. For several sites, reference conditions prevailed more than 200 years ago. Water transparency at this time allowed for extensive distribution of benthic habitats for diatoms, such as macrophytes. • There is a delay of more than 100 years in the response in the open Baltic Proper to increased nutrient inputs from land. • The coastal zone acts as a buffer for nutrients before they reach the open Baltic Sea. • A recovery in diatom absolute abundance has been recorded since the maximum pollution years in the 1970s–1980s.

67 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

• There is no indication of a recovery in diatom species composition in the investigated coastal sites, and these sites are thus far from reaching a “good environmental status.” • The environmental changes that have occurred in the coastal zone in recent centuries are unprecedented during the last two millennia.

68 References

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Tack

Frst och främst vill jag tacka mina handledare Elinor Andrén, Thomas Andrén och Mikael Lnn. Elinor, tack fr att du lät mig bli en del av det här projektet. Tack fr att du så generst har delat med dig av kunskap och material, och tack fr alla givande diskussioner. Tack fr all konstruktiv kritik, stttning och uppmuntran. Ditt enga- gemang i forskning är så inspirerande och jag är otroligt tacksam fr att ha fått ha dig som handledare! Thomas, tack fr att du ppnade drren till den spännande och komplexa värld som datering av Östersjsediment är. Det har varit utmanande, lärorikt, och ärligt talat riktigt kul emellanåt. Micke, tack fr statistikvägledning. Ditt lugn och tålamod är verkligen beundransvärt. Tack till mina handledare fr att era drrar, telefoner och sinnen alltid varit ppna. Tack också fr att ni visat frståelse när livet kommit emellan, det har underlättat väldigt mycket. Thank you Wenxin, Helena, Anna, Anne-Birgitte et al. for nice cooperation on the Gåsfjärden paper and for welcoming me to Lund. Matthias and Thorbjrn, thank you for cooperation on paper I and II. Thank you, Mona and Oscar for very valuable feed- back at my predissertation seminar. Richard, thank you for taking an interest in my project and for spending time explaining basically everything from how to set up a GitHub account to how the transfer function works. Fun fun fun. Thank you, Markus and Florian for making the climate data available. It was more complicated than I could have ever imagined! Tack till kapten och besättning på M/S Fyrbyggaren. Tack till personalen på Ask. Anders, tack fr hjälp med ytterst praktisk problemlsning. Att du bara kan trolla fram 40 mortlar eller 100 små glasburkar precis när jag desperat behver dem är fantastiskt. Tack Heike fr hjälp med de geokemiska analyserna. Tack Marianne fr assistans med SEM. Tack Malin fr assistans med Itrax. Tack Karin fr hjälpen med GIS-underlaget som krånglade i somras. I want to thank fellow PhD-students here at Sdertrn. These years would have been much lonelier, and far less memorable without you. Thank you Falkje for being the absolute best partner in crime one could have. I am so lucky I got to share the first years of this PhD journey with you. Thank you Olena for being an awesome office mate, and for showing me nice pollen every now and then. Josefine, I am endlessly grateful for all the times you have picked me up and kept me on track during times of doubt. Thank you so much for the support, you are an amazing colleague and friend. Erika, Igne and Sophie, thank you for sharing the ups and downs of trying to finish a PhD this last year. I am cheering for you! Thank you also Tove, Christian, Mathilde, Kajsa-Stina, Linn, Elise, Juliana, Therese, Ola, Nikolina, Mohanad, Anton, Nasim, Tiina, Petter, Natasja, Sara, Natalya, Pernilla, Ralph and Martin. Thank you,

