PORTLAND PRESS HERALD POLL #6
MAINE 2016 GENERAL ELECTION
Prepared by:
Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A.
The Survey Center University of New Hampshire
October, 2016
Contents
Technical Report ...... 1
Questionnaire ...... 2
Data Tables ...... 17
Portland Press Herald Poll #6 Maine 2016 General Election
Conducted by the UNH Survey Center October 2016
Technical Report
Field Period: October 20 to October 25, 2016
Hours: 9 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Median Completion Time: 13 minutes
Sample Size: 761 randomly selected Maine adults (RDD) 670 randomly selected Maine likely or early voters in the 2016 General Election (RDD)
Sampling Error: +/‐ 3.6% (all respondents) +/‐ 3.8% (likely voters)
Congressional Subsections: 329 likely voters in the 1st Congressional District (5.4% MOE) 341 likely voters in the 2nd Congressional District (5.3% MOE)
Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 26%
These findings are based on the latest Portland Press Herald Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and funded by the Portland Press Herald. Seven hundred and seventy (670) randomly selected Maine adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between October 20 and October 25, 2016. If a household included more than one adult, the adult who had the most recent birthday was selected to be interviewed. These MSE’s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.0%.
The random sample used in the Portland Press Herald Poll was purchased from Marketing Systems Group (MSG), Horsham, PA. MSG screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non‐working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend calling non‐usable numbers.
The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Additionally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non‐sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non‐response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross‐tabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions.
For more information about the methodology used in the Portland Press Herald Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862‐2226 or by email at [email protected].
1
Portland Press Herald Poll #6 Conducted by the UNH Survey Center October, 2016
INTRO: “Good evening / afternoon. My name is ______and I’m calling from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. This month, the University is conducting a study of politics and public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation.”
IF ASKED: “The survey will be about 10 minutes."
IF ASKED: "This poll is being conducted for the Portland Press Herald and will be in the paper next week.”
“Before we begin, do you live in Maine all year round or are you on vacation?”
1 LIVE IN MAINE YEAR ROUND 2 SEASONAL, JUST VACATIONING “Thank you very much, we are only interviewing year round residents.” 3 NOT A MAINE RESIDENT “Thank you very much, we are only interviewing Maine residents.”
* 99 REFUSED TERMINATE
CELL1 “First, to confirm, have I reached you on your cell phone or a land line?”
1 CELL PHONE SKIPTO CELL2 2 LAND LINE SKIPTO BIR1
99 REFUSED TERMINATE
CELL2 "Are you doing any activity that requires your full attention, such as driving a car?"
1 IF YES: “Can I call back at a later time?” MAKE APPOINTMENT 2 NO SKIPTO AGE18
99 NA / REFUSED TERMINATE
AGE18 “And are you 18 years old or older?”
1 YES SKIP TO SEX 2 NO "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."
* 99 REFUSAL "Thank you very much, we are only interviewing adults 18 years old or older."
2
BIR1 “In order to determine who to interview, could you tell me, of the adults aged 18 or older who currently live in your household -- including yourself -- who had the most recent birthday? I don’t mean who is the youngest, but rather, who had the most recent birthday?”
1 INFORMANT SKIP TO SEX 2 SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ______ SKIP TO INT2 3 DON'T KNOW ALL BIRTHDAYS, ONLY SOME CONTINUE WITH BIR2 BELOW 4 DON'T KNOW ANY BIRTHDAYS OTHER THAN OWN SKIP TO SEX
* 99 REFUSED -- ENTER NON-RESPONSE INFORMATION
BIR2 “Of the ones that you do know, who had the most recent birthday?”
1 INFORMANT _____ SKIP TO SEX 2 SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ______ GO TO INT2 3 PERSON NOT AVAILABLE MAKE APPOINTMENT * 99 REFUSED
INT2 ASK TO SPEAK TO THAT PERSON
“Hello, this is ______calling from the University of New Hampshire. This month the University is conducting a study of politics public opinion in Maine, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation. You have been identified as the adult in your household who had the most recent birthday. Is this correct?”
1 YES SKIPTO SEX 2 APPOINTMENT * 99 REFUSAL TERMINATE
SEX “Thank you very much for helping us with this important study. Your telephone number was randomly selected from all families in Maine. This call may be monitored for quality assurance.”
“Participation is voluntary. If you decide to participate, you may decline to answer any question or end the interview at any time.”
IF ASKED: “This survey will take about 10 minutes to complete.”
RECORD SEX OF RESPONDENT
1 MALE 2 FEMALE
3 REFUSES TO DO SURVEY
* 99 NA
TOWN “First, in what town do you live?” ENTER NUMBER OF TOWN FROM SHEET.
997 OTHER – TYPE IN______998 DK - DO NOT PROBE * 999 NA / REFUSED
3
MIP “Let's start with a question about the State of Maine... there are many problems facing the State of Maine today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Maine today?” (PROBE: “Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an example?”)
RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSE PROBE FOR SPECIFIC ANSWER
TRACKME “Do you think things in Maine are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”
1 RIGHT DIRECTION 2 WRONG TRACK
98 DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) * 99 NA / REFUSED
GOVAPP “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Paul LePage is handling his job as governor?”
(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as governor?”
1 STRONGLY APPROVE 2 APPROVE SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TOWARD APPROVING
4 NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK
5 LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING 6 DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT 7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
* 99 NA / REFUSED
4
LEGAPP “And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Maine legislature is handling its job?”
(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way it is handling its job, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way it is handling its job, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way it is handling its job?”
1 STRONGLY APPROVE 2 APPROVE SOMEWHAT 3 LEAN TOWARD APPROVING
4 NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK
5 LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING 6 DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT 7 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
* 99 NA
REGVOTE “Let’s turn to politics.”
"Are you registered to vote at your current address?" IF YES: "Are you registered as a Democrat, Independent, Republican or something else?"
1 REGISTERED DEMOCRAT 2 REGISTERED INDEPENDENT / UNAFFILIATED / UNDECLARED 3 REGISTERED REPUBLICAN 4 REGISTERED - OTHER
98 NOT REGISTERED / DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
VOTE12 “Think back to the election for President in 2012. Did you vote Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, someone else, or did you skip that election?
1 MITT ROMNEY - REPUBLICAN 2 BARACK OBAMA - DEMOCRAT 3 OTHER
97 DID NOT VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED
5
VOTEINT "And as you know, there is an election in November for President, Congress and state offices. How interested would you say you are in the 2016 general election ... extremely interested ...very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?"
1 EXTREMELY INTERESTED 2 VERY INTERESTED 3 SOMEWHAT INTERESTED 4 NOT VERY INTERESTED
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) 99 NA
MELV "Thinking ahead to the 2016 general election for President and Congress. Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5)
1 I will probably NOT vote in the 2016 general election, SKIPTO D1 2 I MAY vote in the 2016 general election, SKIPTO D1 3 Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the 2016 general election, 4 I will DEFINITELY vote in the 2016 general election, 5 I have already voted EARLY in the 2016 general election or 6 I just don't know at this time." SKIPTO D1
* 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO D1
FAV "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of people who are involved in politics in Maine and in the US. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you don’t know enough about them to say." "First, how about ... ROTATE FAV1 TO FAV11
FAV1 “Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton?" (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
1 FAVORABLE 2 NEITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE - VOLUNTEERED 3 UNFAVORABLE
98 DK / NEVER HEARD OF / KNOW TOO LITTLE TO SAY * 99 NA / REFUSED
FAV2 “Businessman Donald Trump?" (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
FAV3 “Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson?" (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
FAV4 “Political Activist Jill Stein?" (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
6
FAV5 “Governor Paul LePage?" (la PAGE) (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
FAV6 “Senator Susan Collins?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
FAV7 “Senator Angus King?” (READ IF NECESSARY) “Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?”
FAV8 “Congresswoman Chellie Pingree?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
FAV9 “Congressman Bruce Poliquin?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him or don’t you know enough about him to say?"
FAV10 “Former State Senator Emily Cain?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
FAV11 “Counselor Mark Holbrook?” (READ IF NECESSARY) "Would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her or don’t you know enough about her to say?"
IF ALREADY VOTED PRESE “In the 2016 Presidential election did you vote for Donald Trump, the Republican … Hillary Clinton, the Democrat… Gary Johnson, the Libertarian… Jill Stein of the Green Party … some other candidate …. or did you skip this election?”
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 DONALD TRUMP SKIPTO CD1/CD2 2 HILLARY CLINTON SKIPTO CD1/CD2 3 GARY JOHNSON SKIPTO CD1/CD2 4 JILL STEIN SKIPTO CD1/CD2 5 OTHER – SPECIFY SKIPTO CD1/CD2 6 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO CD1/CD2
98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO CD1/CD2
SKIPTO CD1
7
PRESDC “Have you definitely decided whom you will vote for President in 2016 … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
1 DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR 2 LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE 3 STILL TRYING TO DECIDE
99 NA / REFUSED
PRES1 “If the 2016 presidential election was being held today, would you vote for Donald Trump, the Republican … Hillary Clinton, the Democrat… Gary Johnson, the Libertarian… Jill Stein of the Green Party … some other candidate …. or would you skip this election?”
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 DONALD TRUMP SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 2 HILLARY CLINTON SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 3 GARY JOHNSON SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 4 JILL STEIN SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 5 OTHER – SPECIFY SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP 6 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP
98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO HRC/TRUMP
PRES1LN “Would you say you are leaning towards Donald Trump, the Republican … Hillary Clinton, the Democrat… Gary Johnson, the Libertarian… or Jill Stein of the Green Party?”
1 DONALD TRUMP 2 HILLARY CLINTON 3 GARY JOHNSON 4 JILL STEIN 5 OTHER – SPECIFY 6 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED
ROTATE HRC-TRUMP QUESTIONS
HRC1 “How much have you seen or read about the release of internal Clinton campaign emails by the group Wikileaks… would you say a great deal… a fair amount… only a little… or nothing at all?”
1 A GREAT DEAL 2 A FAIR AMOUNT 3 ONLY A LITTLE 4 NOTHING AT ALL
98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE * 99 NA/REFUSED
8
HRC2 “Based upon what you have seen or heard does this make you more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, more likely to vote against her or does this make no impact in your decision?”
1 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR CLINTON 2 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE AGAINST CLINTON 3 MAKES NO IMPACT
98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE * 99 NA/REFUSED
TRUMP1 “How much have you seen or read about the release of a video in which Donald Trump made statements about his celebrity status and grabbing women … would you say a great deal… a fair amount… only a little… or nothing at all?”
1 A GREAT DEAL 2 A FAIR AMOUNT 3 ONLY A LITTLE 4 NOTHING AT ALL
98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE * 99 NA/REFUSED
TRUMP2 “Based upon what you have seen or heard does this make you more likely to vote for Donald Trump, more likely to vote against him or does this make no impact in your decision?”
1 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR TRUMP 2 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE AGAINST TRUMP 3 MAKES NO IMPACT
98 DON’T KNOW/NOT SURE * 99 NA/REFUSED
SPLIT BY DISTRICT IF ALREADY VOTED CD1E "In the 2016 Congressional election did you vote for Mark Holbrook, the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat … some other candidate …. or did you skip this election?"
1 MARK HOLBROOK 2 CHELLIE PINGREE 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 DID NOT VOTE
98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BALLOT
9
CD1 If the 2016 congressional election was being held today, would you vote for Mark Holbrook, the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat … some other candidate …. or would you skip this election?”
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 MARK HOLBROOK SKIPTO BALLOT 2 CHELLIE PINGREE SKIPTO BALLOT 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO BALLOT 4 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO BALLOT
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BALLOT
CD1LN “Would you say you are leaning towards Mark Holbrook, the Republican … Chellie Pingree, the Democrat?”
1 MARK HOLBROOK 2 CHELLIE PINGREE 3 OTHER – SPECIFY 4 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED SKIPTO BALLOT
SPLIT BY DISTRICT IF ALREADY VOTED CD2E "In the 2016 Congressional election did you vote for Bruce Poliquin, the Republican… Emily Cain, the Democrat… some other candidate …. or did you skip this election?"
1 BRUCE POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED 4 DID NOT VOTE
98 DON’T REMEMBER * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO BALLOT
CD2 If the 2016 congressional election was being held today, would you vote for Bruce Poliquin, the Republican… Emily Cain, the Democrat… some other candidate …. or would you skip this election?”
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 BRUCE POLIQUIN SKIPTO POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN SKIPTO POLIQUIN 3 OTHER – VOLUNTEERED SKIPTO POLIQUIN 4 WILL NOT VOTE SKIPTO POLIQUIN
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED SKIPTO POLIQUIN
10
CD2LN “Would you say you are leaning towards Bruce Poliquin, the Republican … Emily Cain, the Democrat?”
ROTATE CANDIDATES
1 BRUCE POLIQUIN 2 EMILY CAIN 3 OTHER – SPECIFY 4 WILL NOT VOTE
98 DK / UNSURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA/REFUSED
POLIQUIN “As you may know, Congressman Poliquin has not publicly expressed whether or not he will support Donald Trump for President. Does this make you more or less likely to vote for Poliquin in November or does this make little difference in your vote?”
1 MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR 2 LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR 3 MAKES LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN VOTE
98 DK / NOT SURE / UNDECIDED * 99 NA / REFUSED
BALLOT “The state of Maine will have six referendum questions on the ballot this year. As I read each initiative, please tell me whether you will vote yes on this question, vote no, or if you are still undecided.”
IF EARLY VOTER “As you know the state of Maine had six referendum questions on the ballot this year. As I read each initiative, please tell me whether you voted yes on this question, voted no, or if you did not vote on the question.”
REF1 “Do you want to allow the possession and use of marijuana under state law by persons who are at least 21 years of age, and allow the cultivation, manufacture, distribution, testing, and sale of marijuana and marijuana products subject to state regulation, taxation and local ordinance?”
1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION
98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED
REF2 “Do you want to add a 3% tax on individual Maine taxable income above $200,000 to create a state fund that would provide direct support for student learning in kindergarten through 12th grade public education?”
1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION
98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED
11
REF3 “Do you want to require background checks prior to the sale or transfer of firearms between individuals not licensed as firearms dealers, with failure to do so punishable by law, and with some exceptions for family members, hunting, self- defense, lawful competitions, and shooting range activity?”
1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION
98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED
REF4 “Do you want to raise the minimum hourly wage of $7.50 to $9 in 2017, with annual $1 increases up to $12 in 2020, and annual cost-of-living increases thereafter; and do you want to raise the direct wage for service workers who receive tips from half the minimum wage to $5 in 2017, with annual $1 increases until it reaches the adjusted minimum wage?”
1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION
98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED
REF5 “Do you want to allow voters to rank their choices of candidates in elections for U.S. Senate, Congress, Governor, State Senate, and State Representative, and to have ballots counted at the state level in multiple rounds in which last-place candidates are eliminated until a candidate wins by majority?
1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION
98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED
REF6 “Do you favor a $100,000,000 bond issue for construction, reconstruction and rehabilitation of highways and bridges and for facilities, equipment and property acquisition related to ports, harbors, marine transportation, freight and passenger railroads, aviation, transit and bicycle and pedestrian trails, to be used to match an estimated $137,000,000 in federal and other funds?”
1 YES (VOTE FOR REFERENDUM) 2 NO (VOTE AGAINST IT) 3 WILL/DID NOT VOTE ON QUESTION
98 DON’T KNOW/UNDECIDED 99 NA/REFUSED
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D1 “Now some final questions.”
“What is your current age?”
______: : : : (RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OLD -- E.G., 45) : : : :
96 NINETY-SIX YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER 97 REFUSED 98 DK * 99 NA
D2 “What is the highest grade in school, or level of education that you’ve completed and got credit for ...” [READ RESPONSES]
1 “Eighth grade or less, 2 Some high school, 3 High school graduate, (INCLUDES G.E.D.) 4 Technical school, 5 Some college, 6 College graduate, 7 Or postgraduate work?”
