DOCSLIB.ORG

Dropout Trend Analysis: Tajikistan

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Dropout Trend Analysis: Tajikistan DROPOUT TREND ANALYSIS: TAJIKISTAN Contract No. EDH-I-00-05-00029-00 Task Order AID-OAA-TO-10-00010 August 2011 This study was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by Creative Associates International. School Dropout Prevention Pilot Program Dropout Trend Analysis: Tajikistan Submitted to: United States Agency for International Development Washington, DC Submitted by: Creative Associates International, Inc. Washington, DC August, 2011 This report was made possible by the American People through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents of this report are the sole responsibility of Creative Associates International and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government. DEC Submission Requirements a. USAID Award Number Contract No. EDH-I-00-05-00029-00 Task Order AID-OAA-TO-10-00010 USAID Objective Title b. and Number Investing in People (IIP) USAID Project Title c. USAID Asia and Middle East Regional School Dropout and Number Prevention Pilot (SDPP) Program USAID Program Area d. Education (program area 3.2) and Program Element Basic Education (program element 3.2.1) e. Descriptive Title Dropout Trend Analysis for Tajikistan – School Dropout Prevention f. Author Name(s) Rajani Shrestha, Jennifer Shin, Karen Tietjen Creative Associates International, Inc. 5301 Wisconsin Avenue, NW, Suite 700 g. Contractor name Washington, DC 20015 Telephone: 202 966 5804 Fax: 202 363 4771 Contact: [email protected] Sponsoring USAID h. Operating Unit and AME/ME/TS COTR Rebecca Adams, COTR i. Date of Publication August, 2011 j. Language of Document English, Tajik, Russian Table of Contents List of Tables and Figures........................................................................................................... iii Acronyms .................................................................................................................................... iv Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................v I. Introduction ...............................................................................................................................1 A. USAID School Dropout Prevention Pilot Program .....................................................1 B. Report Purpose .............................................................................................................2 C. Report Organization .....................................................................................................2 II. Approach and Methodology .....................................................................................................2 A. Indicators for Analysis .................................................................................................3 B. Sources Reviewed ........................................................................................................5 C. Data Analysis Process ..................................................................................................5 D. Composite Ranking ......................................................................................................6 III. Country Background ...............................................................................................................6 IV. Country-Specific Data ............................................................................................................7 A. Data ..............................................................................................................................7 B. Data Source Limitations ...............................................................................................8 C. Data Source Selection ..................................................................................................9 V. National Level Trends and Cycle/Grade Selection ..................................................................9 A. Net Enrollment Rate by Cycle .....................................................................................9 B. Dropout Rate by Cycle ...............................................................................................11 C. Dropout Rate by Grade ..............................................................................................12 D. Target Grade Selection...............................................................................................13 VI. Regional Level Dropout Trend and Region Selection .........................................................13 VII. District Level Trends and District Selection .......................................................................14 A. Dropout Rate ..............................................................................................................14 B. Graduation Rate..........................................................................................................15 C. Transition Rate ...........................................................................................................16 D. District Selection ........................................................................................................17 1. Statistical Ranking ..........................................................................................17 2. Practical Considerations..................................................................................18 3. Target Selection ............................................................................................ 