Q2 Manhattan Report-2014 B.Indd
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Battery Park City Beekman Carnegie Hill Central Park South Chelsea Flatiron Clinton East Harlem East Village Financial District Gramercy Greenwich Village Hamilton Heights Morningside Heights Harlem Inwood Chinatown Lower East Side Midtown East Midtown West Murray Hill Roosevelt Island SoHo/Nolita Sutton Area TriBeCa Upper East Side Upper West Side Washington Heights West Village The Corcoran Report Battery Park City Beekman Carnegie Hill Central Park South Chelsea Flatiron Clinton East Harlem East Village Financial District Gramercy Greenwich Village Hamilton Heights Manhattan Morningside Heights Harlem Inwood Chinatown Lower East Side Midtown East Midtown West Murray Hill Nolita Roosevelt Island SoHo Sutton TriBeCa Upper East Side Upper West Side Washington Heights West Village The Corcoran Report 2nd Quarter 2014 Battery Park City Beekman Carnegie Hill Central Park South Chelsea Flatiron Clinton East Harlem East Village Financial District Gramercy Greenwich Village A comprehensive analysis of the residential Hamilton Heights Manhattan real estate market in Manhattan. Morningside Heights Harlem Inwood Chinatown Lower The Corcoran Report Page 2 2nd Quarter 2014 Welcome to the Corcoran Report, our quarterly examination of Manhattan’s residential real estate market. This report uses market-wide data based on transactions that closed in the Second Quarter 2014 (April 1 through June 30) and compares them to closings that took place last quarter and during the same quarter last year. Closings typically occur eight-to-twelve weeks after a contract is signed in the resale market but can occur several years later for new developments. For that reason, the sales activity discussed trails actual market conditions. A continued shortage of properties for sale and the restoration of prices to their pre-2008 levels resulted in a slower pace of sales in Second Quarter 2014 compared to last year’s white-hot market. Closed sales were 10% below Second Quarter 2013 but, typical for the spring season, rose in comparison to the First Quarter by 11%. Similarly, signed contracts decreased 22% versus last year, but increased 11% from last quarter. Overall, the market-wide cost for Manhattan’s homes increased 20% in average sale price, 6% in median sale price, and 15% in average price per square foot versus Second Quarter 2013. The average price per square foot reached $1,286 this quarter, a new peak. Robust price appreciation occurred most notably in the new development market. The average sale price for a new development was up 63% versus Second Quarter 2013, the median sale price rose 16% as average price per square foot increased 31% to $1,803, and product that came online this quarter was larger than in the past. New developments represented only 7% of market-wide closings this quarter, but drove some of the biggest price gains. The resale market also enjoyed price appreciation. The price per square foot for resale co-ops topped $1,000 for the first time at $1,019, a 16% increase year-over-year. Resale condo price per square foot similarly rose by 14% to $1,460. Price growth occurred in all unit sizes, with year-over-year median sale price growth generally higher among two- and three-bedroom units. Although inventory continues to be very low with just 5,912 properties currently for sale, more listings have begun to enter the market than in previous quarters. Second Quarter 2014’s inventory rose 7% from the First Quarter, the second straight quarter of inventory gains. Total listings were just 2% below last year’s figure, a small decline compared to the past eight quarters of double digit annual inventory decline. However, available inventory has shifted toward more expensive units; versus last year, inventory under $1 million is down from 50% to 41% of total inventory. If you have any questions regarding your specific needs, Corcoran agents are here to help you navigate the current market with expert knowledge and exceptional service. For a digital copy of this report and more information on the New York real estate market please visit our website at www.corcoran.com/nyc/Advice. Sincerely, Pamela Liebman Chief Executive Officer The following members of the The Corcoran Group made significant contributions to this report: Rebecca Disbrow I Douglas LaMere I Kathleen Mejia I Ryan Schleis I Joshua Sachs I Brie Train The following members of the PropertyShark team made significant contributions to this report: Matthew Haines I Lavinia Husar I Bodor Kalman I Robert Raiz I Mihai Palermo The Corcoran Report is compiled using market-wide data aggregated by PropertyShark, an independent research firm. The Corcoran Report Page 3 2nd Quarter 2014 View all our current market reports at www.corcoran.com/nyc/Advice Market Trends The Manhattan residential market