Topic 3: Consumer Theory Rational Consumer Choice
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BIS Working Papers No 136 the Price Level, Relative Prices and Economic Stability: Aspects of the Interwar Debate by David Laidler* Monetary and Economic Department
BIS Working Papers No 136 The price level, relative prices and economic stability: aspects of the interwar debate by David Laidler* Monetary and Economic Department September 2003 * University of Western Ontario Abstract Recent financial instability has called into question the sufficiency of low inflation as a goal for monetary policy. This paper discusses interwar literature bearing on this question. It begins with theories of the cycle based on the quantity theory, and their policy prescription of price stability supported by lender of last resort activities in the event of crises, arguing that their neglect of fluctuations in investment was a weakness. Other approaches are then taken up, particularly Austrian theory, which stressed the banking system’s capacity to generate relative price distortions and forced saving. This theory was discredited by its association with nihilistic policy prescriptions during the Great Depression. Nevertheless, its core insights were worthwhile, and also played an important part in Robertson’s more eclectic account of the cycle. The latter, however, yielded activist policy prescriptions of a sort that were discredited in the postwar period. Whether these now need re-examination, or whether a low-inflation regime, in which the authorities stand ready to resort to vigorous monetary expansion in the aftermath of asset market problems, is adequate to maintain economic stability is still an open question. BIS Working Papers are written by members of the Monetary and Economic Department of the Bank for International Settlements, and from time to time by other economists, and are published by the Bank. The views expressed in them are those of their authors and not necessarily the views of the BIS. -
Monetary Policy, Relative Prices and Inflation Rate: an Evaluation Based on New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the U.S
Monetary policy, relative prices and inflation rate: an evaluation based on New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the U.S. economy Tito Belchior Silva Moreira* Department of economy, Catholic University of Brasilia, Brazil: [email protected] Mario Jorge C. Mendonça Department of economics, Institute for Applied Economic Research, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: [email protected] Adolfo Sachsida Department of economics, Institute for Applied Economic Research, Brasília, Brazil: [email protected] Paulo Roberto Amorim Loureiro Department of economics, University of Brasilia, Brasília, Brazil: [email protected] Abstract This paper investigates the direct impact of monetary policy on variation to the relative prices and, in turn, the direct effect of the change in relative prices on the inflation rate considering the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC). Thus, we analyze the indirect impact of the change of Federal Funds Rate on the inflation rate through the change in relative prices. We use GMM with instrumental variables to estimate several systems of two equations for the U.S. economy based on quarterly time-series from 1975 to 2015. The empirical results show that a change of the Funds Rate has a direct effect on change in relative prices and that, in turn, affects indirectly the inflation rate, through the change in relative prices. Hence, change in the relative prices affects directly the inflation rate via NKPC. In this context, variations of relative prices can be interpreted as a transmission channel of monetary policy. Furthermore, there are empirical evidences that the change of relative prices Granger-cause the inflation rate. Key words: Monetary policy, relative prices, inflation rate, NKPC, U.S. -
ECON501- Short Questions
Graduate Microeconomics Short Study Questions Areas: 1. Consumer Demand Theory 2. Theory of the firm and Production 3. Competitive Markets Lecturer: Glenn P. Jenkins Indicate whether the following statements are true, false or uncertain and briefly explain why. Your grade will depend on your explanation. 1. If two goods are gross substitutes then the absolute value of the uncompensated cross price elasticity of demand must always be less than the absolute value of compensated cross price elasticity between these two goods. 2. The shares of income that individuals spend on every good will always be changing as the person’s income grows, unless the person’s income elasticity of demand for each goods is equal to one. 3. A fall in the price of automobiles will decrease the consumer surplus of the workers in the factory that produces the automobiles. 4. The cross-price elasticity of demand for automobiles with respect to the price of gasoline is equal to the cross- price elasticity of demand for gasoline with respect to the price of automobiles. 5. The sum of the uncompensated own and cross price elasticities of demand for any one good must be equal to the negative of the income elasticity of demand for the good. 6. An inferior good will always be inferior throughout the full range of incomes experienced by consumers. 7. If the MRSxy < Px/Py then the consumer would maximize utility if she would consume less of good X. 8. A consumer’s utility function containing two goods X and Y yields a set of indifference curves that are straight lines. -