81 TRACING ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE AND HUMAN IMPACT

Andrea, Anushree, Inger, Sara, Patrik, Kari, Maria and the rest of the seniors at the department. Being a part of the interdisciplinary working environment at Sdertrn has been both fun and instructive. However, it has also been so important to meet people within my scientific field, and I am very thankful for the courses, workshops and conferences I have been able to attend. Thank you, School of Natural Sciences, Technology and Environmental Studies for providing such opportunities. Thanks to all the nice people I have met, Mike, Jonathan, Jenny, Sami, Christos, Hannah and many more. Jag vill uttrycka min tacksamhet fr betald fräldraledighet och skattefinansierad barnomsorg. Tack till frskolan Skogslyan. Tack min familj och mina vänner. Tack Mamma och Pappa fr att ni tog med mig ut i naturen när jag var barn. Tack Magnus, Veronica, Tuva och Vidar, att vi har varandra är guld. Emma, tack fr allt kul häng och gtt snack, och tack fr att du mellan varven fått mig att tänka på annat det här senaste halvåret, det har varit väl- behvligt. Lullis herregud tack fr de här 17 (?!) åren, och tack fr alla friskvårds- samtal. Må vi fr alltid vara varandras cykel på kpet. Olle, tack fr att du tror på min frmåga även när jag inte gr det. Tack fr att du lyssnat, stttat och peppat, och tack fr att du alltid har min rygg. Det är en ynnest att få dela livet med någon som blir lika exalterad som mig av slemmet som växer på stenarna i Emån (jaja, nästan i alla fall). Jon, du är det finaste jag vet, tack fr att du varje dag har påmint mig om vad som är viktigt. Till de jag glmt pga härdsmälta i hjärnan, frlåt och tack!

My PhD studies have been funded by the Baltic and East European Graduate School and the Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies within the project UPPBASER – Understanding Past and Present Baltic Sea Ecosystem Response – background for a sustainable future (grant 1562/3.1.1/2013).

82 Supplementary table 1. Diatom taxa found in the sediment records from Kanholmsfjärden, Ådfjär- den, Himmerfjärden, Bråviken and Gåsfjärden. Life-form B=Benthic, P=Pelagic. Salinity distribution F=Freshwater, BF=Brackish-freshwater, B=Brackish, BM=Brackish-marine according to BMB= Snoeijs (1993), Snoeijs and Balashova (1998), Snoeijs and Kasperovičienė (1996), Snoeijs and Potapova (1995), Snoeijs and Vilbaste (1994). KLB= Krammer and Lange-Bertalot (1991a, 1991b, 1988, 1986). Name Author Year Life- Life-form Salinity Reference form (specified) distribution

Achnanthes amoena Husdedt 1952 B Epilithic and B BMB epiphytic Achnanthes brevipes C.A. Agardh 1824 B Epiphytic and BM BMB epilithic Achnanthes dispar Cleve 1891 B Epipsammic B BMB

Achnanthes longipes C.A. Agardh 1824 B Epiphytic and BM BMB epilithic Achnanthidium Ktzing 1844 B Epiphytic BF BMB microcephalum Achnanthes Hustedt 1933 B Epipsammic B BMB lemmermannii Achnanthes minuscula Hustedt 1945 B Epipsammic B BMB

Achnanthes oblongella Østrup 1902 B Epiphytic and F BMB epilithic Achnanthes pericava Carter 1966 B Epipsammic B BMB

Achnanthes punctulata Simonsen 1959 B Epipsammic B BMB

Achnanthes rupestoides Hohn 1961 B BMB

Achnanthidium (Ktzing) Czarnecki 1994 B Epiphytic BF BMB minutissimum Actinocyclus normannii (Gregory) Hustedt 1957 P F BMB

Actinocyclus octonarius (W. Smith) Hendey 1954 P BF BMB var. crassus Actinocyclus octonarius (Brébisson) Hendey 1954 P F BMB var. tenellus Amphora coffeaeformis (C.A. Agardh) 1844 B Epiphytic, B BMB Ktzing metaphytic and epipelic Amphora fogediana Krammer 1985 B Epipelic F BMB

Amphora holsatica Hustedt 1925 B Epipelic B BMB

Amphora inariens Krammer 1980 B KLB

Amphora copulata (Ktzing) 1986 B Epipelic and F BMB Schoeman & R.E.M. epilithic Archibald

83 Amphora macilenta Gregory var. Typica 1895 B Epipelic B BMB Cleve Amphora ovalis (Ktzing) Ktzing 1844 B Epipelic and BF BMB epilithic Amphora pediculus (Ktzing) Grunow 1875 B Epipelic and BF BMB in A. Schmidt et al. epilithic Amphora veneta Ktzing 1844 B Epipelic BF BMB

