Pro $9.95 FootbaLL PASS Week 15: DEC 15-19

MILE HIGH

NY JETS at SHOWDOWN PHILADELPHIA TOM BRADY vs Gang Green looks to keep its playoff The Patriots and Broncos hopes alive. face each other in a battle of AFC division leaders BALTIMORE at SAN DIEGO The Ravens head west for a key game in their quest for a top playoff seed.

pittsburgh at SAN FRANCISCO Two of the NFL’s best and most physical teams battle in the Bay. more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om THURSday, 8:20 p.m. JACKSONVILLE JAGUArS (+11) at The Jaguars try to maintain their newfound offensive firepower when they visit the Falcons. Jacksonville scored 41 unanswered points ver- sus Tampa Bay last Sunday as Maurice Jones- Drew totaled 136 yards and four scores. Atlanta, 6-2 Straight Up in its past eight games, has gener- ally taken care of business against the also-rans this year, going 5-1 SU (3-2-1 Against The Spread) against teams that currently have losing records. But the Jags are 2-0-1 ATS as a double-digit un- derdog in 2011. And although the Falcons have a strong run defense this year, they have allowed

Jaguars RB Maurice Jones-Drew has rushed 319 rushing yards (4.8 YPC) the past two games. for 80 or more yards in 12 of the 13 games he’s played this year. pla y ON: JACKSONVILLE +11

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om SATURday, 8:20 p.m. (-7) at The Cowboys are desperate for a win and there’s no better NFC team to be facing right now than the Buccaneers, who have lost seven straight games (1-6 ATS). The Bucs will once again try to figure out how to win at home. They’ve lost three straight at Raymond James (SU and ATS), the last two in ugly fashion, outscored by a com- bined margin of 75-28 by Houston and Carolina. They’re now 5-10 ATS at home over the past two seasons, and their porous run defense figures to have trouble stopping a Dallas running game that was still effective with RB Felix Jones replac-

Cowboys RB Felix Jones takes over for an injured ing injured DeMarco Murray last week. DeMarco Murray and is in line for a big game versus a Bucs defense that’s 28th in the NFL against the run. pla y ON: DALLAS -7

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om SUnday, 1 p.m. WASHINGTON REDSKINs (+7) at The Redskins have already beaten the Giants once this year, 28-14 in Week 1. And their offense is finally showing signs of life with under center and a couple of rookie running backs—Roy Helu and Evan Roys- ter— helping rejuvenate coach Mike Shanahan’s vaunted zone blocking scheme. The Giants have allowed 40.3 PPG and 490 total YPG in the past three contests, so the Redskins should be able to move the football with confidence. The pick to cover here is Washington, which is 33-15 ATS (69%) as a road underdog of 3.5-to-7 points since 1992. Redskins RB Roy Helu has rushed for 100 or more yards in each of his past three games, and he’s also pla y ON: WASHINGTON +7 racked up 102 receiving yards during that span.

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om SUnday, 4:15 p.m. NEW YORK JETs (+3) at The Jets are in the thick of the playoff hunt de- spite erratic play all season. They’ve not been good on the road, going 2-4 SU and ATS, and they have just one win against a teams that’s currently .500 or better (they beat 7-6 Dallas in Week 1). The Eagles, however, are well below .500 at 5-8, and despite scoring 26 points in Mi- ami last week, they only gained 239 total yards (51 rushing) with QB Michael Vick back on the field. Vick will be tested by a great Jets second- ary, and don’t overlook New York’s run defense, which has allowed 100 yards or less to six of its

Jets RB Shonn Greene has been on a roll with 295 past seven opponents. rushing yards (5.0 YPC), 96 receiving yards and four in his past three games. pla y ON: NEW YORK JETS +3

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om SUnday, 4:15 p.m. (-6) at Two of ’s hottest clubs duel in the thin air when New England visits the Broncos. The Patriots have struggled against Denver during the Tom Brady era. In his career, Brady is just 1-6 SU and ATS against the Broncos, including 0-3 as a favorite. This year’s matchup will be especially interesting, not only because of the Tim Tebow factor, but because the Broncos’ defense has taken a big step up. Brady will have to deal with stud rookie LB Von Miller on the pass rush. The New England defense has struggled against the pass, and Tebow has shown an improvement in throwing the football lately. Broncos QB Tim Tebow has averaged only 146 passing yards during Denver’s six-game win streak, but with pla y ON: DENVER +6 seven passes and only one .