Journal of Econometrics Consumption and Labor Supply
Journal of Econometrics 147 (2008) 326–335 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Econometrics journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom Consumption and labor supply Dale W. Jorgenson a,∗, Daniel T. Slesnick b a Department of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, United States b Department of Economics, University of Texas, Austin, TX 78712, United States article info a b s t r a c t Article history: We present a new econometric model of aggregate demand and labor supply for the United States. Available online 16 September 2008 We also analyze the allocation full wealth among time periods for households distinguished by a variety of demographic characteristics. The model is estimated using micro-level data from the Consumer JEL classification: Expenditure Surveys supplemented with price information obtained from the Consumer Price Index. An C81 important feature of our approach is that aggregate demands and labor supply can be represented in D12 D91 closed form while accounting for the substantial heterogeneity in behavior that is found in household- level data. As a result, we are able to explain the patterns of aggregate demand and labor supply in the Keywords: data despite using a parametrically parsimonious specification. Consumption ' 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Leisure Labor Demand Supply Wages 1. Introduction employed, we impute the opportunity wages they face using the wages earned by employees. The objective of this paper is to present a new econometric Cross-sectional variation of prices and wages is considerable model of aggregate consumer behavior for the United States. The and provides an important source of information about patterns model allocates full wealth among time periods for households of consumption and labor supply. -
Demand Curve
Econ 201: Introduction to Economics Analysis September 4 Lecture: Supply and Demand Jeffrey Parker Reed College Daily dose of The Far Side Keeping with the vegetable theme from Wednesday… www.thefarside.com 2 Preview of this class session • Basic principles of market analysis using supply and demand curves are central to economics • Formal conditions for “perfectly competitive” markets are strict and rarely satisfied • We discuss what supply curves and demand curves are • We define market equilibrium and why we expect markets to move there • We consider effects of shifts in curves on equilibrium price and quantity 3 “Two-curve” analysis • Why is it useful? • Two key variables (price, quantity) • One curve slopes up and the other down • Some exogenous variables affect one curve, others the other • Few affect both • Change in any exogenous variable affects one curve in predictable way: • Intersection moves SE, NE, NW, or SE • Predictable changes in price and quantity exchanged https://www.econgraphs.org/graphs/micro/supply_and_demand/supply_and_demand?textbook=varian 4 Demand function • Relates quantity of good demanded to its relative price • Quantity demanded = amount buyers are willing and able to purchase • Relative price is price of good holding all other goods constant • Reflects decision-making by potential buyers • Demand function: QD = D (P ) • Negative relationship • Downward-sloping curve • Need not be straight line https://www.econgraphs.org/graphs/micro/supply_and_demand/supply_and_demand?textbook=varian 5 Demand curves 6 Demand -
The Soft Budget Constraint
Acta Oeconomica, Vol. 64 (S1) pp. 25–79 (2014) DOI: 10.1556/AOecon.64.2014.S1.2 THE SOFT BUDGET CONSTRAINT An Introductory Study to Volume IV of the Life’s Work Series* János KORNAI** The author’s ideas on the soft budget constraint (SBC) were first expressed in 1976. Much progress has been made in understanding the problem over the ensuing four decades. The study takes issue with those who confine the concept to the process of bailing out loss-making socialist firms. It shows how the syndrome can appear in various organizations and forms in many spheres of the economy and points to the various means available for financial rescue. Single bailouts do not as such gener- ate the SBC syndrome. It develops where the SBC becomes built into expectations. Special heed is paid to features generated by the syndrome in rescuer and rescuee organizations. The study reports on the spread of the syndrome in various periods of the socialist and the capitalist system, in various sectors. The author expresses his views on normative questions and on therapies against the harmful effects. He deals first with actual practice, then places the theory of the SBC in the sphere of ideas and models, showing how it relates to other theoretical trends, including institutional and behav- ioural economics and theories of moral hazard and inconsistency in time. He shows how far the in- tellectual apparatus of the SBC has spread in theoretical literature and where it has reached in the process of “canonization” by the economics profession. Finally, he reviews the main research tasks ahead. -
