Essay 1: the First Half of the 20Th Century on the Eastern and Western Frontiers - by Malcolm B
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Siberia and the Russian Far East in the 21St Century: Scenarios of the Future
Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences 11 (2017 10) 1669-1686 ~ ~ ~ УДК 332.1:338.1(571) Siberia and the Russian Far East in the 21st Century: Scenarios of the Future Valerii S. Efimov and Alla V. Laptevа* Siberian Federal University 79 Svobodny, Krasnoyarsk, 660041, Russia Received 07.09.2017, received in revised form 07.11.2017, accepted 14.11.2017 The article presents a study of variants of possible future for Siberia and Russian Far East up until 2050. The authors consider the global trends that are likely to determine the situation of Russia and the Siberian macro-region in the long term. It is shown that the demand for natural resources of Siberia and Russian Far East will be determined by the economic development of Asian countries, the processes of urbanization and the growth of urban “middle class”. When determining possible scenarios, the authors use a method of conceptual scenario planning that was developed under the framework of foresight technology. Three groups of scenario factors became the basis for determining scenarios: external constant conditions, external variable factors, internal variable factors. Combinations of scenario factors set the field for the possible variants of the future of Siberia and Russian East. The article describes four key scenarios: “Broad international cooperation”, “Exclusive partnership”, “Optimization of the country”, “Retention of territory”. For each of them the authors provide “the image of the future” (including the main features of international cooperation, economic and social development), as well as the quantitative estimation of population and GDP dynamics: • “Broad international cooperation” – the population of Russia will increase by 15.7 % from 146.5 million in 2015 to 169.5 million in 2050; Russia’s GDP will grow by 3.4 times – from 3.8 trillion dollars (PPP) in 2015 to 12.8 trillion dollars in 2050. -
The Pacific Gateway to the Arctic: Recent Change in the Bering Strait - Observations, Drivings and Implications
1 The Pacific Gateway to the Arctic: Recent change in the Bering Strait - observations, drivings and implications Rebecca Woodgate, Cecilia Peralta-Ferriz University of Washington, Seattle, USA Recent Change in the Bering Strait New Climatology and Bering Strait products The long-sought “Pacific-ARCTIC” pressure head forcing NASA The Bering Strait, … on a good day Alaska Russia ~ 85 km wide, ~ 50 m deep LOCALLY: - divided into 2 channels by - is an integrator of the the Diomede Islands properties of the Bering Sea - split by the US-Russian - dominates the water border properties of the Chukchi Sea - ice covered ~ Jan - April 8th July 2010 Ocean Color oceancolor.gsfc.nasa.gov (from Bill Crawford) ... influences Important for ~ half of the Russia 80N Marine Life Arctic Ocean Most nutrient-rich watersBarents entering Sea the Arctic (Walsh et al, 1989) Heat to melt ice Fram In spring, trigger western Arctic StraitGreenland melt onset Sea Bering Impacts Global climate stability Year-round subsurface heatStrait Doubling of flow affects Gulf source in ~ half of Arctic Greenland Alaska Stream, overturning circulation (Paquette & Bourke, 1981; Ahlnäs & Garrison,1984; (Wadley & Bigg, 2002; Huang & Schmidt, 1993; Woodgate et al, 2010; 2012) CanadianDeBoer & Nof , 2004; Hu & Meehl, 2005) Archipelago Important for Arctic Stratification Significant part of Arctic In winter, Pacific waters (fresher than Freshwater Budget Atlantic waters) form a cold ~ 1/3rd of Arctic Freshwater (halocline) layer, which insulates the Large (largest?) ice from the warm Atlantic water interannual variability beneath (Wijffels et al, 1992; Aagaard & Carmack, 1989; (Shimada et al, 2001, Steele et al, 2004) Woodgate & Aagaard, 2005) Figure from Woodgate, 2013, Nature Education 4 Overview of Bering Strait measurements MODIS SST 26th Aug 2004 Early 1990s, 2004-2006 == 1+ moorings also in Russian waters. -
Russia's Boreal Forests