Amphora wisei (Salah) Simonsen 1962 B Epipelic MB BMB

Aneumastus minor (Hustedt) Lange- 1993 B Epipelic BF BMB Bertalot Asterionella formosa Hassall 1850 P F BMB

Aulacoseira ambigua (Grunow) Simonsen 1979 P KLB

Aulacoseira crenulata (Ehrenberg) 1848 B KLB Thwaites Aulacoseira granulata (Ehrenberg) 1979 P KLB Simonsen Aulacoseira islandica (O. Mller) 1979 P F BMB Simonsen Aulacoseira subarctica (O. Mller) 1988 P F BMB Haworth Bacillaria paxillifera (O.F. Mller) 1951 B Epipelic and BF BMB Hendey epilithic Berkeleya rutilans (Trentepohl) 1880 B Epilithic and B BMB Grunow epiphytic Caloneis aemula (A. Schmidt) Cleve 1894 B Epipelic B BMB

Caloneis amphisbaena (Bory) Cleve 1894 B Epipelic B BMB

Caloneis hyalina Hustedt 1938 B Aerophil KLB

Caloneis bacillum (Grunow) Cleve 1894 B Epipelic F BMB

Caloneis undulata (Gregory) Krammer 1985 B KLB

Cavinula cocconeiformis (Gregory ex 1990 B Epipelic F BMB Greville) D.G. Mann & A.J. Stickle in Round et al. Cavinula (Hustedt) D.G. 1990 B Epipelic BF BMB pseudoscutiformis Mann & A.J. Stickle Cocconeis disculus (Schumann) Cleve 1882 B Epipsammic F BMB in Cleve & Jentzsch Cocconeis neothumensis Krammer 1990 B Epipsammic B BMB

Cocconeis pediculus Ehrenberg 1838 B Epiphytic BF BMB

Cocconeis placentula Ehrenberg 1838 B Epiphytic and BF BMB epilithic

84 Cocconeis scutellum Ehrenberg 1833 B Epiphytic B BMB

Cocconeis speciosa Gregory 1915 B Epiphytic BM BMB

Cocconeis (W: Smith) Okuno 1957 B Epiphytic BM BMB stauroneiformis Coscinodiscus granii Gough 1905 B B BMB

Craticula cuspidata (Ktzing) D.G. 1990 B BMB Mann in Round et al. Ctenophora pulchella (Ralfs ex Ktzing) 1986 B Epiphytic BF BMB Williams & Round Cyclostephanos dubius (Fricke) Round 1982 P F BMB

Cyclotella antiqua W. Smith 1853 P KLB

Cyclotella atomus Hustedt 1937 P F BMB

Cyclotella Prasad 1990 P B BMB choctawhatcheeana Cyclotella meneghiniana Ktzing 1844 P BF BMB

Cyclotella ocellata Pantocsek 1901 P KLB

Cyclotella radiosa (Grunow) 1900 P F BMB Lemmermann Cyclotella rossii Håkansson 1990 P KLB

Cyclotella schumannii (Grunow) 1990 P Fossil BMB Håkansson Cyclotella stelligra Cleve & Grunow in 1882 P F BMB Van Heurck Cyclotella striata (Ktzing) Grunow 1880 P KLB in Cleve & Grunow Cyclotella tripartita Håkansson 1990 P BMB

Cymbella amphioxys (Ktzing) Cleve 1894 B KLB

Cymbella hebridica (Grunow in Cleve) 1894 B KLB Cleve Cymbella lanceolata (Ehrenberg) 1878 B Epiphytic and BF BMB Kirchner epilithic Cymbella pusilla Grunow in A. 1875 B Epipelic and BF BMB Schmidt et al. epilithic Denticula tenuis Ktzing 1844 B Epilithic KLB

Diatoma bottnica Snoeijs in Snoeijs & 1998 B Epiphytic B BMB Potatova Diatoma moniliformis Ktzing 1833 B Epiphytic B BMB

