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Cityrealty 2019 Manhattan Year-End Report Here THE CITYREALTY YEAR-END REPORT DECEMBER 2019 DECEMBER 2019 2019 Year-End Manhattan Market Report CityRealty is the website for NYC real estate, providing high-quality listings and tailored agent matching for prospective apartment buyers, as well as in-depth analysis of the New York real estate market. 1 THE CITYREALTY YEAR-END REPORT DECEMBER 2019 Summary Following escalating prices during the first half of the decade, Manhattan residential real estate remained flat in 2019, with condos showing slight gains in average pricing and a modest decline in sales volume. For the overall Manhattan residential market CityRealty analyzed, consisting of condos, co-ops, and condops south of 96th Street on the East Side and south of 110th Street on the West Side; approximately 10,400 residential units are expected to close in 2019, down from 10,531 in 2018. There was a small increase in the average price paid for an apartment in 2019, rising from $2.07 million to $2.12 million. The median price of all apartments also rose slightly from $1.18 million to $1.2 million this year. Largely due to big-ticket purchases near the southern end of Central Park, most notably at 220 Central Park South, total residential sales of units sold for more than $10 million are projected to reach $4.60 billion by the end of 2019, up from $4.23 billion in 2018. Average Sales Price 2018: $2.07 million CONDOS AND CO-OPS 2019: $2.12 million 2018 2019 Condo Condo AVERAGE SALES PRICE AVERAGE SALES PRICE $2.96M $3.07M Co-op Co-op AVERAGE SALES PRICE AVERAGE SALES PRICE $1.38M $1.33M The average price of a condo in 2019 was $3.07 million, up from $2.96 million in 2018 The average price paid for a co-op was $1.33 million, down from $1.38 million in the year prior. 2018: $1,809/ft2 Condo Average Price/ft2 2019: $1,860/ft2 Note: 2019 statistics are based on closings recorded through Nov. 30, 2019; projected totals are for full 2019 calendar year. 2 THE CITYREALTY YEAR-END REPORT DECEMBER 2019 Summary,. Cont. Building of the Year RESIDENTIAL SALES 2018: $21.8 Billion 2019: $21.2 Billion (Projected) CityRealty projects that total co-op and condo sales volume will be approximately $21.2 billion for the full calendar year of 2019, based on the $19.9 billion recorded through November 30 and accounting for seasonality. The $21.2 billion projection is slightly down from 2018 and substantially down from the total sales volume recorded in 2016 and 2017 which was $25.79 billion and $25.76 billion respectively. Credit: JD Carlisle Development For the sixth year in a row, readers of 2018 2019 (Projected) CityRealty’s blog 6sqft.com have been invited to vote in the 'Building of the Year.' This year, nearly 4,000 votes were cast in the online poll and the 10,531 10,400 winner, with 34% of the votes was UNITS UNITS Madison House, a 62-story condo tower designed by Handel Architects for JD Carlisle Development and Fosun CityRealty projects that there will be approximately 10,400 sales through the end International Limited. of 2019, a decrease from 10,531 recorded in 2018 and substantially down from the For the 2019 poll, 12 new and decade high of 14,099 in 2013. noteworthy buildings were up for the honor: Brooklyn Point, 200 Amsterdam Avenue, 15 Hudson Yards, Waterline NEW DEVELOPMENT SALES Square, 111 West 57th Street, Central Park Tower, 35 Hudson Yards, Lantern House, 220 Central Park South, Rose Hill, 2018 2019 (proj) One South First, and Madison House. $5.3 Billion $5.8 Billion The winner selected in 2018 was Skyline 1,108 Units 1,225 Units Tower, a glass-clad condominium to be the tallest building in Queens upon CityRealty projects that new development sales will reach roughly $5.8B through completion in 2020. the end of 2019, an appreciable increase from the $5.3B of new development sales recorded in 2018 but a sizeable departure from 2017's $8.9B total spread across 1,848 sales. Through the end of 2019, approximately 1,225 new development sales are expected to be recorded, compared to 1,108 last year. Note: 2019 statistics are based on closings recorded through Nov. 30, 2019; projected totals are for full 2019 calendar year. 3 THE CITYREALTY YEAR-END REPORT DECEMBER 2019 Manhattan Residential Market While relatively flat this year and down from recent years, the average and median sales prices for all residential units in Manhattan—condos, condops, and co-ops—have increased