arXiv:0806.0327v1 [astro-ph] 2 Jun 2008 eencsaiyugie ns seolnt a not had as observations such ones, beginning, unguided the necessarily At were (1977). al. et Yantis observe. sev- to from impossible additional emission planets an the eral is making this detectability, shown, stel- for be local constraint will the As emission on parameters. depends radio wind which lar exoplanetary where system, of and planetary escape its together extensively.from the put compared discuss are are publication also models We single aspects interaction no these different is of the there all the far, which age, different So in of stellar models. influence the the wind stellar and of stellar CMEs, the influence stellar (or of the role planet, potential the the magnetic and between kinetic, wind) interaction e.g. considered, unipolar be to and have effects of riety campaigns. theoretical observation both ongoing with research, and of studies field emission ex- active radio an is exoplanetary become such emission has past, radio recent intense the In more Jupiters), pected. much Hot cer- are but so-called a analogous, (the For planets planets an emitters. extrasolar magnetised radio of strongly class nonthermal tain intense all be system, to known solar the In Introduction 1. i nnmu t ocsr.-tab.r(3.9185 o (130.79.128.5) cdsarc.u-strasbg.fr to http://cdsweb.u-strasbg.fr/cgi-bin/qcat?J/A+A/ ftp anonymous via rdciglwfeunyrdoflxso nw xrslrp extrasolar known of fluxes radio low-frequency Predicting ⋆ srnm Astrophysics & Astronomy oebr8 2018 8, November h rtosrainatmt obc tlatto least at back go attempts observation first The va- large a that shown have studies theoretical Recent al sol vial neetoi oma h CDS the at form electronic in available only is 1 Table r on ob uhls piitcta hs fpeiu st previous of those than optimistic less much be to found are oeto l urnl nw xrslrpaes hc wil which W planets, census. extrasolar known Conclusions. currently present all the of for moment emission observable any on o the for found rmsn agt sntvr ih h aao ftreswi targets wi of and catalog UTR-2 words. 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Context. 2018 8, November of Version 2 1 srnmclIsiue“no anke” rila 403, Kruislaan e-mail: Pannekoek”, “Anton Institute Astronomical EI,Osraor ePrs NS PC Universit´e Pari UPMC, e-mail: CNRS, Paris, de Observatoire LESIA, epeetteepce hrceitc ftelow-frequen the of characteristics expected the present We h ordffrn oesfrpaeayrdoeiso edt lead emission radio planetary for models different four The ecmaetedffrn rdcin bandwt l ore four all with obtained predictions different the compare We [email protected] enmtisgismirosmf,philippe.zarka@ob [email protected], ls-ngatetaoa lnt “o uies)aebel are Jupiters”) (“Hot planets extrasolar giant Close-in xpaes lntr ai msin antcmmns h moments, magnetic emission, radio planetary exoplanets, u eut hwta bevtoso xpaeayrdoem radio exoplanetary of observations that show results Our magnetic nrymdl olwdb the by followed model, energy aucitn.7397 no. manuscript .M Grießmeier J.–M. 1 via r .Zarka P. , ABSTRACT CME c n h xetdrdoflx eas ics h escape detectability the on discuss constraints also additional We imposes flux. which radio ce, expected the and ncy nu parameters. input eueu o te studies. other for useful be l oe n the and model neato oes o l fwihwr nw ttetime the at known were existing which currently of four all all not by models, interaction obtained and results http://exoplanet.eu/), as the from searches exo- compare taken transit 197 13, (i.e. and/or January 2007, targets velocity of of radial list by larger found much planets kinetic a the present the we by (i.e. Here, wind energised stellar July emission the 2003, of radio of energy as considered known and those cat- (i.e. 1) This (2004). planets al. 118 et included number alog Lazio large by presented a was of exoplanets catalog emission of first radio A for al., exoplanets. estimations few et containing a Farrell only 1997; The on al., flux. concentrated et radio 1999) Zarka expected (e.g. the studies maximum predictive and first emission. the emission are the the radio of characteristics of frequency important exoplanetary prediction most the two the The of at characteristics aim main which estimates theoretical to important targets. is ob- promising it these most 2004), efficiency, the support their To identify al., increase 2004). et 2006; al., (Ryabov and al., et servations et (Farrell UTR2 at LOFAR (Majid at GMRT planned 2006), and 2004), or al., fu- elsewhere al., et performed et Winterhalter and found (Lazio are comparison VLA ongoing be studies the a Concerning observations, can and no 2006a). ture attempts list far, al., et observation A So (Grießmeier achieved. past systems. con- been of exoplanetary campaigns has observation known detection Later on discovered. centrated been yet logv siae o h lntr antcdipole magnetic planetary the for estimates give also e de) The udies). 08S mtra,Netherlands Amsterdam, SJ 1098 ymgeopei ai msino l urnl known currently all of emission radio magnetospheric cy ieo;5PaeJlsJnsn 29 edn France Meudon, 92190 Janssen, Jules Place 5 Diderot; s lb atclryueu o urn n uueradio future and current for useful particularly be ll h agtslcinfrrdoosrain sbsdon based is observations radio for selection target The 1 n .Spreeuw H. and , hLOFAR). th ee ob togeitr ntedcmti radio decametric the in emitters strong be to ieved itn nltclmdl o l urnl known currently all for models analytical xisting spm.fr tJptr,mass-radius-relations Jupiters, ot eydffrn eut.Telretflxsare fluxes largest The results. different very o nplrinteraction unipolar sinaefail,btta h ubrof number the that but feasible, are ission kinetic nrymdl(o hc u results our which (for model energy 2 oe osntpredict not does model iei model kinetic

c lanets e below). see , S 2018 ESO . ⋆ 2 J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets of the previous overview study. As a byproduct of the ra- Nevertheless, we will check whether this type of emission is dio flux calculation, we obtain estimates for the planetary possible for the known exoplanets. d) The fourth possible magnetic dipole moment of all currently known extrasolar energy source is based on the fact that close-in exoplanets planets. These values will be useful for other studies as, are expected to be subject to frequent and violent stel- e.g., star-planet interaction or atmospheric shielding. lar eruptions (Khodachenko et al., 2007b) similar to solar To demonstrate which stellar and planetary parameters coronal mass ejections (CMEs). As a variant to the kinetic are required for the estimation of exoplanetary radio emis- energy model, the CME model assumes that the energy for sion, some theoretical results are briefly reviewed (section the most intense planetary radio emission is provided by 2). Then, the sources for the different parameters (and their CMEs. During periods of such CME-driven radio activity, default values for the case where no measurements are avail- considerably higher radio flux levels can be achieved than able) are presented (section 3). In section 4, we present our during quiet stellar conditions (Grießmeier et al., 2006b, estimations for exoplanetary radio emission. This section 2007). For this reason, this model is treated separately. also includes estimates for planetary magnetic dipole mo- For the kinetic energy case, the input power was first de- ments. Section 5 closes with a few concluding remarks. rived by Desch & Kaiser (1984), who found that it is given by 3 2 Pinput,kin ∝ nveffRs . (1) 2. Exoplanetary radio emission theory In eq. (1), n is the stellar wind density at the planetary 2.1. Expected radio flux orbit, veff is the velocity of the stellar wind in the reference frame of the planet (i.e. including the aberration due to In principle, there are four different types of interaction be- the orbital velocity of the planet, which is not negligible tween a planetary obstacle and the ambient stellar wind, as for close-in planets), and Rs denotes the magnetospheric both the stellar wind and the planet can either be magne- standoff distance. tised or unmagnetised. Zarka (2007, Table 1) show that for The magnetic energy case was first discussed by three of these four possible situations intense nonthermal Zarka et al. (2001b). Here, the input power is given by radio emission is possible. Only in the case of an unmagne- tised stellar wind interacting with an unmagnetised body 2 2 Pinput,mag ∝ veffB⊥Rs (2) no intense radio emission is possible. In those cases where strong emission is possible, the ex- In eq. (2), veff is the velocity of the stellar wind in the pected radio flux depends on the source of available energy. reference frame of the planet, B⊥ if the component of the In the last , four different energy sources were sug- interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) perpendicular to the gested: a) In the first model, the input power Pinput into stellar wind flow in the reference frame of the planet, and the magnetosphere is assumed to be proportional to the to- Rs denotes the magnetospheric standoff distance. tal kinetic energy flux of the solar wind protons impacting For the unipolar interaction case (Zarka et al., 2001b), on the magnetopause (Desch & Kaiser, 1984; Zarka et al., the input power is given by 1997; Farrell et al., 1999; Zarka et al., 2001b; Farrell et al., 2 2 2004; Lazio et al., 2004; Stevens, 2005; Grießmeier et al., Pinput,unipolar ∝ veffB⊥Rion (3) 2005, 2006b, 2007) b) Similarly, the input power Pinput into Eq. (3) is identical to eq. (2), except that the obstacle is not the magnetosphere can be assumed to be proportional to the planetary magnetosphere, but its ionosphere, so that R the magnetic energy flux or electromagnetic Poynting flux s is replaced by Rion, the radius of the planetary ionosphere. of the interplanetary magnetic field (Zarka et al., 2001b; CME-driven radio emission was first calculated by Farrell et al., 2004; Zarka, 2004, 2006, 2007). From the data Grießmeier et al. (2006b). In that case, the input power is obtained in the solar system, it is not possible to distinguish given by which of these models is more appropriate (the constants 3 2 of proportionality implied in the relations given below are Pinput,kin,CME ∝ nCMEveff,CMERs . (4) not well known, see Zarka et al., 2001b), so that both mod- els have to be considered. c) For unmagnetised or weakly Eq. (4) is identical to eq. (1), except that the stellar wind magnetised planets, one may apply the unipolar interaction density and velocity are replaced by the corresponding val- model. In this model, the star-planet system can be seen ues encountered by the planet during a CME. as a giant analog to the Jupiter-Io system (Zarka et al., A certain fraction ǫ of the input power Pinput given by 2001b; Zarka, 2004, 2006, 2007). Technically, this model is eq. (1), (2), (3) or (4) is thought to be dissipated within very similar to the magnetic energy model, but the source the magnetosphere: location is very different: Whereas in the kinetic and in the magnetic model, the emission is generated near the planet, Pd = ǫPinput (5) in the unipolar interaction case a large-scale current sys- Observational evidence suggests that the amount of tem is generated and the radio emission is generated in the power emitted by radio waves P is roughly proportional stellar wind between the star and the planet. Thus, the rad to the power input P (see, e.g. Zarka, 2007, Figure 6). emission can originate from a location close to the stellar input This can be written as: surface, close to the planetary surface, or at any point be- tween the two. This is possible in those cases where the solar Pradio = ηradioPd = ηradioǫPinput (6) wind speed is lower than the Alfv´en velocity (i.e. for close- in planets, see e.g. Preusse et al., 2005). Previous stud- As Pd cannot be measured directly, one correlates the ob- ied have indicated that this emission is unlikely to be de- served values of Pradio with the calculated (model depen- tectable, except for with an extremely strong mag- dent) values of Pinput. Thus, one replaces Pinput by Pradio on netic field (Zarka et al., 2001b, 2004; Zarka, 2006, 2007). the left-hand side of the proportionalities given by (1), (2), J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets 3

