A. INTRODUCTION Previous sections of the Downtown Surface Transit Circulation Study (DBSTCS) have documented existing conditions that directly or indirectly impact ’s surface transit. The surface transit challenges—created in large part by the rapid growth in commercial and residential development that has occurred within the study area—are likely to be compounded in the future as numerous planned projects will attract more residents, workers, and visitors to the area. Formation of sustainable transit strategies and solutions therefore requires evaluation of these future conditions and potential development.

This section of the DBSTCS describes the locations, types, and amounts of future development that is projected to occur within the downtown core and overall study areas, and estimates the incremental transit demand that will be generated by residents and workers of the projected development. In order to provide short- and long-term solutions to the problems identified in this report, the analysis estimates incremental transit demand generated by projects expected to be completed by 2011 and 2015.

Following this introduction, the future conditions assessment is organized as follows: • Section B presents the methodological approach and data sources for the future conditions analysis; • Section C describes the locations and nature of planned development projects, focusing on development projects within, or in close proximity to, the four study area corridors; • Section D presents trip generation estimates for users of new development projects that are expected to be operating by 2011; • Section E presents the trip generation estimates for users of new development projects that are expected to be operating by 2015 (including those operating by 2011); and • Section F summarizes the findings of the future conditions analysis.

Task 7: Future Conditions R eport

B. METHODOLOGY

The future conditions assessment required three core elements: 1. the identification of planned projects in the study area (detailed under “Data Sources,” below); 2. a mechanism for estimating the transit demand generated by the planned projects (detailed under “Trip Generation Estimates,” below); and 3. future analysis years to characterize the rate of growth in transit demand over time (detailed under “Analysis Years,” below).

DATA SOURCES The list of planned development projects within the Downtown Brooklyn Surface Transit Circulation Study Area was compiled from a variety of sources. Data on most of the projects identified were from Environmental Assessment Statements (EASs) or Environmental Impact Statements (EISs) for proposed rezoning and for specific development projects. These environmental review documents require the identification of future planned projects and future neighborhood conditions in order to forecast the environmental consequences of a proposed action. The studies reviewed included all of those referenced in Section 1.4 “Review of Previous Studies.” Much of the data on planned development projects were gathered from the following documents: • Downtown Brooklyn Redevelopment FEIS • Atlantic Yards FEIS and Technical Memorandum • 363-365 Bond Street FEIS • A Technical Memorandum for Albee Square • Brooklyn Bridge Park FEIS

In addition to EAS and EIS reports, the City Department of Buildings database was used to identify upcoming projects that were recently approved or that are in the permitting process. The Downtown Brooklyn Partnership website and the Department of City Planning website were also used to find upcoming projects in the Study Area. In addition, the blogs Curbed and Brownstoner often report progress on upcoming projects in the Brooklyn area; these sources were searched to find additional projects in the Study Area, and to update data on planned projects identified in EASs and EISs. The projects found on these websites were checked against the Department of Buildings database to confirm they have been approved. When project information was available from multiple sources, the program data from the most recent report was used.

A draft list of planned development projects was then reviewed by NYCDOT, the Department of City Planning, and the Downtown Brooklyn Partnership to confirm the program information and status of the identified planned projects.

TRIP GENERATION ESTIMATES Travel demand forecasts were performed for each of uses planned as part of development projects in the study areas. Travel demand forecasts for different uses estimate person trips by modes of transportation

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during typical weekday peak hours: 8 AM to 9 AM, 12 PM to 1 PM, and 5 PM to 6 PM. As shown in Table 1, trip rates and travel demand assumptions are based on City Environmental Quality Review (CEQR) Technical Manual (2001), U.S. Census data (2000), and previously approved projects including the Downtown Brooklyn Development FEIS (2004), Brooklyn Bridge Park FEIS (2005), and Atlantic Yards Arena and Redevelopment Project FEIS (2006).

Retail uses generate a wide variation in travel demand depending upon the type of retail and its target consumer base. As shown in Table 1 , local retail uses, which offer primarily neighborhood convenience goods and services, tend to generate a higher overall person-trip-rate per square foot of retail as compared to destination retail, but a much lower proportion of those trips are made by bus and subway (an estimated 70 percent of trips are made by walking, as compared to 26 percent for destination retail). For trip generation purposes, developments which include fewer than 50,000 square feet of retail space were analyzed as local retail uses. For retail space between 50,000 square feet and 100,000 square feet in size, it was assumed that 30,000 square feet will be local retail uses and the remaining will be destination retail. For retail space in excess of 100,000 square feet, 50,000 square feet of retail space was assumed to be local retail use and the remaining assumed to be destination retail.

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Table 1: Travel Demand Assumptions Peak Hour Modal Split Use Person Trip Rate Temporal In Out Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Source 8.075 AM 9.1% 20.0% 80.0% 14% 1% 67% 4% 1% 13% 100% a, b, c, d. Residential Trips/Dwelling Unit MD 4.7% 51.0% 49.0% 14% 1% 67% 4% 1% 13% 100% PM 10.7% 65.0% 35.0% 14% 1% 67% 4% 1% 13% 100% AM 11.8% 96.0% 4.0% 37% 1% 39% 11% 6% 6% 100% a, c, e, f. Commercial 18.0 MD 14.5% 39.0% 61.0% 2% 1% 7% 7% 0% 83% 100% Office Trips/1,000 gsf PM 13.7% 5.0% 95.0% 37% 1% 39% 11% 6% 6% 100% AM 3.1% 50.0% 50.0% 2% 3% 20% 5% 0% 70% 100% a, c, d, g. 153.75 Local Retail MD 19.0% 50.0% 50.0% 2% 3% 20% 5% 0% 70% 100% Trips/1,000 gsf PM 9.6% 50.0% 50.0% 2% 3% 20% 5% 0% 70% 100% AM 2.4% 61.0% 39.0% 20% 2% 22% 30% 0% 26% 100% c, h, i. Destination 71.8 MD 8.7% 55.0% 45.0% 20% 2% 22% 30% 0% 26% 100% Retail Trips/1,000 gsf PM 8.9% 47.0% 53.0% 20% 2% 22% 30% 0% 26% 100% AM 7.1% 61.0% 39.0% 5% 1% 3% 6% 0% 85% 100% j. Community 48.0 MD 10.0% 55.0% 45.0% 5% 1% 3% 6% 0% 85% 100% Facility Trips/1,000 gsf PM 7.2% 29.0% 71.0% 5% 1% 3% 6% 0% 85% 100% AM 7.5% 41.0% 59.0% 30% 12% 19% 6% 0% 33% 100% a, d, f. 9.4 Hotel MD 14.4% 68.0% 32.0% 30% 12% 19% 6% 0% 33% 100% Trips/Hotel Room PM 12.8% 59.0% 41.0% 30% 12% 19% 6% 0% 33% 100% AM 7.2% 94.0% 6.0% 12% 1% 71% 6% 0% 10% 100% a, c. Academic- 26.6 MD 7.1% 45.0% 55.0% 12% 1% 71% 6% 0% 10% 100% University Trips/1,000 gsf PM 8.3% 42.0% 58.0% 12% 1% 71% 6% 0% 10% 100% AM 7.0% 55.0% 45.0% 20% 1% 12% 11% 0% 56% 100% a, f. Open 139.0 MD 17.0% 50.0% 50.0% 20% 1% 12% 11% 0% 56% 100% Space Trips/Acre PM 14.0% 45.0% 55.0% 20% 1% 12% 11% 0% 56% 100% Source: a. City Environmental Quality Review (CEQR( Technical Manual b. 2000 Census journey to work data c. Downtown Brooklyn Development FEIS (2004) d. Atlantic Yards Arena and Redevelopment Project FEIS (2006) e. 2000 Census reverse journey to work data f. Brooklyn Bridge Park FEIS (2005) g. with 25% linked trip credits h. ITE Trip Generation 8th Edition. Shopping Center Land Use Code 820. i. For retail space less than 50,000 sf, local retail use was assumed; for retail space between 50,000 and 100,000 sf, 30,000 sf of retail space were assumed to be local retail use and the remaining was assumed to be destination retail use; for retail space over 100,000 sf, 50,000 sf of retail space were assumed to be local retail use and the remaining was assumed to be destination retail. j. The Jamaica Plan FEIS (2007)

