Post-Keynesian: a Rare Example of a Post-Concept in Economics
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From Monetary Theory of Production to Culture-Nature Life Process Draft March 21, 2014 Prepared for the Association for Heterod
From Monetary Theory of Production to Culture-Nature Life Process Draft March 21, 2014 Prepared for the Association for Heterodox Economics 16th Annual Conference Abstract The article seeks to contribute to the literature on social provisioning as an organizing concept in heterodox economics. Particularly, the article details social provisioning as an amalgamation of processes and as a part of a system of culture-nature life process. First, the article delineates a categorization of social provisioning activities with respect to motivation in their organization – monetary and non-monetary, emphasizing the differences, as well as links between those. Second, the article discusses valuation of social activities, applying institutional theory. Third, the concept of a social process is delineated. It is argued that the concept captures agency and structure without reducing one to the other, and allows for theorizing open-endedness of social provisioning. The fourth section offers a categorization of processes and briefly explains each one of those, conceptualizing social provisioning within a historical culture-nature life process. Finally, the article concludes. Keywords: Social Provisioning; Social Process; Institutions; Heterodox Economics; Feminist- Institutional Economics; Post Keynesian Economics; Monetary Theory of Production; Social Economics; Political Economy JEL code: B50; B52; B54; E02; Z1 1 Introduction The concept of social provisioning formulates the economy as a continuous process of activities taking place in historical time, looking underneath the most visible occurrence of “market exchange”. The concept offers avenues for exploring varieties of contexts, social divisions, and conflicts, and enables an open-ended analysis of the economy, where resource creation, human well-being, and valuation are central (Gruchy 1987; Nelson 1993; Dugger 1996; Hutchinson, Mellor, and Olsen 2002; Power 2004; Lee 2009a, 2011, 2012; Jo 2011; Lee and Jo 2011)1. -
Post-Keynesian Economics
History and Methods of Post- Keynesian Macroeconomics Marc Lavoie University of Ottawa Outline • 1A. We set post-Keynesian economics within a set of multiple heterodox schools of thought, in opposition to mainstream schools. • 1B. We identify the main features (presuppositions) of heterodoxy, contrasting them to those of orthodoxy. • 2. We go over a brief history of post-Keynesian economics, in particular its founding institutional moments. • 3. We identify the additional features that characterize post- Keynesian economics relative to closely-related heterodox schools. • 4. We delineate the various streams of post-Keynesian economics: Fundamentalism, Kaleckian, Kaldorian, Sraffian, Institutionalist. • 5. We discuss the evolution of post-Keynesian economics, and some of its important works over the last 40 years. • 6. We mention some of the debates that have rocked post- Keynesian economics. PART I Heterodox schools Heterodox vs Orthodox economics •NON-ORTHODOX • ORTHODOX PARADIGM PARADIGM • DOMINANT PARADIGM • HETERODOX PARADIGM • THE MAINSTREAM • POST-CLASSICAL PARADIGM • NEOCLASSICAL ECONOMICS • RADICAL POLITICAL ECONOMY • REVIVAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY Macro- economics Heterodox Neoclassical authors KEYNES school Cambridge Old Marxists Monetarists Keynesians Keynesians Radicals French Post- New New Regulation Keynesians Keynesians Classicals School Orthodox vs Heterodox economics • Post-Keynesian economics is one of many different heterodox schools of economics. • Heterodox economists are dissenters in economics. • Dissent is a broader -
The Neoclassical Synthesis
Department of Economics- FEA/USP In Search of Lost Time: The Neoclassical Synthesis MICHEL DE VROEY PEDRO GARCIA DUARTE WORKING PAPER SERIES Nº 2012-07 DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, FEA-USP WORKING PAPER Nº 2012-07 In Search of Lost Time: The Neoclassical Synthesis Michel De Vroey ([email protected]) Pedro Garcia Duarte ([email protected]) Abstract: Present day macroeconomics has been sometimes dubbed as the new neoclassical synthesis, suggesting that it constitutes a reincarnation of the neoclassical synthesis of the 1950s. This has prompted us to examine the contents of the ‘old’ and the ‘new’ neoclassical syntheses. Our main conclusion is that the latter bears little resemblance with the former. Additionally, we make three points: (a) from its origins with Paul Samuelson onward the neoclassical synthesis notion had no fixed content and we bring out four main distinct meanings; (b) its most cogent interpretation, defended e.g. by Solow and Mankiw, is a plea for a pluralistic macroeconomics, wherein short-period market non-clearing models would live side by side with long-period market-clearing models; (c) a distinction should be drawn between first and second generation new Keynesian economists as the former defend the old neoclassical synthesis while the latter, with their DSGE models, adhere to the Lucasian view that macroeconomics should be based on a single baseline model. Keywords: neoclassical synthesis; new neoclassical synthesis; DSGE models; Paul Samuelson; Robert Lucas JEL Codes: B22; B30; E12; E13 1 IN SEARCH OF LOST TIME: THE NEOCLASSICAL SYNTHESIS Michel De Vroey1 and Pedro Garcia Duarte2 Introduction Since its inception, macroeconomics has witnessed an alternation between phases of consensus and dissent. -