(3) and (4). The proportionality constant is determined by at the orbital distance of the planet than further out. Thus, comparison with Jupiter. The analysis of the jovian radio it is sufficient to check whether condition (10) is satisfied emission allows to define three values for the typical radio at the location of the radio-source (i.e. for n = n(d), where spectrum: (a) the power during average conditions, (b) the d is the distance from the star to the radio-source). In that average power during periods of high activity, and (c) the case, the emission can escape from the planetary system peak power (Zarka et al., 2004). In this work, we will use and reach distant observers. In section 4, condition (10) is the average power during periods of high activity as a ref- checked for all known exoplanets at their orbital distance. 11 erence value for all four cases, with Pradio,J =2.1 · 10 W. Note however that, depending on the line of sight, not The radio flux Φ seen by an observer at a distance s from all observers will be able to see the planetary emission at all the emitter is related to the emitted radio power Pradio by times. For example, the observation of a secondary transit (Grießmeier et al., 2007): implies that the line of sight passes very close to the plane- tary host star, where the plasma density is much higher. For 2 3 Pradio 4π meRpPradio this reason, some parts of the orbit may be unobservable Φ= 2 = 2 . (7) Ωs ∆f eµ0Ωs M even for planets for which eq. (10) is satisfied. Here, Ω is the solid angle of the beam of the emitted radiation (Ω = 1.6 sr, see Zarka et al., 2004), and ∆f 2.3. Radiation emission in the unipolar interaction model max is the bandwidth of the emission. We use ∆f = fc An additional constraint arises because certain condi- max (Grießmeier et al., 2007), where fc is the maximum cy- tions are necessary for the generation of radio emis- clotron frequency. Depending on the model, Pradio is given sion. Planetary radio emission is caused by the cyclotron by eq. (1), (2), (3) or (4). The maximum cyclotron fre- maser instability (CMI). This mechanism is only efficient max quency fc is determined by the maximum magnetic field in regions where the ratio between the electron plasma max strength Bp close to the polar cloud tops (Farrell et al., frequency and the electron cyclotron frequency is small 1999): enough. This condition can be written as

eBmax eµ M M fplasma f max = p = 0 ≈ 24 MHz . (8) . 0.4, (11) c 2 3 3 fc 2πme 4π meR p Rp f where the electron cyclotron frequency fc is defined by the Here, me and e are the electron mass and charge,f Rp is the local magnetic field planetary radius, µ0 is the magnetic permeability of the eB vacuum, and M is the planetary magnetic dipole moment. f = (12) c 2πm M and Rp denote the planetary magnetic moment and its e radius relative to the respective value for Jupiter, e.g. M = and fplasma is given by eq. (9). Observations seem to favor 27 2 Mf/MJ,f with MJ =1.56·10 Am (Cain et al., 1995) and a critical frequency ratio close to the 0.1, while theoret- RJ = 71492 km. f ical work supports a critical frequency ratio close to 0.4 The radio flux expected for the four different models (Le Qu´eau et al., 1985; Hilgers, 1992; Zarka et al., 2001a). according to eqs. (1) to (7) and the maximum emission Fundamental O mode or second harmonic O and X mode frequency according to (8) are calculated in section 4 for emission are possible also for larger frequency ratios, but all known exoplanets. are much less efficient (Treumann, 2000; Zarka, 2007). To avoid ruling out potential emission, we use the largest pos- sible frequency ratio, i.e. fplasma ≤ 0.4. 2.2. Escape of radio emission fc The condition imposed by eq. (11) has to be fulfilled To allow an observation of exoplanetary radio emission, it for any of the four models presented in section 2.1. For is not sufficient to have a high enough emission power at the three models where the radio emission is generated di- the source and emission in an observable frequency range. rectly in the planetary magnetosphere, n decreases much As an additional requirement, it has to be checked that the faster with distance to the planetary surface than B, so emission can propagate from the source to the observer. that eq. (11) can always be fulfilled. For the unipolar inter- This is not the case if the emission is absorbed or trapped action model, the emission takes place in the stellar wind, (e.g. in the stellar wind in the vicinity of the radio-source), and the electron density n can be obtained from the model which happens whenever the plasma frequency of the stellar wind. In this case, it is not a priori clear where radio emission is possible. It could be generated any- 1 ne2 where between the star and the planet. In section 4, we will fplasma = (9) 2π sǫ0me check separately for each planetary system whether unipo- lar interaction satisfying eq. (11) is possible at any location is higher than the emission frequency at any point between between the stellar surface and the planetary orbit. the source and the observer. Thus, the condition of observ- ability is max max 3. Required parameters fplasma

