Asset and Liability Management in banks Results of 2019 Deloitte Survey Agenda

Introduction and context 3

Executive summary 5

Regulatory background 7

Results of Deloitte Survey 10

Survey participants estimation and measurement • Division of responsibilities concerning planning • Approaches applied in relation to • Approaches applied in relation to • ALM model validation • xVA models and adjustments

The role of ALM units in banks

Other related Deloitte publications 33

How can we help you? 35

Contact 37

© 2019 Deloitte Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 2 Introduction and context

© 2019 Deloitte Polska Asset and Liability Management in banks 3 Introduction About the survey

There were

In 2019 Deloitte asked Central and Eastern European 33 banks to participate in a survey regarding ALM solutions applied. institutions participating in the survey. The survey consisted of open and closed 53 questions aimed survey participants at evaluation of current ALM practices adopted on the A large number of Polish market. The questions focused on the following areas: banks participated due to The survey included banks high involvement of from Central and Eastern Polish Deloitte team. European countries 01 Risk estimation and measurement:

Division of responsibilities concerning planning The number of participants totalled 33 leading banks Approaches applied in relation to interest rate risk varying in terms of size and business models Approaches applied in relation to liquidity risk Definition of current ALM model validation ALM practices

xVA models and adjustments

02 The role of ALM units in banks The survey consisted of 53 questions regarding ALM practices

© 2019 Deloitte4 Polska AssetAssetand and Liability liabilityManagement management in in banksu banks 4 Executive summary

© 2019 Deloitte Polska Asset and Liability Management in banks 5 Executive summary

Material regulatory changes introduced in recent years, along with Bearing in mind the changes in the regulatory environment, The role of the ALM function in banks growing in importance ones projected for near future, shall substantially affect the Deloitte surveyed the existing market practices regarding asset under the new regulations is another interesting observation derived management of assets and liabilities in banks. Key challenges and liability management in banks, as well as the role of ALM from the survey. Based on the comparison to former Deloitte facing the banking sector in this respect include: units. The purpose of the survey was to indicate leading practices surveys and individual meetings with bank representatives in the and to attempt to compare solutions applied by various CEE course of the survey, we have noticed the growing role of the institutions. finance function, related to the responsibility for ALM. Quite • INTEREST RATE RISK IN THE BANKING BOOK frequently, the finance function is in charge of both setting strategic The results of the survey indicate that banks are still facing (IRRBB): new guidance of the European Banking Authority, directions for balance sheet remodelling, analytical/operational certain compliance challenges related to IRRBB management introduced in 2018 and effective as of support and of planning. From the long-term financial planning requirements as presented by EBA in July 2018. The 1 July 2019. perspective, situating ALM in finance allows recognising business implementation status as presented in the report results from three development and aligning the growth and structure of equity and • BENCHMARK REQUIREMENTS regard the manner of factors: the substantial changes caused by the new regulations; the liabilities with the planned growth of business operations. Out of 33 quoting benchmarks and calculating the reference interest rate approach to the supervised banks in relation to IRRBB survey participants, in 21 the ALM function was located in indexes (LIBOR/EURIBOR, etc.) by banks. management, adopted by local regulators; the survey date falling finance or reported to CFO. soon after the effective date of the new regulations.

The above changes posed substantial challenges for banks and required more effort from units in charge of ALM and management.

© 2019 Deloitte6 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 6 Regulatory background

© 2019 Deloitte Polska Asset and Liability Management in banks 7 Regulatory background EBA IRRBB 2018

BCBS IRRBB, EBA/GL/2015/08, 05/2015 BCBS IRRBB, EBA/GL/2018/02, 07/2018 G Recommendation, 2Q Implementation of 07/2004 04/2016 2019 requirements: 06-12/2019

Requirements regarding interest risk rate management Competent bodies should make sure and internal risk measurement framework. that financial institutions use the guidelines as of Solutions to be implemented by 30 June 2019 In July 2018 institutions to identify, assess and measure and have them reflected in EBA published updated the interest rate risk resulting from the ICAAP 2019 cycle. guidelines on the non-trading book activities. management of interest rate risk arising from non-trading book activities. General expectations for the identification and management of credit spread risk in the non-trading book (CSRBB). The guidelines specify among others: The scope of IRRBB is extended by the credit spread risk, non- performing and off-balance sheet exposures.

Apart from parallel +/- 200 bps shocks, banks have to calculate the effects of six additional, initially defined scenarios that reflect non-parallel .