85 Diatoma tenuis C. A. Agardh 1812 P Epiphytic (?) BF BMB and pelagic Diatoma vulgaris Bory 1824 B Epiphytic BF BMB

Dickieia subinflata (Grunow) 1994 B Epipellic BM BMB D.G.Mann Diploneis didyma (Ehrenberg) 1854 B Epipelic B BMB Ehrenberg Diploneis elliptica (Ktzing) Cleve 1891 B KLB

Diploneis oculata (Brébisson) Cleve 1894 B Epipelic BF BMB

Diploneis smithii (Brébisson) Cleve 1894 B Epipelic BF BMB

Diploneis stroemii Hustedt 1937 B Epipelic B BMB

Encyonema ceaspitosum Ktzing 1849 B Epilithic BF BMB

Encyonema lacustre (C. A. Agardh) D. 1990 B Epilithic BF BMB G. Mann Encyonema silesiacum (Bleisch in 1990 B Epiphytic and F BMB Rabenhorst) D.G. epilithic Mann Encyonopsis (Grunow) Krammer 1997 B Epipelic and F BMB microcephala epilithic Epithemia adnata (Ktzing) Brébisson 1838 B Epiphytic B BMB

Epithemia sorex Ktzing 1844 B Epiphytic BF BMB

Epithemia turgida (Ehrenberg) 1844 B Epiphytic BF BMB Ktzing Fallacia clepsidroides Witkowski 1994 B Epipelic BM BMB

Fallacia florinae (Mller) Witkowski 1993 B Epipelic B BMB

Fallacia litoricola (Hustedt) D.G. 1990 B Epipelic MB BMB Mann in Round et al. Fallacia pseudony (Hustedt) D.G. 1990 B Epipelic BM BMB Mann in Round et al. Fallacia pygmeae (Ktzing) A.J. 1990 B Epipelic BF BMB Stickle & D.G. Mann crotensis Kitton 1869 P F BMB

Fragilaria capucina Desmaziéres 1825 P F BMB

Fragilaria delicatissima (W. Smith) Lange- 1980 P KLB Bertalot Fragilaria nanana Lange-Bertalot 1991 P KLB

86 Fragilaria neoproducta Lange-Bertalot 1991 KLB

Fragilaria parasitica (W. Smith) Grunow 1881 B Epiphytic F BMB in Van Heurck Fragilariopsis cylindrus (Grunow) Krieger 1954 P BF BMB in Helmcke & Krieger Frustulia rhomboides (Ehrenberg) De 1891 B KLB Toni Frustulia vulgaris (Thwaites) De Toni 1891 B KLB

Gomphonema Ehrenberg 1832 B Epiphytic KLB acuminatum Gomphonema olivaceum (Hornemann) 1838 B Epiphytic and BF BMB Brébisson epilithic Gomphonema parvulum (Ktzing) Ktzing 1849 B Epiphytic and BF BMB epilithic Gomphonemopsis exigua (Ktzing) Medlin 1986 B Epiphytic BM BMB

Gomphonemopsis (Simonsen) Medlin 1986 B Epiphytic B BMB pseudexigua Grammatophora marina (Lyngbye) Ktzing 1844 B Epiphytic BM BMB

Grammatophora Ehrenberg 1854 B Epiphytic BM BMB oceanica Gyrosigma acuminatum (Ktzing) 1853 B Epipelic BF BMB Rabenhorst Hantzschia amphioxys (Ehrenberg) 1880 B KLB Grunow in Cleve & Grunow Hyalodiscus scoticus (Ktzing) Grunow 1879 B Epiphytic MB BMB

Karayevia clevei (Grunow) 1999 B Epipsammic F BMB Bukhtiyarova Licomphora debilis (Ktzing) Grunow 1881 B Epiphytic B BMB in Van Heurck Licomphora gracilis (Ktzing) Peragallo 1901 B Epiphytic B BMB & Peragallo Martyana atomus (Hustedt) Snoeijs 1991 B Epipsammic B BMB