19 VIII. Profile of the Selected Region and Districts ......................................................................20 A. Khatlon Region ...........................................................................................................20 B. Baljuvon District .........................................................................................................20 C. Vose District ................................................................................................................21 D. Temurmalik (Sovet) District .......................................................................................21 School Dropout Prevention Pilot Program Dropout Trend Analysis for Tajikistan, August 2011 Page i IX. Selected Education Indicators in SDPP Districts ..................................................................21 A. Indicators of Dropout “Predictors” ............................................................................21 B. Contextual Indicators for Students ..............................................................................22 C. Education Supply Indicators .......................................................................................23 X. Conclusion ..............................................................................................................................23 Bibliography ................................................................................................................................25 Appendix A: Primary Indicators ..................................................................................................26 Table A-1: Enrollment by Cycle, 2010/11 .......................................................................27 Table A-2: Enrollment by Grade, 2010/11 ......................................................................29 Table A-3: Dropout Rate by Grade (Between-Grades), 2009/10 ....................................37 Table A-4: Promotion Rate by Grade, 2009/10 ...............................................................41 Table A-5: Graduation Rate for Grade 9, 2009/10 ..........................................................46 Table A-6: In-Grade vs. Between Grades Dropout Rate for Grade 9, 2009/10 ...............48 Table A-7: Transition Rate from Cycle to Cycle, 2009/10 ..............................................50 School Dropout Prevention Pilot Program Dropout Trend Analysis for Tajikistan, August 2011 Page ii List of Tables and Figures Tables Table 1: List of Indicators Table 2: Data Sources by Indicator Table 3: District Ranking Table 4: Number of Schools in Target Districts Table 5: Indicators of Dropout “Predictors” Table 6: Contextual Indicators for Students Table 7: Education Supply Indicators Figures Figure 1: National Net Enrollment Rate by Cycle, 2004-2008 Figure 2: National Dropout Rate by Cycle, 2009/10 Figure 3: National Dropout Rate by Grade, 2009/10 Figure 4: Regional Dropout Rate in Grade 9, 2009/10 Figure 5: Dropout Rate by District—Grade 9, 2009/10 Figure 6: Graduation Rate by District—Grade 9, 2009/10 Figure 7: Transition Rate to Secondary Level by District—Grade 9, 2009/10 Figure 8: District Ranking with Total Points School Dropout Prevention Pilot Program Dropout Trend Analysis for Tajikistan, August 2011 Page iii Acronyms ASER Age Specific Enrollment Rates DHS Demographic and Health Surveys EdStats World Bank Education Statistics EMIS Education Management Information System GBAO Gorno-Badakhshan GPI Gender Parity Index IDEAL Institute for Development, Education, and Learning KAPE Kampuchean Action for Primary Education MDG Millennium Development Goals MICS Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys MoE Ministry of Education N/A Not Available NAR Net Attendance Rate NCS National Census of School NER Net Enrollment Rate RRS Region of Republican Subordination SDPP School Dropout Prevention Pilot TLSS Tajikistan Living Standards Measurement Survey UIS UNESCO Institute
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Understanding Cross-Border Conflict in Post-Soviet Central Asia: the Case of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan
    Connections: The Quarterly Journal ISSN 1812-1098, e-ISSN 1812-2973 Toktomushev, Connections QJ 17, no. 1 (2018): 21-41 https://doi.org/10.11610/Connections.17.1.02 Research Article Understanding Cross-Border Conflict in Post-Soviet Central Asia: The Case of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan Kemel Toktomushev University of Central Asia, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, http://www.ucentralasia.org Abstract: Despite the prevalence of works on the ‘discourses of danger’ in the Ferghana Valley, which re-invented post-Soviet Central Asia as a site of intervention, the literature on the conflict potential in the cross-border areas of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan is fairly limited. Yet, the number of small-scale clashes and tensions on the borders of the Batken and Isfara regions has been growing steadily. Accordingly, this work seeks to con- tribute to the understanding of the conflict escalations in the area and identify factors that aggravate tensions between the communities. In par- ticular, this article focuses on four variables, which exacerbate tensions and hinder the restoration of a peaceful social fabric in the Batken-Isfara region: the unresolved legacies of the Soviet past, inefficient use of natu- ral resources, militarization of borders, and lack of evidence-based poli- cymaking. Keywords: Central Asia, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Ferghana, conflict, bor- ders. Introduction The significance and magnitude of violence and conflict potential in the con- temporary Ferghana Valley has been identified as one of the most prevalent themes in the study of post-Soviet Central Asia. This densely populated region has been long portrayed as a site of latent inter-ethnic conflict. Not only is the Ferghana Valley a region, where three major ethnic groups—Kyrgyz, Uzbeks and Tajiks—co-exist in a network of interdependent communities, sharing buri- Partnership for Peace Consortium of Defense Creative Commons Academies and Security Studies Institutes BY-NC-SA 4.0 Kemel Toktomushev, Connections QJ 17, no.
