Flat Ten To Follow 2019 Who are Cleeve Racing?

Who we are and how we started Member selections - the science

Cleeve Racing morphed out of a private members service to launch and the strategy commercially in May 2011. Since that time they have booked a profit We use a 12-stage algorithm that rates every runner in the field which averaging 100 points every year and become one of the UK’s best known determines a shortlist to our form team and gives us an idea of the betting services. shape of the race. This then is put through an in-depth form analysis under race conditions and with an eye to betting tissues. What our members get

A high-quality form-based service covering every class 2 race and above Transparent Results run during the season. Cleeve are a selective service with members This probably sounds too good to be true, but we are 100% open, honest receiving 5-6 selections a week with staking advice. The service includes and transparent with our results. Unlike many services we publish every full coverage of all the major Festivals and Antepost bets. It also includes bet we place, not just our winners. It’s the only way our members can Highway 50 which is an analysis of the key 50 trends races leading up to develop trust in our integrity and have confidence in the method behind Royal Ascot. Members also get our bi-weekly Notebook Horses. our selections approach which generates long term, consistent profits.

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Introduction

Hello and welcome to our annual Flat Season 10 to Follow guide. We have tried to stay away from the obvious like Too Darn Hot, Enable, Ten Sovereigns and Stradivarius as they are pretty obvious anyway and likely to be overbet when they run due to their popularity with the punters.

There are some horses that must improve but have shown they have the potential to do so. There are lively outsiders for the 1000 and 2000 Guineas, a contender for the Cup races and several Royal Ascot hopefuls. There are also a couple that we don’t expect to see until later in the year, so hopefully, the list will continue to bear fruit all season long.

Obviously, you need to make sure each horse is racing under its optimal conditions before deciding whether to or not to have a bet, but these lists are more about a bit of fun and interest rather than serious betting tools. But why not set up a tracker in ATR or Geegeez or Sporting Life and add all 10, it will be an interesting process for you to follow their development through the season, and it will add a different dimension to your punting knowledge and who knows, you might just make a few quid.

Enjoy! Best wishes for the season, The Cleeve Team

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Skitter Scatter She stepped up to 7f and impressively has become” and she goes into the landed a Group 3 by a couple of break with a wealth of experience in lengths and followed up in even more the bag. She looks very uncomplicated Age 3 (Foaled 4th April 2016) impressive fashion in a group 2 at the Trainer - P J Prendergast and genuine. She has a beautiful Sex - Filly Curragh. She went off the 7/2 fav for action that shows she is effective on Sire - Scat Daddy the Group One Moyglare which is a ground ranging from yielding to good Dam - Dane Street historically strong guide to the 1,000 to firm and I think Newmarket will Owner - Anthony Rogers & Mrs Sonia Rogers Guineas. She didn’t break as well she suit her. The market seemed to ignore usually does and raced mid-div off a her a bit which is probably a nod to strong pace, 3 furlongs out she have her less fashionable connections and When Skitter Scatter started the more effective over a longer trip. been a big price in running as she she is widely available at 10/1 for the season finishing 3rd in a pretty She stepped up in both class and trip came off the bridle and looked to be 1,000 Guineas and I can’t help feeling ordinary maiden at Dundalk nobody and was 3rd in a listed event behind finding nothing, but with a furlong and that if she was owned by Ballydoyle thought she would end up the winter Servalan and Chicas Amigas who are a half to run her stamina came into and trained by Aiden O’Brien she favourite for the first Guineas classic. both useful and although she was one play and she made 3 or 4 lengths up would be half those odds at best. However, her next run when she beat of the first off the bridle she stayed on the leaders and then ran away from the highly rated colt Sergei Prokofiev on very gutsily. Making her debut in them in the final 100 yards to win from the Aiden O’Brien stable (4/9 group company she finished second to going away. Trip – 1m - 10 furlongs fav) she raised a few eyebrows and the So Perfect with a performance which Grade – Group 1 manner of her victory over 5 furlongs again suggested there was still more to Paddy Prendergast after the race said Going – Yielding to Good to Firm strongly suggested she would be even come over further. he was 2asyounded by how good she