27 – the planetary magnetic moment M value for Jupiter (using MJ =1.9 · 10 kg). The radius – the size of the planetary magnetosphere Rs of an irradiated planet is then given by – the size of the planetary ionosphere Rion γ Rp(d) Rp(d) Teq – the stellar wind density n and its velocity veff = = · 1+0.05 R (d = ∞) T – the stellar magnetic field (IMF) B⊥ perpendicular to p Rp(d = ∞)   0   the stellar wind flow in the frame of the planet f (14) – the distance of the stellar system (to an earth-based where Teq is the equilibriumf temperature of the plane- observer) s tary surface. The coefficients T0 and γ depend on the – the solid angle of the beam of the emitted radiation Ω planetary mass (see appendix A). The models used to infer the missing stellar and plan- etary quantities require the knowledge of a few additional 3.2. Stellar wind model planetary parameters. These are the following: The stellar wind density n and velocity veff encountered by a planet are key parameters defining the size of the – the planetary mass Mp magnetosphere and thus the energy flux available to create – the planetary radius Rp – its orbital distance d planetary radio emission. As these stellar wind parameters – the planetary rotation rate ω strongly depend on the stellar age, the expected radio flux is a function of the estimated age of the exoplanetary host star – the stellar magnetic field (IMF) components Br,Bφ (Stevens, 2005; Grießmeier et al., 2005). At the same time – the M⋆ it is known that at close distances the stellar wind velocity – the stellar radius R⋆ has not yet reached the value it has at larger orbital dis- – the stellar age t⋆ tances. For this reason, a distance-dependent stellar wind In this section, we briefly describe how these each of models has to be used to avoid overestimating the expected these quantities can be obtained. planetary radio flux (Grießmeier, 2006; Grießmeier et al., 2007). It was shown (Grießmeier et al., 2007) that for stel- 3.1. Basic planetary parameters lar ages > 0.7 Gyr, the radial dependence of the stellar As a first step, basic planetary characteristics have to be wind properties can be described by the stellar wind model evaluated: of Parker (1958), and that the more complex model of Weber & Davis (1967) is not required. In the Parker model, – d, ωorbit and s are directly taken from the Extrasolar the interplay between stellar gravitation and pressure gra- Planets Encyclopaedia at http://exoplanet.eu, as dients leads to a supersonic gas flow for sufficiently large well as the observed mass Mobs and the orbital eccen- substellar distances d. The free parameters are the coro- tricity e. Note that in most cases the observed mass is nal temperature and the stellar mass loss. They are in- the “projected mass” of the planet, i.e. Mobs = Mp sin i, directly chosen by setting the stellar wind conditions at 1 where i is the angle of inclination of the planetary orbit AU. More details on the model can be found elsewhere (e.g. with respect to the observer. Mann et al., 1999; Preusse, 2006; Grießmeier, 2006). – For eccentric planets, we calculate the periastron from The dependence of the stellar wind density n and veloc- the semi-major axis d and the orbital eccentricity e: ity and veff on the age of the stellar system is based on ob- dmin = d/(1 − e). Thus, the results for planetary radio servations of astrospheric absorption features of stars with emission apply to the periastron. different ages. In the region between the astropause and the – For most exoplanets, the planetary mass is not pre- astrospheric bow shock (analogs to the heliopause and the cisely known. Instead, usually only the projected mass heliospheric bow shock of the solar system), the partially Mp sin i is accessible to measurements, where i is ionized local interstellar medium (LISM) is heated and the inclination of the planetary orbit with respect compressed. Through charge exchange processes, a popu- to the observer. This projected mass is taken from lation of neutral hydrogen atoms with high temperature is http://exoplanet.eu and converted to the median created. The characteristic Lyα absorption (at 1216 A)˚ of 1 value of the mass: median(Mp)= Mobs ·median( sin i )= this population was detectable with the high-resolution ob- 4/3 · Mobs ≈ 1.15 Mobs. servations obtained by the Hubble Space Telescope (HST). – For transiting planets, Rp is taken from original publi- The amount of absorption depends on the size of the as- pcations. For non-transiting planets, the planetary radius trosphere, which is a function of the stellar wind character- is Rp not known. In this case, we estimate the planetary istics. Comparing the measured absorption to that calcu- radius based on its mass Mp and orbital distance d, as lated by hydrodynamic codes, these measurements allowed explained in appendix A. The radius of a “cold” planet the first empirical estimation of the evolution of the stel- of mass Mp is given by lar mass loss rate as a function of stellar age (Wood et al., 2002; Wood, 2004; Wood et al., 2005). It should be noted, 1/3 1/3 however, that the resulting estimates are only valid for stel- (αMp) Mp Rp(d = ∞)= ≈ 1.47RJ lar ages ≥ 0.7 Gyr (Wood et al., 2005). From these ob- 2/3 g 2/3 1+ Mp 1+ Mp servations, (Wood et al., 2005) calculate the age-dependent Mmax g^ Mmax density of the stellar wind under the assumption of an age-    (13) −4 3 −1 independent stellar wind velocity. This leads to strongly with α =6.1 · 10 m kg (for a planet with the same overestimated stellar wind densities, especially for young composition as Jupiter) and Mmax = 3.16 MJ. Again, stars (Grießmeier et al., 2005; Holzwarth & Jardine, 2007). ^ Mp and Mmax denote values relative to the respective For this reason, we combine these results with the model for

g J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets 5 the age-dependence of the stellar wind velocity of Newkirk We obtain the stellar magnetic field B⋆ relative to (1980). One obtains (Grießmeier et al., 2007): the solar magnetic field B⊙ under the assumption that it is inversely proportional to the rotation period P⋆ − t 0.43 (Collier Cameron & Jianke, 1994; Grießmeier et al., 2007): v(1AU,t)= v0 1+ . (15) τ B P⊙   ⋆ = , (23) The particle density can be determined to be B⊙ P⋆ −4 −1.86±0.6 where we use P⊙ = 25.5 d and take B⊙ = 1.435 · 10 T t as the reference magnetic field strength at the solar sur- n(1AU,t)= n0 1+ . (16) τ face (Preusse et al., 2005). The period P⋆ is   calculated from the stellar age t (Newkirk, 1980): 11 −3 with v0 = 3971 km/s, n0 = 1.04 · 10 m and τ = 2.56 · 0.7 7 t 10 yr. P ∝ 1+ , (24) For planets at small orbital distances, the keplerian ve- ⋆ τ   locity of the planet moving around its star becomes com- 7 parable to the radial stellar wind velocity. Thus, the in- where the time constant τ is given by τ = 2.56 · 10 yr teraction of the stellar wind with the planetary magneto- (calculated from Newkirk, 1980). sphere should be calculated using the effective velocity of Note that first measurements of stellar magnetic fields the stellar wind plasma relative to the planet, which takes for planet-hosting stars are just becoming available from into account this “aberration effect” (Zarka et al., 2001b). the spectropolarimeter ESPaDOnS (Catala et al., 2007). For the small orbital distances relevant for Hot Jupiters, This will lead to an improved understanding of stellar mag- the planetary orbits are circular because of tidal dissipa- netic fields, making more accurate models possible in the tion (Goldreich & Soter, 1966; Dobbs-Dixon et al., 2004; future. Halbwachs et al., 2005). For circular orbits, the orbital ve- locity vorbit is perpendicular to the stellar wind velocity v, 3.3. Stellar CME model and its value is given by Kepler’s law. In the reference frame of the planet, the stellar wind velocity then is given by For the CME-driven radio emission, the stellar wind param- eters n and veff are effectively replaced by the corresponding CME parameters n and v , potentially leading to v = v2 + v2. (17) CME eff,CME eff orbit much more intense radio emission than those driven by the q kinetic energy of the steady stellar wind (Grießmeier, 2006; Finally, for the magnetic energy case, the interplane- Grießmeier et al., 2006b, 2007). tary magnetic field (Br,Bφ) is required. At 1 AU, the av- These CME parameters are estimated by erage field strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is Khodachenko et al. (2007b), who combine in-situ mea- Bimf ≈ 3.5 nT (Mariani & Neubauer, 1990; Pr¨olss, 2004). surements near the sun (e.g. by Helios) with remote solar According to the Parker stellar wind model (Parker, 1958), observation by SoHO. Two interpolated limiting cases are the radial component of the interplanetary magnetic field given, denoted as weak and strong CMEs, respectively. decreases as These two classes have a different dependence of the −2 average density on the distance to the star d. In the d w Bimf,r(d)= Br,0 . (18) following, these quantities will be labeled nCME(d) and d0 s   nCME(d), respectively. For weak CMEs, the density nw (d) behaves as This was later confirmed by Helios measurements. One finds CME B ≈ 2.6 nT and d = 1 AU (Mariani & Neubauer, 1990; w w −2.3 r,0 0 n (d)= n (d/d0) (25) Pr¨olss, 2004). At the same time, the azimuthal component CME CME,0 w Bimf,ϕ behaves as where the density at d0 = 1 AU is given by nCME,0 = w 6 −3 n (d = d0)=4.9 · 10 m . − CME d 1 For strong CMEs, Khodachenko et al. (2007b) find Bimf,ϕ(d)= Bϕ,0 , (19) d0 s s −3.0   nCME(d)= nCME,0 (d/d0) (26) with Bϕ,0 ≈ 2.4 nT (Mariani & Neubauer, 1990; Pr¨olss, s s 6 −3 with nCME,0 = nCME(d = d0)=7.1 · 10 m , and d0 = 1 2004). The average value of Bimf,θ vanishes (Bimf,θ ≈ 0). AU. From Bimf,r(d) and Bimf,ϕ(d), the stellar magnetic field As far as the CME velocity is concerned, one has to (IMF) B⊥(d) perpendicular to the stellar wind flow in the note that individual CMEs have very different velocities. frame of the planet can be calculated (Zarka, 2007): However, the average CME velocity v is approximately in- dependent of the subsolar distance, and is similar for both 2 2 B⊥ = Bimf,r + Bimf,ϕ |sin (α − β)| (20) types of CMEs: q vw = vs = v ≈ 500 km/s. (27) with CME CME CME Bimf,ϕ Similarly to the steady stellar wind the CME velocity given α = arctan (21) Bimf,r by eq. (27) has to be corrected for the orbital motion of the   planet: and vorbit M⋆G 2 β = arctan . (22) veff,CME = + vCME. (28) v r d   6 J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets

