Seale & Associates
Seale & Associates Creative Solutions. Trusted Advice. SUPERMARKET INDUSTRY Q1 2020 VALUATION UPDATE SUPERMARKETS INDUSTRY – VALUATION UPDATE “Industry valuation multiples have varied significantly due to the recent market dislocation caused by COVID-19’s global pandemic. We present below valuation multiples before the market disruption (February 19, 2020) as well as the latest available as of the publication date of this report” CURRENT MARKET SITUATION PUBLIC COMPARABLE COMPANIES – GLOBAL Enterprise Avg. Anual EV / Pre Crisis Post Crisis Market Cap Revenues EBITDA Company Country Value EBITDA Feb. 19, 2020 Apr. 17, 2020 US$M US$M Margin EV / EV / EV / EV / US$M 2018 2019 EBITDA Revenue EBITDA Revenue Wamart, Inc. USA $374,200 $444,747 $523,964 6.3% 9.7x 11.3x 11.6x 0.8x 12.3x 0.8x Woolworths Group AUS $29,956 $40,567 $43,032 7.2% 10.9x 12.0x 14.5x 1.0x 12.7x 1.0x Limited Koninklijke Ahold NLD $25,993 $38,606 $74,042 6.4% 6.5x 8.0x 6.8x 0.6x 6.6x 0.5x Delhaize N.V. The Kroger Co. USA $24,838 $45,607 $122,286 4.4% 7.2x 7.2x 7.5x 0.4x 7.3x 0.4x Aeon Co., Ltd. JPN $17,283 $37,032 $79,422 5.9% 8.5x 8.0x 8.5x 0.5x 7.8x 0.5x Carrefour SA FRA $12,148 $28,008 $82,949 4.7% 7.1x 7.6x 8.1x 0.4x 5.9x 0.3x Dairy Farm Int. Holdings HKG $6,696 $10,853 $11,192 5.2% 16.8x 17.5x 17.0x 1.0x 7.1x 1.0x Limited Sun Art Retail Group HKG $14,770 $14,299 $13,695 7.9% 9.2x 8.3x 12.2x 0.9x 11.0x 1.0x Limited Shoprite Holdings RSA $3,481 $4,804 $11,099 5.2% 12.2x 11.0x 9.0x 0.5x 11.1x 0.6x Limited J Sainsbury plc GBR $5,563 $13,480 $36,198 3.5% 6.9x 6.5x 11.0x 0.4x 10.9x 0.4x Public Joint Stock RUS $4,255 $11,425 $22,045 6.2% 6.5x 7.8x 9.4x 0.6x 6.7x 0.6x Company Magnit X5 Retail Group N.V.
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