BLACKBOURN ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILE 2021 This Division comprises Bardwell, Barningham, Ixworth and Stanton Wards
www.suffolkobservatory.info © Crown copyright and database rights 2021 Ordnance Survey 100023395
CONTENTS
▪ Demographic Profile: Age & Ethnicity ▪ Economy and Labour Market ▪ Schools & NEET ▪ Index of Multiple Deprivation ▪ Health ▪ Crime & Community Safety ▪ Additional Information ▪ Data Sources
3 ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILES: AN INTRODUCTION
These profiles have been produced to support elected members, constituents and other interested parties in understanding the demographic, economic, social and educational profile of their neighbourhoods. We have used the latest data available at the time of publication.
Much more data is available from national and local sources than is captured here, but it is hoped that the profile will be a useful starting point for discussion, where local knowledge and experience can be used to flesh out and illuminate the information presented here.
The profile can be used to help look at some fundamental questions e.g. • Does the age profile of the population match or differ from the national profile? • Is there evidence of the ageing profile of the county in all the wards in the Division or just some? • How diverse is the community in terms of ethnicity? • What is the impact of deprivation on families and residents? • Does there seem to be a link between deprivation and school performance? • What is the breakdown of employment sectors in the area? • Is it a relatively healthy area compared to the rest of the district or county? • What sort of crime is prevalent in the community?
A vast amount of additional data is available on the Suffolk Observatory
www.suffolkobservatory.info
The Suffolk Observatory is a free online resource that contains all Suffolk’s vital statistics; it is the one-stop-shop for information and intelligence about Suffolk. Through data, reports and maps, the Suffolk Observatory provides a comprehensive picture of the County. It is a great source for useful facts and figures that can be used for writing reports and presentations, informing strategic and business planning, preparing funding applications or supporting academic research. Data is presented around the key themes of population, children and young people, health and social care, housing, crime and community safety, deprivation, economy and employment and environment. All areas of the county are covered, right down to district, electoral division, ward and parish level, with information easily accessible in a variety of formats. You can also build your own reports for custom areas.
Technical Notes: 1. Where electoral divisions do not exactly match the boundaries at which the data is available (e.g. ward, Output Area or Lower Super Output Area), we have adopted a “best-fit” approach to produce a dataset. 2. District, county and national level data is provided where possible to provide a context for comparisons. Where possible we have used the most recent district boundaries for comparison purposes, but in some cases it has been necessary to use the pre-2019 districts.
4 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE - AGE In mid 2019, the population of Blackbourn stood at 10,399, an increase of 2.9% since the 2011 Census. The age structure of the component wards and the division as a whole is set out below.
Blackbourn Stanton Bardwell Barningham Ixworth Division All Ages 10,399 2,830 2,676 2,637 2,256 0-4 505 176 114 115 100 5-9 606 154 176 124 152 10-14 556 144 157 126 129 15-19 534 105 153 143 133 20-24 387 129 96 81 81 25-29 425 138 103 81 103 30-34 517 173 120 96 128 35-39 517 148 122 115 132 40-44 470 119 131 106 114 45-49 659 171 181 175 132 50-54 857 180 254 232 191 55-59 819 195 242 236 146 60-64 678 159 183 207 129 65-69 752 205 182 239 126 70-74 792 225 194 224 149 75-79 554 174 122 135 123 80-84 423 131 94 118 80 85-89 213 59 34 57 63 90+ 135 45 18 27 45
90+ 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
England - females England - males Blackbourn - females Blackbourn - males
▪ The age pyramid for Blackbourn shows a relatively elderly population with a higher-than- average proportion of people in each age band over 50.
5 ▪ The most common age group in Blackbourn is 50–54-year-olds, followed by 55–59-year- olds. ▪ There is a much lower than average proportion of younger adults, particularly 20–44-year- olds.
ETHNICITY 100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Blackbourn West Suffolk Suffolk England
▪ According to the latest data (2011 Census), 98.5% (9,959) of the population of Blackbourn are white, above the rate for Suffolk as a whole. ▪ 1.5% of the population are of minority ethnic origin in the division, much lower than the West Suffolk average. ▪ Blackbourn’s diversity profile suggests that there are lower proportions of minority ethnic groups living in the division than in West Suffolk and the county overall.