© 2019 Deloitte8 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 8 Regulatory background EBA IRRBB for financial institutions as per SREP

CATEGORY 1 CATEGORY 2 CATEGORY 3 CATEGORY 4

Conditional cash flow modelling Conditional cash flow modelling Unconditional cash flow modelling Unconditional cash flow modelling

Dynamic balance sheet assumed Dynamic balance sheet assumed Static balance sheet assumed Static balance sheet assumed with simple projections

Appropriate timeframes Appropriate timeframes Timeframes recommended by BIS Timeframes recommended by BIS

Measuring net interest income under Measuring net interest income under Measuring net interest income under Measuring net interest income under standard standard standard shock standard shock and stress shocks, considering client and stress shocks, considering margin behaviour projections

Economic value measure Economic value measure Economic value measure Economic value measure based on a set of scenarios and using based on a set of scenarios, using using recommended shocks using recommended shocks option valuation and historical/Monte option valuation Carlo simulations

Daily update

© 2019 Deloitte9 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 9 Results of Deloitte Survey

© 2019 Deloitte Polska Asset and Liability Management in banks 10 Introduction Survey participants

In which country is the bank located? How big are the bank’s total assets and what is the The total number of 33 CEE banks of various sizes and using different business models participated in the bank’s SREP category? survey, including 15 Polish banks. The participants included both banks operating in the EU member states (CEE EU) and outside the EU. Therefore, in order to ensure comparability of information, for 11 out of the 33 participants, the 20 declared SREP category was not considered. This applies to banks operating in Albania, Bosnia- Herzegovina, Macedonia and Serbia.

Poland |15 15 Depending on classification to an EU SREP category, banks undergo a variety of requirements, but the approach adopted by national oversight bodies with

Czech Republic |1 #BANKS regard to this classification may vary by country. Most of the surveyed banks in Poland are classified as Slovakia | 10 2 1 SREP. We assume this is the result of the prudent Hungary |3 approach adopted by the Polish regulator. Bosnia and Herzegovina |4 5 Serbia |5 Macedonia |1 Bulgaria |1 Albania |1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 EU SREP CATEGORY The size of the field reflects the sum of assets in the ranges: EUR 0-1 bn, EUR 1-5 bn, EUR 5-20 bn, EUR 20-45 bn, above EUR 45 bn

© 2019 Deloitte11 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 11 Introduction Survey participants

TOP EU Non TOP EU Top universal banks from Other universal banks from EU member states with the EU member states with the total assets above EUR 20 total assets below EUR 20 billion billion 7 banks were included in this 8 banks were included in this category category

0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 EU SREP CATEGORY EU SREP CATEGORY

Spec EU Non EU Specialised banks (mortgage, Banks operating outside the cooperative, mono-product) EU (in non-member states) from EU member states 11 banks were included in 7 banks were included in this this category category

0 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 EU SREP CATEGORY NO EU SREP CATEGORY

© 2019 Deloitte12 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 12 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Division of responsibilities concerning planning

What is the source of data for the Chief External Finance Risk ALM Business Units Other For the purposes of balance sheet development scenarios, most purpose of balance sheet forecasts? economist data banks use data prepared by their business units (in particular new sales value and planned margins in all bank groups, Market scenarios – or advance payments and client options interest rate risk 3 7 8 11 0 4 in non-EU banks). In all groups of banks risk is the key factor modelling risk Market scenarios – related costs. Planning advance payments and client options liquidity risk 8 7 10 5 0 3 are next factors considered. Finance units usually plan non-interest income and expense. Balance sheet development Further, they plan the new sales value and margins. scenarios – volumes / new production 11 1 18 0 3 ALM units participate in the development of market scenarios regarding liquidity and interest rate. This role may be Balance sheet development performed by other units, such as risk or finance (for liquidity), scenarios – margins / spreads 11 1 2 17 0 2 or chief economist (for interest rate).

Balance sheet development scenarios – prepayments / early terminations 7 14 11 0 1

Balance sheet development scenarios – client options 7 14 1 11 0

Balance sheet development scenarios – defaults & recovery non-interest costs 7 21 1 3 0 1

Balance sheet development scenarios – non-interest revenues & costs 25 7 0 1

Other include: internal workshops with Finance, ALM, risk department / parent company / ALM and Finance Not applicable for the question © 2019 Deloitte13 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 13 Risk estimation and measurement Division of planning tasks and scenario analyses

Does the Bank include in the IRRBB measurement methodology and scenarios other than Checking whether banks used methods and scenarios other than those defined by the regulator for IRRBB required by the regulator for: management purposes, Deloitte learned that 21 banks used additional methods and scenarios for at least two of the discussed processes. Number of respondents 7 8 7 11 33 All TOP EU banks adopted such an approach. The group of banks used at least two additional stress test scenarios.

stress tests 7 4 4 6 21

Six banks used additional scenarios for all discussed NII measurement for non-supervisory scenarios 5 6 3 2 16 processes.

