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November 2018 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

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November 2018 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #181417 -- page 1 November 2018 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 450 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: November 1-3, 2018 24 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 48 Male 52 Female Study #181417 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.10% The margin of error for 774 interviews among Likely Voters is ±3.53% Likely Voters defined as: Age 30+ Voted in either 2016 or 2012 AND Voted in either 2014 or 2010 OR Voted in 2016 or 2012 AND 10 Vote Interest Age 18-29 Voted in either 2016 or 2012 AND Voted in either 2014 or 2010 OR 10 Vote Interest If Not Interviewed From Voter File Age 30+: Self-reported vote history in 2016 & 2014 Age 18-29: 10 Vote Interest Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) + 18-24 .................................................................... 9 25-29 .................................................................... 8 30-34 .................................................................... 10 35-39 .................................................................... 5 40-44 .................................................................... 11 45-49 .................................................................... 7 50-54 .................................................................... 8 55-59 .................................................................... 12 60-64 .................................................................... 13 65-69 .................................................................... 6 70-74 .................................................................... 4 75 and over .......................................................... 7 Not sure/refused................................................. - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #181417 -- page 2 November 2018 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 10 No, not Hispanic ............................................... 89 Not sure/refused ............................................. 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? + White............................................................... 78 Black ............................................................... 12 Asian ............................................................... 1 Other ............................................................... 3 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 5 Not sure/refused ........................................... 1 White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 74 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q3 Registered Voter. + Yes ...................................................100 No ..................................................... - Not sure .......................................... - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #181417 -- page 3 November 2018 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q4 Now, all in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High Low 10/10- 10/17- 11/18+ 6/18+ 4/18 12/17 4/17 2/17 1/17 12/16 13/16+ 9/01 20/08+ Headed in the right direction ..... 38 36 31 29 34 40 37 33 29 72 12 Off on the wrong track ............... 54 55 62 63 59 51 52 54 65 11 78 Mixed (VOL) ............................ 4 5 5 4 3 3 5 6 5 11 7 Not sure ................................... 4 4 2 4 4 6 6 7 1 6 3 10/25- 9/16+ 8/16+ 7/16+ 6/16+ 4/16+ 1/16+ 12/15 29/15 6/15 4/15 30 32 18 21 24 29 20 27 31 28 62 62 73 71 70 63 70 64 61 62 5 3 6 5 4 5 6 5 4 6 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 4 4 4 10/30- 10/25- 1/15 12/14 11/1/14+ 6/14 4/14 1/14 12/13 28/13 6/13 4/13 31 27 27 25 27 28 29 22 32 31 59 64 63 63 63 63 64 70 59 61 5 6 6 7 6 5 5 4 6 5 5 3 4 5 4 4 2 4 3 3 1/13 12/12 10/12+ 6/12 4/12 1/12 12/11 10/11 6/11 4/11 35 41 41 31 33 30 22 17 29 28 57 53 53 61 59 61 69 74 62 63 4 3 4 5 6 5 6 5 6 6 4 3 2 3 2 4 3 4 3 3 10/28- 1/10- 1/11 12/10 30/10+ 6/10 3/10 14/10 12/09 10/09 6/09 4/09 35 28 31 29 33 34 33 36 42 43 56 63 60 62 59 54 55 52 46 43 5 6 5 5 5 10 10 9 9 10 4 3 4 4 3 2 2 3 3 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #181417 -- page 4 November 2018 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q5 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Likely Voters ++ 11/18++ 10/18++ Total approve ............................... 46 45 Strongly approve ......................... 35 32 Somewhat approve .................... 11 13 Total disapprove ......................... 52 52 Somewhat disapprove ............... 5 6 Strongly disapprove .................... 47 46 Not sure .................................... 2 3 ++ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters. Registered Voters + 8/22- 8/18- 11/18+ 10/18+ 9/18+ 25/18+ 22/18+ 7/18+ 6/18+ 4/18 Strongly approve ............................32 30 29 31 30 29 26 22 Somewhat approve .......................14 17 15 13 16 16 18 17 Somewhat disapprove .................7 6 7 9 7 8 11 13 Strongly disapprove .......................45 43 45 43 44 44 42 44 Not sure ................................ 2 4 4 4 3 3 2 4 3/18 1/18 12/17 10/17 9/17 8/17 6/17 25 26 24 22 25 24 25 18 13 17 16 18 16 15 10 6 8 9 10 10 10 43 51 48 49 42 45 45 4 4 3 4 5 5 5 8/22- 8/18- 11/18+ 10/18+ 9/18+ 25/18+ 22/18+ 7/18+ 6/18+ 4/18 3/18 Total Approve .................... 46 47 44 44 46 45 44 39 43 Total Disapprove ............... 52 49 52 52 51 52 53 57 53 Not sure ........................... 2 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 1/18 12/17 10/17 9/17 8/17 6/17 5/17 4/17 2/17 39 41 38 43 40 40 39 40 44 57 56 58 52 55 55 54 54 48 4 3 4 5 5 5 7 6 8 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #181417 -- page 5 November 2018 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q6 Now I'm going to read you the names of some public figures and groups and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know one, please just say so. Don't Know Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Name/ Positive Positive Neutral Negative Negative Not Sure Donald Trump November 2018+ ................................... 29 12 6 7 45 1 October 2018+ ...................................... 27 15 7 8 43 - September 2018+ ................................ 26 13 9 8 44 - August 18-22, 2018+ ............................. 29 11 9 8 42 1 July 2018+ ............................................. 28 12 9 9 43 - June 2018+ ........................................... 24 16 9 10 41 - April 2018 .............................................. 21 14 12 10 43 - March 2018 ........................................... 23 14 11 12 40 - January 2018......................................... 24 12 8 8 48 - December 2017 ..................................... 21 16 9 9 45 - October 2017......................................... 23 13 10 8 46 - September 2017 .................................... 23 16 12 10 39 - August 2017 .......................................... 22 14 12 12 40 - June 2017 ............................................. 25 13 11 9 41 1 May 2017 .............................................. 21 17 9 10 42 1 April 2017 ................................................ 23 16 11 10 40 - February 2017 ......................................... 27 16 10 12 35 - January 2017........................................... 20 18 13 10 38 1 December 2016 ....................................... 20 20 13 11 35 1 October 10-13, 2016+ ............................. 15 14 8 10 52 1 October 8-10, 2016+ ............................... 17 13 7 12 51 - September 2016+ ................................ 15 13 11 12 49 - August 2016+ .......................................... 13 15 11 11 50 - July 2016+ ............................................... 10 17 13 11 49 - June 2016+ ............................................. 12 17 11 12 48 - May 2016+ .............................................. 13 16 12 14 44 1 April 2016+ .............................................. 11 13 10 12 53 1 March 2016+ ........................................... 12 13 11 10 54 - February 2016+ ....................................... 11 17 12 10 49 1 January 2016+ ........................................ 14 15 12 11 47 1 December 2015 ....................................... 12 15 13 12 47 1 October 25-29, 2015 ..............................
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