Total Asian and Black and Other All minority White White British Mixed Asian Black Ethnic people ethnic British British Group population
Count Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Blackbourn 10,107 9,959 98.5 9,721 96.2 80 0.8 37 0.4 16 0.2 15 0.1 148 1.5 West Suffolk 170,756 161,522 94.6 147,381 86.3 3,148 1.8 3,087 1.8 2,198 1.3 801 0.5 9,234 5.4 Suffolk 728,163 693,195 95.2 661,458 90.8 12,472 1.7 13,131 1.8 6,854 0.9 2,511 0.3 34,968 4.8 England 85.4 79.8 2.3 7.8 3.5 1.0 14.6
6 ECONOMY
There are 2,500 people employed in Blackbourn.
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Blackbourn West Suffolk Suffolk England
▪ The key employment sectors in Blackbourn are manufacturing, transport and storage, wholesale, retail and motor trades and business administration and support services. ▪ These four sectors account for 3 in every 5 jobs in the division according to these data, with manufacturing alone providing 20% of the jobs in Blackbourn. ▪ Transport and storage and manufacturing are particular specialisms in the division, as the proportion of these sectors in Blackbourn is much higher than the national average. ▪ There is also significant employment in the division in construction, education and health.
7 LABOUR MARKET
OUT-OF-WORK BENEFIT CLAIMANT RATE
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Jul-18 Jul-19 Jul-20
Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20 Oct-20
Jan-18 Jun-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Jan-20 Jun-20 Jan-21
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20
Feb-18 Feb-19 Feb-20
Nov-18 Dec-18 Nov-19 Dec-19 Nov-20 Dec-20
Aug-18 Sep-18 Aug-19 Sep-19 Aug-20 Sep-20
May-18 May-19 May-20
Blackbourn West Suffolk Suffolk England
▪ Blackbourn saw a sharp increase in claimants of out-of-work benefits in the first half of 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, much like the rest of the county and England as a whole. ▪ Claimant unemployment levels in the division are consistently below those of the district, county and England as a whole. ▪ In percentage terms, approximately 3.5% of the working age population of Blackbourn are claiming out-of-work benefits in January 2021.
8 SCHOOLS
SCHOOL INFORMATION
Schools in the Division
Average cohort size at:
Latest Latest Ofsted Ofsted
Status Date
Academy
Foundation
KS2 (age KS2 11) (age KS4 16) (age KS5 18) Name Phase (age Stage 5) Bardwell CofE Primary Requires Primary AC 10 8 0 0 04/10/2018 School improvement Barnham CEVCP School Primary LA 19 25 0 0 Good 11/07/2013 Barningham CEVCP Primary LA 12 14 0 0 Good 04/06/2019 School Honington CEVCP School Primary LA 29 19 0 0 Good 27/05/2011 Hopton CEVCP School Primary LA 13 13 0 0 Good 19/12/2018 Ixworth CofE Primary Primary AS 24 23 0 0 Inadequate* 10/02/2017 School Stanton Community Primary LA 27 24 0 0 Good 06/03/2019 Primary School Ixworth Free School Secondary F 0 0 37 0 Good 17/09/2019
Schools with catchments that overlap with the Division
Average cohort size at:
Latest Latest Ofsted Ofsted
Status Date
Academy
Foundation
KS2 (age KS2 11) (age KS4 16) (age KS5 18) Name Phase (age Stage 5) Thurston Community College Secondary LA 0 0 296 135 Good 23/03/2018
Academy Status key: AS = Academy Sponsored, AC = Academy Converter, LA = LA Maintained, F = Free *The latest full inspection judgement does not relate to the current school
9 SCHOOL ATTAINMENT
Foundation Stage Profile (reception) % pupils achieving Good Level of Development (GLD)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 2017 2018 2019
Bardwell CofE Primary School Barnham CEVCP School Barningham CEVCP School Honington CEVCP School Hopton CEVCP School Ixworth CofE Primary School Stanton Community Primary School Suffolk National
▪ In general, Foundation Stage attainment at schools in Blackbourn has been high over the last three years of available data. ▪ Pupil attainment at Barnham CEVCP, Barningham CEVCP and Stanton Community Primary schools has been consistently above the county and national average during this period. ▪ Attainment at Hopton CEVCP School has declined steadily during this period, but only dipped slightly below average in 2019. ▪ Ixworth Church of England Primary School saw below average attainment in each of the three years, though in 2017 and 2018 the gap to the county and national benchmarks was very small. ▪ Pupil attainment at Bardwell Church of England Primary School was also marginally below average in 2017 and 2018, but in 2019 the percentage of pupils achieving a Good Level of Development at the school was almost 78%, compared to the national average of 72%. ▪ Honington CEVCP School had the highest attainment of any school in the division during this period in 2018, but saw marginally below average attainment in 2017 and 2019.