Theory of Public Goods
Public Goods Private versus Public Goods A private good (bread) exhibits the following two properties: exclusive: A good is exclusive if once you have purchased a good, then you can exclude others from consuming it. rival: A good is rival in consumption, in the sense that once someone buys a loaf of bread and consumes it, then that precludes you from consuming that same loaf of bread. • A rival good is depletable. A technical consequence of depletability is that consumption of additional amounts of rival goods involve some marginal costs of production. A public good (air quality) may exhibit the following two properties: nonexclusive: A good is nonexclusive if no one can be excluded from benefiting from or consuming the good once it is produced. An implication of nonexclusivity is that goods can be enjoyed without direct payment. nonrivalrous: One person's consumption of a good does not diminish the amount or quality available for others. • A nonrival good is nondepletable. A technical consequence of nondepletability is that the marginal cost of providing a nonrival good to an additional consumer is zero. • All public goods exhibit the nonexcludability property but they do not necessarily exhibit the nonrivalrous property. nonrival rival • water pollution in small body of private good excludable water, indoor air pollution pure public good/bad congestible public good/bad • users neither interfere with each • users affect good's usefulness to other nor increase good's others — mutual interference usefulness to each other of users creates negative nonexcludable (free–rider problem) externality (free–access • biodiversity, greenhouse gases problem) • noise, defence, radio signal • ocean fishery, parks • bridge, highway Aggregate Demand Curves for Private and Public Goods 1. -
CONSUMER CHOICE 1.1. Unit of Analysis and Preferences. The
CONSUMER CHOICE 1. THE CONSUMER CHOICE PROBLEM 1.1. Unit of analysis and preferences. The fundamental unit of analysis in economics is the economic agent. Typically this agent is an individual consumer or a firm. The agent might also be the manager of a public utility, the stockholders of a corporation, a government policymaker and so on. The underlying assumption in economic analysis is that all economic agents possess a preference ordering which allows them to rank alternative states of the world. The behavioral assumption in economics is that all agents make choices consistent with these underlying preferences. 1.2. Definition of a competitive agent. A buyer or seller (agent) is said to be competitive if the agent assumes or believes that the market price of a product is given and that the agent’s actions do not influence the market price or opportunities for exchange. 1.3. Commodities. Commodities are the objects of choice available to an individual in the economic sys- tem. Assume that these are the various products and services available for purchase in the market. Assume that the number of products is finite and equal to L ( =1, ..., L). A product vector is a list of the amounts of the various products: ⎡ ⎤ x1 ⎢ ⎥ ⎢x2 ⎥ x = ⎢ . ⎥ ⎣ . ⎦ xL The product bundle x can be viewed as a point in RL. 1.4. Consumption sets. The consumption set is a subset of the product space RL, denoted by XL ⊂ RL, whose elements are the consumption bundles that the individual can conceivably consume given the phys- L ical constraints imposed by the environment. -
CHOICE – a NEW STANDARD for COMPETITION LAW ANALYSIS? a Choice — a New Standard for Competition Law Analysis?
GO TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GO TO TABLE OF CONTENTS CHOICE – A NEW STANDARD FOR COMPETITION LAW ANALYSIS? a Choice — A New Standard for Competition Law Analysis? Editors Paul Nihoul Nicolas Charbit Elisa Ramundo Associate Editor Duy D. Pham © Concurrences Review, 2016 GO TO TABLE OF CONTENTS All rights reserved. No photocopying: copyright licenses do not apply. The information provided in this publication is general and may not apply in a specifc situation. Legal advice should always be sought before taking any legal action based on the information provided. The publisher accepts no responsibility for any acts or omissions contained herein. Enquiries concerning reproduction should be sent to the Institute of Competition Law, at the address below. Copyright © 2016 by Institute of Competition Law 60 Broad Street, Suite 3502, NY 10004 www.concurrences.com [email protected] Printed in the United States of America First Printing, 2016 Publisher’s Cataloging-in-Publication (Provided by Quality Books, Inc.) Choice—a new standard for competition law analysis? Editors, Paul Nihoul, Nicolas Charbit, Elisa Ramundo. pages cm LCCN 2016939447 ISBN 978-1-939007-51-3 ISBN 978-1-939007-54-4 ISBN 978-1-939007-55-1 1. Antitrust law. 2. Antitrust law—Europe. 3. Antitrust law—United States. 4. European Union. 5. Consumer behavior. 6. Consumers—Attitudes. 7. Consumption (Economics) I. Nihoul, Paul, editor. II. Charbit, Nicolas, editor. III. Ramundo, Elisa, editor. K3850.C485 2016 343.07’21 QBI16-600070 Cover and book design: Yves Buliard, www.yvesbuliard.fr Layout implementation: Darlene Swanson, www.van-garde.com GO TO TABLE OF CONTENTS ii CHOICE – A NEW STANDARD FOR COMPETITION LAW ANALYSIS? Editors’ Note PAUL NIHOUL NICOLAS CHARBIT ELISA RAMUNDO In this book, ten prominent authors offer eleven contributions that provide their varying perspectives on the subject of consumer choice: Paul Nihoul discusses how freedom of choice has emerged as a crucial concept in the application of EU competition law; Neil W. -
