The European Stability Mechanism As a Current Legal Challenge
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European Stability Mechanism
~FACTSHEET~ European Stability Mechanism The Treaty establishing the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) has been ratified by all 17 euro area member states. It entered into force on 27 September 2012, nine months earlier than initially foreseen 1. The treaty was signed by euro area member states on 2 February 2012. The ESM board of governors held its inaugural meeting on 8 October 2012. The ESM is an intergovernmental institution based in Luxembourg, set up to provide financial assistance to eurozone member states experiencing, or being threatened by, severe financing problems, if this is indispensable for safeguarding financial stability in the euro area as a whole. The initial maximum lending capacity of the ESM is set at €500 billion. This is achieved with subscribed capital of €700 billion (€ 80 billion paid-in capital, the rest callable). A first version of the treaty was signed on 11 July 2011, but it was subsequently modified to incorporate decisions taken by the heads of state and government of the euro area on 21 July and 9 December 2011 to improve the effectiveness of the mechanism. As a permanent mechanism, the ESM will take over the tasks currently fulfilled by the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and the European Financial Stabilisation Mechanism (EFSM). With the accelerated entry into force, the ESM will now operate alongside the EFSF for nine months. In March 2012, the Eurogroup agreed to raise the overall ceiling for ESM/EFSF lending to €700 billion 2. Already during the transitional period, until mid-2013, the ESM will be the main instrument for the financing of new programmes. -
The Future of Europe the Eurozone and the Next Recession Content
April 2019 Chief Investment Office GWM Investment Research The future of Europe The Eurozone and the next recession Content 03 Editorial Publication details This report has been prepared by UBS AG and UBS Switzerland AG. Chapter 1: Business cycle Please see important disclaimer and 05 Cyclical position disclosures at the end of the document. 08 Imbalances This report was published on April 9 2019 10 Emerging markets Authors Ricardo Garcia (Editor in chief) Chapter 2: Policy space Jens Anderson Michael Bolliger 14 Institutional framework Kiran Ganesh Matteo Ramenghi 16 Fiscal space Roberto Scholtes Fabio Trussardi 19 Monetary space Dean Turner Thomas Veraguth Thomas Wacker Chapter 3: Impact Contributors Paul Donovan 23 Bond markets Elisabetta Ferrara Tom Flury 26 Banks Bert Jansen Claudia Panseri 29 Euro Achim Peijan Louis Pfau Giovanni Staunovo Themis Themistocleous Appendix Desktop Publishing 32 The evolution of the EU: A timeline Margrit Oppliger 33 Europe in numbers Cover photo 34 2020–2025 stress-test scenario assumptions Gettyimages Printer Neidhart + Schön, Zurich Languages English, German and Italian Contact [email protected] Order or subscribe UBS clients can subscribe to the print version of The future of Europe via their client advisor or the Printed & Branded Products Mailbox: [email protected] Electronic subscription is also available via the Investment Views on the UBS e-banking platform. 2 April 2019 – The future of Europe Editorial “Whatever it takes.” These words of Mario Draghi’s marked the inflection point in the last recession and paved the way to the present economic recovery. But as the euro celebrates its 20th birthday, the world and investors are beset again by recessionary fears, with risks mounting and likely to continue doing so in the coming years. -
Should Poland Join the Euro? an Economic and Political Analysis
Should Poland Join the Euro? An Economic and Political Analysis Should Poland Join the Euro? An Economic and Political Analysis Graduate Policy Workshop February 2016 Michael Carlson Conor Carroll Iris Chan Geoff Cooper Vanessa Lehner Kelsey Montgomery Duc Tran Table of Contents Acknowledgements ................................................................................................................................ i About the WWS Graduate Policy Workshop ........................................................................................ ii Executive Summary .............................................................................................................................. 1 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 2 2 The Evolution of Polish Thought on Euro Adoption ................................................................. 5 2.1 Pre-EU membership reforms ...................................................................................................................... 5 2.2 After EU Accession ....................................................................................................................................... 5 2.3 Crisis years ...................................................................................................................................................... 6 2.4 Post-crisis assessment .................................................................................................................................. -
Nowcasting Eurozone Industrial Production
