“The Forgotten Region: Russia and Eurasia 1 Kathleen J
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Chair Interbrew – Baillet Latour Working Papers No. 22 THE MAKING OF THE CONCEPT OF THE EU-RUSSIA COMMON ECONOMIC SPACE Evgeny Vinokurov The Making of the Concept of the EU-Russia Common Economic Space The Making of the Concept of the EU-Russia Common Economic Space Evgeny Vinokurov1 Abstract The paper starts with the analysis of the negotiation process leading to the adoption of the Concept of the Common Economic Space (CES) between the EU and Russia. Focusing on the Russian side, it delineates the phases and main activities of the negotiations. The paper comes to the conclusion that the negotiation process on Russia’s side was essentially of a top-down nature, with a dominant role of the governmental bureaucracies and little participation of the business community and the general public. The impact of the economic assessments and studies was limited, too. The paper proceeds with the analysis of the choice of a model for the CES envisaged in the Concept. It argues that the Concept of CES represents an original model in itself, combining elements of the EEA and ‘Swiss’ models; that is, it unites both horizontal and sectoral approaches. It is questionable whether the model envisaged 1 Evgeny Yuryevich Vinokurov is a postdoctoral researcher at the Institute for World Economy and International Relations RAS, Moscow, and a visiting scholar at KULeuven (e-mail: [email protected]). The author gratefully acknowledges a research grant from the Chair Interbrew Baillet- Latour which enabled him to conduct this research. 1 Evgeny Vinokurov in the Concept is capable to provide a satisfactory solution to the policy-taker challenge. -
Central Asia: Confronting Independence
THE JAMES A. BAKER III INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY OF RICE UNIVERSITY UNLOCKING THE ASSETS: ENERGY AND THE FUTURE OF CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS CENTRAL ASIA: CONFRONTING INDEPENDENCE MARTHA BRILL OLCOTT SENIOR RESEARCH ASSOCIATE CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE PREPARED IN CONJUNCTION WITH AN ENERGY STUDY BY THE CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY AND THE JAMES A. BAKER III INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY RICE UNIVERSITY – APRIL 1998 CENTRAL ASIA: CONFRONTING INDEPENDENCE Introduction After the euphoria of gaining independence settles down, the elites of each new sovereign country inevitably stumble upon the challenges of building a viable state. The inexperienced governments soon venture into unfamiliar territory when they have to formulate foreign policy or when they try to forge beneficial economic ties with foreign investors. What often proves especially difficult is the process of redefining the new country's relationship with its old colonial ruler or federation partners. In addition to these often-encountered hurdles, the newly independent states of Central Asia-- Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan-- have faced a host of particular challenges. Some of these emanate from the Soviet legacy, others--from the ethnic and social fabric of each individual polity. Yet another group stems from the peculiarities of intra- regional dynamics. Finally, the fledgling states have been struggling to step out of their traditional isolation and build relations with states outside of their neighborhood. This paper seeks to offer an overview of all the challenges that the Central Asian countries have confronted in the process of consolidating their sovereignty. The Soviet Legacy and the Ensuing Internal Challenges What best distinguishes the birth of the Central Asian states from that of any other sovereign country is the incredible weakness of pro-independence movements throughout the region. -
How Regional Trade Agreements Deal with Disputes
Staff Working Paper ERSD-2018-09 14 September 2018 ______________________________________________________________________ World Trade Organization Economic Research and Statistics Division ______________________________________________________________________ HOW REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS DEAL WITH DISPUTES CONCERNING THEIR TBT PROVISIONS? Ana Cristina Molina and Vira Khoroshavina Manuscript date: 14 September 2018 ______________________________________________________________________________ Disclaimer: This is a working paper, and hence it represents research in progress. The opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors. They are not intended to represent the positions or opinions of the WTO or its members and are without prejudice to members' rights and obligations under the WTO. Any errors are attributable to the authors. HOW REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS DEAL WITH DISPUTES CONCERNING THEIR TBT PROVISIONS? Ana Cristina Molina and Vira Khoroshavina* This version: 14 September 2018 Abstract: This paper investigates how RTAs treat disputes concerning their TBT provisions, in particular whether they treat them differently from other types of dispute, and how they deal with any potential overlap with the WTO when the substantive obligations of the RTA and the WTO TBT Agreement are the same (or similar). Our analysis covers 260 RTAs, of which 200 include at least one provision on TBT. We find that in general disputes on TBT provisions arising under RTAs are not treated differently from other type of RTA disputes. Fifteen per cent of RTAs with TBT provisions include provisions that apply exclusively to the resolution of TBT disputes and do so in general to favour the WTO dispute settlement mechanism over that of the RTA; only in one RTA – NAFTA – do the parties provide under some conditions for the exclusive use of the RTA DSM for certain types of TBT disputes. -