significantly since 2008. This year's average apartment price of $2.12 million is 30% higher than in 2008. This year's median price of $1.2 million is 25% higher than it was in 2008. Average and Median Sales Prices Since 2008 for Co-ops and Condos $2.5M $2.0M $1.5M +30% SALE SALE PRICE $1.0M $500K 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 KEY: AVERAGE PRICE MEDIAN PRICE Transaction Volume Since 2008 for Co-ops, Condops, and Condos 18,000 15,000 (PROJ.) 12,000 9,000 10.400 # # TRANSACTIONS OF 6,000 3,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Note: 2019 statistics are based on closings recorded through Nov. 30, 2019; projected totals are for full 2019 calendar year. 4 THE CITYREALTY YEAR-END REPORT DECEMBER 2019 Sales Breakdown The chart below illustrates the rise in sales of high-priced units over the past five years. With a projected sales volume of $21.2 billion, sales volume by dollar amount is down by 18% when compared to 2016's $25.8B in residential sales. Total sales of apartments over $10 million are projected to reach $4.6 billion through the end of 2019. However, the number of apartment sales in this price tier is down from 2016, when it was at $5.3 billion. The aggregate sales total for this market segment is on track to account for 22% of all dollars spent on Manhattan residential real estate this year, spread over a scant 221 sales. Total Sales by Price, Year-by-Year $28B $24B $4.6B $3.5B $5.3B 240 units 297 units 189 Units $20B $4.2B $6.2B $7.0B 228 units $4.6B 1,046 Units $6.7B 1,200 units 221 units 1,119 units $16B $5.3B $4.7B 889 units 819 units TOTAL VOLUME SALES TOTAL $12B $10.1B $10.9B $9.2B $9.0 5,284 Units 5,579 Units $10.4B $10.9B 4,725 units 4,609 units $8B 5,300 units 5,520 units $4B $4.0B $3.5B 6,075 Units $3.4B $3.1B $2.9B 5,232 units 5,040 units 4,676 units 4,371 units 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (PROJ.) KEY: <$1M $1M-$4M $4M-$10M $10M+ ALL SALES $10 MILLION + YEAR TOTAL SALES TOTAL # OF SALES # OF SALES TOTAL SALES % OF TOTAL 2019 (PROJ.) $21.2 Billion 10,400 221 $4.6 Billion 22% 2018 $21.8 Billion 10,531 228 $4.2 Billion 19% 2017 $25.7 Billion 11,881 262 $4.6 Billion 18% 2016 $25.8 Billion 11,853 297 $5.3 Billion 21% 2015 $24.5 Billion 12,899 189 $3.5 Billion 14% Note: 2019 statistics are based on closings recorded through Nov. 30, 2019 projected totals are for full 2019 calendar year. 5 THE CITYREALTY YEAR-END REPORT DECEMBER 2019 Trump's Year in NYC Real Estate In the third full year of Donald Trump’s presidency, the average sales price for the 11 Trump-branded condos in Manhattan once again fell below the Manhattan condo average. The average price paid for a Trump condo fell by 2% to $2.92M, just below Manhattan's $3.07M average. The average price per square foot in Trump condos increased by 2% to $1,720/ ft2 in 2019, just below the Manhattan condo average of $1,860/ ft2. Trump's Avg. Condo Prices vs. Manhattan Avg. Condo Prices Trump's Avg. PPSF vs. Manhattan Avg PPSF $4.0M $2,000 $3.0M $1,500 $2.0M $1,000 $1.0M $500 2007 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 2007 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 KEY: TRUMP AVERAGE PRICES MANHATTAN AVERAGE PRICES KEY: TRUMP PPSF MANHATTAN PPSF TOP GAINER:* BIGGEST LOSER:* Trump Plaza, 167 East 61st Street Trump Parc, 106 Central Park South +9% -20% AVERAGE PPSF AVERAGE PPSF 2018 AVERAGE PPSF: $1,364 2018 AVERAGE PPSF: $1,809 2019 AVERAGE PPSF: $1,490 2019 AVERAGE PPSF: $1,454 BUILDING NAME AVERAGE PRICE PPSF # OF SALES** AGGREGATE SALES Trump International, 1 Central Park West $ 10.38M (-13%) $ 3,372 (+3%) 9 $93.46M The Heritage at Trump Place, 240 Riverside Boulevard $ 3.34M (-54%) $ 1,755 (-4%) 5 $16.72M Trump Parc East, 100 Central Park South $ 3.17M (-46%) $ 2,349 (+7%) 7 $ 22.21M Trump World Tower, 845 United Nations Plaza $ 3.26M (-9%) $ 1,602 (-4%) 11 $35.83M Trump Parc, 106 Central Park South $ 1.41M (-46%) $ 1,454 (-20%) 9 $12.70M Trump Park Avenue, 502 Park Avenue $ 3.78M (+60%) $ 1,894 (-17%) 3 $11.35M Trump Plaza, 167 East 61st Street $ 2.40M (+14%) $ 1,490 (+9%) 5 $12.02M Trump Place, 220 Riverside Boulevard $ 2.01M (+5%) $ 1,409 (-2%) 17 $34.32M Trump Tower, 721 Fifth Avenue $ 2.69M (+2%) $ 1,643 (-11%) 11 $29.6M Trump Palace, 200 East 69th Street $ 674K (-52%) $ 1,264 (-19%) 4 $2.69M Trump Place, 120 Riverside Boulevard $1.24M (+11%) $ 1,360 (+2%) 16 $19.86M *Only compares buildings with 2 or more sales each year.
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