ENVISIONING SOCIOLOGY Isolation from Theoretical Reflection and Providing an Independent Source for a Disciplinary Sociology
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School of Social Sciences Economics Division University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK Discussion Papers in Economics and Econometrics Mathematics in the Statistical Society 1883-1933 John Aldrich No. 0919 This paper is available on our website http://www.southampton.ac.uk/socsci/economics/research/papers ISSN 0966-4246 Mathematics in the Statistical Society 1883-1933* John Aldrich Economics Division School of Social Sciences University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ UK e-mail: [email protected] Abstract This paper considers the place of mathematical methods based on probability in the work of the London (later Royal) Statistical Society in the half-century 1883-1933. The end-points are chosen because mathematical work started to appear regularly in 1883 and 1933 saw the formation of the Industrial and Agricultural Research Section– to promote these particular applications was to encourage mathematical methods. In the period three movements are distinguished, associated with major figures in the history of mathematical statistics–F. Y. Edgeworth, Karl Pearson and R. A. Fisher. The first two movements were based on the conviction that the use of mathematical methods could transform the way the Society did its traditional work in economic/social statistics while the third movement was associated with an enlargement in the scope of statistics. The study tries to synthesise research based on the Society’s archives with research on the wider history of statistics. Key names : Arthur Bowley, F. Y. Edgeworth, R. A. Fisher, Egon Pearson, Karl Pearson, Ernest Snow, John Wishart, G. Udny Yule. Keywords : History of Statistics, Royal Statistical Society, mathematical methods. -
History of the Development of the ICD
History of the development of the ICD 1. Early history Sir George Knibbs, the eminent Australian statistician, credited François Bossier de Lacroix (1706-1777), better known as Sauvages, with the first attempt to classify diseases systematically (10). Sauvages' comprehensive treatise was published under the title Nosologia methodica. A contemporary of Sauvages was the great methodologist Linnaeus (1707-1778), one of whose treatises was entitled Genera morborum. At the beginning of the 19th century, the classification of disease in most general use was one by William Cullen (1710-1790), of Edinburgh, which was published in 1785 under the title Synopsis nosologiae methodicae. For all practical purposes, however, the statistical study of disease began a century earlier with the work of John Graunt on the London Bills of Mortality. The kind of classification envisaged by this pioneer is exemplified by his attempt to estimate the proportion of liveborn children who died before reaching the age of six years, no records of age at death being available. He took all deaths classed as thrush, convulsions, rickets, teeth and worms, abortives, chrysomes, infants, livergrown, and overlaid and added to them half the deaths classed as smallpox, swinepox, measles, and worms without convulsions. Despite the crudity of this classification his estimate of a 36 % mortality before the age of six years appears from later evidence to have been a good one. While three centuries have contributed something to the scientific accuracy of disease classification, there are many who doubt the usefulness of attempts to compile statistics of disease, or even causes of death, because of the difficulties of classification. -
The Scientific Rationality of Early Statistics, 1833–1877
The Scientific Rationality of Early Statistics, 1833–1877 Yasuhiro Okazawa St Catharine’s College This dissertation is submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. November 2018 Declaration Declaration This dissertation is the result of my own work and includes nothing which is the outcome of work done in collaboration except as declared in the Preface and specified in the text. It is not substantially the same as any that I have submitted, or, is being concurrently submitted for a degree or diploma or other qualification at the University of Cambridge or any other University or similar institution except as declared in the Preface and specified in the text. I further state that no substantial part of my dissertation has already been submitted, or, is being concurrently submitted for any such degree, diploma or other qualification at the University of Cambridge or any other University or similar institution except as declared in the Preface and specified in the text It does not exceed the prescribed word limit of 80,000 words for the Degree Committee of the Faculty of History. Yasuhiro Okazawa 13 November 2018 i Thesis Summary The Scientific Rationality of Early Statistics, 1833–1877 Yasuhiro Okazawa Summary This thesis examines the activities of the Statistical Society of London (SSL) and its contribution to early statistics—conceived as the science of humans in society—in Britain. The SSL as a collective entity played a crucial role in the formation of early statistics, as statisticians envisaged early statistics as a collaborative scientific project and prompted large-scale observation, which required cooperation among numerous statistical observers. -
Vital and Health Statistics, Series 4, No. 29