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
D4 “Are you or any person in your household a member or veteran of the armed forces?”
1 YES 2 NO
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
D5 "Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun?"
1 YES 2 NO
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA / REFUSED
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D7 “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or what?”
(IF REPUBLICAN): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Republican or a NOT VERY STRONG Republican?” (IF DEMOCRAT): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Democrat or a NOT VERY STRONG Democrat?” (IF INDEPENDENT, NO PREFERENCE, OR OTHER): “Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?”
1 STRONG DEMOCRAT 2 NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT 3 INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO DEMOCRATS 4 INDEPENDENT--CLOSER TO NEITHER 5 INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO REPUBLICANS 6 NOT VERY STRONG REPUBLICAN 7 STRONG REPUBLICAN 8 OTHER PARTY
* 99 DK / NA / REFUSED
D10 “How many years have you lived in the State of Maine?”
IF “ALL MY LIFE” ASK – “About how many years is that?”
RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OF RESIDENCE
1 ONE YEAR OR LESS
96 96 YEARS OF MORE 97 REFUSED 98 DK * 99 NA
D12 "What is your religious preference? Is it Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, some other religion, or no religion?"
1 PROTESTANT 2 CATHOLIC 3 JEWISH 4 NONE, NO RELIGION 5 OTHER (SPECIFY)
97 REFUSED 98 DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE * 99 NA / REFUSED
D13 "How often do you attend religious services apart from occasional weddings, baptisms, or funerals ... more than once a week ... once week ... once or twice a month ... a few times a year ... or never?"
1 MORE THAN ONCE A WEEK 2 ONCE A WEEK 3 ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH 4 A FEW TIMES A YEAR 5 NEVER
98 DK (DO NOT PROBE) * 99 NA
14
D14 “Including yourself, how many adults CURRENTLY live in your household?”
1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE
98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED
D15 “Not counting business lines, extension phones, or cellular phones -- on how many different telephone NUMBERS can your household be reached?”
0 NO LANDLINE 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE
98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED
D16 “And on how many different cellphone NUMBERS can your household be reached?”
0 NO CELL PHONE 1 ONE 2 TWO 3 THREE 4 FOUR 5 FIVE 6 SIX 7 SEVEN OR MORE
98 DK * 99 NA / REFUSED
15
D17 “How much TOTAL income did you and your family receive in 2015, not just from wages or salaries but from ALL sources -- that is, before taxes and other deductions were made? Was it ... (READ CATEGORIES)
ANNUAL MONTHLY EQUIVALENT 1 Less than $15,000, LESS THAN $1,250 2 $15,000 - $29,999, $1,250 - $2,499 3 $30,000 - $44,999, $2,500 - $3,749 4 $45,000 - $59,999, $3,750 - $4,999 5 $60,000 - $74,999, $5,000 - $6,249 6 $75,000 - $99,999, or $6,250 - $8,333 7 $100,000 and over?” $8,334 AND OVER
97 REFUSED 98 DK * 99 NA
D18 “Finally, would you be willing to be interviewed by a reporter to discuss your reactions to some of the topics we've been talking about?”
1 YES “Could I have just your first name in case a reporter wants to call you?” ______2 NO / DK (DO NOT PROBE)
99 NA / REFUSED
END “Thank you for your time and participation. Your input has been very valuable. Goodbye.”
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Tabular Results
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Most Important Problem in Maine
Jobs/ Governor Budget/ Health (N) Economy Drugs LePage Welfare Education Govt Taxes Care Other/DK Maine Residents 34% 16% 13% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 18% 740
Registered Democrat 29% 12% 28% 1% 6% 3% 0% 2% 18% 238 Registered Unenrolled/Other 32% 18% 6% 8% 3% 3% 4% 3% 24% 303 Registered Republican 43% 17% 4% 10% 2% 6% 6% 0% 11% 195 Democrat 27% 14% 24% 1% 4% 4% 1% 3% 21% 309 Independent 41% 15% 6% 5% 5% 2% 3% 3% 20% 157 Republican 38% 18% 4% 13% 2% 3% 6% 1% 14% 246 Early Voter 35% 8% 19% 10% 5% 4% 5% 14% 87 Likely Voter 34% 16% 12% 6% 4% 4% 4% 2% 18% 572 Non-Likely Voter 29% 20% 7% 7% 5% 2% 29% 81 Extremely Interested in Election 34% 13% 18% 6% 5% 5% 5% 2% 13% 341 Very Interested 33% 18% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 23% 217 Some/Little Interest 35% 18% 6% 8% 2% 3% 3% 3% 24% 176 Gun Owner 39% 16% 8% 9% 3% 4% 3% 2% 16% 395 Non-Gun Owner 27% 14% 18% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 22% 320 18 to 34 23% 21% 8% 7% 4% 4% 2% 2% 31% 177 35 to 49 34% 19% 8% 10% 3% 3% 4% 2% 17% 179 50 to 64 38% 13% 14% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 14% 219 65 and older 38% 10% 23% 4% 3% 4% 4% 1% 13% 156 Male 33% 16% 11% 6% 4% 6% 5% 1% 18% 358 Female 35% 15% 14% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% 19% 382 High school or less 27% 20% 8% 8% 2% 3% 4% 3% 25% 177 Technical school/Some college 33% 19% 13% 9% 3% 3% 2% 1% 17% 163 College graduate 37% 12% 9% 6% 4% 6% 5% 3% 19% 243 Postgraduate work 37% 12% 24% 1% 7% 2% 2% 2% 13% 148 Once a week or more often 35% 13% 14% 8% 5% 2% 4% 19% 121 Once or twice a month 45% 12% 12% 10% 1% 6% 4% 2% 8% 71 Few times a year 28% 21% 12% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 15% 213 Never 35% 14% 12% 4% 2% 4% 2% 3% 24% 315 Less than $30,000 40% 15% 8% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 24% 92 $30,000 to $59,999 33% 17% 14% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 18% 143 $60,000 to $99,999 30% 18% 16% 9% 2% 5% 2% 2% 15% 140 $100,000 or more 30% 15% 16% 7% 5% 1% 9% 1% 16% 152 10 years or less 26% 22% 14% 2% 1% 3% 2% 31% 73 11 to 20 years 28% 16% 12% 6% 8% 2% 2% 26% 120 21 to 30 years 27% 20% 13% 7% 3% 4% 3% 4% 19% 166 More than 30 years 40% 13% 12% 7% 3% 4% 5% 2% 13% 375 Central Maine 35% 11% 10% 8% 3% 5% 3% 2% 23% 177 Downeast/Coastal Maine 32% 12% 12% 6% 4% 6% 2% 3% 23% 134 Northern Maine 40% 17% 11% 5% 7% 3% 4% 1% 12% 167 Southern Maine 30% 20% 15% 6% 2% 2% 4% 2% 18% 262 First Cong. Dist 32% 18% 14% 6% 2% 4% 3% 3% 18% 362 Second Cong. Dist 36% 14% 12% 6% 5% 4% 4% 1% 19% 379
18 Job Approval - GovernorLePage JobPaulApproval -
Approve Neutral Disapprove (N) MaineResidents 40% 5% 55% 755
Registered Democrat Registered 11% 3% 86% 240 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 42% 6% 52% 313 Registered Republican Registered 74% 6% 20% 198 Democrat 12% 2% 86% 316 Independent 41% 7% 52% 160 Republican 75% 5% 21% 252 Early Voter Early 27% 3% 70% 87 Likely Voter Likely 42% 4% 54% 580 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 41% 13% 46% 88 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 39% 2% 59% 342 Very Interested Very 41% 5% 54% 221 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 42% 11% 47% 186 GunOwner 54% 5% 41% 401 Non-GunOwner 23% 5% 72% 329 18 to 34 to 18 42% 6% 52% 184 35 to 49 to 35 40% 5% 55% 181 50 to 64 to 50 41% 4% 54% 220 65 and olderand65 38% 5% 58% 160 Male 45% 5% 50% 364 Female 35% 5% 60% 391 High school or less or school High 56% 7% 37% 186 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 44% 4% 52% 167 College graduate College 39% 6% 55% 244 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 19% 2% 79% 149 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 48% 6% 46% 124 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 54% 3% 43% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 42% 4% 54% 212 Never 33% 5% 62% 324 Less than $30,000 than Less 38% 8% 54% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 42% 6% 52% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 39% 0% 61% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 44% 5% 51% 153 10 years or less or years 10 31% 5% 64% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 27% 7% 66% 128 21 to 30 years30 to 21 39% 4% 57% 164 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 47% 4% 49% 382 Central Maine Central 47% 5% 48% 177 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 38% 4% 58% 136 Northern Maine Northern 47% 4% 49% 170 Southern MaineSouthern 32% 6% 62% 272 First Cong. DistCong. First 35% 6% 60% 372 SecondDistCong. 45% 4% 50% 383
19 Job Approval - Maine State Legislature Maine State JobApproval -
Approve Neutral Disapprove (N) MaineResidents 44% 19% 36% 747
Registered Democrat Registered 45% 22% 33% 238 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 46% 20% 34% 310 Registered Republican Registered 41% 15% 44% 194 Democrat 48% 20% 32% 312 Independent 42% 17% 41% 161 Republican 43% 16% 42% 247 Early Voter Early 40% 18% 42% 84 Likely Voter Likely 46% 18% 36% 574 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 37% 31% 32% 88 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 38% 19% 43% 338 Very Interested Very 54% 16% 29% 217 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 43% 24% 33% 187 GunOwner 43% 18% 39% 399 Non-GunOwner 46% 20% 34% 323 18 to 34 to 18 48% 23% 29% 184 35 to 49 to 35 52% 18% 30% 176 50 to 64 to 50 38% 17% 45% 218 65 and olderand65 41% 19% 40% 159 Male 41% 18% 41% 361 Female 48% 20% 32% 386 High school or less or school High 45% 18% 36% 182 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 40% 22% 38% 166 College graduate College 41% 24% 35% 241 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 54% 11% 36% 148 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 35% 18% 47% 123 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 45% 16% 39% 70 Few times a yeara Few times 48% 18% 34% 209 Never 45% 22% 33% 322 Less than $30,000 than Less 40% 29% 31% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 37% 17% 46% 144 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 47% 15% 38% 139 $100,000 or more or $100,000 49% 16% 34% 151 10 years or less or years 10 43% 25% 32% 73 11 to 20 years20 to 11 54% 17% 29% 125 21 to 30 years30 to 21 41% 22% 37% 163 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 43% 18% 39% 378 Central Maine Central 45% 17% 38% 176 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 45% 17% 38% 137 Northern Maine Northern 40% 19% 41% 167 Southern MaineSouthern 46% 22% 32% 267 First Cong. DistCong. First 45% 20% 35% 367 SecondDistCong. 44% 18% 38% 380
20 Is Maine Going In Right Direction Or Off OnWrong Off Or Track?Direction Right MaineGoing In Is
Right Direction Right WrongTrack KnowDon't (N) MaineResidents 52% 38% 10% 742
Registered Democrat Registered 37% 54% 9% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 55% 35% 10% 308 Registered Republican Registered 67% 24% 9% 198 Democrat 43% 50% 8% 307 Independent 53% 35% 12% 156 Republican 65% 27% 8% 252 Early Voter Early 48% 45% 7% 85 Likely Voter Likely 53% 38% 9% 570 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 52% 35% 13% 87 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 50% 41% 8% 335 Very Interested Very 56% 36% 8% 218 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 50% 35% 14% 183 GunOwner 58% 33% 9% 396 Non-GunOwner 47% 43% 10% 322 18 to 34 to 18 67% 21% 12% 183 35 to 49 to 35 53% 40% 7% 179 50 to 64 to 50 47% 44% 10% 217 65 and olderand65 42% 49% 9% 155 Male 55% 35% 11% 359 Female 50% 41% 8% 383 High school or less or school High 59% 31% 11% 183 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 50% 38% 12% 163 College graduate College 55% 38% 7% 242 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 44% 47% 9% 146 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 45% 47% 8% 123 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 51% 36% 13% 70 Few times a yeara Few times 56% 34% 10% 213 Never 54% 37% 9% 315 Less than $30,000 than Less 50% 38% 11% 96 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 50% 41% 8% 149 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 52% 42% 6% 136 $100,000 or more or $100,000 60% 35% 5% 153 10 years or less or years 10 46% 46% 8% 71 11 to 20 years20 to 11 49% 36% 15% 124 21 to 30 years30 to 21 63% 31% 6% 164 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 50% 41% 9% 377 Central Maine Central 52% 40% 9% 180 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 48% 40% 12% 132 Northern Maine Northern 51% 38% 11% 165 Southern MaineSouthern 56% 37% 8% 265 First Cong. DistCong. First 54% 38% 8% 365 SecondDistCong. 50% 38% 11% 377
21 Interest in 2016Election in Interest
ExtremelyInterested Interested Very SomewhatInterestedInterested Very Not Know Don't (N) MaineResidents 45% 29% 14% 11% 1% 760
Registered Democrat Registered 58% 27% 9% 6% 240 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 34% 26% 20% 19% 1% 317 Registered Republican Registered 47% 37% 10% 5% 1% 199 Democrat 56% 25% 11% 9% 316 Independent 33% 33% 19% 15% 163 Republican 43% 33% 14% 9% 1% 253 Early Voter Early 67% 21% 5% 7% 87 Likely Voter Likely 47% 33% 14% 6% 0% 583 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 10% 12% 27% 48% 2% 90 GunOwner 43% 29% 18% 9% 1% 404 Non-GunOwner 45% 30% 11% 13% 1% 331 18 to 34 to 18 35% 23% 23% 19% 187 35 to 49 to 35 39% 36% 11% 12% 1% 182 50 to 64 to 50 53% 28% 13% 6% 0% 221 65 and olderand65 52% 29% 10% 7% 1% 160 Male 45% 28% 14% 12% 1% 367 Female 45% 30% 14% 10% 1% 393 High school or less or school High 31% 26% 21% 21% 1% 189 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 37% 35% 19% 9% 0% 167 College graduate College 53% 29% 10% 8% 1% 247 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 58% 28% 8% 5% 1% 148 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 50% 34% 10% 4% 1% 123 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 48% 26% 11% 13% 2% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 43% 33% 14% 9% 1% 216 Never 44% 25% 17% 14% 0% 326 Less than $30,000 than Less 32% 26% 17% 24% 1% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 48% 27% 16% 9% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 50% 36% 9% 5% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 56% 31% 8% 5% 1% 155 10 years or less or years 10 42% 28% 12% 18% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 46% 30% 13% 12% 129 21 to 30 years30 to 21 48% 26% 15% 11% 167 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 44% 31% 15% 9% 1% 383 Central Maine Central 39% 29% 15% 16% 2% 181 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 52% 26% 13% 9% 1% 137 Northern Maine Northern 46% 32% 14% 8% 170 Southern MaineSouthern 45% 29% 15% 11% 0% 272 First Cong. DistCong. First 47% 28% 14% 10% 1% 374 SecondDistCong. 43% 30% 14% 12% 1% 387
