A Hierarchical Bayesian Variable Selection Approach to Major League Baseball Hitting Metrics
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Moneyball Book Review
Moneyball The Art of Winning an Unfair Game by Michael Lewis W.W. Norton © 2003 288 pages Focus Take-Aways Leadership & Mgt. • The best young baseball players are lithe, fast and strong, or so says common wisdom. Strategy • Scouts knew that quick, agile Billy Beane was going to be a Majors all-star. Sales & Marketing • Beane regretted signing a Major League Baseball contract rather than accepting a Corporate Finance scholarship to Stanford. He’s now general manager of the Oakland Athletics. • Billy proved that the best athletes are not always the best Major League players. Human Resources • Number crunchers already knew that expensive home run hitters and speedball Technology & Production pitchers did not guarantee winning teams. Small Business • A factory night watchman developed and employed sabermetrics — Wall Street- Economics & Politics style rigorous statistical analysis — to divine the true traits of a winning team. Industries & Regions • Analysts saw baseball scouts and managers as idiots with no idea how they won or lost. Career Development • Baseball decision-makers ignored sabermetrics (except in the fantasy leagues). Personal Finance • In 2002, Oakland became the fi rst team to use the sabermetricians’ method so it Concepts & Trends could avoid paying star salaries. • Beane built a quality team on the kind of probability theory investors use, instead of selecting for traditional talent, and spent $100 million less than the Yankees. Rating (10 is best) Overall Applicability Innovation Style 9 6 10 10 To purchase individual Abstracts, personal subscriptions or corporate solutions, visit our Web site at www.getAbstract.com or call us at our U.S. -
This Bud's for You: Milwaukee Will Take Anything Including The
This Bud’s for you: Milwaukee will take anything including the sleeper tag in order to avoid another 90 loss campaign 6. Milwaukee Brewers: Can Carlos Lee really help the Brewers improve dramatically upon a 67-94 finish one year ago? That’s the major question right now for the baseball team in Milwaukee, which traded base stealer extraordinare Scott Podsednik to the White Sox in exchange for Lee (.305Avg. 31HR 99RBI). He gives them the right handed power bat they’ve been lacking for a while to go sandwiched in between lefty hitters Lyle Overbay (All-Star) and veteran outfielder Geoff Jenkins. Jenkins (.851 career OPS), Lee and likely Brady Clark will compose the Brewers outfield. Behind the plate is Damian Miller, who works very well with start pitchers as he did in Arizona, Oakland and Chicago, so he will have no trouble handling Ben Sheets. Chad Moeller, an ex-teammate of Miller’s with the Diamondbacks, should spell him for about 40-50 games and be a decent backup. I question how good Clark can be in the everyday lineup, markedly as the leadoff man. Clark was decent in 2004, batting .280 and stealing 15 bases. Still, don’t see him staying there long if he’s only score 40-50 runs per season. And Clark will get the chance to touch home plate with guys like Lee, Overbay and Jenkins behind him. Russell Branyan poses a threat when on the field. Despite striking out quite often, he hit 11 dingers in 51 games. Branyan, whose 81 home runs are the most of someone with less than 1500 plate appearances, would relish the opportunity to start every day or get upwards of 250 at-bats. -
NCAA Division I Baseball Records