EVE measurement for non-supervisory scenarios 3 4 4 2 13 Eight banks did not confirm the use of any additional scenarios or approaches than those defined by the regulator for IRRBB management purposes.

balance sheet structure planning 4 2 1 4 11

CEE UE – Biggest universal banks Other universal banks UE – Specialised banks Banks operating in non- member states (Non (TOP EU) (Non TOP EU) (Spec EU) EU) © 2019 Deloitte14 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 14 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Leaders Challengers Pack Approaches applied in relation to interest rate risk

First, best practices were identified in all analysed areas. Unfortunately, no conclusions could be drawn on this basis due to differences in implementation LEADERS CHALLENGERS PACK progress regarding each requirement. In general, the implementation level of IRRBB management measures was lower than that observed in other analysed Does the bank use Economic value of The Leaders include The Challengers include The Pack includes banks areas, e.g. with regard to liquidity, mostly because the requirements have been equity (EVE) and Net interest income banks that met all four banks that met at least that met less than three introduced recently and not all financial institutions completed their (NII) simulation to measure interest rate implementation at the survey close date. conditions. three out of the four conditions. risk? conditions. Key criteria underlying the definition of best market practices and IRRBB management trends include: Is the approach to interest rate risk modelling based on multi – curve • Application of EVE and NII framework? • IRR modelling approach • Balance sheet assumptions Does the bank include dymamic balance sheet in the IRRBB measures? • Cash flow modelling approach In light of the above criteria, the survey participants were divided into three groups: Does the bank follow partially or fully conditional cash flow modelling • LEADERS: banks that applied all or most of the listed practices approach? • CHALLENGERS: banks that applied selected measures and tools considered as best practices DESCRIPTION Three TOP EU banks The Challengers include The other banks are a • PACK: the other banks, not included in the former classes. were considered Leaders. 12 banks: varied group with two TOP EU banks included. We are aware that not all financial institutions are required to apply all practices • Two TOP EU banks, listed above (the requirements depend on the SREP category assigned), but they • Five Non TOP EU illustrate the maturity of tools used to measure the interest rate risk. banks, • Three Spec EU banks, • Two Non EU banks.

© 2019 Deloitte15 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 15 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Leaders Challengers Pack Approaches applied in relation to interest rate risk

What assumptions related to the balance sheet are included in the IRRBB measures? In line with EBA/GL/2018/02 guidance, dynamic balance sheet is a balance sheet incorporating future business expectations, adjusted for the relevant scenario in a consistent manner.

Number of respondents 3 12 18 33 Constant balance sheet is a balance sheet with the constant value and structure of both on- and off-balance sheet items.

Static balance sheet 3 8 14 25 Survey results indicate that 14 out of 33 banks applied dynamic balance sheet assumptions to estimate IRRBB.

Dynamic balance sheet 3 9 2 14 Pursuant to EBA/GL/2018/02 conditional cash flow modelling is cash flow modelling under the assumption that the timing and amount of cash flows is dependent on the specific interest rate Commercial margin consistent with interest rate scenario 2 4 4 10 scenario. As determined in the guidelines, unconditional cash flow Business flows dependent on interest rate environments 2 3 2 7 modelling is cash flow modelling under the assumption that the timing and amount of cash flows is independent of the specific interest rate scenario. A majority of banks (19 of 33) participating Which cash flow modelling approach does the Bank follow? in the survey used the conditional cash flow Number of respondents 3 12 18 33 modelling.

Unconditional 3 11 14

Partially or fully conditional 3 9 7 19

© 2019 Deloitte16 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 16 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Leaders Challengers Pack Approaches applied in relation to interest rate risk

Which measures are used to measure interest rate risk: Is the approach to interest rate risk Most surveyed banks used both measures modelling based on: indicated in the EBA 2018/02 guidelines, i.e. NII and EVE. Number of respondents 3 12 18 33 Number of respondents 3 12 18 33 EVE is still less popular, though. Along with these two measures, banks continued using more Net interest income (NII) simulation 3 10 14 27 Multi-curve framework 3 9 8 20 traditional ones to measure IRRBB, such as BPV, VaR or gap modelling. Economic value of equity (EVE) 3 9 13 simulation 25 Single-curve framework 3 10 13 As far as the IRR modelling approach is concerned, not all financial institutions have switched to the multi-curve BPV 2 7 9 18 framework. The method is more complex and not supported by some IT systems used for IRR modelling.