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Madhmoon instantaneous and he picked up the fast ground action, it was noticeable leaders with ease before going clear. that when Chris Hayes asked him He was made a 10/1 chance for the to quicken, when the answer was Age 3 (Foaled 29th March 2016) not instantaneous he more or less Trainer - K Prendergast Guineas going into the winter break on Sex - Colt the back of those performances. accepted it and put his whip down, Sire - Dawn Approach He reappeared in the Listed 2,000 giving the impression that he wasn’t Dam - Aaraas Guineas trial at Leopardstown and fully tuned up. Owner - Hamdan Al Maktoum while he was narrowly beaten by As a result he has drifted to 25/1 Aiden O’Briens Say No More there are with some firms but is still as short some good reasons to suspect that as 14’s with others. The one slight There are plenty of reasons for Opera House firmly in his place, he will turn that form around. First of concern I have is as I said before he thinking this beautifully bred son travelling smoothly behind the leaders all he was giving 3lbs to the winner wasn’t overly big as a 2-year-old and of Dawn Approach could be a lively before cutting them down with a so should turn the form around at he doesn’t appear to have grown a lot outsider in the 2,000 Guineas and he withering burst of pace to go clear level weights. Secondly the winner over the winter. looks to have the ability to be a player and win by 3 lengths. He repeated had already had a run so brought in the all the big 1-1 ¼ mile division the feat in the Group 2 Juvenile an important fitness advantage into races in the colts classic division this Champions at the same course with a the race. And, probably the biggest Trip – 1m to 10 furlongs season. pretty copybook performance. Settled factor, it was the first time that he had Grade – Group 1 and 2 just behind the leaders he travelled encountered soft ground. He is not Going –Good & Good to Firm He burst onto the scene at sweetly and when Chris Hayes over big and is a good mover with a Leopardstown where he put Sydney asked him the response was again

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Emblazoned connections probably decided that He is currently rated 106 but is well it was to the colt’s advantage to give worth keeping an eye on as he could him a break and wait for next season. be up to group class, so if he does go Age 4 (Foaled 23rd April 2015) TrainerJ H M Gosden down the handicap route his current Sex Colt He started out over 7 furlongs but mark will look generous. Sire was then dropped back in trip to Dam Sendmylovetorose 6 furlongs, however, his breeding Owner H R H Princess Haya of Jordan strongly suggests he could be more effective over 7 furlongs and even get Trip – 6 - 7 furlongs a mile and with a year on his back he’ll Grade – Class 1 handicaps possibly Emblazoned looks to be a colt with despite being a bit keen tend to settle better as he is a strong Group 3 plenty of potential for improvement and racing away from where the pace traveller and tended to be a bit free. Going – Good and Good to Firm based on what he has shown on of the race developed. He then went I think he is capable of better than he the track so far. He has only had to Royal Ascot and ran a fine 3rd in the has shown to date and it’s the type the 5 runs and started outings in Commonwealth Cup behind Eqtidaar of profile that John Gosden likes to fairly modest company and recorded and Sands of Mali, he wasn’t seen out target the top handicaps with so it a couple of bloodless victories at again after and this could be indicative wouldn’t surprise me at all to see him Lingfield and Yarmouth before being ofa slight problem or that there were in the Wokingham at next year’s Royal stepped up significantly in class at no suitable opportunities... but given meeting with a fairly light early season Haydock in the Group 2 Sandy Lane that he’d been on the go since March campaign to protect his mark. Stakes where he finished 3rd to and this was his 3rd run in 5 weeks,

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Battaash before the start and a little keen in It was definitely too soft for him on the early part of the race. He showed his final outing at Longchamp in the blistering speed from the gate and Prix de L’Abbaye and he probably did Age 5 (Foaled 10th February 2014) Trainer - C Hills was a couple of lengths clear entering quite well to finish with a length of the Sex - Gelding the final furlong, but Godolphin’s Blue winner. Sire - Dark Angel Point wore him down close to home Dam - Anna Law and those pre-race antics may just He may well calm down a bit now he Owner - H Al Maktoum have cost him the race. The speedy 5 is 5 (although I wouldn’t bet much furlongs and fast ground at Goodwood on it) and still looks a horse to be on were tailor-made for him. It was his only when conditions are right and Things didn’t quite pan out the way his temperament more often than not most impressive performance when he you’ve seen him go down to the start. connections of Battash would have gets the better of him. blitzed the field to win comfortably by But when he puts his true running in hoped for only winning 2 of his 5 4 lengths with the minimum of fuss. and if he settles better, it will be very starts which were both at Group 2 He made a more than satisfactory interesting if connections decide to level and once again showing that start to the campaign when taking the Undoubtedly his most disappointing move up to 6f or even 7f. another year on his back had done Temple Stakes at Haydock where he effort in the Nunthorpe at York, a nothing to calm his temperament. settled well in the race and quickened race he has run poorly in before and When he is on his best behaviour and when asked to beat Washington he finished behind horses he has Trip – 5 to 6 furlongs gets his ground I don’t think there’s D.C. and Kachy. He then reappeared previously well beaten and it could Grade – Group 1 and 2 another sprinter in Europe that can in the Group One Kings Stand at be that the ground was against him. Going – Good & Good to Firm live with him, but the problem is that Royal Ascot but was pretty fractious