Vital and Health Statistics Reconsidering Age Adjustment Procedures: Workshop Proceedings Series 4: Documents and Committee Reports No. 29 This report contains papers presented at the Workshop on Age-Adjustment, March 7, 1991. Presentations are made by representatives of selected Federal, State, and international institutions dealing with issues in the use of the 1940 U.S. population as a standard for the age-adjustment of official statistics. Manning Feinleib, M.D., Dr.P.H., and Alvan O. Zarate, Ph.D., Editors U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES Public Health Service Centers for Disease Control National Center for Health Statistics Hyattsville, Maryland October 1992 DHHS Publication No. (PHS) 93-1466 Copyright Information All material appearing in this report is in the public domain and may be reproduced or copied without permission; citation as to source, however, is appreciated. Suggested Citation Feinleib M, Zarate AO, eds. Reconsidering age adjustment procedures: Workshop proceedings. National Center for Health Statistics. Vital Health Stat 4(29). 1992. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Reconsidering age-adjustment procedures : workshop proceedings. p. cm.—(Vital and health statistics. Series 4, Documents and committee reports ; no. 29) (DHHS publication ; no. (PHS) 92-1466) ISBN 0-8406-0464-5 1. Epidemiology—United States—Statistical methods—Congresses. 2. Epidemiology—United States—Mathematical models—Congresses. 3. Age distribution (Demography)—United States—Congresses. I. National Center for Health Statistics (U.S.) II. Series. III. Series: DHHS publication ; no. (PHS) 92-1466. RA652.2.M3R43 1992 614.4’273—dc20 92-25492 CIP National Center for Health Statistics Manning Feinleib, M.D., Dr.P.H., Director Jack R. -
John Graunt, James Lind, William Farr, and John Snow
© Smartboy10/DigitalVision Vectors/Getty Images CHAPTER 1 The Approach and Evolution of Epidemiology LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of this chapter the reader will be able to: ■ Define and discuss the goals of public health. ■ Distinguish between basic, clinical, and public health research. ■ Define epidemiology and explain its objectives. ■ Discuss the key components of epidemiology (population and frequency, distribution, determinants, and control of disease). ■ Discuss important figures in the history of epidemiology, including John Graunt, James Lind, William Farr, and John Snow. ■ Discuss important modern studies, including the Streptomycin Tuberculosis Trial, Doll and Hill’s studies on smoking and lung cancer, and the Framingham Study. ■ Discuss the current activities and challenges of modern epidemiologists. ▸ Introduction Most people do not know what epidemiology is or how it contributes to the health of our society. This fact is somewhat paradoxical given that epidemi- ology pervades our lives. Consider, for example, the following statements involving epidemiological research that have made headline news: ■ Ten years of hormone drugs benefits some women with breast cancer. ■ Cellular telephone users who talk or text on the phone while driving cause one in four car accidents. ■ Omega-3 pills, a popular alternative medicine, may not help with depression. ■ Fire retardants in consumer products may pose health risks. ■ Brazil reacts to an epidemic of Zika virus infections. 1 2 Chapter 1 The Approach and Evolution of Epidemiology The breadth and importance of these topics indicate that epidemiol- ogy directly affects the daily lives of most people. It affects the way that individuals make personal decisions about their lives and the way that the government, public health agencies, and medical organizations make policy decisions that affect how we live. -
Laura Vaughan
Mapping From a rare map of yellow fever in eighteenth-century New York, to Charles Booth’s famous maps of poverty in nineteenth-century London, an Italian racial Laura Vaughan zoning map of early twentieth-century Asmara, to a map of wealth disparities in the banlieues of twenty-first-century Paris, Mapping Society traces the evolution of social cartography over the past two centuries. In this richly illustrated book, Laura Vaughan examines maps of ethnic or religious difference, poverty, and health Mapping inequalities, demonstrating how they not only serve as historical records of social enquiry, but also constitute inscriptions of social patterns that have been etched deeply on the surface of cities. Society The book covers themes such as the use of visual rhetoric to change public Society opinion, the evolution of sociology as an academic practice, changing attitudes to The Spatial Dimensions physical disorder, and the complexity of segregation as an urban phenomenon. While the focus is on historical maps, the narrative carries the discussion of the of Social Cartography spatial dimensions of social cartography forward to the present day, showing how disciplines such as public health, crime science, and urban planning, chart spatial data in their current practice. Containing examples of space syntax analysis alongside full-colour maps and photographs, this volume will appeal to all those interested in the long-term forces that shape how people live in cities. Laura Vaughan is Professor of Urban Form and Society at the Bartlett School of Architecture, UCL. In addition to her research into social cartography, she has Vaughan Laura written on many other critical aspects of urbanism today, including her previous book for UCL Press, Suburban Urbanities: Suburbs and the Life of the High Street. -