    [Show full text]
  • The University of Chicago Old Elites Under Communism: Soviet Rule in Leninobod a Dissertation Submitted to the Faculty of the Di
    THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO OLD ELITES UNDER COMMUNISM: SOVIET RULE IN LENINOBOD A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE FACULTY OF THE DIVISION OF THE SOCIAL SCIENCES IN CANDIDACY FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY BY FLORA J. ROBERTS CHICAGO, ILLINOIS JUNE 2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Figures .................................................................................................................... iii List of Tables ...................................................................................................................... v Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................ vi A Note on Transliteration .................................................................................................. ix Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 1 Chapter One. Noble Allies of the Revolution: Classroom to Battleground (1916-1922) . 43 Chapter Two. Class Warfare: the Old Boi Network Challenged (1925-1930) ............... 105 Chapter Three. The Culture of Cotton Farms (1930s-1960s) ......................................... 170 Chapter Four. Purging the Elite: Politics and Lineage (1933-38) .................................. 224 Chapter Five. City on Paper: Writing Tajik in Stalinobod (1930-38) ............................ 282 Chapter Six. Islam and the Asilzodagon: Wartime and Postwar Leninobod .................. 352 Chapter Seven. The
    [Show full text]
  • Federal Research Division Country Profile: Tajikistan, January 2007
    Library of Congress – Federal Research Division Country Profile: Tajikistan, January 2007 COUNTRY PROFILE: TAJIKISTAN January 2007 COUNTRY Formal Name: Republic of Tajikistan (Jumhurii Tojikiston). Short Form: Tajikistan. Term for Citizen(s): Tajikistani(s). Capital: Dushanbe. Other Major Cities: Istravshan, Khujand, Kulob, and Qurghonteppa. Independence: The official date of independence is September 9, 1991, the date on which Tajikistan withdrew from the Soviet Union. Public Holidays: New Year’s Day (January 1), International Women’s Day (March 8), Navruz (Persian New Year, March 20, 21, or 22), International Labor Day (May 1), Victory Day (May 9), Independence Day (September 9), Constitution Day (November 6), and National Reconciliation Day (November 9). Flag: The flag features three horizontal stripes: a wide middle white stripe with narrower red (top) and green stripes. Centered in the white stripe is a golden crown topped by seven gold, five-pointed stars. The red is taken from the flag of the Soviet Union; the green represents agriculture and the white, cotton. The crown and stars represent the Click to Enlarge Image country’s sovereignty and the friendship of nationalities. HISTORICAL BACKGROUND Early History: Iranian peoples such as the Soghdians and the Bactrians are the ethnic forbears of the modern Tajiks. They have inhabited parts of Central Asia for at least 2,500 years, assimilating with Turkic and Mongol groups. Between the sixth and fourth centuries B.C., present-day Tajikistan was part of the Persian Achaemenian Empire, which was conquered by Alexander the Great in the fourth century B.C. After that conquest, Tajikistan was part of the Greco-Bactrian Kingdom, a successor state to Alexander’s empire.