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Justanotherbottle to Ascot for a competitive Class 2 He’d probably gone over the top in and again was drawn poorly on the his last 2 runs at Ayr and York and stands side. Although he led that the ground wasn’t ideal anyway. I’m Age 5 (Foaled 21st February 2014) Trainer - D Carroll group home the first four finishers looking forward to seeing him this Sex - Gelding all came up the far side. By far his term with another year on his back Sire - Intense Focus best effort of the season came in and if he can find a few more pounds Dam - Duchess K the cavalry charge that is Class 1 improvement with his enthusiastic way Owners - Mr Steve Ryan & Mr M J Tedham Stewards Cup, breaking smartly he of going he will be very competitive was always prominent and took it when conditions are right. up 2 furlongs and looked the likely We thought we’d put in a fairly dark He had 9 outings last year and after winner at the one pole when almost one as he could have a couple of a couple of sighters comfortably won a length and a half clear. He just decent sprint handicaps in him and successive class 3’s at Redcar and changed his legs with 100 yards to go Trip – 5 - 6 Furlongs although he has certainly been busy Nottingham. and that slight check in pace cost him Grade – Class 1 & 2 handicaps with 24 outing in his 3 seasons to dear as he was mugged on the line Going –Good & Good/Firm date, he still just might be improving. He then went to The Curragh for and went down by a short head to He improved his official rating by 20lbs a valuable handicap and ran a Gifted Master. from 3 to 4 years old and by another respectable race from a poor draw 11lbs last season and seems to thrive to finish less than 4 lengths behind on his racing. the winner in eighth. He then went

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Il Primo Sole Admittedly he was disappointing I can see him doing well with another in the Class 2 Gigaset International year on his back, and he may be Stakes (Heritage Handicap) when campaigned in the higher-class 4yo (17Mar15 b c) handicaps on Good to Firm over 1m – Trainer - John Gosden quite well fancied, but he was very Sex - Colt much on his toes and sweated up 1m2f. He could very well develop into Sire - Raven’s Pass badly before the race. He was slowly a Group 3 horse but I doubt he will be Dam - Sweet Alabama away and raced in the centre of competitive at the very top level. Owners - Mr & Mrs Leoni Sceti the track but was never really in contention.

Il Primo Sole on the face of it wouldn’t That was only his 6th run so there He was not seen again since and was Trip – 1m – 1m 2f look like a horse to follow but the bare should be more improvement to withdrawn from the Bet With Ascot Grade – Class 1 & 2 Handicaps, Group 3 form of his run in when 5th in the come. He must have shown plenty of Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Going – Good/Firm Britannia stakes where he carried promise at home as he was felt to have due to unsuitable ground conditions. top weight is better than his finishing sufficient potential to be sent over for He definitely looks like he needs position looks as he showed plenty the French Guineas at Longchamp and Good to Firm ground and it looks of early speed but was hampered although he finished down the field like his ideal trip is 1 mile but he may 3 furlongs out and lost a bit of where he looked to be doing all his get a couple of furlongs further on momentum at a crucial stage of the best work at the end. breeding. race.

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Desert Diamond She was again thrown in at the deep Trip – 1m – 1m 2f end in the Group 2 Prix de L’Opera Grade – Class 1 Handicaps, Listed & on Arc day but she disappointed and Group 3 races 4yo (21Apr15 b f) Trainer - Sir looked to be struggling from a long Going – Good to Soft - Good/Firm Sex - Filly way out and Oisin Murphy eased her Sire - Dubawi down before the final furlong and she Dam - Arizona Jewel may just have gone over the top for Owners - K Abdullah the season.

Desert Diamond looks like a typical She was gradually upped in Class and She is probably just below the best of Michael Stoute horse who will improve convincingly won the British Stallion her age and we will be interested in with age. She was introduced on Studs EBF Lyric Fillies’ Stakes (Listed her if she runs in top class handicaps the all weather as a 2-year-old over Race) at York where she showed a nice or listed races especially at York distances that looked too short on turn of foot off quite a slow pace but where she seems to thrive. Stoute breeding. then stayed on very strongly to finish is a master with older fillies and clear. She then gave another game given that she already has plenty of She came out again at the start of performance to be only beaten ½ a experience under her belt already Her 3-year-old campaign on the all- length in a Group 3 at the Curragh she may be one to catch fresh... weather atWolverhampton where she where she was nabbed by Jessie especially if the market speaks in her picked up a Class 3 Handicap. Harrington’s I’m So Fancy well inside favour. the final furlong.