22 Likelihood of Voting in 2016Election in Voting of Likelihood
ProbablyWon't Definitely Will UnlessVote Will (N) Vote MayVote Vote EmergencyVoter Early Unsure MaineResidents 5% 3% 71% 6% 11% 3% 760
Registered Democrat Registered 1% 1% 73% 4% 20% 1% 240 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 11% 6% 63% 8% 6% 6% 316 Registered Republican Registered 2% 2% 83% 4% 9% 1% 199 Democrat 3% 2% 72% 4% 17% 2% 314 Independent 10% 7% 65% 9% 6% 3% 163 Republican 4% 3% 75% 6% 9% 4% 254 Early Voter Early 100% 87 Likely Voter Likely 92% 8% 583 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 45% 28% 26% 90 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 1% 1% 79% 1% 17% 1% 342 Very Interested Very 2% 1% 76% 10% 8% 2% 222 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 17% 11% 51% 8% 5% 7% 190 GunOwner 4% 4% 74% 6% 9% 3% 404 Non-GunOwner 7% 3% 66% 6% 14% 4% 330 18 to 34 to 18 11% 6% 63% 7% 6% 7% 186 35 to 49 to 35 4% 4% 77% 7% 6% 2% 182 50 to 64 to 50 4% 3% 73% 5% 14% 1% 222 65 and olderand65 2% 0% 69% 4% 20% 4% 160 Male 5% 4% 71% 7% 8% 3% 366 Female 5% 3% 71% 4% 14% 3% 393 High school or less or school High 9% 7% 61% 8% 10% 6% 189 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 5% 2% 75% 8% 5% 5% 167 College graduate College 4% 3% 74% 5% 13% 1% 246 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 4% 1% 73% 2% 20% 1% 149 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 6% 1% 75% 3% 11% 2% 124 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 4% 2% 68% 6% 14% 5% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 4% 3% 71% 9% 9% 4% 216 Never 6% 4% 70% 4% 12% 3% 325 Less than $30,000 than Less 11% 6% 66% 6% 7% 4% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 2% 6% 74% 7% 9% 1% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 4% 1% 76% 7% 11% 0% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 3% 77% 3% 15% 2% 155 10 years or less or years 10 15% 2% 62% 8% 11% 2% 73 11 to 20 years20 to 11 3% 7% 74% 8% 4% 6% 129 21 to 30 years30 to 21 8% 3% 69% 4% 12% 4% 167 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 3% 3% 72% 6% 14% 2% 384 Central Maine Central 8% 5% 68% 4% 12% 2% 181 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 4% 4% 66% 7% 15% 5% 136 Northern Maine Northern 3% 2% 81% 6% 5% 2% 170 Southern MaineSouthern 6% 2% 69% 6% 13% 4% 273 First Cong. DistCong. First 5% 2% 68% 6% 13% 4% 374 SecondDistCong. 5% 5% 74% 5% 10% 2% 385
23 Favorability Ratings - Hillary Clinton Hillary - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 41% 8% 50% 1% 665
Registered Democrat Registered 74% 10% 16% 1% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 34% 10% 54% 2% 241 Registered Republican Registered 9% 4% 87% 189 Democrat 78% 8% 13% 2% 294 Independent 24% 15% 60% 1% 131 Republican 5% 4% 91% 225 Voted Early Voted 59% 9% 32% 87 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 40% 8% 52% 1% 535 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 15% 12% 69% 4% 43 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 48% 5% 46% 1% 331 Very Interested Very 36% 9% 55% 0% 209 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 30% 14% 52% 3% 122 GunOwner 27% 8% 65% 1% 357 Non-GunOwner 60% 9% 30% 1% 284 18 to 34 to 18 37% 10% 51% 1% 140 35 to 49 to 35 34% 10% 54% 1% 164 50 to 64 to 50 41% 6% 52% 1% 202 65 and olderand65 53% 6% 41% 0% 149 Male 31% 7% 61% 1% 315 Female 50% 9% 40% 1% 350 High school or less or school High 22% 7% 68% 3% 146 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 37% 8% 54% 0% 147 College graduate College 36% 10% 53% 0% 224 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 73% 5% 22% 140 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 33% 10% 58% 109 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 33% 5% 60% 2% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 39% 6% 54% 1% 191 Never 48% 9% 41% 1% 281 Less than $30,000 than Less 34% 16% 49% 1% 75 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 36% 8% 55% 2% 134 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 53% 6% 41% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 43% 4% 52% 1% 147 10 years or less or years 10 51% 7% 40% 2% 58 11 to 20 years20 to 11 53% 6% 38% 3% 109 21 to 30 years30 to 21 43% 11% 46% 143 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 35% 8% 56% 1% 349 Central Maine Central 38% 7% 54% 1% 153 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 44% 6% 49% 1% 118 Northern Maine Northern 32% 9% 58% 1% 156 Southern MaineSouthern 46% 9% 43% 1% 237 First Cong. DistCong. First 45% 8% 47% 1% 326 SecondDistCong. 37% 9% 54% 1% 338
24 Favorability Ratings - DonaldTrump - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 31% 5% 62% 1% 665
Registered Democrat Registered 7% 1% 91% 0% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 27% 8% 63% 2% 241 Registered Republican Registered 65% 6% 26% 2% 189 Democrat 4% 1% 94% 1% 294 Independent 27% 12% 59% 2% 131 Republican 67% 7% 24% 2% 225 Voted Early Voted 16% 4% 78% 2% 87 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 34% 5% 60% 1% 536 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 23% 4% 66% 6% 43 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 33% 3% 63% 1% 332 Very Interested Very 33% 6% 62% 209 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 22% 9% 63% 5% 122 GunOwner 41% 7% 50% 2% 357 Non-GunOwner 16% 3% 79% 1% 284 18 to 34 to 18 23% 8% 69% 1% 140 35 to 49 to 35 34% 6% 58% 2% 164 50 to 64 to 50 35% 4% 60% 1% 202 65 and olderand65 30% 3% 65% 2% 149 Male 38% 6% 55% 1% 315 Female 24% 4% 70% 2% 350 High school or less or school High 51% 8% 37% 4% 147 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 30% 5% 62% 2% 147 College graduate College 31% 4% 65% 224 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 10% 4% 86% 1% 140 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 37% 9% 53% 1% 110 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 48% 3% 49% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 34% 2% 62% 2% 191 Never 23% 6% 70% 2% 281 Less than $30,000 than Less 29% 9% 57% 4% 75 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 37% 7% 56% 134 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 27% 3% 69% 1% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 35% 2% 62% 1% 147 10 years or less or years 10 15% 4% 81% 58 11 to 20 years20 to 11 19% 4% 75% 2% 109 21 to 30 years30 to 21 26% 6% 66% 2% 143 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 39% 5% 54% 1% 350 Central Maine Central 36% 5% 57% 2% 153 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 26% 2% 71% 1% 118 Northern Maine Northern 37% 12% 49% 2% 156 Southern MaineSouthern 26% 2% 71% 1% 238 First Cong. DistCong. First 26% 4% 69% 2% 327 SecondDistCong. 36% 7% 57% 1% 338
25 Favorability Ratings - GaryJohnson - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 16% 9% 35% 40% 669
Registered Democrat Registered 7% 10% 42% 42% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 21% 12% 27% 39% 244 Registered Republican Registered 19% 5% 37% 39% 189 Democrat 10% 10% 42% 38% 294 Independent 27% 12% 26% 35% 131 Republican 17% 8% 29% 46% 228 Voted Early Voted 14% 9% 36% 41% 87 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 15% 9% 36% 39% 538 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 19% 11% 16% 54% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 13% 10% 43% 34% 333 Very Interested Very 18% 7% 36% 39% 209 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 19% 13% 10% 57% 124 GunOwner 19% 9% 33% 39% 359 Non-GunOwner 11% 10% 35% 44% 285 18 to 34 to 18 23% 12% 29% 36% 141 35 to 49 to 35 22% 8% 28% 41% 165 50 to 64 to 50 10% 11% 38% 42% 204 65 and olderand65 9% 6% 44% 41% 149 Male 19% 10% 36% 35% 318 Female 13% 9% 34% 45% 351 High school or less or school High 18% 7% 19% 56% 148 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 16% 8% 36% 40% 147 College graduate College 15% 10% 39% 36% 224 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 14% 13% 41% 32% 141 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 16% 8% 30% 46% 111 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 17% 5% 37% 41% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 14% 10% 39% 37% 193 Never 16% 10% 33% 41% 281 Less than $30,000 than Less 15% 9% 26% 50% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 12% 10% 44% 34% 134 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 17% 9% 31% 43% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 20% 7% 43% 31% 147 10 years or less or years 10 14% 9% 49% 29% 59 11 to 20 years20 to 11 13% 8% 38% 40% 110 21 to 30 years30 to 21 23% 14% 29% 35% 143 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 14% 8% 33% 45% 351 Central Maine Central 16% 8% 35% 42% 153 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 18% 10% 35% 38% 118 Northern Maine Northern 16% 8% 31% 45% 158 Southern MaineSouthern 14% 11% 37% 37% 241 First Cong. DistCong. First 15% 11% 37% 37% 329 SecondDistCong. 16% 8% 33% 43% 340
26 Favorability Ratings - Jill Stein Jill - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 12% 7% 23% 58% 666
Registered Democrat Registered 18% 8% 20% 54% 231 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 12% 8% 20% 60% 242 Registered Republican Registered 4% 5% 33% 58% 189 Democrat 19% 9% 20% 52% 293 Independent 12% 9% 20% 59% 131 Republican 4% 4% 29% 63% 227 Voted Early Voted 20% 7% 19% 55% 87 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 11% 7% 24% 58% 535 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 10% 6% 26% 58% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 13% 8% 29% 50% 333 Very Interested Very 12% 6% 19% 62% 208 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 8% 7% 14% 71% 123 GunOwner 12% 6% 25% 56% 357 Non-GunOwner 11% 9% 21% 59% 285 18 to 34 to 18 21% 10% 23% 46% 138 35 to 49 to 35 12% 6% 22% 60% 165 50 to 64 to 50 9% 8% 22% 61% 204 65 and olderand65 6% 5% 28% 61% 149 Male 13% 6% 33% 49% 316 Female 11% 9% 15% 66% 350 High school or less or school High 7% 3% 22% 69% 147 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 13% 4% 25% 59% 147 College graduate College 15% 8% 22% 55% 223 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 11% 14% 25% 49% 141 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 8% 5% 23% 64% 111 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 7% 5% 23% 65% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 9% 10% 22% 59% 192 Never 16% 6% 23% 54% 279 Less than $30,000 than Less 19% 10% 12% 59% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 8% 7% 26% 58% 134 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 11% 6% 26% 57% 132 $100,000 or more or $100,000 9% 4% 31% 56% 147 10 years or less or years 10 9% 15% 23% 53% 58 11 to 20 years20 to 11 24% 8% 27% 41% 109 21 to 30 years30 to 21 11% 6% 24% 59% 143 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 9% 6% 22% 63% 351 Central Maine Central 10% 7% 24% 59% 151 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 20% 9% 22% 49% 118 Northern Maine Northern 9% 9% 22% 60% 158 Southern MaineSouthern 11% 6% 24% 60% 239 First Cong. DistCong. First 11% 7% 24% 58% 328 SecondDistCong. 12% 8% 23% 57% 338
27 Favorability Ratings - Paul LePagePaul - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 38% 4% 57% 1% 668
Registered Democrat Registered 9% 3% 88% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 36% 6% 56% 1% 242 Registered Republican Registered 78% 4% 18% 1% 189 Democrat 8% 3% 89% 294 Independent 37% 10% 52% 2% 131 Republican 79% 2% 19% 1% 227 Voted Early Voted 26% 3% 71% 87 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 41% 4% 54% 0% 537 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 32% 4% 61% 3% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 38% 1% 61% 0% 333 Very Interested Very 38% 7% 54% 1% 209 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 40% 8% 51% 1% 123 GunOwner 52% 4% 43% 0% 358 Non-GunOwner 20% 4% 75% 1% 285 18 to 34 to 18 35% 5% 59% 1% 140 35 to 49 to 35 39% 3% 57% 1% 165 50 to 64 to 50 42% 5% 53% 204 65 and olderand65 37% 4% 59% 149 Male 45% 4% 51% 316 Female 33% 4% 62% 1% 351 High school or less or school High 56% 7% 36% 1% 147 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 43% 5% 51% 1% 147 College graduate College 39% 3% 57% 1% 224 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 13% 2% 84% 141 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 50% 6% 43% 1% 111 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 48% 3% 49% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 41% 3% 54% 1% 192 Never 30% 5% 66% 281 Less than $30,000 than Less 36% 9% 54% 2% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 43% 6% 51% 134 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 33% 3% 63% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 43% 2% 53% 2% 147 10 years or less or years 10 21% 6% 73% 59 11 to 20 years20 to 11 23% 74% 2% 109 21 to 30 years30 to 21 35% 6% 59% 143 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 47% 5% 48% 0% 351 Central Maine Central 47% 4% 49% 153 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 32% 4% 64% 1% 118 Northern Maine Northern 46% 6% 48% 158 Southern MaineSouthern 31% 4% 64% 1% 239 First Cong. DistCong. First 33% 3% 63% 1% 328 SecondDistCong. 44% 5% 51% 0% 340
28 Favorability Ratings - Susan Collins- Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 67% 9% 20% 3% 670
Registered Democrat Registered 71% 11% 14% 4% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 70% 11% 14% 5% 244 Registered Republican Registered 60% 4% 35% 1% 190 Democrat 72% 11% 14% 3% 294 Independent 68% 8% 19% 5% 131 Republican 61% 8% 29% 3% 228 Voted Early Voted 64% 11% 23% 2% 87 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 67% 10% 20% 3% 539 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 83% 2% 8% 7% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 63% 12% 24% 2% 333 Very Interested Very 74% 5% 20% 2% 210 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 69% 10% 11% 10% 124 GunOwner 64% 10% 23% 3% 360 Non-GunOwner 74% 9% 13% 4% 285 18 to 34 to 18 69% 11% 11% 9% 141 35 to 49 to 35 72% 8% 17% 3% 165 50 to 64 to 50 64% 7% 27% 1% 205 65 and olderand65 66% 11% 21% 2% 149 Male 65% 9% 22% 4% 319 Female 69% 10% 18% 3% 351 High school or less or school High 58% 9% 25% 8% 148 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 73% 8% 16% 3% 147 College graduate College 69% 8% 21% 2% 225 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 69% 13% 17% 2% 141 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 70% 5% 23% 2% 111 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 60% 8% 31% 1% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 74% 6% 17% 4% 193 Never 65% 13% 17% 5% 281 Less than $30,000 than Less 75% 5% 16% 4% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 64% 13% 21% 2% 134 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 66% 11% 20% 3% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 69% 7% 21% 3% 147 10 years or less or years 10 73% 4% 11% 12% 59 11 to 20 years20 to 11 64% 13% 15% 8% 110 21 to 30 years30 to 21 74% 13% 13% 1% 143 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 65% 8% 25% 2% 352 Central Maine Central 67% 7% 23% 4% 154 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 69% 10% 17% 4% 118 Northern Maine Northern 62% 12% 22% 4% 158 Southern MaineSouthern 71% 8% 19% 3% 241 First Cong. DistCong. First 71% 9% 17% 3% 329 SecondDistCong. 64% 10% 22% 4% 341
