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Decision Support Briefing #3 As of: 415 PM Jan 27, 2021

What Has Changed?

Advisory has been issued for portions http://www.weather.gov/akq/RainandSnow of the coast and the eastern shore.  Lunenburg County VA has been added to the Advisory.  amounts have increased slightly within the .

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM MANDATED SLIDE

Main Points Hazard Impacts Location Timing

1” to 2” of snow is expected, with localized amounts of 3” Southern VA and NE NC Tonight into Thu AM Snow possible

Ice Icing is NOT expected. Icing is NOT expected Icing is NOT expected

Gusts up to 35-45 mph, with the Eastern VA and NE NC Thursday Wind strongest closer to the coast.

Some minor river flooding is Flooding possible from recent rainfall Lawrenceville Through Tonight along the Chowan Basin

Wind gusts around 40 knots All Coastal Waters, expected. Seas up to 10 feet over Tonight through Thursday Chesapeake Bay, lower Marine the ocean with 4 to 6 ft. waves Evening James River on the Bay.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM MANDATED SLIDE

Summary of Greatest Impacts

Snow: Mainly South of I-64

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Icing: None

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

River Flooding: Chowan Basin

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Marine: Coastal Waters and Chesapeake Bay

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM Hazard Overview Winter Weather Advisory

Salisbury Warning

 Gale Warnings are in effect for Richmond most of the waters from tonight through Thu evening. Farmville (Small Craft Advisories are in effect for the upper Rivers) Norfolk  A Winter Weather Advisory is Emporia in effect tonight into Thursday AM for southern VA and NE NC. Elizabeth City  A Wind Advisory is in effect for portions of the immediate coast and the eastern shore.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM Total Snow Accumulation  Timing: Tonight into Thursday Morning  Impacts: Some slippery roads are possible, even if very little snow falls, due to falling temperatures and freezing of remaining liquid water on roads.

Note: There could be locally higher amounts in the circled area

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM Likelihood for at least 2 Inches of Snow

. Portions of far southern VA and NE NC have the greatest chance for seeing 2 inches or more of snow late tonight into Thursday morning.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM High Wind Potential on Thursday . Wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph are possible, especially close to the coast. . This may cause some downed trees and power lines especially due to the wet soils from recent . . The highest will occur during the day on Thursday.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM Marine Threat Potential - Wind

. Wind Gusts of 35 to 40 knots are expected from early Thursday morning through Thursday evening over the Chesapeake Bay/lower James, and the coastal waters. . There is a low chance for wind gusts as high as 45 knots Thursday (primarily across the coastal waters S of Cape Charles).

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM Marine Threat Potential - Seas

. Seas will rapidly build to 7 to 10 feet over the coastal waters and up to 5 feet in the Chesapeake Bay on Thursday (up to 6 feet at the Mouth of the Bay).

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM Event Summary

 A quick moving low pressure system will bring a brief period of snow across the area. This low will then bring gusty winds to the coast and coastal waters.  One to two inches of snow is expected across southern VA and NE NC where a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect. Localized amounts of 3” are possible in these areas (mainly over NE NC). Less than an inch of snow is expected north of the advisory area.  Gusty winds to 35 to 45 mph may cause some downed trees and power lines on Thursday (mainly near the coast).

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM MANDATED SLIDE

Contact and Next Briefing Information

Next Briefing When: 5 PM Wednesday Method: Email

Briefing Webpage: https://www.weather.gov/akq/Brief Latest Briefing Available At: https://www.weather.gov/media/akq/briefings/LatestBriefing.pdf

Web: Facebook: http://www.weather.gov/akq NWSWakefieldVA

Phone (public): Twitter: (757) 899-4200 @NWSWakefieldVA

E-mail: YouTube: [email protected] NWSWakefieldVA

Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing is time-sensitive, please visit our website for the latest briefing.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created Wakefield, VA @NWSWakefieldVA /NWSWakefieldVA 1/27/2021 4:26 PM