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BIS Working Papers No 136 the Price Level, Relative Prices and Economic Stability: Aspects of the Interwar Debate by David Laidler* Monetary and Economic Department
BIS Working Papers No 136 The price level, relative prices and economic stability: aspects of the interwar debate by David Laidler* Monetary and Economic Department September 2003 * University of Western Ontario Abstract Recent financial instability has called into question the sufficiency of low inflation as a goal for monetary policy. This paper discusses interwar literature bearing on this question. It begins with theories of the cycle based on the quantity theory, and their policy prescription of price stability supported by lender of last resort activities in the event of crises, arguing that their neglect of fluctuations in investment was a weakness. Other approaches are then taken up, particularly Austrian theory, which stressed the banking system’s capacity to generate relative price distortions and forced saving. This theory was discredited by its association with nihilistic policy prescriptions during the Great Depression. Nevertheless, its core insights were worthwhile, and also played an important part in Robertson’s more eclectic account of the cycle. The latter, however, yielded activist policy prescriptions of a sort that were discredited in the postwar period. Whether these now need re-examination, or whether a low-inflation regime, in which the authorities stand ready to resort to vigorous monetary expansion in the aftermath of asset market problems, is adequate to maintain economic stability is still an open question. BIS Working Papers are written by members of the Monetary and Economic Department of the Bank for International Settlements, and from time to time by other economists, and are published by the Bank. The views expressed in them are those of their authors and not necessarily the views of the BIS. -
Introductory Discussions of Supply and Demand and of the Working of the Price Mechanism Normally Treat Quantities Demanded and S
STRATHCLYDE DISCUSSION PAPERS IN ECONOMICS ‘ECONOMIC GEOMETRY’: MARSHALL’S AND OTHER EARLY REPRESENTATIONS OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY. BY ROY GRIEVE NO. 08-06 DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY OF STRATHCLYDE GLASGOW ‘ECONOMIC GEOMETRY’: MARSHALL’S AND OTHER EARLY REPRESENTATIONS OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY ROY GRIEVE1 ABSTRACT Does an apparent (minor) anomaly, said to occur not infrequently in elementary expositions of supply and demand theory, really imply – as seems to be suggested – that there is something a bit odd about Marshall’s diagrammatic handling of demand and supply? On investigation, we find some interesting differences of focus and exposition amongst the theorists who first developed the ‘geometric’ treatment of demand and supply, but find no reason, despite his differences from other marginalist pioneers such as Cournot, Dupuit and Walras, to consider Marshall’s treatment either as unconventional or forced, or as to regard him as the ‘odd man out’. Introduction In the standard textbooks, introductory discussions of demand and supply normally treat quantities demanded and supplied as functions of price (rather than vice versa), and complement that discussion with diagrams in the standard format, showing price on the vertical axis and quantities demanded and supplied on the horizontal axis. No references need be cited. Usually this presentation is accepted without comment, but it can happen that a more numerate student observes that something of an anomaly appears to exist – in that the diagrams show price, which, 1 Roy’s thanks go to Darryl Holden who raised the question about Marshall's diagrams, and for his subsequent advice, and to Eric Rahim, as always, for valuable comment. -
Supply and Demand Is Not a Neoclassical Concern
Munich Personal RePEc Archive Supply and Demand Is Not a Neoclassical Concern Lima, Gerson P. Macroambiente 3 March 2015 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/63135/ MPRA Paper No. 63135, posted 21 Mar 2015 13:54 UTC Supply and Demand Is Not a Neoclassical Concern Gerson P. Lima1 The present treatise is an attempt to present a modern version of old doctrines with the aid of the new work, and with reference to the new problems, of our own age (Marshall, 1890, Preface to the First Edition). 