ANALYSIS YEARS Incremental trip generation was estimated for two future analysis years: 2011 and 2015. 1 These analysis years provide the short- and longer-term forecasts of future transit demand that are necessary to plan for and implement transit improvement measures recommended by this study. The methodological assumptions used for the two analysis years are provided below.

2011 Analysis Year - The 2011 analysis year accounts for major new development projects that are expected to be open and operating by year-end 2011. The incremental trip volumes estimated for the 2011 analysis year are the product of all major development projects in the study areas for which construction is already underway (as of July 2009). While there are additional projects nearing construction that could be operating by year-end 2011, given the current economic climate it is reasonable to assume that the analysis captures a vast majority of the major development initiatives expected to be completed by 2011.

1 The 2011 and 2015 analysis years for DBSTCS were established in consultation with NYCDOT, the Department of City Planning, and the Downtown Brooklyn Partnership.

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2015 Analysis Year – The 2015 analysis year accounts for major new development projects that are expected to be open and operating by year-end 2015 (including those projects expected to be completed by 2011). Given the longer time horizon associated with this analysis year and the variability in real estate markets created by the economic recession, two potential development scenarios are considered for the 2015 analysis year:

2015 Scenario A – Scenario A assumes that all planned projects that are projected to be developed by 2015 (based on public documents) will be built and operating by 2015. This is an aggressive growth assumption in that many of the projects planned for development by 2015 were conceived and advanced before the economic recession, which began in December 2007. Under Scenario A, the studies areas by 2015 are projected to receive an estimated 12,689 new residential dwelling units, 1.47 million square feet of commercial office space, 1.10 million square feet of retail uses, 204,410 square feet of community facility space, and 1,787 additional hotel rooms by 2015.

2015 Scenario B – Scenario B discounts Scenario A’s residential growth projection, recognizing that not all of the planned residential projects slated for development by 2015 will actually be built and operating by 2015. Scenario B applies a residential growth rate consistent with that experienced from 2004 to 2007. Under Scenario B, the study area is projected to receive approximately 7,474 new residential dwelling units by 2015, which is approximately 59 percent of the housing stock projected under Scenario A (12,689 units). As it would be highly speculative to identify specific projects that would be delayed beyond 2015, the planned number of dwelling units was proportionately reduced across all development projects that are not already in construction.

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C. PLANNED DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS IN STUDY AREA

Table 2 and Figure 1 identify the locations, types, and amounts of future development that is projected to occur within the downtown core and overall study areas. This information forms the basis for the 2011 and 2015 incremental trip generation analysis (described in Section D and E, below). The following describes planned development projects within the context of the four study area corridors.

ADAMS/COURT/JAY/CADMAN PLAZA CORRIDOR

See Figure 2

In the existing condition, this corridor is defined by a dense concentration of institutional and educational facilities. Brooklyn Borough Hall, the Brooklyn Criminal Court, the General Post Office, and the U.S. Federal Courthouse occupy much of the area to the north of Joralemon Street between Adams Street and Cadman Plaza West. The College of Technology (City Tech) South Campus and the Polytechnic Institute of New York University (Polytech) are located along both sides of Jay Street between Tillary Street and Myrtle Avenue. Residential land uses are more prevalent to the south of Livingston Street and north of Tillary Street. The seven projects that will be developed by the 2015 analysis year will not alter the current land use pattern. These projects will result in institutional land uses in the northern portion of the corridor and additional residential land uses in the southern portion.

In the northern portion of the corridor, City Tech will develop a new academic building and install new infrastructure to support existing buildings as part of the City University of New York’s 2008-2012 Master Plan. The first project would result in the construction of a new approximately 150-foot-tall, 350,000-square- foot academic building at 105 Tech Place and the demolition of the existing Klitgord Building, which is located on the eastern blockface of Jay Street between Tech Place and Tillary. The new building, with frontages along both Jay and Tillary Streets, would include classrooms, laboratory space, a CUNY Express information facility, administrative space, and a below-grade garage with 29 accessory parking spaces. The building would also include a gymnasium and an auditorium to replace these facilities in the former Klitgord Building. Second, City Tech plans to construct a new central mechanical plant on the Main Complex, which is located between Tillary Street, Jay Street, Johnson Street, and Adams Street. This mechanical plant would serve City Tech’s South Campus with an updated heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system. Additionally, the work will convert the current student activities center in the Main Complex into swing space for other functions.

Four projects will be developed in the southern portion of the corridor. Three of these projects are primarily concentrated in the area around the intersection of Atlantic Avenue and Boerum Place. The 252 Atlantic Avenue and 236 Atlantic Avenue projects will be developed on each side of the intersection and will add residential uses and ground floor retail. The 252 Atlantic Avenue project is already under construction and will include 65 residential units and 16,000 square feet of ground floor retail. The 236 Atlantic Avenue project will include 55 residential units, ground floor retail, and medical offices. Across Atlantic Avenue from

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these two projects, the Brooklyn House of Detention will be reopened and its size increased by 40,000 square feet; however, the status of the expansion is unknown at this time. One block to the north, an approximately 100-unit residential building (Hoyt-Schermerhorn II) will be constructed on the east side of Smith Street, between State and Schermerhorn Streets.

FLATBUSH AVENUE CORRIDOR

See Figure 3

Flatbush Avenue is one of the main transportation arteries through Brooklyn. Overall, Flatbush Avenue— officially known as Flatbush Avenue Extension north of Fulton Street—runs from the Manhattan Bridge to the northern end to the Marine Parkway Bridge, which connects Brooklyn with the Rockaway Peninsula. Within the Study Area, Flatbush Avenue extends southward from the Manhattan Bridge to Dean Street, dividing Fort Greene from Downtown Brooklyn and, south of Atlantic Avenue, Prospect Heights from Park Slope. Commercial and institutional uses line both sides of Flatbush Avenue, but this wide street currently does not exhibit a distinct and cohesive land use character. Instead, Flatbush Avenue serves primarily as a vehicle thoroughfare, particularly north of Atlantic Avenue.