10 Key Stage 2 (age 11) % pupils achieving the Expected Level or better in Reading, Writing and Mathematics
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 2017 2018 2019
Bardwell CofE Primary School Barnham CEVCP School Barningham CEVCP School Honington CEVCP School Hopton CEVCP School Ixworth CofE Primary School Stanton Community Primary School Suffolk National
▪ Key Stage 2 attainment at schools in Blackbourn has been variable during the last three year of available data, but often below average and has declined during this period. ▪ Bardwell Church of England Primary and Honington CEVCP are the only two schools in the division where attainment has been consistently below average. Attainment at Honington was very close to the national benchmark in the most recent two years. ▪ Pupil attainment at Ixworth Church of England Primary School has declined steadily during this period. In 2017, more than 80% of pupils at the school achieved the expected level or better in reading, writing and mathematics, but the figure had declined to 43% in 2019. ▪ Barningham CEVCP School has also seen gradually declining KS2 attainment, with the most recent set of results putting the school 15 percentage points below the national benchmark. ▪ No school has recorded attainment consistently above the national average, but Hopton CEVCP School has performed above the county average in each of the last three years. ▪ Pupil attainment at Stanton Community Primary School was above the national benchmark in 2017 and 2018, but dipped slightly below the county level in 2019. ▪ Attainment at Barnham CEVCP School has been just below the county average throughout this period.
11 Key Stage 4 (GCSE) (age 16) % pupils achieving level 4-9 in English and Mathematics
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0% 2017 2018 2019
Ixworth Free School Suffolk National
▪ Key Stage 4 attainment at Ixworth Free School has declined over the period from 2017 to 2019. ▪ In 2017, 71% of pupils at the school achieved level 4-9 in English and mathematics, seven percentage points above the national average. ▪ Pupil attainment at the school remained just above average in 2018, but in 2019 attainment at the school dipped to 12 percentage points below the national benchmark.
12 NEET % (NOT IN EDUCATION, EMPLOYMENT OR TRAINING)
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Blackbourn West Suffolk Suffolk
▪ In January 2021, 3.3% of 16–18-year-olds in Blackbourn were classified as NEET (where current activity is known). ▪ Since mid-2017, NEET levels in Blackbourn have been consistently lower than the rate for West Suffolk and Suffolk.
13 INDEX OF MULTIPLE DEPRIVATION (IMD) 2019 (SEE MAP OVERLEAF)
The IMD combines a number of indicators, chosen to cover a range of economic, social and housing issues, into a single deprivation score for each small area in England. This allows each area to be ranked relative to one another according to their level of deprivation. Small areas (Lower Super Output Areas, average population 1,700) are most commonly described as being in 1 of 5 quintile bands. The bottom quintile represents the 20% of areas that are the most deprived in England; these are shaded pale yellow on the map. The top quintile represents the least deprived areas in England and is shaded dark blue. The Index is widely used to analyse patterns of deprivation, identify areas that would benefit from special initiatives or programmes and as a tool to determine eligibility for specific funding streams.
