Clim. Past Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2018-54 Manuscript under review for journal Clim. Past Discussion started: 6 June 2018 c Author(s) 2018. CC BY 4.0 License. Deglacial permafrost carbon dynamics in MPI-ESM Thomas Schneider von Deimling1,2, Thomas Kleinen1, Gustaf Hugelius3, Christian Knoblauch4, Christian Beer5, Victor Brovkin1 1Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstr. 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany 2 5 now at Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany 3Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Climate Research Centre, Stockholm University, SE10693, Stockholm, Sweden 4Institute of Soil Science, Universität Hamburg, Allende-Platz 2, 20146 Hamburg, Germany 5Department of Environmetal Science and Analytical Chemistry and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm 10 University, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Correspondence to: Thomas Schneider von Deimling (
[email protected]) Abstract We have developed a new module to calculate soil organic carbon (SOC) accumulation in perennially frozen ground in the 15 land surface model JSBACH. Running this offline version of MPI-ESM we have modelled permafrost carbon accumulation and release from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) to the Pre-industrial (PI). Our simulated near-surface PI permafrost extent of 16.9 Mio km2 is close to observational evidence. Glacial boundary conditions, especially ice sheet coverage, result in profoundly different spatial patterns of glacial permafrost extent. Deglacial warming leads to large-scale changes in soil temperatures, manifested in permafrost disappearance in southerly regions, and permafrost aggregation in formerly glaciated 20 grid cells. In contrast to the large spatial shift in simulated permafrost occurrence, we infer an only moderate increase of total LGM permafrost area (18.3 Mio km2) – together with pronounced changes in the depth of seasonal thaw.