THAMES ESTUARY LEVELLING up DATA ATLAS Understanding Inequalities Across the Thames Estuary’S Communities
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THAMES ESTUARY LEVELLING UP DATA ATLAS Understanding inequalities across the Thames Estuary’s communities. Commissioned by the Thames Estuary Growth Board, May 2021. WE’RE IN A GOOD PLACE. JOIN US. The role of the Thames Estuary Growth Board in levelling up the region “Redressing social inequalities and imbalances is at the heart of what the Thames Estuary Growth Board is trying to achieve. To do this, we must first understand what the social inequalities and imbalances are: who they affect, where they are most prominent, how severe the issue is. Understanding at each stage the people at the heart of these issues. Then, we can address these inequalities and come up with practical solutions that truly work for all the people of the Estuary.” Kate Willard OBE, Estuary Envoy and Chair of the Thames Estuary Growth Board The brief The Thames Estuary Growth Board recognises the need for Contents future growth to be inclusive in its approach, and for investment to be targeted at creating jobs and enhancing prosperity in the 1. Defining Levelling Up for the Thames parts of the Estuary that need it most. Estuary – slide 4 Reflecting this, the Growth Board commissioned research to 2. Headline Findings – slide 8 define what levelling up means for the Thames Estuary and where the region and its places stand now. The research 3. The Data – slide 13 presented in the Data Atlas will inform the refreshed Thames Estuary Growth Board strategy, activities and investments going Glossary of Key Terms forward so growth benefits reach across our communities. TE Thames Estuary This research aims to sit alongside and complement the Growth LSOA Lower Super Output Area (the smallest statistical geography) Board’s existing ‘Measuring Success Framework’ and provides MSOA Middle Super Output Area (the 2nd smallest statistical an initial evidence base to inform longer term approaches to geography) evidence collection and sharing by the Growth Board. IMD Index of Multiple Deprivation This research has been undertaken by PRD – a consultancy GVA Gross Value Added specialising in place based socio-economic research and ONS Office of National Statistics strategy. MHCLG Ministry of Housing, Communities & Local Government DWP Department for Work and Pensions 1. DEFINING LEVELLING UP IN THE THAMES ESTUARY WE’RE IN A GOOD PLACE. JOIN US. Defining the Thames Estuary There is no formal boundary for the Thames Estuary. However, for the purposes of this research, we have focused on a core ‘Thames Estuary’ geography which comprises 20 local authority areas neighbouring the River Thames. The geography stretches from Tower Hamlets and Lewisham in the west, to Rochford and Thanet in the east. Map Key: 1. Barking & 11. Lewisham Dagenham 12. Medway 2. Basildon 13. Newham 3. Bexley 14. Redbridge 4. Brentford 15. Rochford 5. Canterbury 16. Southend-On- 6. Castle Point Sea 7. Dartford 17. Swale 8. Gravesham 18. Thanet 9. Greenwich 19. Thurrock 10. Havering 20. Tower Hamlets What do we mean by Levelling Up? There is no formal government definition of levelling up, and in The Thames Estuary Growth Board’s many respects, levelling up will mean different things in different Measuring Success Framework places and contexts. 1. Economic The Thames Estuary Growth Board’s Measuring Success Prosperity The Density and Framework focuses on the need to take a balanced approach Productivity of when thinking about future growth and prosperity across the the Economy Estuary, balancing economic, social, environmental and financial considerations. Long Term This full prosperity ‘spectrum’ is equally relevant when thinking 2. Social Aim: 3. Environmental about levelling up: the Thames Estuary’s ability to maximise its Prosperity Thames Estuary Prosperity converging with, contribution to national objectives while also responding to Prosperity and The Resilience and personal and then Sustainable of the highly localised variations in performance and outcomes will be outcomes of exceeding, Natural influenced by a range of economic, social, environmental and Individuals national Environment averages commercial factors. However, to provide a starting point in what is clearly a complex 4. Financial topic across a large and complex geography, this initial piece of Prosperity research focuses explicitly on social prosperity: the inequalities Value and Returns to the facing the Estuary’s residents and communities. Public Purse 10 indicators to help understand inequalities in the Thames Estuary region A small number of indicators was Indicator Measures Why it has been included a) % LSOAs in top 10% most deprived (IMD) To understand poverty across the estuary and 1. Overall Deprivation identified to help understand