29 Favorability Ratings - Angus King- Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 66% 7% 20% 7% 669
Registered Democrat Registered 87% 4% 2% 6% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 66% 8% 16% 10% 244 Registered Republican Registered 39% 9% 47% 6% 189 Democrat 87% 5% 4% 4% 294 Independent 61% 8% 21% 10% 131 Republican 41% 10% 40% 9% 226 Voted Early Voted 78% 8% 11% 3% 87 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 64% 7% 21% 7% 538 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 57% 4% 21% 18% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 64% 6% 24% 5% 332 Very Interested Very 68% 7% 18% 7% 210 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 63% 9% 13% 15% 124 GunOwner 58% 7% 26% 9% 359 Non-GunOwner 78% 7% 9% 6% 285 18 to 34 to 18 61% 7% 13% 19% 141 35 to 49 to 35 64% 11% 17% 7% 164 50 to 64 to 50 66% 4% 26% 4% 205 65 and olderand65 71% 6% 20% 2% 149 Male 59% 7% 26% 8% 319 Female 72% 7% 14% 7% 350 High school or less or school High 48% 7% 32% 14% 148 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 67% 7% 18% 8% 145 College graduate College 66% 10% 20% 4% 225 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 84% 3% 8% 4% 141 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 64% 6% 25% 4% 111 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 61% 4% 29% 5% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 62% 8% 20% 10% 193 Never 69% 7% 15% 8% 279 Less than $30,000 than Less 62% 10% 16% 12% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 64% 4% 22% 10% 133 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 75% 5% 14% 6% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 65% 10% 22% 3% 147 10 years or less or years 10 66% 7% 7% 20% 59 11 to 20 years20 to 11 62% 4% 15% 18% 110 21 to 30 years30 to 21 70% 10% 14% 5% 143 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 65% 7% 26% 3% 351 Central Maine Central 60% 7% 23% 11% 152 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 70% 8% 18% 3% 118 Northern Maine Northern 58% 5% 28% 9% 158 Southern MaineSouthern 72% 8% 14% 6% 241 First Cong. DistCong. First 72% 8% 14% 6% 329 SecondDistCong. 59% 6% 26% 8% 339
30 Favorability Ratings - Chellie Pingree Chellie - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine First District Likely Voters Likely District MaineFirst 52% 7% 24% 17% 328
Registered Democrat Registered 79% 5% 4% 13% 118 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 45% 9% 25% 21% 137 Registered Republican Registered 21% 10% 53% 15% 70 Democrat 76% 5% 4% 15% 161 Independent 46% 12% 21% 21% 63 Republican 19% 10% 56% 16% 94 Voted Early Voted 72% 1% 22% 5% 50 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 50% 9% 24% 17% 254 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 39% 3% 25% 33% 24 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 61% 8% 23% 8% 171 Very Interested Very 44% 4% 26% 26% 97 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 42% 11% 20% 27% 59 GunOwner 44% 6% 30% 20% 149 Non-GunOwner 62% 9% 16% 14% 164 18 to 34 to 18 43% 14% 12% 31% 83 35 to 49 to 35 40% 8% 27% 25% 70 50 to 64 to 50 56% 4% 31% 10% 98 65 and olderand65 69% 6% 23% 3% 70 Male 44% 8% 32% 15% 158 Female 60% 7% 16% 18% 171 High school or less or school High 32% 8% 34% 25% 55 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 47% 5% 24% 24% 71 College graduate College 50% 11% 26% 14% 127 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 81% 3% 6% 10% 70 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 40% 10% 32% 18% 47 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 52% 4% 33% 11% 27 Few times a yeara Few times 55% 8% 25% 12% 100 Never 55% 8% 16% 21% 142 Less than $30,000 than Less 49% 10% 17% 25% 28 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 53% 4% 21% 22% 62 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 56% 5% 17% 23% 74 $100,000 or more or $100,000 50% 8% 34% 7% 78 10 years or less or years 10 53% 5% 6% 36% 27 11 to 20 years20 to 11 50% 7% 18% 26% 54 21 to 30 years30 to 21 55% 8% 12% 25% 85 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 51% 8% 34% 6% 159 Central Maine Central 46% 4% 33% 17% 33 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 67% 8% 20% 5% 56 Southern MaineSouthern 50% 8% 23% 19% 239
31 Favorability Ratings - BrucePoliquin - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Second District Likely Voters Likely MaineSecond District 35% 9% 42% 14% 340
Registered Democrat Registered 14% 7% 66% 13% 114 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 29% 12% 42% 17% 105 Registered Republican Registered 61% 8% 18% 13% 119 Democrat 15% 7% 66% 11% 133 Independent 33% 12% 41% 15% 68 Republican 56% 9% 18% 17% 133 Voted Early Voted 35% 3% 57% 5% 37 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 36% 9% 41% 14% 282 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 26% 14% 25% 35% 20 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 37% 8% 44% 12% 162 Very Interested Very 39% 8% 37% 15% 113 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 25% 11% 44% 19% 64 GunOwner 42% 9% 36% 13% 209 Non-GunOwner 23% 9% 51% 17% 121 18 to 34 to 18 42% 13% 25% 20% 57 35 to 49 to 35 31% 11% 38% 20% 95 50 to 64 to 50 35% 6% 49% 10% 106 65 and olderand65 34% 9% 49% 9% 79 Male 37% 10% 40% 14% 159 Female 34% 8% 43% 15% 181 High school or less or school High 44% 6% 34% 17% 92 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 45% 8% 35% 12% 76 College graduate College 33% 13% 37% 17% 98 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 17% 9% 64% 10% 70 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 49% 10% 33% 7% 64 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 37% 8% 45% 10% 37 Few times a yeara Few times 39% 9% 34% 18% 92 Never 25% 9% 50% 16% 138 Less than $30,000 than Less 30% 15% 33% 21% 48 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 33% 7% 41% 19% 72 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 28% 14% 52% 7% 59 $100,000 or more or $100,000 43% 6% 38% 13% 69 10 years or less or years 10 14% 8% 53% 25% 32 11 to 20 years20 to 11 33% 16% 37% 14% 55 21 to 30 years30 to 21 39% 14% 35% 13% 58 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 38% 6% 43% 13% 192 Central Maine Central 37% 9% 45% 9% 120 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 29% 11% 44% 16% 62 Northern Maine Northern 37% 8% 38% 17% 158
32 Favorability Ratings - Emily CainEmily - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine Second District Likely Voters Likely MaineSecond District 35% 7% 36% 22% 338
Registered Democrat Registered 62% 6% 10% 22% 112 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 33% 12% 31% 23% 105 Registered Republican Registered 12% 4% 64% 21% 119 Democrat 62% 9% 9% 20% 132 Independent 28% 9% 37% 25% 68 Republican 13% 4% 61% 22% 133 Voted Early Voted 56% 4% 37% 3% 37 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 33% 7% 37% 23% 281 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 21% 13% 24% 42% 20 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 38% 7% 41% 14% 162 Very Interested Very 34% 7% 33% 27% 111 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 30% 8% 31% 32% 64 GunOwner 29% 6% 45% 20% 208 Non-GunOwner 45% 9% 21% 25% 121 18 to 34 to 18 22% 13% 39% 27% 56 35 to 49 to 35 30% 6% 37% 27% 95 50 to 64 to 50 41% 2% 36% 22% 106 65 and olderand65 44% 11% 32% 13% 79 Male 30% 10% 40% 20% 159 Female 39% 5% 33% 23% 179 High school or less or school High 27% 4% 42% 27% 92 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 32% 5% 36% 26% 76 College graduate College 32% 11% 39% 17% 96 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 53% 7% 23% 16% 70 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 23% 4% 50% 22% 64 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 31% 7% 44% 18% 37 Few times a yeara Few times 41% 9% 31% 19% 92 Never 39% 7% 29% 25% 137 Less than $30,000 than Less 26% 10% 21% 43% 48 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 45% 8% 28% 19% 72 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 39% 10% 32% 19% 57 $100,000 or more or $100,000 29% 1% 50% 20% 69 10 years or less or years 10 32% 5% 25% 38% 31 11 to 20 years20 to 11 46% 16% 18% 21% 55 21 to 30 years30 to 21 30% 6% 44% 19% 58 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 34% 5% 40% 21% 192 Central Maine Central 34% 10% 32% 24% 118 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 40% 10% 30% 20% 62 Northern Maine Northern 33% 4% 41% 21% 158
33 Favorability Ratings - MarkHolbrook - Ratings Favorability
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable KnowDon't (N) M aine First District Likely Voters Likely District MaineFirst 7% 8% 7% 78% 328
Registered Democrat Registered 4% 5% 11% 81% 118 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 7% 12% 6% 75% 137 Registered Republican Registered 16% 5% 4% 75% 70 Democrat 3% 5% 11% 80% 161 Independent 10% 13% 5% 73% 63 Republican 14% 8% 1% 77% 94 Voted Early Voted 9% 6% 11% 75% 50 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 7% 8% 6% 79% 254 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 7% 8% 13% 72% 24 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 8% 6% 10% 76% 171 Very Interested Very 5% 10% 6% 79% 97 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 9% 8% 1% 82% 59 GunOwner 9% 6% 7% 77% 149 Non-GunOwner 6% 8% 7% 79% 164 18 to 34 to 18 5% 12% 3% 80% 83 35 to 49 to 35 4% 7% 6% 83% 70 50 to 64 to 50 11% 6% 10% 73% 98 65 and olderand65 9% 6% 11% 74% 70 Male 10% 7% 7% 76% 158 Female 5% 8% 7% 79% 171 High school or less or school High 13% 7% 5% 75% 55 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 8% 6% 1% 84% 71 College graduate College 7% 9% 8% 76% 127 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 4% 7% 15% 74% 70 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 4% 12% 7% 77% 47 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 9% 3% 9% 78% 27 Few times a yeara Few times 12% 7% 3% 78% 100 Never 5% 7% 8% 80% 142 Less than $30,000 than Less 12% 7% 82% 28 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 9% 6% 8% 76% 62 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 5% 5% 7% 83% 74 $100,000 or more or $100,000 4% 6% 7% 83% 78 10 years or less or years 10 3% 9% 7% 81% 27 11 to 20 years20 to 11 7% 7% 10% 76% 54 21 to 30 years30 to 21 5% 8% 4% 84% 85 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 10% 8% 8% 74% 159 Central Maine Central 10% 10% 6% 74% 33 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 7% 5% 17% 72% 56 Southern MaineSouthern 7% 8% 5% 79% 239
34 DecidedUSOnForPresidentVote
Definitely Decided Definitely LeaningToward Someone DecideToTrying Still (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 71% 13% 17% 581
Registered Democrat Registered 82% 8% 10% 183 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 59% 17% 23% 223 Registered Republican Registered 75% 10% 15% 172 Democrat 83% 10% 8% 240 Independent 53% 15% 32% 120 Republican 67% 15% 18% 206 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 73% 12% 15% 537 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 47% 18% 35% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 84% 8% 8% 275 Very Interested Very 64% 14% 21% 192 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 52% 18% 30% 112 GunOwner 67% 14% 19% 323 Non-GunOwner 75% 11% 14% 236 18 to 34 to 18 60% 23% 18% 129 35 to 49 to 35 66% 13% 21% 153 50 to 64 to 50 76% 10% 14% 173 65 and olderand65 81% 5% 14% 117 Male 67% 17% 16% 286 Female 74% 8% 17% 295 High school or less or school High 69% 8% 22% 130 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 71% 14% 16% 138 College graduate College 66% 16% 18% 193 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 79% 12% 9% 111 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 69% 12% 19% 97 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 72% 10% 18% 53 Few times a yeara Few times 65% 16% 18% 173 Never 74% 11% 15% 242 Less than $30,000 than Less 57% 12% 31% 70 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 67% 14% 19% 121 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 74% 12% 14% 117 $100,000 or more or $100,000 80% 9% 10% 124 10 years or less or years 10 81% 11% 7% 49 11 to 20 years20 to 11 69% 16% 15% 105 21 to 30 years30 to 21 65% 14% 21% 123 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 71% 11% 17% 297 Central Maine Central 71% 12% 17% 131 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 73% 12% 15% 98 Northern Maine Northern 69% 13% 18% 149 Southern MaineSouthern 70% 13% 16% 203 First Cong. DistCong. First 71% 13% 17% 278 SecondDistCong. 71% 12% 17% 303
35 U S President - Trump vs. Clinton vs. JohnsonStein vs. vs. TrumpClinton vs. - USPresident
Trump Clinton Johnson Stein Other Undecided (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 37% 48% 5% 3% 3% 5% 647
