Hurricane Dean
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Resilience Potential: Assessing Jamaica's “Bounce-Back” from Hurricane Dean
Resilience Potential: Assessing Jamaica’s “Bounce-Back” from Hurricane Dean CaPRI is a Caribbean think tank that promotes evidence- based policymaking in the region. CaPRI espouses a methodology which is built on the values of multi- disciplinary work, team work and the utilization of the diaspora in our search for evidence. Committed to the region’s development, CaPRI has strong linkages with the academic community, the private sector and civil society. For information and feedback, please contact: Caribbean Policy Research Institute GUANGO TREE HOUSE, 29 MUNROE ROAD, KINGSTON 6 JAMAICA, W.I. TEL: (876) 970-3447 (876) 970-2910 FAX: (876) 970-4544 E-mail: [email protected] WEBSITE: http://www.takingresponsibility.org 2 Table of Contents Pages List of Figures, Tables and Boxes .............................................................4 Preface......................................................................................................5 Executive Summary .................................................................................6-7 Introduction: Resilience Potential ...........................................................8-9 1. Natural Disasters: The Global Context................................................10-13 2. Natural Disasters in the Caribbean .....................................................14-18 3. Changing Practices in Disaster Management…………………………19-20 4. Disaster Management in Jamaica .....................................................21 4.1 National Disaster Plan…………………………………………….21 -
San Juan, Puerto Rico 9/25/2007
NWS Form E-5 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA (HSA) (04-2006) NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION (PRES. BY NWS Instruction 10-924) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE San Juan, Puerto Rico REPORT FOR: MONTHLY REPORT OF HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS MONTH YEAR August 2007 SIGNATURE TO: Hydrologic Information Center, W/OS31 Althea Austin-Smith, NOAA’s National Weather Service Service Hydrologist 1325 East West Highway DATE Silver Spring, MD 20910-3283 9/25/2007 When no flooding occurs, include miscellaneous river conditions below the small box, such as significant rises, record low stages, ice conditions, snow cover, droughts, and hydrologic products issued (NWS Instruction 10-924). An X inside this box indicates that no flooding occurred within this hydrologic service area. Summary: The San Juan ASOS reported 3.44 inches of rain for the month of August …1.78 inches less than the normal of 5.22 inches. The ASOS rainfall report at Truman Field in St. Thomas reported 0.29 inches of rain for the month of August …3.21 inches less than the normal of 6.49 inches. For graphics of August rainfall for Puerto Rico: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/alr/monthly/pr_2007_aug.htm The big meteorological event in August was the passage of Hurricane Dean to the south of the Islands. Dean’s history is as follows: A strong tropical wave moved across the Tropical Atlantic from near the west coast of Africa eventually spawning a tropical cyclone that became Hurricane Dean. Dean was the classic mid August Cape Verde Storm that entered the eastern Caribbean and intensified into a major hurricane. -
Hurricane & Tropical Storm
5.8 HURRICANE & TROPICAL STORM SECTION 5.8 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 5.8.1 HAZARD DESCRIPTION A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (NOAA, 2013). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. The average wind speeds for tropical storms and hurricanes are listed below: . A tropical depression has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less . A tropical storm has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph . A hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 74 mph or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. A major hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 111 mph or higher (NOAA, 2013). Over a two-year period, the United States coastline is struck by an average of three hurricanes, one of which is classified as a major hurricane. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions may pose a threat to life and property. These storms bring heavy rain, storm surge and flooding (NOAA, 2013). The cooler waters off the coast of New Jersey can serve to diminish the energy of storms that have traveled up the eastern seaboard. -
Evaluation of Response to Hurricane Dean in Three Countries of The