VaR 2 8 7 17

Modelled interest rate gap in static terms 3 6 5 14

Contractual interest rate gap in static 2 5 7 terms 14

Modelled interest rate gap in dynamic 2 4 1 terms 7

Contractual interest rate gap in dynamic 1 2 2 terms 5

Other include: client behaviour risk, convexity risk, EVE+NII, EaR/EVE

© 2019 Deloitte17 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 17 Risk estimation and measurement Approaches applied in relation to interest rate risk

What portfolios / products are covered by the What elements are included in the risk assessment of What elements are included in the risk ALM models: loan portfolios? assessment of Non-Maturity Deposits?

Regulatory non- Administered- Non-Maturity linearities (0% Commissions for Retail and Mortgage rate products Division into a core / Dependence of the Deposits Credit cards Other Prepayments floor, max- Client options early Pipeline Other Replicating portfolios Other corporate loans portfolios (not tied directly non-core part volume on interest (NMDs) interest cap, repayments to market rates) etc.)

LEADERS 3 2 2 3 2 1 3 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 0

CHALLENGERS 7 7 4 5 3 1 11 10 5 6 4 2 6 7 5 1

PACK 12 10 11 8 6 3 14 8 5 5 4 0 11 2 2 2

Other include: term deposits, equity Other include: utilization of credit lines

Most banks use modelling for portfolios of: Most retail banks consider the following when evaluating loan The survey results indicate that the practice adopted strongly • deposits without determined maturity dates portfolios: depends on financial institution’s maturity regarding IRRBB • mortgage loans • advance payments measurement: • retail and corporate loans • non-linear limitations (cap and floor). • the most mature ones frequently use replication portfolios, • most banks classify deposits as stable and unstable.

© 2019 Deloitte18 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 18 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Leaders Challengers Pack Approaches applied in relation to interest rate risk

What methodology does the Bank apply for What methodology does the Bank apply for Methods of determination of capital under ICAAP: calculation of earnings measures? calculation of EVE measures?

Number of respondents 3 12 18 33 Number of respondents 3 12 18 33 Number of respondents 3 12 18 33

Duration analysis – modified NII scenario analysis 3 10 13 26 2 2 9 13 duration / PV01 of equity Stress tests 2 3 10 15

Net interest income (NII) Gap analysis – static 3 4 8 16 Value-at-Risk 2 3 6 11 3 4 6 13 simulation

Economic value of equity (EVE) Dynamic gap analysis 2 3 2 6 Dynamic CaR/EVE 2 4 3 9 3 3 5 11 simulation

Earnings at Risk 0 2 4 7 Effective duration of equity 1 3 2 6 Scenario analysis 3 1 4 8

Duration analysis - partial 1 2 1 4 modified durations and partial… VaR 0 3 4 7

Other 0 4 0 4

Checking methodologies used by banks to estimate the effect of interest rate The most popular EVE for IRR estimating methods include duration / PV01 Stress-testing is the most popular method to estimate IRRBB-related internal changes on performance, Deloitte learned that vast majority (26 out of 33 analysis of equity and . capital, followed by simulation of net interest income and economic value of CEE banks and 14 out of 15 Polish banks) applied the scenario analysis of equity (or the two applied jointly). Banks classified as 1 SREP used the broadest range of methods (at least one net interest income. additional supplementing the first two). The largest banks do not restrict the number of applied methodologies to just one and use several at the same time. Certain institutions failed to fully implement EVE based measures as at the survey close date. This is particularly true for smaller entities or those classified to lower SREP categories.

© 2019 Deloitte19 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 19 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Leaders Challengers Pack Approaches applied in relation to liquidity risk

Measures used to evaluate liquidity risk, LEADERS CHALLENGERS PACK along with factors included in risk What measures are used to estimate liquidity risk: measures and models, are considered the key criteria allowing identification of best Number of respondents 8 12 13 market practices and liquidity risk Supervisory measures - International (LCR, NSFR) 8 12 10 management trends. Supervisory measures - Local 8 11 6 Contractual gap 7 10 8 Expected CF and risk measures in stress tests 8 10 4 In light of the above criteria, the survey Behavioural gap 8 12 2 participants were divided into three groups: Expected CF and risk measures in a scenario approach 8 1 4 Liquidity-at-Risk 1 0 4 LEADERS: banks that use the broadest range of liquidity risk measurement methods What factors are taken into account by liquidity risk measures and models CHALLENGERS: banks that applied Number of respondents 8 12 13 selected measures and tools considered as Expected maturity dates 8 11 11 market standards or best practices Contractual maturity dates 8 12 9 Product type 8 11 10 PACK: the other banks, not included in the Client type 8 11 9 former classes. Currency 8 9 9 Operationality, relationship 7 6 2 Coverage by guarantee scheme 7 5 2 Price in relation to similar products 5 3 2 Exclusive access via Internet 4 4 1 Other 0 1 0

DESCRIPTION Leaders include eight banks, out The Challengers include 12 banks: The other banks are a varied group of smaller entities of which five classified as 1 • Two TOP EU banks, (assets up to EUR 20 billion), Non TOP EU, SREP and TOP EU. The other specialised and Non EU banks. Some of them are • Two Non TOP EU banks, include one Non TOP EU bank, classified as 1 or 2 SREP. one Spec EU bank and one Non • Three Spec EU banks, EU bank. • Five Non EU banks.