Monetary Policy in the New Neoclassical Synthesis: a Primer
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Research Papers in Economics Monetary Policy in the New Neoclassical Synthesis: A Primer Marvin Goodfriend reat progress was made in the theory of monetary policy in the last quarter century. Theory advanced on both the classical and the Keynesian sides. New classical economists emphasized the G 1 importance of intertemporal optimization and rational expectations. Real business cycle (RBC) theorists explored the role of productivity shocks in models where monetary policy has relatively little effect on employment and output.2 Keynesian economists emphasized the role of monopolistic competition, markups, and costly price adjustment in models where mon- etary policy is central to macroeconomic fluctuations.3 The new neoclas- sical synthesis (NNS) incorporates elements from both the classical and the Keynesian perspectives into a single framework.4 This “primer” provides an in- troduction to the benchmark NNS macromodel and its recommendations for monetary policy. The author is Senior Vice President and Policy Advisor. This article origi- nally appeared in International Finance (Summer 2002, 165–191) and is reprinted in its entirety with the kind permission of Blackwell Publishing [http://www.blackwell- synergy.com/rd.asp?code=infi&goto=journal]. The article was prepared for a conference, “Stabi- lizing the Economy: What Roles for Fiscal and Monetary Policy?” at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, July 2002. The author thanks Al Broaddus, Huberto Ennis, Mark Gertler, Robert Hetzel, Andreas Hornstein, Bennett McCallum, Adam Posen, and Paul Romer for valuable comments. Thanks are also due to students at the GSB University of Chicago, the GSB Stanford University, and the University of Virginia who saw earlier versions of this work and helped to improve the exposition. -
Unemployment Did Not Rise During the Great Depression—Rather, People Took Long Vacations
Working Paper No. 652 The Dismal State of Macroeconomics and the Opportunity for a New Beginning by L. Randall Wray Levy Economics Institute of Bard College March 2011 The Levy Economics Institute Working Paper Collection presents research in progress by Levy Institute scholars and conference participants. The purpose of the series is to disseminate ideas to and elicit comments from academics and professionals. Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, founded in 1986, is a nonprofit, nonpartisan, independently funded research organization devoted to public service. Through scholarship and economic research it generates viable, effective public policy responses to important economic problems that profoundly affect the quality of life in the United States and abroad. Levy Economics Institute P.O. Box 5000 Annandale-on-Hudson, NY 12504-5000 http://www.levyinstitute.org Copyright © Levy Economics Institute 2011 All rights reserved ABSTRACT The Queen of England famously asked her economic advisers why none of them had seen “it” (the global financial crisis) coming. Obviously, the answer is complex, but it must include reference to the evolution of macroeconomic theory over the postwar period— from the “Age of Keynes,” through the Friedmanian era and the return of Neoclassical economics in a particularly extreme form, and, finally, on to the New Monetary Consensus, with a new version of fine-tuning. The story cannot leave out the parallel developments in finance theory—with its efficient markets hypothesis—and in approaches to regulation and supervision of financial institutions. This paper critically examines these developments and returns to the earlier Keynesian tradition to see what was left out of postwar macro. -
Patinkin on Keynes
On Post Keynesian economics and the economics of Keynes1 Roger E. Backhouse University of Birmingham and Erasmus University Rotterdam and Bradley W. Bateman Denison University Version 8 June 2011 1. Introduction Given that it so clearly borrows from the title of Axel Leijonhufvud’s great book (1968), your expectation may well be that we are going to provide a detailed analysis of the analytical errors of Post Keynesian economics, setting up an opposition between Post Keynesian economics and the theory that John Maynard Keynes developed in The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (JMK VII [1936]). However, this is 1 This talk, was written for the Keynes Seminar at Cambridge, on 23 May 2011. Section 3 draws on Backhouse (2010a) and section 4 draws extensively on Backhouse and Bateman (2010). Many of the ideas about Keynes are discussed in Backhouse and Bateman (forthcoming). It has been revised following helpful comments from Victoria Chick, Mark Hayes, Tony Lawson and Roberto Scazzieri. It should not be inferred that any of them would endorse the conclusions we reach. 1 of 29 not the line we intend to pursue. Thus we are not challenging interpretations such as the one offered by Mark Hayes (2006) who has sought to identify a consistent theoretical framework within The General Theory. Instead, we wish to challenge the Post Keynesian claim to exclusive rights over Keynes’s legacy – that their ideas are, to use the metaphor popularized by Joan Robinson, the only legitimate progeny of The General Theory and that mainstream Keynesianism is not. Our contention is that to make such a claim is to take a position in relation to The General Theory that is very different from the one that Keynes himself took.2 The Samuelsonian neoclassical synthesis, or the new Keynesian macroeconomics are, we contend, no more Keynes’s bastard progeny than are the various strands of Post Keynesian economics. -