Evaluation of the Response to Hurricane Dean in Jamaica, St. Lucia and Dominica Full Report Oxfam GB Programme Evaluation June 2008 Commissioned by: Oxfam GB LAC Evaluators: Vivien Margaret Walden Executive summary In 2007, Hurricane Dean (category 4 with sustained wind of 150 mph), made landfall in Jamaica on August 19th 2007 leaving a trail of damage along the Southern coast. According to initial reports, as many as 300,000 people were temporarily displaced by Dean. The communities most affected are located in the southern part of the island that was impacted by hurricanes Emily, Ivan, and Wilma in 2004 and 2005. On St. Lucia and Dominica, the hurricane made landfall on August 17th causing widespread damage to the agricultural sector. Most of the damage was caused by the hurricane and tropical storm winds but there were several areas where flooding occurred. The banana crop is the main agricultural activity in both islands and farmers are highly dependent on the benefit from this crop. The majority of them are certified and socially organized as banana Fair Trade farmers. Non-banana farmers were also affected as vegetable crops and animal pens were destroyed. This evaluation carried out after the six-month programmes have closed was to look at the following areas: • To review the project design and implementation • To identify and document innovative and good practices • To identify persistent weaknesses (particularly in internal systems) for organisational learning The evaluation was carried out by semi-structured interviews with key informants and focus groups in the three countries with a variety of stakeholders. -
Learning from Hurricane Hugo: Implications for Public Policy
LEARNING FROM HURRICANE HUGO: IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY prepared for the FEDERAL INSURANCE ADMINISTRATION FEDERAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY 500 C Street, S.W. Washington, D.C. 20472 under contract no. EMW-90-G-3304,A001 June 1992 CONTENTS INTRODUCTION ............................... 1.............I PHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE STORM . 3 Wind Speeds .3 IMPACTS ON NATURAL SYSTEMS 5 ................................ Biological Systems ....... .................................5 Dunes and Beaches ....... .5............................... Beach Nourishment . .................................7 IMPACTS ON HUMANS AND HUMAN SYSTEMS ............................ 9 Deaths and Injuries ............................ 9 Housing ............................ 9 Utilities ................... 10 Transportation Systems .1................... 10 The Economy ................... 11 Psychological Effects ................... 11 INSURANCE .......................... 13 COASTAL DEVELOPMENT .......................... 14 Setbacks ........................... 15 Coastal Protection Structures .......................... 16 PERFORMANCE OF STRUCTURES ..... .... 18 Effects of Wind and/or Water ...... .... 18 Effects of Water, Waves, or Erosion . .. .18 Effects of Wind .............. .... 19 Foundations .................. .... 21 Slabs ................ .... 22 Piers and Columns ....... .... 22 Pilings............... .... 22 Elevation .................. .... 23 Lower Area Enclosures .... .... 23 Connections ................. ....24 Manufactured Housing .......... .... 24 -
Flood Risk in Jamaica : Recent Damage and Loss Due to Tropical Cyclones in Jamaica
Flood Risk in Jamaica : Recent Damage and Loss due to tropical cyclones in Jamaica. Report prepared as part of the Climate Change and Inland Flooding in Jamaica: Risk and Adaptation Measures for Vulnerable Communities : Disaster Risk Management and Policies in Jamaica. David Smith1and Arpita Mandal2 Caribbean territories are highly vulnerable to the impacts of hazards, which may be natural, resulting from hydro-meteorological, seismic or geologic triggers or anthropological. Studies of damage and loss due to floods in the Caribbean are few and studies relating damage to intensity of the event are even fewer. For example, the EM-DAT database indicates that 119 floods occurred in the Caribbean since 1983. This resulted in 49833 deaths, 3,963,286 people affected and damage of 866,325,000 US dollars4. Of this figure, 3353 (67%) deaths occurred in a single event in Hispaniola in 2004. The figures for damage are missing for 99 of the 119 events. It has been suggested that disaster risk reduction requires good data not just on the impact of hazards, but also on the nature, magnitude and extent of hazards to be effective. In the Caribbean, assessments of damage and loss have been carried out by the governments of affected countries or by UN ECLAC. While these studies may indicate the severity of the event; few non-economic data are quantified, nor are data presented so that damage can be related quantitatively to the severity of events or compared quantitatively between events, though some qualitative analysis is possible. Notwithstanding this, economic damage and loss due to tropical cyclones in the Caribbean are significant proportion of GDP with some events causing damage and loss of more than 100% of GDP. -
Natural Disasters in Latin America and the Caribbean
