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Carlisle Key Findings Report. Nov 2010

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Carlisle Key Findings Report. Nov 2010 CUMBRIA LOCAL ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT KEY FINDINGS FOR CARLISLE NOVEMBER 2010 Professor Frank Peck Ginny Murphy Dr Gail Mulvey Stuart Frank Centre for Regional Economic Development Cumbria Intelligence Observatory Cumbria Local Economic Assessment November 2010 Introduction Recent legislation contained within the Local Democracy, Economic Development and Construction Bill placed a statutory duty on local authorities to undertake a Local Economic Assessment (LEA) from April 2010. The aim of LEAs is to equip local authorities and partners with a common understanding of local economic conditions and economic geography and of the social and environmental factors that impact on economic growth. This assessment should provide both a tool and an evidence base to help target and prioritise limited resources and interventions in order to stimulate economic growth and recovery in Cumbria, particularly in the austere years of limited public funding to come. It will also help contribute to the development of Cumbria’s Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP). This document is part of a suite of documents which together comprise the Cumbria Local Economic Assessment and which arose out of a series of consultation events held across Cumbria. The report is therefore best read in conjunction with the similar reports for Barrow, Carlisle and Eden & South Lakeland and the overarching Cumbria-wide report, which all follow a similar structure. This report uses data from the comprehensive Cumbria Local Economic Assessment Data Analysis Report which can be downloaded at http://www.cumbriaobservatory.org.uk/AboutCumbria/economy/cumbriaeconomicassessment.asp and which will be updated on a quarterly basis so that it is always kept up to date with the most recent data releases. The ultimate test of the LEA will be its appropriate use by a range of different organisations. The Cumbria LEA has a potentially large audience of people interested in the field of economic intelligence, from businesses making investment decisions, through commissioners of skills provision to practitioners drafting local policies and strategies. For this reason the document has been structured as in the diagram below. This structure provides different points of access at differing degrees of detail and it is hoped that this will make Cumbria’s LEA as accessible as possible to the wide variety of people who may be interested in its content. Structure of Cumbria’s Local Economic Assessment Cumbria Summary Eden & South Barrow Carlisle West Cumbria Lakeland Key Findings Key Findings Key Findings Key Findings Data Analysis Report People & Communities / Business & Enterprise / Physical Environment & Infrastructure Carlisle Key Findings 1 Cumbria Local Economic Assessment November 2010 CONTEXT Carlisle is an historic regional city and service centre The City of Carlisle is a free-standing city situated in North Cumbria close to the Scottish Border. The origins of the city date back at least to the Roman period due to its position close to Hadrian’s Wall. Its Norman Cathedral and Castle testify to its historic military and civic significance in the Middle Ages. It is the largest settlement in the County and the focus of much of the administration of the area as well as an important employment and retail centre that serves north Cumbria and south-west Scotland. …. with an important industrial base The period of the Industrial Revolution transformed Carlisle into an expanding industrial city based on textile manufacturing, food processing, engineering and economic activities associated with the development of the railways. Although employment in these manufacturing industries has declined during the 20th century, Carlisle still has a significant industrial base that includes Pirelli Tyres, Crown Holdings (former Metal Box), Nestle and United Biscuits (formerly Carr’s). The city is also a major transport centre located on the West Coast Main Line and close to the M6 motorway. The city hosts the headquarters of the Stobart Group, a multimodal logistics company which has operations in all regions of the UK and across Europe. .… situated within an extensive rural area Carlisle Local Authority District includes not only the city itself, but also an extensive and attractive rural area and the market towns of Brampton, Dalston and Longtown. The rural area stretches from the Solway Estuary in the west to the Pennines in the East and north towards the Scottish border and the Cheviots. This extensive territory contains two Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty (Solway and Pennine AONBs) and the western part of Hadrian’s Wall which is designated as a World Heritage Site by UNESCo. PEOPLE AND COMMUNITIES Carlisle has experienced population growth since 1991 Most recent figures indicate that Carlisle District currently has a population of around 105,800 (2009) and that this total has grown by 3.9% since 2001, a net increase of around 3,900 