Workshop on methods to address uncertainty in forecasting future values of key social, economic and resource variables

Revelle Conference Room, 2nd floor, AAAS Building 1200 New York Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20005 March 18-19, 2013

PARTICIPANTS

Inês Azevedo Francisco de la Chesnaye Executive Director, Center for Climate and Senior Economist Energy Decision Making Electric Power Research Institute Assistant Research Professor 2000 L Street, NW – Suite 805 Department of Engineering and Public Policy Washington, DC 20036 Carnegie Mellon University 202-293-6347 5000 Forbes Avenue [email protected] , PA 15213 412-268-3754 Hadi Dowlatabadi [email protected] Canada Research Chair Professor of Applied Mathematics and Global Sam Baldwin Change Chief Science Officer IRES and Liu Institute for Global Issues Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable University of British Columbia Energy 2202 Main Mall Department of Energy Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, CANADA 1000 Independence Avenue, SW 778-863-0103 Washington, DC 20585 [email protected] 202-586-0927 [email protected] Cheryl Eavey Program Director Paul Craig National Science Foundation Professor Emeritus 4201 Wilson Blvd. Department of Applied Science Arlington, VA 22203 University of , Davis 703-292-7269 623 Lafayette Street [email protected] Martinez, CA 94553 925-370-9729 James Edmonds [email protected] Battelle Fellow and Chief Scientist Joint Global Change Research Institute Alexander Davis Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Post-doctoral Researcher 5825 University Research Court Center for Climate and Energy Decision Making Suite 3500 Department of Engineering and Public Policy College Park, MD 20740 Carnegie Mellon University 301-314-6749 5536 Kamin Street, Apartment #14 [email protected] Pittsburgh, PA 15217 412-216-2040 [email protected]

James Ellis Umit Guvenc Admiral, USN (Ret) Research Engineer Institute of Nuclear Power Operations Center for Climate and Energy Decision Making 3150 Shumard Way Department of Engineering and Public Policy Marietta, GA 30064 Carnegie Mellon University 678-270-6299 5000 Forbes Avenue [email protected] Pittsburgh, PA 15213 609-651-2698 Gérard Escher [email protected] Senor Advisor to the President Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne Max Henrion (EPFL) CEO Station 1, 1015 Lausanne Lumina Decision Systems 011 41 79 217 58 21 408-335-4658 [email protected] [email protected]

Paul Fischbeck Anthony Janetos Professor Senior Scientist Department of Social and Decision Sciences Joint Global Change Research Institute Department of Engineering and Public Policy Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Carnegie Mellon University 5825 University Research Court 5000 Forbes Avenue Suite 3500 Pittsburgh, PA 15213 College Park, MD 20740 412-268-3240 571-235-8520 [email protected] [email protected]

Baruch Fischhoff Robert Lempert Howard Heinz University Professor Senior Scientist Department of Social and Decision Sciences RAND Corporation Department of Engineering and Public Policy 1776 Main Street Carnegie Mellon University Santa Monica, CA 90401 5000 Forbes Avenue 310-213-9624 Pittsburgh, PA 15213 [email protected] 412-268-3246 [email protected] M. Granger Morgan Lord Chair Professor of Engineering Robert Fri Head and Professor Visiting Scholar Department of Engineering and Public Policy Resources for the Future Carnegie Mellon University 4940 Sentinel Drive 5000 Forbes Avenue Apartment 406 Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Bethesda, MD 20816 412-268-2672 301-229-3543 [email protected] [email protected] Richard Moss Howard Gruenspecht Senior Scientist Deputy Administrator Joint Global Change Research Institute U.S. Energy Information Administration Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Department of Energy 5825 University Research Court 1000 Independence Avenue, SW Suite 3500 Washington, DC 20585 College Park, MD 20740 202-586-6351 301-314-6711 [email protected] [email protected]

Nebojsa Nakicenovic Jen Snyder (talk via remotely) Deputy Director Principal International Institute for Applied Systems Wood Mackenzie Analysis (IIASA) 30 Rowes Wharf Schlossplatz 1 Boston, MA 02110 A-2361 Laxenburg, AUSTRIA [email protected] 011 43-676-83807-411 [email protected] PARTICIPANTS (REMOTELY) Paul Parfomak Specialist in Energy & Infrastructure Denise Caruso Congressional Research Service Senior Research Scholar 101 Independence Avenue, SE Department of Engineering and Public Policy Washington, DC 20540-7000 Carnegie Mellon University 202-707-0030 5000 Forbes Avenue [email protected] Pittsburgh, PA 15213 412-268-3001 Elisabeth Pate-Cornell [email protected] Professor Burt and Deedee McMurtry Professor of Michael Griffin Engineering Associate Research Professor Department of Management Science and Department of Engineering and Public Policy Engineering Tepper School of Business 110 Coquito Way Carnegie Mellon University Portola Valley, CA 94028 5000 Forbes Avenue 650-387-3952 Pittsburgh, PA 15213 [email protected] 412-268-2299 [email protected] Adrian Raftery (talk via remotely) Professor of Statistics and Sociology Mitchell Small Department of Statistics H. John Heinz Professor University of Washington Department of Civil and Environmental Box 354320 Engineering Seattle, WA 98195 Department of Engineering and Public Policy 206-543-4505 Carnegie Mellon University [email protected] 5000 Forbes Avenue Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Edward Rubin 412-268-8782 The Alumni Chair Professor of Environmental [email protected] Engineering and Science Department of Engineering and Public Policy Department of Mechanical Engineering Carnegie Mellon University 5000 Forbes Avenue Pittsburgh, PA 15213 412-268-5897 [email protected]

Vanessa Schweizer Postgraduate Scientist National Center for Atmospheric Research P.O. Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307 720-260-4577 [email protected] – OVER –

ADMINISTRATIVE STAFF:

Korin Sharp Office Director Department of Engineering and Public Policy Carnegie Mellon University 1200 New York Avenue, NW – GL-172 Washington, DC 20005 202-326-6238 [email protected]

Patti Steranchak Assistant to Granger Morgan Department of Engineering and Public Policy Carnegie Mellon University 5000 Forbes Avenue Pittsburgh, PA 15213 412-268-1085 [email protected]