Forest Area Key Facts & Carbon Emissions Russia’s Boreal Forests from Deforestation Forest location and brief description Russia is home to more than one-fifth of the world’s forest areas (approximately 763.5 million hectares). The Russian landscape is highly diverse, including polar deserts, arctic and sub-arctic tundra, boreal and semi-tundra larch forests, boreal and temperate coniferous forests, temperate broadleaf and mixed forests, forest-steppe and steppe (temperate grasslands, savannahs, and shrub-lands), semi-deserts and deserts. Russian boreal forests (known in Russia as the taiga) represent the largest forested region on Earth (approximately 12 million km2), larger than the Amazon. These forests have relatively few tree species, and are composed mainly of birch, pine, spruce, fir, with some deciduous species. Mixed in among the forests are bogs, fens, marshes, shallow lakes, rivers and wetlands, which hold vast amounts of water. They contain more than 55 per cent of the world’s conifers, and 11 per cent of the world’s biomass. Unique qualities of forest area Russia’s boreal region includes several important Global 200 ecoregions - a science-based global ranking of the Earth’s most biologically outstanding habitats. Among these is the Eastern-Siberian Taiga, which contains the largest expanse of untouched boreal forest in the world. Russia’s largest populations of brown bear, moose, wolf, red fox, reindeer, and wolverine can be found in this region. Bird species include: the Golden eagle, Black- billed capercaillie, Siberian Spruce grouse, Siberian accentor, Great gray owl, and Naumann’s thrush. Russia’s forests are also home to the Siberian tiger and Far Eastern leopard. -
Article of a Given In- with Postdepositional Erosion
Earth Surf. Dynam., 8, 769–787, 2020 https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-8-769-2020 © Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Timing of exotic, far-traveled boulder emplacement and paleo-outburst flooding in the central Himalayas Marius L. Huber1,a, Maarten Lupker1, Sean F. Gallen2, Marcus Christl3, and Ananta P. Gajurel4 1Geological Institute, Department of Earth Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich 8092, Switzerland 2Department of Geosciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado 80523, USA 3Laboratory of Ion Beam Physics (LIP), Department of Physics, ETH Zurich, Zurich 8093, Switzerland 4Department of Geology, Tribhuvan University, Kirtipur, Kathmandu, Nepal acurrent address: Université de Lorraine, CNRS, CRPG, 54000 Nancy, France Correspondence: Marius L. Huber ([email protected]) Received: 28 February 2020 – Discussion started: 20 March 2020 Revised: 21 July 2020 – Accepted: 11 August 2020 – Published: 22 September 2020 Abstract. Large boulders, ca. 10 m in diameter or more, commonly linger in Himalayan river channels. In many cases, their lithology is consistent with source areas located more than 10 km upstream, suggesting long trans- port distances. The mechanisms and timing of “exotic” boulder emplacement are poorly constrained, but their presence hints at processes that are relevant for landscape evolution and geohazard assessments in mountainous regions. We surveyed river reaches of the Trishuli and Sunkoshi, two trans-Himalayan rivers in central Nepal, to improve our understanding of the processes responsible for exotic boulder transport and the timing of em- placement. Boulder size and channel hydraulic geometry were used to constrain paleo-flood discharge assuming turbulent, Newtonian fluid flow conditions, and boulder exposure ages were determined using cosmogenic nu- clide exposure dating. -
Control of the Value of Black Goldminers' Labour-Power in South
Farouk Stemmet Control of the Value of Black Goldminers’ Labour-Power in South Africa in the Early Industrial Period as a Consequence of the Disjuncture between the Rising Value of Gold and its ‘Fixed Price’ Thesis submitted for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Glasgow October, 1993. © Farouk Stemmet, MCMXCIII ProQuest Number: 13818401 All rights reserved INFORMATION TO ALL USERS The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted. In the unlikely event that the author did not send a com plete manuscript and there are missing pages, these will be noted. Also, if material had to be removed, a note will indicate the deletion. uest ProQuest 13818401 Published by ProQuest LLC(2018). Copyright of the Dissertation is held by the Author. All rights reserved. This