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om SUnday, 8:35 p.m. (-2.5) at SAN DIEGO CHARGERs The Ravens carry a four-game win streak into San Diego to square off with the surging Char- gers on Sunday night. San Diego is coming off wins over Jacksonville and Buffalo by a com- bined 75-24 score. But the Chargers are just 1-6 SU and ATS against teams that have winning re- cords, and that lone win was against the Broncos when was still their starter. Baltimore is the best opponent the Bolts have played in a while, especially defensively, as the Ravens rank third in the NFL in both scoring defense (15.5 PPG) and total defense (278 YPG). They are also

Ravens RB Ray Rice has 307 rushing yards over 4-1 (SU and ATS) versus San Diego since 2000. the past two weeks and faces a Chargers defense allowing 129 rushing yards per game this season. pla y ON: BALTIMORE -2.5

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om MOnday, 8:40 p.m. (+2.5) at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERs Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger suffered a high ankle sprain last week and limped through the second half—a potential downgrade to Char- lie Batch would be significant. The Niners are coming off an upset loss in Arizona, and they are susceptible to the big pass play. They’ll also likely struggle to move the ball against a top- notch Steelers defense. San Fran has been held to less than 250 yards of offense in two of its past three games, both which resulted in defeats. The Steelers rise to the occasion in big games, going 34-13 ATS (72%) when playing a team with a win- ning percentage of greater than 75% since 1992. Although Steelers safety Troy Polamalu is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury, the 2010 Defensive pla y ON: PITTSBURGH +2.5 Player of the Year is expected to play against the 49ers.

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om NEW ORLEANS (-6.5) GREEN BAY (-14) SEATTLE (+3.5) at at at MINNESOTA KANSAS CITY CHICAGO

The Vikings have been This one could be simi- These teams clashed forced to put together lar to the Chiefs’ Week twice in Chicago last a patchwork secondary, 11 loss at New England. year, with the Seahawks so Drew Brees and the That Monday night, the stealing an October Saints are about the last defense held New Eng- game but the Bears team they want to see land’s high-powered beating them hand- coming to the Metro- offense at bay for most ily in the playoffs. Of dome. The Vikings have of the first half, shutting course, the Bears had allowed a them out for the first 25 QB and RB of 100 or better to their minutes. But with Tyler Matt Forte for both of last eight opponents, Palko under center, the those games, which and Brees is on fire, K.C. offense couldn’t do won’t be the case this throwing 11 touchdown anything, even against time around. Backup passes with no inter- the Patriots’ weak de- QB Caleb Hanie and the ceptions in his past four fense. In the end, the offense has been a bust, games. New Orleans’ Chiefs couldn’t keep scoring just 33 points defense is predicated stopping New England while turning it over more on forcing turn- in relatively short fields, seven times their past overs than smothering and the Pats rolled 34-3. three games. Seattle opposing off enses. Assuming the Packers has been uncharacter- They’ve allowed 450- eventually get their istically strong on the plus yards of offense points on a solid Chiefs road of late, going 3-0-1 in three of their last defense, it’s tough to ATS in their last four Saints QB Drew Brees has surpassed 300 four games. see K.C. keeping up. games away from home. passing yards in each of his past four games play ON: play ON: play ON: with 11 touchdowns and no . NEW ORLEANS -6.5 GREEN BAY -14 SEATTLE +3.5

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om MIAMI (-1.5) CAROLINA (+6.5) TENNESSEE (-6.5) at at at BUFFALO HOUSTON INDIANAPOLIS

The Bills may have hit This may be Carolina’s The Titans have lost their lowest point of toughest matchup of three in a row and sev- 2011 when they visited 2011 on both sides of the en of eight SU in India- Miami in Week 11, a 35-8 ball. Third-string rookie napolis, but the Colts loss in which they strug- QB T.J. Yates was the are obviously a differ- gled to execute snaps in hero in last week’s win ent team with Peyton their first game without at Cincinnati, throwing Manning out. Tennes- injured C Eric Wood. for 300 yards and the see has battled its way The Dolphins had won game-winning TD with back into the playoff six straight ATS before two seconds left. The picture in large part be- getting tripped up Texans have the NFL’s cause of its rejuvenated against the Eagles last best running game, running game, and that week, a loss that ulti- and they’ll have no will be especially impor- mately cost Miami head trouble running all over tant with QB Matt Has- coach Tony Sparano a Panthers run defense selbeck (calf) question- his job. Coming to Buf- that not only allows able. Indianapolis has falo in December has 139.7 YPG but also will struggled in every facet proven tough for the be without both their of the game. Colts QB Dolphins, as they’ve starting defensive tack- Dan Orlovsky is likely to lost four of their past les. always get another start, but five post-Thanksgiving gives Carolina a chance, after a strong perfor- games in Western but the Texans’ second- mance in New England New York, dating back ary has proven to be he was shut down in to 2002. one of the NFL’s best. Baltimore last week. Titans RB Chris Johnson has led Tennessee’s play ON: play ON: play ON: rejuvenated running game, gaining 130 or more BUFFALO +1.5 HOUSTON -6.5 TENNESSEE -6.5 rushing yards in three of the team’s past five games.