© 2019 Deloitte20 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 20 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Leaders Challengers Pack Approaches applied in relation to liquidity risk

What measures are used to estimate liquidity risk: Vast majority of the surveyed countries use liquidity indicators based on LCR / NFSR methodology. If Number of respondents 8 12 13 33 international measures are not applied, banks use local supervisory measures. Supervisory measures - International (LCR, NSFR) 8 12 10 30 Out of the 30 banks that analyse liquidity gap, 17 apply Supervisory measures - Local 8 11 6 25 both contractual gap and behavioural gap. Contractual gap 7 10 8 25 25 banks use stress tests and/or scenarios, with 10 using both solutions. Expected CF and risk measures in stress tests 8 10 4 22 Most of the surveyed banks use both contractual and Behavioural gap 8 12 2 22 projected cash flows for liquidity risk management Expected CF and risk measures in a scenario approach 8 1 4 13 purposes. Further, they include product type, client type Liquidity-at-Risk 1 0 4 and currency. 5 16 banks include at least six of these factors in their What factors are taken into account by liquidity risk measures and models: liquidity risk models, considering five key characteristics (except for one bank). Number of respondents 8 12 13 33 Expected maturity dates 8 11 11 30 Contractual maturity dates 8 12 9 29 Product type 8 11 10 29 Client type 8 11 9 28 Currency 8 9 9 26 Operationality, relationship 7 6 2 15

Coverage by guarantee scheme 7 5 2 14

Price in relation to similar products 5 3 2 10

Exclusive access via Internet 4 4 1 9

Other 0 1 0 1

© 2019 Deloitte21 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 21 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Leaders Challengers Pack Approaches applied in relation to liquidity risk

What stress test scenarios are used: Most banks use expert scenarios Number of respondents 8 12 13 33 Basic methods 14 in stress-testing of liquidity risk. Some supplement them with historical Expert scenarios 7 10 10 27 Specific solutions 2 scenarios. Historical scenarios 6 5 8 19 Only expert scenarios 11 Only three entities (from Hungary, Czech Republic and Serbia) use the Monte Carlo simulations 0 0 3 3 Only historical scenarios 5 Monte Carlo simulation. In most cases, for stress-testing Other 0 1 0 1 Not indicated 1 purposes, banks do not assume changes in interest rates. Banks Other: Parametric sceanarios on model parameters *Basic methods mean: historical and expert scenarios; two banks implemending considered as Leaders follow the rule as basic methods also use Monte Carlo simulations well. Do the stress test scenarios include evolution of the interest rate term Banks that assume that the term structure for next years: structure of interest rates will evolve in subsequent years are mostly major local market players, out of which three are classified as TOP EU. Number of respondents 8 12 13 33

Yes 2 2 6 27

No 6 10 7 6

© 2019 Deloitte22 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 22 Risk estimation and measurement Approaches applied in relation to liquidity risk

What portfolios / products are modelled for the What modifications are applied to contractual cash flows: What elements are included in purpose of estimating liquidity risk: the risk assessment of Non- Maturity Deposits?

Non-maturity Retail and Undrawn Securities’ Division into a Mortgage Contingent Breaking Replicating Dependence of the Replicating deposits corporate credit Credit cards market Collateral Other Prepayments Collateral Credit events Pipeline Other core / non-core Other portfolios liabilities deposits portfolios volume on interest portfolios (NMDs) loans facilities liquidity part

LEADERS 8 5 6 4 3 6 4 0 8 4 5 3 5 3 3 0 6 4 2 0

CHALLENGERS 8 9 7 8 8 4 6 2 8 6 5 2 3 3 3 2 6 1 2 3

PACK 7 7 6 7 6 4 4 0 9 5 4 6 2 4 1 0 6 4 5 1

Other include: term deposits Other include: stickiness of term deposits Other include: type, stickiness of deposits, historical analysis of balances for NMD, historical scenarios, shocks

Most frequently, the modelling for liquidity risk estimation All Leaders use advance payments to modify contractual cash flows. Most banks use the core / non-core division purposes includes such products as deposits of unspecified for the purposes of liquidity assessment Five of the eight Leader banks used at least four of the above factors to maturity, unused credit facilities, securities and loan types regarding deposits of unspecified maturity. modify contractual cash flows. (mortgage, retail and corporate loans) offered by a given bank. Only two banks used all elements to evaluate Six of the eight Leader banks modelled at least four of the above the risk of such deposits. product groups.

