Isaias Gabriel António Raiva National Meteorological
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CENTRE AFRICAIN POUR LES APPLICATIONS AFRICAN CENTRE OF METEOROLOGICAL DE LA METEOROLOGIE AU DEVELOPPEMENT APPLICATIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT Institution Africaine parrainée par la CEA et l‟OMM African Institution under the aegis of UNECA and WMO INSTITUTIONAL SUPPORT TO AFRICAN CLIMATE INSTITUTIONS PROJECT ISACIP/AFRICLIMSERV Donation FAD n° 2100155016866 Projet N° : P-Z1-CZ0-003 ON JOB TRAINING REPORT CLIMATE AND ENVIRONNEMENT DEPARTMENT ACMAD From 28th SEPTEMBER 2012 to 26th JANUARY 2013 By: Isaias Gabriel António Raiva Meteorologist National Meteorological Institute of Mozambique - INAM Rua da Mukumbura 164 – Maputo - Mozambique P. O. Box 256 – Maputo; Tel/Fax +258 21491150 Email: [email protected] / [email protected] Cellphone: +258 848167524 January 22, 2013 Table of Contents Page 1.ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ........................................................................................................... ii 2.ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................................ iii 3. INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 1 3. THEORETICAL REVIEW ........................................................................................................ 3 3.1.Climate of Africa .................................................................................................................. 3 4. OPERATIONAL APPLICATIONS OF CONCEPTS AND TOOLS ...................................... 18 4.1.Dekadal Bulletin ................................................................................................................. 18 4.2 Monthly Bulletin ................................................................................................................. 19 4.3 Climate & health Bulletin ................................................................................................... 20 4.4.Lessons, weaknesses and suggested solutions on bulletins production .............................. 20 4.5. Schedule of operational activities ...................................................................................... 21 4.6. Climatological mean thirty years data reference period .................................................... 22 4.7. Collecting ITD, CAB & ITCZ data ................................................................................... 22 4.8. Importing Mozambican data (from Excel to Climsoft) ..................................................... 23 4.9. Long Range Forecast (JFM/FMA-2013) for Africa .......................................................... 23 4.10. WMO assessment for Africa seasonal forecast Verification. .......................................... 24 5. CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................... 25 6. RECOMMENDATION ............................................................................................................ 26 7.REFERENCES .......................................................................................................................... 27 8. ANNEX..................................................................................................................................... 28 i 1.ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I am grateful to the Director General of the African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD), Adama Alhassane DIALLO, Hon Mohammed KADI, Actg. Secretary General of ACMAD, Heads of Departments and staff of ACMAD for granting me the opportunity of four (4) months comprehensive training in climate and environment. I also acknowledgment with profound gratitude the National Meteorological Institute of Mozambique (INAM) and the National Director Dr. Moisés Benessene, for my nomination and granting me four (4) months study-leave to acquire professional knowledge and skills at ACMAD, Niamey- Niger. With much delight also, I am pleased to acknowledge the Head of the Department of Climate and Environment, Dr. Andre F. Kamga and administrative role of the Actg. I also want to salute my good friend, Mr. Mbaiguedem Miambaye, under whose expert professional supervision I have acquired the knowledge of developing operational products. He taught me the procedure of downloading data for climatological mean of thirty years reference period to compare current dekadal situation with reference period, analysis of the pressure systems and the troposphere using anomaly maps . Without him my work would have been impossible. Also, to Dr. Leonard N. Njau, i express my gratitude for his instructions in providing guidance on technical analysis of data and text preparation, including his fatherly advice, encouraging me to work harder. To Mr. Albert Mhanda, i wish to mention that without his contribution my work would have been incomplete. I am grateful to him. My special thanks go to Madam TIDJANI Nafissa, Human Resource and Finance Directress at ACMAD who served as a mother to me during my training period. I am indebted to the Forecasting Department at ACMAD for providing me daily ITCZ data. I wish to register my gratitude to Mrs. Fatou Sima, my best friend and college on job training, including her friendly advice. Finally, I wish to register also my appreciation to Dr. Laurent Labbe for providing me material about weather and climate of Africa. ii 2.ABSTRACT The final Report on Job training focuses on job train program activities which started from 28th September 2012 at ACMAD. During this period, theoretical concepts on African climate variability, introduction to climate monitoring tools; introduction to Excel and surfer for statistical analysis of climate data and visualization; Introduction to production of dekadal, monthly climate and climate&health bulletins, general review of climate variability with documents available at ACMAD and Introduction to climate data management, using ACCESS, MYSQL data base management systems and climsoft data base application, for importing climate data from excel to climsoft. The total of ten (10) dekadal climate monitoring bulletins, three (3) monthly climate monitoring bulletin, three (3) climate & health, one (1) long range forecast for January to March/February to April, and one (1 ) presentation about collecting and creating database for Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) were produced. A climate database with Min, Max Temperature and precipitation daily data for 31 stations in Mozambique from 1979-2009 was developed. Bulletins were produced by following operational procedures using URLs for data collection. Data generated are processed using operational tool such as surfer to produce maps for analysis and text preparation giving actual unfolding scenarios of dekadal and monthly bulletins. These bulletins have shown the meteorological and climatological evolution over the Africa. iii 3. INTRODUCTION The report on the Job training is a requirement of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between African Centre of Meteorological Applications to Development (ACMAD) and National Meteorological Institute of Mozambique (INAM). In keeping with the Memorandum of Understanding No. 014/PROT/ACMAD/2012 signed between ACMAD and INAM, the INAM agreed to make me available to ACMAD on Job Training for the period of four months in the Department of Climate and Environment from 28th September 2012 to 26h January 2013, under the Institutional Support to African Climate Institutions Project (ISACIP/AfriClimServ) funded by the African Development Bank. ACMAD is a continental institution of reference in meteorology, climate and environment. It aims to serve sustainable development of Africa with weather and climate applications over all geographic scales: continental, sub-regional and national. There had been concern of the lack of appropriate information on climate and policies to effectively use this information make Africa very vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change, which hinders the promotion of economic development planning. To address this scenario, the ClimDevAfrica programme is conceive by the African Union Commission (AUC), the Economic Commission of Africa (ECA) and the African Development Bank (ADB). It involves capacity building on climate monitoring in Africa. Initially, the programme envisages strengthening of capacities of regional and sub-regional organizations which are ACMAD, AGRHYMET, ICPAC, DMC, through the project AfriClimServ. This project, funded by the African Development Bank, is carried out for three years on the proposed programme of activities by the institutions and endorsed by the ADB, ACMAD, with its mandate across the continent, plays the role of implementing agency for this project. As part of this programme, relating to capacity building project ISAPIC/AfriClimServ, and in effect of contribution to increase the critical mass of meteorologists/climatologists of high level. ACMAD has underscored the importance of capacity building through “Training-Activities” staff of “junior staff” in National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) in Africa. This training activity is already one of the strategies of ACMAD for strengthening human capacities of NMHSs and users. This is one of the comparative advantages of the institution. The objectives of ACMAD as earlier referenced, “capacity building of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services through on job training “ to develop the critical mass of personnel to 1 be capable of integrating new technologies