Evgeny Vinokurov EAEU Among Other Regional Integration
Evgeny Vinokurov EAEU Among Other Regional Integration Organizations: Comparative Analysis As concerns the ‘universe’ of regional integration organizations, the EAEU is a new kid on the block. As such, it should be compared with other regional and sub-regional organizations. A correct and realistic assessment of its successes and problems is often impeded by its direct and exclusive comparison with the paragon of regional integration — the European Union. However, for a more objective analysis of the EAEU's structural features, successes, and failures, it is useful to compare it with other major regional integration associations — NAFTA, MERCOSUR, Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, ASEAN, and the South African Customs Union. Then everything falls into place. On the one hand, the Eurasian Economic Union is not a flawless "success story". After an initial phase of rapid growth, it hit a certain ceiling by 2016. On the other hand, it has managed to achieve quite a lot. The treaty and institutions are working. The common market for goods is functional, albeit with a number of exemptions. The common labour market is already operational — a huge and often underappreciated achievement. There has been substantial progress in developing common technical regulations, etc. Overall, the EAEU should be viewed not as an exception to the rules, but rather as one of the existing ‘customs unions +’ with its own achievements and problems.1 Its structural features are certainly important, but they are not unique — even those that seem so at first sight. Russia's economic dominance in the EAEU matches South Africa's weight in the South African Customs Union, which is even greater. -
The EDB System of Indicators of Eurasian Integration: General
Regional Integration and Regionalisation The EDB System of Indicators EvgEny of Eurasian Integration: vinokurov alExandEr General Findings libMan Objectives of the System of Indicators of Eurasian Integration Regional integration is a process of complex transformation characterised by the intensification of the relationships between countries. It produces new forms of governance that coexist with the traditional forms of state governmental institutions at the national level. Currently, regional integration is viewed as a multifactor process which includes, in addition to economic cooperation, the issues of politics, security, and social and cultural interaction. Trade and economic integration remain the foundation of the majority of the existing integration schemes. For almost two decades, regional cooperation and integration has remained one of the most talked about issues of economic policy of the post-Soviet countries. There are hundreds of initiatives and projects that aim for deepened cooperation between countries in the region. At the same time, to determine the effectiveness of integration strategies a comprehensive system is needed to monitor and assess the current processes of economic, political and social interaction between countries. This can be done with the help of a system of quantitative and qualitative indicators of regional integration. A large scale research project by the Eurasian Development Bank, completed by the end of 2009, led to the creation of such a system. It is intended that the EDB’s System of Indicators of Eurasian Integration (SIEI) should become an instrument to monitor and assess regional integration projects in the post- Soviet space (Vinokurov, 2010). In the context of globalisation, the number of regional blocs, groups and associations tend to grow, and these are currently approaching two hundred. -
The Dynamic Gravity Dataset: Technical Documentation Update
The Dynamic Gravity Dataset: Technical Documentation Update Note Version 2.00 Abstract This document provides an update to the technical documentation for the Dynamic Gravity dataset, describing changes from Version 1.00 to Version 2.00. For full descrip- tion of the contents and construction of the dataset, see full technical documentation for Version 1.00 on the dataset page at https://www.usitc.gov/data/gravity/dgd.htm. This documentation is the result of ongoing professional research of USITC Staff and is solely meant to represent the opinions and professional research of individual authors. It is not meant to represent in any way the views of the U.S. International Trade Commission or any of its individual Commissioners. It is circulated to promote the active exchange of ideas between USITC Staff and recognized experts outside the USITC, professional development of Office Staff and increase data transparency by encouraging outside professional critique of staff research. Please address all correspondence to [email protected]. 1 1 Introduction The Dynamic Gravity dataset contains a collection of variables describing aspects of countries and territories as well as the ways in which they relate to one-another. Each record in the dataset is defined by a pair of countries or territories and a year. The records themselves are composed of three basic types of variables: identifiers, unilateral character- istics, and bilateral characteristics. The updated dataset spans the years 1948{2019 and reflects the dynamic nature of the globe by following the ways in which countries have changed during that period. The resulting dataset covers 285 countries and territories, some of which exist in the dataset for only a subset of covered years.1 1.1 Contents of the Documentation The updated note begins with a description of main changes to the dataset from Version 1.00 to Version 2.00 in section 1.2 and a table of variables available in Version 1.00 and Version 2.00 of the dataset in section 1.3. -