persons. This rate of growth has been significantly higher than the average for Cumbria (+1.5%) and also the NW regional average (+1.8%). The proportion of people of working age in Carlisle is relatively high (61.3% in 2009) compared to Cumbria as a whole (59.0%) and much closer to the NW regional average (61.5%). This proportion expanded annually between 2001 and 2006 reaching a peak in that year at 62.1%, but has fallen since then to its present level. .... as well as growth in employment The period between 2000 and 2008 also witnessed growth in employment by 1.7% which was more rapid than the NW region as a whole (1.0%). In 2008, there were over 53,000 employees working in the District with particular concentrations in public services, retailing, consumer services as well as manufacturing, construction and transport. Carlisle Key Findings 2 Cumbria Local Economic Assessment November 2010 However, average earnings are below the regional average While Carlisle’s employment performance has been strong, data on average workplace earnings shows that the city’s residents experience below average pay for full time employment. In 2009, weekly resident earnings for full time workers in Carlisle averaged £414 compared to £465 for Cumbria as a whole and £460 for the NW region. There is also a substantial difference between average earnings for males (£452) and females (£357) in full time employment. Levels of unemployment are lower than Cumbrian and regional averages Since 2008, residents of Carlisle have been affected by the economic downturn but data suggest that, until now at least, these effects have not been as severe as in other parts of the UK. The unemployment rate in Carlisle (JSA Claimant rate) increased in line with national and regional trends in the first part of 2009 but reached a plateau just over 3 % and has since fallen to around 2.8% in August 2010. This compares favourably with the current regional (4%) and national averages (3.6%). … but there are high levels of worklessness in some urban wards As in the national context, the numbers of people on Job Seekers Allowance in Carlisle (1,880 in September 2010) represents only a small proportion of the total number claiming some form of out-of-work benefit (8,240 claimants in February 2010) which represents 12.2% of the working age population in the District. This measure indicates that the level of “worklessness” is slightly higher in Carlisle than in Cumbria as a whole (11.5%) but lower than across the wider NW region (15.7%). However, workless households tend to be concentrated in particular residential areas. Worklessness remain particularly high in Upperby and Botcherby Wards where there are 1,590 out-of-work benefit claimants which represents over a fifth of the working age population. … and disadvantages in rural areas arising from poor access to services While worklessness is particular prevalent in these urban wards, a minority of residents in the market towns and rural areas are also affected. In these outlying areas, individuals seeking work also experience the added disadvantages that arise from relatively poor access to services including education and training opportunities. Data from the Index of Deprivation 2007 shows that some rural settlements within Lyne ward (covering the area north of Carlisle towards the Scottish Border) are amongst the most deprived areas in England in terms of geographical barriers to services. Educational standards are below the regional average Addressing worklessness and improving residents’ prospects in the labour market clearly depends to a large extent on raising standards of education and training. Recent data on educational standards and qualifications, however, present a mixed picture. The proportion of pupils achieving five grades A* to C at GCSE was higher in Carlisle (68.6%) compared to Cumbria (66.7%) but below the NW average (70.9%). In the same year, average A level performance compared unfavourably with other areas across a range of different indicators. For example, pupils achieving two or more passes at A level represented 89% of the total in Carlisle compared to 95% in Cumbria and 94.8% in the NW region. Carlisle Key Findings 3 Cumbria Local Economic Assessment November 2010 …. but vary considerably between areas These averages, however, mask considerable variation in educational attainment within Carlisle. In some urban wards to the south of the city centre, (Botcherby, Upperby, Currock) the proportion of pupils achieving five grades A to C at GCSE in 2009 was below 50% while in other areas to the east and north, the figure is over 85% (Great Corby and Geltsdale, Wetherall, Stanix Urban). ….and high level qualifications are less prevalent in the working population The proportion of working age population qualified to NVQ4+ in Carlisle (21.3%) is also lower than the average for Cumbria (25.6%) and the NW region (27%). Attempts to address this issue have focused on the founding of the University of Cumbria in 2008. In 2010, around 1,700 new students enrolled on full time courses in Carlisle bringing the total (including returning students) to 5,100.
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