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NATURAL HAZARD DATA a Practical Guide NATURAL HAZARD DATA A Practical Guide ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK NATURAL HAZARD DATA A Practical Guide NOVEMBER 2017 ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) © 2017 Asian Development Bank 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City, 1550 Metro Manila, Philippines Tel +63 2 632 4444; Fax +63 2 636 2444 www.adb.org Some rights reserved. Published in 2017. ISBN 978-92-9261-012-8 (Print), 978-92-9261-013-5 (PDF) Publication Stock No. TIM178692-2 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.22617/TIM178692-2 The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. The mention of specific companies or products of manufacturers does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by ADB in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. By making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographic area, or by using the term “country” in this document, ADB does not intend to make any judgments as to the legal or other status of any territory or area. This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/. By using the content of this publication, you agree to be bound by the terms of this license. For attribution, translations, adaptations, and permissions, please read the provisions and terms of use at https://www.adb.org/terms-use#openaccess This CC license does not apply to non-ADB copyright materials in this publication. If the material is attributed to another source, please contact the copyright owner or publisher of that source for permission to reproduce it. ADB cannot be held liable for any claims that arise as a result of your use of the material. Please contact [email protected] if you have questions or comments with respect to content, or if you wish to obtain copyright permission for your intended use that does not fall within these terms, or for permission to use the ADB logo. Notes: In this publication, “$” refers to US dollars. ADB recognizes “Vietnam” as Viet Nam. Corrigenda to ADB publications may be found at http://www.adb.org/publications/corrigenda Natural Hazard Data: A Practical Guide ii Contents Acknowledgments iv Abbreviations v Executive Summary vi 1 Introduction 1 2 Key Concepts 2 A. Natural Hazards: One Component of Disaster Risk B. Measuring Natural Hazards: Frequency, Intensity, Location C. Understanding Return Periods D. The Role of Historical Catalogs E. Probabilistic and Deterministic Approaches to Natural Hazards F. Climate Change and Natural Hazards 3 Factors to Consider When Assessing Natural Hazard Datasets for Operational Purposes 10 A. Introduction B. Scale and Resolution C. Temporality D. Data Gaps E. Authoritativeness F. Licensing and Open Data G. Data Formats 4 Discussion of Natural Hazard Data by Type 15 A. Geophysical 1. Earthquake 2. Tsunami 3. Volcano B. Weather 1. Tropical Cyclone 2. Flood (Riverine) 3. Landslide 4. Drought 5 Other Data Sources 25 6 Recommendations for Managing Natural Hazard Data Created by ADB 27 Appendix 29 Country Case Study: Natural Hazard Data in Nepal iii Natural Hazard Data Acknowledgments This practical guide was prepared under the regional technical assistance project Development of Guidance Materials and Screening Tools for Incorporating Disaster Risk Concerns in Country Partnership Strategy and Project Preparation (TA 8752-REG) of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The project was implemented under the overall guidance of Charlotte Benson, principal disaster risk management specialist, Sustainable Development and Climate Change Department (SDCC). This document was prepared by Robert Soden (consultant). The document benefited significantly from comments received from the following ADB staff: Rexel Abrigo, climate change officer (Climate Change Adaptation), SDCC; Mary Jane David, senior public management officer (Disaster Risk Management), SDCC; Erik Kjaergaard, disaster risk management specialist, South Asia Department; Cinzia Losenno, former senior climate change specialist (Climate Change Adaptation), SDCC; Anil Pokhrel, former disaster risk management specialist, SDCC; Nathan Rive, climate change specialist, Central and West Asia Department; Bhuneshwar Prasad Sah, infrastructure specialist (GIS), SDCC; Yasmin Siddiqi, principal water resources specialist, SDCC; Arghya Sinha Roy, senior disaster risk management specialist, SDCC; Binsar Tambunan, former lead portfolio management specialist/project administration unit head, Central and West Asia Department; Hanna Uusimaa, climate change specialist, Pacific Department; and Tadayoshi Yahata, infrastructure specialist, SDCC. External comments from Abigail Baca (World Bank), David Lallemant (Co-Risk Labs), Xianfu Lu (consultant), and Jeremy Wetterwald (REACH Initiative) were also gratefully received. The Nepal country case study annex was much enhanced by insights and comments from Lok Adhikari (Nepal National Seismological Centre), Nama Budhathoki (Kathmandu Living Labs), Deo Raj Gurung (International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development), Sumeer Koirala (Nepal Ministry of Land Reform and Management), Shashish Maharajan (Kathmandu University), Niru Pradhan (Nepal Red Cross), Sushil Rajbhandari (Nepal National Geographic Information Infrastructure Programme), and Tom Zearley (United States Agency for International Development). Grendel Saldevar-Perez, senior operations assistant, SDCC, skillfully managed budgetary and contractual matters, and provided invaluable administrative support. The document was proofread by Ricardo Chan and Kae Sugawara and the layout designed by Rocilyn Locsin Laccay. iv Natural Hazard Data: A Practical Guide iv Abbreviations ADB Asian Development Bank cm centimeter DEM digital elevation model DMC developing member country DRM disaster risk management GAR Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction GCM global climate model GEM Global Earthquake Model GIS geographic information system IBTrACS International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship ICIMOD International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change km kilometer km2 square kilometer m meter NOAA United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NSC National Seismological Center (Nepal) OpenDRI Open Data for Resilience Initiative PDC Pacific Disaster Center PGA peak ground acceleration SVI standard vegetation index TA technical assistance UNISDR United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction VHI volcano hazard index v Natural Hazard Data v Executive Summary Disasters pose a significant threat to the sustainability of development projects and investments. At the same time, many development actions provide opportunities to strengthen disaster resilience. Reflecting this, the integration of disaster risk reduction into development forms one of the three key principles of the Operational Plan for Integrated Disaster Risk Management, 2014–2020 of the Asian Development Bank (ADB).1 This document is intended to support the application of this principle by providing guidance to ADB staff on the identification and application of robust natural hazard data for use in integrating disaster risk considerations in country partnership strategies and individual projects. Natural hazards form one of the three components that determine disaster risk. They fall into two categories reflecting their underlying natural causes: geophysical hazards, such as earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanic eruptions; and hydrometeorological hazards or extreme weather events, such as floods, drought, and tropical cyclones. Assessments of disaster risk take into account the frequency, intensity, and location of potential hazard events and combine this information with data on the exposure of people, infrastructure, and other assets to those hazards, as well as the level and nature of vulnerability of those people and assets. This document supports nonhazard specialists in developing terms of reference for and overseeing hazard and disaster risk assessment technical experts. It begins by outlining the rationale for this practical guide in further detail. Section 2 provides a general introduction to key concepts and ideas related to natural hazard and disaster risk information. Section 3 provides recommendations on factors to consider in deciding between potential natural hazard datasets, including licensing, scale and/or resolution, and authoritativeness. Section 4 covers six major categories of weather and geophysical hazard, discussing common approaches to the measurement and categorization of each hazard, and highlighting key international datasets along with their uses and limitations. Section 5 provides guidance on other data sources. Finally, Section 6 closes with a brief discussion of best practices and recommendations on the management and sharing of natural hazard information created with ADB’s support. The appendix presents a sample country natural hazard data report for Nepal to provide further guidance to ADB teams that are seeking to collate and access natural hazard and disaster risk information at a country level. The practical guide was prepared as part of a wider capacity development technical assistance (TA) project, Development of Guidance
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