Martyana schulzii (Brockmann) 1991 B Epipsammic B BMB Snoeijs Mastogloia baltica Grunow in Van 1880 B Epipelic and BF BMB Heurck epilithic Mastogloia braunii Grunow 1863 B Epipelic and BF BMB epilithic Mastogloia elliptica (C.A. Agardh) Cleve 1893 B Epipelic and BF BMB epilithic Mastogloia exigua Lewis 1861 B Epipelic and BM BMB epilithic

87 Mastogloia lanceolata Thwaites in W. 1856 B Epipelic and B BMB Smith epilithic Mastogloia pumila (Cleve & Mller) 1895 B Epipelic and BF BMB Cleve epilithic Mastogloia pusilla Grunow 1878 B Epipelic and B BMB epilithic Mastogloia smithii Thwaites 1856 B Epipelic and BF BMB epilithic Mastogloia smithii var. Grunow 1878 B Epipelic and B BMB amphicephala epilithic Melosira arctica Dickie 1852 P and on sea ice B BMB

Melosira lineata (Dillwyn) C.A. 1824 B Epilithic and BF BMB Agardh epiphytic Melosira moniliformis (O.F. Mller) C.A. 1824 B Epilithic and B BMB Agardh epiphytic Melosira nummuloides C.A. Agardh 1824 Epilithic, B BMB epiphytic and pelagic Melosira undulata (Ehrenberg) 1844 P KLB Ktzing Meridion circulare (Greville) C.A. 1831 B Epilithic and FB BMB Agardh epiphytic Navicula arenaria Donkin 1861 B Epipelic MB BMB

Navicula capitata var. (Grunow) R. Ross 1947 B Epipelic BF BMB hungarica Navicula cryptocephala Ktzing 1844 B Epipelic F BMB

Navicula eidrigiana J.R. Carter 1979 B Epipelic BF BMB

Navicula flanatica Grunow 1860 B Epipelic B BMB

Navicula germainii Wallace 1960 B Epipelic B BMB

Navicula gregaria Donkin 1861 B Epipelic and B BMB epilithic Navicula lanceolata (C.A. Agardh) 1838 B Epilithic BF BMB Ehrenberg Navicula lesmonensis Hustedt 1957 B Epipelic F BMB

Navicula oestrupii Schulz 1926 B Epipelic B BMB

Navicula pavillardii Hustedt 1939 B Epipelic B BMB

Navicula peregrina (Ehrenberg) 1844 B Epipelic B BMB Ktzing Navicula perminuta Grunow in Van 1880 B Epilithic B BMB Heurck Navicula phyllepta Ktzing 1844 B Epipelic B BMB

88 Navicula radiosa Ktzing 1844 B Epipelic F BMB

Navicula ramossisima (C.A. Agardh) Cleve 1895 B Epilithic BM BMB

Navicula rhyncocephala Ktzing 1844 B Epipelic BF BMB

Navicula salinarum Grunow in Cleve & 1880 B Epipelic BF BMB Grunow Navicula scutelloides W. Smith in 1856 B Epipelic F BMB Gregory Navicula seminulum Grunow 1860 KLB

Navicula slevicensis Grunow in Van 1880 B Epipelic F BMB Heurck Navicula starmachioides (Witkowski & 1996 B Epipelic B BMB Lange-Bertalot) Witkowski in Metzeltin & Witkowski Navicula stroemii Hustedt 1931 B KLB

Navicula supralitoralis Aleem & Hustedt 1951 B Epipelic B BMB

Nitzschia bacillum Hustedt 1922 B Epipelic F BMB

Nitzschia elegantula Grunow in Van 1881 B Epipelic and B BMB Heurck epilithic Nitzschia dissipata (Ktzing) Grunow 1862 B Epipelic F BMB

Nitzschia distans Gregory 1857 B Epipelic MB BMB

Nitzschia dubia W. Smith 1853 B Epipelic BF BMB

Nitzschia frigida Grunow in Cleve & 1880 P On ice BF BMB Grunow Nitzschia inconspicua Grunow 1862 B Epilithic BF BMB

Nitzschia lorenzia Grunow in Cleve & 1880 B Epipelic B BMB Grunow 1880 Nitzschia paleacea (Grunow) Grunow 1881 B Epilithic BF BMB in Van Heurck Nitzschia pusilla Grunow 1862 B Epipelic B BMB