    [Show full text]
  • Tajikistan Annual Country Report 2018 Country Strategic Plan 2018 - 2019 ACR Reading Guidance Table of Contents Summary
    SAVING LIVES CHANGING LIVES Tajikistan Annual Country Report 2018 Country Strategic Plan 2018 - 2019 ACR Reading Guidance Table of contents Summary . 3 Context and Operations . 5 Programme Performance - Resources for Results . 7 Programme Performance . 8 Strategic Outcome 01 . 8 Strategic Outcome 02 . 8 Strategic Outcome 03 . 10 Cross-cutting Results . 12 Progress towards gender equality . 12 Protection . 12 Accountability to affected populations . 13 Environment . 13 Extra Section . 15 Figures and Indicators . 16 Data Notes . 16 Beneficiaries by Age Group . 16 Beneficiaries by Residence Status . 17 Annual Food Distribution (mt) . 17 Annual CBT and Commodity Voucher Distribution (USD) . 18 Output Indicators . 19 Outcome Indicators . 22 Cross-cutting Indicators . 28 Progress towards gender equality . 28 Protection . 29 Accountability to affected populations . 29 Tajikistan | Annual country report 2018 2 Summary In 2018, WFP Tajikistan started its 18-month Transitional Interim Country nutrition; and the Fill the Nutrient Gap analysis – which contributed to informing Strategic Plan (TICSP), which complements Government’s efforts to achieve food WFP’s upcoming five-year Country Strategic Plan (CSP) for 2019-2024. security through strengthening the capacity of national institutions and other stakeholders to develop a comprehensive approach to food security and nutrition, as well as to implement effective evidence-based programmes, including through emergency preparedness. Through its largest component – the School Feeding Programme – WFP supported nearly 410,000 schoolchildren in about 2000 schools in 52 districts across the country. Due to the limited resources since 2012, WFP continued to distribute reduced food entitlements during 2018 to ensure that all children in targeted schools were reached. WFP continued to work with the Government to facilitate a gradual transition of the WFP programme to a nationally owned and managed programme by 2021.
    [Show full text]
  • The Republic of Tajikistan Ministry of Energy and Industry
    The Republic of Tajikistan Ministry of Energy and Industry DATA COLLECTION SURVEY ON THE INSTALLMENT OF SMALL HYDROPOWER STATIONS FOR THE COMMUNITIES OF KHATLON OBLAST IN THE REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN FINAL REPORT September 2012 Japan International Cooperation Agency NEWJEC Inc. E C C CR (1) 12-005 Final Report Contents, List of Figures, Abbreviations Data Collection Survey on the Installment of Small Hydropower Stations for the Communities of Khatlon Oblast in the Republic of Tajikistan FINAL REPORT Table of Contents Summary Chapter 1 Preface 1.1 Objectives and Scope of the Study .................................................................................. 1 - 1 1.2 Arrangement of Small Hydropower Potential Sites ......................................................... 1 - 2 1.3 Flowchart of the Study Implementation ........................................................................... 1 - 7 Chapter 2 Overview of Energy Situation in Tajikistan 2.1 Economic Activities and Electricity ................................................................................ 2 - 1 2.1.1 Social and Economic situation in Tajikistan ....................................................... 2 - 1 2.1.2 Energy and Electricity ......................................................................................... 2 - 2 2.1.3 Current Situation and Planning for Power Development .................................... 2 - 9 2.2 Natural Condition ............................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • TAJIKISTAN TAJIKISTAN Country – Livestock
    APPENDIX 15 TAJIKISTAN 870 км TAJIKISTAN 414 км Sangimurod Murvatulloev 1161 км Dushanbe,Tajikistan / [email protected] Tel: (992 93) 570 07 11 Regional meeting on Foot-and-Mouth Disease to develop a long term regional control strategy (Regional Roadmap for West Eurasia) 1206 км Shiraz, Islamic Republic of Iran 3 651 . 9 - 13 November 2008 Общая протяженность границы км Regional meeting on Foot-and-Mouth Disease to develop a long term Regional control strategy (Regional Roadmap for West Eurasia) TAJIKISTAN Country – Livestock - 2007 Territory - 143.000 square km Cities Dushanbe – 600.000 Small Population – 7 mln. Khujand – 370.000 Capital – Dushanbe Province Cattle Dairy Cattle ruminants Yak Kurgantube – 260.000 Official language - tajiki Kulob – 150.000 Total in Ethnic groups Tajik – 75% Tajikistan 1422614 756615 3172611 15131 Uzbek – 20% Russian – 3% Others – 2% GBAO 93619 33069 267112 14261 Sughd 388486 210970 980853 586 Khatlon 573472 314592 1247475 0 DRD 367037 197984 677171 0 Regional meeting on Foot-and-Mouth Disease to develop a long term Regional control strategy Regional meeting on Foot-and-Mouth Disease to develop a long term Regional control strategy (Regional Roadmap for West Eurasia) (Regional Roadmap for West Eurasia) Country – Livestock - 2007 Current FMD Situation and Trends Density of sheep and goats Prevalence of FM D population in Tajikistan Quantity of beans Mastchoh Asht 12827 - 21928 12 - 30 Ghafurov 21929 - 35698 31 - 46 Spitamen Zafarobod Konibodom 35699 - 54647 Spitamen Isfara M astchoh A sht 47