© 2019 Deloitte23 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 23 Risk estimation and measurement CEE Leaders Challengers Pack Approaches applied in relation to liquidity risk

Does the Bank apply intraday liquidity risk models?

Number of respondents 8 12 13 33 Entities most advanced in terms of liquidity risk management: • apply mid-day liquidity risk management models and Yes 5 6 3 14 • include collateral of counterparty risk in the liquidity risk model.

No 3 6 10 19 Most banks, though, do not apply these solutions. This includes the ones classified as Leaders in our survey. These methods are used by the largest market players. Five banks that use the mid-day liquidity models are TOP EU ones. Three Does the Bank apply liquidity risk models related to hedging TOP EU banks use both components. counterparty credit exposures (collateral)?

Number of respondents 8 12 13 33

Yes 2 1 3 8

No 6 11 10 27

© 2019 Deloitte24 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 24 Risk estimation and measurement CEE ALM model validation

Which - interest rate and liquidity - risk Is the estimation of risk measures subject models are subject to validation: to validation? EBA Guidelines (EBA/GL/2018/02) have introduced model validation requirements. Financial institutions Economic value of equity (EVE) should make sure that the validation of IRRBB measurement and the assessment of the corresponding Yes 15 model risk are included in the formal IRRBB process, Non-maturity deposit volume models 19 which should be reviewed and approved by a management body or its representatives. Models of the volume of deposits of unspecified Non-maturity deposit rates models 11 No 18 maturity most frequently undergo validation. The chart on the left side presents the most frequently validated Mortgage prepayment models 11 model. At the same time, two of the 33 surveyed banks Methodology for constructing interest rate indicated that they did not validate their models. curves 11 Net interest income (NII) Credit cards models 11 Most banks validate net interest income (NII) models, Yes 19 but less than half validate economic value of equity (EVE). Pipeline models 4 This is particularly true for smaller entities with the No balance sheet total below EUR 5 billion. Methodology for creating interest rate 14 scenarios 3

Mortgage rates models 2

Other 5

Other include: any NIIaR, EVE, ICAAP models, deposit’s volume stability

© 2019 Deloitte25 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 25 Risk estimation and measurement CEE xVA models and adjustments

Did the Bank implement the Where is located a unit responsible for What xVA measures are xVA methodology? the xVa management? used? Fifteen of the 33 survey participants did not implement the xVA methodology. Yes 18 Risk 11 CVA 18

Treasury 5 No 15 DVA 14 15 33

Usually, survey participants from such ALM 2 countries as Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Serbia and Bosnia-Herzegovina implemented KVA 2 xVA methodologies. Finance 2 Vast majority (86%) of banks that failed to implement xVA methodology are smaller MVA 1 entities with the balance sheet total below Other 2 EUR 5 billion.

No xVa 11 methodology Other / no xVa 11

*Basic methods oznaczają: scenariusze historyczne oraz Other include: Middle Office, Group Other include: AVA, BVA, FVA scenariusze eksperckie; w pozycji znajdują się 2 banki wykorzystują metodę Monte Carlo

© 2019 Deloitte26 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 26 The role of ALM units in banks Situation of ALM unit in the organisational structure

Where ALM function is located in the TOP UE AND NON Recently the role of finance functions in the ALM area organisation structure and what are ALM SPEC UE NON UE TOTAL*** TOP UE reporting lines**: has grown. On the one hand, the location of an ALM unit in the bank’s structure closely Finance 8 5 13 depends on the type of entity, on the other hand determining its reporting CFO 8 4 12 scheme. In most of EU universal banks, the ALM unit is located in the Finance Treasury 1 1 Function or reports to CFO. Polish TOP EU banks adopt other specific CEO 1 1 solutions, including: • a separate ALM unit reporting directly to the Management Board CRO 1 1 • the ALM role being distributed among several departments (Risk, Treasury Treasury* / Financial 4 7 5 16 and Finance) with the central role assigned to ALCO, which reports directly markets division to the Management Board CFO 3 4 2 9 • division into strategic ALM, being the responsibility of the Finance Function Treasury 2 2 2 6 and operational ALM, being the responsibility of business units (the reporting lines include CFO and Treasury). CRO 1 1 2 The adopted reporting solutions vary for banks whose ALM units are situated in the Treasury Department. CEO 1 2 3 In the Spec EU group ALM is a part of the Treasury Department, usually CMO 1 1 provided with a detailed CFO reporting path. Other 3 1 4 In the Non EU group, no unified solution has been adopted in terms of ALM unit location, while reporting schemes are similar to those adopted by EU banks. Total no. banks 15 7 11 33

* The term “Treasury” is vague as it may refer to units operating on its own portfolio (e.g. trading), ones directly cooperating with clients and ALM units managing the banking book portfolios. ** Two banks: one non-universal (Treasury) and the other Non EU (Finance) did not indicate any of the above reporting lines. *** The numbers show how many times each answer was selected.