From Monetary Theory of Production to Culture-Nature Life Process:Feminist-Institutional Elaborations of Social Provisioning
Munich Personal RePEc Archive From Monetary Theory of Production to Culture-Nature Life Process:Feminist-Institutional Elaborations of Social Provisioning Todorova, Zdravka Wright State University 21 March 2014 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/56791/ MPRA Paper No. 56791, posted 22 Jun 2014 14:04 UTC March 21, 2014 From Monetary Theory of Production to Culture-Nature Life Process: Feminist-Institutional Elaborations of Social Provisioning Zdravka Todorova Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Raj Soin College of Business Wright State University 3640 Colonel Glenn Hwy Dayton, Ohio 45435-0001 [email protected] Abstract The article seeks to contribute to the literature on social provisioning as an organizing concept in heterodox economics. Particularly, the article details social provisioning as an amalgamation of processes and as a part of a system of culture-nature life process. First, the article delineates a categorization of social provisioning activities with respect to motivation in their organization – monetary and non-monetary, emphasizing the differences, as well as links between those. Second, the article discusses valuation of social activities, applying institutional theory. Third, the concept of a social process is delineated. It is argued that the concept captures agency and structure without reducing one to the other, and allows for theorizing open-endedness of social provisioning. The fourth section offers a categorization of processes and briefly explains each one of those, conceptualizing social -
The Neoclassical Synthesis
In Search of Lost Time: the Neoclassical Synthesis M. De Vroey and P. Garcia Duarte Discussion Paper 2012-26 IN SEARCH OF LOST TIME: THE NEOCLASSICAL SYNTHESIS Michel De Vroey and Pedro Garcia Duarte ◊ Abstract Present-day macroeconomics has sometimes been dubbed ‘the new neoclassical synthesis’, suggesting that it constitutes a reincarnation of the neoclassical synthesis of the 1950s. This paper assesses this understanding. To this end, we examine the contents of the ‘old’ and the ‘new’ neoclassical syntheses. We show that the neoclassical synthesis originally had no fixed content, but two meanings gradually became dominant. First, it designates the program of integrating Keynesian and Walrasian theory. Second, it designates the methodological principle that in macroeconomics it is better to have alternative models geared towards different purposes than a hegemonic general equilibrium model. The paper documents that: (a) the first program was never achieved; (b) Lucas’s criticisms of Keynesian macroeconomics eventually caused the neoclassical synthesis program to vanish from the scene; (c) the rise of DSGE macroeconomics marked the end of the neoclassical synthesis mark II; and (d) contrary to present-day understanding, the link between the old and the new synthesis is at best weak. JEL codes: B22, B30, E12, E13 Keywords: neoclassical synthesis, new neoclassical synthesis, Paul Samuelson, Robert Lucas, Robert Solow ◊ University of Louvain ([email protected]) and University of São Paulo ([email protected]). The authors gratefully acknowledge Roger Backhouse’s comments on an earlier version of this paper. 1 Introduction Since its inception, macroeconomics has witnessed an alternation between phases of consensus and dissent. -
The New Neoclassical Synthesis and the Role of Monetary Policy
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12 Volume Author/Editor: Ben S. Bernanke and Julio Rotemberg Volume Publisher: MIT Press Volume ISBN: 0-262-02435-7 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/bern97-1 Publication Date: January 1997 Chapter Title: The New Neoclassical Synthesis and the Role of Monetary Policy Chapter Author: Marvin Goodfriend, Robert King Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c11040 Chapter pages in book: (p. 231 - 296) Marvin Goodfriendand RobertG. King FEDERAL RESERVEBANK OF RICHMOND AND UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA; AND UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA, NBER, AND FEDERAL RESERVEBANK OF RICHMOND The New Neoclassical Synthesis and the Role of Monetary Policy 1. Introduction It is common for macroeconomics to be portrayed as a field in intellectual disarray, with major and persistent disagreements about methodology and substance between competing camps of researchers. One frequently discussed measure of disarray is the distance between the flexible price models of the new classical macroeconomics and real-business-cycle (RBC) analysis, in which monetary policy is essentially unimportant for real activity, and the sticky-price models of the New Keynesian econom- ics, in which monetary policy is viewed as central to the evolution of real activity. For policymakers and the economists that advise them, this perceived intellectual disarray makes it difficult to employ recent and ongoing developments in macroeconomics. The intellectual currents of the last ten years are, however, subject to a very different interpretation: macroeconomics is moving toward a New NeoclassicalSynthesis. In the 1960s, the original synthesis involved a com- mitment to three-sometimes conflicting-principles: a desire to pro- vide practical macroeconomic policy advice, a belief that short-run price stickiness was at the root of economic fluctuations, and a commitment to modeling macroeconomic behavior using the same optimization ap- proach commonly employed in microeconomics. -