Nitzschia salinicola Aleem & Hustedt 1951 B Epipelic BF BMB

Nitzschia sigmoidea (Nitzsch) W. Smith 1853 B Epipelic B BMB

Nitzschia thermaloides Hustedt 1955 B Epilithic BF BMB

Opephora guenter-grassii (Witkowski & 1993 B Witkowski Lange-Bertalot) et al. 2000 Sabbe & Vyverman

89 Opephora marina (Gregory) Petit 1888 B Epipsammic MB BMB

Opephora mutabilis Sabbe & Wyverman 1995 B Epipsammic B BMB and epiphytic Pauliella taeniata (Grunow) Round & 1997 P and on sea ice B BMB Basson Petroneis marina (Ralfs in Pritchard) 1990 B Epipelic BM BMB D.G. Mann Pinnularia apendiculata (Agardh) Cleve 1895 B Epipelic B BMB

Pinnularia borealis Ehrenberg 1843 B KLB

Pinnularia krockii (Grunow) Cleve 1895 B KLB

Pinnularia elegans (W. Smith) 1992 B Epipelic B BMB Krammer Pinnularia lundii Hustedt 1954 B Epipelic BF BMB

Placoneis clementis (Grunow) E.J. Cox 1987 B Epipelic B BMB

Placoneis gastrum (Ehrenberg) 1903 B Epipelic F BMB Mereschkowsky Placoneis placentula (Ehrenberg) 1908 B Epipelic BF BMB Heinzerling Planothidium calcar (Cleve) M.B. Ed- 2001 B Epipsammic F BMB lund in M.B. Edlund et al. Planothidium (Ktzing) Round & 1996 B Epipsammic BF BMB delicatulum Bukhtiyarova and epilithic

Planothidium dispar (Cleve) Witkowski, 2000 B KLB Lange-Bertalot & Metzeltin Planothidium dubium (Grunow) Round & 1996 B Epipsammic F BMB Bukhtiyarova and epilithic Planothidium (Lange-Bertalot) 1999 B Epipsammic F BMB frequentissimum Lange-Bertalot and epilithic Planothidium oestrupii (Cleve-Euler) M.B. 2001 B Epipsammic F BMB Edlund in M.B. Edlund et al. Planothidium rostratum (Østrup) Lange- 1999 B Epipsammic F BMB Bertalot and epilithic Psammothidium bioretii (H.Germain) 1996 B Epiphytic F BMB Bukhtiyarova & Round Psammothidium rossii (Hustedt) 1996 B Epipsammic F BMB Bukhtiyarova & and epilithic Round Pseudopodosira westii Brander 1935 B, mainly BMB fossil Pseudosolenia calcar-avis (Schultze) 1986 P fossil BMB Sundstrm

90 Pseudostaurosira (Grunow) Williams 1987 B Epipsammic BF BMB brevistriata & Round Pseudostaurosira elliptica (Schumann) 2006 B Epipsammic B BMB Edlund, Morales & Spaulding Pseudostaurosira (Grunow) Sabbe & 1995 B Epipsammic B BMB perminuta Vyverman Pseudostaurosira zeilleri (Héribaud) 1987 B Epipsammic B BMB Williams & Round Pteroncola inane (Giffen) Round 1990 B Epiphytic BM BMB

Rhabdonema arcuatum (Lyngbye in 1844 B Epiphytic and BM BMB Hornemann) epilithic Ktzing Rhabdonema minutum Ktzing 1844 B Epiphytic and BM BMB epilithic Rhoicosphenia curvata (Ktzing) Grunow 1860 B Epiphytic and B BMB epilithic Rhopalodia acuminata Krammer in Lange- 1987 B Epipelic and BM BMB Bertalot & epilithic Krammer Rhopalodia gibba (Ehrenberg) O. 1895 B Epipelic and BF BMB Mller epilithic Sellaphora pupula (Ktzing) 1902 B Epipelic F BMB Mereschkowsky Skeletonema costatum (Greville) Cleve 1878 P B BMB