Division I Baseball Records Individual Records .................................................................. 2 Individual Leaders .................................................................. 4 Annual Individual Champions .......................................... 14 Team Records ........................................................................... 22 Team Leaders ............................................................................ 24 Annual Team Champions .................................................... 32 All-Time Winningest Teams ................................................ 38 Collegiate Baseball Division I Final Polls ....................... 42 Baseball America Division I Final Polls ........................... 45 USA Today Baseball Weekly/ESPN/ American Baseball Coaches Association Division I Final Polls ............................................................ 46 National Collegiate Baseball Writers Association Division I Final Polls ............................................................ 48 Statistical Trends ...................................................................... 49 No-Hitters and Perfect Games by Year .......................... 50 2 NCAA BASEBALL DIVISION I RECORDS THROUGH 2011 Official NCAA Division I baseball records began Season Career with the 1957 season and are based on informa- 39—Jason Krizan, Dallas Baptist, 2011 (62 games) 346—Jeff Ledbetter, Florida St., 1979-82 (262 games) tion submitted to the NCAA statistics service by Career RUNS BATTED IN PER GAME institutions -
A's News Clips, Wednesday, December 1, 2010 Power-Hungry
A’s News Clips, Wednesday, December 1, 2010 Power-hungry Oakland A's ready to wine, dine former Houston Astros slugger Lance Berkman By Joe Stiglich, Oakland Tribune A's officials were scheduled to have dinner Tuesday night in Houston with free agent Lance Berkman, two sources with knowledge of the situation confirmed to Bay Area News Group. Berkman, a switch-hitter who's slugged 327 homers over 12 seasons, is known to have been on the team's radar. Presumably, the A's view him as their designated hitter if they sign him. Berkman hit just .248 with 14 homers and 58 RBIs last season, which he began with the Houston Astros before being traded to the New York Yankees. But Berkman, who turns 35 in February, told Fox Sports last week that he's fully recovered from arthroscopic knee surgery that bothered him much of last season. He hit 25 homers as recently as 2009 for Houston. Adding power is the A's most pressing need. They would have a hole at DH if they decide not to tender a contract to Jack Cust, which is a strong possibility. The A's must decide by 9 p.m. Thursday (PT) whether to tender contracts to their 10 arbitration-eligible players, including Cust. Other logical non-tender candidates: outfielder Travis Buck, reliever Brad Ziegler and either of two third basemen -- Kevin Kouzmanoff or Edwin Encarnacion. It's believed the A's would consider signing Berkman to a one- or two-year deal, though the team doesn't comment on free- agent negotiations. -
Tml American - Single Season Leaders 1954-2016
TML AMERICAN - SINGLE SEASON LEADERS 1954-2016 AVERAGE (496 PA MINIMUM) RUNS CREATED HOMERUNS RUNS BATTED IN 57 ♦MICKEY MANTLE .422 57 ♦MICKEY MANTLE 256 98 ♦MARK McGWIRE 75 61 ♦HARMON KILLEBREW 221 57 TED WILLIAMS .411 07 ALEX RODRIGUEZ 235 07 ALEX RODRIGUEZ 73 16 DUKE SNIDER 201 86 WADE BOGGS .406 61 MICKEY MANTLE 233 99 MARK McGWIRE 72 54 DUKE SNIDER 189 80 GEORGE BRETT .401 98 MARK McGWIRE 225 01 BARRY BONDS 72 56 MICKEY MANTLE 188 58 TED WILLIAMS .392 61 HARMON KILLEBREW 220 61 HARMON KILLEBREW 70 57 TED WILLIAMS 187 61 NORM CASH .391 01 JASON GIAMBI 215 61 MICKEY MANTLE 69 98 MARK McGWIRE 185 04 ICHIRO SUZUKI .390 09 ALBERT PUJOLS 214 99 SAMMY SOSA 67 07 ALEX RODRIGUEZ 183 85 WADE BOGGS .389 61 NORM CASH 207 98 KEN GRIFFEY Jr. 67 93 ALBERT BELLE 183 55 RICHIE ASHBURN .388 97 LARRY WALKER 203 3 tied with 66 97 LARRY WALKER 182 85 RICKEY HENDERSON .387 00 JIM EDMONDS 203 94 ALBERT BELLE 182 87 PEDRO GUERRERO .385 71 MERV RETTENMUND .384 SINGLES DOUBLES TRIPLES 10 JOSH HAMILTON .383 04 ♦ICHIRO SUZUKI 230 14♦JONATHAN LUCROY 71 97 ♦DESI RELAFORD 30 94 TONY GWYNN .383 69 MATTY ALOU 206 94 CHUCK KNOBLAUCH 69 94 LANCE JOHNSON 29 64 RICO CARTY .379 07 ICHIRO SUZUKI 205 02 NOMAR GARCIAPARRA 69 56 CHARLIE PEETE 27 07 PLACIDO POLANCO .377 65 MAURY WILLS 200 96 MANNY RAMIREZ 66 79 GEORGE BRETT 26 01 JASON GIAMBI .377 96 LANCE JOHNSON 198 94 JEFF BAGWELL 66 04 CARL CRAWFORD 23 00 DARIN ERSTAD .376 06 ICHIRO SUZUKI 196 94 LARRY WALKER 65 85 WILLIE WILSON 22 54 DON MUELLER .376 58 RICHIE ASHBURN 193 99 ROBIN VENTURA 65 06 GRADY SIZEMORE 22 97 LARRY -