Flatbush Avenue has begun to transition toward higher density mixed-use development. This trend is expected to continue through the 2015 analysis year, particularly at the northern end of the corridor between Myrtle Avenue and Tillary Street, where a number of development project are planned. Three of these projects—Toren (at 245 Flatbush Avenue), Avalon Fort Greene (at 159 Myrtle Avenue), and 218 Myrtle Avenue—are already under construction at the intersection of Myrtle and Flatbush Avenues. While these projects differ in density, height, and land use from the existing land uses, they support the development trends occurring in Downtown Brooklyn as a result of its rezoning. The 41-story Avalon Fort Greene development fronts Flatbush Avenue and will include approximately 650 residential units and ground-floor retail. The 38-story Toren is located directly south of Avalon Fort Greene and will include 280 residential units and ground-floor retail. Finally, the 218 Myrtle Avenue project is located directly east of Toren. This large project will occupy the entire south side of Myrtle Avenue between Prince Street and Ashland Place, and will include 660 residential units and 22,000 square feet of ground-floor retail.

Continuing north on Flatbush Avenue, several primarily residential projects will be constructed in the area near the intersection of Tillary and Duffield Streets. At the intersection of Flatbush Avenue Extension and Tillary Street, the 21-story Flatbush Flatiron building will include 108 residential units. Less than a block north, the 55 Flatbush Avenue site will be occupied by an 80-unit Best Western hotel, while directly across from the Flatbush Flatiron a small residential conversion will be constructed at 49 Duffield Street. A 377-unit residential building is under construction at 235 Gold Street, and plans to open in Fall 2009. Another residential building planned for 277 Gold Street will include approximately 133 units. Further north and east the Flatbush Avenue Corridor, an 89-unit residential building is under construction at 168 Nassau Street.

Toward the southern end of the corridor, the City Point project will redefine the intersection of Willoughby Street and Flatbush Avenue. This mixed-use tower will be located on the site of the former Albee Square

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Mall, which occupied the entire block bounded by Willoughby Street to the north, Flatbush Avenue to the east, Fulton Street to the south, and Gold Street to the west. The project, which will commence construction of its initial phase in 2010, will include in total approximately 650 residential units, 360,000 square feet of office space, 520,000 square feet of retail space, and 404 underground parking spaces. Willoughby Square Park will be constructed directly east of City Point. This 1.25-acre park will be constructed above a 700- space parking garage. One block to the south and east, a 34-story residential building at 80 Dekalb Avenue is under construction and will include 272 residential units, of which 20 percent will be available to low-to moderate-income residents through an affordable housing program.

In addition to these projects along the Flatbush Avenue corridor, four projects—two hotels and two residential buildings with street-level retail—are located in the portion of Downtown Brooklyn that is situated between Flatbush Avenue corridor, the Fulton Street/Livingston Street corridor, and the Adams/Court/Jay/Cadman Plaza corridor. While these projects are not located directly in a transportation corridor, they are described below due to their proximity to many corridors, their significant size, and because they further represent the significant transformation occurring within Downtown Brooklyn. The Hotel Indigo will be developed at 237 Duffield Street, directly south of the Willoughby Square Park. This 21- story building will include approximately 180 hotel rooms. The 25-story Sheraton Aloft hotel is under construction at 222 Duffield Street, on the west side of Duffield Street and across from the Hotel Indigo, and will include approximately 501 rooms. Within the same area, a 51-story, 491-unit residential building is under construction at 111 Lawrence Street, and a 49-story, 360-unit residential building with 20,000 square feet of retail space is planned at 388 Bridge Street.

FULTON/LIVINGSTON STREET CORRIDOR

See Figure 4

The Fulton Street/Livingston Street corridor, which includes the areas along Fulton and Livingston Streets and extends the entire width of the study area, intersecting with the Flatbush Avenue corridor on the east to the Adams/Court/Jay/Cadman Plaza corridor on the west. Additionally, this corridor is situated to the south of the MetroTech. This corridor is defined by the density of retail uses along Fulton Street, which is a distinct retail spine within Downtown Brooklyn, and the institutional uses that located on its eastern and western edges.

The projects planned for this corridor are similar in terms of use and scale to the projects that are the result of the Downtown Brooklyn rezoning: high-density mixed-use buildings. Projects to be constructed in the portion of the corridor to the west of Flatbush will include a hotel and three residential buildings. The 12- story, 69-room hotel will be constructed at 46 Nevins Street at the intersection with Schermerhorn Street. Two of the residential buildings will be constructed on Livingston Street, an area that is currently transitioning away from surface parking lots and low density uses towards high-density mixed-use buildings. At 254 Livingston Street, a 186-unit building with 21,000 square feet of office space is planned. On the same block, at 230 Livingston Street, a 21-story 271-unit residential building with 18,000 square feet

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of office space is in construction. Finally, a 544-unit residential building with 50,000 square feet of retail is in construction at 505 Fulton Street.

Plans for development east of the Avenue include two projects which are part of the Brooklyn Academy of Music (BAM) Cultural District. The BAM Local Development Corporation (LDC) North and South projects will be located along Fulton Street between Rockwell Place and St. Felix Street. These projects are part of the Downtown Brooklyn Partnership (DBP) plan to create much-needed affordable performance and rehearsal space, mixed-income housing, and new public open space anchored by BAM and the other cultural institutions in the immediate area. BAM LDC South will include 250 residential units, approximately 25,000 square feet of retail space, 48,500 square feet of community facility space, and 466 parking spaces. The BAM LDC North project will include a 30,000 square foot, 299-seat theater with offices, rehearsal space, and 39,000 square feet of arts space. The building will also include 4,000 square feet of retail space and 187 residential units. A third project—29 Flatbush Avenue—will not be a part of the BAM Cultural District but will include 333 residential units.

ATLANTIC AVENUE CORRIDOR

See Figure 5

The Atlantic Avenue corridor runs east-west between Court Street to the west and South Portland Avenue to the east. While this corridor is mixed-use in nature, residential buildings with street-level retail uses are the predominant land use type along much of the corridor. To the east, this corridor is anchored by local and regional shopping destinations.

There are numerous development projects expected to be complete in the Atlantic Avenue corridor by the 2015 analysis year. In the western portion of the corridor, a six-floor residential building with 55 dwelling units will be constructed at 236 Atlantic Avenue. Moving east along Atlantic Avenue, a residential building is in construction at 252 Atlantic Avenue/97 Boerum Place; it will contain 65 dwelling units and approximately 16,000 square feet of ground floor commercial use, as well as on-site parking. Another residential building in construction at 307 Atlantic Avenue will include 26 dwelling units, and 348 Atlantic Avenue will be renovated with approximately 2,000 square feet of ground floor retail and six residential units.

The Atlantic Yards project at 630 Atlantic Avenue is a large scale, mixed-use development expected to include (by 2015): 2,110 dwelling units; 336,000 square feet of office/commercial space; 91,000 square feet of retail; 180 hotel rooms; 2,346 parking spaces; 1 acre of open space; and an 850,000-square-foot sports arena. This project is expected to be built out in a number of phases over the next 10 years; additional development would be completed subsequent to the 2015 analysis year.

The Atlantic Terrace development at 699 Atlantic Avenue will be an 8-story residential building with 80 units, 87 parking spaces, and approximately 12,000 square feet of retail. This development is currently under construction and is expected to be complete by 2010.

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There are several residential development projects just outside of the Atlantic Avenue corridor to the south; including two on the western edge of the corridor and two towards the eastern edge. 210 Pacific Street and 216 Pacific Street are both located between Court Street and Boerum Place. 210 Pacific Street is expected to contain 10 dwelling units and 216 Pacific Street—which will entail the conversion of an existing building—will contain 3 dwelling units. 345 Bergen Street and 357 Dean Street are both between Third and Fourth Avenues. 345 Bergen Street is expected to contain 15 dwelling units, and 357 Dean Street is expected to contain 3 dwelling units.