Skeletonema subsalsum (A. Cleve) Bethge 1928 P F BMB

Stauroneis spicula Hickie 1874 B Epilithic B BMB

Staurophora salina (W. Smith) 1903 B Epipelic F BMB Mereschkowsky Staurophora wislouchii (Poretzky & 1990 B Epipelic F BMB Anisimova) D.G. Mann in Round et al. Staurosira construens Ehrenberg 1843 B Epipsammic F BMB

Staurosira venter (Ehrenberg) Cleve 1879 B Epipsammic BF BMB & J.D. Mller Staurosirella martyi (Héribaud-Joseph) 2006 B Epipsammic F BMB E.A. Morales & K.M. Manoylov Stephanodiscus Grunow in Cleve & 1880 P BF BMB hantzschii Grunow Stephanodiscus medius Håkansson 1986 P BMB

Stephanodiscus (Ktzing) Cleve & 1878 P F BMB minutulus Mller

91 Stephanodiscus parvus Stoermer & 1984 P F BMB Håkansson Stephanodiscus neoastrea Håkansson & 1986 P F BMB Hickel Surirella brebissonii Krammer & Lange- 1987 B Epipelic and BF BMB Bertalot epilithic Surirella minuta Brébisson in 1849 B Epipelic and F BMB Ktzing epilithic Surirella turgida W. Smith 1853 B KLB

Synedra acus Ktzing 1844 B Epiphytic F BMB

Synedra ulna (Nitzsch) Ehrenberg 1832 B Epiphytic F BMB

Tabellaria flocculosa (Roth) Ktzing 1844 B Epilithic and F BMB epiphytic

Tabellaria fenestrata (Lyngbye) Ktzing 1844 P F BMB

Tabularia fasciculata (C.A. Agardh) 1986 B Epiphytic BM BMB Williams & Round Tabularia tabulata (C.A. Agardh) 1992 B Epiphytic BF BMB Snoeijs Thalassionema (Grunow) Grunow 1932 P BM BMB nitzschioides ex Hustedt Thalassiosira baltica (Grunow) 1901 P BF BMB Ostenfield Thalassiosira eccentrica (Ehrenberg) Cleve 1904 P MB BMB

Thalassiosira guillardii Hasle 1978 P B BMB

Thalassiosira hyperborea (Berg) Hasle 1989 P B BMB var lacunosa Thalassiosira hyperborea (Cleve-Euler) Hasle 1989 P BF BMB var pelagica Thalassiosira lacustris (Grunow) Hasle in 1977 P F BMB Hasle & Fryxell Thalassiosira levanderi Van Goor 1924 P B BMB

Thalassiosira oestrupii (Ostenfield) Hasle 1972 P fossil BMB

Thalassiosira Makarova 1979 P B BMB proschkinae Thalassiosira weissflogii (Grunow) Fryxell & 1977 P B BMB Hasle Tryblionella apiculata Gregory 1857 B Epipelic B BMB

Tryblionella debilis Arnott ex O'Meara 1873 B KLB

Tryblionella levidensis W. Smith 1856 B Epipelic B BMB

92 Tryblionella navicularis (Brébisson) Ralfs in 1861 B Epipelic B BMB Pritchard Tryblionella punctata W. Smith 1853 B Epipelic B BMB

Tryblionella salinarum (Grunow in Cleve & 1889 B Epipelic BF BMB Grunow) Pelletan