Eurasian Integration Challenges of Transcontinental Regionalism
Eurasian Integration Challenges of Transcontinental Regionalism Evgeny Vinokurov and Alexander Libman This book examines the major economic and political transitions currently taking place in the Eurasian continent. Libman and Vinokurov provide a detailed account of various aspects of Eurasian integration, looking at both its bright side (trade, investments and joint infrastructure) and dark side (trafficking humans and drugs and the spread of diseases) and linking it to waves of 'Eurasian exchanges' in the past. The authors explore how political reality adapts and shapes the changing networks of economic interconnections and delineate a concept of 'pragmatic Eurasianism' necessary for understanding these linkages and sharply contrasting to the heavily ideological views of Eurasia that often dominate the political and social discussions. CONTENTS: Continent PART I: THE CONCEPT OF EURASIAN PART IV: INTEGRATION THROUGH MUTUAL INTEGRATION PROBLEMS The Scope of Eurasian Integration Transborder Ecological Issues on the The Waves of Eurasian Exchange Continent Top-down and Bottom-up Integration in 'Shadow Integration': Trafficking of Drugs, Eurasia People and Arms, and the Effects of Microbes PART II: EMERGING EURASIAN ECONOMIC and Epidemics LINKAGES PART V: FORMAL INTERGOVERNMETNAL Spaghetti, Noodle and Lapsha: Continental COOPERATION Bias in Trade in Eurasia Variations Between Political Systems Factor Flows in Eurasia: Mutual Investments, Integration of Large States Evolving Eurasian Multinationals and Sub-Regional Aspects of Eurasian Integration -
Eurasian Union: the Real, the Imaginary and the Likely
CHAILLOT PAPER Nº 132 — September 2014 Eurasian Union: the real, the imaginary and the likely BY Nicu Popescu Chaillot Papers European Union Institute for Security Studies EU Institute for Security Studies 100, avenue de Suffren 75015 Paris http://www.iss.europa.eu Director: Antonio Missiroli © EU Institute for Security Studies, 2014. Reproduction is authorised, provided the source is acknowledged, save where otherwise stated. ISBN: 978-92-9198-247-9 ISSN: 1683-4917 QN-AA-14-002-EN-N DOI : 10.2815/42011 Published by the EU Institute for Security Studies and printed in Condé-sur-Noireau (France) by Corlet Imprimeur. Graphic design by Metropolis, Lisbon. EURASIAN UNION: THE REAL, THE IMAGINARY AND THE LIKELY Nicu Popescu CHAILLOT PAPERS September 2014 132 The author Nicu Popescu, Ph.D, is a Senior Analyst at the EUISS where he deals with EU-Russia relations and the post-Soviet space. He is the author of EU Foreign Policy and Post-Soviet Conflicts: Stealth Intervention (Routledge, 2011) and a former advisor to the Moldovan Prime Minister. European Union Institute for Security Studies Paris Director: Antonio Missiroli © EU Institute for Security Studies, 2014. Reproduction is authorised, provided the source is acknowledged, save where otherwise stated. Contents Foreword 5 Antonio Missiroli Introduction 7 The real Eurasia 9 1 Decision-making 11 Economics 11 Political commitment 13 The Russian debate 14 Russkii Mir vs Eurasia? 17 The geopolitical Eurasia 19 2 Deepening vs widening 19 The current members 20 The future members 22 The Chinese neighbour -
Kazakhstan and Eurasian Economic Integration: Quick Start, Mixed Results and Uncertain Future
Kazakhstan and Eurasian Economic Integration: Quick Start, Mixed Results and Uncertain Future Nargis Kassenova November 2012 L'Ifri est, en France, le principal centre indépendant de recherche, d'information et de débat sur les grandes questions internationales. Créé en 1979 par Thierry de Montbrial, l'Ifri est une association reconnue d'utilité publique (loi de 1901). Il n'est soumis à aucune tutelle administrative, définit librement ses activités et publie régulièrement ses travaux. Avec son antenne de Bruxelles (Ifri-Bruxelles), l'Ifri s'impose comme un des rares think tanks français à se positionner au cœur même du débat européen. L'Ifri associe, au travers de ses études et de ses débats, dans une démarche interdisciplinaire, décideurs politiques et économiques, chercheurs et experts à l'échelle internationale. Les opinions exprimées dans ce texte n’engagent que la responsabilité de l’auteur. Centre Russie/NEI © Droits exclusivement réservés – Ifri – Paris, 2012 ISBN : 978-2-36567-101-9 IFRI IFRI-Bruxelles 27 RUE DE LA PROCESSION RUE MARIE-THERESE, 21 75740 PARIS CEDEX 15 – FRANCE 1000 BRUXELLES TEL. : 33 (0)1 40 61 60 00 TEL. : 32(2) 238 51 10 FAX : 33 (0)1 40 61 60 60 FAX : 32 (2) 238 51 15 E-MAIL : [email protected] E-MAIL : [email protected] SITE INTERNET : www.ifri.org N. Kassenova / Kazakhstan and CU Author Nargis Kassenova is Associate Professor at the Department of International Relations and Regional Studies of KIMEP University (Kazakhstan) and Director of the KIMEP Central Asian Studies Center (CASC). Since 2008 she has been a member of the Expert/Advisory Group of the EU Central Asia Monitoring (EUCAM) project launched to monitor the implementation of the EU Strategy for Central Asia adopted in 2007. -