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D. 2011 ANALYSIS YEAR

Fourteen planned development projects (labeled as “In Construction” in Table 2 and Figure 1 ) were considered for estimating future trip-making in Downtown Brooklyn by 2011. As summarized in Table 3 , cumulatively these projects include nearly 3,400 residential dwelling units, 18,000 square feet of commercial office use, 160,000 square feet of retail space, and 500 hotel rooms.

Table 3: Cumulative Program Data: Planned Projects in Operation by 2011 Community Facility/ Residential Commercial Institutional Parking Open Space Area Units Retail (sf) Office (sf) (sf) Hotel Rooms Spaces (acres) Downtown Core Study Area 2,934 148,000 - - 501 709 - Overall Study Area 440 12,100 18,000 - - 87 - Total 3,374 160,100 18,000 - 501 796 -

As shown in Figure 6 , all 14 projects that are expected to be operating by year-end 2011 (i.e., all projects that are currently in construction) are located within or immediately adjacent to Downtown Brooklyn’s core study area. Six of the 14 projects are located within the Flatbush Avenue corridor; those projects would add an estimated 1,861 residential units and 82,000 square feet or retail. Four other projects are located north of Fulton Street between Adams and Duffield Streets: the 544-unit Conway Building at 505 Fulton Street; a 491-unit building at 111 Lawrence Street; a 36-unit residential expansion at 345 Adams Street; and a 501- room Sheraton/Aloft Hotel at 222-228 Duffield Street.

INCREMENTAL TRAVEL DEMAND ESTIMATES Table 4 summarizes the project-generated person-trips by development use and by mode of transportation. In total, the planned developments for the 2011 future condition are projected to generate a total of 15,220 person trips daily: 3,546; 6,006; and 5,067 person trips during the weekday AM, midday, and PM peak hours, respectively. Of the total person trips, 6,175 (40.6 percent) are projected to occur via subway, while 817 (5.4 percent) are bus trips. An estimated 741 bus trips (90.7 percent of the increment) will be generated by uses in the downtown core study area, while the remaining 76 bus trips will be generated by uses in the overall study area. Most of the incremental bus trips will occur during the midday and PM peak hours.

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Table 4: Trip Generation Summary, 2011 Study AM Peak Hour Midday Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Use Area Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Core 301 22 1,444 88 22 280 2,157 159 12 744 45 12 146 1,118 357 25 1,698 100 25 330 2,535 Residential Overall 46 3 218 13 3 43 326 22 2 112 8 2 22 168 52 3 254 15 3 49 376 Total 347 25 1,662 101 25 323 2,483 181 14 856 53 14 168 1,286 409 28 1,952 115 28 379 2,911 Core 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Commercial Overall 15 0 15 4 2 2 38 1 0 3 3 0 39 46 17 0 17 5 3 3 45 Office Total 15 0 15 4 2 2 38 1 0 3 3 0 39 46 17 0 17 5 3 3 45 Core 20 19 123 45 0 407 614 108 108 732 230 0 2,463 3,641 70 58 390 143 0 1,269 1,930 Retail Overall 2 2 12 2 0 40 58 8 10 70 18 0 248 354 4 6 36 8 0 126 180 Total 22 21 135 47 0 447 672 116 118 802 248 0 2,711 3,995 74 64 426 151 0 1,395 2,110 Core 107 44 66 19 0 117 353 204 84 128 37 0 226 679 181 74 113 34 0 200 602 Hotel Overall 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 107 44 66 19 0 117 353 204 84 128 37 0 226 679 181 74 113 34 0 200 602 Core 428 85 1,633 152 22 804 3,124 471 204 1,604 312 12 2,835 5,438 608 157 2,201 277 25 1,799 5,067 Total Overall 63 5 245 19 5 85 422 31 12 185 29 2 309 568 73 9 307 28 6 178 601 Total 491 90 1,878 171 27 889 3,546 502 216 1,789 341 14 3,144 6,006 681 166 2,508 305 31 1,977 5,668

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E. 2015 ANALYSIS YEAR

The 2015 analysis year considers 88 planned development projects that are expected to open and operating by 2015 (see Figure 1). As compared to the 2011 analysis year, projects anticipated to be complete by 2015 cover a broader geography within Downtown Brooklyn, including: substantial development throughout the Fulton Ferry/DUMBO/Vinegar Hill neighborhoods; a broad mix of uses (including over 1,200 residential units) as part of the Brooklyn Bridge Park project in Brooklyn Heights; numerous development projects in the Boerum Hill /Cobble Hill/Carroll Gardens neighborhoods; the first phase of the Atlantic Yards/Brooklyn Arena project (which will include an approximately 850,000-square- foot arena); and substantial additional development within the downtown core.

As described in Section B, “Methodology,” the future conditions assessment considers two scenarios for the 2015 analysis year: Scenario A and Scenario B. Scenario A assumes complete build-out of all development projects that, according to public documents, would be open and operating by 2015. Scenario B recognizes the possibility of less aggressive residential growth in the study area, and proportionately discounts the number of residential units for each planned project. The estimated travel demands for both scenarios are presented below.

INCREMENTAL TRAVEL DEMAND ESTIMATES: SCENARIO A As summarized in Table 5, under Scenario A the 88 planned development projects would bring online a total of 12,687 residential dwelling units, 1.47 million square feet of commercial office use, 1.10 million square feet of retail space, 204,410 square feet of community facility uses, 571,500 square feet of academic uses, and 1,787 hotel rooms.

Table 5: Cumulative Program Data: Planned Projects in Operation by 2015 Scenario A Community Facility/ Residential Commercial Institutional Parking Open Space Area Units Retail (sf) Office (sf) (sf) Hotel Rooms Spaces (acres) Downtown Core Study Area 6,489 746,095 381,000 157,500 1,068 2,421 1.3 Overall Study Area 6,198 356,900 1,086,551 46,910 719 5,807 24.0 Total 12,687 1,102,995 1,467,551 204,410 1,787 8,228 25.3

Table 6 summarizes the project-generated person-trips by development use and by mode of transportation. In total, the planned uses for the 2015 Scenario A future condition are projected to generate a total of 80,229 person trips daily: 19,142; 29,856; and 31,231 person trips during the weekday AM, midday, and PM peak hours, respectively. Of the total person trips, 30,741 (38.3 percent) are projected to occur via subway, while 6,888 (8.6 percent) are bus trips. An estimated 4,013 bus trips (58.3 percent of the increment) will be generated by uses in the downtown core study area, while the remaining 2,875 bus trips will be generated by uses in the overall study area. As compared to the 2011 analysis year, a higher proportion of the incremental bus trips will be generated by uses in the overall study area by 2015 (in 2011

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less than 10 percent of incremental bus trips will generated by new uses in the overall study area). Most of the incremental bus trips will continue to occur during the midday and PM peak hours.