In addition to the density and the velocity, the tempera- 2. Planets with distances resulting in 100 Myr ≤ τsync ≤ ture of the plasma in a coronal mass ejection is required for 10 Gyr may or may not be subject to tidal locking. This the calculation of the size of the magnetosphere. According will, for example, depend on the exact age of the plan- to Khodachenko et al. (2007b,a), the front region of a CME etary system, which is typically in the order of a few consists of hot, coronal material (T ≈ 2 MK). This region Gyr. For this reason, we calculate the expected char- may either be followed by relatively cool prominence mate- acteristics of these “potentially locked” planets twice: rial (T ≈ 8000 K), or by hot flare material (T ≈ 10 MK). once with tidal locking (denoted by “(TL)”) and once In the following, the temperature of the leading region of without tidal locking (denoted by “(FR)”). the CME will be used, i.e. TCME = 2 MK. 3. For planets far away from the central star, the timescale for tidal locking is very large. For planets with τsync ≥ 10 Gyr, the effect of tidal interaction can be neglected. 3.4. Planetary magnetic moment and magnetosphere In this case, the planetary rotation rate can be as- For each planet, the value of the planetary magnetic mo- sumed to be equal to the initial rotation rate ωi, which ment M is estimated by taking the geometrical mean is assumed to be equal to the current rotation rate of −4 −1 of the maximum and minimum result obtained by differ- Jupiter, i.e. ω = ωJ with ωJ =1.77 · 10 s . This case ent scaling laws. The associated uncertainty was discussed will be denoted by “FR”. by Grießmeier et al. (2007). The different scaling laws are 1 compared, e.g., by Farrell et al. (1999) , Grießmeier et al. Note that tidal interaction does not perfectly synchro- (2004) and Grießmeier (2006). In order to be able to apply nise the planetary rotation to its orbit. Thermal atmo- these scaling laws, some assumptions on the planetary size spheric tides resulting from stellar heating can drive planets and structure are required. The variables required in the away from synchronous rotation (Showman & Guillot, scaling laws are rc (the radius of the dynamo region within 2002; Correia et al., 2003; Laskar & Correia, 2004). the planet), ρc (the density within this region), σ (the con- According to Showman & Guillot (2002), the correspond- ductivity within this region) and ω (the planetary rotation ing error for ω could be as large as a factor of two. On rate). the basis of the example of τ Bootis b, Grießmeier et al. (2007) show that the effect of imperfect tidal locking (in combination with the spread of the results found by The size of the planetary core rc and its density ρc The den- sity profile within the planet ρ(r) is obtained by describ- different scaling laws) can lead to magnetic moments and ing the planet as a polytropic gas sphere, using the solu- thus emission frequencies up to a factor 2.5 higher than tion of the Lane-Emden equation (Chandrasekhar, 1957; for the nominal case. Keeping this “error bar” in mind, we S´anchez-Lavega, 2004): will nevertheless consider only the reference case in this work.

sin π r πMp Rp ρ(r)= . (29) The conductivity in the planetary core σc Finally, the con- 3   4Rp π r   Rp ductivity in the dynamo region of extrasolar planets re-   mains to be evaluated. According to Nellis (2000), the elec- trical conductivity remains constant throughout the metal- The size of the planetary core rc is found by search- ing for the value of r where the density ρ(r) be- lic region. For this reason, it is not necessary to average over comes large enough for the transition to the liquid- the volume of the conducting region. As the magnetic mo- metallic phase (S´anchez-Lavega, 2004; Grießmeier et al., ment scaling is applied relative to Jupiter, only the relative 2005; Grießmeier, 2006). The transition was assumed to value of the conductivity, i.e. σ/σJ is required. In this work, occur at a density of 700 kg/m3, which is consistent with the conductivity is assumed to be the same for extrasolar the range of parameters given by S´anchez-Lavega (2004). gas giants as for Jupiter, i.e. σ/σJ = 1. For Jupiter, we obtain rc =0.85 RJ. The average density in the dynamo region ρ is then c The size of the magnetosphere The size of the planetary obtained by averaging the density ρ(r) over the range 0 ≤ magnetosphere R is calculated with the parameters deter- r ≤ r . For Jupiter, we obtain r ≈ 1800 kg m−3. s c c mined above for the stellar wind and the planetary mag- netic moment. For a given planetary orbital distance d, The planetary rotation rate ω Depending on the orbital dis- of the different pressure contributions only the magneto- tance of the planet and the timescale for synchronous rota- spheric magnetic pressure is a function of the distance to tion τsync (which is derived in appendix B), three cases can the planet. Thus, the standoff distance Rs is found from be distinguished: the pressure equilibrium (Grießmeier et al., 2005):

1. For planets at small enough distances for which the 2 2 1/6 timescale for tidal locking is small (i.e. τsync ≤ 100 µ0f0 M Rs(d)= 2 2 . (30) Myr), the rotation period is taken to be synchronised 8π (mn(d)veff(d) +2 n(d)kBT ) with the orbital period (ω = ωf ≈ ωorbit), which is   known from measurements. This case will be denoted by “TL”. Typically, this results in smaller rotation rates for Here, m is the proton’s mass, and f0 is the form factor of tidally locked planets than for freely rotating planets. the magnetosphere. It describes the magnetic field created by the magnetopause currents. For a realistic magnetopause 1 containing a typo in the sixth equation of the appendix. shape, a factor f0 = 1.16 is used (Voigt, 1995). In term of J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets 7 units normalized to Jupiter’s units, this is equivalent to Note that http://exoplanet.eu contains a few more planets than table 1, because for some planets, essential 1/6 data required for the radio flux estimation are not available M2 Rs(d) ≈ 40RJ , (31) (typically s, the distance to the observer). 2 2n ˜(d)kBT  n˜(d)veff(d) + 2  The numbers given in table 1 are not accurate results, f mveff,J   but should be regarded as refined estimations intended to 5 withn ˜(d) = n(d)/nJ, veff(fd) = veff(d)/veff,J, nJ = 2.0 · 10 guide observations. Still, the errors and uncertainties in- −3 m , and veff,J = 520 km/s. volved in these estimations can be considerable. As was shown in Grießmeier et al. (2007), the uncertainty on the Note that in a few cases,f especially for planets with very weak magnetic moments and/or subject to dense and fast radio flux at Earth, Φ, is dominated by the uncertainty stellar winds of young stars, eq. (30) yields standoff dis- in the stellar age t⋆ (for which the error is estimated as tances R < R , where R is the planetary radius. Because ≈ 50% by Saffe et al., 2005). For the maximum emission s p p max the magnetosphere cannot be compressed to sizes smaller frequency, fc , the error is determined by the uncertainty than the planetary radius, we set Rs = Rp in those cases. in the planetary magnetic moment M, which is uncertain by a factor of two. For the planet τ Bootes b, these effects translate into an uncertainty of almost one order of mag- 3.5. Additional parameters nitude for the flux (the error is smaller for planets around The other required parameters are obtained from the fol- stars of solar age), and an uncertainty of a factor of 2-3 lowing sources: for the maximum emission frequency. This error estimate is derived and discussed in more detail by Grießmeier et al. (2007). – The stellar ages t⋆ are taken from Saffe et al. (2005, who gave ages for 112 exoplanet host stars). Saffe et al. The results given in table 1 cover the following range: (2005) compare stellar age estimations based on five dif- ferent methods (and for one of them they use two dif- – The maximum emission frequency found to lie beween 0 max ferent calibrations), some of which give more reliable to almost 200 MHz. However, all planets with fc > 70 results than others. Because not all of these methods MHz have negligible flux. Also note that any emission are applicable to all stars, we use the age estimations with fc ≤ 5 to 10 MHz will not be detectable on Earth in the following order or preference: chromospheric age because it cannot propagate through the Earth’s iono- for ages below 5.6 Gyr (using the D93 calibration), sphere (“ionospheric cutoff”). For this reason, the most isochrone age, chromospheric age for ages above 5.6 appropriate frequency window for radio observations Gyr (using the D93 calibration), age. Note seems to be between 10 and 70 MHz. that error estimates for the two most reliable methods, – The radio flux according to the magnetic energy model, namely isochrone and chromospheric ages, are already Φsw,mag lies between 0 and 5 Jy (for GJ 436 b). For 15 relatively large (30%-50%). In those cases where the age candidates, Φsw,mag is larger than 100 mJy, and for 37 is not known, a default value of 5.2 Gyr is used (the candidates it is above 10 mJy. median chromospheric age found by Saffe et al., 2005). – The flux prediction according to the kinetic energy This relatively high average age is due to a selection ef- model, Φsw,kin is much lower than the flux according to fect (planet detection by method is easier the magnetic energy model. Only in one case it exceeds to achieve for older, more slowly rotating stars). As the the value of 10 mJy. uncertainty of the radio flux estimation becomes very – The increased stellar wind density and velocity during large for low stellar ages (Grießmeier et al., 2005), we a CME leads to a strong increase of the radio flux when use a minimum stellar age of 0.5 Gyr. compared to the kinetic energy model. Correspondingly, – For the solid angle of the beam, we assume the emis- ΦCME,kin exceeds 100 mJy in 3 cases and 10 mJy in 11 sion to be analogous to the dominating contribu- cases. tions of Jupiter’s radio emission and use Ω = 1.6 sr – Table 1 does not contain flux estimations for the unipo- (Zarka et al., 2004). lar interaction model. The reason is that the condition given by eq. (11) is not satisfied in any of the studied cases. This is consistent with the result of Zarka (2006, 4. Expected radio flux for know exoplanets 2007), who found that stars 100 times as strongly mag- netised as the sun are required for this type of emission. 4.1. The list of known exoplanets The approach taken in section 3.2 for the estimation Table 1 2 shows what radio emission we expect from the stellar magnetic fields does not yield such strong mag- presently known exoplanets (13.1.2007). It contains the netic fields for stars with ages > 0.5 Gyr. Stronger mag- maximum emission frequency according to eq. (8), the netic fields are possible (e.g. for younger stars). Strongly plasma frequency in the stellar wind at the planetary lo- magnetised stars (even those without known planets) cation according to eq. (9) and the expected radio flux ac- could be defined as specific targets to test this model. cording to the magnetic model (1), the kinetic model (2), – The plasma frequency in the stellar wind, fp,sw, is neg- and the kinetic CME model (4). The unipolar interaction ligibly small in most cases. For a few planets, however, model is discussed in the text below. Table 1 also contains it is of the same order of magnitude as the maximum values for the expected planetary mass Mp, its radius Rp emission frequency. In these cases, the condition given and its planetary magnetic dipole moment M. For each by eq. (10) makes the escape of the radio emission from planet, we note whether tidal locking should be expected. its source towards the observer impossible. Of the 197 planets of the current census, eq. (10) is violated in 8 2 Table 1 is only available in electronic form at the CDS. cases. If one takes into account the uncertainty of the 8 J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets

stellar age (30-50%, see Saffe et al., 2005), an uncer- tem of UTR-2. Somewhat higher numbers are found for tainty of similar size is introduced for the plasma fre- LOFAR. Considering the uncertainties mentioned above, quency: In the example of τ Bootis, the age uncertainty these numbers should not be taken literally, but should translates into a variation of up to 50% for the plasma be seen as an indicator that while observation seem fea- frequency. With such error bars, between 6 and 14 plan- sible, the number of suitable candidates is rather low. It ets are affected by eq. (10). None of the best targets are can be seen that the maximum emission frequency of many affected. planets lies below the ionospheric cutoff frequency, mak- – The expected planetary magnetic dipole moments lie ing earth-based observation of these planets impossible. A between 0 and 5.5 times the magnetic moment of moon-based radio telescope however would give access to Jupiter. However, the highest values are found only for radio emission with frequencies of a few MHz (Zarka, 2007). very massive planets: Planets with masses M ≤ 2MJ As can be seen in figures 1, 2 and 3, this frequency range in- have magnetic moments M ≤ 2MJ. For planets with cludes a significant number of potential target planets with masses of M ≤ MJ, the models predict magnetic mo- relatively high flux densities. ments M≤ 1.1MJ. Figures 1, 2 and 3 also show that the relatively high fre- quencies of the LOFAR high band and of the SKA telescope The results of table 1 confirm that the different mod- are probably not very well suited for the search for exoplan- els for planetary radio emission lead to very different re- etary radio emission. These instruments could, however, be sults. The largest fluxes are found for the magnetic energy used to search for radio emission generated by unipolar in- model, followed by the CME model and the kinetic en- teraction between planets and strongly magnetised stars. ergy model. This is consistent with previous expectations (Zarka et al., 2001b; Zarka, 2006; Grießmeier et al., 2006b; Zarka, 2007; Grießmeier et al., 2007). The unipolar inter- action model does not lead to observable emission for the 101 ] presently known exoplanets. Furthermore, the impact of 1 tidal locking is clearly visible in the results. As it is cur- −

Hz −1 rently not clear which of these models best describes the 2 10 auroral radio emission, it is not sufficient to restrict oneself − to one scaling law (e.g. the one yielding the largest radio flux). For this reason, all possible models have to be consid- Wm 10−3 26 ered. Once exoplanetary radio emission is detected, obser- −

vations will be used to constrain and improve the models. 10 − Table 1 also shows that planets subject to tidal locking = 10 5

have a smaller magnetic moment and thus a lower maxi- [Jy

mum emission frequency than freely rotating planets. The Φ − reduced bandwidth of the emission can lead to an increase 10 7 of the radio flux, but frequently emission is limited to fre- quencies not observable on earth (i.e. below the ionospheric 1 MHz 10 MHz 100 MHz 1 GHz cutoff). f The results of table 1 are visualized in figure 1 (for the magnetic energy model), figure 2 (for the CME model) and Fig. 1. Maximum emission frequency and expected radio figure 3 (for the kinetic energy model). The predicted plan- flux for known extrasolar planets according to the magnetic etary radio emission is denoted by open triangles (two for energy model, compared to the limits of past and planned each “potentially locked” planet, otherwise one per planet). observation attempts. Open triangles: Predictions for plan- The typical uncertainties (approx. one order of magnitude ets. Solid lines and filled circles: Previous observation at- for the flux, and a factor of 2-3 for the maximum emis- tempts at the UTR-2 (solid lines), at Clark Lake (filled tri- sion frequency) are indicated by the arrows in the upper angle), at the VLA (filled circles), and at the GMRT (filled right corner. The sensitivity limit of previous observation rectangle). For comparison, the expected sensitivity of new attempts are shown as filled symbols and as solid lines detectors is shown: upgraded UTR-2 (dashed line), LOFAR (a more detailed comparison of these observations can be (dash-dotted lines, one for the low band and one for the high found in Zarka, 2004; Grießmeier et al., 2006a; Grießmeier, band antenna), LWA (left dotted line) and SKA (right dot- 2006). The expected sensitivity of new and future detec- ted line). Frequencies below 10 MHz are not observable tors (for 1 hour integration and 4 MHz bandwidth, or any from the ground (ionospheric cutoff). Typical uncertainties equivalent combination) is shown for comparison. Dashed are indicated by the arrows in the upper right corner. line: upgraded UTR-2, dash-dotted lines: low band and high band of LOFAR, left dotted line: LWA, right dotted line: SKA. The instruments’ sensitivities are defined by the radio sky background. For a given instrument, a planet is observ- able if it is located either above the instrument’s symbol or 4.2. A few selected cases above and to its right. Again, large differences in expected flux densities are apparent between the different models. According to our analysis, the best candidates are: On average, the magnetic energy model yields the largest flux densities, and the kinetic energy model yields the low- – HD 41004 B b, which is the best case in the magnetic est values. Depending on the model, between one and three energy model with emission above 1 MHz. Note that planets are likely to be observable using the upgraded sys- the mass of this object is higher than the upper limit J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets 9

– HD 73256 b, which has emission above 100 mJy in the 101 magnetic energy model and which is the second best ]

1 planet in the kinetic energy model. − – GJ 3021 b, which is the third best planet in the kinetic

Hz −1 energy model. 2 10 − To this list, one should add the planets around Ups And