is stable as inventory recovers from its trough and increasing new developments enter the market. Despite a Uptown lower number of sales this quarter, price growth New developments currently in occurred in all submarkets year-over-year, with closing in this market are at lower some very signifi cant gains. Page 4 price points than were in closings last year, driving down the new development averages. Resale West Side condo price per square foot was up 10% and co-ops were up 14% Closings at One57 caused versus last year. Page 16 signifi cant new development price gains on the West Side; new development median price is up 88% versus last year. Resale median prices were up 13% and 14% respectively for condos and co-ops. Page 12 East Side The East Side posted large gains across the board with very signifi cant price growth in the new development market. Midtown Larger units saw bigger price gains. New developments Midtown prices held somewhat currently on the market saw steadier than other submarkets many of their smaller units this quarter. Average price per sell out quickly in previous square foot and median price quarters. Page 11 rose between 6% and 18% for resale condos and co-ops. Resale condos in midtown saw the largest annual one-bedroom median price Downtown growth of any submarket. Few new developments are currently in Resale median price in the condo closings. Page 13 and co-op markets both increased by 6%. At $5.250MM, median price for a three bedroom resale condo is the highest market-wide. Financial District New development numbers were and Battery Park City tempered by a high volume of lower priced sales, which kept averages Signifi cantly fewer new developments lower this quarter. Page 14 closed this quarter in the Financial District and Battery Park City, making up less than 20% of all submarket sales, compared to nearly 50% in Second Quarter 2013. Resale average, average price per square foot and median price all increased by double digits year-over-year. Page 15 Average price per square foot (SF): Above $2,500 SF $2,000 - $2,500 SF Interactive map online at Number of sales $1,500 - $2,000 SF per building: $1,250 - $1,500 SF PropertyShark.com’s map of $1,000 - $1,250 SF Manhattan plots sales in the First Above 20 Units $750 - $1,000 SF Quarter according to the number 10 to 20 Units $500 - $750 SF of sales and their respective prices 3 to 9 Units Below $500 SF propertyshark.com/maps per square foot. 1 to 2 Units No SF Available The Corcoran Report Page 4 2nd Quarter 2014 Manhattan Market-wide Sales - Closings There were 3,781 closed sales during Second Quarter 2014, 10% lower than the number of sales in Second Quarter 2013. They were up, however, 11% versus last quarter, a typical seasonal change. Compared to the past five-years, closings are still 10% above the average. Closed Sales Average 5,000 4,500 4,000 s 3,500 3,000 2,500 of Closed Sale 2,000 mber Nu 1,500 1,000 500 0 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 4Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q11 3Q12 2Q13 1Q12 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 2Q12 Sales - Contracts Signed Contract signed figures are derived from the number of listings reported as in contract during the quarter. Most of these contracts will close eight to twelve weeks later, often in the following quarter. However, with the return of a new development pre-sale market, contracts may close as many as three years after signing. The number of contracts signed offers a more immediate measure of the market. With 3,593 contracts signed, Second Quarter was down 22% versus last year. Condo units made up just 40% of signed contracts, the lowest market share since Second Quarter 2009, and saw a 31% year-over-year decrease. Total Second Quarter 2014 contracts signed were up 11% versus First Quarter. Compared to the last five years, total contracts signed this Quarter was still 23% above the average and was the strongest quarter in the pastyear. Condo Contracts Co-op Contracts Average 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 of Contracts Signed mber 2,000 Nu 1,500 1,000 500 0 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 2Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 1Q10 1Q12 2Q14 3Q12 4Q12 3Q09 4Q09 4Q13 1Q14 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 * Current quarter sales figures are estimated based on the number of sales as of report preparation plus the typical number of sales reported after publication. 1 The Corcoran Report Page 5 2nd Quarter 2014 Manhattan Market-wide Inventory - Total and New Listings Manhattan inventory appears to be climbing again after hitting a low during Fourth Quarter 2013; both the First and Second Quarters of 2014 showed quarter-over-quarter inventory gains. With 5,912 active listings this quarter was 7% above last quarter and just 2% below Second Quarter 2013.