Carlos Subero Manager, Birmingham Barons Chicago White Sox
seasons in the Majors as a second baseman, managed 14 seasons in the Majors and led the New York Mets to a World Series Championship in 1986. The 1987 National League Manager of the Year will lead the U.S. Baseball Team at the Beijing Olympics in August. Coaches for the U.S. and World Team are as follows: U.S. Team (2008 Summer Olympics Trial Team) Coaches: Davey Johnson Manager, 2008 U.S. Olympic Team Marcel Lachemann Pitching Coach, 2008 U.S. Olympic Team Reggie Smith Hitting Coach, 2008 U.S. Olympic Team Rick Eckstein Third Base/Bench Coach, 2008 U.S. Olympic Team Dick Cooke Auxiliary Coach, 2008 U.S. Olympic Team World Team Coaches: Pat Listach Manager, Iowa Cubs Chicago Cubs Pacific Coast League/AAA Scott Little Manager, Frisco Rough Riders Texas Rangers Texas League/AA Larry Parrish Manager, Toledo Mud Hens Detroit Tigers International League/AAA John Stearns Manager, Harrisburg Senators Washington Nationals Eastern League/AA Carlos Subero Manager, Birmingham Barons Chicago White Sox Southern League/AA Rafael Chaves Pitching Coach, Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees New York Yankees International League/AAA Thirty-nine players have competed in both the XM All-Star Futures Game and the Major League Baseball All-Star Game. In 2007, a record 22 Major League All-Stars were alumni of the XM All-Star Futures Game, doubling the previous mark of 11 set in 2006. The full list of players who competed in both games are as follows: Player Current Team Position All-Star Game Futures Game Josh Beckett Red Sox RHP 2007 2000 Lance Berkman Astros INF 2001-02, 2004 1999 Hank Blalock Rangers INF 2003-04 2001 Mark Buehrle White Sox LHP 2002, 2005 2000 Miguel Cabrera Tigers INF 2004, 2007 2001-02 Robinson Cano Yankees INF 2006 2003-04 Francisco Cordero Reds RHP 2004, 2007 1999 Carl Crawford Rays OF 2004, 2007 2002 Adam Dunn Reds OF 2002 2001 Prince Fielder Brewers INF 2007 2004 Rafael Furcal Dodgers INF 2003 1999 Marcus Giles --- INF 2003 1999 J.J. -
BILLY BEANE Executive Vice President of Baseball Operations for the Oakland A’S
BILLY BEANE Executive Vice President of Baseball Operations for the Oakland A’s AT THE PODIUM Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game Billy Beane’s “Moneyball” philosophy has been adopted by organizations of all sizes, across all industries, as a way to more effectively, efficiently, and profitably manage their assets, talent, and resources. He has helped to shape the way modern businesses view and leverage big data and employ analytics for long-term success. illy Beane is considered In his signature talk, which explores his innovative, winning approach to Bone of the most management and leadership, Beane: progressive and talented baseball executives in the • Describes How He Disrupted The World of Baseball by Taking the game today. As General Undervalued and Underpaid Oakland A’s to 6 American League West Manager of the Oakland Division Titles A’s, Beane shattered traditional MLB beliefs that • Elaborates upon his now-famous “Moneyball Methodology”, which big payrolls equated more Numerous Companies Have Implemented in order to Identify and Re- wins by implementing a Purpose Undervalued Assets statistical methodology that led one of the worst • Demonstrates How to Win Against Companies That Have Bigger teams in baseball—with Budgets, More Manpower, and Higher Profiles one of the lowest payrolls— to six American League • Discusses Attaining a Competitive Advantage to Stimulate a Company’s West Division Titles. That Growth strategic methodology has come to be known as the • Illustrates the Parallels Between Baseball and Other Industries that “Moneyball” philosophy, Require Top-Tier, Methodical Approaches to Management named for the bestselling book and Oscar winning film • Emphasizes the Need to Allocate Resources and Implement Truly chronicling Beane’s journey Dynamic Analytics Programs from General Manager to celebrated management • Delineate How to Turn a Problem into Profit and Make Those Returns genius. -
A Statistical Study Nicholas Lambrianou 13' Dr. Nicko