1. Introduction Many people are convinced that the contemporaneous mainstream economics is not qualified to explaining what is going on, to tame financial markets, to avoid crises and to provide a concrete solution to the poor and deteriorating situation of a large portion of the world population. Many economists, students, newspapers and informed people are asking for and expecting a new economics, a real world economic science. “The Keynes- inspired building-blocks are there. But it is admittedly a long way to go before the whole construction is in place. But the sooner we are intellectually honest and ready to admit that modern neoclassical macroeconomics and its microfoundationalist programme has come to way’s end – the sooner we can redirect our aspirations to more fruitful endeavours” (Syll, 2014, p. 28). Accordingly, this paper demonstrates that current mainstream monetarist economics cannot be science and proposes new approaches to economic theory and econometric method that after replication and enhancement may be a starting point for the creation of the real world economic theory. -
New Monetarist Economics: Methods∗
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Research Department Staff Report 442 April 2010 New Monetarist Economics: Methods∗ Stephen Williamson Washington University in St. Louis and Federal Reserve Banks of Richmond and St. Louis Randall Wright University of Wisconsin — Madison and Federal Reserve Banks of Minneapolis and Philadelphia ABSTRACT This essay articulates the principles and practices of New Monetarism, our label for a recent body of work on money, banking, payments, and asset markets. We first discuss methodological issues distinguishing our approach from others: New Monetarism has something in common with Old Monetarism, but there are also important differences; it has little in common with Keynesianism. We describe the principles of these schools and contrast them with our approach. To show how it works, in practice, we build a benchmark New Monetarist model, and use it to study several issues, including the cost of inflation, liquidity and asset trading. We also develop a new model of banking. ∗We thank many friends and colleagues for useful discussions and comments, including Neil Wallace, Fernando Alvarez, Robert Lucas, Guillaume Rocheteau, and Lucy Liu. We thank the NSF for financial support. Wright also thanks for support the Ray Zemon Chair in Liquid Assets at the Wisconsin Business School. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Banks of Richmond, St. Louis, Philadelphia, and Minneapolis, or the Federal Reserve System. 1Introduction The purpose of this essay is to articulate the principles and practices of a school of thought we call New Monetarist Economics. It is a companion piece to Williamson and Wright (2010), which provides more of a survey of the models used in this literature, and focuses on technical issues to the neglect of methodology or history of thought. -
FACTORS of SUPPLY & DEMAND Price Quantity Supplied
FACTORS OF SUPPLY & DEMAND Imagine that a student signed up for a video streaming subscription, a service that costs $9.00 a month to enjoy binge- worthy television and movies at any time of day. A few months into her subscription, she receives a notification that the monthly price will be increasing to $12.00 a month, which is over a 30 percent price increase! The student can either continue with her subscription at the higher price of $12.00 per month or cancel the subscription and use the $12.00 elsewhere. What should the student do? Perhaps she’s willing to pay $12.00 or more in order to access and enjoy the shows and movies that the streaming service provides, but will all other customers react in the same way? It is likely that some customers of the streaming service will cancel their subscription as a result of the increased price, while others are able and willing to pay the higher rate. The relationship between the price of goods or services and the quantity of goods or services purchased is the focus of today’s module. This module will explore the market forces that influence the price of raw, agricultural commodities. To understand what influences the price of commodities, it’s essential to understand a foundational principle of economics, the law of supply and demand. Understand the law of supply and demand. Supply is the quantity of a product that a seller is willing to sell at a given price. The law of supply states that, all else equal, an increase in price results in an increase in the quantity supplied. -
Macroeconomics: an Introduction the Demand for Money