Major GREENWOOD (1880 – 1949)
Major GREENWOOD (1880 – 1949) Publications Three previous publications have included lists of the books, reports, and papers written by, or with contributions by, Major Greenwood; none is complete. With the advantage of electronic searches we have therefore attempted to find all his published works and checked them back to source. Since both father (1854 - 1917) and son (1880 - 1949) had identical names, and both were medically qualified with careers that overlapped, it is sometimes difficult to distinguish the publications of one from those of the other except by their appendages (snr. or jun.), their qualifications (the former also had a degree in law), their locations, their dates, or the subjects they addressed. We have listed the books, reports, and papers separately, and among the last included letters, reviews, and obituaries. Excluding the letters would deprive interested scientists of the opportunity of appreciating Greenwood’s great knowledge of the classics, of history, and of medical science, as well as his scathing demolition of imprecision and poor numerical argument. The two publications in red we have been unable to verify against a source. Books Greenwood M Physiology of the Special Senses (vii+239 pages) London: Edward Arnold, 1910. Collis EL, Greenwood M The Health of the Industrial Worker (xix+450pages) London: J & A Churchill, 1921. Greenwood M Epidemiology, Historical and Experimental: the Herter Lectures for 1931 (x+80 pages) Baltimore: Johns Hopkins Press, and London: Oxford University Press, 1932. Greenwood M Epidemics and Crowd-Diseases: an Introduction to the Study of Epidemiology (409 pages) London: Williams and Norgate, 1933 (reprinted 1935). Greenwood M The Medical Dictator and Other Biographical Studies (213 pages) London: Williams and Norgate, 1936; London: Keynes Press, 1986; revised, Keynes Press, 1987. -
The Comparative Psychology of Leonard T Hobhouse: Its Context and Conception
THE COMPARATIVE PSYCHOLOGY OF LEONARD T HOBHOUSE: ITS CONTEXT AND CONCEPTION Charles W. Tolman University of Victoria ABSTRACT: Hobhouse viewed comparative psychology as playing a key role in his politically liberal, social-ethical worldview. The main feature of evolving mind was the increased capacity for democratic self-direction. Political reaction, identified with imperialism, attempts ideologically to obscure this fact, and thus to impede social progress. Its instruments are philosophical idealism and pseudo-scientific biologism or Social Darwinism. Comparative psychology, conceived as an essentially human psychology, could counteract this reactionary ideology with genuine scientific knowledge of present human capacity and future potential. These can only be revealed by a correct scientific approach, which, Hobhouse maintained, had to be evolutionary and comparative. ... .1 have long felt that the prevailing tendency to regard all the n\arked distinctions of human character as innate, and in the main indelible, and to ignore the irresistible proofs that by far the greater part of those differences, whether between individuals, races, or sexes, are such as not only might but naturally would be produced by differences in circumstances, is one of the chief hindrances to the rational treatment of great social questions, and one of the greatest stumbling blocks to human improvement. John Stuart MiU, 1873 The doctrine that human progress depends upon the forces which condition all biological evolution has in fact been the primary intellectual cause of the [social-political] reaction. Leonard T. Hobhouse, 1904 Most comparative psychologists know that Leonard T. Hobhouse ( 1 864- 1 929) wrote a book caUed Mind in Evolution ( 1 90 1 / 1 926) in which he described some problem solving techniques for the investigation of learning and "practical intelligence" in animals, techniques which Wolfgang Kdhler borrowed—with proper acknowledgement—and improved upon in his well knov^Ti work on the Mentality of Apes (1917/1925). -
The Approach and Evolution of Epidemiology
4025X_CH01_001_032.qxd 4/13/07 9:28 AM Page 1 1 The Approach and Evolution of Epidemiology LEARNING OBJECTIVES By the end of this chapter the reader will be able to: ■ Define and discuss the goals of public health. ■ Distinguish between basic, clinical, and public health research. ■ Define epidemiology and explain its objectives. ■ Discuss the key components of epidemiology (population and frequency, distribution, determinants, and control of disease). ■ Discuss important figures in the history of epidemiology including John Graunt, James Lind, William Farr, and John Snow. ■ Discuss important modern studies including the Streptomycin Tubercu- losis Trial, Doll and Hill’s studies on smoking and lung cancer, and the Framingham Study. ■ Discuss the current activities and challenges of modern epidemiologists. Introduction Most people do not know what epidemiology is or how it contributes to the health of our society. This fact is somewhat paradoxical, given that epi- demiology pervades our lives. Consider, for example, the following state- ments that have made headline news: ■ Herceptin proves a wonder drug for early stage breast cancer by reducing the risk of recurrence and improving survival. 1 4025X_CH01_001_032.qxd 4/13/07 9:28 AM Page 2 2 ESSENTIALS OF EPIDEMIOLOGY IN PUBLIC HEALTH ■ Cellular telephone users who talk on the phone while driving are more likely than other drivers to become involved in a car accident. ■ Echinacea, a popular alternative medicine, is an ineffective treat- ment for the common cold. ■ Disinfection byproducts in drinking water increase a pregnant woman’s risk of miscarriage. ■ The deadly Avian flu has spread among poultry from Southeast Asia to Europe. -