Registered Democrat Registered 8% 85% 1% 3% 1% 3% 229 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 35% 40% 8% 4% 7% 7% 232 Registered Republican Registered 75% 12% 7% 1% 1% 4% 183 Democrat 5% 87% 2% 3% 1% 2% 289 Independent 34% 30% 13% 6% 5% 12% 124 Republican 78% 8% 4% 1% 4% 5% 220 Voted Early Voted 24% 70% 6% 0% 82 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 39% 46% 4% 3% 3% 5% 523 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 32% 28% 16% 3% 5% 16% 41 Definitely Decided Definitely 40% 53% 4% 1% 1% 1% 405 Leaning TowardsSomeoneLeaning 40% 38% 8% 5% 5% 3% 71 Still Trying To DecideTo Trying Still 28% 10% 8% 11% 11% 32% 88 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 37% 54% 4% 2% 2% 1% 329 Very Interested Very 38% 44% 6% 3% 2% 7% 203 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 31% 38% 7% 3% 8% 12% 112 GunOwner 49% 33% 6% 3% 3% 6% 347 Non-GunOwner 18% 68% 4% 2% 3% 5% 276 18 to 34 to 18 32% 46% 11% 5% 3% 3% 137 35 to 49 to 35 36% 41% 7% 3% 5% 8% 162 50 to 64 to 50 42% 49% 1% 3% 2% 4% 197 65 and olderand65 34% 58% 2% 1% 1% 5% 142 Male 45% 39% 6% 5% 3% 3% 309 Female 29% 56% 4% 1% 3% 7% 338 High school or less or school High 57% 25% 7% 2% 3% 6% 143 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 41% 45% 3% 4% 5% 2% 143 College graduate College 34% 46% 6% 2% 2% 8% 219 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 14% 79% 2% 2% 2% 1% 134 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 46% 36% 6% 1% 2% 9% 106 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 47% 37% 4% 4% 7% 61 Few times a yeara Few times 39% 46% 4% 4% 1% 5% 186 Never 29% 56% 4% 3% 4% 3% 276 Less than $30,000 than Less 35% 41% 8% 4% 5% 7% 70 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 43% 40% 4% 2% 3% 8% 133 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 32% 57% 4% 3% 2% 2% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 38% 48% 6% 1% 2% 5% 143 10 years or less or years 10 27% 62% 5% 4% 2% 54 11 to 20 years20 to 11 25% 57% 7% 4% 3% 3% 107 21 to 30 years30 to 21 32% 49% 8% 2% 3% 7% 142 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 43% 43% 3% 2% 3% 6% 338 Central Maine Central 42% 42% 8% 2% 2% 4% 147 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 29% 51% 9% 4% 4% 3% 117 Northern Maine Northern 44% 39% 3% 5% 5% 4% 153 Southern MaineSouthern 32% 55% 2% 1% 2% 8% 230 First Cong. DistCong. First 33% 53% 4% 1% 2% 7% 317 SecondDistCong. 40% 43% 6% 4% 3% 4% 330
36 U S President - Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein With LeanersWith Johnson Stein vs. vs. TrumpClinton vs. - USPresident
Trump Clinton Johnson Stein Other Undecided (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 37% 48% 5% 3% 3% 3% 646
Registered Democrat Registered 9% 85% 1% 3% 1% 1% 228 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 35% 41% 8% 4% 7% 5% 232 Registered Republican Registered 76% 12% 7% 1% 1% 3% 183 Democrat 5% 87% 2% 3% 1% 1% 288 Independent 34% 33% 13% 6% 6% 8% 124 Republican 79% 8% 4% 1% 4% 4% 220 Voted Early Voted 24% 70% 6% 0% 82 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 39% 47% 4% 3% 3% 3% 522 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 32% 31% 16% 5% 7% 9% 41 Definitely Decided Definitely 40% 53% 4% 1% 1% 0% 405 Leaning TowardsSomeoneLeaning 40% 40% 8% 6% 5% 1% 71 Still Trying To DecideTo Trying Still 30% 14% 10% 11% 14% 22% 87 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 38% 54% 4% 2% 2% 328 Very Interested Very 38% 45% 6% 3% 2% 5% 203 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 33% 39% 7% 3% 8% 10% 112 GunOwner 49% 34% 6% 3% 3% 4% 347 Non-GunOwner 19% 69% 4% 2% 3% 2% 275 18 to 34 to 18 33% 46% 11% 5% 4% 1% 137 35 to 49 to 35 36% 43% 8% 3% 5% 6% 162 50 to 64 to 50 42% 49% 1% 3% 3% 3% 197 65 and olderand65 34% 58% 2% 1% 1% 3% 140 Male 46% 39% 6% 5% 3% 1% 308 Female 29% 57% 4% 1% 3% 5% 338 High school or less or school High 58% 26% 8% 2% 4% 2% 142 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 41% 45% 3% 5% 5% 1% 143 College graduate College 34% 48% 6% 2% 3% 7% 219 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 14% 79% 2% 2% 2% 1% 134 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 47% 36% 6% 1% 4% 6% 106 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 49% 37% 4% 5% 5% 61 Few times a yeara Few times 39% 48% 4% 4% 1% 3% 185 Never 29% 57% 5% 3% 4% 3% 276 Less than $30,000 than Less 35% 41% 8% 5% 7% 4% 70 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 44% 40% 5% 2% 4% 5% 133 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 32% 57% 4% 3% 2% 2% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 38% 50% 6% 1% 2% 3% 143 10 years or less or years 10 27% 62% 5% 4% 2% 54 11 to 20 years20 to 11 25% 60% 8% 4% 3% 107 21 to 30 years30 to 21 33% 49% 8% 2% 5% 4% 142 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 44% 43% 3% 3% 3% 4% 337 Central Maine Central 43% 43% 9% 2% 2% 2% 146 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 29% 52% 9% 5% 4% 1% 117 Northern Maine Northern 44% 39% 3% 5% 5% 4% 153 Southern MaineSouthern 33% 56% 2% 1% 3% 4% 230 First Cong. DistCong. First 34% 54% 4% 1% 3% 4% 317 SecondDistCong. 40% 43% 6% 4% 3% 3% 329
37 US President - Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein With LeanersWith(CD1Only) Johnson Stein vs. vs. TrumpClinton vs. - USPresident
Trump Clinton Johnson Stein Other Undecided (N) M aine First District Likely Voters Likely District MaineFirst 34% 54% 4% 1% 3% 4% 317
Registered Democrat Registered 7% 89% 1% 2% 1% 1% 116 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 34% 44% 6% 2% 7% 6% 131 Registered Republican Registered 78% 13% 5% 4% 68 Democrat 5% 90% 1% 2% 2% 1% 156 Independent 33% 37% 12% 2% 8% 8% 60 Republican 80% 9% 3% 1% 1% 6% 92 Voted Early Voted 21% 74% 5% 46 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 37% 52% 3% 2% 3% 4% 248 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 26% 40% 10% 3% 12% 10% 23 Definitely Decided Definitely 36% 60% 2% 1% 1% 194 Leaning TowardsSomeoneLeaning 46% 40% 5% 6% 3% 34 Still Trying To DecideTo Trying Still 25% 18% 8% 6% 16% 27% 42 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 33% 62% 3% 1% 2% 168 Very Interested Very 38% 45% 5% 3% 4% 6% 94 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 28% 46% 5% 6% 14% 54 GunOwner 45% 40% 3% 2% 3% 6% 142 Non-GunOwner 20% 69% 4% 1% 3% 3% 160 18 to 34 to 18 31% 55% 4% 3% 5% 2% 81 35 to 49 to 35 32% 48% 8% 4% 8% 68 50 to 64 to 50 37% 54% 2% 2% 2% 3% 94 65 and olderand65 33% 61% 1% 1% 1% 4% 67 Male 42% 44% 5% 2% 4% 3% 155 Female 25% 63% 3% 1% 3% 6% 163 High school or less or school High 56% 30% 7% 1% 3% 3% 54 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 46% 41% 4% 6% 3% 69 College graduate College 28% 57% 6% 1% 2% 7% 123 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 10% 85% 1% 4% 67 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 48% 33% 7% 3% 10% 45 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 48% 36% 5% 5% 6% 26 Few times a yeara Few times 35% 56% 2% 4% 1% 4% 98 Never 24% 65% 3% 1% 4% 3% 139 Less than $30,000 than Less 29% 45% 11% 3% 10% 2% 26 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 41% 45% 2% 2% 5% 6% 61 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 33% 62% 2% 1% 3% 74 $100,000 or more or $100,000 32% 56% 5% 2% 1% 3% 78 10 years or less or years 10 27% 63% 5% 5% 24 11 to 20 years20 to 11 22% 64% 8% 2% 4% 54 21 to 30 years30 to 21 28% 58% 2% 1% 7% 5% 84 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 41% 48% 3% 1% 1% 5% 152 Central Maine Central 51% 35% 3% 3% 8% 32 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 26% 54% 11% 4% 3% 1% 55 Southern MaineSouthern 33% 56% 2% 1% 3% 4% 230
38 US President - Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein With LeanersWith(CD2Only) Johnson Stein vs. vs. TrumpClinton vs. - USPresident
Trump Clinton Johnson Stein Other Undecided (N) M aine Second District Likely Voters Likely MaineSecond District 40% 43% 6% 4% 3% 3% 329
Registered Democrat Registered 10% 81% 1% 4% 1% 2% 112 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 35% 37% 9% 7% 8% 4% 101 Registered Republican Registered 75% 12% 9% 2% 1% 2% 115 Democrat 6% 84% 4% 4% 1% 1% 132 Independent 35% 29% 14% 10% 4% 8% 64 Republican 78% 8% 5% 1% 6% 2% 128 Voted Early Voted 28% 65% 6% 1% 36 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 42% 42% 5% 4% 4% 3% 274 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 41% 19% 25% 6% 8% 18 Definitely Decided Definitely 45% 47% 5% 2% 2% 211 Leaning TowardsSomeoneLeaning 35% 39% 10% 7% 7% 3% 37 Still Trying To DecideTo Trying Still 34% 10% 11% 16% 12% 17% 45 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 43% 45% 5% 3% 3% 160 Very Interested Very 39% 45% 7% 4% 1% 5% 109 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 37% 33% 9% 6% 9% 5% 58 GunOwner 53% 29% 8% 4% 3% 3% 204 Non-GunOwner 17% 69% 4% 4% 4% 2% 115 18 to 34 to 18 36% 32% 21% 8% 3% 56 35 to 49 to 35 39% 39% 8% 4% 5% 4% 93 50 to 64 to 50 46% 45% 4% 3% 2% 103 65 and olderand65 36% 56% 2% 1% 1% 3% 74 Male 49% 34% 7% 7% 3% 153 Female 33% 51% 6% 1% 4% 5% 175 High school or less or school High 59% 24% 8% 3% 4% 1% 88 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 36% 49% 6% 5% 3% 74 College graduate College 42% 36% 7% 4% 4% 6% 96 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 17% 73% 2% 4% 1% 2% 67 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 47% 39% 5% 2% 4% 3% 61 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 50% 38% 4% 5% 4% 35 Few times a yeara Few times 44% 40% 7% 5% 2% 2% 88 Never 33% 49% 6% 6% 4% 3% 137 Less than $30,000 than Less 38% 39% 6% 7% 6% 5% 44 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 47% 36% 7% 2% 3% 4% 72 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 30% 51% 6% 6% 5% 2% 59 $100,000 or more or $100,000 45% 42% 6% 1% 4% 2% 65 10 years or less or years 10 27% 61% 5% 7% 30 11 to 20 years20 to 11 27% 55% 8% 6% 3% 54 21 to 30 years30 to 21 41% 36% 15% 2% 2% 4% 58 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 46% 40% 3% 4% 5% 3% 185 Central Maine Central 40% 45% 10% 2% 1% 1% 114 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 32% 50% 7% 5% 4% 2% 62 Northern Maine Northern 44% 39% 3% 5% 5% 4% 153
39 HowMuch HeardAboutCampaign Leaked Clinton Emails?
A Great DealGreatA Amount Fair A Littlea Only All NothingAt Know Don't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 42% 34% 18% 5% 1% 580
Registered Democrat Registered 42% 35% 19% 5% 183 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 38% 33% 19% 8% 2% 223 Registered Republican Registered 47% 36% 14% 2% 0% 170 Democrat 39% 36% 20% 5% 239 Independent 37% 38% 16% 6% 2% 121 Republican 47% 30% 17% 5% 0% 205 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 43% 35% 17% 5% 1% 537 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 27% 33% 27% 9% 3% 43 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 51% 32% 14% 2% 1% 274 Very Interested Very 36% 39% 21% 4% 190 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 29% 31% 22% 16% 2% 113 GunOwner 43% 34% 15% 7% 1% 321 Non-GunOwner 40% 34% 22% 4% 1% 237 18 to 34 to 18 40% 34% 14% 10% 2% 130 35 to 49 to 35 37% 33% 25% 4% 1% 152 50 to 64 to 50 41% 38% 17% 3% 0% 172 65 and olderand65 51% 31% 14% 4% 117 Male 45% 34% 16% 5% 1% 287 Female 39% 35% 19% 6% 1% 293 High school or less or school High 42% 29% 17% 10% 2% 129 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 41% 38% 14% 7% 138 College graduate College 42% 34% 19% 4% 1% 193 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 42% 37% 21% 111 TrumpVoter 46% 32% 16% 5% 1% 218 Clinton Voter Clinton 38% 38% 19% 5% 0% 256 JohnsonVoter 36% 28% 23% 8% 6% 28 Stein Voter Stein 63% 30% 7% 18 Other/Undecided 42% 32% 18% 9% 54 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 43% 38% 11% 8% 97 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 49% 29% 18% 5% 53 Few times a yeara Few times 42% 36% 18% 4% 1% 174 Never 41% 32% 20% 6% 2% 241 Less than $30,000 than Less 26% 41% 25% 6% 1% 70 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 44% 30% 18% 6% 1% 121 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 44% 36% 19% 2% 117 $100,000 or more or $100,000 49% 32% 17% 1% 1% 124 10 years or less or years 10 30% 28% 31% 10% 51 11 to 20 years20 to 11 46% 37% 10% 6% 1% 104 21 to 30 years30 to 21 37% 38% 17% 5% 2% 123 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 44% 33% 18% 5% 0% 296 Central Maine Central 43% 35% 15% 7% 130 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 41% 39% 16% 4% 1% 98 Northern Maine Northern 47% 32% 14% 5% 1% 149 Southern MaineSouthern 37% 34% 23% 5% 1% 203 First Cong. DistCong. First 37% 35% 21% 5% 1% 278 SecondDistCong. 45% 34% 15% 6% 1% 302
40 Effect of Leaked Clinton CampaignLeaked Clinton of ClintonEmailsOnForVoteEffect
M ore Likely to Vote to MoreLikely (N) More Likely to Vote ForVote to MoreLikely Against MakesNoImpact KnowDon't M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 2% 39% 57% 2% 576
Registered Democrat Registered 3% 17% 77% 3% 182 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 1% 42% 56% 1% 222 Registered Republican Registered 2% 61% 35% 2% 169 Democrat 3% 15% 81% 1% 237 Independent 1% 43% 52% 3% 120 Republican 1% 64% 33% 1% 203 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 2% 39% 56% 2% 532 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 38% 62% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 1% 38% 60% 0% 271 Very Interested Very 2% 42% 53% 3% 190 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 4% 38% 54% 4% 112 GunOwner 2% 47% 48% 2% 320 Non-GunOwner 2% 29% 69% 1% 234 18 to 34 to 18 1% 53% 44% 2% 130 35 to 49 to 35 35% 64% 2% 152 50 to 64 to 50 3% 37% 58% 2% 170 65 and olderand65 3% 33% 63% 1% 113 Male 2% 48% 48% 2% 286 Female 2% 31% 65% 2% 290 High school or less or school High 2% 54% 41% 3% 128 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 3% 41% 55% 2% 137 College graduate College 1% 39% 58% 1% 191 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 1% 22% 76% 111 TrumpVoter 0% 68% 30% 2% 216 Clinton Voter Clinton 4% 6% 88% 1% 254 JohnsonVoter 73% 27% 28 Stein Voter Stein 67% 25% 8% 18 Other/Undecided 48% 47% 5% 53 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 4% 45% 48% 3% 94 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 1% 48% 48% 2% 52 Few times a yeara Few times 2% 43% 55% 174 Never 1% 31% 65% 2% 240 Less than $30,000 than Less 4% 42% 49% 5% 68 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 3% 50% 46% 1% 121 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 3% 30% 67% 1% 117 $100,000 or more or $100,000 1% 39% 60% 123 10 years or less or years 10 1% 36% 62% 51 11 to 20 years20 to 11 2% 32% 65% 1% 105 21 to 30 years30 to 21 1% 45% 50% 4% 122 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 2% 40% 56% 1% 293 Central Maine Central 3% 42% 53% 2% 128 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 1% 39% 59% 97 Northern Maine Northern 2% 44% 50% 4% 149 Southern MaineSouthern 2% 34% 63% 1% 202 First Cong. DistCong. First 2% 35% 62% 1% 277 SecondDistCong. 2% 43% 52% 3% 299
