The Primary Reason for Women's Under-Representation? Reevaluating the Conventional Wisdom Jennifer L. Lawless Department of Political Science Brown University
[email protected] Kathryn Pearson Department of Political Science University of Minnesota
[email protected] Preliminary draft—please do not cite without the permission of the authors. It is well documented that, when women run in general elections for the House of Representatives, they win at approximately the same rates as their male counterparts. This conventional wisdom derives from numerous studies of House elections that span the last two decades – studies that have all but eliminated discrimination at the polls as an explanation for women’s under-representation in the U.S. Congress. With the exception of studies of selected congressional districts in particular years, however, scholars have virtually ignored primary contests. This omission leaves a major gap in our understanding of gender dynamics in congressional elections: we do not know whether women win at rates equal to their male counterparts in congressional primaries or whether women face other disadvantages in primaries. In this paper, we analyze data from 1958 – 2004 to present preliminary analyses of women’s success rates in primary races. The results shed light on continuity and change in gender dynamics in the electoral process. Paper prepared for presentation at “Women in Politics: Seeking Office and Making Policy” at UC Berkeley, May 9 and 10, 2006. We thank John Sides and Sean Theriault for their valuable assistance. And we are grateful to Evan Panich, Jennifer Keighley, Laura Kavazanjian, Jinhee Chung, Marne Lenox, and Eric Kindschi for their research assistance.