2003 EDITION Nowcasting Eurozone Industrial Production THEME 1 General EUROPEAN statistics COMMISSION 1 Europe Direct is a service to help you find answers to your questions about the European Union New freephone number: 00 800 6 7 8 9 10 11 A great deal of additional information on the European Union is available on the Internet. It can be accessed through the Europa server (http://europa.eu.int). Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, 2003 ISBN 92-894-3416-3 ISSN 1725-4825 © European Communities, 2003 Nowcasting Eurozone Industrial Production Dominique Ladiray and Dermot O’Brien Abstract The aim of this paper is to develop a methodology for the estima- tion of nowcasts of the Eurozone Industrial Production Index (IPI) for a delay of less than 45 days. We propose to build well-specified robust models for annual and monthly eurozone IPI growth rates that incor- porate information from business surveys and partial information from Member States. We prioritise models that are stable and well-specified and the optimal models are determined on the basis of an assessment of nowcasting performance for real-time data. 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction................................................................................................ 3 2. Evolution of Arrival Delays ....................................................................... 3 3. Prospects for an Early IPI .......................................................................... 5 4. Developing a Methodology for Producing IPI Nowcasts .......................... 6 5. Models for Eurozone IPI............................................................................ 7 5.1 Annual IPI Growth Rates .................................................................... 7 5.1.1 Model A: NAIVE Model ........................................................... 7 5.1.2 Model B: GETS with Business Surveys.................................... 8 5.1.3 Model C: GETS with Business Surveys and Partial Information (1) .............................................................. -
The European Union: Questions and Answers
The European Union: Questions and Answers Updated October 27, 2020 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov RS21372 SUMMARY RS21372 The European Union: Questions and Answers October 27, 2020 The European Union (EU) is a political and economic partnership that represents a unique form of cooperation among sovereign countries. The EU is the latest stage in a process of integration Kristin Archick begun after World War II, initially by six Western European countries, to foster interdependence Specialist in European and make another war in Europe unthinkable. The EU currently consists of 27 member states, Affairs including most of the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, and has helped to promote peace, stability, and economic prosperity throughout the European continent. How the EU Works The EU has been built through a series of binding treaties. Over the years, EU member states have sought to harmonize laws and adopt common policies on an increasing number of economic, social, and political issues. EU member states share a customs union; a single market in which capital, goods, services, and people move freely; a common trade policy; and a common agricultural policy. Nineteen EU member states use a common currency (the euro), and 22 member states participate in the Schengen area of free movement in which internal border controls have been eliminated. In addition, the EU has been developing a Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP), which includes a Common Security and Defense Policy (CSDP), and pursuing cooperation in the area of Justice and Home Affairs (JHA) to forge common internal security measures. Member states work together through several EU institutions to set policy and to promote their collective interests. -
An Agenda for Capital Markets Union November 2014
An agenda for capital markets union November 2014 Association for Financial Markets in Europe www.afme.eu About AFME The Association for Financial Markets in Europe (AFME) is the voice of Europe’s wholesale financial markets. We represent the leading global and European banks and other significant capital market players. We believe that liquid capital markets and a well-functioning banking system are central to any successful modern economy. We advocate stable, competitive, sustainable European financial markets Focusthat support economic growth and benefit society. Expertiseon a wide range of market, business and prudential issues Strongdeep policy and technicalrelationships skills Breadthwith European and global policymakers Pan-Europeanbroad global and European membership organisation and perspective Global reach via the Global Financial Markets Association (GFMA) Capital Markets Union An agenda for capital markets union Contents FOREWORD ........................................................................................................................................ 2 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................ 3 2. GOALS FOR A CAPITAL MARKETS UNION ........................................................................ 5 Defining the capital markets union ...................................................................................................................... 5 The international dimension to capital markets union .............................................................................. -