Wm 10−3 (b, c and d) and of HD 179949 b, whose parent stars ex- 26

− hibit an increase of the chromospheric emission of about 1-2% (Shkolnik et al., 2003, 2004, 2005). The observations 10 − = 10 5 indicate one maximum per planetary orbit, a “Hot Spot” in the stellar chromosphere which is in phase with the plan- [Jy etary orbit. The lead angles observed by Shkolnik et al. Φ 10−7 (2003) and Shkolnik et al. (2005) were recently explained with an Alfv´en-wing model using realistic stellar wind pa- 1 MHz 10 MHz 100 MHz 1 GHz rameters obtained from the stellar wind model by Weber f and Davis (Preusse, 2006; Preusse et al., 2006). This indi- cates that a magnetised planet is not required to describe Fig. 2. Maximum emission frequency and expected radio the present data. The presence of a planetary magnetic field flux for known extrasolar planets according to the CME could, however, be proven by the existence of planetary ra- model, compared to the limits of past and planned obser- dio emission. Although our model does not predict high vation attempts. Open triangles: Predictions for planets. radio fluxes from these planets (see table 1), the high chro- All other lines and symbols are as defined in figure 1. mospheric flux shows that a strong interaction is taking place. As a possible solution of this problem, an intense stellar magnetic field was suggested (Zarka, 2006, 2007). In that case, table 1 underestimates the radio emission of Ups And b, c, d and HD 179949 b, making these planets inter- 101 esting candidates for radio observations (eg. through the ]

1 magnetic energy model or the unipolar interaction model). − For this reason, it would be especially interesting to obtain

Hz −1 measurements of the stellar magnetic field for these two 2 10 − planet-hosting stars (e.g. by the method of Catala et al., 2007). Wm 10−3 Considering the uncertainties mentioned above, it is im- 26

− portant not to limit observations attempts to these best

10 cases. The estimated radio characteristics should only be − = 10 5 used as a guide (e.g. for the target selection, or for statisti-

[Jy cal analysis), but individual results should not be regarded as precise values. Φ 10−7

1 MHz 10 MHz 100 MHz 1 GHz 4.3. Statistical discussion f It may seem surprising that so few good candidates are found among the 197 examined exoplanets. However, when Fig. 3. Maximum emission frequency and expected radio one checks the list of criteria for “good” candidates (e.g. flux for known extrasolar planets according to the kinetic Grießmeier et al., 2006a), it is easily seen that only a few energy model, compared to the limits of past and planned good targets can be expected: (a) the planet should be observation attempts. Open triangles: Predictions for plan- close to the Earth (otherwise the received flux is too weak). ets. All other lines and symbols are as defined in figure 1. About 70% of the known exoplanets are located within 50 pc, so that this is not a strong restriction. (b) A strongly magnetised system is required (especially for frequencies above the ionospheric cutoff). For this reason, the planet for planets (≈ 13MJ), so that it probably is a brown should be massive (as seen above, we find magnetic mo- dwarf and not a planet. ments M≥ 2MJ only for planets with masses M ≥ 2MJ). – Epsilon Eridani b, which is the best case in the kinetic About 60% of the known exoplanets are at least as mas- energy model. sive as Jupiter (but only 40% have Mp ≥ 2.0MJ). (c) The – Tau Boo b, which is the best case in the magnetic energy planet should be located close to its host star to allow for model with emission above the ionospheric cutoff (10 strong interaction (dense stellar wind, strong stellar mag- MHz). netic field). Only 25% of the known exoplanets are located – HD 189733 b, which is the best case in both the mag- within 0.1 AU of their host star. netic energy model and in the CME model which has By multiplying these probabilities, one finds that close emission above 1 MHz. (s ≤ 50 pc), heavy (Mp ≥ 2.0MJ), close-in (d ≤ 0.1 AU) – Gliese 876 c, which is the best case in the CME model planets would represent 8% (≈ 15 of 197 planets) of the cur- with emission above the ionospheric cutoff (10 MHz). rent total if the probabilities for the three conditions were 10 J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets independent. However, this is not the case. In the current (2004), one has to note that their table I gives the census of exoplanets, a correlation between planetary mass peak power, while the results in our table 1 were ob- and orbital distance is clearly evident, with a lack of close- tained using the average power during periods of high in massive planets (see e.g. Udry et al., 2003). This is not a activity. Similarly to Farrell et al. (1999), Lazio et al. selection effect, as massive close-in planets should be easier (2004) assume that the peak power caused by varia- to detect than low-mass planets. This correlation was ex- tions of the stellar wind velocity is two orders of magni- plained by the stronger tidal interaction effects for massive tude higher than the average power. However, the val- planets, leading to a faster decrease of the planetary orbital ues Farrell et al. (1999) use for average conditions corre- radius until the planet reaches the stellar Roche limit and is spond to periods of high activity, which are less than one effectively destroyed (P¨atzold & Rauer, 2002; Jiang et al., order of magnitude below the peak power (Zarka et al., 2003). Because of this mass-orbit correlation, the fraction 2004). During periods of peak emission, the value given of good candidates is somewhat lower (approx. 2%, namely in our table 1 would be increased by the same amount 3 of 197 planets: HD 41004 B b, Tau Boo b, and HD 162020 (approximately a factor of 5, see Zarka et al., 2004). For b). this reason, the peak radio flux is considerably overes- timated in these studies. – Estimated radio fluxes according to the magnetic energy 4.4. Comparison to previous results model and the CME model have not yet been published A first comparative study of expected exoplanetary radio for large numbers of planets. This is the first time the emission from a large number of planets was performed by results from these models are compared for a large num- Lazio et al. (2004), who compared expected radio fluxes of ber of planets. 118 planets (i.e. those known as of 2003, July 1). Their results differ considerably from those given in table 1: 5. Conclusions max – As far as the maximum emission frequency fc is concerned, our results are considerably lower than Predictions concerning the radio emission from all presently the frequencies given by Lazio et al. (2004). For Tau known extrasolar planets were presented. The main param- Bootes, their maximum emission frequency is six times eters related to such an emission were analyzed, namely larger than our result. For planets heavier than Tau the planetary magnetic dipole moments, the maximum fre- Bootes, the discrepancy is even larger, reaching more quency of the radio emission, the radio flux densities, and than one order of magnitude for the very heavy cases the possible escape of the radiation towards a remote ob- (e.g. HD 168433c, for which they predict radio emis- server. sion with frequencies up to 2670 MHz). These differ- We compared the results obtained with various theo- ences have several reasons: Firstly, Farrell et al. (1999) retical models. Our results confirm that the four different and Lazio et al. (2004) assume that Rp = RJ. Also, models for planetary radio emission lead to very different these works rely on the magnetic moment scaling law of results. As expected, the largest fluxes are found for the Blackett (1947), which has a large exponent in rc. This magnetic energy model, followed by the CME model and scaling law should not be used, as it was experimentally the kinetic energy model. The results obtained by the lat- disproven (Blackett, 1952). Thirdly, these works make ter model are found to be less optimistic than by previous 1/3 studies. The unipolar interaction model does not lead to uses rc ∝ Mp . Especially for planets with large masses like τ Bootes, this yields unrealistically large core radii observable emission for any of the currently known plan- ets. As it is currently not clear which of these models best (even rc > Rp in some cases), magnetic moments, and emission frequencies. Note that a good estimation of the describes the auroral radio emission, it is not sufficient to emission frequency is particularly important, because a restrict oneself to one scaling law (e.g. the one yielding the difference of a factor of a few can make the difference largest radio flux). Once exoplanetary radio emission is de- between radiosignals above and below the Earth’s iono- tected, observations will be used to constrain and improve spheric cutoff frequency. the model. – The anticipated radio flux obtained with the kinetic en- These results will be particularly useful for the target selection of current and future radio observation campaigns ergy model Φsw,kin is much lower than the estimates of Lazio et al. (2004). Typically, the difference is approxi- (e.g. with the VLA, GMRT, UTR-2 and with LOFAR). We mately two orders of magnitude, but this varies strongly have shown that observation seem feasible, but that the from case to case. For example, for Tau Boo b, our re- number of suitable candidates is relatively low. The best sult is smaller by a factor of 30 (where the difference is candidates appear to be HD 41004 B b, Epsilon Eridani b, partially compensated by the low stellar age which in- Tau Boo b, HD 189733 b, Gliese 876 c, HD 73256 b, and creases our estimation), for Ups And b, the results differ GJ 3021 b. The observation of some of these candidates is by a factor of 220, and for Gliese 876 c, the difference is in progress. as large as a factor 6300 (which is partially due to the fact we take into account the small stellar radius and Acknowledgements. We thank J. Schneider for providing data via “The extrasolar planet encyclopedia” (http://exoplanet.eu/), I. the high stellar age). Baraffe and C. Vocks for helpful discussions concerning planetary – As was mentioned above, the analysis of the jovian radio radii. We would also like to thank the anonymous referee for his helpful emission allows to define three terms for the typical ra- comments. This study was jointly performed within the ANR project dio spectrum: (a) the power during average conditions, “La d´etection directe des exoplan`etes en ondes radio” and within the LOFAR transients key project (TKP). J.-M. G. was supported by (b) the average power during periods of high activity, the french national research agency (ANR) within the project with and (c) the peak power (Zarka et al., 2004). When com- the contract number NT05-1 42530 and partially by Europlanet (N3 paring the results of our table 1 to those of Lazio et al. activity). P.Z. acknowledges support from the International Space J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets 11