Lecture Notes for Chapter 7 of Macroeconomics: An Introduction The Demand for Money Copyright © 1999-2008 by Charles R. Nelson 2/19/08 In this chapter we will discuss - What does ‘demand for money’ mean? Why do we need to know about it? What is the price of money? How the supply and demand for money determine the interest rate. The Fed controls the supply of money, so the Fed can control the interest rate. Why Study the Demand for Money? Fed controls the supply of money through open market operations. The demand for money depends on the interest rate. Interest rate is a price, and it adjusts to balance the supply and demand for money. That means the Fed can control interest rates by changing the supply of money. 1 Why are interest rates important? Low interest rates stimulate spending on - plant and equipment - and consumer durables. High interest rates discourage spending, - affect GDP and employment, - finally, prices and wages too. Control over interest rates gives the Fed a lever to move the economy. What is the Demand for Money? How much money would you like to have? - One billion? - Two? That can’t be it. Instead ‘How much money (currency and bank deposits) do you wish to hold, given your total wealth.’ Puzzle - Why hold any money at all? It pays no interest. It loses purchasing power to inflation. 2 Motives for holding money: 1. To settle transactions. - Money is the medium of exchange. 2. As a precautionary store of liquidity. - Money is the most liquid of all assets. -
Challenging Mercantilism: the Impact of David Hume on the Evolution of Monetary Thought
Student Economic Review, Vol. 22, 2008 CHALLENGING MERCANTILISM: THE IMPACT OF DAVID HUME ON THE EVOLUTION OF MONETARY THOUGHT ALEXANDER TOFT Senior Sophister Despite its somewhat irrational and outdated nature, mercantilist sentiment is very much alive today. In times of economic slowdown, it often bubbles to the surface of popular economic discourse, threatening to make an unwelcome return to politics and policy. The spirits of mercantilism and protectionism have always gone very much hand in hand. In this paper, Alexander Toft provides an excellent appraisal of David Hume’s monetary thought, in particular examining his attack on the 17th century mercantilist monopoly over economic discourse. Introduction The history of economic thought can be viewed as a series of ideological battles, and key amongst them must rank the debate surrounding the notion that the government has a role to play in ensuring a more favorable balance of trade – what is commonly called mercantilism. Adam Smith is often credited with initiating this debate when he attacked the concept in The Wealth of Nations (Smith, 1776). However, this paper will examine the work of another original detractor from mercantilist thinking, David Hume. A philosopher and historian first and foremost, Hume was also an eminent economist. This paper will argue that through his analysis of the influence of money on inflation and the balance of payments, Hume played a pioneering role in challenging the mercantilist monopoly on economic thought. He contributed towards the development of an alternative theory which centered on free trade, as opposed to a ‘fear of goods’ and ‘love of money’. -
Modern Monetary Theory: Cautionary Tales from Latin America
Modern Monetary Theory: Cautionary Tales from Latin America Sebastian Edwards* Economics Working Paper 19106 HOOVER INSTITUTION 434 GALVEZ MALL STANFORD UNIVERSITY STANFORD, CA 94305-6010 April 25, 2019 According to Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) it is possible to use expansive monetary policy – money creation by the central bank (i.e. the Federal Reserve) – to finance large fiscal deficits that will ensure full employment and good jobs for everyone, through a “jobs guarantee” program. In this paper I analyze some of Latin America’s historical episodes with MMT-type policies (Chile, Peru. Argentina, and Venezuela). The analysis uses the framework developed by Dornbusch and Edwards (1990, 1991) for studying macroeconomic populism. The four experiments studied in this paper ended up badly, with runaway inflation, huge currency devaluations, and precipitous real wage declines. These experiences offer a cautionary tale for MMT enthusiasts.† JEL Nos: E12, E42, E61, F31 Keywords: Modern Monetary Theory, central bank, inflation, Latin America, hyperinflation The Hoover Institution Economics Working Paper Series allows authors to distribute research for discussion and comment among other researchers. Working papers reflect the views of the author and not the views of the Hoover Institution. * Henry Ford II Distinguished Professor, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA † I have benefited from discussions with Ed Leamer, José De Gregorio, Scott Sumner, and Alejandra Cox. I thank Doug Irwin and John Taylor for their support. 1 1. Introduction During the last few years an apparently new and revolutionary idea has emerged in economic policy circles in the United States: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). The central tenet of this view is that it is possible to use expansive monetary policy – money creation by the central bank (i.e. -
How Would Modern Macroeconomic Schools of Thought Respond to the Recent Economic Crisis?