© 2019 Deloitte27 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 27 The role of ALM units in banks ALM objectives

INDEPENDENCE SUFFICIENT - 21 LIMITED - 2 NOT INDICATED - 7

In eight banks the ALM role is limited to In one bank a Chinese wall has been In two banks, where ALM is located in

11 analytics, despite five of them having implemented to separate the contributor role Treasury, no principles of separating the Most banks separate the - situated the ALM unit in Treasury. These from transactions, with the role of ALM contributor role from transaction concluding contributor role banks separate the contributor role from being limited to analytics and the unit itself have been specified, but there ALM transaction concluding. In the remaining being located in the Finance Function. performs analytical role only. from transaction three banks, ALM units are located in the concluding if ALM works

Analytical Finance Function. also as a profit centre.

In seven banks ALM is both in charge of Four banks have not indicated separation analytics and works as a profit centre, but of contributor and transaction concluding

these banks separate the contributor role roles (ALM being a profit centre). In these 11

- from transaction concluding. In four banks, banks, ALM is located in Treasury (one ALM units are located in Treasury; in two, bank) or in the Finance Function (three

Both within the Finance Function and one adopted banks).

GOALS* another solution.

In six banks ALM works only as a profit In one bank a Chinese wall has been In one bank the contributor role is not centre, but these banks separate the implemented to separate the contributor role separated from transaction concluding, with

8 contributor role from transaction concluding. from transactions, with the role of ALM the ALM unit located in Treasury and - In four banks ALM is located in the Finance being limited to a profit centre and the unit working solely as a profit centre. Function, in the other two - in Treasury. itself being separate and reporting to the

Profit Management Board.

* Three banks did not indicate an ALM function and therefore were excluded from the above analysis. CEE UE – Biggest universal banks Other universal banks UE – Specialised banks Banks operating in non- member states (Non (TOP EU) (Non TOP EU) (Spec EU) EU) © 2019 Deloitte28 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 28 The role of ALM units in banks CEE Ensuring separation of the ALM unit

How does the Bank guarantee the independence of the contributor's function from concluding transactions? The following solutions adopted by the banks in order to ensure the independence of the contributor role from transaction concluding are Assigning a separate department for the contributor function (e.g. ALM unit considered sufficient: separated from Treasury Department) 17 • separating the contributor role in the form of a separate organisational Use of „Chinese walls” 11 unit (the most frequent solution) • separating the location of the contributor role Algorithmic contribution 4 • algorithmic quoting Moving the contributor function to a different phisical location 4 The power of “Chinese walls” depends on specific technical and Other 5 organisational solutions adopted; therefore, the method cannot be considered sufficient based solely on the survey data. No indicated 6 Twenty one of the 33 banks have adopted at least one No contributor's function 1 solution deemed sufficient. Other include: conflict of interest management / dedicated process (and people) and control functions / different business Nine banks have separated the contributor role in the form of a separate units in the same Department / Internal policy / no contribution / risk controlling supervision unit.

Procedures to guarantee independence Ten banks have adopted at least two different procedures to ensure independence of the contributor role from transaction concluding.

Only assigning a separate department for the contributor function 9 Two banks opted for separate location and algorithmic quoting. Two banks used Chinese wall as the only separation measure. Only 1 other procedure 2 No preferred method was observed in terms of ensuring independence in various groups of banks. 2 procedures 5

3 procedures 5

© 2019 Deloitte29 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 29 The role of ALM units in banks CEE Polska ALM responsibilities

What is the scope of ALM's activity: ALM unit’s responsibilities usually include structural management of liquidity and interest rate risk. Additionally, in most banks, ALM units are in charge of structural management of currency risk and funds transfer pricing (FTP) management. 29 Structural liquidity / funding risk management 13 In nineteen banks ALM units are in charge of at least four of these processes.