Table 6: Trip Generation Summary: 2015 Scenario A Study AM Peak Hour Midday Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Use Area Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Core 664 45 3,192 190 45 619 4,755 349 22 1,645 96 22 320 2,454 788 55 3,757 221 55 728 5,604 Residential Overall 635 43 3,051 181 43 590 4,543 325 22 1,575 90 22 301 2,335 744 51 3,586 211 51 691 5,334 Total 1,299 88 6,243 371 88 1,209 9,298 674 44 3,220 186 44 621 4,789 1,532 106 7,343 432 106 1,419 10,938 Core 300 7 316 89 49 49 810 19 10 69 69 0 826 993 347 8 366 103 57 57 938 Commercial Overall 855 22 899 254 138 138 2,306 57 27 198 198 0 2,353 2,833 992 26 1,043 295 159 159 2,674 Office Total 1,155 29 1,215 343 187 187 3,116 76 37 267 267 0 3,179 3,826 1,339 34 1,409 398 216 216 3,612 Core 192 53 426 316 0 1,045 2,032 771 280 2,126 1,299 0 5,845 10,321 708 174 1,431 1,137 0 3,372 6,822 Retail Overall 84 27 217 145 0 569 1,042 355 151 1,127 609 0 3,245 5,487 314 90 719 517 0 1,822 3,462 Total 276 80 643 461 0 1,614 3,074 1,126 431 3,253 1,908 0 9,090 15,808 1,022 264 2,150 1,654 0 5,194 10,284 Core 27 6 16 33 0 457 539 36 7 22 45 0 643 753 26 5 16 32 0 462 541 Community Overall 6 0 2 9 0 137 154 12 1 3 14 0 193 223 8 1 3 8 0 138 158 Facility Total 33 6 18 42 0 594 693 48 8 25 59 0 836 976 34 6 19 40 0 600 699 Core 228 93 141 41 0 249 752 434 178 272 79 0 482 1,445 387 158 242 72 0 428 1,287 Hotel Overall 153 63 95 28 0 169 508 291 120 184 54 0 325 974 259 108 161 48 0 288 864 Total 381 156 236 69 0 418 1,260 725 298 456 133 0 807 2,419 646 266 403 120 0 716 2,151 Core 117 9 690 58 0 97 971 116 10 680 58 0 95 959 134 10 794 67 0 112 1,117 Academic- Overall 15 1 89 7 0 13 125 15 0 86 7 0 13 121 17 1 102 8 0 14 142 University Total 132 10 779 65 0 110 1,096 131 10 766 65 0 108 1,080 151 11 896 75 0 126 1,259 Core 2 0 2 2 0 7 13 6 0 4 4 0 16 30 5 0 3 2 0 13 23 Open Overall 47 2 29 26 0 130 234 112 6 68 62 0 318 566 93 4 56 51 0 262 466 Space Total 49 2 31 28 0 137 247 118 6 72 66 0 334 596 98 4 59 53 0 275 489 Core 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Arena Overall 125 10 179 7 28 9 358 128 11 173 8 32 10 362 629 54 886 38 144 48 1,799 Total 125 10 179 7 28 9 358 128 11 173 8 32 10 362 629 54 886 38 144 48 1,799 Core 1,530 213 4,783 729 94 2,523 9,872 1,731 507 4,818 1,650 22 8,227 16,955 2,395 410 6,609 1,634 112 5,172 16,332 Total Overall 1,920 168 4,561 657 209 1,755 9,270 1,295 338 3,414 1,042 54 6,758 12,901 3,056 335 6,556 1,176 354 3,422 14,899 Total 3,450 381 9,344 1,386 303 4,278 19,142 3,026 845 8,232 2,692 76 14,985 29,856 5,451 745 13,165 2,810 466 8,594 31,231

INCREMENTAL TRAVEL DEMAND ESTIMATES: SCENARIO B As summarized in Table 7, under Scenario B the 88 planned development projects total 7,474 residential dwelling units, 1.47 million square feet of commercial office use, 1.10 million square feet of retail space, 204,410 square feet of community facility uses, 571,500 square feet of academic uses, and 1,787 hotel rooms. Table 7: Cumulative Program Data: Planned Projects in Operation by 2015 Scenario B Community Facility/ Residential Commercial Institutional Parking Open Space Area Units Retail (sf) Office (sf) (sf) Hotel Rooms Spaces (acres) Downtown Core Study Area 5,222 746,095 381,000 157,500 1,068 2,421 1.3 Overall Study Area 2,252 356,900 1,086,551 46,910 719 5,807 24.0 Total 7,474 1,102,995 1,467,551 204,410 1,787 8,228 25.3

Table 8 summarizes the project-generated person-trips by development use and by mode of transportation. In total, the planned uses for the 2015 Scenario B future condition are projected to generate a total of 69,989 person trips daily: 15,336; 27,903; and 26,750 person trips during the weekday AM, midday, and PM peak hours, respectively. Of the total person trips, 23,842 (34.1 percent) are projected to occur via subway, while 6,490 (9.3 percent) will be bus trips. An estimated 3,919 bus trips (60.4 percent of the increment) would be generated by uses in the downtown core study area, while the remaining 2,571 bus

14 Task 7: Future Conditions Report

trips will be generated by uses in the overall study area. As compared to the 2011 analysis year, a higher proportion of the incremental bus trips will be generated by uses in the overall study area by 2015 (in 2011 less than 10 percent of incremental bus trips will generated by new uses in the overall study area). Most of the incremental bus trips will continue to occur during the midday and PM peak hours.

Table 8: Trip Generation Summary: 2015 Scenario B Study AM Peak Hour Midday Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Use Area Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Auto Taxi Subway Bus Railroad Walk Total Core 537 39 2,571 154 39 499 3,839 278 20 1,328 79 20 257 1,982 632 45 3,023 180 45 586 4,511 Residential Overall 231 16 1,109 66 16 215 1,653 120 8 573 34 8 111 854 272 20 1,303 78 20 253 1,946 Total 768 55 3,680 220 55 714 5,492 398 28 1,901 113 28 368 2,836 904 65 4,326 258 65 839 6,457 Core 300 7 316 89 49 49 810 19 10 69 69 0 826 993 347 8 366 103 57 57 938 Commercial Overall 855 22 899 254 138 138 2,306 57 27 198 198 0 2,353 2,833 992 26 1,043 295 159 159 2,674 Office Total 1,155 29 1,215 343 187 187 3,116 76 37 267 267 0 3,179 3,826 1,339 34 1,409 398 216 216 3,612 Core 192 53 426 316 0 1,045 2,032 771 280 2,126 1,299 0 5,845 10,321 708 174 1,431 1,137 0 3,372 6,822 Retail Overall 84 27 217 145 0 569 1,042 355 151 1,127 609 0 3,245 5,487 314 90 719 517 0 1,822 3,462 Total 276 80 643 461 0 1,614 3,074 1,126 431 3,253 1,908 0 9,090 15,808 1,022 264 2,150 1,654 0 5,194 10,284 Core 27 6 16 33 0 457 539 36 7 22 45 0 643 753 26 5 16 32 0 462 541 Community Overall 6 0 2 9 0 137 154 12 1 3 14 0 193 223 8 1 3 8 0 138 158 Facility Total 33 6 18 42 0 594 693 48 8 25 59 0 836 976 34 6 19 40 0 600 699 Core 228 93 141 41 0 249 752 434 178 272 79 0 482 1,445 387 158 242 72 0 428 1,287 Hotel Overall 153 63 95 28 0 169 508 291 120 184 54 0 325 974 259 108 161 48 0 288 864 Total 381 156 236 69 0 418 1,260 725 298 456 133 0 807 2,419 646 266 403 120 0 716 2,151 Core 117 9 690 58 0 97 971 116 10 680 58 0 95 959 134 10 794 67 0 112 1,117 Academic- Overall 15 1 89 7 0 13 125 15 0 86 7 0 13 121 17 1 102 8 0 14 142 University Total 132 10 779 65 0 110 1,096 131 10 766 65 0 108 1,080 151 11 896 75 0 126 1,259 Core 2 0 2 2 0 7 13 6 0 4 4 0 16 30 5 0 3 2 0 13 23 Open Overall 47 2 29 26 0 130 234 112 6 68 62 0 318 566 93 4 56 51 0 262 466 Space Total 49 2 31 28 0 137 247 118 6 72 66 0 334 596 98 4 59 53 0 275 489 Core 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Arena Overall 125 10 179 7 28 9 358 128 11 173 8 32 10 362 629 54 886 38 144 48 1,799 Total 125 10 179 7 28 9 358 128 11 173 8 32 10 362 629 54 886 38 144 48 1,799 Core 1,403 207 4,162 693 88 2,403 8,956 1,660 505 4,501 1,633 20 8,164 16,483 2,239 400 5,875 1,593 102 5,030 15,239 Total Overall 1,516 141 2,619 542 182 1,380 6,380 1,090 324 2,412 986 40 6,568 11,420 2,584 304 4,273 1,043 323 2,984 11,511 Total 2,919 348 6,781 1,235 270 3,783 15,336 2,750 829 6,913 2,619 60 14,732 27,903 4,823 704 10,148 2,636 425 8,014 26,750