41 HowMuch HeardAbout Trump Video?
A Great DealGreatA Amount Fair A Littlea Only All NothingAt Know Don't (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 56% 27% 10% 5% 1% 579
Registered Democrat Registered 69% 18% 9% 4% 183 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 51% 30% 10% 5% 4% 223 Registered Republican Registered 49% 34% 10% 7% 171 Democrat 64% 25% 7% 4% 238 Independent 51% 28% 13% 6% 2% 121 Republican 49% 30% 12% 7% 2% 205 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 56% 27% 10% 5% 1% 536 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 52% 28% 11% 7% 3% 43 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 65% 25% 5% 3% 2% 274 Very Interested Very 51% 30% 12% 6% 1% 189 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 43% 27% 17% 12% 1% 113 GunOwner 53% 28% 13% 5% 1% 320 Non-GunOwner 58% 27% 7% 6% 1% 237 18 to 34 to 18 53% 28% 10% 6% 4% 130 35 to 49 to 35 52% 29% 14% 3% 2% 152 50 to 64 to 50 56% 29% 9% 6% 172 65 and olderand65 65% 19% 7% 8% 1% 116 Male 57% 26% 11% 4% 2% 286 Female 55% 28% 10% 7% 0% 294 High school or less or school High 53% 17% 18% 9% 3% 129 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 52% 30% 9% 8% 1% 138 College graduate College 54% 34% 8% 3% 1% 193 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 67% 25% 7% 1% 111 TrumpVoter 48% 28% 13% 8% 2% 218 Clinton Voter Clinton 63% 27% 7% 3% 0% 255 JohnsonVoter 50% 27% 9% 9% 6% 28 Stein Voter Stein 73% 24% 3% 18 Other/Undecided 53% 25% 18% 4% 54 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 55% 32% 4% 9% 97 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 54% 24% 16% 6% 53 Few times a yeara Few times 52% 31% 10% 5% 2% 174 Never 59% 23% 12% 4% 1% 240 Less than $30,000 than Less 43% 34% 10% 13% 70 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 55% 29% 9% 6% 1% 121 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 63% 25% 7% 3% 1% 117 $100,000 or more or $100,000 61% 26% 10% 3% 1% 124 10 years or less or years 10 55% 18% 14% 10% 3% 51 11 to 20 years20 to 11 64% 24% 8% 3% 1% 103 21 to 30 years30 to 21 50% 35% 8% 4% 3% 123 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 56% 26% 11% 6% 1% 297 Central Maine Central 55% 30% 9% 5% 1% 130 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 60% 22% 11% 7% 98 Northern Maine Northern 52% 27% 12% 6% 3% 149 Southern MaineSouthern 58% 28% 9% 5% 1% 202 First Cong. DistCong. First 56% 29% 9% 4% 1% 277 SecondDistCong. 56% 25% 11% 7% 2% 303
42 Effect of Trump of TrumpOnVideoFor Vote Effect
M ore Likely to Vote to MoreLikely (N) More Likely to Vote ForVote to MoreLikely Against MakesNoImpact KnowDon't M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 2% 38% 59% 1% 581
Registered Democrat Registered 1% 54% 44% 0% 183 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 2% 40% 55% 2% 224 Registered Republican Registered 2% 19% 79% 1% 171 Democrat 1% 60% 39% 0% 239 Independent 2% 35% 61% 3% 121 Republican 3% 16% 80% 1% 206 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 2% 38% 59% 1% 537 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 2% 39% 56% 3% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 1% 37% 61% 1% 274 Very Interested Very 4% 40% 55% 1% 191 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 1% 36% 61% 2% 113 GunOwner 3% 28% 68% 1% 321 Non-GunOwner 1% 52% 46% 1% 237 18 to 34 to 18 40% 59% 1% 130 35 to 49 to 35 3% 39% 57% 2% 152 50 to 64 to 50 1% 38% 60% 1% 172 65 and olderand65 4% 34% 60% 2% 117 Male 3% 32% 63% 2% 287 Female 1% 44% 54% 1% 294 High school or less or school High 5% 22% 69% 4% 129 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 1% 35% 63% 1% 138 College graduate College 2% 44% 54% 0% 193 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 51% 49% 111 Clinton Voter Clinton 67% 32% 1% 256 TrumpVoter 4% 4% 91% 1% 219 JohnsonVoter 6% 33% 56% 6% 28 Stein Voter Stein 29% 71% 18 Other/Undecided 44% 55% 1% 54 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 2% 36% 61% 1% 97 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 3% 18% 78% 53 Few times a yeara Few times 2% 42% 55% 1% 174 Never 2% 40% 57% 1% 241 Less than $30,000 than Less 6% 28% 66% 70 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 2% 33% 64% 1% 121 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 2% 47% 52% 117 $100,000 or more or $100,000 1% 38% 61% 1% 124 10 years or less or years 10 46% 54% 51 11 to 20 years20 to 11 2% 44% 53% 1% 105 21 to 30 years30 to 21 1% 43% 55% 1% 123 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 2% 33% 63% 1% 297 Central Maine Central 3% 37% 59% 1% 130 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 1% 43% 56% 98 Northern Maine Northern 1% 31% 66% 2% 149 Southern MaineSouthern 3% 42% 54% 2% 203 First Cong. DistCong. First 2% 41% 55% 1% 278 SecondDistCong. 2% 35% 62% 1% 303
43 US Congress District 1 - Pingree vs. Holbrook vs. Pingree - 1 USCongress District
Holbrook Pingree Other Undecided (N) M aine First District Likely Voters Likely District MaineFirst 24% 59% 3% 13% 299
Registered Democrat Registered 4% 89% 2% 6% 113 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 20% 54% 6% 19% 120 Registered Republican Registered 66% 19% 1% 14% 64 Democrat 3% 89% 2% 6% 150 Independent 20% 45% 7% 28% 57 Republican 62% 20% 2% 16% 83 Voted Early Voted 19% 80% 1% 1% 47 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 26% 56% 3% 15% 233 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 8% 57% 9% 25% 20 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 20% 67% 3% 10% 162 Very Interested Very 33% 48% 4% 15% 85 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 21% 53% 4% 22% 51 GunOwner 35% 48% 3% 14% 135 Non-GunOwner 12% 72% 3% 13% 150 18 to 34 to 18 19% 61% 5% 15% 76 35 to 49 to 35 24% 50% 4% 23% 62 50 to 64 to 50 29% 59% 2% 10% 91 65 and olderand65 25% 68% 2% 5% 64 Male 35% 50% 2% 12% 146 Female 13% 68% 5% 14% 153 High school or less or school High 32% 47% 21% 48 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 28% 56% 8% 8% 62 College graduate College 26% 55% 4% 15% 118 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 10% 81% 1% 8% 68 TrumpVoter 53% 20% 4% 23% 94 Clinton Voter Clinton 5% 86% 1% 7% 163 JohnsonVoter 33% 49% 10% 8% 11 Stein Voter Stein 34% 66% 4 Other/Undecided 34% 42% 9% 15% 23 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 33% 45% 2% 20% 44 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 32% 49% 3% 16% 25 Few times a yeara Few times 28% 55% 1% 16% 90 Never 15% 71% 6% 8% 130 Less than $30,000 than Less 9% 75% 15% 25 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 21% 60% 4% 14% 60 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 23% 60% 3% 15% 73 $100,000 or more or $100,000 33% 53% 1% 12% 73 10 years or less or years 10 14% 76% 10% 23 11 to 20 years20 to 11 25% 59% 2% 13% 47 21 to 30 years30 to 21 13% 61% 7% 19% 81 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 31% 57% 2% 10% 143 Central Maine Central 40% 50% 3% 7% 32 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 16% 72% 5% 7% 52 Southern MaineSouthern 23% 58% 3% 16% 215
44 US Congress District 1 - Pingree vs. HolbrookLeanersWith vs. Pingree - 1 USCongress District
Holbrook Pingree Other Undecided (N) M aine First District Likely Voters Likely District MaineFirst 28% 61% 3% 8% 299
Registered Democrat Registered 4% 91% 2% 3% 113 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 25% 56% 6% 13% 120 Registered Republican Registered 75% 19% 1% 6% 64 Democrat 3% 92% 2% 3% 150 Independent 24% 45% 7% 24% 57 Republican 72% 20% 2% 6% 83 Voted Early Voted 19% 80% 1% 46 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 31% 57% 3% 8% 233 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 8% 62% 9% 20% 20 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 22% 68% 3% 6% 162 Very Interested Very 39% 51% 4% 7% 85 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 27% 55% 4% 14% 51 GunOwner 40% 49% 3% 7% 135 Non-GunOwner 14% 74% 3% 9% 149 18 to 34 to 18 23% 61% 5% 10% 76 35 to 49 to 35 29% 56% 4% 12% 62 50 to 64 to 50 31% 59% 2% 7% 91 65 and olderand65 27% 69% 2% 2% 64 Male 40% 51% 2% 7% 146 Female 16% 71% 5% 9% 153 High school or less or school High 39% 49% 12% 48 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 30% 57% 8% 5% 62 College graduate College 30% 58% 4% 8% 118 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 12% 81% 1% 6% 68 TrumpVoter 63% 21% 4% 12% 94 Clinton Voter Clinton 5% 88% 1% 5% 163 JohnsonVoter 41% 49% 10% 11 Stein Voter Stein 34% 66% 4 Other/Undecided 34% 42% 9% 15% 23 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 39% 50% 2% 9% 44 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 41% 49% 3% 6% 25 Few times a yeara Few times 33% 56% 1% 10% 90 Never 16% 72% 6% 6% 130 Less than $30,000 than Less 14% 75% 11% 25 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 27% 61% 4% 8% 60 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 27% 62% 3% 8% 73 $100,000 or more or $100,000 35% 56% 1% 7% 73 10 years or less or years 10 14% 80% 5% 23 11 to 20 years20 to 11 25% 65% 2% 8% 47 21 to 30 years30 to 21 21% 62% 7% 10% 81 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 34% 57% 2% 7% 143 Central Maine Central 43% 50% 3% 3% 32 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 18% 74% 5% 3% 52 Southern MaineSouthern 28% 60% 3% 10% 215
45 U S Congress District 2 - Poliquin vs. Cain vs. Poliquin - 2 USCongress District
Poliquin Cain Other Undecided (N) M aine Second District Likely Voters Likely MaineSecond District 42% 43% 4% 11% 317
Registered Democrat Registered 10% 82% 3% 5% 110 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 39% 38% 5% 18% 92 Registered Republican Registered 76% 10% 4% 10% 114 Democrat 10% 82% 2% 6% 130 Independent 40% 31% 7% 22% 61 Republican 79% 9% 3% 9% 121 Voted Early Voted 34% 63% 4% 34 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 43% 43% 4% 10% 267 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 41% 16% 43% 17 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 43% 49% 3% 5% 156 Very Interested Very 45% 41% 2% 11% 107 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 33% 33% 7% 27% 53 GunOwner 52% 33% 4% 11% 198 Non-GunOwner 24% 63% 3% 11% 111 18 to 34 to 18 61% 19% 3% 16% 51 35 to 49 to 35 39% 46% 5% 10% 91 50 to 64 to 50 39% 44% 3% 14% 101 65 and olderand65 36% 57% 4% 3% 73 Male 46% 40% 3% 11% 148 Female 39% 46% 4% 11% 169 High school or less or school High 48% 31% 4% 17% 85 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 48% 44% 3% 5% 71 College graduate College 43% 38% 3% 16% 93 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 28% 66% 4% 2% 66 TrumpVoter 79% 7% 5% 9% 124 Clinton Voter Clinton 6% 83% 2% 8% 138 JohnsonVoter 68% 7% 9% 15% 16 Stein Voter Stein 27% 60% 13% 13 Other/Undecided 50% 21% 4% 25% 24 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 54% 39% 8% 63 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 47% 31% 6% 17% 32 Few times a yeara Few times 49% 37% 15% 83 Never 31% 53% 7% 9% 131 Less than $30,000 than Less 33% 48% 4% 15% 40 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 43% 40% 6% 10% 69 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 34% 55% 3% 8% 57 $100,000 or more or $100,000 56% 31% 2% 11% 66 10 years or less or years 10 16% 58% 11% 16% 28 11 to 20 years20 to 11 34% 50% 3% 13% 50 21 to 30 years30 to 21 54% 36% 2% 8% 55 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 45% 42% 3% 10% 183 Central Maine Central 41% 45% 5% 9% 110 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 34% 53% 1% 12% 57 Northern Maine Northern 46% 39% 3% 12% 150
46 US Congress District 2 - Poliquin vs. Cain With LeanersWithCain vs. Poliquin - 2 USCongress District
Poliquin Cain Other Undecided (N) M aine Second District Likely Voters Likely MaineSecond District 44% 46% 4% 6% 314
Registered Democrat Registered 10% 86% 3% 1% 109 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 41% 44% 5% 10% 90 Registered Republican Registered 79% 10% 4% 7% 114 Democrat 10% 87% 2% 1% 129 Independent 41% 32% 7% 19% 61 Republican 83% 10% 4% 4% 119 Voted Early Voted 35% 65% 32 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 45% 45% 4% 5% 266 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 43% 28% 29% 16 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 44% 51% 3% 2% 155 Very Interested Very 46% 43% 3% 8% 106 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 39% 40% 7% 14% 52 GunOwner 54% 33% 4% 8% 197 Non-GunOwner 24% 70% 3% 2% 108 18 to 34 to 18 61% 26% 3% 10% 51 35 to 49 to 35 42% 46% 5% 7% 90 50 to 64 to 50 42% 49% 3% 6% 100 65 and olderand65 37% 58% 4% 1% 72 Male 49% 44% 3% 3% 146 Female 40% 48% 4% 8% 168 High school or less or school High 53% 36% 5% 7% 83 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 49% 46% 3% 1% 71 College graduate College 44% 41% 3% 12% 91 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 28% 66% 4% 2% 66 TrumpVoter 83% 7% 5% 5% 123 Clinton Voter Clinton 7% 88% 2% 3% 137 JohnsonVoter 68% 7% 9% 15% 16 Stein Voter Stein 27% 73% 13 Other/Undecided 53% 23% 4% 20% 23 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 55% 40% 1% 5% 62 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 50% 35% 6% 9% 32 Few times a yeara Few times 50% 42% 7% 82 Never 33% 55% 7% 5% 130 Less than $30,000 than Less 36% 58% 4% 2% 40 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 45% 43% 7% 6% 68 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 35% 56% 3% 6% 56 $100,000 or more or $100,000 58% 33% 2% 7% 66 10 years or less or years 10 16% 70% 11% 4% 28 11 to 20 years20 to 11 34% 53% 3% 11% 50 21 to 30 years30 to 21 57% 36% 2% 5% 55 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 47% 44% 3% 5% 180 Central Maine Central 43% 48% 5% 4% 109 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 36% 54% 2% 8% 56 Northern Maine Northern 48% 43% 3% 6% 149
47 Effect of Poliquin Not EndorsingNotTrump Poliquin Onof Vote Effect
Makes Little Difference in Difference MakesLittle (N) More Likely to Vote ForVote to MoreForVoteLikely to LessLikely Vote KnowDon't M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 1% 18% 78% 3% 299
Registered Democrat Registered 2% 17% 77% 4% 94 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 1% 17% 78% 4% 96 Registered Republican Registered 1% 18% 78% 2% 108 Democrat 1% 26% 70% 3% 111 Independent 14% 80% 5% 62 Republican 2% 12% 85% 1% 119 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 1% 18% 77% 3% 280 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 4% 9% 87% 19 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 1% 18% 78% 2% 139 Very Interested Very 2% 20% 75% 3% 101 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 11% 83% 6% 57 GunOwner 2% 20% 74% 4% 191 Non-GunOwner 1% 15% 83% 2% 99 18 to 34 to 18 3% 9% 79% 9% 53 35 to 49 to 35 1% 19% 77% 3% 90 50 to 64 to 50 2% 17% 80% 1% 93 65 and olderand65 23% 77% 61 Male 2% 20% 76% 2% 147 Female 1% 15% 80% 4% 152 High school or less or school High 17% 79% 4% 81 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 2% 15% 83% 71 College graduate College 3% 19% 72% 6% 86 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 21% 78% 1% 57 TrumpVoter 14% 84% 1% 120 Clinton Voter Clinton 3% 24% 70% 3% 118 JohnsonVoter 5% 9% 77% 10% 18 Stein Voter Stein 39% 61% 13 Other/Undecided 2% 98% 25 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 1% 15% 83% 57 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 11% 85% 4% 30 Few times a yeara Few times 2% 17% 78% 3% 82 Never 1% 22% 72% 5% 121 Less than $30,000 than Less 15% 81% 4% 43 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 3% 23% 73% 1% 65 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 25% 75% 54 $100,000 or more or $100,000 16% 80% 4% 60 10 years or less or years 10 25% 67% 8% 30 11 to 20 years20 to 11 5% 17% 73% 5% 52 21 to 30 years30 to 21 1% 14% 79% 5% 50 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 1% 17% 81% 1% 165 Central Maine Central 17% 81% 3% 101 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 3% 18% 78% 1% 49 Northern Maine Northern 2% 18% 76% 4% 148
48 Question 1 - Legalizing Marijuana Legalizing - Question1
Yes No Undecided (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 50% 41% 9% 663