Substitution and Income Effect
Intermediate Microeconomic Theory: ECON 251:21 Substitution and Income Effect Alternative to Utility Maximization We have examined how individuals maximize their welfare by maximizing their utility. Diagrammatically, it is like moderating the individual’s indifference curve until it is just tangent to the budget constraint. The individual’s choice thus selected gives us a demand for the goods in terms of their price, and income. We call such a demand function a Marhsallian Demand function. In general mathematical form, letting x be the quantity of a good demanded, we write the Marshallian Demand as x M ≡ x M (p, y) . Thinking about the process, we can reverse the intuition about how individuals maximize their utility. Consider the following, what if we fix the utility value at the above level, but instead vary the budget constraint? Would we attain the same choices? Well, we should, the demand thus achieved is however in terms of prices and utility, and not income. We call such a demand function, a Hicksian Demand, x H ≡ x H (p,u). This method means that the individual’s problem is instead framed as minimizing expenditure subject to a particular level of utility. Let’s examine briefly how the problem is framed, min p1 x1 + p2 x2 subject to u(x1 ,x2 ) = u We refer to this problem as expenditure minimization. We will however not consider this, safe to note that this problem generates a parallel demand function which we refer to as Hicksian Demand, also commonly referred to as the Compensated Demand. Decomposition of Changes in Choices induced by Price Change Let’s us examine the decomposition of a change in consumer choice as a result of a price change, something we have talked about earlier. -
Lecture 4 " Theory of Choice and Individual Demand
Lecture 4 - Theory of Choice and Individual Demand David Autor 14.03 Fall 2004 Agenda 1. Utility maximization 2. Indirect Utility function 3. Application: Gift giving –Waldfogel paper 4. Expenditure function 5. Relationship between Expenditure function and Indirect utility function 6. Demand functions 7. Application: Food stamps –Whitmore paper 8. Income and substitution e¤ects 9. Normal and inferior goods 10. Compensated and uncompensated demand (Hicksian, Marshallian) 11. Application: Gi¤en goods –Jensen and Miller paper Roadmap: 1 Axioms of consumer preference Primal Dual Max U(x,y) Min pxx+ pyy s.t. pxx+ pyy < I s.t. U(x,y) > U Indirect Utility function Expenditure function E*= E(p , p , U) U*= V(px, py, I) x y Marshallian demand Hicksian demand X = d (p , p , I) = x x y X = hx(px, py, U) = (by Roy’s identity) (by Shepard’s lemma) ¶V / ¶p ¶ E - x - ¶V / ¶I Slutsky equation ¶p x 1 Theory of consumer choice 1.1 Utility maximization subject to budget constraint Ingredients: Utility function (preferences) Budget constraint Price vector Consumer’sproblem Maximize utility subjet to budget constraint Characteristics of solution: Budget exhaustion (non-satiation) For most solutions: psychic tradeo¤ = monetary payo¤ Psychic tradeo¤ is MRS Monetary tradeo¤ is the price ratio 2 From a visual point of view utility maximization corresponds to the following point: (Note that the slope of the budget set is equal to px ) py Graph 35 y IC3 IC2 IC1 B C A D x What’swrong with some of these points? We can see that A P B, A I D, C P A. -
Lecture Notes General Equilibrium Theory: Ss205
LECTURE NOTES GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM THEORY: SS205 FEDERICO ECHENIQUE CALTECH 1 2 Contents 0. Disclaimer 4 1. Preliminary definitions 5 1.1. Binary relations 5 1.2. Preferences in Euclidean space 5 2. Consumer Theory 6 2.1. Digression: upper hemi continuity 7 2.2. Properties of demand 7 3. Economies 8 3.1. Exchange economies 8 3.2. Economies with production 11 4. Welfare Theorems 13 4.1. First Welfare Theorem 13 4.2. Second Welfare Theorem 14 5. Scitovsky Contours and cost-benefit analysis 20 6. Excess demand functions 22 6.1. Notation 22 6.2. Aggregate excess demand in an exchange economy 22 6.3. Aggregate excess demand 25 7. Existence of competitive equilibria 26 7.1. The Negishi approach 28 8. Uniqueness 32 9. Representative Consumer 34 9.1. Samuelsonian Aggregation 37 9.2. Eisenberg's Theorem 39 10. Determinacy 39 GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM THEORY 3 10.1. Digression: Implicit Function Theorem 40 10.2. Regular and Critical Economies 41 10.3. Digression: Measure Zero Sets and Transversality 44 10.4. Genericity of regular economies 45 11. Observable Consequences of Competitive Equilibrium 46 11.1. Digression on Afriat's Theorem 46 11.2. Sonnenschein-Mantel-Debreu Theorem: Anything goes 47 11.3. Brown and Matzkin: Testable Restrictions On Competitve Equilibrium 48 12. The Core 49 12.1. Pareto Optimality, The Core and Walrasian Equiilbria 51 12.2. Debreu-Scarf Core Convergence Theorem 51 13. Partial equilibrium 58 13.1. Aggregate demand and welfare 60 13.2. Production 61 13.3. Public goods 62 13.4. Lindahl equilibrium 63 14.