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om CINCINNATI (-6) DETROIT (-1) CLEVELAND (+7) at at at ST. LOUIS OAKLAND ARIZONA

The Bengals have a Two of the NFL’s most Each of these teams chance to get their penalty-prone teams has question marks playoff push back on go at it. The Raiders under center, with both track when they visit have incurred the NFL’s Kevin Kolb and Colt St. Louis. While they’ve most penalties (130) McCoy suffering con- been knocked around and penalty yardage cussions last week. A by good AFC teams of (1,116), while the Lions case could be mad, late, the Bengals are are fourth in both cat- however, that each 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS this egories (105 and 894) team is better off year against teams that after piling up loads of without them. While currently have a losing personal fouls in re- Cards backup John record. The Rams have cent games. The Lions Skelton has had some all sorts of questions, should have star DT impressive moments, especially with their top Ndamukong Suh back including last week’s two — from suspension, bol- comeback upset of San Sam Bradford and A.J. stering their pass rush. Francisco, he’s also Feeley—battling inju- But the Raiders have a been erratic. Cleveland ries. Aside from a stun- tendency to burn over- second-stringer Sen- ning Week 8 upset of aggressive defenses eca Wallace is likely a the Saints, they’ve been with their creative run- lateral move compared atrocious at home, get- ning game scheme that to McCoy, and he has ting outscored by an has been taking advan- had success in the past average of 13 points per tage of Michael Bush’s when forced into action Bengals RB Cedric Benson is in line for game in St. Louis. talents as a runner. while playing in Seattle. a huge game against a Rams defense that play ON: play ON: play ON: ranks last in the NFL against the run. CINCINNATI -6 OAKLAND +1 CLEVELAND +7

more at foxsheets.com G et t h e n E W a n d impro v ed f o x s h eet s A T F O X s h eet s . c om GAME LINE PREDICTION pICK VS. SPREAD GAME LINE PREDICTION pICK VS. SPREAD

JACKSONVILLE LINE: ATL by 11 JACKSONVILLE 17 JACKSONVILLE TENNESSEE LINE: TEN by 6.5 TENNESSEE 23 TENNESSEE at ATLANTA TOTAL: 42.5 ATLANTA 24 UNDER 42.5 at INDIANAPOLIS TOTAL: 41 INDIANAPOLIS 16 UNDER 41

DALLAS LINE: DAL by 7 DALLAS 28 DALLAS CINCINNATI LINE: CIN by 6 CINCINNATI 24 CINCINNATI at TAMPA BAY TOTAL: 47 TAMPA BAY 20 OVER 47 at ST. LOUIS TOTAL: 38.5 ST. LOUIS 16 OVER 38.5

WASHINGTON LINE: NYG by 7 WASHINGTON 21 WASHINGTON DETROIT LINE: DET by 1 DETROIT 24 OAKLAND at NEW YORK GIANTS TOTAL: 46 NEW YORK GIANTS 27 OVER 46 at OAKLAND TOTAL: 48 OAKLAND 26 OVER 48

GREEN BAY LINE: GB by 14 GREEN BAY 31 GREEN BAY NEW ENGLAND LINE: NE by 6 NEW ENGLAND 24 DENVER at KANSAS CITY TOTAL: 46 KANSAS CITY 14 UNDER 46 at DENVER TOTAL: 45.5 DENVER 21 UNDER 45.5

NEW ORLEANS LINE: NO by 6.5 NEW ORLEANS 31 NEW ORLEANS NEW YORK JETS LINE: PHI by 3 NEW YORK JETS 22 NEW YORK JETS at MINNESOTA TOTAL: 50.5 MINNESOTA 21 OVER 50.5 at PHILADELPHIA TOTAL: 44 PHILADELPHIA 23 OVER 44

SEATTLE LINE: CHI by 3.5 SEATTLE 17 CHICAGO CLEVELAND LINE: ARI by 7 CLEVELAND 14 CLEVELAND at CHICAGO TOTAL: 35.5 CHICAGO 21 OVER 35.5 at ARIZONA TOTAL: 37.5 ARIZONA 20 UNDER 37.5

MIAMI LINE: MIA by 1.5 MIAMI 20 BUFFALO BALTIMORE LINE: BAL by 2.5 BALTIMORE 24 BALTIMORE at BUFFALO TOTAL: 42 BUFFALO 21 UNDER 42 at SAN DIEGO TOTAL: 44.5 SAN DIEGO 21 OVER 44.5

CAROLINA LINE: HOU by 6.5 CAROLINA 20 HOUSTON PITTSBURGH LINE: SF by 2.5 PITTSBURGH 20 PITTSBURGH at HOUSTON TOTAL: 45.5 HOUSTON 27 OVER 45.5 at SAN FRANCISCO TOTAL: 39.5 SAN FRANCISCO 17 OVER 39.5

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