Registered Democrat Registered 62% 28% 10% 230 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 51% 38% 11% 243 Registered Republican Registered 32% 61% 6% 187 Democrat 65% 24% 11% 292 Independent 46% 44% 10% 130 Republican 33% 60% 6% 224 Voted Early Voted 53% 46% 2% 84 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 47% 42% 11% 535 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 76% 19% 5% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 49% 42% 9% 333 Very Interested Very 48% 45% 8% 207 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 56% 31% 13% 120 GunOwner 46% 45% 8% 357 Non-GunOwner 55% 35% 10% 282 18 to 34 to 18 62% 26% 12% 138 35 to 49 to 35 50% 44% 6% 164 50 to 64 to 50 47% 44% 9% 203 65 and olderand65 42% 48% 10% 149 Male 55% 39% 5% 319 Female 45% 42% 13% 344 High school or less or school High 48% 44% 8% 147 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 55% 35% 10% 145 College graduate College 47% 43% 11% 224 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 52% 41% 7% 138 TrumpVoter 33% 59% 8% 237 Clinton Voter Clinton 61% 28% 11% 310 JohnsonVoter 74% 26% 33 Stein Voter Stein 60% 29% 11% 18 Other/Undecided 50% 43% 7% 54 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 20% 71% 8% 110 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 49% 44% 7% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 54% 35% 11% 189 Never 59% 32% 9% 281 Less than $30,000 than Less 56% 36% 7% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 49% 42% 9% 133 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 54% 36% 10% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 40% 52% 8% 144 10 years or less or years 10 58% 34% 7% 59 11 to 20 years20 to 11 61% 28% 11% 109 21 to 30 years30 to 21 62% 32% 6% 143 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 40% 50% 10% 347 Central Maine Central 43% 48% 8% 151 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 59% 34% 7% 118 Northern Maine Northern 41% 52% 7% 156 Southern MaineSouthern 55% 32% 12% 238 First Cong. DistCong. First 55% 34% 11% 327 SecondDistCong. 45% 47% 7% 336
49 Q uestion 2 - Tax on Personal IncomePersonalonTaxEducation FundOverFor$200,000 - Question 2
Yes No Undecided (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 57% 34% 9% 663
Registered Democrat Registered 78% 15% 7% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 60% 30% 11% 239 Registered Republican Registered 29% 63% 8% 189 Democrat 80% 14% 6% 292 Independent 49% 41% 10% 129 Republican 34% 56% 10% 225 Voted Early Voted 62% 35% 2% 86 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 56% 35% 9% 534 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 69% 20% 11% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 60% 34% 6% 333 Very Interested Very 49% 42% 9% 206 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 64% 22% 15% 122 GunOwner 51% 40% 10% 355 Non-GunOwner 67% 25% 7% 284 18 to 34 to 18 67% 23% 10% 140 35 to 49 to 35 61% 35% 4% 163 50 to 64 to 50 51% 40% 9% 202 65 and olderand65 54% 35% 11% 149 Male 53% 40% 7% 318 Female 61% 29% 10% 346 High school or less or school High 57% 32% 11% 147 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 57% 32% 11% 147 College graduate College 55% 38% 6% 220 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 63% 30% 7% 140 TrumpVoter 32% 59% 8% 238 Clinton Voter Clinton 75% 18% 7% 312 JohnsonVoter 56% 33% 10% 32 Stein Voter Stein 88% 7% 5% 18 Other/Undecided 53% 28% 20% 53 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 44% 46% 9% 110 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 45% 45% 10% 61 Few times a yeara Few times 55% 34% 10% 192 Never 68% 26% 7% 279 Less than $30,000 than Less 68% 19% 13% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 63% 29% 8% 133 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 65% 27% 8% 132 $100,000 or more or $100,000 42% 52% 6% 146 10 years or less or years 10 71% 24% 6% 59 11 to 20 years20 to 11 69% 25% 6% 110 21 to 30 years30 to 21 63% 27% 10% 139 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 50% 41% 9% 349 Central Maine Central 56% 36% 8% 153 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 66% 28% 6% 118 Northern Maine Northern 52% 38% 10% 158 Southern MaineSouthern 58% 33% 9% 235 First Cong. DistCong. First 59% 32% 8% 324 SecondDistCong. 56% 35% 9% 340
50 Q uestion 3 - Expand Background- Question3 Checks Gunon Purchases
Yes No Undecided (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 52% 43% 5% 666
Registered Democrat Registered 80% 16% 4% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 49% 45% 7% 242 Registered Republican Registered 21% 76% 3% 189 Democrat 81% 15% 5% 294 Independent 41% 53% 6% 129 Republican 23% 73% 4% 226 Voted Early Voted 66% 33% 1% 86 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 50% 45% 5% 536 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 46% 48% 6% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 55% 43% 2% 332 Very Interested Very 51% 43% 6% 210 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 44% 46% 10% 121 GunOwner 34% 60% 6% 356 Non-GunOwner 76% 21% 4% 285 18 to 34 to 18 48% 48% 4% 138 35 to 49 to 35 45% 48% 6% 165 50 to 64 to 50 50% 46% 4% 204 65 and olderand65 64% 29% 6% 149 Male 39% 57% 3% 316 Female 63% 31% 6% 350 High school or less or school High 34% 62% 4% 148 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 44% 45% 12% 145 College graduate College 51% 46% 3% 223 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 82% 16% 2% 140 TrumpVoter 16% 80% 4% 237 Clinton Voter Clinton 84% 10% 5% 312 JohnsonVoter 23% 77% 33 Stein Voter Stein 61% 39% 18 Other/Undecided 44% 45% 11% 54 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 49% 47% 4% 110 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 50% 48% 2% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 52% 44% 4% 192 Never 55% 39% 6% 280 Less than $30,000 than Less 54% 41% 5% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 50% 44% 7% 133 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 58% 39% 4% 133 $100,000 or more or $100,000 52% 45% 4% 147 10 years or less or years 10 71% 18% 11% 59 11 to 20 years20 to 11 61% 36% 4% 110 21 to 30 years30 to 21 53% 44% 4% 140 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 46% 49% 5% 351 Central Maine Central 46% 47% 6% 152 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 54% 43% 3% 118 Northern Maine Northern 43% 52% 5% 158 Southern MaineSouthern 60% 35% 5% 238 First Cong. DistCong. First 57% 38% 5% 327 SecondDistCong. 47% 49% 5% 339
51 Q uestion 4 - Increasing the Minimum the Increasing Wage 2020by$12- Question 4 to
Yes No Undecided (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 57% 35% 8% 661
Registered Democrat Registered 82% 11% 7% 232 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 56% 36% 9% 240 Registered Republican Registered 29% 63% 8% 186 Democrat 83% 9% 8% 291 Independent 48% 41% 11% 129 Republican 32% 62% 6% 224 Voted Early Voted 67% 32% 1% 86 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 57% 34% 9% 532 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 45% 47% 8% 43 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 62% 32% 7% 327 Very Interested Very 49% 42% 8% 209 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 60% 30% 10% 122 GunOwner 49% 43% 7% 354 Non-GunOwner 69% 23% 8% 282 18 to 34 to 18 50% 46% 5% 137 35 to 49 to 35 53% 37% 10% 164 50 to 64 to 50 57% 35% 8% 201 65 and olderand65 70% 22% 8% 149 Male 54% 40% 6% 313 Female 60% 30% 10% 348 High school or less or school High 56% 38% 5% 146 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 54% 39% 7% 144 College graduate College 53% 38% 9% 222 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 70% 21% 8% 140 TrumpVoter 33% 60% 7% 236 Clinton Voter Clinton 80% 11% 8% 312 JohnsonVoter 29% 66% 4% 30 Stein Voter Stein 56% 37% 6% 18 Other/Undecided 46% 44% 10% 54 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 52% 42% 7% 109 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 46% 44% 11% 62 Few times a yeara Few times 51% 39% 10% 192 Never 68% 26% 6% 278 Less than $30,000 than Less 73% 19% 9% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 54% 40% 7% 133 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 60% 32% 8% 132 $100,000 or more or $100,000 47% 45% 8% 144 10 years or less or years 10 65% 27% 7% 59 11 to 20 years20 to 11 69% 23% 8% 109 21 to 30 years30 to 21 55% 38% 7% 140 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 54% 38% 8% 347 Central Maine Central 58% 36% 6% 149 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 60% 33% 7% 117 Northern Maine Northern 52% 42% 6% 158 Southern MaineSouthern 59% 30% 11% 237 First Cong. DistCong. First 59% 32% 9% 326 SecondDistCong. 56% 37% 7% 335
52 Q uestion 5 - RankChoice Voting- Question 5
Yes No Undecided (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 49% 31% 20% 656
Registered Democrat Registered 65% 17% 18% 230 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 53% 26% 22% 239 Registered Republican Registered 26% 56% 18% 184 Democrat 66% 15% 18% 292 Independent 48% 30% 22% 127 Republican 31% 52% 17% 220 Voted Early Voted 61% 34% 5% 84 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 47% 31% 22% 528 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 58% 24% 18% 44 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 53% 31% 15% 331 Very Interested Very 43% 37% 20% 204 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 49% 21% 30% 118 GunOwner 46% 34% 19% 354 Non-GunOwner 56% 25% 19% 277 18 to 34 to 18 55% 29% 15% 138 35 to 49 to 35 48% 27% 25% 162 50 to 64 to 50 48% 34% 18% 201 65 and olderand65 47% 34% 19% 146 Male 52% 37% 11% 313 Female 46% 26% 27% 343 High school or less or school High 45% 33% 22% 145 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 42% 37% 22% 144 College graduate College 54% 31% 15% 219 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 56% 25% 20% 139 TrumpVoter 31% 50% 18% 233 Clinton Voter Clinton 63% 17% 20% 310 JohnsonVoter 44% 49% 7% 33 Stein Voter Stein 69% 17% 14% 18 Other/Undecided 49% 24% 26% 51 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 36% 41% 24% 109 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 47% 36% 17% 62 Few times a yeara Few times 48% 35% 17% 188 Never 57% 23% 19% 278 Less than $30,000 than Less 54% 27% 18% 75 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 53% 32% 16% 132 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 53% 28% 19% 131 $100,000 or more or $100,000 47% 37% 15% 143 10 years or less or years 10 64% 26% 9% 57 11 to 20 years20 to 11 55% 24% 21% 108 21 to 30 years30 to 21 60% 30% 11% 142 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 41% 35% 24% 344 Central Maine Central 49% 32% 19% 150 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 57% 32% 11% 117 Northern Maine Northern 47% 27% 26% 155 Southern MaineSouthern 48% 33% 19% 234 First Cong. DistCong. First 50% 33% 18% 321 SecondDistCong. 49% 30% 21% 335
53 Q uestion 6 - Bond Issue For Infrastructure Improvements BondInfrastructure For Issue - Question 6
Yes No Undecided (N) M aine Likely Voters MaineLikely 66% 24% 10% 661
Registered Democrat Registered 82% 9% 10% 227 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 64% 22% 13% 242 Registered Republican Registered 49% 45% 6% 189 Democrat 81% 9% 10% 290 Independent 61% 29% 10% 129 Republican 52% 39% 9% 225 Voted Early Voted 82% 18% 84 W ill Definitely Vote Definitely Will 65% 25% 10% 534 W ill Vote Unless EmergencyUnless Vote Will 52% 27% 21% 43 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 67% 25% 8% 331 Very Interested Very 66% 24% 9% 208 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 62% 21% 17% 120 GunOwner 63% 29% 8% 356 Non-GunOwner 72% 17% 11% 281 18 to 34 to 18 59% 24% 17% 137 35 to 49 to 35 70% 19% 11% 163 50 to 64 to 50 62% 32% 6% 203 65 and olderand65 76% 18% 6% 149 Male 67% 25% 8% 315 Female 65% 23% 12% 346 High school or less or school High 59% 32% 9% 148 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 60% 25% 14% 145 College graduate College 66% 25% 9% 221 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 82% 12% 6% 138 TrumpVoter 47% 44% 9% 239 Clinton Voter Clinton 81% 9% 10% 306 JohnsonVoter 61% 28% 11% 33 Stein Voter Stein 82% 12% 6% 18 Other/Undecided 65% 23% 12% 54 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 58% 32% 10% 110 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 67% 22% 10% 64 Few times a yeara Few times 64% 27% 10% 191 Never 72% 18% 9% 276 Less than $30,000 than Less 72% 18% 10% 76 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 61% 26% 13% 133 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 71% 20% 9% 132 $100,000 or more or $100,000 66% 29% 4% 146 10 years or less or years 10 77% 12% 12% 57 11 to 20 years20 to 11 67% 11% 22% 109 21 to 30 years30 to 21 66% 23% 11% 141 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 65% 30% 5% 348 Central Maine Central 59% 29% 12% 152 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 69% 22% 9% 118 Northern Maine Northern 64% 28% 8% 156 Southern MaineSouthern 71% 19% 10% 235 First Cong. DistCong. First 68% 22% 10% 324 SecondDistCong. 64% 26% 10% 338
54 Voter Registration Voter
Registered DemocratRegistered Unenrolled/OtherRegistered RepublicanRegistered (N) MaineResidents 32% 42% 26% 757
Democrat 69% 27% 4% 316 Independent 9% 76% 15% 161 Republican 1% 36% 63% 252 Early Voter Early 57% 22% 22% 86 Likely Voter Likely 32% 39% 30% 580 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 8% 82% 10% 90 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 41% 32% 28% 341 Very Interested Very 30% 37% 33% 222 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 19% 66% 16% 189 GunOwner 23% 41% 36% 402 Non-GunOwner 42% 44% 14% 330 18 to 34 to 18 22% 62% 16% 187 35 to 49 to 35 27% 47% 27% 181 50 to 64 to 50 35% 33% 32% 220 65 and olderand65 45% 26% 30% 159 Male 26% 45% 29% 365 Female 37% 39% 24% 392 High school or less or school High 17% 54% 28% 188 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 27% 43% 30% 167 College graduate College 33% 40% 28% 245 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 54% 29% 16% 148 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 29% 29% 42% 122 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 27% 44% 30% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 29% 44% 28% 215 Never 36% 45% 18% 324 Less than $30,000 than Less 29% 52% 18% 96 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 29% 43% 28% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 40% 37% 22% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 32% 29% 39% 155 10 years or less or years 10 48% 42% 10% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 39% 40% 22% 129 21 to 30 years30 to 21 29% 51% 20% 167 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 28% 39% 33% 379 Central Maine Central 29% 43% 28% 180 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 37% 42% 21% 137 Northern Maine Northern 26% 37% 37% 170 Southern MaineSouthern 34% 44% 21% 269 First Cong. DistCong. First 33% 47% 20% 371 SecondDistCong. 30% 37% 32% 386
55 Party Identification Party
Democrat Independent Republican (N) MaineResidents 43% 22% 35% 732
Registered Democrat Registered 92% 6% 1% 237 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 29% 41% 30% 298 Registered Republican Registered 6% 13% 82% 194 Early Voter Early 63% 11% 25% 86 Likely Voter Likely 42% 21% 36% 567 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 27% 40% 33% 79 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 52% 16% 32% 337 Very Interested Very 36% 25% 39% 214 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 35% 32% 33% 177 GunOwner 31% 25% 44% 389 Non-GunOwner 58% 19% 23% 325 18 to 34 to 18 41% 26% 34% 176 35 to 49 to 35 37% 26% 38% 174 50 to 64 to 50 42% 23% 35% 218 65 and olderand65 55% 13% 32% 159 Male 39% 20% 41% 351 Female 47% 24% 29% 382 High school or less or school High 27% 27% 47% 185 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 46% 16% 38% 161 College graduate College 43% 23% 34% 237 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 61% 22% 17% 146 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 30% 23% 47% 124 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 35% 30% 36% 70 Few times a yeara Few times 40% 18% 41% 211 Never 52% 23% 25% 312 Less than $30,000 than Less 38% 35% 26% 96 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 43% 20% 37% 146 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 54% 17% 29% 136 $100,000 or more or $100,000 42% 16% 43% 150 10 years or less or years 10 64% 18% 18% 70 11 to 20 years20 to 11 46% 20% 33% 125 21 to 30 years30 to 21 42% 28% 30% 162 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 38% 21% 41% 374 Central Maine Central 43% 21% 36% 167 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 49% 24% 27% 133 Northern Maine Northern 31% 25% 44% 169 Southern MaineSouthern 48% 20% 32% 263 First Cong. DistCong. First 48% 20% 32% 359 SecondDistCong. 39% 24% 37% 373
56 GunOwnership
GunOwner Non-GunOwner (N) MaineResidents 55% 45% 735