Science Institute (ISSI) within the ISSI team “Search for Radio than 10% difference for small planets). For a planet with Emissions from Extra-Solar Planets”. unknown radius, a strong enrichment in heavy elements cannot be ruled out, as this case cannot be distinguished Appendix A: An empirical mass-radius relation observationally from a pure hydrogen giant (i.e. one without heavy elements). For the selection of targets for the search for radio emis- sion from extrasolar planets, an estimation of the expected For these reasons, we conclude that an analytical de- max radio flux Φ and of the maximum emission frequency fc scription which agrees with the (numerical) data within is required. For the calculation of these values, both the ∼20% seems sufficient. For such a description, the error planetary mass and the planetary radius are required (see, introduced by the fit will not be the dominant one. To get e.g. Farrell et al., 1999; Grießmeier et al., 2007; Zarka, a better result, it is not sufficient to improve the approxi- 2007). However, only for a few planets (i.e. the 16 presently mation for the radius estimation, but the more fundamental known transiting planets) both mass and radius are known. problems mentioned above have to be addressed. In the absence of observational data, it is in principle possible to obtain planetary radii from numerical simula- A.2. An analytical mass-radius relation tion, e.g. similar to those of Bodenheimer et al. (2003) or Baraffe et al. (2003, 2005), requiring one numerical run per A.2.1. The influence of the planetary mass planet. We chose instead to derive a simplified analytical fit to such numerical results. A simple mass-radius relation, valid within a vast mass range, has been proposed by Lynden-Bell & O’Dwyer (2001) and Lynden-Bell & Tout (2001): A.1. The accuracy of the fit 1/3 The description presented here is necessarily only prelim- 1 Mp Rp = 1/3 2/3 (A.1) inary, as (a) numerical models are steadily further devel- 4 Mp 3 πρ0 1+ oped and improved, and as (b) more transit observations Mmax (e.g. by the COROT satellite, which was launched recently)    will provide a much better database in the future. This will The density ρ0 is depends on the planetary atomic compo- considerably improve our understanding of the dependence sition. Eq. (A.1) has a maximum in Rp when Mp = Mmax of the planetary radius on various parameters as, e.g. plan- (corresponding to the planet of maximum radius). Fitting etary mass, orbital distance, or stellar metallicity (as sug- Jupiter, Saturn and the planet of maximum radius (Rmax = 1.16RJ, see Hubbard, 1984), we obtain Mmax = 3.16MJ gested by Guillot et al., 2006). −3 and ρ0 = 394 kg m for a Jupiter-like mixture of hydro- gen and helium (75% and 25% by mass, respectively). For −3 A.1.1. What accuracy can we accept? a pure hydrogen planet, ρ0 = 345 kg m . With there pa- Within the frame of the models presented in section 2, an rameters, eq. (A.1) fits well the results for cold planets of Bodenheimer et al. (2003). In this work, this estimation is increase in Rp by 40% increases the expected radio flux by a factor of 2, and the estimated maximum emission fre- used for the radii of non-irradiated (cold) planets. quency decreases by 40%. More generally, for a fixed plan- 7/3 max etary mass, Φ is roughly proportional to Rp and fc is A.2.2. The influence of the planetary age approximately proportional to R−1. Thus, it appears that p It is known that the radius of a planet with a given mass the assumption of a single standard radius for all plan- depends on its age. According to models for the radii of ets leads to a relatively large error. Comparing this to the isolated planets (Baraffe et al., 2003), the assumption of a other uncertainties involved in the estimation of radio char- time-independent planetary radius leads to an error ≤11% acteristics (these are discussed in Grießmeier et al., 2007), for planets with ages above 0.5 Gyr and with masses above it seems sufficient to estimate Rp with 20% accuracy. 0.5MJ. In view of the uncertainties discussed above, this error seems acceptable for a first approximation, and we A.1.2. What accuracy can we expect? use R (M ,t) ≈ R (M ). (A.2) Several effects limit the precision in planetary radius we p p p p can hope to achieve: A.2.3. The influence of the planetary orbital distance – The definition of the radius: The “transit radius” mea- sured for transiting planets is not exactly identical to It is commonly expected that planets subjected to strong the standard 1 bar radius. The differences are of the stellar radiation have a larger planetary radius than iso- order of about 5-10%, but depend on the mass of the lated, but otherwise identical planets. This situation is planet (Burrows et al., 2003, 2004). Because we com- typical for “Hot Jupiters”, where strong stellar irradi- pare modelled radii and observed radii without correct- ation is supposed to delay the planetary contraction ing for this effect, this limits the maximum precision we (Burrows et al., 2000, 2003, 2004). Clearly, this effect de- can potentially obtain. pends on the planetary distance to its star, d, and on the – The abundance of heavy elements: The transiting planet stellar L⋆. In the following, we denote the radius around HD 149026 is substantially enriched in heavy el- increase by r, which we define as ements (Sato et al., 2005). Models (Bodenheimer et al., 2003) yield a smaller radius for planets with a heavy R (M , d) r = p p . (A.3) core than for coreless planets of the same mass (more Rp(Mp, d = ∞) 12 J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets

Herein, Rp(Mp,t,d) denotes the radius of a planet under calculated according to eq. (A.1). As the mass of all tran- the irradiation by its host star, and Rp(Mp,t,d = ∞) is the siting planets lies between 0.11MJ ≤ Mp ≤ 3.0MJ, one radius of a non-irraditated, but otherwise identical planet. should expect to find all crosses between the two limiting Different exoplanets have vastly different host stars. A curves. For most planets, this is indeed the case: only for difference of a factor of two in stellar mass can result in a HD 209458b, r is considerably outside the area delimited difference of more than order of magnitude in stellar lumi- by the two curves. Different explanations have been put nosity. For this reason, it is not sufficient to take the orbital forward for the anomalously large radius of this planet, but distance as the only parameter determining the radius in- so far no conclusive answer to this question has been found crease by irradiation. (see e.g. Guillot et al., 2006, and references therein). As nu- Here, we select the equilibrium temperature of the merical models cannot reproduce the observed radius of this planetary surface as the basic parameter. It is defined as planet, one cannot expect our approach (which is based on (Bodenheimer et al., 2003) a fit to numerical results) to reproduce it either. For the other planets, Fig. A.1 shows that our approach is a valid (1 − A)L 1/4 approximation. T = ⋆ , (A.4) eq 16πσ d2(1 + e2/2)2  SB  where the planetary albedo is set as A =0.4 in the follow- ing. The stellar luminosity L⋆ is calculated from the stellar mass according to the analytical fit given by Tout et al. (1996) for the zero-age main sequence. In this, we as- sumed solar metallicity for all stars. Finally, σSB denotes the Stefan-Boltzmann constant. Using the data of Bodenheimer et al. (2003), we use the following fit for the radius increase r: T γ r =1+0.05 eq . (A.5) T  0  This form was selected because it has the correct qualita- tive behaviour: It yields a monotonous decrease of r with decreasing equilibrium temperature Teq (increasing orbital distance d). In the limit Teq → 0 (d → ∞) we find r → 1. As an alternative to a continuous fit like eq. (A.5), Lazio et al. (2004) use a step-function, i.e. assume an increased ra- Fig. A.1. Radius increase r as a function of the equilib- dius of r = 1.25 for planets closer than a certain distance rium temperature Teq according to eq. (A.5), (A.6) and d1 = 0.1 AU only. However, this treatment does not re- (A.7). Upper line: radius increase r due to irradiation for duce the number of fit-constants. Also, for planets with planets of mass Mp = 0.11MJ. Lower line: Upper line: orbital distances close to d1, the results obtained with a radius increase r due to irradiation for planets of mass step-function strongly depend on the somehow arbitrary Mp = 3.0MJ. Open symbols: results of the numerical cal- choice of d1. A continuous transition from “irradiated” to culation of Bodenheimer et al. (2003) for planetary masses “isolated” planets is less prone to this effect. Mp = 0.11MJ (diamonds) and Mp = 3.0MJ (triangles). The numerical results of Bodenheimer et al. (2003) Crosses: radius increase for observed transiting planets (see show that the ratio r also depends on the mass of the planet: text). for small planets, r =1.4 for an equilibrium temperature of 2000 K, whereas for large planets, r ≤ 1.10. For this reason, we allow to coefficients T0 and γ to vary with Mp: M ct,2 T = c · p (A.6) 0 t,1 M Appendix B: Tidal locking?  J  and For the estimation of the planetary magnetic dipole mo- cγ,2 cγ,1 ment in section 3.4, we require the planetary rotation rate. γ =1.15+0.05 · . (A.7) This rotation rate rotation greatly depends on whether the M  p  planet can be considered as tidally locked, as freely rotat- With the set of coefficient ct,1 = 764 K , ct,2 = 0.28, ing, or as potentially locked. In this appendix, we discuss cγ,1 = 0.59MJ and cγ,2 = 1.03, we obtain an analytical how we evaluate the tidal locking timescale τsync, which fit to the numerical results of Bodenheimer et al. (2003). decides to which of these categories a planet belongs. The maximum deviation from the numerical results is be- The value of the planetary rotation ω depends on its dis- low 10% (cf. Fig. A.1). tance from the central star. For close-in planets, the plan- For comparison, Fig. A.1 also shows the value of r for etary rotation rate is reduced by tidal dissipation. In this the transiting exoplanets OGLE-TR-10b, OGLE-TR-56b, case, tidal interaction gradually slows down the planetary OGLE-TR-111b, OGLE-TR-113b, OGLE-TR-132b, XO- rotation from its initial value ωi until it reaches the final 1b, HD 189733b, HD 209458b, TrES-1b and TrES-2b as value ωf after tidal locking is completed. small crosses. Here, r is calculated as the ratio of the ob- It should be noted that for planets in eccentric orbits, served value of Rp(Mp, d) and the value for Rp(Mp, d = ∞) tidal interaction does not lead to the synchronisation of J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets 13