Examining if High-Team Payroll Leads to High-Team Performance in Baseball: A Statistical Study Nicholas Lambrianou 13' B.S. In Mathematics with Minors in English and Economics Dr. Nickolas Kintos Thesis Advisor Thesis submitted to: Honors Program of Saint Peter's University April 2013 Lambrianou 2 Table of Contents Chapter 1: The Study and its Questions 3 An Introduction to the project, its questions, and a breakdown of the chapters that follow Chapter 2: The Baseball Statistics 5 An explanation of the baseball statistics used for the study, including what the statistics measure, how they measure what they do, and their strengths and weaknesses Chapter 3: Statistical Methods and Procedures 16 An introduction to the statistical methods applied to each statistic and an explanation of what the possible results would mean Chapter 4: Results and the Tampa Bay Rays 22 The results of the study, what they mean against the possibilities and other results, and a short analysis of a team that stood out in the study Chapter 5: The Continuing Conclusion 39 A continuation of the results, followed by ideas for future study that continue to project or stem from it for future baseball analysis Appendix 41 References 42 Lambrianou 3 Chapter 1: The Study and its Questions Does high payroll necessarily mean higher performance for all baseball statistics? Major League Baseball (MLB) is a league of different teams in different cities all across the United States, and those locations strongly influence the market of the team and thus the payroll. Year after year, a certain amount of teams, including the usual ones in big markets, choose to spend a great amount on payroll in hopes of improving their team and its player value output, but at times the statistics produced by these teams may not match the difference in payroll with other teams. -
OFFICIAL GAME INFORMATION Lake County Captains (14-15) Vs
High-A Affiliate OFFICIAL GAME INFORMATION Lake County Captains (14-15) vs. Dayton Dragons (16-13) Sunday, June 6th • 1:30 p.m. • Classic Park • Broadcast: WJCU.org Game #30 • Home Game #12 • Season Series: 3-2, 19 Games Remaining RHP Mason Hickman (1-2, 3.45 ERA) vs. RHP Spencer Stockton (2-0, 3.57 ERA) YESTERDAY: The Captains’ three-game winning streak ended with a 15-4 loss to Dayton on Saturday night. Kevin Coulter surrendered seven runs on 10 hits over 1.2 innings to take the loss in a spot start. Dragons centerfielder Quin Cotton hit two home runs and drove in six High-A Central League runs to lead the Dayton offense. Dragons starter Graham Ashcraft earned the win with seven strong innings, in which he allowed just one run on two hits and struck out nine. East Division W L GB COMING ALIVE: After scoring just 12 runs and suffering a six-game sweep last week at West Michigan, the Captains have already scored 29 runs in the first five games of this series against Dayton. Will Brennan has gone 7-for-18 (.389) with two home runs, two doubles, 10 RBI and West Michigan (Detroit) 16 12 -- a 1.254 OPS. Joe Naranjo has gone 3-for-10 with a team-leading five walks for a .533 on-base percentage. Dayton (Cincinnati) 16 13 0.5 BRENNAN BASHING: Captains OF Will Brennan leads the High-A Central League (HAC) lead in doubles (11). He is second in batting average (.326), fourth in wRC+ (154), fifth in on-base percentage (.410), sixth in OPS (.920), sixth in extra-base hits (13) and ninth in slugging Great Lakes (Los Angeles - NL) 15 14 1.5 percentage (.511). -
A's News Clips, Thursday, November 4, 2010 Oakland A's Buy Out