work is protected against unauthorized copying under Title 17, United States C ode Microform Edition © ProQuest LLC. ProQuest LLC. 789 East Eisenhower Parkway P.O. Box 1346 Ann Arbor, Ml 48106- 1346 GLASGOW UNIVFRSIT7 LIBRARY Abstract The title of this thesis,Control of the Value of Black Goldminers' Labour- Power in South Africa in the Early Industrial Period as a Consequence of the Disjuncture between the Rising Value of Gold and'Fixed its Price', presents, in reverse, the sequence of arguments that make up this dissertation. The revolution which took place in the value of gold, the measure of value, in the second half of the nineteenth century, coincided with the need of international trade to hold fast the value-ratio at which the world's various paper currencies represented a definite weight of gold. -
Modern Specialization of Industry in Cities of the Russian Far East: Innovation Factor of Dynamics
ISSN 0798 1015 HOME Revista ESPACIOS ! ÍNDICES ! A LOS AUTORES ! Vol. 38 (Nº 62) Year 2017. Páge 29 Modern Specialization of Industry in Cities of the Russian Far East: Innovation Factor of Dynamics Especialización moderna de la industria en las ciudades del Lejano Oriente ruso: factor de innovación dinámica Viktor Alekseevich OSIPOV 1; Elena Viktorovna KRASOVA 2 Received: 06/10/2017 • Approved: 30/10/2017 Contents 1. Introduction 2. Methods 3. Results 4. Discussion 5. Conclusion References ABSTRACT: RESUMEN: Industrial specialization of the Russian Far Eastern cities is one La especialización industrial de las ciudades rusas del Lejano of the most urgent topics of the Russian researches in such Oriente es uno de los temas más urgentes de las areas as industry economy, efficiency of using industrial investigaciones rusas en áreas como la economía industrial, la productive sources, regional economy, and innovation eficiencia en el uso de fuentes productivas industriales, la economy. The main science and practice challenge of the economía regional y la economía de la innovación. El principal research is the problems that restrain the transition of industry desafío científico y práctico de la investigación son los in Russian Far Eastern cities to the innovation economy. The problemas que restringen la transición de la industria en las goal of the article is to update on the problems of the modern ciudades rusas del Lejano Oriente hacia la economía de la specialization of Far Eastern cities taking into account the innovación. El objetivo del artículo es actualizar los problemas innovation factor of the regional economy development. de la especialización moderna de las ciudades del Lejano Methodologically the article is based on general provisions of Oriente tomando en cuenta el factor de innovación del the modern economic science, particularly, the theory of desarrollo de la economía regional. -
Sources and Pathways 4.1
Chapter 4 Persistant toxic substances (PTS) sources and pathways 4.1. Introduction Chapter 4 4.1. Introduction 4.2. Assessment of distant sources: In general, the human environment is a combination Longrange atmospheric transport of the physical, chemical, biological, social and cultur- Due to the nature of atmospheric circulation, emission al factors that affect human health. It should be recog- sources located within the Northern Hemisphere, par- nized that exposure of humans to PTS can, to certain ticularly those in Europe and Asia, play a dominant extent, be dependant on each of these factors. The pre- role in the contamination of the Arctic. Given the spa- cise role differs depending on the contaminant con- tial distribution of PTS emission sources, and their cerned, however, with respect to human intake, the potential for ‘global’ transport, evaluation of long- chain consisting of ‘source – pathway – biological avail- range atmospheric transport of PTS to the Arctic ability’ applies to all contaminants. Leaving aside the region necessarily involves modeling on the hemi- biological aspect of the problem, this chapter focuses spheric/global scale using a multi-compartment on PTS sources, and their physical transport pathways. approach. To meet these requirements, appropriate modeling tools have been developed. Contaminant sources can be provisionally separated into three categories: Extensive efforts were made in the collection and • Distant sources: Located far from receptor sites in preparation of input data for modeling. This included the Arctic. Contaminants can reach receptor areas the required meteorological and geophysical informa- via air currents, riverine flow, and ocean currents. tion, and data on the physical and chemical properties During their transport, contaminants are affected by of both the selected substances and of their emissions. -