28 Structural interest rate risk management 14

23 Structural exchange-rate risk 8

22 Management of a funds transfer system 10

9 Capital management 6

1 Other

Other include: reporting and the support for ALCO

© 2019 Deloitte30 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 30 The role of ALM units in banks CEE Division of risk management related tasks

Which department/ unit Treasury ALM Finance Other In most banks the Treasury Department is in charge of all these activities. We observe is responsible for: an increasing ALM role related to long-term liquidity and interest rate management, where the long-term horizon means mostly 1-2 years as indicated on the following making transactions related to short-term 23 8 1 1 chart. Similarly, in most cases ALM units are in charge of long-term financing issues. liquidity risk management: making transactions related to long-term 16 11 4 2 What definition of 'long term' for the purpose of liquidity liquidity risk management: risk the Bank uses: making transactions related to short-term 21 8 1 3 interest rate risk management: <3M; 1Y) 5

<1Y; 2Y) 19 making transactions related to long-term 18 10 1 4 interest rate risk management: <2Y; 5Y) 5 origination of short-term debt, incl. deposits 20 6 1 6 from wholesale corporate clients: Above 5Y 4 origination of long-term / structural / MREL 12 11 6 4 Further, most large banks make their ALM units responsible for accounting. The debt: role is characteristic for TOP EU banks. making transactions related to the In Spec EU banks all roles listed above are performed by the Treasury Team. In management of exchange-rate risk in the 23 7 1 2 smaller banks, the Finance Function role grows, which is often accompanied by the banking book: combining of Treasury and ALM roles. Non EU banks tended to indicate a major role of their ALM units compared to the development of hedging relationships 11 10 5 7 (defining hedge accounting relations)? Treasury. providing data for the purpose of setting 19 8 6 reference rates

Not applicable for the question © 2019 Deloitte31 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 31 The role of ALM units in banks FTP management

FTP - WHAT UNIT PLAYS Management Internal Treasury ALM ALCO Finance Risk Compliance THE ROLE OF: Board Audit

The role of the FTP business owner may be assigned to various Business owner units, in particular to Treasury, ALM, ALCO or Finance. No “typical” business owner can be identified, but the largest banks Assessment, tend to assign the role to ALM or ALCO. review and validation In specialised banks, Treasury is the most frequent business owner of FTP. Operational unit ! Non EU banks have a similar ownership model, i.e. it is assigned to ALCO, ALM or Treasury, alternatively to the Management Board First line of control or Finance Function.

As far as control responsibilities are concerned, division of tasks Second line of control regarding assessment, review, validation and control (the first and second defence line) seems neither precise, nor clear enough. The observation complies with the outcome of former FTP surveys carried out by Deloitte.

In two Spec EU and one Non EU bank, the entire process is located in Treasury.

No identical solutions for the process have been found in the surveyed sample, with two exceptions (in total five banks presented the same solutions).

© 2019 Deloitte32 Polska Asset and Liability Management in banksu 32 Other related Deloitte publications

© 2019 Deloitte Polska Asset and Liability Management in banks 33 Other related Deloitte publications Optimizing global treasury – 2019 Deloitte Report

Following the introduction of material regulatory changes regarding liquidity, financing and capital adequacy, in 2019 Global regulatory landscape Deloitte prepared a report on optimisation of the treasury operations.

Challenges for banks

The report focused on the presentation of the global regulatory landscape for banking, discussion of challenges faced by banks High-level recommendations and high-level recommendations regarding optimisation of Treasury regarding treasury optimisation. operations

Managing liquidity and financing risk Focus of the report: • presentation of regulatory changes and their effect on treasury, • discussing challenges regarding management, operating model, processes, controls, data and reporting, as well as system architecture, https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/page • setting the direction to optimise treasury operations in order to prepare banks s/financial-services/articles/optimizing- for regulatory inconsistencies and to achieve the objective in the form of global-treasury-managing-banks- integrated, improved comprehensive liquidity and financing framework. liquidity-and-funding-risk.html

© 2019 Deloitte Polska AssetAssetand and Liability liabilityManagement management in in banksu banks 34 How can we help you?

© 2019 Deloitte Polska Asset and Liability Management in banks 35 Deloitte services related to the Report contents

Services for market risk area Services for ALM and Treasury

Calculating zero-coupon curves, financial Design and adjustment of treasury processes to instruments valuation regulatory requirements

Complex implementation of new Complex implementation of new requirements eg BMR, MIFID, PRIIPS, requirements eg FRTB EMIR etc.

Review and implementation of ADVISORY SERVICES IRRBB and liquidity risk We offer a full range of Building and review of FTP management methodologies advisory support regarding methodology regulations. Our services include:

Support during tests and implementation of treasury and risk management systems Hedge accounting solutions

© 2019 Deloitte Polska AssetAssetand and Liability liabilityManagement management in in banksu banks 36 Contact

© 2019 Deloitte Polska Asset and Liability Management in banks 37 Contact

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