® Economic Information Newsletter Liber8 Brought to You by the Research Library of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 2009 How Would Modern Macroeconomic Schools of Thought Respond to the Recent Economic Crisis? “Would financial markets and the economy have been better off if the Fed pursued a policy of quantitative easing sooner?” —Daniel L. Thornton, Vice President and Economic Adviser, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Economic Synopses The government and the Federal Reserve’s response to the current recession continues to be hotly de bated. Several questions arise: Was a $780 billion economic stimulus bill appropriate? Was the Troubled Asset Re lief Program (TARP) beneficial? Should the Fed have increased the money supply sooner? Should Lehman Brothers have been allowed to fail? Some answers to these questions lie in economic theory, and whether prudent decisions were made depends on whom you ask. This article examines three modern schools of economic thought and how each school would advise was the best way to respond to the most recent crisis. The New Keynesian Approach New Keynesian economics, the “new” version of the school based on the works of the early twentieth- century economist John Maynard Keynes, is founded on two major assumptions. First, people are forward looking; that is, they use available information today (interest rates, stock prices, gas prices, and so on) to form expectations about the future. Second, prices and wages are “sticky,” meaning they adjust gradually. One example of “stickiness” is a union-negotiated contract, which is fixed for a definite period of time. Menus are also an example of price stickiness: The cost associated with reprinting menus causes a restaurant owner to be reluctant about replacing them. -
Three Revolutions in Macroeconomics: Their Nature and Influence
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Laidler, David Working Paper Three revolutions in macroeconomics: Their nature and influence EPRI Working Paper, No. 2013-4 Provided in Cooperation with: Economic Policy Research Institute (EPRI), Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario Suggested Citation: Laidler, David (2013) : Three revolutions in macroeconomics: Their nature and influence, EPRI Working Paper, No. 2013-4, The University of Western Ontario, Economic Policy Research Institute (EPRI), London (Ontario) This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/123484 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen -
Nber Working Paper Series David Laidler On
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES DAVID LAIDLER ON MONETARISM Michael Bordo Anna J. Schwartz Working Paper 12593 http://www.nber.org/papers/w12593 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 October 2006 This paper has been prepared for the Festschrift in Honor of David Laidler, University of Western Ontario, August 18-20, 2006. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. © 2006 by Michael Bordo and Anna J. Schwartz. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. David Laidler on Monetarism Michael Bordo and Anna J. Schwartz NBER Working Paper No. 12593 October 2006 JEL No. E00,E50 ABSTRACT David Laidler has been a major player in the development of the monetarist tradition. As the monetarist approach lost influence on policy makers he kept defending the importance of many of its principles. In this paper we survey and assess the impact on monetary economics of Laidler's work on the demand for money and the quantity theory of money; the transmission mechanism on the link between money and nominal income; the Phillips Curve; the monetary approach to the balance of payments; and monetary policy. Michael Bordo Faculty of Economics Cambridge University Austin Robinson Building Siegwick Avenue Cambridge ENGLAND CD3, 9DD and NBER [email protected] Anna J. Schwartz NBER 365 Fifth Ave, 5th Floor New York, NY 10016-4309 and NBER [email protected] 1. -
Schools of Economic Thought (Pdf)
SCHOOLS OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT A BRIEF HISTORY OF ECONOMICS This isn't really essential to know, but may satisfy the curiosity of many. Mercantilism Economics is said to begin with Adam Smith in 1776. Prior to that, nobody thought of economics, or markets, as an object of study. It is not that they didn't pay attention to economic matters, it is simply that they didn't think of it in any systematic or coherent manner. It was all just off-the-cuff intuition and policy proposals by a myriad of merchants, government officials & journalists, principally in Britain. It is common to denote the period before 1776 as "Mercantilism". It wasn't a coherent school of thought, but a hodge-podge of varying ideas about improving tax revenues, the value & movements of gold and how nations competed for international commerce & colonies. Mostly protectionist, 'war-minded', and all haphazardly argued. (the principal features of the Mercantilist school are discussed in our "Gains from Trade" handout). There was some opposition to Mercantilist doctrines, notably among French and Scottish thinkers (e.g. Pierre de Boisguilbert, Francois Quesnay, Jacques Turgot and David Hume) Classical School The Enlightenment era (mid-1700s) in Europe brought a new spirit of scientific inquiry. Thinkers began looking to apply scientific principles not only to the physical world, but also to human society. In the same spirit that Sir Isaac Newton 'discovered' the "law of gravity" to explain the interaction of natural forces and decipher how the physical world operates, Enlightenment thinkers began trying to discover the "laws" of human interaction, to explain how human society operates.