2 the Intellectual Origins of the Eurasian Union Project
2 The Intellectual Origins of the Eurasian Union Project Stephen Blank The Eurasian Economic Union and its component Customs Union comprise Vladimir Putin’s “flagship” policies.1 But these organizations are merely the latest iteration of an increasingly crystallized Russian policy aspiration dating back to the collapse of the Soviet Union. As Jeffrey Mankoff recently observed, “In one form or another, re-integrating the states of the former Soviet Union has been on Russia’s agenda almost since the moment the Soviet Union col- lapsed.”2 Arguably, Russia has never reconciled itself to losing an empire. The reintegration program that is proceeding under Putin in fact began under Boris Yeltsin’s leadership, notwithstanding the fact that the Commonwealth of Inde- pendent States (CIS) was first thought of as “divorce court” for former Soviet Republics. Furthermore, these organizations are not the only elements of Putin’s reintegra- tion plan. The overall project has always had a military dimension, namely the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) that grew out of the 1992 Tashkent Collective Security Treaty (CST).3 And the leitmotif of all these plans has not just been economic or military integration, but equally crucially, the privileging of Russian sovereignty over that of CIS countries, a hallmark of neo-imperial and sphere of influence policies. Russian leaders do not refrain from admitting this openly. In August 2008, immediately after the war in 1 Iwona Wisniewska, Eurasian Integration: Russia’s Attempt at the Economic Unification of the Post-Soviet Area, OSW Studies: Centre for Eastern Studies, Warsaw, 2013. 2 Jeffrey Mankoff, Eurasian Integration: the Next Stage, Central Asia Policy Brief, Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University, 2013, p. -
Strengthening Regional Cooperation and Integration in Asia
CHAPTER 15 STRENGTHENING REGIONAL Cooperation AND Integration IN ASIA 15.1 Introduction Regional cooperation and integration (RCI) refers to policies and initiatives of countries in a region to engage in close economic cooperation and promote the integration of their economies, especially through trade and investment. RCI has played an important role in supporting Asian development over the past half century. It contributed to the region’s peace and stability, promoted intraregional trade and investment, and supported the provision of regional public goods— in particular, controlling transboundary environmental pollution (for example, in rivers and the haze), combating communicable disease, and preventing financial contagion. RCI in developing Asia has evolved significantly since World War II in terms of country coverage and the scope of cooperation. It was initially motivated by the need to ensure peace and security after years of war and conflict in the region, and to move beyond former colonial links. It was also influenced by the United Nations (UN), initially through the establishment of the Economic Commission for Asia and the Far East (ECAFE) in 1947. 470 | ASIA’S JOURNEY to ProspERITY—CHAPTER 15 Over time, RCI became homegrown and expanded to more areas, including research, education, and capacity development; development financing; trade and investment; money and finance; and responding to common regional challenges. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) continues to promote RCI across many subregions. This chapter discusses the institutional evolution of RCI in Asia and the Pacific. Section 15.2 looks at the key motivating factors. Section 15.3 traces the changing drivers that influenced RCI’s evolution in East Asia and Southeast Asia—the subregions that benefited most thus far from regional cooperation and market-driven integration. -
WP CEES and Kaliningrad
Kaliningrad in the Framework of EU-Russian Relations: Moving Toward Common Spaces Evgeny Vinokurov1 Abstract This paper explores the evolvement and change of approaches of both Russia and the EU to the Kaliningrad question over the last decade. The positions and approaches of Russia and the European Union vary on Kaliningrad-related issues. Different understandings of the Kaliningrad question as well as different concepts of the region dominate foreign policy in the EU and Russia. Nevertheless, a trend for a slow rapprochement is revealed. As the EU and Russia discuss ideas and concepts of EU-Russian Common Spaces, the Kaliningrad Region can be of positive value to EU- Russian relations, promoting a more cooperative Wider Europe with less dividing lines. Kaliningrad can serve both Russia and the EU as a pilot/model region of integration as well as a booster, connecting chain, and a litmus test of cooperation within the dialogue on EU-Russian Common Spaces. The paper argues that it will be far-sighted of the EU and Russia to make Kaliningrad an integral part of the dialogue on Common Spaces so that the Oblast might become one of the connecting knots of European- Russian cooperation. 1 The author expresses his gratitude to Interbrew Foundation, Chair Interbrew Baillet-Latour and Prof. Katlijn Malfliet for providing the research grant that made possible writing and publishing this paper. He would like to thank Lien Verpoest and Peter Vermeersch of Research Group Central and Eastern Europe at K.U.Leuven for helpful comments. The usual disclaimer applies. Comments and suggestions are most welcome at [email protected].