    [Show full text]
  • 46543-002: CAREC Corridors 3 and 5 Enhancement Project
    Initial Environment Examination Project No.: 46543-002 July 2019 Tajikistan: Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation Corridors 3 and 5 Enhancement Project Kangurt to Baljuvon to intersection Vose-Khovaling Road Updated IEE Study Prepared by: SMEC International (Pty) Ltd, Australia for the Ministry of Transport of the Republic of Tajikistan and the Asian Development Bank. This initial environment examination report is a document of the borrower. The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of ADB's Board of Directors, Management, or staff, and may be preliminary in nature. In preparing any country program or strategy, financing any project, or by making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographic area in this document, the Asian Development Bank does not intend to make any judgments as to the legal or other status of any territory or area. CAREC Corridors 3 and 5 Enhancement Project: Contract for Engineering, Works Supervision and Project Management Services Grant 0356-TAJ _____________________________________________________________________________ TABLE OF CONTENT EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................... 1 1. Introduction......................................................................................................................... 1 2. Description of the Project .................................................................................................... 2 3. Overview of the Receiving Environment
    [Show full text]
  • The World Bank the STATE STATISTICAL COMMITTEE of the REPUBLIC of TAJIKISTAN Foreword
    The World Bank THE STATE STATISTICAL COMMITTEE OF THE REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN Foreword This atlas is the culmination of a significant effort to deliver a snapshot of the socio-economic situation in Tajikistan at the time of the 2000 Census. The atlas arose out of a need to gain a better understanding among Government Agencies and NGOs about the spatial distribution of poverty, through its many indicators, and also to provide this information at a lower level of geographical disaggregation than was previously available, that is, the Jamoat. Poverty is multi-dimensional and as such the atlas includes information on a range of different indicators of the well- being of the population, including education, health, economic activity and the environment. A unique feature of the atlas is the inclusion of estimates of material poverty at the Jamoat level. The derivation of these estimates involves combining the detailed information on household expenditures available from the 2003 Tajikistan Living Standards Survey and the national coverage of the 2000 Census using statistical modelling. This is the first time that this complex statistical methodology has been applied in Central Asia and Tajikistan is proud to be at the forefront of such innovation. It is hoped that the atlas will be of use to all those interested in poverty reduction and improving the lives of the Tajik population. Professor Shabozov Mirgand Chairman Tajikistan State Statistical Committee Project Overview The Socio-economic Atlas, including a poverty map for the country, is part of the on-going Poverty Dialogue Program of the World Bank in collaboration with the Government of Tajikistan.
    [Show full text]
  • Tajikistan: Access to Resources for Human Development
    Empovered lives. Resilient nations. N A T I O N A L H U M A N D E V E L O P M E N T R E P O R T 2 0 1 4 Tajikistan: access to resources for human development DUSHANBE - 2015 International Labour Organization The United Nations Population Fund The International Labour Organization (UNFPA) is an international institution (ILO) is a UN specialized agency which on development issues and delivering seeks the promotion of social justice a world where every pregnancy is wanted, and internationally recognized human every childbirth is safe and every young and labour rights. person’s potential is fulfilled. The report has been prepared in collaboration with a group of local consultants. The contents of this publication are not copyrighted. They may be reproduced partially or fully without the prior consent of UNDP or the Republic of Tajikistan. However, the report authors will appreciate if reference is made to this publication The views and opinions expressed in this report belong to the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official position of UNDP, UNFPA and ILO. Dear reader, You are welcome to the latest National Human Development Report called Tajikistan: Access to Human Development prepared with the support of the UN Development Program and in close cooperation with the government, civil society and international organizations in Tajikistan. It is remarkable that this Report is presented during the final year of the National Development Strategy of the Republic of Tajikistan for the period of 2015, which was elaborated in consideration of the Millennium Development Goals for 2015 as well as the Living Standards Improvement Strategy of Tajikistan for 2013-2015.
