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Residents of Moldova Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova September 11-October 16, 2018 Detailed Methodology • The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. The fieldwork was carried out by Magenta Consulting. • Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 11 and October 16, 2018 through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,503 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is representative of the general population by gender, region and settlement size. • Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural and gender. • A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection procedures. • Stage one: All districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria) were surveyed. • Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages). • Settlements were selected at random. • The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the particular type of settlement in each region. • Stage three: Primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent for the full sample. • The response rate was 68 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development. 2 Mood of the Country Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer 90% 83% 82% 79% 78% 80% 73% 74% 73% 71% 69% 70% 66% 61% 58% 57% 58% 62% 60% 55% 54% 54% 53% 51% 47% 45% 50% 51% 47% 42% 40% 38% 38% 41% 40% 42% 41% 32% 37% 30% 34% 33% 32% 33% 30% 31% 20% 27% 19% 26% 24% 24% 22% 21% 13% 11% 9% 17% 10% 16% 10% 14% 15% 14% 15% 14% 5% 5% 12% 13% 12% 10% 11% 11% 1% 5% 8% 9% 8% 8% 6% 7% 0% 5% 6% Apr-06 Apr-08 Jan-12 Oct-15 Oct-17 Oct-18 Jun-09 Jun-14 Jun-18 Sep-10 Sep-14 Sep-16 Mar-04 Mar-07 Mar-16 Mar-17 Feb-10 Feb-11 Feb-18 Aug-11 Dec-11 Nov-04 Nov-08 Nov-09 May-10 *In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is often referred to as “the stolen billion.” **In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round contest on November 13, 2016. 4 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? (continued) (Disaggregated by settlement type) Right direction Wrong direction Don’t know/No answer Chisinau 29% 68% 3% (N=315) Urban communities (not including Chisinau) 25% 68% 7% (N=356) Rural communities 21% 73% 6% (N=831) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 5 Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today? I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast No change is taking place Don’t know/No answer October 2018 7% 49% 7% 35% 2% June 2018 7% 52% 7% 32% 2% February 2018 5% 44% 6% 42% 2% October 2017 4% 48% 7% 39% 2% March 2017 10% 45% 9% 33% 3% September 2016 3% 38% 7% 49% 3% March 2016 4% 31% 15% 46% 4% October 2015 1% 30% 15% 50% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 6 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer October 2018 2% 18% 41% 23% 13% 4% June 2018 1% 18% 45% 22% 10% 4% February 2018 1% 16% 42% 24% 14% 3% October 2017 15% 45% 21% 16% 3% March 2017 1% 16% 35% 29% 15% 3% September 2016 1%6% 25% 30% 35% 3% March 2016 1%6% 23% 32% 36% 2% October 2015 4% 16% 34% 42% 4% September 2014 6% 22% 24% 21% 19% 7% June 2014 4% 20% 33% 23% 14% 6% January 2012 2% 13% 31% 28% 22% 4% December 2011 2% 15% 20% 31% 29% 3% August 2011 5% 23% 34% 17% 18% 3% February 2011 3% 25% 27% 22% 18% 5% September 2010 5% 18% 28% 26% 17% 6% May 2010 2% 14% 30% 30% 19% 5% February 2010 2% 11% 24% 38% 21% 4% November 2009 2% 8% 34% 39% 10% 7% June 2009 1% 9% 22% 42% 20% 5% November 2008 2% 20% 30% 28% 15% 5% April 2008 2% 13% 30% 29% 20% 6% March 2007 4% 24% 32% 27% 10% 4% April 2006 3% 24% 36% 27% 5% 5% November 2004 5% 26% 37% 22% 6% 4% March 2004 3% 23% 37% 25% 9% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 7 Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer October 2018 1% 13% 54% 23% 9% June 2018 1% 16% 56% 17% 8% 2% February 2018 1% 12% 53% 23% 9% 2% October 2017 12% 56% 19% 12% 1% March 2017 1% 11% 53% 23% 10% 2% September 2016 1% 7% 42% 24% 23% 2% March 2016 1% 5% 32% 33% 27% 2% October 2015 4% 24% 33% 35% 4% September 2014 4% 21% 38% 19% 15% 3% June 2014 2% 18% 45% 24% 9% 2% Janauary 2012 2% 10% 41% 29% 15% 3% December 2011 1% 13% 39% 28% 17% 2% August 2011 4% 18% 43% 18% 14% 3% February 2011 1% 16% 34% 31% 15% 3% September 2010 4% 14% 36% 29% 14% 4% May 2010 1% 11% 42% 29% 15% 2% February 2010 1% 8% 36% 36% 16% 4% November 2009 1%7% 46% 34% 9% 3% June 2009 1% 9% 32% 36% 17% 5% November 2008 1% 15% 39% 27% 14% 4% April 2008 2% 11% 37% 25% 16% 9% March 2007 3% 19% 41% 23% 9% 5% April 2006 2% 25% 44% 22% 5%1% November 2004 4% 23% 47% 20% 5%1% March 2004 2% 16% 48% 22% 10% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 8 In your opinion, how will the economic situation of Moldova change in the next 12 months? Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer October 2018 2% 19% 37% 17% 8% 17% June 2018 2% 28% 35% 14% 6% 15% February 2018 2% 24% 35% 18% 7% 14% October 2017 1% 20% 42% 14% 8% 15% March 2017 4% 27% 32% 19% 7% 11% September 2016 1% 13% 35% 20% 17% 14% March 2016 2% 14% 34% 21% 19% 10% October 2015 1% 6% 21% 30% 32% 10% September 2014 11% 27% 24% 11% 12% 15% June 2014 6% 24% 29% 17% 7% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 9 What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) Low income/Pensions 38% Corruption 29% Unemployment 27% Emigration 21% High prices/Inflation 11% Poverty 10% Roads 10% Bad government 9% Economic crisis 9% Healthcare 4% Political crisis 4% Bad politicians 3% Education 3% Low standard of living 3% Citizen indifference 3% "The stolen billion" 3% Social assistance 2% Expensive utilities/Housing 2% Instability in the country 2% Crime 2% Ineffective laws 2% Uncertainty regarding the future 2% Lack of exports 2% Expensive medicines 2% Conflicts between politicians 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 10 What are the most important problems facing your village/town at the moment? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) Roads 41% Unemployment 22% Cleanliness 10% Emigration 9% Lack of sanitation or sewerage 9% Low income/Pensions 9% Water supply 6% Insufficient street lighting 6% Bad mayor 6% Lack of public transport 5% Poor conditions at schools/Kindergartens 5% Expensive utilities/Housing 4% High prices/Inflation 4% Gas supply 4% Traffic jams 3% Healthcare system 3% Corruption 3% Infrastructure 3% Lack of cultural centers and activities 2% Social assistance 2% Citizen indifference 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 11 What are the most important problems facing you and your household? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers) Low income/Financial problems 50% Unemployment 12% Health problems 11% Emigration 8% High prices/Inflation 5% Expensive utilities/Housing 4% Poverty 4% No firewood 4% Poor social assistance 3% Loneliness 3% House needs to be repaired 3% Expensive medicines 3% No place to sell our products 2% Water supply 1% Low standard of living 1% Family problems 1% No trash utilities 1% Lack of sanitation or sewerage 1% Roads 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 12 How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer October 2018 2% 24% 32% 39% 3% June 2018 2% 23% 33% 39% 2% February 2018 2% 20% 31% 43% 4% October 2017 1% 17% 33% 44% 5% March 2017 2% 24% 34% 37% 3% September 2016 2% 12% 26% 54% 6% March 2016 3% 11% 22% 58% 6% October 2015 1%7% 23% 66% 3% September 2014 9% 31% 26% 26% 7% June 2014 4% 41% 30% 16% 9% January 2012 1% 18% 43% 27% 11% December 2011 3% 23% 36% 29% 9% August 2011 5% 25% 39% 22% 9% February 2011 3% 29% 36% 21% 10% September 2010 5% 23% 41% 24% 8% May 2010 2% 27% 40% 21% 10% February 2010 4% 22% 37% 27% 10% November 2009 3% 27% 37% 20% 14% June 2009 1% 16% 41% 25% 17% November 2008 2% 21% 42% 20% 15% April 2008 2% 17% 41% 24% 16% March 2007 5% 21% 41% 18% 15% April 2006 1% 25% 43% 14% 17% November 2004 2% 26% 44% 14% 14% March 2004 2% 24% 44% 17% 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 13 Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view? Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change) Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order Don't know/No answer October 2018 71% 16% 9% 4% June 2018 71% 17% 9% 3% February 2018 68% 19% 10% 3% October 2017 61% 17% 17% 5%
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