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5% % of population of % population by deprivation quintile residence of 0% Most deprived 20% Next most deprived Mid 20% Next least deprived Least deprived 20% 20% 20%
Blackbourn West Suffolk England
▪ The IMD 2019 shows that relative deprivation levels in Blackbourn are moderate to low, with no part of the division ranked among the most deprived 40% of areas in England. ▪ Of the seven Lower Super Output Areas in Blackbourn, three fall into the middle quintile (home to 39% of the population of the division as shown in the chart above), three are ranked in the next least deprived quintile (48% of the population of Blackbourn live in these areas) and the remaining LSOA is ranked among the least deprived 20% of areas in England.
14 15 HEALTH
The local data used here is based on relatively small numbers. The confidence limits provide an indication of the reliability of the data. The 95% confidence intervals utilised on the chart provide a range within which there is 95% chance of the true result lying.
LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH 90 88 86 84 82 80 78 76 74 Blackbourn West Suffolk Suffolk England
Life expectancy at birth for males Life expectancy at birth for females
▪ Estimated life expectancy at birth for both males and females in Blackbourn is above the West Suffolk, Suffolk and England averages. ▪ The estimated figure for male life expectancy in the division is 82 years (80.9 across Suffolk), while for females it is almost 3 years longer, at 84.9 years (84.3 is the Suffolk average).
DEATHS, UNDER 75 YEARS, STANDARDISED MORTALITY RATIO 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Deaths from all causes, Deaths from all cancers, Deaths from circulatory Deaths from causes under 75 years under 75 years disease, under 75 years considered preventable (all ages)
Blackbourn St Edmundsbury Suffolk England
▪ Estimated deaths from all causes for those aged under 75 are lower in Blackbourn than in St Edmundsbury, Suffolk and England. ▪ This is also the case for deaths in under 75s from cancer. ▪ The standardised mortality ratio data shown here means that for every 100 early deaths from all causes across England as a whole, there are an estimated 78 comparable deaths in Blackbourn. ▪ It should be noted that the confidence intervals around these data are particularly wide due to the small number of deaths at the local level. 16 CRIME & COMMUNITY SAFETY
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0 Blackbourn West Suffolk Suffolk England
Burglary Criminal damage and arson Drugs Public order Shoplifting Other theft Vehicle crime Violence and sexual offences Other
▪ The crime rate in Blackbourn is considerably lower than that for West Suffolk district and around half of the rate for England as a whole. ▪ In the year to the end of January 2021, there were just over 37 recorded crimes per 1,000 residents in Blackbourn compared to 67 in West Suffolk and 66 across the county as a whole. ▪ The most commonly recorded type of crime in Blackbourn is violence and sexual offences, which accounted for half of all crimes recorded in the division during this period. ▪ All types of crime are recorded at a lower rate in Blackbourn than in West Suffolk, Suffolk or England.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Parishes in Division Bardwell Hopton Barnham Ixworth Barningham Ixworth Thorpe Coney Weston Knettishall Euston Market Weston Fakenham Magna Sapiston Hepworth Stanton Honington (part) Thelnetham 17 DATA SOURCES
Category Indicator Source
ONS 2019 mid-year population Quinary population table 2019 estimates
Demographic ONS 2019 mid-year population Population pyramid 2019 Profile estimates
Ethnicity 2011 ONS 2011 Census
ONS Business Register and Economy Employment by broad industrial sector 2019 Employment Survey via NOMIS Claimant count: The number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance plus those who claim Labour market DWP via NOMIS Universal Credit who are out of work (% 16-64 population) January 2018- February 2021 School information and attainment 2017-2019 Suffolk County Council Education % 16-18-year-olds NEET (Not in Employment, Suffolk County Council via the Education or Training) 2017-2021 Suffolk Observatory Ministry for Housing, Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation 2019 Communities and Local Government Health Life expectancy at birth 2013-2017 Public Health England Standardised mortality ratio for deaths from all causes, cancer and circulatory disease, (aged under 75), and death from causes considered Health preventable (all ages), 2013-2017. The Public Health England standardised mortality ratio is the ratio of observed deaths in the study group to expected deaths in the general population. Community Recorded crime rate per 1,000 resident Data.police.uk via the Suffolk Safety population February 2020 to January 2021 Observatory
For more data and information about Blackbourn Electoral Division, see the Suffolk Observatory www.suffolkobservatory.info
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