15 Task 7: Future Conditions Report

F. CONCLUSION Downtown Brooklyn has experienced rapid growth in commercial and residential projects, and numerous planned projects will attract more residents, workers, and visitors to the area. As shown in Table 9 , by 2015 Downtown Brooklyn could receive over 12,000 residential units, over 1.1 million square feet of retail, almost 1.5 million square feet of commercial office space, over 204,000 square feet of community facility/institutional uses, nearly 1,800 hotel rooms, and over 25 acres of publicly accessible open space.

Table 9: Cumulative Program Data: Planned Projects in DBSTCS Community Open Residential Commercial Facility/ Parking Space Area Units Retail (sf) Office (sf) Institutional (sf) Hotel Rooms Spaces (acres)

2011 Analysis Year Downtown Core Study Area 2,934 148,000 - - 501 709 - Overall Study Area 440 12,100 18,000 - - 87 - 2011 Total 3,374 160,100 18,000 - 501 796 -

2015 Analysis Year Downtown Core Study Area 5,222 - 6,489 746,095 381,000 157,500 1,068 2,421 1.3 Overall Study Area 2,252 - 6,198 356,900 1,086,551 46,910 719 5,807 24.0 2015 Total 7,474 - 12,687 1,102,995 1,467,551 204,410 1,787 8,228 25.3

Travel demand estimates predict that by 2015 these new uses will generate up to 1,386 bus trips in the AM peak hour, 2,692 bus trips in the midday peak hour, and 2,810 bus trips in the PM peak hour. While much of this growth and its associated travel demands will occur in areas of the downtown core that are relatively well-served by surface transit, growth is also projected for neighborhoods with fewer surface transit options, as obtained from focus groups, traveler surveys, and GIS analysis. These areas include:

Within Downtown Core Study Area: • Flatbush Avenue north of DeKalb Avenue. Five developments are currently in construction along Flatbush Avenue, with eight more currently planned. Surface transit options on Flatbush Avenue, north of DeKalb Avenue, only include the B54 bus service, servicing areas east of the study area along Myrtle Avenue.

Within Overall Study Area • DUMBO (particularly the area bounded by Jay Street to the west, Gold Street to the east, Plymouth Street to the north, and York Street to the south). DUMBO contains several planned developments with no surface transit options. Transit options are limited to the F train located at York Avenue. Surface transit in DUMBO is limited to the B25, which services the area just around the Brooklyn Bridge.

16 Task 7: Future Conditions Report

• Columbia Street Waterfront. The currently planned Brooklyn Bridge Park has no surface transit accessibility and limited subway service providing almost no transit accessibility and is limited to walking trips. • Boerum Hill /Cobble Hill/Carroll Gardens. This area, in the southern part of the overall study area, contains several planned developments. Current bus service is limited to north/south travel only, along Court Street, Smith Street, and 3 rd Avenue, with one bus travelling east/west along Bergen Street. • Brooklyn Heights has several developments, with several subways services in the vicinity, but with no surface transit options.

17 Task 7: Future Conditions Report Table 2 Planned Development Projects in DBSTCS Study Areas

Development Program

Primary or Office/ Community Map Secondary Study Residential Commercial Facility/ Hotel Parking Open Space Number Project Name Address Block(s) Lot(s) Area? Primary Use Units Retail (sf) (sf) Institutional (sf) Rooms Spaces (acres) Status

1 100 Gold Street 100 Gold Street 55 32 Secondary Residential 10 ------Planned

2 103 Kane Street 103 Kane Street 309 42 Secondary Residential 7 - - 2,023 - - Planned

3 City University Site B 105 Tech Place 131 1 Primary Public Facility - - - 350,000 - - - Planned

4 107 Union Street 107 Union Street 335 42 Secondary Residential 1 - - 2,929 - 6 Planned

5 109 Gold Street 109 Gold Street 56 2,34,35 Secondary Residential 33 ------Planned

6 111 Lawrence Street 111 Lawrence Street 148 1 Primary Residential 491 ------In Construction

7 Sleepy's Apartments 116 Montague Street 248 32 Secondary Residential 6 2,000 - - - - - Planned

8 Navy Green 130 Flushing Avenue 2033 1 Secondary Residential 455 6,000 - 6,000 - - - Planned

9 131 6th Avenue 131 6th Avenue 942 3 Secondary Residential 2 - - 5,458 - - - Planned

10 137 5th Avenue 137 5th Avenue 944 1 Secondary Residential 4 1,600 - - - - - Planned

11 150 4th Avenue 150 4th Avenue 413 37 Secondary Residential 95 ------Planned

12 Avalon Fort Greene 159 Myrtle Avenue 2049 1,2,28-35 Primary Residential 650 - - - - 252 In Construction

13 177 Concord Street 177 Concord Street 109 25 Primary Residential 23 ------Planned

14 181 3rd Avenue 181 3rd Avenue 413 2 Secondary Hotel - - - - 130 - - Planned

15 DumboSpace 192 Water Street 41 11 Secondary Residential 10 - - 5,250 - - - Planned

16 210 Pacific Street 210 Pacific Street 279 24 Primary Residential 10 ------Planned

17 216 Pacific Street 216 Pacific Street 279 28,30 Primary Residential 3 ------Planned

18 Castimatidis Red Apple Project 218 Myrtle Avenue 2061 1 Primary Residential 100 22,000 - - - - - In Construction

19 Sheraton/Aloft Hotels 222-228 Duffield Street 145 26, 32 Primary Hotel - - - - 501 - - In Construction

20 235 Gold Street 235 Gold Street 122 13 Primary Residential 377 ------In Construction

21 236 Atlantic Avenue 236 Atlantic Avenue 278 33 Primary Residential 55 ------Planned

22 230 Livingston Street 230 Livingston Street 165 17,18,19,58 Secondary Residential 271 - 18,000 - - - - In Construction