Sediment Transport to the Laptev Sea-Hydrology and Geochemistry of the Lena River
Sediment transport to the Laptev Sea-hydrology and geochemistry of the Lena River V. RACHOLD, A. ALABYAN, H.-W. HUBBERTEN, V. N. KOROTAEV and A. A, ZAITSEV Rachold, V., Alabyan, A., Hubberten, H.-W., Korotaev, V. N. & Zaitsev, A. A. 1996: Sediment transport to the Laptev Sea-hydrology and geochemistry of the Lena River. Polar Research 15(2), 183-196. This study focuses on the fluvial sediment input to the Laptev Sea and concentrates on the hydrology of the Lena basin and the geochemistry of the suspended particulate material. The paper presents data on annual water discharge, sediment transport and seasonal variations of sediment transport. The data are based on daily measurements of hydrometeorological stations and additional analyses of the SPM concentrations carried out during expeditions from 1975 to 1981. Samples of the SPM collected during an expedition in 1994 were analysed for major, trace, and rare earth elements by ICP-OES and ICP-MS. Approximately 700 h3freshwater and 27 x lo6 tons of sediment per year are supplied to the Laptev Sea by Siberian rivers, mainly by the Lena River. Due to the climatic situation of the drainage area, almost the entire material is transported between June and September. However, only a minor part of the sediments transported by the Lena River enters the Laptev Sea shelf through the main channels of the delta, while the rest is dispersed within the network of the Lena Delta. Because the Lena River drains a large basin of 2.5 x lo6 km2,the chemical composition of the SPM shows a very uniform composition. -
4. Trade Structure
TRADE STRUCTURE 4. TRADE STRUCTURE 4.1 Changing Nature of Global Container Trade Container shipping routes can be divided into three main groups: (1) East-West trades, which circle the globe in the Northern Hemisphere linking the major industrial centres of North America, Western Europe and Asia; (2) North-South trades articulating around major production and consumption centres of Europe, Asia and North America, and linking these centres with developing countries in the Southern Hemisphere; and (3) intraregional trades operating in shorter hauls and with smaller ships. North–south routes are Figure 4-1 shows study estimates of the container trade volumes (full export/import containers only) in 2002 and 2015 of each of trade groups. Container trade volumes on the East-West routes will increase from 34 million TEU in 2002 to 70 million TEU in 2015 representing 5.8 per cent of annual average growth rate. The study forecasts suggest that the intraregional trades will show solid growth from 28 million TEU to 72 million TEU with a compound average growth rate of 7.5 per cent per annum over the same period. The North-South trade is also expected to grow at a rate of 6.2 per cent per annum on average, exceeding the growth rate of the East-West trade. Figure 4-1: Container Trade by Trade Group (2002 and 2015) 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 2002 40.00 2015 Million TEU 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 East-West Intra-Regional North-South/South-South 32 TRADE STRUCTURE 4.2 Asia - North America The biggest deep sea liner route is the trans-Pacific trade between Asia and North America, representing 14.5 million TEU in 2002, equivalent to 43 per cent of the total East-West trade and 19 per cent of the world total. -
Living in Two Places : Permanent Transiency In