social b) % children living in low-income households where deprivation is concentrated outcomes and inequalities in a Sheds light on the extent to which local people are a) Household income after housing costs 2. Financial Prosperity sharing in value created in the local economy and consistent way across the Estuary, b) Housing affordability ratio are able to afford to live in the area and across a range of scales. a) Claimant count as % of working age To understand whether residents are accessing b) Employment rate 3. Economic Participation economic opportunities and the inequality between c) Gap in employment rate between ethnic different ethnic groups in the Estuary These indicators – and related groups To understand whether residents have the measures – are summarised in the 4. Labour Market Skills % working age with no qualifications qualifications to engage in high value jobs table to the right. All of the a) % in employment, education or training To understand whether young people have b) % school leavers going to university measures draw on publicly 5. Youth Participation sufficient opportunities and pathways as to access c) % disadvantaged school leavers going to employment, training and education opportunities accessible information from university government datasets, with a focus a) Life expectancy at birth 6. Health and Wellbeing b) Inactivity levels Health and wellbeing outcomes are closely linked to on those which provide relatively up Outcomes c) Mental health prevalence deprivation and wider challenges around prosperity to date information at local authority d) Life Satisfaction Reflects the types of jobs and sectors in the area 7. Workplace Productivity Gross Value Added per job level or lower. and how much value these create % premises with access to superfast and Poor digital accessibility can be a key barrier for 8. Digital Infrastructure ultrafast broadband participation in the economy Civic participation is key to creating successful, 9. Civic Participation Local election voter turnout prosperous places a) % residents furloughed To understand the impact that covid has had on the 10. Covid Impact b) Increase in claimant count due to the levelling up challenge pandemic 2. HEADLINE FINDINGS WE’RE IN A GOOD PLACE. JOIN US. Inequality in the Estuary at a glance While the research finds a number challenges which are ‘pan-Estuary’, there is also significant variation in the nature and severity of challenges experienced by different parts of the Estuary. Thames Estuary (TE) London, for example, is characterised by lower levels of life satisfaction, significant mental health challenges and the pandemic has had a greater impact on economic hardship. Outside London, relative multiple deprivation is more localised, but arguably more severe; other challenges include low productivity, weaknesses in civic participation and weaker pathways for young people after school into university. Examples of Key Challenges Facing: The Whole Estuary • Economic participation - people claiming government support • Residents with no qualifications • House price affordability • Low levels of physical activity TE London • Relatively widespread deprivation • Children living in low-income households • High prevalence of mental health disorders • Lower levels of life satisfaction • Higher proportion of workers on furlough • Increases in claimant count due to Covid • Gap between employment rate in different ethnic groups TE Kent and Essex • Pockets of most severe deprivation • Low productivity • Limited pathways for young people and disadvantaged young people into university after school. Weakest Best performing performing Top 10 levelling up stats Brentwood, England, Thames Barking & Dagenham, 0% 30% Estuary, 36% 83% 1. Deprivation: 36% of LSOAs in the Thames Estuary are in the top 30% most deprived. Lewisham, England, Thames Gravesham, 13% 4% 7% Estuary, 8% 2. Qualifications: 8% of the working age population in the Thames Estuary have no qualifications. This means over 29,000 people would need to gain qualifications in the Thames Estuary to reach the England average (7%). Brentwood, England, Thames Tower Hamlets, 3. Children in poverty: a higher proportion of children live in low-income 11% 18% Estuary, 20% 27% households in the Thames Estuary (20%) than England average (18%). Almost 12,700 children would need to be lifted out of poverty across the Estuary to meet the England average. 4. Claimant count: the Thames Estuary has a notably higher claimant rate (8% Rochford, England, Thames Newham, of working age) than the England average (6%). Over 36,600 people in the 4% 6% Estuary, 8% 11% Thames Estuary would need to stop claiming to reach the England average. 5. Inactivity levels: 29% of the population in the Thames Estuary are active for less than 30 mins per week compared to 25% in England Canterbury,