4.2 Overview of the North American Monsoon Experiment (Name)
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4.2 OVERVIEW OF THE NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON EXPERIMENT (NAME) Wayne Higgins* Climate Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD ABSTRACT 1. OBJECTIVES AND RELEVANCE Recent progress on the North American The North American Monsoon Experiment Monsoon Experiment (NAME) is reviewed, with (NAME) is an internationally coordinated, joint emphasis on plans for a NAME Field Campaign CLIVAR-GEWEX process study aimed at during the NH summer of 2004. NAME is an determining the sources and limits of predictability of internationally coordinated, joint CLIVAR-GEWEX warm season precipitation over North America. It process study aimed at determining the sources and focuses on observing and understanding the key limits of predictability of warm season precipitation components of the North American Monsoon over North America. It hypothesizes that the North System (NAMS) and their variability within the American Monsoon System (NAMS) provides a context of the evolving land surface-atmosphere- physical basis for determining the degree of ocean annual cycle. It seeks improved understanding predictability of warm season precipitation over the of the key physical processes that must be region. NAME employs a multi-scale (tiered) parameterized for improved simulations and approach with focused activities in the core monsoon predictions with coupled models. NAME employs a region (Tier 1), on the regional-scale (Tier 2) and on multi-scale (tiered) approach (Fig. 1) with focused the continental-scale (Tier 3). NAME’s objectives monitoring, diagnostic and modeling activities in the are to promote a better understanding and more core monsoon region, on the regional-scale and on realistic simulation of: warm season convective the continental-scale. NAME is part of the processes in complex terrain (Tier 1); the CLIVAR/VAMOS program, US CLIVAR Pan intraseasonal variability of the monsoon (Tier 2); and American research, and the GEWEX Americas the response of the warm season precipitation pattern Prediction Project (GAPP). to slowly varying oceanic and continental boundary conditions (Tier 3). NAME Science is managed by a NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON EXPERIMENT (NAME) Science Working Group (SWG) made up of scientists Topographic and HYPOTHESIS from the U.S., Mexico and Central America, both Sea-Land Influence The NAMS provides a physical basis for determining the degree of university and government. NAME has an eight year predictability of warm season life cycle (2000-2008) including build-up, field, precipitation over the region. OBJECTIVES: Intraseasonal analysis and modeling phases. The NAME program Variability Better understanding and simulation of: has strong links between the VAMOS element of • warm season convective International CLIVAR, US CLIVAR Pan American processes in complex terrain (TIER I); research, and the GEWEX Americas Prediction • intraseasonal variability of Boundary the monsoon (TIER II); Project (GAPP). An online version of the NAME Forcing? • response of warm season circulation and precipitation Science and Implementation Plan is available at to slowly varying boundary YEAR (2000+) 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 conditions (SST, soil Planning --------------| http://www.joss.ucar.edu/name moisture) (TIER III); Preparations --------------| • monsoon evolution and Data Collection - - - ----------------| variability (TIER I, II, III). Principal Research ----------------------------------| Data Management -----------------------------------------| *Corresponding Author Address: Wayne Higgins, Figure 1. Schematic Illustrating the multi-tiered Climate Prediction Center /NCEP/NWS/NOAA, approach, timeline and objectives of the North Camp Springs, MD, 20746 American Monsoon Experiment (NAME). [email protected] The scientific objectives of NAME are to promote a better understanding and more realistic simulation of: 1 preserve the modeling-observations linkage for both $ warm season convective processes in communities (see section 4). The Teams consist of complex terrain (Tier 1); NAME observationalists, process modelers, and $ intraseasonal variability of the monsoon physical parameterization specialists at the US (Tier 2); national climate modeling and prediction centers. $ the response of the warm season Some key questions to be addressed by the NAME atmospheric circulation and precipitation Teams include: patterns to slowly varying, potentially predictable surface boundary conditions $ How well is the life cycle of the monsoon (e.g. SST, soil moisture) (Tier 3); (onset, maintenance and demise) simulated $ the evolution of the North American monsoon and predicted? system and its variability; $ What is the nature of the interactions