Decision in Strategic Inquiry OI/1/2019/MIG Concerning the Transparency of the Bodies Involved in Preparing Eurogroup Meetings
European Ombudsman Decision in strategic inquiry OI/1/2019/MIG concerning the transparency of the bodies involved in preparing Eurogroup meetings Decision Case OI/1/2019/MIG - Opened on 13/05/2019 - Decision on 03/12/2019 - Institutions concerned Council of the European Union | European Commission ( No further inquiries justified ) | This strategic inquiry concerned the transparency of the three preparatory bodies that are involved in preparing Eurogroup meetings. The focus of the inquiry was on requests for public access to documents concerning the work of the Eurogroup and these preparatory bodies, which the Council of the European Union and the European Commission have received since the Eurogroup took proactive transparency measures in 2016. The Ombudsman found that both the Council and the Commission had dealt properly with the relevant public access requests. She further noted that, in the meantime, the Eurogroup had taken steps to improve its transparency policy. This includes the plan to create an online repository of publicly available Eurogroup documents and to provide more information about citizens’ right to request documents held by the Council. Further steps have been taken to enhance the transparency of the EWG. In view of these improvements, the Ombudsman now closes this strategic inquiry. Background to the complaint 1. The Eurogroup is an informal body in which the Finance Ministers of EU Member States that are part of the euro area (the ‘Eurozone’) meet to discuss matters relating to Eurozone economic policy. This includes matters such as post-programme surveillance of Eurozone countries that have received financial assistance or Member States’ draft budgetary plans. -
Is a Multi-Speed Europe Really the Answer to the EU’S Problems? Published on 09
Careful What You Choose For: Is a Multi-Speed Europe Really the Answer to the EU’s Problems? Published on 09. March 2017 by Dr Eleni Panagiotarea It appears that the EU’s solution to its current directionless and delegitimised state is a multi-speed Europe. It is ironic that the 27-nation bloc prepares to mark 60 years since its founding treaty by accepting that an ‘ever closer union’ is officially no longer on the table. Some will argue that the big four which have been backing this idea, France, Germany, Italy and Spain, are trying to cut their losses short rather than admit failure, which makes embracing divergence, whitewashing growing inequalities within and between states and appeasing populists the optimal strategy. A multi- speed Europe is, in any case, already a reality on the ground, as both the Schengen border-free zone and the eurozone attest. The next logical step for the capable and the willing is to pool resources, generate economies of scale and create structures for a new round of common projects. Yet, there are a number of problems with regard to this proposition. First, the kind of flexibility implied in multiple speeds, has been in short supply throughout the existence of the European project. Creating pockets of deeper cooperation and enabling a well-regulated flow of ‘ins’ and ‘outs’, on the basis of clusters of interests, simply surpasses the EU’s current technical and institutional capacity. Building it up will take time – time, however, is in equally short supply, considering the pervasive sense of insecurity that Europeans feel and how this is affecting their voting patterns. -
The European Central Bank's Independence and Its Relations with Economic Policy Makers
Fordham International Law Journal Volume 31, Issue 6 2007 Article 3 The European Central Bank’s Independence and Its Relations with Economic Policy Makers Professor Dr. Rene´ Smits∗ ∗ Copyright c 2007 by the authors. Fordham International Law Journal is produced by The Berke- ley Electronic Press (bepress). http://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/ilj The European Central Bank’s Independence and Its Relations with Economic Policy Makers Professor Dr. Rene´ Smits Abstract In this Essay, written for the Fifty Years of European Union (“EU”) Law Conference organized by Fordham Law School, I intend to sketch the independent position of the European Central Bank (“ECB”) in the context of economic policy making within the European Union. I will briefly describe the law and the practice in respect of independence and economic-policy making, both the internal (domestic policies) and the external aspects (international policies). The law is stated as of February 25, 2008. THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK'S INDEPENDENCE AND ITS RELATIONS WITH ECONOMIC POLICY MAKERS ProfessorDr. Ren Smits* INTRODUCTION* In this Essay, written for the Fifty Years of European Union ("EU") Law Conference organized by Fordham Law School, I intend to sketch the independent position of the European Cen- tral Bank ("ECB") in the context of economic policy making within the European Union. I will briefly describe the law and the practice in respect of independence and economic-policy making, both the internal (domestic policies) and the external aspects (international policies). The law is -
