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PICES-2009 Understanding ecosystem dynamics and pursuing ecosystem approaches to management North Pacific Marine Science Organization October 23 – November 1, 2009 Jeju, Republic of Korea Table of Contents Notes for Guidance � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � v Meeting Timetable � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �vi Keynote Lecture � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 1 Schedules and Abstracts S1: Science Board Symposium Understanding ecosystem dynamics and pursuing ecosystem approaches to management � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 5 S2: FIS Topic Session Ecosystem-based approaches for the assessment of fisheries under data-limited situations � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 23 S3: FIS/BIO Topic Session Early life stages of marine resources as indicators of climate variability and ecosystem resilience � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 35 S4: MEQ Topic Session Mitigation of harmful algal blooms � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 51 S5: MEQ Topic Session The role of submerged aquatic vegetation in the context of climate change � � � � � � � � � 59 S6: MEQ/FIS Topic Session Marine spatial planning in support of integrated management – tools, methods, and approaches � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 69 S7: MONITOR Topic Session State of the art of real-time monitoring and its implication for the FUTURE oceanographic study � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 79 S8: POC/BIO Topic Session Anthropogenic perturbations of the carbon cycle and their impacts in the North Pacific � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 97 S9: POC/FUTURE Topic Session Outlooks and forecasts of marine ecosystems from an earth system science perspective: Challenges and opportunities � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 109 BIO Paper Session � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 121 FIS Paper Session � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 157 POC Paper Session � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 183 iii W1: BIO Workshop Natural supplies of iron to the North Pacific and linkages between iron supply and ecosystem responses � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �213 W2: BIO Workshop Standardizing methods for estimating jellyfish concentration and development of an international monitoring network � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �221 W3: BIO Workshop Integrating marine mammal populations and rates of prey consumption in models and forecasts of climate change-ecosystem change in the North Pacific and North Atlantic Oceans � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �229 W4: BIO Workshop Marine ecosystem model inter-comparisons (II) � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �241 W5: FIS Workshop Understanding the links between fishing technology, bycatch, marine ecosystems and ecosystem-based management � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �245 W6: MEQ Workshop and Laboratory Demonstration, and HAB Meeting Review of selected harmful algae in the PICES Region: V. Cyst forming HAB species � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �251 W7: MEQ/FIS Workshop Interactions between aquaculture and marine eco-systems � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �259 W8: POC Workshop Exploring the predictability and mechanisms of Pacific low frequency variability beyond inter-annual time scales � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �271 W9: POC/BIO Workshop Mesoscale eddies and their roles in North Pacific ecosystems � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �289 W10: POC/BIO Workshop Carbon data synthesis workshop � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �299 Author Index � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 303 Registrants � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 315 Abstracts for oral presentations are sorted first by session and then by presentation time. Abstracts for posters are sorted by session and then by paper ID number. Presenter name is in bold-face type and underlined. Some abstracts in this collection are not edited and are printed in the condition they were received. iv Notes for Guidance This Annual Meeting is hosted by the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs (MLTM), in coordination with the PICES Secretariat. Local arrangements are made by the Jeju Special Self-Governing Province, the National Fisheries Research & Development Institute (NFRDI) and the Korea Ocean Research & Development Institute (KORDI). All sessions and workshops will be held at the Jeju International Convention Center. Presentations In order to allow the sessions to run smoothly, and in fairness to other speakers, please note that all presentations are expected to adhere strictly to the time allocated. All authors should designate at least 5 minutes for questions. Authors can download their presentations straight to the computers where the session/workshops will be held. Important: Please rename your files - time-name.ppt e.g.( 0900-Smith.ppt, 1530-Kim.ppt). If complications occur due to incompatibilities between PCs and Macs, Macintosh owners may use their own computers to make presentations. Posters Posters will be on display from October 27 (a.m.) until October 30 (a.m.). The Wine & Cheese Poster Session will be held from 18:00-20:30 on October 29 (International Convention Center, 3rd floor lobby), when poster presenters are expected to be available to answer questions. Posters must be removed on the morning of October 30. Internet access Internet access via wireless LAN will be available at the International Convention Center. A few desktop computers will also be available for participants. Social activities October 26 (18:30-21:00) Welcome Reception The Welcome Reception for all participants will be hosted by the Governor of the Jeju Special Self-Governing Province, and held at the Ocean View Hall of the International Convention Center (5th floor). October 27 Soccer tournament The event will be held at the Kang Chang Hak Stadium, international standards venue, situated at the foot of Halla Mountain and overlooking the ocean. A free barbecue will be provided. The attendance is limited to 100 people, soccer players and spectators included; therefore, participation will be on a first come first served basis. There will be 2 teams: host team and PICES team. Contact: Mr. Yongling Zhu (at the registration desk). Please specify whether you want to play on the teams or be a spectator. October 28 Extravaganza Dinner The Extravaganza Dinner will be at the Chun Jae Yun Restaurant. This restaurant is in a beautiful location not far from the Jeju Conference Center. It offers authentic Korean/Jeju cuisine and uses local Jeju ingredients. Some Korean liquors/drinks will be paired with the courses. Western wines or beer can be purchased separately. The ticket price of the dinner is CAD$100. The capacity of the restaurant is limited. Contact: Ms. Christina Chiu (at the registration desk). v Meeting Timetable Friday, October 23 MEQ 09:00 FIS POC/BIO WG-23 POC/BIO WG-21 Workshop (W6)- 18:00 Workshop (W5) Workshop (W9) Meeting Workshop (W10) Meeting lab demo Saturday, October 24 09:00 MEQ POC/BIO 12:30 Workshop (W6) BIO MEQ/FIS POC Workshop (W10) WG-21 14:00 BIO Workshop (W4) Workshop (W7) Workshop (W8) CC-S Meeting 18:00 Workshop (W2) Meeting Sunday, October 25 09:00 BIO BIO MEQ/FIS POC HAB-S SG-COM 12:30 Workshop (W1) Workshop (W4) Workshop (W7) Workshop (W8) Meeting Meeting 12:30 Science Board Lunch Meeting* 14:00 14:00 BIO Workshop (W1) BIO WG-20 WG-24 HAB-S SG-COM WG-22 Workshop (W4) Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting 18:00 Meeting 18:00 16:00 WG-FCCIFS CPR-AP Meeting CREAMS-AP Meeting 21:00 21:00 Meeting Monday, October 26 09:00 10:00 OPENING SESSION 10:00 Science Board Symposium (S1) 18:00 Tuesday, October 27 09:00 MEQ 12:30 FIS Topic Session (S4) POC/BIO 14:00 Topic Session (S2) BIO Topic Session (S8) 18:00 Workshop (W3) 16:00 AICE-AP Meeting COVE-AP Meeting SOFE-AP Meeting 18:00 18:00 joint AICE/COVE/SOFE-AP Meeting MBM-AP Meeting 21:00 Wednesday, October 28 09:00 FIS/BIO MEQ POC/FUTURE F&A 12:30 Topic Session (S3) - Part I Topic Session (S5) Topic Session (S9) - Part I Meeting* 14:00 BIO FIS MEQ POC TCODE MONITOR 18:00 Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Meeting Thursday, October 29 09:00 FIS/BIO 12:30 Topic Session (S3) - Part II