23 Hotel Indigo 237 Duffield Street 146 7 Primary Hotel - - - - 180 - - Planned

24 Toren 245 Flatbush Ave Ext 2060 22-27, 32, 122 Primary Residential 280 60,000 - - - 457 - In Construction 252 Atlantic Avenue/97 Boerum 252 Atlantic Avenue/97 Boerum 25 Place Place 181 1 Primary Residential 65 16,000 - - - - - In Construction

26 254 Livingston Street 254 Livingston Street 165 29 Primary Residential 186 - 21,000 - - - - Planned

27 264 Bond Street 264 Bond Street 416 42 Secondary Residential 2 ------Planned

28 Brooklyn House of Detention 275 Atlantic Avenue 175 1 Primary Institutional - - - 40,000 - - - Planned

29 277 Gold Street 277 Gold Street 122 5, 9 Primary Residential 133 ------Planned

30 29 Flatbush Avenue 29 Flatbush Avenue 2106 19, 40 Primary Residential 333 ------Planned

31 290 Sackett Street 290 Sackett Street 339 19 Secondary Residential 32 - - - - - Planned

32 Degraw Street Firehouse 299 Degraw Street 414 61 Secondary Community Facility - - - 4,250 - - Planned

33 City University Site A 300 Jay Street 128 Primary Public Faciility - - - 350,000 - - Planned

34 Holiday Inn 300 Schermerhorn Street 172 24 Primary Hotel - - - - 247 - Planned

35 306 Bond Street 306 Bond Street 430 3 Secondary Residential 11 - - - - - Planned

36 307 Atlantic Avenue 307 Atlantic Avenue 176 50, 49 Primary Residential 26 - - - - - In Construction

37 BAM LDC South 31 Lafayette Avenue 2110 Primary Residential 250 - - 48,500 - 466 Planned

38 31 North Elliot Place 31 North Elliot Place 2027 11 Secondary Residential 5 - - - - - Planned

39 Oro II 311 Gold Street 134 1,5,30,36,38,41 Primary ------Planned

40 316 Bergen Street 316 Bergen Street 389 10 Secondary Residential 39 - - - - - Planned

41 345 Bergen Street 345 Bergen Street 198 46 Primary Residential 15 - - - - - Planned

42 348 Atlantic Avenue 348 Atlantic Avenue 183 7 Primary Residential 6 2,000 - - - - Planned

43 348 Sackett Avenue 348 Sackett Avenue 428 26 Secondary Residential 5 - - - - - Planned

44 357 Dean StreeStreett 357 Dean StreeStreett 192 47 PrimarPrimaryy ResidentiaResidentiall 45 - - - - - Planned Planned

45 37 Bridge Street 37 Bridge Street 32 4 Secondary Residential 2 - - - - - Planned

46 388 Bridge Street 388 Bridge Street 152 37, 118 Primary Residential 360 20,095 - - - 142 Planned

47 414 Hicks Street 414 Hicks Street 304 18 Secondary Residential 149 - - - - - Planned

48 45 North Oxford Street 45 North Oxford Street 2029 1 Secondary Residential 3 - - - - - Planned

49 46 Nevins Street 46 Nevins Street 166 40 Secondary Hotel - - - - 69 - Planned

50 462 Baltic Street 462 Baltic Street 405 16 Secondary Office - - 35,551 - - 61 Planned

51 49 Duffield Street 49 Duffield Street 121 12 Primary Residential 7 - - - - - Planned

52 491 Henry Street 491 Henry Street 323 1 Secondary Residential 3 - - - - - Planned

53 505 Fulton Street (Conway Building) 505 Fulton Street 145 3, 35 Primary Commercial 544 50,000 - - - - In Construction

54 56 Strong Place 56 Strong Place 323 59 Secondary Residential 3 - - - - - Planned

55 611 DeGraw Street 611 DeGraw Street 420 52 Secondary Hotel - - - - 25 - Planned Atlantic Yards - residential mixed 56 use 630 Atlantic Avenue Secondary Mixed 2,110 91,000 336,000 - 180 2,346 1.0 Planned

57 Atlantic Terrace 669 Atlantic Avenue 2004 1,2,78,79,80,81,82, Secondary Residential 80 12,100 - - - 87 In Construction

58 675 Sackett Street 675 Sackett Street Secondary Residential 38 - - - - - Planned

59 72 Poplar 72 Poplar 211 15 Secondary Residential 24 - - - - - Planned

60 75 Columbia Street 75 Columbia Street 299 1 Secondary Hotel - - - - 10 - Planned

61 Flatiron Building 75 Flatbush Avenue Extension 120 13, 45 Primary Residential 108 - - - - - Planned

62 80 Dekalb Avenue 80 Dekalb Avenue 2094 1 Primary Residential 365 - - - - - In Construction

63 85 Jay Street and Rezoning 85 Jay Street Secondary Residential 1,000 - 2,600 - - 1,100 Planned

64 86 Congress Street 86 Congress Street 299 16 Secondary Residential 48 - - - - - Planned

65 97 Douglass Street 97 Douglass Street 409 50 Secondary Residential 6 - - - - - Planned Block btw Fulton, Atlantic, 66 470 Vanderbilt Clermont, Vanderbilt 2009 1,6,19,20,23,26,31-4Secondary Mixed 83,000 530,000 - - 400 Planned Block btw Fulton, rockwell, 67 BAM LDC North lafayette, ashland 2107 1,2,15,24,30,36,40,4Primary Residential 187 4,000 - 69,000 - - Planned Brooklyn side of East River south 68 Brooklyn Bridge Park of Brookl Bridge Secondary Open Space 1, 210 151, 200 164, 400 21, 000 225 1, 283 23. 0 Planned Dock Street btw Water and 69 Dock Street Rezoning Front Street Secondary Residential 301 10,000 - 45,000 - 465 Planned Flatbush Avenue at Albee 70 City Point Square West 149 1, 49 Primary Residential 650 520,000 360,000 - - 404 Planned

71 Grand Army Plaza Redesign Grand Army Plaza Secondary ------Planned

72 Pier 7 Pier 7, Brooklyn 281 1 Secondary Industrial ------Planned

73 Pier 9a Pier 9a, Brooklyn 281 1 Secondary Industrial ------Planned

74 Pier 9b Pier 9b, Brooklyn 281 1 Secondary Industrial ------Planned

75 Hoyt-Schmererhorn I Schermerhorn and Hoyt Streets Primary Residential 100 - - - - - Planned

76 Hoyt-Schermerhorn II Schermerhorn and Smith Streets Primary Residential 100 - - - - - Planned Willoughby St between Gold and 16,17,18,23,29,34, 77 Willoughby Square Park Duffield Streets 146 35,36,37,41, 42 Primary Open Space - - - - - 700 1.3 Planned Hicks Street between Poplar and 78 PS8 Addition Middagh Streets 211 1 Secondary School - 19,500 Planned Bridge Street between Water 79 220 Water Street and Front Streets 41 17 Secondary Residential 135 - 59 Planned

80 168 Nassau Street 168 Nassau Street Secondary Residential 89 - In Construction