The First Twenty Years of the European Central Bank: Monetary Policy
Working Paper Series Philipp Hartmann, Frank Smets The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy No 2219 / December 2018 Disclaimer: This paper should not be reported as representing the views of the European Central Bank (ECB). The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the ECB. Abstract: On 1 June 2018 the ECB celebrated its 20th anniversary. This paper provides a comprehensive view of the ECB’s monetary policy over these two decades. The first section provides a chronological account of the macroeconomic and monetary policy developments in the euro area since the adoption of the euro in 1999, going through four cyclical phases “conditioning” ECB monetary policy. We describe the monetary policy decisions from the ECB’s perspective and against the background of its evolving monetary policy strategy and framework. We also highlight a number of the key critical issues that were the subject of debate. The second section contains a partial assessment. We first analyze the achievement of the price stability mandate and developments in the ECB’s credibility. Next, we investigate the ECB’s interest rate decisions through the lens of a simple empirical interest rate reaction function. This is appropriate until the ECB hits the zero-lower bound in 2013. Finally, we present the ECB’s framework for thinking about non-standard monetary policy measures and review the evidence on their effectiveness. One of the main themes of the paper is how ECB monetary policy responded to the challenges posed by the European twin crises and the subsequent slow economic recovery, making use of its relatively wide range of instruments, defining new ones where necessary and developing the strategic underpinnings of its policy framework. -
Information Guide Euroscepticism
Information Guide Euroscepticism A guide to information sources on Euroscepticism, with hyperlinks to further sources of information within European Sources Online and on external websites Contents Introduction .................................................................................................. 2 Brief Historical Overview................................................................................. 2 Euro Crisis 2008 ............................................................................................ 3 European Elections 2014 ................................................................................ 5 Euroscepticism in Europe ................................................................................ 8 Eurosceptic organisations ......................................................................... 10 Eurosceptic thinktanks ............................................................................. 10 Transnational Eurosceptic parties and political groups .................................. 11 Eurocritical media ................................................................................... 12 EU Reaction ................................................................................................. 13 Information sources in the ESO database ........................................................ 14 Further information sources on the internet ..................................................... 14 Copyright © 2016 Cardiff EDC. All rights reserved. 1 Cardiff EDC is part of the University Library -
Working Paper Series Demosthenes Ioannou, Jean-François Jamet and Spillovers and Euroscepticism Johannes Kleibl
Working Paper Series Demosthenes Ioannou, Jean-François Jamet and Spillovers and Euroscepticism Johannes Kleibl No 1815 / June 2015 Note: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the European Central Bank (ECB). The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the ECB ABSTRACT: During the crisis, support for the EU has declined noticeably in many European Union member states. While previous research on European public opinion has mainly focused on the impact of domestic country- and individual-level factors on public attitudes towards the EU, this paper argues that developments in other EU member states can also have a significant impact on domestic euroscepticism. Specifically, deteriorating economic and fiscal conditions in other member states can lead to concerns in domestic publics about possible negative spillovers on the domestic economy and the ability of the EU to deliver positive economic outcomes. This in turn may lead to rising euroscepticism at the domestic level. The analysis of a panel data set for the EU as a whole and the euro area countries lends support to these arguments by showing that higher unemployment rates and government debt levels in other European countries are systematically related to lower levels of trust in the EU domestically. KEYWORDS: European Union, Euroscepticism, Spillovers, Debt, Unemployment. JEL CLASSIFICATION: D72 (Political Processes), E02 (Institutions and the Macroeconomy), F15 (Economic Integration), H63 (Debt), J64 (Unemployment). ECB Working Paper 1815, June 2015 1 Non-Technical Summary The financial and economic crisis has led to a notable rise in euroscepticism in many European Union member states.