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Walton Street Last season he was 3rd in the Duke I would be looking for him running in Of Edinburgh Stakes at Ascot but decent handicaps especially at Royal that performance can be marked Ascot back at 1m 4f on Good to Firm 5yo(18Feb14 b g) ground and given that he is lightly Trainer - Charlie Appleby up as he was quite badly hampered Sex - Gelding early on in the race which meant he raced I expect there is a bit more Sire - Cape Cross lost his position and subsequently improvement yet to come. Dam - Brom Felinity got a bit boxed in behind the Owners - Godolphin leaders. He was then upped in Class in the Group 3 Irish Thoroughbred Trip – 1m 4f Marketing Geoffrey Freer Stakes Grade – Class 1 and 2 Handicaps Walton Street must have shown He returned to action in Meydan in at Newbury and wasn’t quite good Going – Good Good/Firm connections something at home as a decent handicap and ran credibly enough coming up against the they have kept him in training as a to finish 3rd to stablemate Mountain progressive Hamada. 5-year-old and Godolphin wouldn’t Hunter. He probably needed the run do that without a reason. after a lengthy break of 153 days and Connections then tried stepping him was staying on at the end. up in trip to 1m 6f but he just didn’t He is fairly lightly raced with only seem to stay the extended trip. the 9 runs in his first 3 seasons which indicates he either needs plenty of time between races or is hard to keep sound.

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Cross Counter His last run in UK in the in the Group I can see him challenging in all the 2 Great Voltiguer at York where top-class Cup races this season and he he was beaten by a head by stable is quite versatile ground wise having 4yo (05Apr15 b g) Trainer - Charlie Appleby companion Old Persian showing won on GF and GS. Sex - Gelding connections that he would appreciate a step up in trip. Sire - Teofilo Dam - Waitress Trip – 1m 6f – 2m Owners - Godolphin On breeding it didn’t look like 2 miles Grade – Group 1 and 2 would suit but he proved it certainly Going – Good to soft and Good/Firm did especially in the Melbourne Cup Cross Counter has had a successful He then went onto win the Group 2 on Good to Soft. globetrotting career so far. He was Dubai Gold Cup after a 144 day break the first English trained horse in 25 netting connections another £700K He seems to run well within years to win the Melbourne Cup after bringing his career winnings to over £3 himself and there could be further Vintage Crops victory. This was only million. He also is now eligible for the improvement to come. his 8th start and he was up against Weatherbys Hamilton Stayers’ Million. the older generation. His victory can A horse successful in a qualifier be marked up a bit has he was slightly who wins the Gold Cup, Goodwood hampered and lost momentum when Cup and Lonsdale Cup will emulate Cliffsofmoher sadly went wrong. Stradivarius and scoop the £1 million bonus.

Cleeve Racing | cleeveracing.com Pilaster Roger Varian was very bullish prior She can be forgiven her last run of to her running in the Group 2 DFS the season which was probably over Park Hill Stakes saying: - “We’ve too short a trip on ground not ideal in 4yo(19Apr15 b f) certainly not seen the best of this Trainer - Roger Varian the Group 1 Qipco British Champions Sex - Filly filly yet,” he said. “She’s in very good Fillies & Mares Stakes. Sire - Nathaniel form at home and ready to roll again, Dam - Portal although her main target is the Group Pilaster is a progressive mare who Owners - Cheveley Park Stud Ltd 1 Fillies & Mares Stakes at Ascot. I will be best suited by good ground think she can prove herself at top over 1m 6f + races and expect her to level. challenge for the better staying races Pilaster started her career quite late Connections obviously had high hopes this season. in the season as a 2-year-old and was for this Nathanial Filly as she was then “Pilaster has progressed well this year introduced in a Class 5 maiden at pitched in the Group 2 Lilly Langtree and she trained really pleasingly into Doncaster over a trip which was too stakes. She ran a little free early on but this race.” Trip – 1m 6f + short and on ground that probably she came into contention 2 furlongs Grade – Group2 – Group 1 wasn’t suitable off a mark of 63. out and battled on really well to win a She ran a creditable 3rd going down Going - Good ding dong battle with Made Up. This but just 2 necks but staying on best Roger Varian was quite patient with showed she has a great attitude for a of all. her and campaigned her on the all young horse. And bodes well for the weather in Novices winning both future. starts which gave her a mark of 101.

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