History of Health Statistics
certain gambling problems [e.g. Pacioli (1494), Car- Health Statistics, History dano (1539), and Forestani (1603)] which were first of solved definitively by Pierre de Fermat (1601–1665) and Blaise Pascal (1623–1662). These efforts gave rise to the mathematical basis of probability theory, The field of statistics in the twentieth century statistical distribution functions (see Sampling Dis- (see Statistics, Overview) encompasses four major tributions), and statistical inference. areas; (i) the theory of probability and mathematical The analysis of uncertainty and errors of mea- statistics; (ii) the analysis of uncertainty and errors surement had its foundations in the field of astron- of measurement (see Measurement Error in omy which, from antiquity until the eighteenth cen- Epidemiologic Studies); (iii) design of experiments tury, was the dominant area for use of numerical (see Experimental Design) and sample surveys; information based on the most precise measure- and (iv) the collection, summarization, display, ments that the technologies of the times permit- and interpretation of observational data (see ted. The fallibility of their observations was evident Observational Study). These four areas are clearly to early astronomers, who took the “best” obser- interrelated and have evolved interactively over the vation when several were taken, the “best” being centuries. The first two areas are well covered assessed by such criteria as the quality of obser- in many histories of mathematical statistics while vational conditions, the fame of the observer, etc. the third area, being essentially a twentieth- But, gradually an appreciation for averaging observa- century development, has not yet been adequately tions developed and various techniques for fitting the summarized. -
William Farr on the Cholera: the Sanitarian's Disease Theory And
William Farr on the Cholera: The Sanitarian's Disease Theory and. the Statistician's Method JOHN M. EYLER N 1852 the British medical press heralded a major work on England's second epidemic of cholera. The Lancet called it 'one of the most remarkable productions of type Downloaded from and pen in any age or country,' a credit to the profes- sion.1 Even in the vastly different medical world of 1890, Sir John Simon would remember the report as 'a classic jhmas.oxfordjournals.org in medical statistics: admirable for the skill with which the then recent ravages of the disease in England were quantitatively analyzed ... and for the literary power with which the story of the disease, so far as then known, 2 was told.' The work was William Farr's Report on the Mortality of Cholera at McGill University Libraries on September 18, 2011 in England, 1848-49,3 which had been prepared in England's great center for vital statistics, the General Register Office. In reading the report and its sequels for the 1853-544 and the 1866 epidemics5 one is struck by their comprehensiveness and exhaustive numerical analysis, but even more by the realization that the reports are intimately bound up with a theory of communicable disease and an attitude toward epidemiological research 1. Lancet, 1852, 1, 268. 2. John Simon, English sanitary institutions, reviewed in their course of development, and in some of their political and social relations (London, Paris, New York, and Melbourne, 1890), p. 240. 3. [William Farr], Report on the mortality of cholera in England, 1848-49 (London, 1852). -
JS Mill's Political Thought
P1: JZZ 0521860202pre CUFX079B/Urbinati 0 521 86020 2 cupusbw December 26, 2006 7:38 This page intentionally left blank ii P1: JZZ 0521860202pre CUFX079B/Urbinati 0 521 86020 2 cupusbw December 26, 2006 7:38 J. S. MILL’S POLITICAL THOUGHT The year 2006 marked the two hundredth anniversary of John Stuart Mill’s birth. Although his philosophical reputation has varied greatly in the interven- ing years, it is now clear that Mill ranks among the most influential modern political thinkers. Yet despite his enduring influence, and perhaps also because of it, the breadth and complexity of Mill’s political thought is often under- appreciated. Although his writings remain a touchstone for debates over liberty and liberalism, many other important dimensions of his political philosophy have until recently been mostly ignored or neglected. This volume aims, first, to correct such neglect by illustrating the breadth and depth of Mill’s political writings. It does so by drawing togetheracollection of essays whose authors explore underappreciated elements of Mill’s political philosophy, including his democratic theory, his writings on international relations and military inter- ventions, and his treatments of socialism and despotism. Second, the volume shows how Mill’s thinking remains pertinent to our own political life in three broad areas – democratic institutions and culture, liberalism, and international politics – and offers a critical reassessment of Mill’s political philosophy in light of recent political developments and transformations. Nadia Urbinati