A’s News Clips, Thursday, November 4, 2010 Oakland A's buy out contract of Eric Chavez, pick up options of Coco Crisp, Mark Ellis By Joe Stiglich, Oakland Tribune, 11/4/2010 The A's cut ties with third baseman Eric Chavez on Wednesday, declining his $12.5 million option for 2011 and paying him a $3 million buyout. Although most saw the move coming, it provides a historic conclusion to the six-time Gold Glover's career in an Oakland uniform. The A's also announced that they exercised their $6 million option on second baseman Mark Ellis and $5.75 million option on center fielder Coco Crisp, ensuring both will return next season. Chavez -- whose six-year, $66 million contract expired at season's end -- now becomes a free agent. And though he's not sure what interest he'll generate, he said he's not ready to retire despite multiple injuries that have ravaged his career since 2006. One possible scenario was for the A's to extend Chavez, 32, a non-roster invitation to spring training if he appeared healthy. But Chavez said he needs a fresh start and believes the A's are ready to move on as well. "I'm going to see what's out there," Chavez said from his home in Arizona. "I've done everything, seen every doctor. The only thing I haven't done is change the scenery. And I don't even know what that (entails). But I'm going to hang my hat on that and see if that makes any difference." A first-round pick in 1996, Chavez became a cornerstone as the A's made five postseason appearances over a seven-year span beginning in 2000. -
Clips for 7-12-10
MEDIA CLIPS – April 9, 2017 Rare air: Rockies hit three HRs off Kershaw By Ken Gurnick and Thomas Harding / MLB.com DENVER -- Mark Reynolds and Gerardo Parra delivered back-to-back homers off Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw -- something he had never experienced -- to lift the Rockies to a 4-2 victory at Coors Field on Saturday night before a sellout crowd of 48,012. "It doesn't surprise me," Reynolds said when it was noted consecutive homers off Kershaw had never happened. "He's tough. He just left a couple pitches up in the zone, and me and Parra put good swings on them. "You've got to pick a pitch. His slider is tough. His heater, he elevates. His curveball, it's tough sledding. You've got to hope he makes a mistake. He made three of them tonight." There was more homer history off Kershaw, a three-time National League Cy Young Award winner. Because Nolan Arenado homered in the first inning, the game was the third time that Kershaw had given up three homers in a game. Two have been against the Rockies. "I know he felt good, he had good stuff, it's just one of those things with good hitters," Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said of Kershaw's outing. Arenado's homer, his second, also was a one-of-a kind feat. It came on a 75 mph curveball, and was just the fourth on a Kershaw curve since Statcast™ began tracking in 2015. Arenado's was the hardest-hit (103.7 mph) and farthest projected distance (431 feet) on a homer on a Kershaw bender. -
Mlb in the Community
LEGENDS IN THE MLB COMMUNITY 2018 A Office of the Commissioner MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL ROBERT D. MANFRED, JR. Commissioner of Baseball Dear Friends and Colleagues: Baseball is fortunate to occupy a special place in our culture, which presents invaluable opportunities to all of us. Major League Baseball’s 2018 Community Affairs Report demonstrates the breadth of our game’s efforts to make a difference for our fans and communities. The 30 Major League Clubs work tirelessly to entertain and to build teams worthy of fan support. Yet their missions go much deeper. Each Club aims to be a model corporate citizen that gives back to its community. Additionally, Major League Baseball is honored to support the important work of core partners such as Boys & Girls Clubs of America, the Jackie Robinson Foundation and Stand Up To Cancer. We are proud to use our platform to lift spirits, to create legacies and to show young people that the magic of our great game is not limited to the field of play. As you will see in the pages that follow, MLB and its Clubs will always strive to make the most of the exceptional moments that we collectively share. Sincerely, Robert D. Manfred, Jr. Commissioner 245 Park Avenue, 31st Floor, New York, NY 10167 (212) 931-7800 LEGENDS Jackie Robinson Day Major League Baseball commemorated the 70th anniversary of the legendary Hall of Famer breaking baseball’s color barrier in 1947 with all players and on-field personnel again wearing Number 42. All home Clubs hosted pregame ceremonies and all games featured Jackie Robinson Day jeweled bases and “70th anniversary of the lineup cards.