View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University Publications 2016 Understanding the Sunni Awakening with Complexity Theory Diane Maye Zorri Embry Riddle Aeronautical University,
[email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://commons.erau.edu/publication Part of the Defense and Security Studies Commons, International Relations Commons, Near and Middle Eastern Studies Commons, Other International and Area Studies Commons, and the Peace and Conflict Studies Commons Scholarly Commons Citation Zorri, D. M. (2016). Understanding the Sunni Awakening with Complexity Theory. Digest of Middle East Studies, 24(1). https://doi.org/10.1111/dome.12077 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Scholarly Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Publications by an authorized administrator of Scholarly Commons. For more information, please contact
[email protected]. Understanding the Sunni Realignment in Iraq with Complexity Theory Diane L. Maye, PhD Henley-Putnam University Santa Clara, California Abstract Concurrent to the surge of U.S. forces in Iraq between 2006 and 2008, Sunni tribesmen in the U.S. Marine-controlled western Anbar province of Iraq experienced an “awakening” movement, which led them to side with U.S. and coalition forces. The Sunni Awakening demonstrates that individuals will often realign because of betrayal and opportunities for advancement. It also demonstrates that individual motives can have macrolevel social consequences. Complexity theory suggests that political factions will realign based on individual considerations that then develop into macrolevel movements. Complexity theory also combines both agency (in terms of microbehaviors) and structure (in terms of initial conditions).