    [Show full text]
  • Analysis of the Situation on Inclusive Education for People with Disabilities in the Republic of Tajikistan Report on the Results of the Baseline Research
    Public Organization - League of women with disabilities «Ishtirok» April - July 2018 Analysis of the situation on inclusive education for people with disabilities in the Republic of Tajikistan Report on the results of the baseline research 1 EXPRESSION OF APPRECIATION A basic study on the inclusive education of people with disabilities in the Republic of Tajikistan (RT) conducted by the Public Organization Disabled Women's League “Ishtirok”. This study was conducted under financial support from ASIA SOUTH PACIFIC ASSOCIATION FOR BASIC AND ADULT EDUCATION (ASPBAE) The research team expresses special thanks to the Executive Office of the President of the RT for assistance in collecting data at the national, regional, and district levels. In addition, we express our gratitude for the timely provision of data to the Centre for adult education of Tajikistan of the Ministry of labor, migration, and employment of population of RT, the Ministry of education and science of RT. We express our deep gratitude to all public organizations, departments of social protection and education in the cities of Dushanbe, Bokhtar, Khujand, Konibodom, and Vahdat. Moreover, we are grateful to all parents of children with disabilities, secondary school teachers, teachers of primary and secondary vocational education, who have made a significant contribution to the collection of high-quality data on the development of the situation of inclusive education for persons with disabilities in the country. Research team: Saida Inoyatova – coordinator, director, Public Organization - League of women with disabilities «Ishtirok»; Salomat Asoeva – Assistant Coordinator, Public Organization - League of women with disabilities «Ishtirok»; Larisa Alexandrova – lawyer, director of the Public Foundation “Your Choice”; Margarita Khegay – socio-economist, candidate of economic sciences.
    [Show full text]
  • Tajikistan Health System Review
    Health Systems in Transition Vol. 12 No. 2 2010 Tajikistan Health system review Ghafur Khodjamurodov • Bernd Rechel Bernd Rechel (Editor) and Martin McKee (Series editor) were responsible for this HiT profile Editorial Board Editor in chief Elias Mossialos, London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom Series editors Reinhard Busse, Berlin University of Technology, Germany Josep Figueras, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies Martin McKee, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom Richard Saltman, Emory University, United States Editorial team Sara Allin, University of Toronto, Canada Matthew Gaskins, Berlin University of Technology, Germany Cristina Hernández-Quevedo, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies Anna Maresso, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies David McDaid, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies Sherry Merkur, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies Philipa Mladovsky, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies Bernd Rechel, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies Erica Richardson, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies Sarah Thomson, European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies Ewout van Ginneken, Berlin University of Technology, Germany International advisory board Tit Albreht, Institute of Public Health, Slovenia Carlos Alvarez-Dardet Díaz, University of Alicante, Spain Rifat Atun, Global Fund, Switzerland Johan Calltorp, Nordic School of Public Health, Sweden Armin Fidler,
    [Show full text]
  • Republic of Tajikistan
    E4132 REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN Public Disclosure Authorized Environmental Land Management and Rural Livelihoods Project (ELMARL) Public Disclosure Authorized ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK Public Disclosure Authorized December 2012 Public Disclosure Authorized 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Acronyms ............................................................................................................................................................................ 3 Executive Summary. ........................................................................................................................................................... 4 1. Background ..................................................................................................................................................................... 7 1.1. Country Context ........................................................................................................................................................ 7 2. Project Description .......................................................................................................................................................... 7 2.1. Project Objectives ..................................................................................................................................................... 7 2.2. Key Results .............................................................................................................................................................. 7
    [Show full text]