93

Sdertrn Doctoral Dissertations

1. Jolanta Aidukaite, The Emergence of the Post-Socialist Welfare State: The case of the Baltic States: Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, 2004 2. Xavier Fraudet, Politique étrangère française en mer Baltique (1871–1914): De l’exclusion à l’affirmation, 2005 3. Piotr Wawrzeniuk, Confessional Civilising in Ukraine: The Bishop Iosyf Shumliansky and the Introduction of Reforms in the Diocese of Lviv 1668–1708, 2005 4. Andrej Kotljarchuk, In the Shadows of Poland and Russia: The Grand Duchy of Lithuania and Sweden in the European Crisis of the mid-17th Century, 2006 5. Håkan Blomqvist, Nation, ras och civilisation i svensk arbetarrrelse fre nazismen, 2006 6. Karin S Lindelf, Om vi nu ska bli som Europa: Knsskapande och normalitet bland unga kvinnor i transitionens Polen, 2006 7. Andrew Stickley. On Interpersonal Violence in Russia in the Present and the Past: A Sociological Study, 2006 8. Arne Ek, Att konstruera en uppslutning kring den enda vägen: Om folkrrelsers modernisering i skuggan av det Östeuropeiska systemskiftet, 2006 9. Agnes Ers, I mänsklighetens namn: En etnologisk studie av ett svenskt biståndsprojekt i Rumänien, 2006 10. Johnny Rodin, Rethinking Russian Federalism: The Politics of Intergovernmental Relations and Federal Reforms at the Turn of the Millennium, 2006 11. Kristian Petrov, Tillbaka till framtiden: Modernitet, postmodernitet och generationsidentitet i Gorbačevs glasnost’ och perestrojka, 2006 12. Sophie Sderholm Werk, Patient patients? Achieving Patient Empowerment through Active Participation, Increased Knowledge and Organisation, 2008 13. Peter Btker, Leviatan i arkipelagen: Staten, frvaltningen och samhället. Fallet Estland, 2007 14. Matilda Dahl, States under scrutiny: International organizations, transformation and the con- struction of progress, 2007 15. Margrethe B. Svik, Support, resistance and pragmatism: An examination of motivation in language policy in Kharkiv, Ukraine, 2007 16. Yulia Gradskova, Soviet People with female Bodies: Performing beauty and maternity in Soviet Russia in the mid 1930–1960s, 2007 17. Renata Ingbrant, From Her Point of View: Woman’s Anti-World in the Poetry of Anna Świrszczyńska, 2007 18. Johan Eellend, Cultivating the Rural Citizen: Modernity, Agrarianism and Citizenship in Late Tsarist Estonia, 2007 19. Petra Garberding, Musik och politik i skuggan av nazismen: Kurt Atterberg och de svensk-tyska musikrelationerna, 2007 20. Aleksei Semenenko, Hamlet the Sign: Russian Translations of Hamlet and Literary Canon Formation, 2007 21. Vytautas Petronis, Constructing Lithuania: Ethnic Mapping in the Tsarist Russia, ca. 1800–1914, 2007 22. Akvile Motiejunaite, Female employment, gender roles, and attitudes: The Baltic countries in a broader context, 2008 23. 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in sediments from coastal areas of the northwestern Baltic Proper in sediments from coastal areas of the northwestern Tracing environmental change and human impact as recorded

Te eutrophication of the Baltic Sea due to increased anthropogenic nutrient loads during the 20th century is well documented and studied. However, in the Baltic Sea drainage area, humans have afected the environment longer than the environmental monitoring can provide data for. Sediment records from lakes and seas can provide fundamental data on the environmental conditions before ecosystems were impacted by humans and give the range of natural variation.

Tis thesis presents diatom and geochemistry stratigraphies from fve sediment records along the southeast coast of Sweden, northwestern Baltic Proper. Tese records cover time periods of 500 years to more than 2000 years. Te diatom stratigraphies and geochemical proxies allow for reconstruction of environmental histories at these sites. Te outcomes of this thesis highlight the importance of a longer time perspective than the environmental monitoring can provide.

Lena Norbäck Ivarsson carries out research within the feld of environmental science with a focus on understanding past and present ecosystem responses to environmental changes. She holds a M.Sc. in biology from Stockholm University and this is her PhD thesis. LENA NORBÄCK IVARSSONLENA NORBÄCK

Environmental Science, Environmental Studies, School of Natural Sciences, Technology and Environmental Studies & the Baltic and East European Graduate School, Sdertrn University. Tracing environmental change and human impact ISBN 978-91-89109-29-2 (print) / 978-91-89109-30-8 (digital) | Sdertrn University | [email protected] as recorded in sediments from coastal areas of the northwestern Baltic Proper Lena Norbäck Ivarsson

SDD SÖDERTÖRN DOCTORAL DISSERTATIONS 178