NATURAL DISASTERS IN LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 2000 - 2019 1 Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) is the second most disaster-prone region in the world 152 million affected by 1,205 disasters (2000-2019)* Floods are the most common disaster in the region. Brazil ranks among the 15 548 On 12 occasions since 2000, floods in the region have caused more than FLOODS S1 in total damages. An average of 17 23 C 5 (2000-2019). The 2017 hurricane season is the thir ecord in terms of number of disasters and countries affected as well as the magnitude of damage. 330 In 2019, Hurricane Dorian became the str A on STORMS record to directly impact a landmass. 25 per cent of earthquakes magnitude 8.0 or higher hav S America Since 2000, there have been 20 -70 thquakes 75 in the region The 2010 Haiti earthquake ranks among the top 10 EARTHQUAKES earthquak ory. Drought is the disaster which affects the highest number of people in the region. Crop yield reductions of 50-75 per cent in central and eastern Guatemala, southern Honduras, eastern El Salvador and parts of Nicaragua. 74 In these countries (known as the Dry Corridor), 8 10 in the DROUGHTS communities most affected by drought resort to crisis coping mechanisms. 66 50 38 24 EXTREME VOLCANIC LANDSLIDES TEMPERATURE EVENTS WILDFIRES * All data on number of occurrences of natural disasters, people affected, injuries and total damages are from CRED ME-DAT, unless otherwise specified. 2 Cyclical Nature of Disasters Although many hazards are cyclical in nature, the hazards most likely to trigger a major humanitarian response in the region are sudden onset hazards such as earthquakes, hurricanes and flash floods. -
Introduction
Statistical analysis of cyclone activity for Guadeloupe Irina Nikolkina*,**, Narcisse Zahibo*, and Ira Didenkulova*** *Laboratory of Tropical and Atmospheric Physics, University of Antilles Guyane, Guadeloupe (F.W.I.), France **Department of Applied Mathematics, Nizhny Novgorod State Technical University, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia *** Institute of Cybernetics, Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, Estonia First International Caribbean Waves: Risk Evaluation of Natural Hazards in the Caribbean, Pointe-a-Pitre, Guadeloupe, 9 – 10 December 2008 Introduction The French West Indies located in the Lesser Antilles, North Atlantic have a huge experience of tropical cyclones. Cyclones produce some harm by terrific wind speed, abnormal precipitations and sea action. Historically, storm surge inundation has been the most destructive. Damage caused in Sainte-Anne (Guadeloupe) by hurricane Hugo, 1989 First International Caribbean Waves: Risk Evaluation of Natural Hazards in the Caribbean, Pointe-a-Pitre, Guadeloupe, 9 – 10 December 2008 Introduction Recently, (Zahibo et al., 2007) has studied the cyclone activity in Guadeloupe for 1635–2000, and evaluated the return period of cyclones: TC=⋅0.67 exp( 0.60 ⋅) where C is category, and T is measured in years. In average, the cyclone, which can be categorized, occurred almost each year. Cyclone with category more than 1 occurs Return period versus cyclone categories (Zahibo et al., 2007) each 2.3. The strongest cyclones with category more 2, 3 and 4 occur where C is category, and T is measured in years each 4, 7.6 and 13.4 years, respectively First International Caribbean Waves: Risk Evaluation of Natural Hazards in the Caribbean, Pointe-a-Pitre, Guadeloupe, 9 – 10 December 2008 Introduction The most disastrous hurricane occurred in Guadeloupe on September, 17, 1989. -
REPORT on 2007 HURRICANE SEASON to the ANNUAL DMS MEETING Kingstown, St
REPORT ON 2007 HURRICANE SEASON TO THE ANNUAL DMS MEETING Kingstown, St. Vincent – November 2007-11-28 Introduction Coming out of the phenomenally active Hurricane Season of 2005 and the anti-climax of unfulfilled forecasts for the ensuing 2006, the Jamaican public entered the 2007 Hurricane Season with some degree of trepidation. Based on prediction from the U.S> National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and other meteorological researchers, activity for the Hurricane Season was expected to be near 150% of normal, in terms of the number of tropical cyclones forecast to develop. Dean Twenty-three (23) Bulletins were issued by the Meteorological Service on Hurricane Dean as it traced a path through the Caribbean threatening life in Jamaica. Ironically, the first was issued on August 17, exactly 56 years since the island was devastated by Hurricane Charlie. Dean was then a Category 2 hurricane, about 1500 kilometres east- southeast of Jamaica, and its centre was being forecast to move over or very close to the islands in about 48 hours. At the time, the Service also ordered the evacuation of its cays and banks, the source of livelihood of hundreds of fisher folk. With Dean consistently gaining strength and maintaining its course towards the country, a Hurricane Watch was issued later that evening and was upgraded to a hurricane Warning before midday on August 18. At that time, the Meteorological Service advised small craft operators to remain in safe harbour, and residents were warned that the system had the potential to produce flash flooding, landslides, hurricane-force winds and storm surges. -
Hurricane Dean (AL042007) 13-23 August 2007