Registered Democrat Registered 41% 59% 233 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 53% 47% 310 Registered Republican Registered 76% 24% 189 Democrat 39% 61% 310 Independent 61% 39% 157 Republican 70% 30% 248 Early Voter Early 44% 56% 85 Likely Voter Likely 58% 42% 561 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 48% 52% 90 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 54% 46% 325 Very Interested Very 54% 46% 215 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 58% 42% 190 18 to 34 to 18 54% 46% 187 35 to 49 to 35 56% 44% 176 50 to 64 to 50 58% 42% 214 65 and olderand65 51% 49% 153 Male 64% 36% 353 Female 47% 53% 382 High school or less or school High 63% 37% 184 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 60% 40% 165 College graduate College 53% 47% 241 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 43% 57% 144 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 50% 50% 118 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 67% 33% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 56% 44% 209 Never 53% 47% 322 Less than $30,000 than Less 39% 61% 95 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 58% 42% 147 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 61% 39% 138 $100,000 or more or $100,000 57% 43% 152 10 years or less or years 10 37% 63% 72 11 to 20 years20 to 11 52% 48% 124 21 to 30 years30 to 21 54% 46% 167 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 60% 40% 371 Central Maine Central 60% 40% 174 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 55% 45% 135 Northern Maine Northern 69% 31% 165 Southern MaineSouthern 43% 57% 262 First Cong. DistCong. First 48% 52% 358 SecondDistCong. 62% 38% 377
57 Age of RespondentAge of
18 to 34 to 18 49 to 35 64 to 50 andolder65 (N) MaineResidents 25% 24% 30% 21% 751
Registered Democrat Registered 17% 20% 33% 30% 237 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 37% 27% 23% 13% 312 Registered Republican Registered 16% 25% 36% 24% 197 Democrat 23% 20% 29% 28% 315 Independent 28% 28% 31% 13% 160 Republican 24% 26% 30% 20% 252 Early Voter Early 13% 13% 37% 37% 87 Likely Voter Likely 23% 27% 30% 20% 573 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 50% 19% 19% 12% 91 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 19% 21% 34% 25% 338 Very Interested Very 20% 30% 29% 22% 218 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 41% 22% 22% 15% 189 GunOwner 25% 25% 31% 20% 403 Non-GunOwner 26% 24% 28% 23% 327 Male 27% 22% 30% 21% 363 Female 23% 26% 29% 21% 388 High school or less or school High 24% 25% 29% 21% 189 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 34% 16% 28% 22% 166 College graduate College 25% 27% 30% 18% 244 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 15% 26% 32% 27% 148 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 9% 23% 40% 28% 124 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 21% 17% 33% 29% 71 Few times a yeara Few times 27% 22% 30% 21% 214 Never 30% 29% 24% 17% 323 Less than $30,000 than Less 32% 15% 29% 24% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 25% 25% 28% 22% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 22% 27% 30% 21% 139 $100,000 or more or $100,000 15% 39% 31% 14% 154 10 years or less or years 10 36% 31% 20% 13% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 43% 25% 22% 10% 129 21 to 30 years30 to 21 51% 16% 24% 8% 165 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 5% 27% 36% 32% 381 Central Maine Central 26% 26% 27% 20% 179 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 19% 21% 29% 30% 136 Northern Maine Northern 19% 29% 35% 17% 168 Southern MaineSouthern 31% 22% 28% 20% 268 First Cong. DistCong. First 29% 22% 29% 21% 367 SecondDistCong. 21% 26% 30% 22% 384
58 Sex of Respondent Sexof
Male Female (N) MaineResidents 48% 52% 761
Registered Democrat Registered 39% 61% 240 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 52% 48% 317 Registered Republican Registered 53% 47% 199 Democrat 43% 57% 316 Independent 44% 56% 163 Republican 56% 44% 254 Early Voter Early 36% 64% 87 Likely Voter Likely 49% 51% 583 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 54% 46% 91 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 48% 52% 342 Very Interested Very 46% 54% 222 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 50% 50% 191 GunOwner 56% 44% 404 Non-GunOwner 39% 61% 331 18 to 34 to 18 52% 48% 187 35 to 49 to 35 44% 56% 182 50 to 64 to 50 48% 52% 222 65 and olderand65 49% 51% 160 High school or less or school High 53% 47% 189 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 49% 51% 167 College graduate College 47% 53% 247 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 43% 57% 149 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 40% 60% 124 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 40% 60% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 52% 48% 216 Never 51% 49% 326 Less than $30,000 than Less 43% 57% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 49% 51% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 50% 50% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 51% 49% 155 10 years or less or years 10 44% 56% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 49% 51% 129 21 to 30 years30 to 21 48% 52% 167 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 49% 51% 384 Central Maine Central 46% 54% 181 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 46% 54% 137 Northern Maine Northern 51% 49% 170 Southern MaineSouthern 49% 51% 273 First Cong. DistCong. First 48% 52% 374 SecondDistCong. 48% 52% 387
59 Highest Level of Education of Level Highest
Technical school/SomeTechnical (N) High school or less orschoolHigh college graduateCollege Postgraduatework MaineResidents 25% 22% 33% 20% 752
Registered Democrat Registered 14% 19% 34% 34% 238 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 32% 23% 31% 14% 315 Registered Republican Registered 27% 26% 35% 12% 196 Democrat 16% 23% 33% 28% 316 Independent 30% 16% 34% 20% 161 Republican 34% 24% 32% 10% 253 Early Voter Early 21% 10% 35% 34% 87 Likely Voter Likely 23% 24% 34% 19% 574 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 45% 22% 24% 9% 91 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 17% 18% 39% 26% 337 Very Interested Very 22% 27% 32% 19% 221 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 42% 25% 23% 10% 189 GunOwner 29% 25% 32% 15% 403 Non-GunOwner 21% 20% 34% 25% 331 18 to 34 to 18 25% 30% 33% 12% 187 35 to 49 to 35 26% 15% 37% 22% 179 50 to 64 to 50 25% 21% 33% 21% 221 65 and olderand65 25% 23% 27% 25% 160 Male 28% 23% 32% 18% 362 Female 23% 22% 34% 22% 390 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 29% 19% 31% 22% 123 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 19% 26% 27% 29% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 26% 21% 36% 18% 214 Never 25% 24% 33% 19% 326 Less than $30,000 than Less 43% 25% 24% 8% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 28% 23% 39% 11% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 14% 24% 36% 25% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 14% 19% 36% 31% 155 10 years or less or years 10 17% 21% 37% 25% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 22% 26% 24% 27% 129 21 to 30 years30 to 21 19% 22% 40% 20% 167 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 30% 21% 32% 16% 380 Central Maine Central 22% 29% 29% 20% 178 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 22% 19% 38% 22% 136 Northern Maine Northern 36% 20% 27% 17% 169 Southern MaineSouthern 22% 20% 37% 21% 269 First Cong. DistCong. First 21% 22% 37% 20% 369 SecondDistCong. 29% 22% 29% 19% 383
60 FrequencyServices ReligiousAttending
Oncemoreweeka or (N) often montha Once twice or year Fewa times Never MaineResidents 17% 10% 29% 44% 752
Registered Democrat Registered 15% 8% 26% 51% 234 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 12% 10% 31% 48% 308 Registered Republican Registered 27% 11% 31% 31% 191 Democrat 12% 8% 27% 53% 309 Independent 18% 13% 24% 45% 159 Republican 24% 10% 35% 31% 250 Early Voter Early 17% 12% 24% 47% 82 Likely Voter Likely 17% 9% 31% 43% 566 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 15% 9% 25% 51% 88 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 19% 10% 28% 43% 333 Very Interested Very 20% 9% 33% 38% 215 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 9% 9% 27% 54% 184 GunOwner 15% 12% 30% 43% 396 Non-GunOwner 18% 7% 28% 46% 325 18 to 34 to 18 6% 8% 32% 54% 182 35 to 49 to 35 16% 7% 26% 52% 179 50 to 64 to 50 23% 11% 29% 36% 215 65 and olderand65 22% 13% 30% 35% 155 Male 14% 8% 32% 46% 357 Female 20% 11% 27% 42% 381 High school or less or school High 19% 7% 30% 44% 185 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 14% 11% 27% 48% 163 College graduate College 16% 8% 32% 44% 240 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 18% 14% 26% 42% 147 Less than $30,000 than Less 22% 12% 24% 42% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 18% 8% 32% 42% 146 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 16% 8% 27% 48% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 11% 17% 34% 38% 153 10 years or less or years 10 19% 5% 22% 54% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 11% 6% 35% 48% 126 21 to 30 years30 to 21 13% 10% 23% 53% 165 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 20% 12% 31% 37% 372 Central Maine Central 17% 16% 24% 43% 171 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 16% 6% 30% 48% 135 Northern Maine Northern 21% 8% 28% 43% 167 Southern MaineSouthern 15% 9% 33% 43% 265 First Cong. DistCong. First 15% 8% 32% 45% 363 SecondDistCong. 19% 11% 27% 44% 375
61 HouseholdIncome
Less than $30,000Lessthan $59,999 to $30,000 $99,999 to $60,000 more or$100,000 (N) MaineResidents 18% 28% 26% 29% 541
Registered Democrat Registered 16% 25% 32% 28% 178 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 24% 30% 25% 21% 212 Registered Republican Registered 12% 28% 21% 40% 150 Democrat 16% 27% 31% 27% 236 Independent 31% 26% 21% 22% 109 Republican 14% 30% 22% 35% 184 Early Voter Early 12% 22% 28% 39% 58 Likely Voter Likely 16% 28% 27% 29% 432 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 41% 30% 13% 15% 51 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 12% 28% 27% 33% 259 Very Interested Very 16% 25% 31% 29% 164 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 35% 32% 17% 16% 115 GunOwner 13% 29% 29% 29% 292 Non-GunOwner 24% 26% 22% 28% 239 18 to 34 to 18 25% 30% 25% 19% 121 35 to 49 to 35 10% 25% 25% 40% 151 50 to 64 to 50 18% 26% 26% 30% 159 65 and olderand65 22% 31% 27% 21% 108 Male 16% 28% 27% 30% 262 Female 20% 27% 25% 27% 279 High school or less or school High 33% 33% 16% 18% 124 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 20% 28% 28% 24% 122 College graduate College 12% 31% 27% 30% 187 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 8% 15% 33% 44% 108 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 25% 30% 26% 19% 87 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 19% 20% 19% 42% 61 Few times a yeara Few times 15% 29% 24% 32% 160 Never 18% 27% 30% 26% 228 10 years or less or years 10 26% 31% 19% 23% 60 11 to 20 years20 to 11 16% 25% 28% 32% 81 21 to 30 years30 to 21 14% 27% 32% 26% 120 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 18% 28% 24% 30% 280 Central Maine Central 21% 29% 21% 29% 139 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 19% 25% 28% 28% 89 Northern Maine Northern 22% 31% 26% 21% 125 Southern MaineSouthern 12% 26% 28% 34% 188 First Cong. DistCong. First 14% 26% 29% 31% 264 SecondDistCong. 22% 30% 23% 26% 277
62 Years Lived in Maine in YearsLived
10 years or less or years 10 years20 to 11 years30 to 21 yearsMore30 than (N) MaineResidents 10% 17% 22% 51% 754
Registered Democrat Registered 15% 21% 20% 44% 238 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 10% 16% 27% 47% 316 Registered Republican Registered 4% 14% 17% 64% 196 Democrat 14% 18% 22% 46% 316 Independent 8% 16% 28% 48% 162 Republican 5% 16% 19% 60% 254 Early Voter Early 10% 6% 23% 62% 87 Likely Voter Likely 9% 18% 21% 52% 577 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 17% 21% 27% 35% 90 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 9% 17% 24% 50% 340 Very Interested Very 9% 17% 20% 53% 221 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 12% 17% 23% 48% 188 GunOwner 7% 16% 22% 55% 403 Non-GunOwner 14% 18% 23% 45% 331 18 to 34 to 18 14% 30% 46% 10% 187 35 to 49 to 35 13% 18% 14% 56% 182 50 to 64 to 50 7% 13% 18% 62% 220 65 and olderand65 6% 8% 9% 77% 160 Male 9% 17% 22% 52% 365 Female 11% 17% 22% 50% 389 High school or less or school High 7% 15% 16% 62% 188 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 9% 20% 22% 49% 166 College graduate College 11% 13% 27% 49% 247 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 12% 24% 22% 42% 148 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 11% 11% 17% 60% 124 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 5% 11% 24% 60% 71 Few times a yeara Few times 8% 21% 18% 54% 216 Never 12% 19% 27% 42% 326 Less than $30,000 than Less 16% 13% 18% 53% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 13% 13% 21% 53% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 8% 16% 28% 48% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 9% 17% 21% 54% 155 Central Maine Central 9% 15% 22% 55% 179 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 12% 19% 19% 50% 137 Northern Maine Northern 9% 17% 19% 55% 168 Southern MaineSouthern 10% 18% 26% 46% 270 First Cong. DistCong. First 9% 18% 26% 47% 371 SecondDistCong. 10% 17% 19% 54% 384
63 R egion of MaineRegion of
Central Maine Central Downeast/CoastalMaine Maine Northern SouthernMaine (N) MaineResidents 24% 18% 22% 36% 761
Registered Democrat Registered 22% 21% 18% 39% 240 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 24% 18% 20% 38% 317 Registered Republican Registered 25% 14% 31% 29% 199 Democrat 23% 21% 16% 40% 316 Independent 22% 20% 26% 32% 163 Republican 23% 14% 30% 33% 254 Early Voter Early 25% 23% 10% 42% 87 Likely Voter Likely 23% 17% 26% 35% 583 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 30% 21% 14% 36% 91 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 21% 21% 23% 36% 342 Very Interested Very 24% 16% 25% 35% 222 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 29% 16% 19% 36% 191 GunOwner 26% 18% 28% 28% 404 Non-GunOwner 21% 18% 16% 45% 331 18 to 34 to 18 25% 14% 17% 44% 187 35 to 49 to 35 26% 16% 26% 32% 182 50 to 64 to 50 22% 18% 27% 34% 222 65 and olderand65 23% 26% 18% 33% 160 Male 23% 17% 24% 36% 368 Female 25% 19% 21% 35% 393 High school or less or school High 21% 16% 32% 32% 189 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 31% 15% 21% 33% 167 College graduate College 21% 21% 19% 40% 247 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 24% 20% 19% 37% 149 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 23% 17% 28% 32% 124 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 38% 11% 19% 33% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 19% 19% 22% 40% 216 Never 23% 20% 22% 35% 326 Less than $30,000 than Less 30% 17% 29% 24% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 27% 15% 26% 32% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 21% 18% 23% 38% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 26% 16% 17% 41% 155 10 years or less or years 10 22% 23% 21% 35% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 20% 20% 21% 38% 129 21 to 30 years30 to 21 23% 16% 19% 42% 167 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 26% 18% 24% 32% 384 First Cong. DistCong. First 10% 17% 73% 374 SecondDistCong. 37% 19% 44% 387
64 CongressionalDistrict
First Cong.Dist First SecondCong.Dist (N) MaineResidents 49% 51% 761
Registered Democrat Registered 51% 49% 240 Registered Unenrolled/Other Registered 55% 45% 317 Registered Republican Registered 38% 62% 199 Democrat 54% 46% 316 Independent 45% 55% 163 Republican 45% 55% 254 Early Voter Early 58% 42% 87 Likely Voter Likely 48% 52% 583 Non-Likely Voter Non-Likely 50% 50% 91 Extremely Interested in Election in Interested Extremely 52% 48% 342 Very Interested Very 47% 53% 222 Some/Little Interest Some/Little 47% 53% 191 GunOwner 42% 58% 404 Non-GunOwner 56% 44% 331 18 to 34 to 18 56% 44% 187 35 to 49 to 35 44% 56% 182 50 to 64 to 50 48% 52% 222 65 and olderand65 47% 53% 160 Male 49% 51% 368 Female 49% 51% 393 High school or less or school High 41% 59% 189 Technical school/Somecollege Technical 49% 51% 167 College graduate College 55% 45% 247 Postgraduate work Postgraduate 50% 50% 149 O nce a week or moreoften weekOnceor a 44% 56% 124 O nce or twice a montha twice Once or 43% 57% 72 Few times a yeara Few times 53% 47% 216 Never 50% 50% 326 Less than $30,000 than Less 38% 62% 97 $30,000 to $59,999 to $30,000 45% 55% 150 $60,000 to $99,999 to $60,000 55% 45% 140 $100,000 or more or $100,000 53% 47% 155 10 years or less or years 10 47% 53% 74 11 to 20 years20 to 11 51% 49% 129 21 to 30 years30 to 21 57% 43% 167 M ore than 30 years30 Morethan 46% 54% 384 Central Maine Central 21% 79% 181 Downeast/Coastal MaineDowneast/Coastal 47% 53% 137 Northern Maine Northern 100% 170 Southern MaineSouthern 100% 273
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