Why Should Economics Be a Modest and Reasonable Science
Why should economics be a modest and reasonable science Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira Paper presented to the annual meeting of the Association for Evolutionary Economics (AFEE), receiving the James Street Scholar for 2012, and participating from the panel “Institutionalism and the Great Crisis”, Chicago, January 7, 2012. Abstract. Unlike the methodological sciences such as mathematics and decision theory, which use the hypothetical-deductive method and may be fully expressed in complex mathematical models because their only truth criterion is logical consistency, the substantive sciences have as their truth criterion the correspondence to reality, adopt an empirical-deductive method, and are supposed to generalize from and often unreliable regularities and tendencies. Given this assumption, it is very difficult for economists to predict economic behavior, particularly major financial crises. Key words: probability, uncertainty, modesty, method, neoclassical economics JEL Classification: B-300 B-400 Economics or political economy is a major social science, because it has as its object something that is central to human life: the economic system, how people organize labor and production, and how they allocate income – in other words, because men and women dedicate a large part of their existence to work and make a living in market-coordinated economic systems that economics seeks to understand and explain. Yet economics should be a modest science, because, as with all other social sciences, its best models – the models that really make sense – are simple and open; or because its predictive power is limited in so far as (thank God) men and women continue to be free individuals making choices under uncertainty and according to criteria that are not constant. -
A Post Keynesian View
Mutual Aid and the Making of Heterodox Economics in Postwar America: a Post Keynesian View Frederic S. Lee* 1 Introduction The rise to dominance in post-1945 America of neoclassical economics has recently captured the attention of many economists interested in the history of economic thought—for example, see Morgan and Rutherford (1998). These economists offer a complex story of a profession reacting and accommodating to external pressures while at the same time developing and applying its core theoretical ideas. At the same time they slightly downgrade the argument that neoclassical theory became dominant because it was the better theory and dismiss altogether the argument that dominance was, in part, achieved by utilising institutional power to suppress heterodox economic theory. The story is appealing to most economists because it skirts the disturbing issues about power, ideology, and theory conflict, retains the ‘better-theory-view’, and portrays the economist as a hard-working, honest individual trying to do what he/she thinks is best in a changing and difficult environment. The outcome of their efforts, so the story goes, was the transformation of a more literary style of theorising into a more formal style which bought with it changes in language and tools, and, as a by-product, a reduction of theoretical pluralism. What the story also does is effectively to make heterodox economists invisible and write heterodox economics out of history. More specifically it renders invisible the emergence of heterodox economics from the post-1945 contested landscape of American economics. To render visible what is currently hidden is the aim of this article. -
Money and Information in a New Neoclassical Synthesis Framework
Money and Information in a New Neoclassical Synthesis Framework Philip Arestis Georgios Chortareas John D. Tsoukalas∗ University of Cambridge University of Athens University of Nottingham University of Essex Revised: May 2009 Abstract We consider an (otherwise standard) New Neoclassical Synthesis theoretical framework that allows a role for money. Money in our model has an informational role which consists in facilitating the estimation of the unobserved shocks that drive potential output and thus the state of the economy. For this purpose we estimate a small-scale sticky price model using Bayesian techniques. Our findings support the view that money has information value. This is reflected in higher precision in terms of unobserved model concepts such as the natural rate of output. Moreover, our results highlight how modelling money demand can provide insights about structural features of the economy that may be important for the design of interest rate rules. Focusing on money also allows for a step towards resolving the price puzzle. Money demand shocks can confound monetary policy shocks to generate a perverse price response in vector autoregressions (VAR). JEL classification: D58, E31, E32, E52. Key words: DSGE models; New Keynesian models; Money; Monetary Policy; Bayesian analysis. ∗ Corresponding author: [email protected]. We thank two anonymous referees for helpful suggestions and com- ments that improved the paper. We also like to thank Kostas Katirtzidis for excellent research assistance. 1 1 Introduction Conventional wisdom renders money redundant in the current consensus business cycle models used for policy analysis. The New Keynesian (or New Neoclassical Synthesis –NNS) model with sticky prices has become the standard workhorse for monetary policy analysis in the last fifteen years or so (see Rotemberg and Woodford (1997), Goodfriend and King (1997), Gal´ı (2003)).