81 V3 Hotel 229 - 231 Duffield Street 146 13, 14 Primary Hotel - Planned

82 9 Townhomes (Phase III) State Street Secondary Residential 9 - Planned

83 Hampton Inn 125 Flatbush Avenue Extension Primary Hotel - 140 Planned

84 Best Western Manhattan Bridge 55 Flatbush Avenue Secondary Hotel - 80 Planned

85 321 Schermerhorn 321 Schermerhorn Street Primary Residential 64 7,000 - Planned State Street Mews and Cathedral 311-319 State Street & 345-349 86 Townhomes State Street Primary Residential 45 - Planned

87 Avalon Bay Willoughby Willoughby Street Primary Residential 875 20,000 - Planned

87 2 Floors in 345 Adams 345 Adams Primary Residential 36 ------Planned

TOTAL 12,687 1,077,995 1,467,551 968,910 1,787 8,228 25.3 FIGURE 1

R K T T U A W S S T Y YT G T H N N S RA T T E M O E Y A ILR S A IO S G OA S V A IS I R R EE V D A D R AV V S E R IV A S E T E G C D Y M S H S C A T D Y P W W N E A D I E K L T V A R H N S O E T R D E T S R U U B V K P T T D A E R O S R F EE NT B EA P U G A KE A W I W V NT L K T B A L Secondary StuA dy Area G V E W E Q A R E L W S PLANNED DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS IN DBSTCS E M S R A T D V O T A S S S M I A F Y R A S H N G F C R M L W K N I G IN P A EN E A N N H I H L T H T T G R L S H S H A U N S A TT T D L L E O T T O I F R IS T A A N N Primary Study Area I A N D M A N B E M R A S V B A S R A V B T N A P U T P ST S O R U N H R A R ST T D G S E U A S V O E R A O O S S N L R S D T N I N F S E V O V E A O W L Planned Projects S E T R M M IT RK T B L R S A W A T L P Y A N D M R L A W A N D W S T H P O V S M I A L E R Y ST T A T L N R T LL H R R A I In ConstructioC n S E A A H K N SH ST E S A C E B AR ET M R T N T R M K R S S D A T F S T M B L S ST O T T LL U S S A HN B R T H JO R D R R M S N R G A E A A F S T M T H S N L R T A H P T E H I A W T T E C A U S L N U E T T G Study Corridors A D N K T L I B C T T A S LD 1 Q L H S E 4 E A N O AU N B IN

T E H R P A B S T H R T D N S S A T R T T V S I U R E T S E N O A K V K I R E S D R B I K I F M V A G S L S N M A S A R L L E L T N M R N S A U S H H E A P D T N Adam/Court/Jay/Cadman Plaza L A ST T U N R T N S SO D E D T H S O 2 Q F A J ST A T B N S V B B N R E R VA V Y D E A E F G ING R O O H S R DO US O D L C L K 5 S F N D T A T H Atlantic Avenue A S V M R A S V A T S E T S T T L N H A T L H T W S A OU S T M 5 T Y T 8 T L S ST B A P 4 T A W N N 45 3 U S S B AG V A T N R T T RR V E E 1 S A E U F Flatbush Avenue R A M 8 R B F D M V O L E D M R T Y R R A C R S C N N D IS 7 H A D D H O A T L S F N V A U I V R A A O O N T E P V S E T T D UG V T G S TA E W H A O M B A A A A R N R V N N A E T M R RI D R K S B N A N S E R S L GT E O O O R V R D FultoNn/Livingston K S S 79 T 1 5 N 8 Z S B Y A N T S T T T T A C E U N S V I V V A I L L A R P T C J 15 O T K V S D A FR 2 E R S L A O A R A O A O V N Y M A P K R C V N F ER H S O F D T S S T O A N E T R S T H R CH D T P UT A A E L D O G T UN C A M E S L F Y B CE A P V V 0 0.25 L P Y A P L R 3 A R H B I V L E S D I L 63 T S T M G C O T R N A N U N Y E N E M M W A B H S A Miles R V B N A B T V D Y E P B T S R 1 N R T R M S E E R E OO ER H A S A L BQ C K A T P T T O A D L A I S T V S K R YN I N K T 4 X N F N W R S D BR G O S N F D S Y D N O S L R N T A AN E R S E T O D S L P T D BR W O D F O N A L OK T I R S L D M S O T YN O S T ST T B T C T L R R C S E U T 48 K SP SA A D S M S P N S D T ST O A W V T A R N L A R O ST RK P D 69 T O N T 38 A B C Y P H S A L D N T S A K RO E B C V H K F F A E SB R SP M EN IN E S E R A O QE D T Q R A B G B L P P N T H T S ANDS S O T S E T B N G S Y Q R O B A R RK R A R S D A T HY BQE EN NB P V E TG A N T B N K B B E C M ST BQ D A R K Q S E A B B S D EN R A P R N M N V W AP S SA T A B Y OLD FULTON ST T S N E ST DS H R F CT N ST S R E SA B D O A P R R B OS P O N N O R A C Q L P R P K Y D P EN P ON S R P E H FU N R R E C T L LT E B A T N I O O R S E N TG N K B K L S B B R U T P H P TY ST T S A A DOUGH N L S O A P N C S S V A 80 R L O E E S N B B T Q T T Q T L IF C S B H B P E L S L T G A T C NE ST I R 13 R E VI H B T N S I S I T D D N D T R R R ST G N OPLA I CO C A P ST D E N B L O E V P U G C 59 S SA S S B Y S S E T 20 T O A D N 78 R N P H C U D J N E A L E L G R A F P V T Y F E Z N A V N I Q R E A S A E B N U T N C T L B T T C A U E O S E T D A V Y T GH S T 84 51 V A Y IDDA 29 Y A G Q M S Y B F IN C B T V H A X IN S A UG L E U T LE O L Q ST RT ILL EL 61 MY W AP CH L ST L P NBERRY RA T S W Y RA C D S T C E Y A A H R N E S H T A A A L V D D C IL Y H G T S W I M 83 T N C T A A G L N R T A N P D S C 39 O C S P R 'S N E B V L O I I V T Z R N S P A N A N Q GE S T RAN E I ST C K N T E T B O D A C N D O N S G O E E V E O S N E N E O E H S R R L T G R JO B A N U S V O T F G IL M L T M A O A B 12 T L D A I B W D V A LE ST U 18 E APP 3 S L E I PIN S H L H P T C L A H T T A L A S O 33 P V I S D CH E S M N W O A TE X T B IS K ST M R CLAR A D S I A S S D T H M S G T L E 24 T A P ARK ST D S N L CL U IR F T FA L D S F E N F P SO E T L N IE F T S H L Y D M B JO L A P H V D T G A O O L U B O S W S U L E N T IL T N C S W A R T H F G I O S C N O N A L L L G SO V E E E L N E E R S C H E X T T P O M S A J C G T L D S O T U V E M D M N JA A U T P A B M M N F A L E A E N P F R V S T I Z E H L P U I S A P R W L U L V A D G O N D D I E LA D 6 O X N LOV S S G 68 A T L O F S M 77 O T D N R P S T L B S S A F D W

S L T A R 70 V T S A ST T PONT T I 87 G T V RRE W D E PIE R E E S R G T E R L F E E F E L 19 F 62 U P N E N Y S R E C T H L E A A 81 I M E X P S V U T 87 R D S L P A GUE S S 46 T T ONTA L T S O N S N M O R TO S 23 FUL T N T S L T A 67 A V N M 7 D O 53 A PL N TS V EFFER T L

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