′ the planetary rotation with the orbital period. Instead, the Tidal dissipation factor Qp For planets with masses of rotation period also depends on the orbital eccentricity. At the order of one Jupiter mass, one finds that k2,p has a the same time, the timescale to reach this equilibrium rota- value of k2,p ≈ 0.5 for Jupiter (Murray & Dermott, 1999; tion rate is reduced (Laskar & Correia, 2004). Similarly, for Laskar & Correia, 2004) and k2,p ≈ 0.3 for Saturn (Peale, planets in an oblique orbit, the equilibrium rotation period 1999; Laskar & Correia, 2004). The value of k2,p = 0.5 is modified (Levrard et al., 2007). However, the locking of a will be used in this work. With eq. (B.2), this results in ′ hot Jupiter in a non-synchronous spin-orbit resonance ap- Qp ≈ 3Qp. pears to be unlikely for distances ≤ 0.1 AU (Levrard et al., For Jupiter, one finds the following range of allowed val- 4 6 2007). For this reason, we will calculate the timescale for ues: 6.6 · 10 . Qp . 2.0 · 10 (Peale, 1999). Several estima- tidal locking under the assumptions of circular orbits and tions of the turbulent dissipation within Jupiter yield Qp- zero obliquity. In the following, the tidal locking timescale values larger than this upper limit, while other theories pre- for reaching ωf is calculated under the following simplifying dict values consistent with this upper limit (Marcy et al., assumptions: prograde orbit, spin parallel to orbit (i.e. zero 1997; Peale, 1999, and references therein). This demon- obliquity), and zero eccentricity (Murray & Dermott, 1999, strates that the origin of the value of Qp is not well un- Chapter 4). derstood even for Jupiter (Marcy et al., 1997). The rate of change of the planetary rotation velocity ω Extrasolar giant planets are subject to strongly different for a planet with a mass of Mp and radius of Rp around conditions, and it is difficult to constrain Qp. Typically, Hot a star of mass M⋆ is given by (Goldreich & Soter, 1966; Jupiters are assumed to behave similarly to Jupiter, and 5 ′ 6 Murray & Dermott, 1999): values in the range 1.0·10 ≤ Qp ≤ 1.0·10 are used. In the following, we will distinguish three different regimes: close dω 9 1 GM M 2 R 6 planets (which are tidally locked), distant planets (which = p ⋆ p , (B.1) ′ 3 are freely rotating), and planets at intermediate distances dt 4 αQp Rp Mp d       (which are potentially tidally locked). The borders between where the constant α depends on the internal mass distri- the “tidally locked” and the “potentially locked” regime is 2 ′ 6 bution within the planet. It is defined by α = I/(MpRp), calculated by setting τsync = 100 Myr and Qp = 10 . The where I is the planetary moment of inertia. For a sphere of border between the “potentially locked” and the “freely homogeneous density, α is equal to 2/5. For planets, gener- rotating” regime is calculated by setting τsync = 10 Gyr and ′ ′ 5 ally α ≤ 2/5. Qp is the modified Q-value of the planet. It Qp = 10 . Thus, the area of “potentially locked” planets is can be expressed as (Murray & Dermott, 1999) increased.

′ 3Qp Q = , (B.2) Initial rotation rate ω The initial rotation rate ω is not p 2k i i 2,p well constrained by planetary formation theories. The rela- tion between the planetary angular momentum density and where k2,p is the Love number of the planet. Qp is the plan- etary tidal dissipation factor (the larger it is, the smaller planetary mass observed in the solar system (MacDonald, is the tidal dissipation), defined by MacDonald (1964) and 1964) suggests a primordial rotation period of the order of Goldreich & Soter (1966). 10 hours (Hubbard, 1984, Chapter 4). We assume the ini- The time scale for tidal locking is obtained by a com- tial rotation rate to be equal to the current rotation rate of −4 −1 parison of the planetary angular velocity and its rate of Jupiter (i.e. ω = ωi = ωJ) with ωJ =1.77 · 10 s . change: ωi − ωf τsync = . (B.3) Final rotation rate ωf As far as eq. (B.4) is concerned, ωf ω˙ can be neglected (Grießmeier, 2006). A planet with angular velocity ωi at t = 0 (i.e. after forma- tion) will gradually lose angular momentum, until the an- References gular velocity reaches ωf at t = τsync. Insertion of eq. (B.1) into eq. (B.3) yields the following expression for τsync: Baraffe, I., Chabrier, G., Barman, T. S., Allard, F., & Hauschildt, P. H. 2003, Astron. Astrophys., 402, 701 3 2 6 Baraffe, I., Chabrier, G., Barman, T. S., et al. 2005, Astron. 4 ′ Rp Mp d Astrophys., 436, L47 τsync ≈ αQp (ωi − ωf) (B.4) 9 GMp M⋆ Rp Blackett, P. M. S. 1947, Nature, 159, 658 !     Blackett, P. M. S. 1952, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 245, 309 Bodenheimer, P., Laughlin, G., & Lin, D. N. C. 2003, Astrophys. J., The importance of this effect strongly depends on the 592, 555 6 distance (τsync ∝ d ). Thus, a planet in a close-in orbit Burrows, A., Guillot, T., Hubbard, W. B., et al. 2000, Astrophys. J., (d . 0.1 AU) around its central star is subject to strong 534, L97 tidal interaction, leading to gravitational locking on a very Burrows, A., Hubeny, I., Hubbard, W. B., Sudarsky, D., & Fortney, I. J. 2004, Astrophys. J., 610, L53 short timescale. Burrows, A., Sudarsky, D., & Hubbard, W. B. 2003, Astrophys. J., In the following, we briefly describe the parameters (α, 594, 545 ′ Qp, ωi and ωf) required to calculate the timescale for tidal Cain, J. C., Beaumont, P., Holter, W., Wang, Z., & Nevanlinna, H. locking of Hot Jupiters. 1995, J. Geophys. Res., 100, 9439 Catala, C., Donati, J.-F., Shkolnik, E., Bohlender, D., & Alecian, E. 2007, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc., 374, L42 Structure parameter α For large gaseous planets, the equa- Chandrasekhar, S. 1957, An Introduction to the Study of Stellar Structure, Dover Books on Astronomy and Astrophysics (New tion of state can be approximated by a polytrope of index York: Dover Publications, Inc.) κ = 1. In that case, the structure parameter α (defined by Collier Cameron, A. & Jianke, L. 1994, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc., 2 α = I/MpRp) is given by α =0.26 (Gu et al., 2003). 269, 1099 14 J.–M. Grießmeier et al.: Predicting low-frequency radio fluxes of known extrasolar planets

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