How the Survey Was Conducted Nature of the Sample

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist Poll of 1,147 Pennsylvania Adults This survey of 1,147 adults was conducted August 31st through September 7th, 2020 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Survey questions were available in English or Spanish. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state from Dynata. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as individual devices. After validation of age, personal ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase coverage, this mobile sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone numbers. Within each landline household, a single respondent is selected through a random selection process to increase the representativeness of traditionally under-covered survey populations. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2017 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. Results are statistically significant within ±3.6 percentage points. There are 1,039 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.8 percentage points. There are 771 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the November 2020 election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.4 percentage points. Tables include results for subgroups to only display crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations. Nature of the Sample PA Adults PA Registered Voters PA Likely Voters Column % Column % Column % PA Adults 100% PA Registered Voters 91% 100% PA Likely Voters 67% 74% 100% Party Registration Democrat n/a 48% 48% Republican n/a 39% 40% Independent n/a 13% 12% Other n/a 1% 1% Party Identification Democrat n/a 38% 38% Republican n/a 35% 36% Independent n/a 26% 24% Other n/a 1% 1% Party Identification Strong Democrats n/a 27% 28% Soft Democrats n/a 22% 21% Just Independents n/a 7% 6% Soft Republicans n/a 15% 14% Strong Republicans n/a 27% 29% Other n/a 1% 1% Party ID and Gender Democrat men n/a 14% 14% Democrat women n/a 24% 25% Republican men n/a 19% 19% Republican women n/a 16% 17% Independent men n/a 15% 13% Independent women n/a 11% 11% Other party men and women n/a 1% 1% Gender Men 48% 48% 47% Women 52% 52% 53% Age Under 45 41% 39% 35% 45 or older 59% 61% 65% Age 65 or older 27% 28% 29% Age 18 to 29 18% 17% 14% 30 to 44 22% 21% 21% 45 to 59 27% 28% 29% 60 or older 32% 33% 35% Generation Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 32% 30% 27% Gen X (40-55) 28% 28% 29% Baby Boomers (56-74) 26% 27% 28% Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 15% 15% 16% Race/Ethnicity White 78% 79% 80% Black 10% 11% 11% Latino 5% 5% 4% Other 6% 5% 5% Region Philadelphia 12% 12% 12% Philadelphia Suburbs 20% 21% 22% Northeast 18% 19% 17% Central 23% 22% 22% West 27% 27% 28% Household Income Less than $50,000 45% 44% 41% $50,000 or more 55% 56% 59% Education Not college graduate 62% 59% 57% College graduate 38% 41% 43% Education by Race White - Not College Graduate 47% 45% 44% White - College Graduate 32% 34% 36% Non-White - Not College Graduate 15% 15% 14% Non-White - College Graduate 6% 6% 6% Education - Race - Gender Men - White - Not College Graduate 23% 22% 20% Men - White - College Graduate 14% 15% 16% Men - Non-White - Not College Graduate 8% 8% 7% Men - Non-White - College Graduate 3% 3% 3% Women - White - Not College Graduate 24% 23% 24% Women - White - College Graduate 17% 19% 20% Women - Non-White - Not College Graduate 8% 7% 7% Women - Non-White - College Graduate 3% 3% 3% Area Description Big city 16% 16% 16% Small city 12% 12% 11% Suburban 30% 32% 33% Small town 23% 22% 22% Rural 19% 18% 19% Area Description - Gender Small city/Suburban Men 21% 21% 21% Other area Men 27% 26% 25% Small city/Suburban Women 21% 22% 22% Other area Women 31% 30% 31% Catholics White Catholics 22% 22% 24% Catholics White Practicing Catholics 12% 12% 13% White Non-Practicing Catholics 10% 10% 11% Religiosity Practice a Religion 43% 44% 45% Does not Practice a Religion 57% 56% 55% White Evangelical Christians 20% 19% 20% Interview Type Landline 47% 47% 49% Cell Phone 53% 53% 51% NBC News/Marist Poll Pennsylvania Adults. Interviews conducted August 31st through September 7th, 2020, n=1147 MOE +/- 3.6 percentage points. Pennsylvania Registered Voters: n=1039 MOE +/- 3.8 percentage points. Pennsylvania Likely Voters: n=771 MOE +/- 4.4 percentage points.Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. TRUDP105. NBC News/Marist Poll Pennsylvania Tables August 31st through September 7th, 2020 PA Likely Voters Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Approve Disapprove Vol: Unsure Row % Row % Row % PA Likely Voters 45% 52% 3% Candidate Support Joe Biden and Kamala Harris 2% 95% 2% Donald Trump and Mike Pence 97% 2% 1% Party Identification^ Democrat 7% 90% 2% Republican 90% 9% 1% Independent 38% 57% 5% Party Identification^ Strong Democrats 4% 94% 2% Soft Democrats 10% 86% 4% Soft Republicans 75% 24% 1% Strong Republicans 96% 3% 1% Party ID and Gender^ Democrat men 9% 89% 2% Democrat women 7% 91% 2% Republican men 91% 9% 0% Republican women 89% 8% 3% Independent men 46% 49% 5% Independent women 29% 66% 5% Region Philadelphia 21% 78% 1% Philadelphia Suburbs 33% 64% 2% Northeast 54% 42% 4% Central 49% 49% 2% West 56% 40% 4% Race/Ethnicity White 49% 48% 3% Non-white 24% 76% 0% Household Income Less than $50,000 42% 54% 4% $50,000 or more 43% 55% 2% Education Not college graduate 53% 44% 3% College graduate 34% 63% 3% Race and Education White - Not College Graduate 60% 37% 4% White - College Graduate 36% 61% 3% Gender - Race - Education Men - White - Not College 68% 28% 4% Graduate Men - White - College 40% 59% 2% Graduate Women - White - Not College 52% 44% 4% Graduate Women - White - College 33% 63% 4% Graduate Age Under 45 35% 63% 3% 45 or older 50% 47% 3% Age 65 or older 48% 48% 3% Generation Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 31% 65% 4% Gen X (40-55) 49% 49% 1% Baby Boomers (56-74) 51% 46% 3% Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 46% 49% 5% Gender Men 53% 44% 2% Women 38% 59% 3% Catholics White Catholics 52% 43% 4% Catholics White Practicing Catholics 68% 28% 4% White Non-Practicing 34% 61% 6% Catholics Religiosity Practice a Religion 58% 40% 2% Does not Practice a Religion 34% 63% 3% White Evangelical Christians 77% 19% 4% Area Description Big city 26% 73% 1% Small city 42% 52% 6% Suburban 38% 59% 4% Small town 54% 44% 2% Rural 62% 35% 2% Small city/Suburban Men 49% 48% 3% Small city/Suburban Women 29% 66% 5% NBC News/Marist Poll Pennsylvania Likely Voters. Interviews conducted August 31st through September 7th, 2020, n=771 MOE +/- 4.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. 1 TRUDP105R. NBC News/Marist Poll Pennsylvania Tables August 31st through September 7th, 2020 PA Likely Voters Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? [And, would you say you strongly approve/disapprove of the job he is doing or just approve/disapprove?] Strongly Strongly approve Approve Disapprove disapprove Unsure Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % PA Likely Voters 35% 10% 7% 45% 3% Candidate Support Joe Biden and Kamala Harris 1% 2% 11% 84% 2% Donald Trump and Mike Pence 78% 19% 2% 0% 1% Party Identification^ Democrat 4% 4% 9% 81% 2% Republican 76% 14% 4% 5% 1% Independent 22% 16% 10% 46% 5% Party Identification^ Strong Democrats 3% 2% 7% 87% 2% Soft Democrats 4% 6% 15% 71% 4% Soft Republicans 48% 27% 10% 14% 1% Strong Republicans 86% 10% 1% 2% 1% Party ID and Gender^ Democrat men 4% 5% 10% 79% 2% Democrat women 4% 3% 9% 82% 2% Republican men 76% 15% 3% 6% 0% Republican women 77% 12% 4% 4% 3% Independent men 25% 21% 11% 38% 5% Independent women 20% 9% 10% 56% 5% Region Philadelphia 10% 11% 11% 67% 1% Philadelphia Suburbs 26% 7% 10% 54% 2% Northeast 44% 10% 9% 34% 4% Central 39% 10% 5% 44% 2% West 43% 13% 4% 36% 4% Race/Ethnicity White 39% 10% 5% 42% 3% Non-white 13% 11% 16% 59% 0% Household Income Less than $50,000 33% 9% 10% 44% 4% $50,000 or more 32% 11% 7% 48% 2% Education Not college graduate 41% 11% 8% 36% 3% College graduate 25% 9% 6% 57% 3% Race and Education White - Not College Graduate 49% 10% 5% 31% 4% White - College Graduate 26% 10% 5% 56% 3% Gender - Race - Education Men - White - Not College 56% 12% 5% 23% 4% Graduate Men - White - College 28% 11% 5% 54% 2% Graduate Women - White - Not College 44% 9% 5% 39% 4% Graduate Women - White - College 25% 8% 5% 58% 4% Graduate Age Under 45 23% 12% 11% 52% 3% 45 or older 41% 9% 5% 41% 3% Age 65 or older 41% 7% 4% 44% 3% Generation Gen Z/Millennials (18-39) 16% 15% 12% 53% 4% Gen X (40-55) 40% 9% 7% 42% 1% Baby Boomers (56-74) 41% 10% 4% 43% 3% Silent-Greatest (Over 74) 39% 8% 6% 43% 5% Gender Men 40% 14% 7% 37% 2% Women 30% 8% 7% 52% 3% Catholics White Catholics 42% 10% 4% 39% 4% Catholics White Practicing Catholics 58% 10% 4% 24% 4% White Non-Practicing 24% 10% 5% 56% 6% Catholics Religiosity Practice a Religion 47% 11% 8% 32% 2% Does not Practice a Religion 24% 10% 7% 55% 3% White Evangelical Christians 68% 9% 4% 16% 4% Area Description Big city 18% 8% 6% 66% 1% Small city 22% 20% 8% 44% 6% Suburban 32% 6% 8% 50% 4% Small town 44% 11% 8% 36% 2% Rural 51% 11% 5% 31% 2% Small city/Suburban Men 37% 12% 8% 40% 3% Small city/Suburban Women 23% 6% 8% 57% 5% NBC News/Marist Poll Pennsylvania Likely Voters.

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