living in two places: permanent transiency in the magadan region Elena Khlinovskaya Rockhill Scott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Lensfield Road, Cambridge CB2 1ER, UK; [email protected] abstract Some individuals in the Kolyma region of Northeast Russia describe their way of life as “permanently temporary.” This mode of living involves constant movements and the work of imagination while liv- ing between two places, the “island” of Kolyma and the materik, or mainland. In the Soviet era people maintained connections to the materik through visits, correspondence and telephone conversations. Today, living in the Kolyma means living in some distant future, constantly keeping the materik in mind, without fully inhabiting the Kolyma. People’s lives embody various mythologies that have been at work throughout Soviet Kolyma history. Some of these models are being transformed, while oth- ers persist. Underlying the opportunities afforded by high mobility, both government practices and individual plans reveal an ideal of permanency and rootedness. KEYWORDS: Siberia, gulag, Soviet Union, industrialism, migration, mobility, post-Soviet The Magadan oblast’1 has enjoyed only modest attention the mid-seventeenth century, the history of its prishloye in arctic anthropology. Located in northeast Russia, it be- naseleniye3 started in the 1920s when the Kolyma region longs to the Far Eastern Federal Okrug along with eight became known for gold mining and Stalinist forced-labor other regions, okrugs and krais. Among these, Magadan camps. oblast' is somewhat peculiar. First, although this territory These regional peculiarities—a small indigenous pop- has been inhabited by various Native groups for centu- ulation and a distinct industrial Soviet history—partly ries, compared to neighboring Chukotka and the Sakha account for the dearth of anthropological research con- Republic (Yakutia), the Magadan oblast' does not have a ducted in Magadan. -
Spanning the Bering Strait
National Park service shared beringian heritage Program U.s. Department of the interior Spanning the Bering Strait 20 years of collaborative research s U b s i s t e N c e h UN t e r i N c h UK o t K a , r U s s i a i N t r o DU c t i o N cean Arctic O N O R T H E L A Chu a e S T kchi Se n R A LASKA a SIBERIA er U C h v u B R i k R S otk S a e i a P v I A en r e m in i n USA r y s M l u l g o a a S K S ew la c ard Peninsu r k t e e r Riv n a n z uko i i Y e t R i v e r ering Sea la B u s n i CANADA n e P la u a ns k ni t Pe a ka N h las c A lf of Alaska m u a G K W E 0 250 500 Pacific Ocean miles S USA The Shared Beringian Heritage Program has been fortunate enough to have had a sustained source of funds to support 3 community based projects and research since its creation in 1991. Presidents George H.W. Bush and Mikhail Gorbachev expanded their cooperation in the field of environmental protection and the study of global change to create the Shared Beringian Heritage Program. -
Russia and Asia
17. Russia in the Asia–Pacific area: challenges and opportunities Vyacheslav B. Amirov 1. Introduction Not for the first time in its history, Russia is facing new realities in its standing in the international arena—realities which emerged mainly because of internal and economic problems that had accumulated over decades. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia, having lost the Baltic states, Belarus and Ukraine, has shifted east. That is one reason, among others, why its place in the Asia– Pacific arena and its relations with the countries of the region have become even more important than they were under the USSR—although the real sig- nificance of the region was not realized by the Soviet rulers. Although the last years of the Soviet Union witnessed some improvements in its relations with countries of the Asia–Pacific region, in some critical aspects and cases the legacy of the past is a burden for the new Russia. There are some unresolved issues with its neighbours and, more important, old-style approaches to various problems persist which the policies of perestroika and ‘new thinking’ were not able to correct. It is clear that the working-out of a long-term national strategy towards Asia– Pacific cannot be expected until after the next presidential election in Russia. It is not, however, clear whether such a policy will reflect Russia’s genuine national interests. There are still too many questions, and a reliable policy, if one is finally adopted, cannot be formulated without a critical assessment of the legacy of the past, taking into account the fact that neither the old Russia nor the Soviet Union could cope properly with the realities and the state authorities quite often took decisions which were not in the national interests.