between the diurnal cycle and the evolution To accomplish these objectives, planning has of the North American summer monsoon proceeded with the intent of developing: system? $ How well do models simulate convective $ empirical and modeling studies that carry processes in complex terrain? forward the joint US CLIVAR/GEWEX Warm Season Precipitation Initiative (2000 onward), and initiate new elements; $ a NAME Enhanced Observing Period (JJAS 2004) including build-up, field, analysis and modeling phases. An online version of the NAME Science and Implementation Plan is available from the NAME Web site at UCAR Joss: http://www.joss.ucar.edu/name/ 1.1. Key questions, issues and/or hypotheses the study will address NAME hypothesizes that the North American Monsoon System (NAMS) provides a Figure 2. Schematic vertical (longitude-pressure) physical basis for determining the degree of cross section through the North American Monsoon predictability of warm season precipitation over the System at 27.5N. Topography data was used to region. NAME emphasizes the role of the land establish the horizontal scale and NCEP/NCAR surface (e.g. topographic influences on precipitation; Reanalysis wind and divergence fields were used to hydrology and water resources; land surface memory establish the vertical circulations. processes), the role of low-level jets (e.g. relationships between the Gulf of California LLJ, moisture surges and the diurnal cycle of $ What is the connection between synoptic precipitation) (Fig. 2), and the role of oceanic forcing variability over nearby oceans (e.g. easterly of continental climate anomalies (e.g. remote versus waves) and the development of Gulf surges local SST’s; antecedent influences; influence of the and continental precipitation? leading patterns of climate variability, including $ What are the links, if any, between the ENSO, MJO, PDO). strength of the monsoon in SW North America and summertime precipitation over NAME’s scientific questions are motivated the central US? by the current warm season predictive capabilities, $ How is the evolution of the warm season science issues and observational needs of the global precipitation regime related to the seasonal and regional modeling communities. To make evolution of continental and oceanic progress, NAME has organized two Teams that boundary conditions? 2 $ Can models reproduce the observed $ NAME Program Management (funding summertime precipitation in average years agencies) and years with ENSO influence? NAME science is managed by a SWG that has been approved by the CLIVAR/VAMOS and CLIVAR Addressing these questions will yield a better Pan American panels in consultation with U.S. understanding of what physical processes need to be GEWEX. The SWG develops and leads research to included in climate models in order to reproduce the achieve NAME objectives. monsoon system. Consideration of these questions will also help to identify needs for additional The NAME Project Office at UCAR/JOSS, observations. led by Dr. C. B. Emmanuel, is responsible for the following NAME functions: 1.2. Responsiveness of the process $ Program Planning and Field Implementation: Provide the infrastructure NAME is directly responsive to CLIVAR for effective design and implementation of science goals. In May 2001 the Pan Am Panel the NAME EOP, including management of recommended that US CLIVAR join with US GAPP field operations. and VAMOS to implement NAME as a warm season $ Scientific Data Management: Provide all process study of the North American monsoon built facets of data collection and dissemination around an Enhanced Observing Period during 2004. of information for the NAME Program. US CLIVAR’s primary interests and contributions to $ Logistics: Provide specialized logistics NAME were listed in the meeting report. These support specifically for the effective interests would lead to the following CLIVAR- implementation of the NAME EOP, NAME deliverables: including administrative support, workshop coordination and outreach (e.g. webpage, $ improved coupled climate models capable of logo). predicting North American monsoon variability months to seasons in advance; The NAME science objectives will be addressed by a $ more comprehensive understanding of North symbiotic mix of diagnostic, modeling and prediction American summer climate variability and studies together with enhanced observations (all predictability; approved by the NAME SWG). NAME employs a $ infrastructure to observe and monitor the multi-scale (tiered) approach with focused North American monsoon system; monitoring, diagnostic and modeling activities in the $ contributions to the assessment of climate core monsoon region (Tier 1), on the regional-scale variability and long-term climate change in (Tier 2) and on the continental-scale (Tier 3). the North American monsoon region; $ strengthened multinational scientific