Tropical Cyclone Report Hurricane Dean (AL042007) 13-23 August 2007 James L. Franklin National Hurricane Center 31 January 2008 Revised 19 February 2008 (for damage statistics in Martinique and Guadeloupe and to add acknowledgments) Revised 7 April 2008 (corrected wind speeds in Table 1 between 16/1200 UTC and 17/0600 UTC) Dean was a classic Cape Verde cyclone that moved through the Caribbean as a major hurricane, passing very close to Jamaica and later making landfall on the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula as a category 5 hurricane. Dean, the first Atlantic hurricane since Andrew of 1992 to reach land at category 5 strength, was responsible for 32 deaths. a. Synoptic History Dean originated from a well-defined tropical wave that crossed the west coast of Africa on 11 August. The wave was associated with a closed surface low even before entering the Atlantic, but strong easterly shear kept the system’s convection displaced from an elongated circulation center for a couple of days. By about 0600 UTC 13 August, however, the circulation became better defined and sufficiently connected to the deep convection to consider the low a tropical depression about 350 n mi west-southwest of Praia in the Cape Verde Islands. The “best track” chart of the tropical cyclone’s path is given in Fig. 1, with the wind and pressure histories shown in Figs. 2 and 3, respectively. The best track positions and intensities are listed in Table 1. Embedded in a strong easterly current, the depression initially moved westward at about 20 kt. The environment was still characterized by easterly shear, and the depression took 30 h to reach storm strength; this occurred at 1200 UTC 14 August, when the system was centered about 1250 n mi east of Barbados. -
Orographic Precipitation in the Tropics: Experiments in Dominica
1698 JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES VOLUME 66 Orographic Precipitation in the Tropics: Experiments in Dominica R. B. SMITH AND P. SCHAFER Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut D. J. KIRSHBAUM University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom E. REGINA Me´te´o-France, Fort-de-France, Martinique (Manuscript received 8 August 2008, in final form 23 October 2008) ABSTRACT The ‘‘natural laboratory’’ of mountainous Dominica (158N) in the trade wind belt is used to study the physics of tropical orographic precipitation in its purest form, unforced by weather disturbances or by the diurnal cycle of solar heating. A cross-island line of rain gauges and 5-min radar scans from Guadeloupe reveal a large annual precipitation at high elevation (7 m yr21) and a large orographic enhancement factor (2 to 8) caused primarily by repetitive convective triggering over the windward slope. The triggering is caused by terrain- forced lifting of the conditionally unstable trade wind cloud layer. Ambient humidity fluctuations associated with open-ocean convection may play a key role. The convection transports moisture upward and causes frequent brief showers on the hilltops. The drying ratio of the full air column from precipitation is less than 1% whereas the surface air dries by about 17% from the east coast to the mountain top. On the lee side, a plunging trade wind inversion and reduced instability destroys convective clouds and creates an oceanic rain shadow. 1. Motivation nal cycle of solar heating. We have two objectives: (i) to examine the physics of orographic precipitation in the Orographic precipitation supplies mountain glaciers tropics and (ii) to identify a location with pure oro- and rivers and provides water for irrigation, hydropower, graphic precipitation with a dominance of mechanical and human consumption. -
Peakhurricaneseasonarrivesonn.C. Coast
PeakHurricane Season Arrives On N.C. The 1989 Coast hurricane season, which June 1 he and ends began storms," advised. "They destroy more property and ful hurricane exercise in June have us the tools of all Nov. 30, has entered its peak months of threaten the lives of more than given hurricane-related deaths are caused by drown¬ and people any other we need to protect our coastal residents and visitors," seas rise of August, September October, according to Joe storm." noted. ing. Devastating ahead the storms and can Myers, director of the N.C. Division of Myers push the water level to over 25 feet in some areas. Emergency Hurricanes can cause extensive in coastal The a flooding greatest single loss of life from hurricane in This enormous wall of water. Management. areas and inland areas as well. Even a hurri¬ called a "storm North . though Carolina history occurred during the "Racer's surge" crashes against die land in a and cane weakens in force as they move inland, the storm Storm" in Octobcr 1837. An estimated 90 rapid unpre¬ "Historically, the most severe hurricancs occur can six to 12 inches early people dictable manner. The surge acts as a huge bulldozer produce of damaging rains. In died when the steamboat "Home" encountered the can fruiti the iniuuic of August through the miuriic of i969, Hurricane Camiile killed and destroy everything in its path. The stronger said. He more people in storm of! the coast and was destroyed. the the the will October," Myers added that Hurricane Virginia from flooding than died in Louisiana where Hurricane Hazel hurricane, higher surge be.