View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Open Research Exeter 1 Selection for Gaia across multiple scales Timothy M. Lenton1*, Stuart J. Daines1, James G. Dyke2, Arwen E. Nicholson1, David M. Wilkinson3, Hywel T. P. Williams1,4 1Earth System Science, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, EX4 4QE, UK 2Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK 3School of Life Sciences, University of Lincoln, LN6 7DL, UK 4Computer Science, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, EX4 4QE, UK *Corresponding author: Lenton, T. M. (
[email protected]) Keywords Gaia hypothesis; environmental regulation; feedback; selection; biogeochemical cycling; climate 2 Abstract Recently postulated mechanisms and models can help explain the enduring “Gaia” puzzle of environmental regulation mediated by life. Natural selection can produce nutrient recycling at local scales and regulation of heterogeneous environmental variables at ecosystem scales. However, global‐scale environmental regulation involves a temporal and spatial decoupling of effects from actors that makes conventional evolutionary explanations problematic. Instead, global regulation can emerge by a process of “sequential selection” in which systems that destabilize their environment are short‐lived and result in extinctions and reorganizations until a stable attractor is found. Such persistence‐enhancing properties can in turn increase the likelihood of acquiring further persistence‐enhancing properties through “selection by survival alone”. Thus, Earth system feedbacks provide a filter for persistent combinations of macro‐evolutionary innovations. The Gaia puzzle The Gaia hypothesis [1‐3] posits that a coupled system of life on Earth and its abiotic environment self‐regulates in a habitable state, despite destabilizing influences such as a steadily brightening Sun, changing volcanic, metamorphic and tectonic activity, and occasional massive meteorite impacts [3, 4].